PI Tutorial (Full Answer)
PI Tutorial (Full Answer)
- The basic nature of the investment decision for all investors is the upward-sloping
tradeoff between expected return and risk that must be dealt with each time an
investment decision is made.
2. One of the attributes of investment is to break down the investment into categories. Define
THREE (3) categories of investment.
-Return and risk form the basis for investors establishing their objectives.
-Some investors think of risk as a constraint on their activities.
- If so, risk is the most important constraint.
- Investors face other constraints, including:
time taxes transaction costs income requirements
legal and regulatory constraints diversification requirement
5. Who are institutional investors? Explain how their action affect the investing environment.
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6. Investors should always seek to maximize their return from investing. Agree or disagree?
- Disagree. If investors sought only to maximize their returns, they would purchase the
riskiest assets, ignoring the risk they would be taking.
- Once again, investors must seek a balance between expected return and risk.
8. Common stock represents an ownership share of a corporation, and investor can get two
sources of return from it. Define the two form of return. Do all common stocks pay
dividends? Who decides?
- Two form of return from stocks are dividend and capital gain. - There is no requirement
for a company to pay a dividend on the common stock.
- Any payment is decided by the company’s board of directors, who can change the
dividend (or abolish it) at any time.
- Short-term Investments
- are conservative investments with lives of 1 year or less
- Provide high liquidity
- Common Stock
- Represents an ownership share of a corporations
- Return comes through dividends and capital gains
- Fixed-income Securities
- Bonds - Convertible Securities - Preferred stock
- Mutual funds
- Portfolio of stocks, bonds, and other securities created by pooling the funds of many
different investors
- Allow investors to construct diversified portfolios without investing a lot of money.
-Hedge Funds
- Funds that pool resources from different investors, but usually have higher minimum
investments and are less regulated than mutual funds
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- Derivatives
- Include options and futures contracts
- Securities that derive their value from some underlying asset (e.g., a share of stock or a
commodity)
10) People tend to have different investment philosophies as they go through different stage
of life cycle. Using example, explain the stage of life cycle and how investor should form
their investment in different stage.
- Retirement Stage
– Ages 60 and older
– Preservation of capital becomes primary goal
– Highly conservative investment portfolio
– Income needed to supplement retirement income
- Investor can invest in different assets to meet different objective throughout the stages of
life cycle.
- For instance: Investor can invest in common stocks, futures, and options for growth
oriented youth stage.
- Subsequently, they can invest in low-risk growth and income stocks, preferred stocks,
convertible stocks, high-grade bonds in middle age consolidation stage.
- Hence, they can invest in low-risk income stocks and mutual funds, government bonds,
quality corporate bonds, bank certificates of deposit in the retirement stage.
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Tutorial 2 – Risk and Returns
2) Explain why internal characteristics and external forces are the key factor in return.
- External forces are the forces other than the internal characteristics that affect the return of
an investment.
- The forces can be:
a) political environment,
b) business environment,
c) economic environment -financial crisis is one of the economic environment which
greatly affect the stock investment performance.
d) inflation and
e) other forces which affect the return of an investment.
3) Distinguish between market risk and business risk. How is interest rate risk related to
inflation risk?
-Market risk
- is the variability in returns due to fluctuations in the overall market.
- It includes a wide range of factors exogenous (derived externally) to securities
themselves.
-Business risk
- is the risk of doing business in a particular industry or environment.
-Interest rate risk and inflation risk are clearly directly related.
- Interest rates and inflation generally rise and fall together.
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4) Briefly explain the required rate of return, real rate of return, expected inflation premium,
and risk premium.
-Risk Premium
– Additional return an investor requires on a risky investment to compensate for risks
based upon issue and issuer characteristics
– Issue characteristics are the type, maturity and features
– Issuer characteristics are industry and company factors
- Equity risk premium is the difference between stock and risk-free returns
5) Explain why holding period return is usually measure the return for one year or less.
- Holding period return does not consider time value of money in the formula.
-Thus, it is only suitable in measuring the return within one year time.
-It will become less practical or inaccurate if it is used in measuring return for more than
one year.
6) Explain TWO(2) type of return that investor can get from an investment.
b) Stocks
-Business Risk is the degree of uncertainty associated with an investment’s earnings and
the investment’s ability to pay the returns owed to investors.
– Decline in company profits or market share
– Bad management decisions
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c) Bonds
- Interest Rate Risk is the chance that changes in interest rates will adversely affect a
security’s value.
– Market values of existing bonds decrease as market interest rates increase
– Income from an investment is reinvested at a lower interest rate than the original rate
d) Certificates of deposit
-Purchasing Power Risk is the chance that changing price levels (inflation or deflation)
will adversely affect investment returns.
– Movie that was $8.00 last year is $9.00 this year
8) Discuss the exchange rate risk and how does it affect your investment position.
-Exchange rate risk refers to the risk caused by the varying exchange rates between the
currencies of two countries.
-When an investment involve the exchange of currency between two countries, then
exchange rate risk exist.
-Usually, it will affect the investment position of an cross boarder investment, such as the
purchase of foreign shares which denominated in foreign currency. The appreciation of a
local currency will decrease the investment return from a foreign investment.
9) Standard deviation can be used as one of the measures of risk. Explain the idea behind the
use of standard deviation.
b) Risk-averse
- Risk-averse describes an investor who requires greater return in exchange for
greater risk. Thus, they will only concern the risk irrespective of the return.
-If an investor face with a choice between receiving RM100 with 100% certainty, or
50%
chance of getting RM200.
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-Risk-averse investor will choose the "for sure thing" of RM100 with 100% certainty
as it has the lowest risk.
c) Risk-seeking
- Risk-seeking describes an investor who will accept a lower return in exchange for
greater risk.
-Thus, they will only concern the return irrespective of the risk.
-In the similar situation, risk-seeking investor will opt for RM200 with 50% certainty as
it has the chance to get higher return although the chance of getting higher return is lower.
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Tutorial 3- Bonds/Fixed Income Securities
1) Define Yield to Maturity(YTM). Explain the importance of YTM and why it is less
practical to use YTM for the valuation of bond in a callable bond?
- Yield to maturity (YTM) is defined as the indicated (promised) compounded rate of return
an investor will receive from a bond purchased at the current market price and held to
maturity.
- The importance of YTM is for the bond valuation where it is used in calculating the bond
price based on the current interest rate and held until maturity.
- Investors invest on the basis of promised yields (i.e. YTMs), reflecting current conditions
in the market place.
- It is less practical to use YTM in a callable bond because it assumes that all interest
income is reinvested at rate equal to market rate at time of YTM calculation, and no
reinvestment risk.
- However, for non-callable bond, it has no reinvestment risk, and YTM is appropriate
instead of Yield to Call (YTC).
2) Given two bonds with identical risk, coupons and maturity date, with the only difference
between the two being that one is callable, which bond will sell for the higher price?
3) Define two characteristics of a bond that determine its reinvestment rate risk?
- Coupon is one of the characteristics that affect the reinvestment rate risk.
-As high coupon will has higher reinvestment rate risk as the tendency of a bond being
called is higher when the interest rate decrease.
-Second characteristic that affect reinvestment rate risk is the time to maturity.
-A longer maturity bond will has higher reinvestment rate risk than a shorter maturity bond
as the tendency of the interest rate changes is higher for long duration.
4) Explain the conditions that affect the bond to be sold at premium or discount.
- A bond is selling at a discount if it is a zero coupon bond.
-It is because zero coupon bond bear no interest and par value has to be discounted back to
the present value for the bond price. Hence, bond price will be lower than the par.
-Yield of coupon lower than current required yield also can cause the bond selling at a
discount because the discounting factor is greater than the compounding factor.
5) What is the value of a zero-coupon bond paying semi-annually that matures in 20 years,
has a maturity of $1 million, and is selling to yield 7.6%? (CFA Question)
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6) Suppose a 10-year 9% coupon bond is selling for $112 with a par value of $100. What is
the current yield for the bond? What is the limitation of the current yield measure? (CFA
Question)
- The current yield measure only considers coupon interest and ignores any capital gain or
loss (a capital loss of $12 for the bond in our example), and reinvestment income.
7) Determine whether the yield to maturity of a 6.5% 20-year bond that pays interest semi-
annually and is selling for $90.68 is 7.2%, 7.4%, or 7.8%. (CFA Question)
8) What effect does the use of semi-annual discounting have on the value of a bond in
relation to annual discounting?
- The simple point here is that there is obviously a difference between using annual and
semi-annual discounting. The exact effects of the difference are somewhat complex.
-In general, if the discount rate used in the valuation is higher than the coupon rate, annual
discounting will result in a higher present value than will semi-annual discounting (a result of
a higher present value for the principal repayment when using annual discounting).
- On the other hand, if the discount rate is less than the coupon rate, semi-annual
discounting produces the higher present value (a result of a higher present value for the
coupons when using semi-annual discounting).
-We would predict that a 10%, 8 year bond, given a discount rate of 12%, would have a
higher value using annual discounting as opposed to semi-annual discounting.
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9) Explain the term "bond immunization" and how can it reduce the interest rate risk.
- Strategy to derive a specified rate of return regardless of what happens to market interest
rates over holding period.
-Seeks to offset the opposite changes in bond valuation caused by price effect and
reinvestment effect
-Price effect: change in bond value caused by interest rate changes
-Reinvestment effect: as coupon payments are received, they are reinvested at higher or
lower rates than original coupon rate.
- Immunization seeks to protect a portfolio agains interest rate risk by Playing the two
components of interest rate risk against each other.
-The objective is to have the portfolio earn a prespecified rate of return.
-With an immunised portfolio:
i) If interest rate goes UP, Reinvestment risk UP while prices of the bonds DOWN
ii) If interest rate goes DOWN, reinvestment risk DOWN whihle price of bonds
Increases.
iii) The key to immunization is duration.
- Bond immunization occurs when the average duration of the bond portfolio just equals the
investment time horizon. By retiring the bond at the duration can lower the risk of interest
changes as compare with it held to maturity and it is sufficient to offset the true cost of the
bond.
10) A 10-yr bond is paying 8% coupon compounded annually, with a par value of RM1000. If
it is yield at 6%, estimate the followings:
a) duration of the bond
b) the changes of price for a 25 basis point changes in interest rate
11) Calculate the price of a 30-year bond with 7% coupon rate which is callable in 5 years at
a price of RM1, 030. Assume that the yield to call is 7% and coupon payments are made
semi-annually.
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Tutorial 4: Unit trust/Mutual fund
• Portfolio Diversification
– Owning numerous securities reduces risk
• Professional management
- Managed by professionals from mutual funds companies.
• Service
– Automatic reinvestment of dividends – Withdrawal plans – Exchange privileges
• Convenience
– Easy to buy and sell; high liquidity – Funds handle recordkeeping – Easy to track
price
-Load fund refers to the fund which has sales charge, while no load fund is the fund which
has no sales charge when the units are bought.
-A load fund usually sold through brokers, while no load fund usually sold directly to
investor by mutual fund company.
-Open-end fund is a fund where investors can buy and sell shares directly with the mutual
fund company without a secondary market, while close-end fund is a fund where investors
can buy and sell shares directly via secondary market after IPO.
-Apart from that, open-end fund can issue unlimited number of shares as investor
contribute fresh fund to the fund, while close-end fund have only limited number of shares
traded in the market.
-Hence, the purchase and selling price of open-end fund is determined by the net asset
value (NAV) of the fund, while the price of close-end fund is decided by the demand and
supply.
- Thus, the market price of an open-end fund is decided by the closing market value of the
day, while market price of a close-end fund varies from time to time within the trading hour.
4) Briefly explain how is the net asset value for a mutual fund calculated.
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- The net asset value (NAV) for any investment company share is computed daily by
calculating the total market value of the securities in the portfolio, subtracting any trade
payables, and dividing by the number of investment company fund shares currently
outstanding.
- Exchange traded fund is a fund that designed to track a specific market index.(An index is
made up of a basket of securities (e.g. bonds, commodities, equities) that shows the
movement or change in a specific securities market.)
-It is similar to mutual fund but traded in the exchange at any time of the trading session.
-It often involves low management expenses due to limited trading by investment advisor
as the portfolio is formed according to the index components.
-It is also a fund which is highly correlated with the market, expose to greater market risk.
6) Explain the concept of Real Estate Investment Trust, and how investor can profit from the
investment in REITs.
- Real Estate Investment Trust (REITs) is a close-end fund that invests in mortgages and
various types of real estate investments.
-It receives fresh funds from the pool of investors to acquire the real estate and rent it out to
the tenants in order to receive rental revenue.
-However, a high dividends along with the capital appreciation generate the interest of
investors to invest in the REITs with limited amount of capital.
-An investor who would like to profit from real estate investment are no longer need to
purchase the real property due to the risk and the management involved.
- Thus, they can buy REITs in order to achieve the same objective to profit from the real
estate investment where it is managed by somebody, and the revenue from the rental will be
distributed back to the unit holder as dividend.
-Apart from that, investors also can choose the REITs, which invest in the real estate that
they interested in, such as shopping mall, offices, hotels, apartments, hospitals, and others.
7) A retiree who wish to preserve his capital from depreciation due to the inflation factor.
Propose a fund that suitable to the investor above.
- Because of his intention to preserve capital and his need of money after retirement, it is
important to have a fund that focus is on high current income with some long-term capital
appreciation.
- He can invest in Equity-income Fund which emphasizes current income and capital
preservation.
- The equity-income fund generally invests in a mixture of :
- high-yielding common stocks,
- convertible securities or
- preferred stocks,
- “blue chip” stocks and
- other high-grade securities to balance the portfolio.
- Thus, it typically has less price volatility than overall stock market and considered as less
risky investments for relatively conservative investors looking for moderate growth.
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8) A just married couple is planning to invest in the market to reduce the current income
burden and to generate sufficient fund for their children's education fund after 20 years.
Suggest a fund that might be suitable for the investors above.
- Because of their intention to reduce their financial burden, and generate long term capital
appreciation, it is important to focus is on long-term capital appreciation with some high
income to provide limited stability of the fund that reduce the risk.
-They can invest in Growth-and-Income Fund which seeks both long-term growth and
current income, with primary emphasis on capital gains.
-The growth and income fund usually invest in blend of commons stocks and fixed-income
securities, with up to 90% in common stocks.
-However, it also involves moderate risk investments for investors who can tolerate
moderate price volatility.
- As long as they still young and remain healthy in generating the active income in the 10-
20 years in future, the moderate risk of investment in this kind of funds is appropriate and
acceptable.
9) In Malaysia, it is difficult for a retail investor to invest in the bond market due to its high
minimum funds required. Explain the way for retail investor to invest in the bond market.
- They can invest in Bond Fund, a mutual fund which invests in various kinds and grades of
bonds, with income as primary objective.
-Investing in bond generally required RM250, 000 as minimum requirement, thus, it
restricts the retail investor to enter into this market as not everyone has the required minimum
amount of money for direct bond investment.
-Thus, they can invest via bond funds, which share the capital and profit with other
investors.
- The advantages of bond fund over the individual bond is higher liquidity, higher
diversification and automatic reinvestment of interest.
- It typically considered as lower risk investments for investors who are looking for steady
income, but some price volatility will occurs with changing interest rates as bond price is
very sensitive to interest rate changes.
10) "Not only investing in foreign currency involve exchange rate risk, invest in the funds
also involve exchange rate risk". Justify the above statement.
- The statement is correct. Investing in fund involve exchange rate risk if the fund is an
international fund which mainly invest in foreign securities.
-This funds can be specialized in types of securities (international stocks, bonds or money
market securities), objectives of the funds (growth, value, aggressive growth and other types
of stocks), or geographical region (specific countries or regions of the world).
-However, the return generated from the funds has to be adjusted for the exchange rate risk
to generate the real return in local currency.
-Thus, it is a fund that considerably fairly high risk due to currency exchange risk.
11) Explain the factors that investor concern while comparing mutual funds.
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- Some investor will consider the investment skills of fund managers as not all fund
managers are in good investment skills.
- A lot of fund manager still underperform in the financial market maybe due to their
investment skill and ability.
- That's why some investor prefer to have a famous fund manager who has good track
return to manage their fund.
-For instance, Mr Warren Buffet as investment advisor of the funds.
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Tutorial 5: Money market/ Marketable securities
-Treasury Bill
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• Are the most marketable money market security.
• Their popularity is mainly due to their simplicity.
• T-bills are a way for the government to raise money from the public
• T-bills are short-term securities that mature in one year or less from their issue date.
• They are issued with three-month, six-month and one-year maturities.
• T-bills are purchased for a price that is less than their par (face) value; when they
mature, the government pays the holder the full par value = Discount Instrument
-Commercial Paper
For many corporations, borrowing short-term money from banks is often a laborious
and annoying task. The desire to avoid banks as much as possible has led to the widespread
popularity of commercial paper.
Commercial paper is a short-term promissory notes issued by a corporation. Maturities
normally less than 1 year.
Commercial papers are short term bonds and can be secured or unsecured.
For the most part, commercial paper is a very safe investment because the financial
situation of a company can easily be predicted over a few months.
Typically only companies with high credit ratings and credit worthiness issue
commercial paper.
-Banker’s Acceptance
A bankers' acceptance (BA) is a short-term credit investment created by a non-financial
firm and guaranteed by a bank to make payment.
Acceptances are traded at discounts from face value in the secondary market.
For corporations, a BA acts as a negotiable time draft for financing imports, exports or
other transactions in goods. This is especially useful when the creditworthiness of a foreign
trade partner is unknown.
Banker’s Acceptances sell at a discount from the face value
Advantage of a banker's acceptance, e.g. it does not need to be held until maturity, and
can be sold off in the secondary markets where investors and institutions constantly trade
BAs.
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• It is a money market transaction, a financial institution sells on discount its negotiable
instruments with an agreement to repurchase the same instruments after a fixed period of time
and at an agreed price from the same institution.
4) Malaysian Treasury Bills (TBs) of face value RM10 million with 150 days remaining to
maturity is sold at a rate of 4.20%. Assumes that one year has 365 days. Determine the value
of the proceeds.
5) ABC Holdings drew a BA for RM1.5 million for 120 days and accepted by XYZ Bank at a
discount rate of 5.0% p.a. The customer enjoys an acceptance commission rate of 0.75% p.a.
(a) How much does ABC Holdings have to pay the bank as acceptance commission?
(b) What are the discounted proceeds?
(c) If XYZ Banks holds the BA for 25 days and then sells the BA at a rate of 4.5% p.a., what
are the discounted proceeds and the effective rate of return on the BA?
Notes: Assumes that one year has 365 days.
6) Steven has bought a treasury bill that has a face value of RM3 million with 9 months
maturity sold at 4.3%. Assumes that one month equals to 30 days, calculate the value of the
proceeds.
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7) On 1 March 2016, ABC Funds has bought a banker acceptance (BA) which carries a face
value of RM15 million issued at 10% for 180 days. On 1 July 2016, ABC Funds decided to
sell it to a third party at the prevailing rate of 10%. Assumes that one month is equal to 30
days, calculate the value of the proceeds on 1 July 2016 and determine the holding period
return in percentage for the BA.
8. A deposit of RM1 million is made on 1 March 2016 for 90 days, and interest paid on the
amount is 15% (referred to as a 15% 90-day NCD), determine the following:
a) Maturity value for the deposit.
b) Proceeds of the deposit if the seller decided to sell the deposit to another buyer on 31
March 2016 at a yield of 14%.
*Assume that one year has 365 days.
9) Hedgeman has a negotiable deposit of RM2,500,000 is made on 1 April 2016 for 120 days,
and interest paid on the amount is 8%, determine the following:
a) Maturity value for the deposit
b) Proceeds of the deposit if Hedgeman decided to sell the deposit to another buyer on 15
June 2016 at a rate of 7%.
c) Holding period return for Hedgeman who decided to sell the deposit to another buyer on
15 June 2016.
Notes: *Assumes that one month equals to 30 days.
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Tutorial 6: Common stock
-Stock dividends and splits do not, other things being equal, represent additional value.
-Stock Split
- When a company increases the number of shares outstanding by exchanging a
specified number of new shares of stock for each outstanding share.
- Usually done to lower the stock price to make it more attractive to investors.
- Stockholders end up with more shares of stock that sells for a lower price.
- Investor with 200 shares in a 2-for-1 stock split would have 400 shares after the stock
split.
- If the stock price was $100 before the split, the price would be near $50 after the split
-Stock Dividend
-If a stock dividend is accompanied by a higher cash dividend, the stockholder gains, but
this is a change in the dividend policy.
-Some people believe that these transactions increase the ownership of a stock by
bringing it into a more favourable price range, but even if true it is doubtful this would add
real value.
Advantages
• Provide opportunity for higher returns than other investments
• Over past 100 years, stocks earned annual returns that we roughly double the returns
provided by corporate bonds
• Good inflation hedge since returns typically exceed the rate of inflation
• Easy to buy and sell stocks
• Price and market information is easy to find in financial media
• Unit cost per share of stock is low enough to encourage ownership
Disadvantages
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• Stocks are subject to many different kinds of risk:
– Business risk
– Financial risk
– Purchasing power risk
– Market risk
– Event risk
• Hard to predict which stocks will go up in value due to wide swings in profits and
general stock market performance.
• Low current income compared to other investment alternatives.
3) Stock ABC has $9 million net profits in the current financial year, and the management has
decided to keep 70% of its profit as retained earnings. If the company ABC has 3 million of
share outstanding, determine the dividend pay-out ratio and the earning per share.
-DeclarationDate
-The declaration date is the date that the dividend is announced by the Board of Directors.
- The declaration statement includes the size of the dividend, the date of record and the
payment date (see below).
- Once the dividend has been declared, the company has a legal responsibility to pay it.
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- If you purchase 100 shares of ABC stock on December 7 (on or after the ex-dividend
date) you will not receive the dividend; the person from whom you bought the shares will
receive the dividend.
-If, however, you purchase the shares on December 5 (before the ex-dividend date) you
will be entitled to receive the next dividend.
- The ex-dividend date for stocks is typically set two business days before the date of
record.
- A stock's price may increase by the dollar amount of the dividend as the ex-date
approaches.
- On the ex-dividend date, the exchange may reduce the price per share by the dollar
amount of the dividend.
- Note: Procedures for non-cash dividends are a bit different. For example, if a company
pays a stock dividend, the ex-dividend date is set the first business day after the stock
dividend is paid.
6) Different types of stocks usually have different characteristics. Explain the type of stocks
that you familiarize with.
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- Examples: Amazon, Apple, Google, eBay, Berkshire Hathaway, Starbucks
iv)Tech Stocks
- stocks representing the technology sector of the market
- Range from speculative stocks of small companies that have never shown a profit to
blue chip stocks of large companies that are growth-oriented
- Potential for attractive returns
- Considerable risk and volatility
- Difficult to put value on due to erratic or no earnings
- Examples: Microsoft, Cisco Systems, Yahoo!, NVIDIA, SanDisk, Intel, Electronic Arts
v) Speculative Stocks
- stocks that offer potential for substantial price appreciation, usually due to some
special situation such as a new product
- Companies lack sustained track record of business and financial success
- Earnings may be uncertain or highly unstable
- Potential for substantial price appreciation
- Stock price subject to wide swings up and down in value
- Examples: Sirius XM Radio, Dreamworks Animation, Liberty Media, Under Armour
7) An investor, Steve, who wish to conserve his capital from depreciation. Suggest an
investment strategy for him.
- Buy-and-Hold
- Investors (Steve) buy high-quality blue chip stocks and hold them for extended time
periods
- Goal may be current income and/or capital gains
- Investors often add to existing stocks over time
- Very conservative approach; value-oriented
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8) The size of the stocks can be classified by market capitalization of the corporation. Explain
the types of stock based on market capitalization.
-Large-Cap Stocks
- large companies with market capitalizations over $10 billion
- Number of companies is smaller, but account for 80% to 90% of the total market value
of all U.S. equities
- Bigger is not necessarily better
- Tend to lag behind small-cap and mid-cap stocks, but typically have less volatility
- Examples: Walmart, Exxon Mobil, Apple
-Mid-Cap Stocks
- medium-sized companies with market capitalizations between $2 billion and $10
billion
- Provide opportunity for greater capital appreciation than Large-Cap stocks, but less
price volatility than Small-Cap stocks
- Usually have long-term track records for profits and stock valuation
- “Baby Blues” offer same characteristics of Blue Chip stocks except size
- Examples: Logitech, American Eagle Outfitters, Garmin Ltd.
-Small-Cap Stocks
- small companies with market capitalizations less than $2 billion
- Provide opportunity for above-average returns (or losses)
- Usually do not have a financial track record
- Earnings tend to grow in spurts (sudden gush) and can have dramatic impact on stock
price
- Usually not widely-traded; liquidity is an issue “Initial Public Offerings” (IPOs)
- Examples: Callaway Golf, Wendy’s, Shoe Carnival
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Tutorial 7: Derivatives (Options)
3) "Losses of an investor can be limited by purchasing a call or a put option." Justify the
above statement.
- Losses of an investor can be limited by purchasing a call or a put option is one of the
advantages of option trading.
- The losses of a call or put is limited by the cost of the option even though the rise and a
fall of the security's price can be unlimited.
- If the price of the underlying security has a free rise or fall which against the option
buyer, the option buyer will not exercise the option and let it expired worthless.
- Thus, the maximum loss of the option is the premium paid instead of the price difference
of the underlying security.
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4) Stock ABC is currently trading at RM 20.50 in the market, and KC, an investor is
anticipate the decrease in price of Stock ABC due to the losing competitive advantage among
its peers. A 6-month expiration option is written by an underwriter with a strike price of
RM21.00 and premium of RM205 per contract. Consider that each option contract consist of
100 shares.
a) Explain how KC can make profit from trading the option of Stock ABC if the market is up
to his expectation.
- KC can make profit from buying a put option as he is anticipating a fall in price of the
underlying security. If the price fall below the strike price and enough to cover the cost of the
option, he started to earn a profit from option.
b) Explain the maximum amount of loss will KC face if the market is not up to his
expectation.
- If it is not up to his expectation, the maximum loss would be only RM205, which is the
premium paid for the option.
c) Calculate the profit/loss that KC make if the market price is rising to RM35 at expiry if he
has purchase the option based on his expectation.
d) Calculate the profit/loss that KC make if the market price is falling to RM10 at expiry if he
has purchase the option based on his expectation.
5) On 1 April 2016, Steve bought 10 contracts of call option with a strike price of RM 24, and
the expiration of the option is 6 months later. However, each contract consist of 100 shares
and the cost of the option is RM 250 per contract.
a) Determine whether Steve's call option is in the money or out of money if the shares is
trading at RM 30 on 1 June 2016. Will the price volatility influence the profit and loss after 1
June 2016.
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Since it has not reach expiration date at that moment and the option was yet to exercise, the
volatility will influence the profit and loss of the option as it has the possibility that the price
move against Steve's call option before the expiry.
b) Should Steve exercise the option on expiry if the market price rises to RM26. Justify your
answer.
Steve should exercise the option as it could recover some of the premium paid even
though it has a net loss of RM500. If he not exercise the option, the loss that he made would
be RM2500.
c) Should Steve exercise the option on expiry if the market price falls to RM20. Justify your
answer.
- Steve should not exercise the option as the option expired with RM6500 loss. Thus, the
investor will have a loss of RM2500, which is the premium paid for the 10 contracts.
6) Using appropriate example, explain the physical settlement and cash settlement for option.
- Physical settlement is one of the common settlement of option via the actual delivery of
underlying asset upon expiry.
- For instance, the physical settlement allow investor to buy or sell (depends on call or put)
the underlying asset at the strike price, and the difference between strike price and market
price will be bear by the option writer if the option is in the money.
- However, cash settlement is another common settlement of option via the cash payment
between option buyer and seller.
- For instance, the cash settlement allow investor to offset profit and the cost of the option,
left the net profit or loss to be debited or credited from the trading account upon expiry
without the physical delivery of the underlying asset.
- However, the future movement of the underlying securities will be no longer significant
to the investor after expiry as all the settlement has been settled by cash.
7) Determine the intrinsic value of a call option with a strike price of RM38.
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b) if the market price of the underlying security is RM25
8) Suppose an investor purchases a call option on a Treasury bond futures contract with a
strike price of $90 and the cost of the option is 5% of the security's price.
a) If at the expiration date the price of the Treasury bond futures contract is $96, will the
investor exercise the call option; if so, how is the settlement for the option?
The investor will exercise the call option because the price of the futures contract
exceeds the strike price.
The settlement of the option:
Value of the call option: [market price- strike price] - Cost of the option
= [$96-$90]- $4.5
= $6-$4.5
= $1.5
b) If at the expiration date the price of the Treasury bond futures contract is $89, will the
investor exercise the call option; if so, how is the settlement for the option?
- If the futures price at the option expiration date is $89, the investor will not exercise
the call option because it is less than the strike price.
-Thus, the option will expire worthless and the maximum loss of the investor is the cost
of the option.
9) How can the writer of a call option cancel his or her obligation?
- The writer can cancel his or her obligation by buying an identical option to offset the
call option that he/she previously wrote. This can prevent the loss in the call option
that he/she sell before.
10) Explain the reason why the naked option is riskier for an option writer.
- Option writer expose to unlimited risk of loss as far as the market price can move.
- Thus, a naked option indicates that the writer has no shares in hand as back up to
cover the losses in the option sold.
- Unlike the buyer, option buyer has limited risk of loss, which is the premium paid,
while the writer doesn't.
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Tutorial 8&9: Economic, Industry, and Fundamental Analysis
1) Briefly explain the intrinsic value, and the factors that determine the intrinsic value.
- "Top Down" approach in security analysis refers to the analysis of securities begins from
the macro point of view narrow down to micro point of view.
- "Top Down" approach has three steps starting from economic analysis, which analyze
the state of overall economy.
- Then, industry analysis to have an outlook for specific industry and the level of
competition in the industry.
- Hence, the final steps is for fundamental analysis, which narrow down the analysis into
financial condition of a company and the historical behaviour of the specific stock.
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-Looking for strong market positions, pricing leadership, economies of scale, etc.
4) The sustainability of an industry, in more narrow view, a company depends on the duration
of the growth cycle stages. Explain the growth cycle stages.
- Historically, a close direct relationship has existed between corporate profits and stock
prices.
- A parallel between the two series can often be seen, both upward and downward,
although stock prices may move first.
- An inverse relationship exists between stock prices and interest rates.
- Because interest rates are closely tied to discount rates, a rise in interest rates will have a
negative impact on stock prices.
- An inverse relationship between interest rates and corporate profit can be read as a cost
of financing that bring significant effects to the corporate profit.
- The higher the interest rate, the lower the profit as the implication of the higher cost of
financing (debt financing).
7) Discuss which types of industry are the most sensitive to the business cycle and which
industry are not.
- Cyclical industries, such as autos, appliances, and houses, are the most sensitive to the
business cycle due to the changing economic condition.
- Defensive industries, such as the food industry, are the least affected by recessions and
economic adversity.
8."GDP can be used as one of the main economic indicator that bring significant impact to the
stock price." Justify the above statement.
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- The stock market, of course, reacts to this prospect negatively. 2008-2009 was a horrific
example of what happens when GDP growth slows.
Additional information:
The Chief Financial Officer (CFO) decided to keep RM 6 million of its net income as
retained earnings.
Required:
Calculate the followings:
(i) Current ratio
(ii) Debt-to-equity ratio
(iii) Return on assets
(iv) Dividend payout ratio
Tutorial 10- Security Analysis
1) "It is difficult to find a best approach to evaluate the value of stocks in the market and
some ratio analysis bring no significant meaning to some of the stocks" Justify the above
statement.
- It has no best way to measure a stock's value due to the different characteristics of stocks.
- Some stocks that pay no dividend at all makes no way for a dividend discount model to
find the stock's intrinsic value. Thus, other approaches should be adopted.
- However, ratio analysis is somehow makes sense to some stocks, but insignificant to
some of them due to its characteristics as well.
- An IT company which heavily depends on human resources could have less book value
because of its lower assets acquisition.
- On the other hand, a property business might have higher book value than IT company
due to its land acquisition for their business operation, which generally has higher book
value.
2) A firm is estimated to have earnings per share (EPS) of RM0.60 with a P/E ratio of 12
times. Determine the stock price of the firm.
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4) Stock ABC is currently selling at RM 68.80, and it is paying a dividend of RM1.50. The
management is expecting a constant growth rate of 6% per year, calculate the intrinsic value
of Stock ABC if the required rate of return is 8.5%. Justify whether Stock ABC is overvalue
or undervalue based on the dividend discount model.
5) Stock Fly Asia is currently paying a dividend of RM 0.80, and it is expected to have a
constant growth rate of 4.5% per year. Assume that risk free rate is 3%, risk premium is 3.5%,
and beta is 1.25. Calculate the intrinsic value of Stock Fly Asia.
6) A preferred share of CDE stock is currently paying dividend of RM0.70 per share. Given
that the required rate of return is 8%, Calculate the value of CDE's preferred share.
7) Safe Security Bhd’s share is currently paying dividend (D0) of RM1.00 per share and is
expected to remain the same for the next three years. After that, Safe Security Bhd’s dividend
is expected to grow at a constant rate of 5 percent a year for the indefinite future. The
management believe that their business are more likely to be affected by the business cycle
and it will not affect their promise to meet their target of 35% dividend payout each year.
Currently, the price of Safe Security Bhd is trading at RM25 with 250 million share
outstanding. Assume that the beta is 1.8, market return is 6%, and risk-free rate is 3%.
a) Calculate the intrinsic value of Safe Security Bhd. Comment on the intrinsic value and
determine whether it is overvalue or undervalue.
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b) Justify TWO types of stock that Safe Security Bhd tend to be.
1) Dividend stock. Since it is constantly paying dividend, and promise a high dividend
payout ratio, thus it can be grouped as dividend stock.
2) Cyclical stock. Since the management mentioned that it is more likely to be affected by
the business cycle, thus it is seems to have the characteristics of cyclical stock.
d) Calculate the stock price and number of share outstanding if the stock exercise a 2-for-1
stock split.
8) Cole Pharmaceuticals is currently paying a dividend of $2 per share, which is not expected
to change. Investors require a rate of return of 20% to invest in a stock with the riskiness of
Cole. Calculate the intrinsic value if the stock.
9) Baddour Legal Services is currently paying a dividend of $2 per share, which is expected
to grow at constant rate of 7% per year. Investors require a rate of return of 16%. Determine
the company's value.
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10) Bibbins Software Company is currently selling for $60 per share and is expected to pay a
dividend of $3. The expected growth rate in dividend is 8% for the foreseeable future.
Calculate the expected rate of return for this stock.
- Price and volume are the primary tools for technical analyst.
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- Volume is used to gauge the general condition in the market and help to assess its trends.
- Thus, volume information is used in conjunction with price information to help confirm
the validity of price action.
- The rationale for the traditional theory of contrary opinion is that some investors almost
always lose.
- These investors include the small or retail investor, supposedly unsophisticated and
usually wrong in his or her actions.
-The idea to trade opposite (contrary) these investors supported by the rule of 80/20 that
indicate the 80% of the wealth of the investors is in the control of 20% of the investors with a
contrary point of view.
- A newer theory (e.g., Dreman’s) of contrary opinion is that most investors, including
institutional investors, are often wrong and that it pays to do the opposite of what they are
doing.
- Insider trading activities can be treated as one of the indicator to show the accumulation
and disposal of shares by insider in the company.
- Their activities imply whether the company's performance impress, or disappoint the
insider as the logic behind the stock price is that tend to rise when more people are
accumulating, and tend to fall when more people are disposing the shares.
- However, it could not explain the reason for the accumulation or disposal of shares by
the insider, and they might be wrong sometimes.
- The advance-decline line measures (on a cumulative basis) the net difference in the
number of stocks advancing in price and the number of stocks declining in price.
-The net advance (or decline), therefore, reflects the breadth of the market, or whether the
majority of issues are rising or declining in price.
- However, this advance-decline line is only measure the number of stocks advancing and
declining without refer to the market capitalization of each stock.
- Thus, stock index might still rising if the majority of small stocks decline, while the
minority of big stock advance.
- It is an indicator that track cash position of mutual funds, and high cash positions in
mutual funds provides liquidity for future stock purchases or protection from future mutual
fund withdrawals.
- The higher the ratio, the more cash position that mutual funds hold for future purchases,
hence the more likely stock price be pushed higher in future.
- The higher ratio also indicates that the stocks position is low and it could avoid the large
volume of disposal in future.
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- A sell signal generated when the price decline through the moving average line with
significant volume.
- Another form of signal can be generated by using various moving average.
- When a faster (short duration) moving average cross down the slower (longer duration)
moving average, a sell signal generated.
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Tutorial 12: Efficient Market Hypothesis
- An efficient market is an investment theory that states that it is impossible to beat the
market from any trading strategy (trend lines, candlesticks) because :
(i) the prices of securities fully reflect all known information quickly and accurately
and
(ii) stocks are accurately priced reflecting the intrinsic value of the shares.
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3) Strong Form EMH
- All information in a market, whether public or private, is accounted for in a stock's
price.
-Practitioners of strong form efficiency believe that not even insider information can
give an investor an advantage.
- There is no information, public or private, that allows investors to consistently earn
abnormally high returns.
- Example, the CEO of a company believes that his company will begin to lose
customers and revenues after the internal rollout of a new product.
- The CTO decides to take up a short position. If the stock price declines, he is poised
to profit.
- However, when the product is released to the public, the stock price is unaffected and
does not decline.
- The market would be considered to be strong form efficient because even the insider
information of the product flop was already priced into the stock.
- The CTO would lose money in this situation.
- Agree. Technical analysis relies heavily on known price and volume data to predict
future price changes.
- The weak form of the EMH states that such data should already be reflected in current
prices and therefore is of no value in predicting future price changes.
5) What do the Semi-Strong Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) attempt to test for?
- Semi strong form tests are tests of the speed of price adjustments to public information.
- Any anomalies will be quickly found out and stock price adjusts to the information
quickly.
- They seek to determine if investors can use publicly available information to earn excess
returns.
2) Small-Firm Effect
- Size of a firm impacts stock returns
- Small firms may offer higher returns than larger firms, even after adjusting for risk.
- Ibbotson Associates data shows that “small” stocks have outperformed large caps by
roughly 2%.
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- Stock price adjustments may continue after earnings adjustments have been
announced
- Unusually good quarterly earnings reports may signal buying opportunity
4) Value Effect
- Uses P/E ratio to value stocks
- Low P/E stocks may outperform high P/E stocks, even after adjusting for risk.
- Dreman, a money manager and financial columnist argued that low PE stocks may
be unwanted, but if they have strong finances, high yields and good earnings records,
they almost always do well eventually.
7) Discuss FIVE (5) behavioural factors that might influence the actions of investors.
i) Overconfidence
- Investors tend to be overconfident in their judgment, leading them to underestimate
risks
iv) Representativeness
- Investors tend to draw strong conclusions from small samples
- Investors tend to underestimate the effects of random chance
v) Narrow Framing
- In finance, an investor is said to suffer from narrow framing if he seems to make
investment decisions without considering the context of his total portfolio.
- An investor may get excited about the shares of a particular tech stock and purchase
that stock without recognizing that his portfolio is already overweight in tech stocks.
- Investors tend to analyze a situation in isolation, while ignoring the larger context.
- The way a problem is presented (framing) affects the decision that is made.
8) Explain FIVE (5) behaviors that can improve the investment results.
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i) Don’t hesitate to sell a losing stock
-If you are holding a losing stock, and you could not see a bright future of the stock,
then it is the right time to sell the stock before it drop further.
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Tutorial 13&14: Portfolio Management
a) Dollar-cost averaging
- Fixed dollar amount is invested at fixed intervals
- Discipline to invest on regular basis is vital
- Purchase more shares when prices are low and fewer shares when prices are high
b) Constant-dollar plan
- Speculative portion seeks capital gains
- Conservative portion seeks low risk
- When speculative portion increases to a predetermined dollar amount, profits are
transferred to conservative portion
- If speculative portion decreases, funds are added from conservative portion
c) Constant-ratio plan
- Similar to constant-dollar plan, only the ratio between the speculative and conservative
portions is fixed.
d) Variable-ratio plan
- Similar to constant-ratio plan, only the ratio between the speculative and conservative
portions is allowed to fluctuate to predetermined levels.
i) Fixed-Weightings Approach:
- Asset allocation plan in which a fixed percentage of the portfolio is allocated to each
asset category.
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- Asset allocation plan in which weights for each asset category are adjusted
periodically based on market analysis.
- Portfolio revision is the process of selling certain issues in a portfolio and purchasing
new ones to replace them.
- The rationale for portfolio revision is to revise on the current proportion of portfolio
and rebalance it if the following happen:
- Changes in economic conditions
- Major life event
- Proportion of one asset class increases or decreases substantially
- Expect to reach specific goal within two years
- Percentage allocation of asset class varies from original allocation by 10% or
more.
- Portfolio revision is aim to ensures that the asset allocation is according to its
objective to avoid the unnecessary risk.
Fund manager B has better risk-adjusted performance as compare with Fund manager A as
manager B's performance has higher reading of Sharpe's measure.
Fund manager A has better risk adjusted performance as compare with Fund manager B as
manager A's performance has higher reading of Treynor's measure.
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Fund manager A has better risk adjusted performance as compare with Fund manager B as
manager A's performance has higher reading of Jensen's measure.
6) "Investing in a portfolio cannot completely diversify all the risk no matter how diversified
portfolio it is." Justify the statement with appropriate illustration.
7) Why is the asset allocation decision the most important decision made by investor?
- The asset allocation decision, having been made, has the greatest impact on the
portfolio.
-For example, if it is decided to allocate 90 percent of the portfolio to stocks, a strong
upward stock market, or a strong downward market, will clearly have a very large
impact on the performance of the portfolio.
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