IB Economics - Unemployment
IB Economics - Unemployment
IB Economics - Unemployment
I. Lowunemployment:
A. Unemploymentdefine:
1. Everyoneofworkingagewhoislookingforworkbutwhocannotfind
employment.
B. Unemploymentmeasurement:
1. Laborforce:
a) Allpersonsofworkingagewhoareeitheremployedor
unemployedandseekingwork.
2. Theunemploymentrate:
a) Percentageofthelaborforcewhoareactivelylookingforworkbut
arewithoutajob
3. Unemploymentrateformula:
a) (Numberofunemployed/laborforce)x100
II. Difficultiesinmeasuringunemployment:
A. Hiddenunemployment:
1. Part-timeworkersareconsideredemployedalthoughtheirskillsarenot
fullyutilized.
a) Example:Anengineermightworkasataxidriver,whichagain
meansthattheperson'sskillsarenotfullyutilized.
B. Discouragedworkers:
1. Manypeoplemaybeputofflookingforworkiftheyhavespentalong
periodoftimeunemployed.
a) Peoplehavetobea ctivelyseekingworktobeconsidered
unemployed.
C. Regional,ethnic,age,andgenderdisparities:
1. Becausetheunemploymentrateisusuallypublishedasanational
unemploymentrateandisessentiallyanaverage,thedataignores
regional,ethnic,age,andgenderdisparities.
D. Informaleconomy:
1. peopleemployedintheundergroundorinformaleconomymightbe
registeredasunemployedandclaimingunemploymentbenefits.
III. TypesofUnemployment:
A. Disequilibriumunemployment
1. Cyclical(demand-deficient)
a) Mostconcerningcauseofunemploymentisarecession
(1) Hasthepotentialtoreduceincomeforunemployedand
restoftheearningpopulation.
b) Inthiscase,areductioninaggregatedemandwouldcauseafall
innationaloutput,afallinearningsforbusinessesandindividuals,
anincreaseinunemploymentand,potentially,afallinthegeneral
priceleveltoo.
c) Recessionscanalsocauseasupplyshockwhenaggregate
supplyfalls,causingcostsofproductiontoriseandresultingin
whatistermedasstagflation.
d)
e) InFigure2,totaldemandforlabourfallsfromADLtoADL1.
(1) AtthemarketwagerateWE,firmsarenotwillingto
employtheentiresupplyoflabour,sothereis
disequilibrium.
(2) Thenumberofunemployedworkersisrepresentedbythe
gapbetweenAandB,orQEandQ1.
2. Real-wageunemployment
a)
b) Government-imposedminimumwagecanalsoincrease
unemployment.
c) Thereisagapbetweenthenumberofjobsavailableandthe
numberofpeoplewillingandabletoworkattheprevailingwage
rate.
d) Withawageabovetheequilibriummarketwage,firmswillonly
demandQDlabourbuttherewillbeQSsupplyoflabouras
individualsaremorewillingandabletoworkforthehigherwage.
B. Equilibrium/naturalrateofunemployment
1. Frictionalunemployment
a) Whenpeoplearebetweenjobs.
b) Youmaychooseyourselftotakesometimeafterleavingaplace
ofworktofindanewjob,inordertomakesureyoufindthebest
fit.
(1) Governmentwillwanttokeepthelengthoftimean
individualspendsunemployedasshortaspossibleasit
wantspeopletoremaineconomicallyactive.
c) Example:parents,students,universitygraduates
2. Seasonalunemployment
a) Occurswhenpeopledospecificjobtypesthatareonlyrequired
duringcertaintimesoftheyear.
b) Example:Skiinstructor
3. Structuralunemployment
a) occurswhenthereisamismatchbetweenthesupplyanddemand
foraparticularsetoflabourskills.
b) Causesforstructuralunemployment:
(1) Whenanindustryrelocatesacrossacountryortoanother
country,itisunlikelythatpeoplewillmovewiththe
industry.Thiscancausemajorproblemsforsomeregions
insomecountries,especiallywhenmanufacturing
industrieshavereducedinsize,andcitiesandtownsin
thoseareassufferfromhighratesofunemployment.This
isillustratedinFigure5a.Thedecreaseinthedemandfor
labourinanindustryisillustratedasashiftfromD1toD2,
loweringthewagerateanddecreasingthequantity
demandedoflabourfromQ1toQ2,representingan
increaseinunemployment.
(a)
(2) Labormarketrigiditiessuchashowdifficultitisforpeople
tochangejobsandjobtype,andemploymentlegislation
thatpreventstheeasyfiringofineffectiveworkers,will
reducethesupplyoflabouravailable.Ifthelabourmarket
becomesincreasinglyrigid,thenumberofpeoplewillingto
workwilldecrease.ThisisillustratedinFigure5b.The
supplyoflabourshiftsinwardsfromS1toS2,increasing
thewagerateanddecreasingthequantityoflabour
demandedfromQ1toQ2,againrepresentinganincrease
inunemployment.
(a)
c) BoththeshiftshowninFigure5aandtheshiftshowninFigure5b
willresultintheequilibriumquantityoflabourfallingbelowthe
totallabourforce,asillustratedinFigure5c.
(1)
IV. EconomicImpact/Costsofunemployment:
A. LossofGDP:
1. Peoplewhoarenotengagedinproductionwillnotcontributetoanation's
GDPandwillnotearnasalaryorwagewithwhichtocontributeto
consumption.
B. Lossoftaxrevenue:
1. Withindividualsonreducedornoincomes,taxrevenuesforthe
governmentwillfall.
a) Thismakesitmoredifficultforthegovernmenttorunabalanced
budgetduringtimesofhighunemployment.
C. Increasedcostofunemploymentbenefits:
1. Therewillbeaddedpressureongovernmentfinanceswhenlarger
numbersofpeoplestarttoclaimunemploymentbenefits.
D. Lossofincomeforindividuals:
1. Theclassicaleconomictheorysuggestthatwecanexpectafallinthe
generalpricelevelifthereisunemploymentofresources,asfirmscan
lowerwagestokeepcostslowandtoboostoutput.
a) Thismeanslowerwagesforthosewhoremainemployed,whichis
notadesirableoutcome.
E. Greaterdisparitiesinthedistributionofincome:
1. Inindustrieswhereworkismorecasual,likehospitality,andworkersare
paidawageperhour,itiseasytoreducecostsofproductionbyreducing
hoursoremployeenumbersiftheeconomyweretodip.
2. Therearealsopeopleearninglowerornowages,andwouldnotfindit
easytocovercostsofliving.
V. Personalimpact/costsofunemployment:
A. Increasedindebtedness,homelessnessandfamilybreakdown:
1. Aperson'semploymentstatusistiedtomanythingssuchasloan
agreementsandtherentingorownershipoftheirhome.
a) Ifsomeonelosestherjob,itwillbedifficultforthemtomakethe
expectedmonthlypaymentsandcanonlysustainfinancesby
borrowingforarelativelyshortperiodoftime.
B. Increasedstresslevels:
1. Losingajobisanextremelystressfulexperience,especiallyifthereare
dependentstolookafterlikechildrenorageingfamilymembers.
a) Stressmayputextrapressureonthenationalhealthcaresystem.
VI. Socialcostsofunemployment:
A. Increasedcrimerates:
1. Aspeoplelosetheirsteadysourceofincome,itisplausiblethattheymay
turntootherwaysofmakingmoney.
B. Increasedriskstohealth:
1. Insomecountries,employmentistiedtohealthcareandotheressential
services.
2. Aspeoplelosetheirjobs,theyloseaccesstothathealthcarefor
themselvesandtheirfamilies,whichwillhaveanegativeeffectontheir
health.
a) Thisisnotonlyaproblemforthempersonally,butalsoforthe
country,asthehealthylabourforceisreduced,whichcanleadto
lesseconomicactivity.
VII. SolutionsforUnemployment:
A.
1. Duringarecession,bothequilibriumanddisequilibriumunemployment
willexist.Thisisduetothepresenceofequilibriumunemploymentinthe
economy(naturalunemployment)andthetendencyofwagestoremainat
thelevelW2evenasADLshiftsleftward.Ifwageswereflexibleandnot
'sticky',thelabourmarketwouldreturntoanewequilibriumatpointE.
B. Cyclicalunemployment=problem:
1. Thegovernmentwillneedtoaddressthefallinaggregatedemand
directly.
2. Thisinvolvesstimulatingaggregatedemandusingtaxincentives,
increasedgovernmentspending,lowerinterestratesandagreatersupply
ofmoney.
3. TheADwillfallduringarecessionasconfidenceintheeconomytakes
timetorecoverfromwhatevershockcausedtheprobleminthefirst
place.
4. Therefore,anyeffortsbythegovernmenttostimulatedemandmaytake
sometimeandwilldependontheeconomicconditionsofthetime.
C. Structuralunemployment=problem:
1. Usepoliciesthatimprovetheflexibilityofthelabourforce.
2. Theeducationsystemshouldbedesignedsothatstudentsgraduatefrom
schoolanduniversitywithskillsthatwillimprovetheiremployability.
3. Inaddition,thereshouldbeprovisionforadulteducationandtraining,
allowingoldermembersofsocietytore-qualifyandgainnewskills.
4. However,itwilltaketimetodevelopatrulyflexiblelabourforceandthis
canpotentiallyresultinanopportunitycostforgovernmentspending.
a) significantchangesforemployees’safety,pay,andsecurity.
D.