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Lecture3 Economic Equivalence

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Economic Equivalence

Lecture No.3
E-Eco: Engineering Economy
Economic Equivalence
◼ What do we mean by “economic
equivalence?”
◼ Why do we need to establish an economic
equivalence?
◼ How do we establish an economic
equivalence?
Economic Equivalence

◼ Economic equivalence exists between cash


flows that have the same economic effect
and could therefore be traded for one
another.
◼ Even though the amounts and timing of the
cash flows may differ, the appropriate interest
rate makes them equal.
Equivalence from Personal Financing
Point of View
F

◼ If you deposit P dollars


today for N periods at F = P(1 + i) N
i, you will have F
0
dollars at the end of N
period N.

PF P
Alternate Way of Defining Equivalence

P
◼ F dollars at the end of
period N is equal to a
single sum P dollars
now, if your earning 0 N
power is measured in
F
terms of interest rate i.
−N
P = F (1 + i)

0 N
Practice Problem
At 8% interest, what is the equivalent worth
of $2,042 now 5 years from now?

$2,042 If you deposit $2,042 today in a savings


account that pays 8% interest annually.
how much would you have at the end of
5 years?

0 1 2 3 4 5
F

=
0 5
Solution

F = $2,042(1 + 0.08) 5

= $3,000
Example 2.2
At what interest rate
would these two amounts be equivalent?

$2,042
i=? $3,000

0 5
Equivalence Between Two Cash Flows

◼ Step 1: Determine the


$2,042 $3,000
base period, say, year 5.
◼ Step 2: Identify the
interest rate to use.
◼ Step 3: Calculate
equivalence value. 0 5
i = 6%, F = $2,042(1 + 0.06)5 = $2,733
i = 8%, F = $2,042(1 + 0.08)5 = $3,000
i = 10%, F = $2,042(1 + 0.10)5 = $3,289
Example - Equivalence
Various dollar amounts that will be economically
equivalent to $3,000 in 5 years, given an interest
rate of 8%.
$3,000
P= = $2,042
(1 + 0.08) 5

P F
$2,042 $2,205 $2,382 $2,572 $2,778 $3,000
0 1 2 3 4 5
Example 2.3

$200 V
$150

$100
$120
$100
=
$80

0 1 2 3 4 5 0 1 2 3 4 5

Compute the equivalent lump-sum amount at n = 3 at 10% annual interest.


Approach
V

$200

$150
$120
$100 $100
$80

0 1 2 3 4 5
V3 = $511.90 + $264.46 V
= $776.36

$200
$200(1 + 0.10)−1 + $100(1 + 0.10) −2
$150 = $264.46
$120
$100 $100
$80

0 1 2 3 4 5

100(1 + 0.10)3 + $80(1 + 0.10) 2 + $120(1 + 0.10) + $150


= $511.90
Practice Problem
2P
◼ How many years would
it take an investment to
double at 10% annual
0
interest?
N=?

P
Solution

2P F = 2 P = P(1 + 0.10) N
2 = 1.1
N

log 2 = N log1.1
0
log 2
N=? N=
P
log1.1
= 7.27 years
Rule of 72

◼ Approximating 72
how long it will N
take for a sum of interest rate (%)
money to double 72
=
10
= 7.2 years
Practice Problem
$1,000
$500
Given: i = 10%,
A

Find: C that makes the 0 1 2 3


two cash flow streams
to be indifferent C C

0 1 2 3
Approach
$1,000
◼ Step 1: Select the base
period to use, say n = $500
2. A
◼ Step 2: Find the 0 1 2 3
equivalent lump sum
value at n = 2 for both
A and B. C C
◼ Step 3: Equate both B
equivalent values and
solve for unknown C. 0 1 2 3
Solution

◼ For A: $1,000

−1
$500
V2 = $500(1 + 0.10) + $1,000(1 + 0.10)
2

= $1,514.09 A
0 1 2 3
◼ For B:
V2 = C (1 + 0.10) + C
C C
= 2.1C
◼ To Find C: B
2.1C = $1, 514.09
0 1 2 3
C = $721
Practice Problem
$1,000
$500
At what interest rate
would you be A

indifferent between the 0 1 2 3


two cash flows?
$502 $502 $502

0 1 2 3
Approach

◼ Step 1: Select the base $1,000


period to compute the
equivalent value (say, n $500
= 3) A
◼ Step 2: Find the net 0 1 2 3
worth of each at n = 3.

$502 $502 $502

0 1 2 3
Establish Equivalence at n = 3

Option A : F3 = $500(1 + i) + $1, 000


3

Option B : F3 = $502(1 + i)2 + $502(1 + i ) + $502

◼ Find the solution by trial and error, say i = 8%

Option A : F3 = $500(1.08)3 + $1, 000


= $1, 630
Option B : F3 = $502(1.08) 2 + $502(1.08) + $502
= $1, 630

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