BBA 104: Business Economics - II: Course Contents
BBA 104: Business Economics - II: Course Contents
BBA 104: Business Economics - II: Course Contents
Course Contents
Unit I Lectures:-12
Unit II Lectures:-16
Macro Economic Framework: Theory of Full Employment and Income: Classical, Modern
(Keynesian) Approach, Consumption Function, Relationship between Saving and Consumption.
Investment function, Concept of Marginal Efficiency of Capital and Marginal Efficiency of
Investment; National Income Determination in Two, Three and Four Sector Models; Multiplier
in Two, Three and Four Sector Model.
Unit IV Lectures:-12
Equilibrium of Product and Money Market: Introduction to IS-LM Model, Equilibrium- Product
Market and Money Market, Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy.
UNIT-1
Macro Economics
Macro economics is a study of the economy as a whole, and the variables that control the macro-
economy.
The study of government policy meant to control and stabilize the economy over time, that is, to
reduce fluctuations in the economy is known as macro economics.
Macro economics also includes the study of monetary policy, fiscal policy, and supply-side
economics.
The term Macro is derived from the Greek word “MAKROS” which means large. It deals with
the aggregates such as national income, output, employment and the general price level etc,
therefore it is called the Aggregative Economics.
According to Shapiro, “Macroeconomics deals with the functioning of the economy as a whole”.
According to Boulding, “Macroeconomics deals not with individual quantities as such, but with
aggregates of these quantities, not with individual income but with national income, not with
individual output but with national output”.
Prof. Ackley defines Macro Economics as “Macro Economics deals with economic affairs ‘in the
large, it concerns the overall dimensions of economic life. It looks at the total size and shape and
functioning of the elephant of economic experience, rather than working of articulation or
dimensions of the individual parts. It studies the character of the forest, independently of the
tress which compose it.”
Why macroeconomics and not only microeconomics?
The whole is more complex than the sum of independent parts. It is not possible to describe an
economy by forming models for all firms and persons and all their cross-effects.
Macroeconomics investigates aggregate behavior by imposing simplifying assumptions (“assume
there are many identical firms that produce the same good”) but without abstracting from the
essential features.
These assumptions are used in order to build macroeconomic models. Typically, such models
have three aspects: the ‘story’, the mathematical model, and a graphical representation.
Scope of Macroeconomics
The scope of macro economics has been explained as under:-
1. Theory of National Income:-Macro economics studies the concept of national income,
its different elements, methods of its measurement and social accounting.
2. Theory of Employment:-It studies the problems of employment and unemployment.
There are different factors which determine employment. They are like effective demand,
aggregate demand, aggregate supply, total consumption, total savings and total
investment etc.
3. Marco Theory of distribution:-There are macro economic theories of distribution.
These theories try to explain how the national output is distributed among the factors of
production.
4. Economic development:-.Economic development is a long run process. In it, we analyze
the problems and theories of development.
5. Theory of International Trade:-It also studies principles determining trade among
different countries. Tariff's protection and free-trade polices fall under foreign trade.
6. Theory of Money: - Changes in demand and supply of money effect level of
employment. Therefore, under macro economics functions of money and theories relating
to money are studied.
7. Theory of Business Fluctuations:-It also deals with the fluctuations in the level of
employment, total expenditure, and general price level.
8. Theory of General Price Level:-A continuous rise in the price level is called inflation. It
distorts production. It increases inequalities in the distribution of income and wealth. The
common man is injured by inflation. Deflation is the opposite of inflation. The general
price level falls continuously. Output and employment levels fall. Macro economics
provides explanation provides explanation for the occurrence of inflation and deflation.
Importance of Macro economics
1. In Economic Policies
Macro Economics is extremely useful from the view point of the fiscal policy. Modern
Governments, particularly, the underdeveloped economies are confronted with innumerable
national problems. They are the problems of over population, inflation, balance of payments,
general under production etc. The main conscientiousness of these governments rests in the
regulation and control of over population, general prices, general volume of commerce, general
productivity etc.
2. In General Unemployment
Redundancy is caused by deficiency of effectual demand. In order eradicate it, effective demand
should be raised by increasing total investment, total productivity, total income and
consumption. Thus, macro economics has special significance in studying the causes, effects and
antidotes of general redundancy.
3. In National Income
The study of macro economics is very significant for evaluating the overall performance of the
economy in terms of national income. This led to the construction of the data on national income.
National income data help in anticipating the level of fiscal activity and to comprehend the
distribution of income among different groups of people in the economy.
4. In Economic Growth
The economics of growth is also a study in macro economics. It is on the basis of macro
economics that the resources and capabilities of an economy are evaluated. Plans for the overall
increase in national income, productivity, employment are framed and executed so as to raise the
level of fiscal development of the economy as a whole.
5. In Multi-dimensional Study
Macroeconomics has a very wide scope and covers multi-dimensional aspects like population,
employment, income, production, distribution, consumption, inflation, etc.
6. In Monetary Problems
It is in terms of macro economics that monetary problems can be analysed and understood
properly. Frequent changes in the value of money, inflation or deflation, affect the economy
adversely. They can be counteracted by adopting monetary, fiscal and direct control measures for
the economy as a whole.
7. In Business Cycle
Moreover, macro economics as an approach to fiscal problems started after the great Depression,
thus its significance falls in analysing the grounds of fiscal variations and in providing remedies.
8. For Understanding the Behaviour of Individual Units
For understanding the performance of individual units, the study of macro economics is
imperative. Demand for individual products depends upon aggregate demand in the economy.
Unless the causes of deficiency in aggregate demand are analysed it is not feasible to understand
fully the grounds for a fall in the demand of individual products. The reasons for increase in
costs of a specific firm or industry cannot be analysed without knowing the average cost
conditions of the whole economy. Thus, the study of individual units is not possible without
macro economics.
9. Helpful in understanding the functioning of an Economy
Modern economy has become a very complex affair. Several economic factors which are inter-
dependent operate in it. To have an understanding of its organization and functioning one cannot
depend on individual unit alone. Study of an economy as a whole, has therefore, become very
essential.
10. Balance of Payment
It explains factors which determine balance of payment. At the same time, it identifies causes of
deficit in balance of payment and suggests remedial measures.
Limitations of Macro Economics
1. Danger of excessive thinking in terms of aggregates: There is danger of executive
thinking in terms of aggregates which are not homogeneous. For example,2apples
+3apples=5 apples is the meaning full aggregate, similarly 2 apples +3 oranges is
meaningful to some extent.
2. Aggregate tendency may not affect all sectors equally: For example, the general
increase in price affects different sections of the community or the different sectors of the
economy differently. The increase in general level of price benefits the producers, but
hurts the consumers.
3. Indicates no change has occurred: The study of aggregates make us believe that no
change has occurred even if there is a change. It indicates that there is no need of new
policy. For example, a 5 percent fall in agricultural price and 5 percent rise in industrial
prices does not affect the price level.
4. Difficulty in the measurement of aggregates: There are at times, difficulties in the
measurement of aggregates. It is difficult to measure the big aggregates. This problem
has now been more or less erased by the use of calculators and the things which are not
homogeneous.
5. The fallacy of composition: The aggregate economic behavior is the sum of individual
behavior. This is called fallacies of composition. What is true in case of an individual
may not be true in the case of economy as whole. For example, individual saving is a
virtue, whereas the public saving is vice. According to K.E. Boulding "These difficulties
are aggregative paradoxes which are true when used to one person, but false when used to
the economy as a whole.
6. It ignores the contribution of Individual Units: Macro economic analysis throws light
only on the functioning of the aggregates. However, in real life, the economic activities
and decision taken by individual units on private- level have their effects on the economy
as a whole. Such effects are not known by the study of macro economics.
7. Limited Application: Another limitation of macro economics is that most of the models
relating to it have only theoretical significance. They have very little use in practical life.
Moreover it is very difficult to measure various aggregates of macro economics.
Macro economic variables:
Macroeconomic variable are generally classified as:
1. Endogenous Variables: These are those whose value is value is determined within the
model. Some typical endogenous variables used in macroeconomic models are national
income, consumption, savings, investment, market interest rate, price level and
employment.
2. Exogenous Variables: These are those that are determined outside the models, e.g.
money supply, tax rates, government expenditures, exchange rates, etc. However
depending on the objective of analysis, endogenous variables are converted into
exogenous variables, and exogenous variables can be endogenised.
Difference between Micro and Macro Economics
Micro Economics
1. Evolution of micro economics took place earlier than macro economics.
2. It deals with an individual's economic behavior.
3. It is a branch of economics, which studies individual economic variables like demand,
supply, price etc.
4. It has a very narrow scope i.e. an individual, a market etc.
5. Demand, supply, market forms etc. relate to micro economics.
6. It is helpful in analysis of an individual economics unit like firm.
7. Theory of demand, theory of production, price determination theory etc., develop from
micro economics.
8. The concepts of micro-economics are independent concepts.
9. These concepts have more theoretical value.
10. The concepts were popularized by the famous Alfred Marshall.
11. Worm’s eye view/ Microscopic view
12. Method of Slicing
13. It is a mortal concept
14. Simple
15. Price Theory
Macro Economics
1. It evolved only after the publication of keynes' book. General theory of employment,
interest and money.
2. It deals with aggregate economic behavior of the people in general.
3. It is a branch of economics which studies aggregate economic variables, like aggregate
demand, aggregate supply, price level etc.
4. It has a very wide scope i.e. a country.
5. Aggregate demand, aggregate supply, national income etc. relate to macro economics.
6. It is helpful for analyzing the level of employment, income, economic growth etc.
7. Theory of national income, theory of employment, theory of money, theory of general
price level etc. develop from macro economics.
8. The concepts of macro economics are interdependent on one another.
9. These concepts have more practical value.
10. The concepts were popularized by the famous Lord J.M. Keynes.
11. Bird’s eye view
12. Method of Lumping
13. It is an immortal concept
14. Complex
15. Income theory
The circular flow diagram divides the economy into two sectors: one concerned with producing
goods and services, and the other with consuming them. Resources are converted into goods and
services by business, and in this transformed state travel back to consumers. Money flows in the
opposite direction. These flows involve two markets in which exchange takes place: the resource
or factor market in which business buys resources, and the goods and services market in which
business sells goods. (Some economists define a "factor of production" as the service of some
resource. If resources are land, labor, and capital, the factors of production are the services of
land, labor, and capital. We will ignore the distinction between resources and factors of
production in the discussion that follows.)
Three Sector Model
It includes household sector, producing sector and government sector. It will study a circular
flow income in these sectors excluding rest of the world i.e. closed economy income. Here flows
from household sector and producing sector to government sector are in the form of taxes. The
income received from the government sector flows to producing and household sector in the
form of payments for government purchases of goods and services as well as payment of
subsides and transfer payments. Every payment has a receipt in response of it by which
aggregate expenditure of an economy becomes identical to aggregate income and makes this
circular flow and unending.
Four Sector Model
A modern monetary economy comprises a network of four sector economy these are-
1.Household sector 2.Firms or Producing sector 3.Government sector 4.Rest of the world sector.
Each of the above sectors receives some payments from the other in lieu of goods and services
which makes a regular flow of goods and physical services. Money facilitates such an exchange
smoothly. A residual of each market comes in capital market as saving which in turn is invested
in firms and government sector. Technically speaking, so long as lending is equal to the
borrowing i.e. leakage is equal to injections, the circular flow will continue indefinitely.
However this job is done by financial institutions in the economy.
Leakages: These are those flow variables which have a negative impact on the process of
production in the economy. These variables reduce the flow of income in the economy; hence
called withdrawals or leakages. These are:
1. Savings
2. Imports
3. Taxes
Injections: These are those flow variables which cause an expansion in the process of
production in the economy. These are:
1. Investment
2. Exports
3. Government expenditure
Basically all these are expenditure variables-expenditure on the goods and services produced in
the economy. These variables affect the economy in two ways:
• Add to production capacity of the economy
• Generate demand for the produced goods and services.
S+T+M=I+G+X
Disposable Income (DI) : The income left after the payment of direct taxes from personal
income is called Disposable Income. Disposable income means actual income which can be
spent on consumption by individuals and families. Thus, it can be expressed as:
DI=PI-Direct Taxes
Per Capita Income (PCI): Per Capita Income of a country is derived by dividing the national
income of the country by the total population of a country. Thus,
To calculate the national income by this method, we need to identify and classify productive
enterprises in three categories:
1. Primary Sector
2. Secondary Sector
3. Tertiary Sector
Primary Sector includes agriculture and allied activities such as animal husbandry fisheries,
forestry, and mining etc. The Secondary Sector includes manufacturing sector which converts the
raw materials into finished products. The Tertiary Sector is the service sector which includes
services such as banking, insurance, transport, communication and trade etc.
After classification, net value added in each sector is calculated in an accounting year. Gross
value added is found by deducting the intermediate consumption from the value of production
generated.
Precautions used in production or value added method
1. The sale and purchase of old goods and included but the commission charges by agents in
their transaction is a part of national income.
2. Imputed value of production for self-consumption is taken into account. Because, these
goods are like those produced for the market.
3. Imputed rent on the owner occupied house is included. Because all houses have rental
value, no matter these are self occupied or rented out.
4. Value of intermediate goods is not included into the estimation of national income.
5. Services for Self-consumption are not considered while estimating value added. Because
it is difficult to estimate their market value like services of housewives.
6. Income from illegal activities is not included in national income.
Income Method
This method is also known as factor cost method. Under this method, national income is
obtained by adding the incomes such as rent, wages, interest and profit received by all persons in
the country during a year. In practice, the income figures are obtainable mostly from income tax
returns, books of accounts and published accounts. To this, net income from foreign trade and
net investment from abroad should be added.
According to income method, the net income payments received by all citizens of a country in a
particular year are added up. The net incomes earned by the factors of production in the form of
rent, wage, interest and profit aggregated but incomes in the form of transfer payments are not
included in the national income.
NDPFC= Compensation of Employees + Operating Surplus + Mixed Income
Components of Income Method
Compensation of Employees: It includes Wages and salaries in cash, Employers contribution to
social security scheme, Pension on retirement, Bonus, Allowances etc.
Operating Surplus: It includes rent and royalty, interest, profit (dividend +corporation tax+
undistributed profits).
Mixed Income: It is the income of the self employed persons such as farmers, shopkeepers,
doctors etc. They generate goods and services with the help of their own land, capital and labour
and thus earn mixed income in the form of interest, profit rent and wages. This income is
included in national income.
In India, this method is used for adding up the net income arising from trade, transport, public
administration, professional and domestic services. Due to lack of popularity of personal
accounting practices, this method cannot be fully used or practiced. This method is used only for
some minor sectors. None of these methods alone will give a more correct figure.
Precautions:
1. All transfer income which does not represent earnings from productive services such as
pension, scholarship, unemployment doles, lottery prize, etc. are not to be included as
they are not earned by participating in the current production.
2. All unpaid services like services of a housewife are to be excluded.
3. All capital gains or loss (buying an old house, or resale of property) should be excluded.
4. Direct tax, revenue to the government should be subtracted from the total income as it is
only transfer of income.
5. Undistributed profits of companies, income from government etc. should be added.
6. Subsidies given by the government should be deducted from profits of the subsidized
industry.
7. Income from sale of second hand goods is not included in national income.
8. Income from sales and purchase of old shares is not included in national income.
Expenditure Method
Expenditure method is the method which measures final expenditure on gross domestic product
at market price during an accounting year. Final expenditure is equal to the gross domestic
product at market price. This is also called “Income Disposal Method”, Consumption and
Investment Method”.
According to the expenditure method, the total expenditure incurred by the society in a particular
year is added together. According to these methods total expenditure equals the national income.
Following items are included in it:
1. Private Final Consumption expenditure
2. Govt. final consumption expenditure
4. Gross domestic capital formation
5. Change in stock
6. Net exports.
1. Private Final Consumption Expenditure
It consists of expenditure on durable goods (e.g., furniture, cars, etc), non-durable goods (e.g.,
food items and toiletries) and services (e.g., hotels, educational institutions, hospitals, public
transport, etc.,) by the household consumers.
The figures of private consumption expenditure may be collected from retail trade activities
during an accounting period.
But the purchases made by non-residents and foreign visitors should be deducted from the final
consumption expenditure in the domestic market whereas direct purchases made by resident
households abroad during foreign travel should be included in consumption expenditure.
2. Government Final Consumption Expenditure
The government final consumption expenditure refers to the final consumption expenditure by
the general government and it can be arrived at by summing up (a) value of net purchases in the
domestic market, (b) net purchases abroad.
3. Gross Fixed Capital Formation
If consists of (a) Business fixed Investment, (b) Govt. Fixed Investment, (c) Investment on
residential construction.
4. Change in Stock as Inventory Investment
Change in stock is the difference between the opening stock and closing stock. All enterprises
and trading companies incur expenditure on stock of raw materials; semi finished goods or
finished goods.
5. Net Exports of Goods and Services
It is the difference between the value of exports and imports of a country during an accounting
period. What the foreigners spend on a country’s exports is the part of expenditure on the Gross
domestic product.
Say’s Law of Market: According to Say’s Law “Supply creates its own demand”, i.e., the very
act of producing goods and services generates an amount of income equal to the value of the
goods produced. Say’s Law can be easily understood under barter system where people produced
(supply) goods to demand other equivalent goods. So, demand must be the same as supply. Say’s
Law is equally applicable in a modern economy. The circular flow of income model suggests this
sort of relationship. For instance, the income created from producing goods would be just
sufficient to demand the goods produced.
Saving-Investment Equality: There is a serious omission in Say’s Law. If the recipients of
income in this simple model save a portion of their income, consumption expenditure will fall
short of total output and supply would no longer create its own demand. Consequently there
would be unsold goods, falling prices, reduction of production, unemployment and falling
incomes.
However, the classical economists ruled out this possibility because they believed that whatever
is saved by households will be invested by firms. That is, investment would occur to fill any
consumption gap caused by savings leakage. Thus, Say’s Law will hold and the level of national
income and employment will remain unaffected.
Wage Flexibility: The classical economists also believed that a decline in product demand
would lead to a fall in the demand for labour resulting in unemployment. However, the wage rate
would also fall and competition among unemployed workers would force them to accept lower
wages rather than remain unemployed. The process will continue until the wage rate falls enough
to clear the labour market. So a new lower equilibrium wage rate will be established. Thus,
involuntary unemployment was logical impossibility in the classical model.
Keyne’s Criticism of Classical Theory:
J.M. Keynes criticized the classical theory on the following grounds:
1. According to Keynes saving is a function of national income and is not affected by changes
in the rate of interest. Thus, saving-investment equality through adjustment in interest rate
is ruled out. So Say’s Law will no longer hold.
2. The labour market is far from perfect because of the existence of trade unions and
government intervention in imposing minimum wages laws. Thus, wages are unlikely to be
flexible. Wages are more inflexible downward than upward. So a fall in demand (when S
exceeds I) will lead to a fall in production as well as a fall in employment.
3. Keynes also argued that even if wages and prices were flexible a free enterprise economy
would not always be able to achieve automatic full employment.
Ca+bY
Induced
Consumption
Consumption ©
Autonomous
Consumption
Income (Y)
Propensity to Consume
Propensity to consume is of two kinds:
• Average Propensity to Consume
• Marginal Propensity to Consume
Average Propensity to consume: APC is the ratio of total consumption to total income. It
is found by dividing the total consumption with total income.
APC= C/Y
Marginal Propensity to consume: MPC is defined as the ratio of change in consumption to
change in change in income. It is found by dividing the change in consumption expenditure with
the change in income.
MPC =∆C/∆Y
Characteristics of MPC
1. It is always positive
2. It is greater than zero and less than utility
3. MPC of the poor class is higher
4. Constant MPC in the long period
5. Falling MPC in the short period
6. MPC can be greater than 1 in abnormal conditions
Saving Function
Saving function may be defined as a schedule showing amounts that will be saved at different
level of income.
S=f(Y)
Saving increases with increase in income and decreases with decrease in income, i.e., saving is
income elastic.
Propensity to Save
Average Propensity to Save: APS is the ratio between total saving (S) and total income (Y) at a
given level of income and employment in the economy.
APS= S/Y
Marginal Propensity to Save: MPS is defined as the ratio of change in consumption to change
in income. It is found by dividing the change in consumption expenditure with the change in
income.
MPS= ∆S/∆Y
1. When consumption is more than income than saving is negative or when consumption
graph is above to income graph than saving is negative.
C>Y, than S becomes -S
2. When consumption becomes equals to income or consumption graph meet to income
graph at that time saving is zero.
C=Y, than S=0
3. When consumption is less than income or consumption graph is below to income than
saving increases and becomes positive.
C<Y, than S becomes +S
Relationship between APC and APS
We know that
APC = C/Y and
APS = S/Y
Y=C+S
Divide both side by Y
Y/Y = C/Y + S/Y
1 = C/Y + S/Y
1 = APC + APS
1 - APC = APS
We know that
MPC = dC/dY and
MPS = dS/dY
Y=C+S
And, dY= dC+dS
Divide both side by dY
dY/dY = dC/dY + dS/dY
1 = dC/dY + dS/dY
1 = MPC + MPS
1 - MPC = MPS
Investment Function
An investment function is a concept or strategy within economics that helps to identify the
connection between shifts in the national income and the investment patterns that take place
within that particular national economy. In this type of situation, a function would be any
variable within the framework of the economy that would motivate investors to change their
typical buying and selling habits as a means of either taking advantage of the economic shift in a
bid to increase their returns or to minimize the amount of loss incurred as a result of that shift. In
weighing variables, the investor will consider the current level of gross domestic product (GDP)
as well as the average interest rates that currently apply within the economy.
The investment function is a summary of the variables that influence the levels of aggregate
investments. It can be formalized as follows:
I=f(r,∆Y,q)
Types of Investment
Different types or kinds of investment are discussed in the following points.
1. Autonomous Investment
Investment which does not change with the changes in income level, is called as Autonomous or
Government Investment. Autonomous Investment remains constant irrespective of income level.
Which means even if the income is low, the autonomous, Investment remains the same. It refers
to the investment made on houses, roads, public buildings and other parts of Infrastructure. The
Government normally makes such a type of investment.
2. Induced Investment
Investment which changes with the changes in the income level, is called as Induced Investment.
Induced Investment is positively related to the income level. That is, at high levels of income
entrepreneurs are induced to invest more and vice-versa. At a high level of income, Consumption
expenditure increases this leads to an increase in investment of capital goods, in order to produce
more consumer goods.
3. Financial Investment
Investment made in buying financial instruments such as new shares, bonds, securities, etc. is
considered as a Financial Investment.
However, the money used for purchasing existing financial instruments such as old bonds, old
shares, etc., cannot be considered as financial investment. It is a mere transfer of a financial asset
from one individual to another. In financial investment, money invested for buying of new shares
and bonds as well as debentures have a positive impact on employment level, production and
economic growth.
4. Real Investment
Investment made in new plant and equipment, construction of public utilities like schools, roads
and railways, etc., is considered as Real Investment.
Real investment in new machine tools, plant and equipments purchased factory buildings, etc.
increases employment, production and economic growth of the nation. Thus real investment has
a direct impact on employment generation, economic growth, etc.
5. Planned Investment
Investment made with a plan in several sectors of the economy with specific objectives is called
as Planned or Intended Investment.
Planned Investment can also be called as Intended Investment because an investor while making
investment, make a concrete plan of his investment.
6. Unplanned Investment
Investment done without any planning is called as an Unplanned or Unintended Investment.
In unplanned type of investment, investors make investment randomly without making any
concrete plans. Hence it can also be called as Unintended Investment. Under this type of
investment, the investor may not consider the specific objectives while making an investment
decision.
7. Gross Investment
Gross Investment means the total amount of money spent for creation of new capital assets like
Plant and Machinery, Factory Building, etc.It is the total expenditure made on new capital assets
in a period.
8. Net Investment
Net Investment is Gross Investment less (minus) Capital Consumption (Depreciation) during a
period of time, usually a year.
It must be noted that a part of the investment is meant for depreciation of the capital asset or for
replacing a worn-out capital asset. Hence it must be deducted to arrive at net investment.
Marginal Efficiency of Capital MEC
The Marginal efficiency of capital displays the expected rate of return from investment, in a
particular given time. The marginal efficiency of capital is compared to the rate of interest.
Keynes described the marginal efficiency of capital as:
"The marginal efficiency of capital is equal to that rate of discount which would make the
present value of the series of annuities given by the returns expected from the capital asset during
its life just equal to its supply price." - J.M.Keynes, General Theory.
This theory suggests investment will be influenced by:
1. The marginal efficiency of capital
2. The interest rates
1. The cost of capital. If capital is cheaper, then investment becomes more attractive. For
example, the development of steel rails made railways cheaper and encouraged more investment.
2. Technological change. If there is an improvement in technology, it can make investment
more worthwhile.
3. Expectations and business confidence. If people are optimistic about the future, they will be
willing to invest because they expect higher profits. In a recession, people may become very
pessimistic, so even lower interest rates don't encourage investment. (e.g. during recession 2008-
12, interest rates were zero, but investment low)
4. Supply of finance. If banks are more willing to lend money investment will be easier.
5. Demand for goods. Higher demand will increase profitability of capital investment.
6. Rate of Taxes. Higher taxes will discourage investment. Sometimes, governments offer tax
breaks to encourage investment.
Determinants of Marginal efficiency Capital
Marginal efficiency of Capital is governed by the expected yield of a capital asset and its supply
price. In technical term the same are called:
Prospective yield:
It is the aggregate net return expected from it during its whole life. In order to determine
prospective yield, annual return of the capital is worked out. Aggregate of annual return expected
from a capital asset over its life-time is called total prospective yield. The remainder, after
deducting cost of production from total revenue earned by the sale of output produced with the
help of capital asset, is called prospective yield. With rise in prices, prospective yield increases
and with the fall in prices, it decreases. Prices are likely to change in the be expressed in terms of
the following equations: Py = Q1 + Q2 + Q3 + Q4 +«««+ Qn (Here Py= Prospective Yield; Q1,
Q2, Q3, Q4 and Qn = net revenue received in the first, second, third, fourth and nth year)
Supply Price :
The other factor influencing M.E.C. of a capital asset is its supply price. The supply price of a
capital asset is the cost of producing a new asset of that kind, not the supply price of an existing
asset. Hence, the supply price of a capital asset is also called Replacement Cost. It remains fixed
in the short period.
MULTIPLIER
The concept of multiplier occupies an important place in Keynesian theory of Income, Output
and Employment. It is an important tool to analyze the effect of the changes in planned
investment on the level of income. The concept of multiplier was first developed y R.F. Kahn a
Cambridge economist in his article.
There are three types of multiplier:
1. Investment Multiplier (Two sector)
2. Balanced Budget Multiplier (Three sector)
3. Foreign Trade Multiplier (Four Sector)
K= 1/1-∆C/∆Y OR
K= 1/1-MPC (∆C/∆Y=MPC) OR
K= 1/MPS (1-MPC=MPS)
Balanced budget multiplier (BBM) is relevant only in a closed economy in which government
expenditure and tax are the important tools in the working of BBM.
Mr Wllich in his article, “Multiplier effect of Balanced Budget” published in Economertrica
explains very clearly that public expenditure covered by taxes had an income generating effect,
independent of numerical value of MPC and MPS.
Working of BBM
The foreign trade multiplier also known as export multiplier operates like the investment
multiplier of Keynes. It may be defined as the amount by which national income of a nation will
be raised by a unit increase in domestic investment on exports. As exports increase there is an
increase in the income of all persons associated with the exports industries. These in turn create
demand for goods. But this is dependent upon their marginal propensity to save (MPS) and
marginal propensity to import (MPM). The smaller these two propensities are, the larger will be
the value of multiplier and vice versa.
In very simple terms we can say that foreign trade multiplier is a concept that states that net
exports (exports minus imports) may magnify the impact on nation's income.
UNIT-3
MONEY: Anything is Money, which is generally acceptable as a medium of exchange, and at
the same time it must act as a measure and a store of value. Anything implies a thing to be used
as money need not be necessarily composed of any precious metal. The only necessary condition
is that, it should be universally accepted by people as a medium of exchange.
Functions of Money
Money performs five important functions:-
1. Medium of exchange: Money acts as a medium of exchange as it's generally accepted. On
the payment of money, purchase of goods and services can be made i.e. goods and services
are exchanged for money. Money bifurcates buying and selling activities separately so it
facilitates the exchange transactions.
2. Measure of value: Money is a common measure of value so it is possible to determine the
rate of exchange between various goods and services purchased by the people. Exchange
value of commodity can be expressed in terms of money. For e.g. we can say that 10 metres
of Cotton Cloth cost $220 dollars or Rs.10,000 rupees only.
3. Store of value: Money acts as a store of value. Money being generally acceptable and its
value being more or less stable, it is ideal for use as a store of value. Being non-perishable
and also comparatively stable in value, the value of other assets can be stored in the form of
money. Property can be sold and its value can be held in money and converted into other
assets as and when necessary.
4. Standard or Deferred payment: Money is also inevitably used as the unit in terms of which
all future or deferred payments are stated. Future transactions can be carried on in terms of
money. The loans, which are taken at present, can be repaid in money in the future. The
value of the future payments is regulated by money.
5. Transfer of value: Value of any asset can be transferred from one person to another or to
any institution or to any place by transferring money. The transfer of money can take place
irrespective of places, time and circumstances. Transfer of purchasing power, which is
necessary in commerce and other transactions, has become available because of money.
Types of Money
4. Paper Money: Paper money consists of currency notes issued by the State Treasury or
the Central Bank of the country. In India, one rupee notes are issued by the Minister of
Finance of the Government of India, while all other currency notes of higher
denominations are issued by the Reserve Bank of India.
5. Credit Money: In modern economic societies, with the development of banking activity,
along with paper money, another form of convertible money has developed in the form of
credit money or bank money. Bank demand deposits, withdrawal by issuing cheques,
have started functioning as money, and cheques are now conventionally accepted as a
mode of payment by the business community in general.
Classical theory:
Classical economist emphasized the transaction demand for money because according to
classical economist money acts as a medium for exchange of goods and services in Fisher’s
equation of Exchange.
MV=PT where
M= The total quantity or supply of money
V= Velocity of money
P= The price level
T= Total amount of goods and services
The right hand side of the equation PT represents the demand for money, which in turn depends
upon the value of transactions to be undertaken in the economy. And MV represents the supply
of money which is given and is in equilibrium equals the demand for money. Thus the equation
becomes.
Md=PT,
Ms=MV
In the end the classical theory of demand for money may be summarized as under:
1. Money acts as a medium of exchange
2. Velocity of money is constant
3. The people hold a constant fraction of their nominal income for transaction and
precaution motives.
4. Quantity of money demanded is directly related to the price levels.
Keynesian Theory:
John M. Keynes explained his liquidity preference theory through his famous book, ‘The
General Theory of Employment, Interest Rates, and Money’ in 1936. He believed that there are
three motives of holding money. They are as follows:
Transactions motive: Money is a medium of exchange, and people hold money to buy stuff. So
as income rises, people have more transactions and people will hold more money.
Precautionary motive: People hold money for emergencies (cash for a tow truck, savings for
unexpected job loss). Since this also depends on the amount of transactions people expect to
make, money demand is again expected to rise with income.
PDM depends upon income level, business activities, availability of cash opportunity for
unexpected profitable deals, the cost of holding liquid assets in bank reserves etc. But the most
important factor affecting PDM is income level.
Speculative motive: Money is also a way for people to store wealth. Keynes assumed that
people stored wealth with either money or bonds. Under the speculative motive, money demand
is negatively related to the interest rate. The speculative motive for holding money relates to the
taking advantage of future market movements or it is the motive of security profits from
knowing better than market what the future will bring forth.
In other words it is the motive of earning profits by sale & purchase of bonds & securities due to
the variations in future rate of interest.
Keynes modeled money demand as the REAL demand for money holding (Real balances) or
M/P.
Interest elasticity of demand for money is negligence: It is only 0.00323. It means change in rate
of interest does not affect much the demand for money.
Income elasticity of demand for money was proved to be very-very high. It is 1.8. It means
change in income brings more than proportionate change in demand for money.
Hence in his analysis money was proved to be a luxury good whose demand increases when
income increases.
The Quantity Theory of money was first developed by Irving Fisher in the inter-war years to
explain the theoretical explanation for the link between money and the general price level. This
is sometimes known as the Fisher identity or the equation of exchange. This is an identity which
relates total aggregate demand to the total value of output (GDP).
MV = PY
Where
M is the money supply
V is the velocity of circulation of money i.e. the no. of times a unit of currency changes hands
P is the general price level
Y is the real value of national output (i.e. real GDP)
Assumptions:
1. Velocity of money is treated to be constant as it is predictable.
2. It is assumed that real value of GDP is not affected by monetary variables.
Hence, assuming V and Y to be constant, changes in supply of money will be equated by
changes in general price level.
We can further modify this relationship by dividing both sides by V:
M = (1/V) x PY
Since V is constant we can replace (1/V) with some constant, k, and when the money market is
in equilibrium, Md = M. So our equation becomes
Md = k x PY
So under the quantity theory of money, money demand is a function of income and does not
depend on interest rates.
Money Supply
Money supply means total amount of money available in an economy. In other words, money
supply refers to the volume of money held by the people in the country for transactions or for
settlement of debts.
Money supply is actually money stock. Supply of money does not include:
i. Stock of the money held by the government
ii. Stock of money held by banking system (Commercial ¢ral bank)
Government & banks are suppliers of money or producers of money. Hence money held by them
is not a part of stock of money held by the people.
Supply of money refers to the stock of money held by the public or those who demand money.
Components of Money supply:
i. Currency component
ii. Deposit component (Commercial and central bank)
M1=Currency with the public +Demand deposits of Banks + Other deposits with RBI
M1= C+DD+OD
M2=Currency with the public + Demand deposits of Banks + Other deposits with RBI+ Saving
Deposits in Post Offices
M2=C+DD+OD+SD or M2=M1+SD
M3=Currency with the public + Demand deposits of Banks + Other Deposits with RBI +Time
Deposits in Banks
M3= C+DD+OD+TD or M3=M1+TD
M4= Currency with the public + Demand deposits of Banks + Other Deposits with RBI +Time
Deposits in Banks+ Saving Deposits in Post Offices
M4=C+DD+OD+SD or M2=M1+SD
INFLATION
It is a steady an upward movement in the level of prices, decreasing purchasing power over a
period of time, usually one year. Inflation can be defined as a continuous increase in the general
price level of goods & services in the economy.
According to Prof. Crowther, Inflation is a state in which the value of money is falling and prices
are rising. According to Prof. Kemmerer, Inflation means too much currency in comparison to
the physical volume of business done. Keynes stated that the rise in the price level after the point
of full employment is true Inflation.
Measures of Inflation
In India, inflation is measured by using WPI (wholesale price Index). An index of several goods
& services is prepared. India’s WPI is a weighted index of 435 commodities; it means price rise
of all commodities will not be treated equally.
Example: The price rise of rice will have more weight-age than a price rise of a car. That is
because rice is consumed by a large number of people as compared to a car.
In USA, UK, China CPI (Consumer price index) is used to measure inflation.
In India, WPI is reported by Labour Bureau, Government of India.
Types of Inflation
Causes of Inflation:
Inflation means there is a sustained increase in the price level. The main causes of inflation are
either excess aggregate demand (economic growth too fast) or cost push factors (Supply side
factors). The main cause of inflation is the increase in the demand of goods and services and at
the same time decrease in the supply of goods and services.
The link between output and inflation suggests that there will be a similar link between inflation
and unemployment, The Phillips curve initially showed a link between money wages and
unemployment, it was then argued an increase in wages would lead to inflation
Factors affecting demand are as under:
i. Taste and preferences
ii. Seasonal demand
iii. Natural calamities
iv. Price of substitute goods
v. Increase in money supply
vi. Increase in consumer spending
vii. Cheap monetary policy
viii. Black Money
ix. Increase in public expenditure
If there is an increase in the costs of firms, then firms will pass this on to consumers. There will
be a shift to the left in the AS.
Cost push inflation can be caused by many factors
2. Import prices
One third of all goods are imported in the UK. If there is a devaluation then import prices will
become more expensive leading to an increase in inflation
5. Declining productivity
If firms become less productive and allow costs to rise, this invariably leads to higher prices.
Effects of Inflation
3. Other measures
a) Expansion of output
b) Encouragement to saving
c) Overvaluation
d) Proper wage policy
e) Indexing
f) Population control
g) Rationing
UNIT-4
Introduction to IS-LM Model
Macro Economic General equilibrium is an integration of money, interest and income through
the product and money markets. The integration is realized through the Hicks-Hansen
diagrammatic framework known as IS-LM Model.
Hicks & Hansen add the effects of interest rates on spending, and thus income and the
dependence of the financial markets on income. Interest rates & income are determined jointly
by equilibrium in the goods & financial markets.
The IS–LM model is a macroeconomic tool that demonstrates the relationship between interest
rates and real output, in the goods and services market and the money market. The intersection of
the IS and LM curves is the "general equilibrium" where there is simultaneous equilibrium in
both markets.
IS curve represents the equality of investment & saving to show the product market equilibrium.
LM curve on the other hand is the expression of the equality of money demand (L) & money
supply (M) & represents the money market equilibrium. The product market equilibrium is also
known as “real sector equilibrium” & the money market equilibrium is also known as “monetary
sector equilibrium”.
Assumption
a) Closed economy
b) No government spending or taxes
c) Consumption & saving are the function of income
d) Investment is a function of rate of interest
I) Y=C+I
C= C(Y)…………(1)
I= I (r)…………...(2)
Y=C(Y) + I(r)……(3)
Saving
Saving
Investment
Income
IS Curve
4 1 I=f(r)
Rate
rate
Income Investment
This IS curve is also a locus of points showing alternate combinations of interest rate & income
at which the commodity market clears. That is why the IS curve is called the commodity market
equilibrium schedule. The IS curve is a graphical representation of the product market
equilibrium condition that planned investment be equal to saving and it shows the level of
income that will yield equality of planned investment & saving at different possible interest
rates.
IS curve thus shows various combinations of interest rates & income at which there is equally
between S & I.
Properties of IS curve
1. Slope of IS curve is negatively sloped because a higher level of interest rate reduces
investment spending, thereby reducing aggregates demand & thus the equilibrium level of
income.
2. Shifts in IS curve
i. If autonomous spending increases, the IS curve will shift to the right.
ii. If saving reduces, the IS curve will shift to the right & vice versa.
iii. If an autonomous investment increases, the IS curve will shift to the right & vice
versa.
Derivation:
Properties of LM curve:
i. The slope of LM curve: The LM curve is positively sloped. This means that an increase
in the interest rate reduces the demand for money.
ii. The Shift of the LM curve: The money supply is held constant along the LM curve. It
follows that a change in the money supply shifts the LM curve.
MONETARY POLICY
Instruments
Monetary Policy means the policy by which the government of a country and the central bank try
to control the supply of the money and the availability of credit in the system , with a view to
achieve economic stability.
1. Quantitative instruments
2. Qualitative instruments.
Qualitative
The qualitative measures do not regulate the total amount of credit created by the commercial
banks. These measures make distinction between good credit and bad credit and regulate only
such credit, which creates economic instability. Therefore, qualitative measures are known as the
selective measures of credit control.
Now-a-days, most of the consumer durables like T.V., Refrigerator, Motorcar, etc. are available
on installment basis financed through bank credit. Such credit made available by commercial
banks for the purchase of consumer durables is known as consumer credit.
If there is excess demand for certain consumer durables leading to their high prices, central bank
can reduce consumer credit by (a) increasing down payment, and (b) reducing the number of
installments of repayment of such credit.
On the other hand, if there is deficient demand for certain specific commodities causing
deflationary situation, central bank can increase consumer credit by (a) reducing down payment
and (b) increasing the number of installments of repayment of such credit.
Moral suasion means persuasion and request. To arrest inflationary situation central bank
pursuades and request the commercial banks to refrain from giving loans for speculative and
non-essential purposes. On the other hand, to counteract deflation central bank pursuades the
commercial banks to extend credit for different purposes.
Central bank also appeals commercial banks to extend their wholehearted co-operation to
achieve the objectives of monetary policy. Being the monetary authority directions of the central
bank are usually followed by commercial banks.
This method is adopted when a commercial bank does not co-operate the central bank in
achieving its desirable objectives. Direct action may take any of the following forms:
Central banks may charge a penal rate of interest over and above the bank rate upon the
defaulting banks;
Central bank may refuse to rediscount the bills of those banks which are not following its
directives;
Central bank may refuse to grant further accommodation to those banks whose borrowings are in
excess of their capital and reserves.
Quantitative instruments
Quantitative instruments broadly include the following:-
1. Bank rate: it is the rate at which the central bank of a country is prepared to give credit to the
commercial banks. Increase in bank rate increases the interest rates, and demand for credit gets
reduced. On the other hand decrease in bank rate lowers the rate of interest and credit becomes
cheap, and demand for credit expands.
2. Open market operations: It refers to purchase and sale of securities in the open market by the
central bank. By selling the securities, central bank reduces the purchasing power of the system.
3. Change in minimum reserve ratio: Minimum reserve ratio refers to the minimum percentage
of a bank total deposit which is required to be kept with the central bank. All the banks have to
keep with the central bank a certain percentage of their deposits in the form of cash reserve ratio
4. Change in liquidity ratio: Every bank is required to maintain a fixed percentage of its assets
in the form of cash or other liquid assets called liquidity ratio. With a view to reducing the flow
of credit, in the market central bank enhances the liquidity ratio. However in case of expansion
of credit liquidity ratio is reduce.
1. Rapid Economic Growth : It is the most important objective of a monetary policy. The
monetary policy can influence economic growth by controlling real interest rate and its
resultant impact on the investment. If the RBI opts for a cheap or easy credit policy by
reducing interest rates, the investment level in the economy can be encouraged. This
increased investment can speed up economic growth. Faster economic growth is possible if
the monetary policy succeeds in maintaining income and price stability.
2. Price Stability: All the economics suffer from inflation and deflation. It can also be called as
Price Instability. Inflation are harmful to the economy. Thus, the monetary policy having an
objective of price stability tries to keep the value of money stable. It helps in reducing the
income and wealth inequalities. When the economy suffers from recession the monetary
policy should be an 'easy money policy' but when there is inflationary situation there should
be a 'dear money policy'.
3. Exchange Rate Stability: Exchange rate is the price of a home currency expressed in terms
of any foreign currency. If this exchange rate is very volatile leading to frequent ups and
downs in the exchange rate, the international community might lose confidence in our
economy. The monetary policy aims at maintaining the relative stability in the exchange rate.
The RBI by altering the foreign exchange reserves tries to influence the demand for foreign
exchange and tries to maintain the exchange rate stability.
4. Balance of Payments (BOP) Equilibrium: Many developing countries like India suffers
from the Disequilibrium in the BOP. The Reserve Bank of India through its monetary policy
tries to maintain equilibrium in the balance of payments. The BOP has two aspects i.e. the
'BOP Surplus' and the 'BOP Deficit'. The former reflects an excess money supply in the
domestic economy, while the later stands for stringency of money. If the monetary policy
succeeds in maintaining monetary equilibrium, then the BOP equilibrium can be achieved.
5. Full Employment: It refers to absence of involuntary unemployment. In simple words 'Full
Employment' stands for a situation in which everybody who wants jobs get jobs. However it
does not mean that there is a Zero unemployment. In that senses the full employment is
never full. Monetary policy can be used for achieving full employment. If the monetary
policy is expansionary then credit supply can be encouraged. It could help in creating more
jobs in different sector of the economy.
6. Neutrality of Money: Economist such as Wicksted, Robertson have always considered
money as a passive factor. According to them, money should play only a role of medium of
exchange and not more than that. Therefore, the monetary policy should regulate the supply
of money. The change in money supply creates monetary disequilibrium. Thus monetary
policy has to regulate the supply of money and neutralize the effect of money expansion.
However this objective of a monetary policy is always criticized on the ground that if money
supply is kept constant then it would be difficult to attain price stability.
7. Equal Income Distribution: Many economists used to justify the role of the fiscal policy is
maintaining economic equality. However in resent years economists have given the opinion
that the monetary policy can help and play a supplementary role in attainting an economic
equality. monetary policy can make special provisions for the neglect supply such as
agriculture, small-scale industries, village industries, etc. and provide them with cheaper
credit for longer term. This can prove fruitful for these sectors to come up. Thus in recent
period, monetary policy can help in reducing economic inequalities among different sections
of society.
FISCAL POLICY
Fiscal Policy refers to the methods employed by the government to influence and monitor the
economy by adjusting taxes and/or public spending. In doing so, the government aims to find a
balance between lowering unemployment and reducing the inflation rate. The main tools of
Fiscal Policy are changes in the composition of taxation and government spending.
Definitions
“By fiscal policy we denote to government actions afflicting its receipts and outlays
which are ordinarily taken as measured by the government’s receipts, its surplus or deficit.”
“A policy under which the government uses its outlay and revenue programmes to
produce desirable effects and avoid undesirable effects on the national earnings, manufacturing
and employment.”
Otto Eckstein defines fiscal policy as “changes in taxes and expenditures which aim at
short run goals of full employment and price level stability.”
Objectives of Fiscal Policy
3. Public Debt
The third instrument of fiscal policy is public debt. Public debt means debt taken by the
government from people or from the governments of other countries. The government has to
take the help of public debt if public expenditure exceeds public revenue. Public debt can be
of two types: Internal and External.
4. Deficit Financing
A public expenditure has to be incurred for economic development. This amount can be
collected only through the public debt, taxation etc. So deficit financing has to be introduced.
When there emerges a deficit due to excess of public expenditure over public revenue, this
deficit is met with either by borrowing from the central bank or by issuing new notes. Deficit
financing can be used to meet government expenditure. It increases aggregate demand.
References:
Books:
1. Dwivedi, D. N., (2005) Macro Economics, McGraw Hill Education.
2. Dr. Kumar Raj, Gupta Kuldip, (2009) Business Economics-II (Macro), UDH publishers
3. Jain T.R., Ohri V.K., (2009) Principal of Macro Economics, VK Publication
4. Agarwal, ((2010)) Macroeconomics Theory and Policy, 1st edition, Pearson Education.
Websites:
1. Www.google.com
2. Www.wikipedia.org
3. www.investopedia.com
4. www.economics.about.com
5. www.preservearticles.com
6. www.studymode.com