The document discusses several studies that have analyzed stock and foreign exchange markets using technical analysis. Some key findings include:
1. Technical analysis tools can be used to predict short-term trends in stocks of Indian companies. Studies found technical trading rules generated profits in foreign exchange markets.
2. Technical analysis indicators help identify important market turning points and signals about stock price behavior. Moving averages and trading ranges can predict stock market index returns.
3. Individual investors who actively trade stocks earn lower returns than buy-and-hold investors in the market. Technical patterns in stock data can be identified using algorithms.
4. Technical trading rules produced profits in Asian stock markets, though their effectiveness varied between more and less established
The document discusses several studies that have analyzed stock and foreign exchange markets using technical analysis. Some key findings include:
1. Technical analysis tools can be used to predict short-term trends in stocks of Indian companies. Studies found technical trading rules generated profits in foreign exchange markets.
2. Technical analysis indicators help identify important market turning points and signals about stock price behavior. Moving averages and trading ranges can predict stock market index returns.
3. Individual investors who actively trade stocks earn lower returns than buy-and-hold investors in the market. Technical patterns in stock data can be identified using algorithms.
4. Technical trading rules produced profits in Asian stock markets, though their effectiveness varied between more and less established
The document discusses several studies that have analyzed stock and foreign exchange markets using technical analysis. Some key findings include:
1. Technical analysis tools can be used to predict short-term trends in stocks of Indian companies. Studies found technical trading rules generated profits in foreign exchange markets.
2. Technical analysis indicators help identify important market turning points and signals about stock price behavior. Moving averages and trading ranges can predict stock market index returns.
3. Individual investors who actively trade stocks earn lower returns than buy-and-hold investors in the market. Technical patterns in stock data can be identified using algorithms.
4. Technical trading rules produced profits in Asian stock markets, though their effectiveness varied between more and less established
The document discusses several studies that have analyzed stock and foreign exchange markets using technical analysis. Some key findings include:
1. Technical analysis tools can be used to predict short-term trends in stocks of Indian companies. Studies found technical trading rules generated profits in foreign exchange markets.
2. Technical analysis indicators help identify important market turning points and signals about stock price behavior. Moving averages and trading ranges can predict stock market index returns.
3. Individual investors who actively trade stocks earn lower returns than buy-and-hold investors in the market. Technical patterns in stock data can be identified using algorithms.
4. Technical trading rules produced profits in Asian stock markets, though their effectiveness varied between more and less established
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1. C.
Boobalan (2014) conducted a study on “TECHNICAL ANALYSIS IN SELECT STOCKS
OF INDIAN COMPANIES,” in which they predicted the future trend of five companies (Wipro, SBIN, GAIL, ONGC, and ITC). The different patterns of stock prices of these companies can be analysed with the right technical analysis tools, and technical analysis is of utmost importance to predict the trend of short. 2. R. Chitra (2011) examined “Technical Analysis on Selected Stocks of the Energy Sector,” concluding that technical analysis is a study of the stock market relating to factors affecting supply and demand of stocks, as well as a tool for determining the intrinsic value of stocks and determining whether they are undervalued or overvalued. Stock market indicators can assist investors in recognising important market turning periods. This is a detailed technical analysis of a few firms that helps to understand the price behaviour of the stocks, the signals they send out, and the important market price turning moments. 3. BRAD M. BARBER and TERRANCE ODEAN (2000) conducted study on “Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” found that individual investors who hold common stocks directly face a significant performance penalty for active trading. Those who trade the most receive a yearly return of 11.4 percent, while the market returns 17.9 percent, according to a study of 66,465 households with accounts at a large discount broker from 1991 to 1996. The average household earns a 16.4 percent annual return on its common stock portfolio, which is skewed toward high-beta, tiny, value equities, and flips over 75 percent of its portfolio annually. 4. H. Bessembinder and K. Chan did a study on “The profitability of technical trading principles in Asian stock markets” in 1995. They have found the regulations to be particularly successful in Malaysia, Thailand, and Taiwan, which are rising economies. In more established markets, such as Hong Kong and Japan, the norms have less explanatory power. On average, mean percentage changes in stock indices on days when the rules issue buy signals outnumber mean percentage changes on days when the rules issue sell signals by 0.095 percent each day, or around 26.8% on an annualised basis in our sample. On average, we estimate “break-even” round-trip transaction costs to be 1.57 percent. 5. Brock, W., J. Lakonishok, and B. LeBaron (1992) conducted a study on "Simple technical trading rules and the stochastic properties of stock returns." This paper uses the Dow Jones Index from 1897 to 1986 to test two of the simplest and most popular trading rules—moving average and trading range break. The use of bootstrap techniques extends standard statistical analysis. Overall, their findings corroborate the technological strategies strongly. 6. Cheol-Ho Park and Scott H. Irwin (2004) did a study titled "The Profitability of Technical Analysis: A Review." The purpose of this paper is to review the evidence on technical analysis profitability. According to the characteristics of testing methodologies, the empirical literature is divided into two groups: "early" and "modern" research. Prior to the 1980s, studies showed that technical trading tactics were profitable in foreign currency and futures markets, but not in stock markets. Technical trading tactics continuously delivered economic profits in a range of speculative markets, according to modern studies, at least until the early 1990s. There are 92 modern studies in total. 7. B. LeBaron, No. 9 (1999). The study “Technical trading rule predictability and foreign exchange intervention” will go over some of this evidence and analyse the economic impact of predictability. The profitability of these trading rules will next be examined in relation to central bank activities using Federal Reserve intervention data. The goal is to see how much foreign exchange predictability can be limited to times when central banks are active in the foreign exchange market. The findings show that omitting periods when the Federal Reserve is active reduces exchange rate predictability significantly. 8. Kavajecz and Odders-White (2004) demonstrate that support and resistance levels on the limit order book 1 coincide with depth peaks, and moving average forecasts offer information about the relative location of depth on the book They further illustrate that these relationships are the result of technical rules for locating depth on the limit order book that are already in existence. 9. R. Levich, L. Thomas, (1993). They give new data on the profitability and statistical relevance of technical trading rules in the foreign currency market in “The Signiicance of Technical Trading Rule Proits in the Foreign Exchange Market: A Bootstrap Approach.” They use a new data set, currency futures contracts for the period 1976– 1990, and a new bootstrap methodology-based testing approach. Our findings reveal that simple technical trading rules have frequently resulted in substantially unexpected profits. 10. Andrew Lo, Harry Mamaysky, and Jiang Wang (2000). They present a systematic and automatic approach to technical pattern recognition using nonparametric kernel regression in “Foundations of Technical Analysis,” and they use this method to evaluate the effectiveness of technical analysis on a large number of U.S. equities from 1962 to 1996. They find that over the 31-year sample period, several technical indicators do provide incremental information and may have some practical value by comparing the unconditional empirical distribution of daily stock returns to the conditional distribution—conditioned on specific technical indicators such as head- and-shoulders or double bottoms. 11. LUI, Y.H., D. MOLE (1998). “The use of fundamental and technical analyses by foreign exchange dealers: Hong Kong evidence” According to their findings, more than 85% of respondents use both fundamental and technical analysis to forecast future rate movements across various time frames. There is a skew toward dependence on technical analysis over fundamental analysis at shorter horizons, but as the length of the horizon analysed is expanded, the skew gradually reverses. 12. Neely, C. J., Weller, P. (1998). “Technical training rules in the EMS” Over the out-of- sample period 1986–1996, they discover trading strategies that provide considerable excess returns for three of four EMS exchange rates. It was crucial to allow the rules to use knowledge about the interest rate differential. The reduction in volatility caused by the imposition of a smaller band may reduce the profitability of trading rules. 13. Osler, C.L. (2000). "Support for Resistance: Technical Analysis and Intraday Exchange Rates," article conducts such an investigation utilising support and resistance levels offered to consumers by six foreign exchange providers. The author provides compelling evidence that the levels aid in the prediction of intraday trend interruptions. However, the predictive value of the levels varies depending on the exchange rates and enterprises studied. 14. Mr. Krishnat H. Chougale, No. 15 (2019). “A Technical Analysis Study of Moving Averages of Selected Stocks in the Banking Sector,” The study uses technical analysis to examine the moving average of shares in the banking sector. Technical analysis identifies turning moments and predicts when to purchase and sell a company. This study uses technical analysis to determine which bank performs better than others based on price fluctuations. 15. Nti, I. K., Adekoya, A. F., & Weyori, B. A. (2020).” A systematic review of fundamental and technical analysis of stock market predictions” This study intended to conduct a systematic and critical analysis of approximately 122 (122) relevant research publications published in academic journals in the area of stock market prediction using machine learning over an 11-year period (2007–2018). The different methodologies discovered in these publications were divided into three categories: technical, fundamental, and combined analysis. 16. H. Mizuno, M. Kosaka, H. Yajima, and N. Komoda (1998). “Application of neural networks to stock market prediction technical analysis.” The study provides a neural network model for stock market technical analysis and its application to a stock index purchasing and selling timing prediction system. When the amount of learning samples is unequally distributed among categories, the neural network with normal learning has the problem of only improving the prediction accuracy of the most prominent category. 17. Wang, J. L., & Chan, S. H. (2007). “Stock market trading rule discovery using pattern recognition and technical analysis” For the Nasdaq Composite Index (NASDAQ) and Taiwan Weighted Index, this study investigates the potential profit of bull flag technical trading rules using a template matching technique based on pattern recognition (TWI). This study conducted a series of tests to assess the efficiency of the proposed strategy in reducing measurement error owing to data snooping. 18. Lui and Mole (1998) report the results of a questionnaire survey on the use of basic and technical analyses by foreign exchange dealers in Hong Kong, conducted in February 1995. they discovered that more than 85% of respondents use both methodologies, with technical analysis being more common over shorter time periods. The purpose of this study is to do technical analysis on the securities of selected firms on the Indian stock market. 19. Sehgal, S., & Gupta, M. (2007). “Tests of technical analysis in India.” the study evaluates the practicality of technical analysis in the Indian stock market is assessed in this study. On a net return basis, it shows that technical indicators do not beat the Simple Buy and Hold strategy for individual equities. During market upturns, technical indicators appear to perform better than during market downturns. Technical trading tactics, on the other hand, are not practical in comparison to passive trading strategies, regardless of market cycle conditions. Technical indicators, like those based on the economy, do not produce an economically significant profit for industry. 20. Felde, C. “The profitability of technical analysis in a high frequency setting and its dependency on volatility.” This report examines research on trading methods based on technical analysis. It then investigates why this should be done with high-frequency US equity data. To do so, the theoretical grounds for technical analysis are first investigated. Finally, a set of procedures for technical analysis testing is given. 21. Blume, L., Easley, D., & O'hara, M. (1994).” Market statistics and technical analysis: The role of volume” They look into the informational value of volume and how it may be used in technical analysis. They come up with a new equilibrium model in which the total supply is fixed and traders receive signals of varying quality. They demonstrate that volume provides information about information quality that is unavailable from the price statistic. They highlight how volume, information precision, and price changes are related, as well as how volume and price sequences might be useful. 22. Treynor, J. L., & Ferguson, R. (1985).” In defense of technical analysis” They computed the probability distribution of the date on which the market receives information already in the hands of the investor using a simple model of information propagation in “In Defense of Technical Analysis.” It is then demonstrated how this probability distribution might be applied to portfolio management. 23. Taylor, M. P., & Allen, H. (1992). “The use of technical analysis in the foreign exchange market.” The results of a questionnaire survey performed on behalf of the Bank of England among key foreign exchange dealers in London in November 1988 are reported in this document. Among other findings, it was discovered that at least 90% of respondents give this type of non-fundamental study considerable weight when formulating opinions over one or more time horizons. 24. Macchiarulo, A. (2018). “Predicting and beating the stock market with machine learning and technical analysis.” The research investigates whether machine learning or technical analysis produces the best stock market predictions and, as a result, the best returns. The study uses ten years of historical data to anticipate the future using machine learning and technical analysis methodologies. The research puts the major findings into trading methods to beat the S&P 500 index after the prediction stage. 25. Hejase, A. J., Srour, R. M., Hejase, H. J., & Younis, J. (2017). “Technical analysis: exploring MACD in the Lebanese stock market.” This study examines the impact of technical analysis on the Lebanese stock markets by examining how the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) oscillator may be used to maximise profits in the Lebanese stock market during the trading process. 26. Chong, T. T. L., & Ng, W. K. (2008). “Technical analysis and the London stock exchange: testing the MACD and RSI” The Moving Average Convergence–Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are two oscillators examined in this article to discover if they are profitable. The RSI and MACD guidelines can provide larger returns than the buy-and-hold strategy in most situations, according to 60-year data from the London Stock Exchange FT30 Index. 27. Chong, T. T. L., Ng, W. K., & Liew, V. K. S. (2014). “Revisiting the Performance of MACD and RSI Oscillators.” They discovered that the Moving Average Convergence– Divergence (MACD) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) criteria on the London Stock Exchange can create excess returns. The performance of the two trading rules in the stock markets of five other OECD nations is revisited in this article. In the Milan Commit General and the S&P/TSX Composite Index, the MACD (12, 26, and 0) and RSI (21, 50) criteria routinely create considerable anomalous returns. 28. Du Plessis, A. W. (2012). “The Effectiveness of a Technical Analysis strategy versus a Buy-and_hold strategy on the FTSE/JSE Top 40 Index shares of the JSE Ltd: The case of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence Indicator” The Fundamental Analysis strategy (buy and hold) is one, while the Technical Analysis strategy (sell and hold) is the other (MACD). The Buy-and-Hold investment strategy was determined to be more effective than the MACD investing approach within the restrictions of this study. 29. Gehring, T., & Menkhoff, L. (2003). “Technical analysis in foreign exchange-the workhorse gains further ground” By incorporating flow analysis as a third mode of information generation, this study adds to previous survey studies on the usage of technical analysis. The study also includes FX dealers and up-and-coming fund managers. Technical analysis has become increasingly popular throughout time, and it is presently the most widely used type of analysis. 30. Huang, B., & Kim, Y. S. (2006).”A test of MACD trading strategy” They discovered that by making the parameter settings for the regular MACDR2 trading strategy more flexible, we can construct a highly powerful tool that beats, or at least equals, the performance of the standard long or short MACD trading strategy. Out-of-sample testing allow us to assess the effectiveness of a momentum trading strategy in a more realistic context. They confirmed that if trading costs are neglected, MACD trading can outperform buy-and-hold on the NASDAQ, TSX, HSI, KOSPI, and TWSE.