Notes - Quantitative Techniques
Notes - Quantitative Techniques
INTRODUCTION
Once the first stage of the capital budgeting methodology (covered in the previous chapter) has linked
capital projects with an enterprise's vision and strategy, and estimated the quantity and timing of cash
flows, the data are subjected to financial analysis. Using financial analysis methods (the second stage of
the capital budgeting methodology), managers evaluate and compare alternative projects included in the
Capital Projects Portfolio Statement. Such candidate capital projects will usually differ in the amount of
initial investment required, terms of useful life, amount and timing of cash flows, salvage value, and cost
of capital.
Two types of capital budgeting financial analysis methods are covered in this chapter:
• Discounted cash flow methods
• Nondiscounted cash flow methods.
Discuss the dis- THE COST OF CAPITAL AND THE DISCOUNT RATE
counted cash flow
methods, and Most authorities lean toward some type of weighted-average cost of capital, which is viewed as a pool of
explain the net capital investment funds that come from debt and equity sources. The correct weighted-average cost of
present value
(NPV), internal rate capital is the one that reflects an enterprise's expected financing costs for its desired long-term capital
of return (IRR), and structure mix. Under this approach, the weighted-average cost of capital reflects market conditions for
present value index securing incremental financing and enables an enterprise to evaluate its capital structure based on future
(PVI) methods.
events. New projects being evaluated must earn a rate of return equal to or higher than the marginal cost of
capital in order to maintain or increase the value of an enterprise. Alternatively, weighted-average cost of
capital based on historical capital sourcing values may not be relevant to future sources of investment
funds.
Given a mix of debt, preferred stock, common stock, retained earnings, and recovered capital, a weighted-
average cost of capital can be calculated. To do this, the cost of raising a dollar from each source in the
capital investment pool is estimated and weighted according to its proportion in the mix.
To measure the cost of debt, the effective rate of interest that would have to be paid to acquire capital from
new debt is used. The effective interest rate should be net of income taxes because interest is deductible for
tax purposes.
Preferred stock usually has a contractual dividend rate. Consequently, this rate can be used to determine
the effective cost of acquiring additional capital from the issuance of preferred stock. Unlike interest on
debt, however, dividends are not deductible for income tax purposes. Thus, the effective rate is the annual
contractual dividend per share divided by the estimated future share price.
The most troublesome aspect of calculating cost of capital is determining the cost of the common equity
component of capital. Authorities do not agree on how this should be done. Some argue that the proper rate
is the expected earnings per share divided by the current market value of the stock. Others contend that the
cost of common equity funds is a function of expected dividends and expected share price. This theory
must allow for an expected growth in dividend payments.
For capital resulting from retained earnings and capital recoveries (from depreciation), it must be recog-
nized that shareholders do not pay income tax on undistributed assets. Presumably, shareholders would be
willing to accept a smaller return on this source of capital than on common stock.
Exhibit 23-1 illustrates the cost of capital calculations for Cyberlink Corporation using a traditional inter-
nally-focussed method. There are other ways to compute the WACC that you will learn in your finance
classes. The interest rate on debt is expected to be 10 percent, and debt is 20 percent of the sources of capi-
tal funds. Cyberlink's income tax rate is expected to be 40 percent over the next number of years. Preferred
stock contributes up to 10 percent of capital funds, and its effective rate is expected to be 12 percent. Com-
mon stock comprises 40 percent of capital funds at an estimated future cost of 18 percent. Retained earn-
ings and recovered capital provide 30 percent of capital funds at an estimated future cost of 16 percent.
Based on the computations in the exhibit, Cyberlink's expected weighted-average cost of capital is 14.4
percent. This means that it will cost Cyberlink an average of 15 percent (rounded up) of each dollar annu-
ally to finance capital projects.
A discount rate, also referred to as a hurdle rate, should, in most cases, equal or exceed the enterprise's
cost of capital. In other words, the discount rate is the required rate of return.
Some managers set the discount rate higher than the cost of capital because they recognize that indirect
costs sometimes increase as the enterprise expands. Also, some capital projects are riskier than others
because their outcome is more difficult to estimate. Managers will need some type of counterbalance or
cushion for accepting the riskier alternatives. This cushion frequently takes the form of a higher discount
rate. For example, in the case of Cyberlink, the discount rate for a low-risk project may be set at 12 percent
(less than the cost of capital); for a moderate-risk project, 15 percent; for an average-risk project, 16 per-
cent; for a high-risk project, 20 percent; and for a super high-risk project, 30 percent or more. Because of
the compounding nature of discounted cash flow methods, this method of adjusting for risk implicitly
assumes that risk increases over time.
Managers exercise a significant amount of subjectivity in choosing the amount by which the discount rate
will be increased to account for risk. In any capital budgeting decision, the estimation of costs, benefits,
and cash flows, as well as risk, will always involve subjectivity. As the previous chapter pointed out, man-
agers may also allow for risk in their estimates of feasibility factors and the amount and timing of cash
flows. For example, the technology feasibility factor of a state-of-the-art capital project may be purposely
weighted lower than a capital project involving traditional technology with which the organization is
familiar. Or, the estimated future cash inflows of a risky project may be systematically reduced.
Another reason for raising the discount rate is the shareholder short-term mindset for quick returns. Amer-
ican managers often feel pressure from fidgety shareholders to recoup investments fast. At public compa-
nies, the average holding period for stocks is two years. Consequently, the discount rates used to evaluate
projects are higher than in other countries and much higher than their cost of capital. Higher discount rates
do not encourage managers to make long-term capital investments.
DETERMINING THE PRESENT VALUE OF UNEQUAL CASH FLOWS USING A DISCOUNT
RATE. The Present Value of One Dollar Table, or a calculator, can be used to determine the present value
of some lump-sum amount of cash in the future. Using a table, the discount rates are shown at the top of
the table, while the number of periods appear at the left. You may have seen this in an introductory class.
The value at which a discount rate and a number of periods intersect is the present value factor. For exam-
ple, the value of $1.00 received three years from now at a discount rate of 14 percent is $0.675, or a pres-
ent value factor of 0.675. To determine the present value of $1,750 received three years from now at a
discount rate of 14 percent, the following calculation is performed:
Present value = $1,750 x .675 = $1,181.25
To find the present value of two unequal cash inflows of $1,000 and $3,000 occurring in years 1 and 2,
respectively, and discounted at 12 percent, the following computations are performed:
Year Cash Inflows Present Value Factor (12%) Present Value
1 $1,000 .893 $ 893
2 3,000 .797 2,391
Total present value $3,284
DETERMINING THE PRESENT VALUE OF EQUAL CASH FLOWS. Some-times cash flows
occur in equal amounts per period; this is termed an annuity. In an ordinary annuity, the series of cash
inflows occur at the end of the periods. If a capital project generates $2,000 of annual cash inflows for four
years at a discount rate of 10 percent, then the present value of this annuity is $6,340 ($2,000 annuity x
3.170 present value factor).
Please refer to any PV tables, or any financial calculator. Each calculator is different and you need to prac-
tice with the one you have.
The values in the Present Value of an Ordinary Annuity of One Dollar Table are cumulative values from
the Present Value of One Dollar Table. For example, the $2,000 annuity is handled as if it were a series of
unequal amounts as follows:
The $2 difference between the amount computed by the factor in the Present Value of an Ordinary Annu-
ity of One Dollar Table ($6,340 = $2,000 x 3.170) and the amount computed by the sum of present value
factors in the Present Value of One Dollar Table ($6,338 = $2,000 x each present value factor) is due to
rounding. Both tables assume that cash inflows occur at the end of the year. The phrase an annuity due
means the payment happens at the beginning of the year.
According to the analysis, Tahoe Ski Lodge should purchase the new ski lift because it generates a net
present value of $42,880 ($542,880 total present value of cash inflows - $500,000 initial investment, which
is more than the desired 16 percent rate of return). In other words, Tahoe could spend up to $542,880 for
the new ski lift chase the new ski lift and still obtain the 16 percent rate of return it desires. The net present
value of $42,880, therefore, provides a “cushion” or “margin of error” for the company in estimating the
benefits of the new project.
The present value index (PVI) method, also termed the profitability index (PI) and cost/benefit ratio,
measures the ratio of the present value of cash inflows to the present value of cash outflows. The index will
equal 1.0 when the present value of cash inflows equals the present value of cash outflows. A PVI of 1.30
indicates that for every dollar of present value invested in the project, the enterprise will receive cash
inflows with a present value of $1.30. The higher a project's PVI, the more profitable that project is per
investment dollar. The case about Maxximum Corporation on the following pages uses the PVI in ranking
two projects.
INSIGHTS & APPLICATIONS From the 16 percent column for five periods in
Exhibit 23-3, the discount factor is 3.274.The
Tahoe Ski Lodge's NPV Analysis of a Project with annuity of $160,000 annually is discounted to its
Equal Net Cash Inflows and a Residual Value present value of $523,840 ($160,000 annual cash
inflow x 3.274 discount factor). The residual
Tahoe Ski Lodge is considering acquiring a new value of $40,000 is another form of cash inflow
ski lift that will cost $500,000. The ski lift will that must be discounted to its present value and
last five years, and at the end of the five-year added to the present value of the project. The
period, will have a $40,000 residual value. Use of $40,000 must be discounted as a single amount,
the ski lift will increase cash inflows by $160,000 not as an annuity, because it will be received only
per year. Management at Tahoe requires a 16 per- at the end of the ski lift's useful life when it is
cent target rate before taxes on all investment sold. Therefore, the discount factor is found in the
projects. Management also requires that capital 16 percent column for five periods in Exhibit 23-
budgeting decisions be based on NPV analy- 2. The resulting discount factor is .476. The resid-
sis.These cash inflows represent a stream of peri- ual value of $40,000 is multiplied by .476, giving
odic amounts that can be referred to as an annuity. a present value of $19,040. This present value is
The present value of an annuity is calculated by added to the present value of the $160,000 annu-
multiplying the periodic amount ($160,000 annu- ity, giving a total present value of $542,880
ally in this case) by the present value of an annu- ($523,840 present value of five periodic cash
ity of $1 for five periods discounted at 16 percent. inflows of $160,000 + $19,040 present value of
residual value of $40,000, both discounted at 16
percent). A summary of this analysis follows:
Ski Lift Project Present Value factor Cash inflows Present Value Of Cash
(16%) Inflows
Present value of equal cash 3.274 X
$160,000 per year = $523,840
inflows
Present value of residual value .476 X 40,000 = 19,040
Present value of the project's total cash inflows $542,880
Cash outflow (initial invest- <500,000>
ment)
NPV of project $ 42,880
As the preceding analysis shows, if capital projects being compared involve different dollar amounts of
investment, the project with a greater NPV may not be the more attractive project financially if it also
requires a larger investment. For example, an NPV of $5,000 on an investment of $200,000 is not as finan-
cially attractive as an NPV of $4,000 on an investment of $50,000, provided that the $150,000 difference
in investments can be used to realize an NPV of at least $1,001 in other projects. In this case, the PVI
should be used rather than the NPV dollar figure.
Exhibit 23-4 illustrates how the PVI is used to rank projects. All capital projects will generate a positive
NPV except Project E, which is rejected without further analysis. Investment in the other four projects
requires a total of $65,000, but only $55,000 of investment funds are available. Which capital projects
should be selected? Using the PVI, the projects should be ranked in descending order and funded as shown
in the exhibit. Project D, with the highest PVI of 1.4, is funded first, followed by Project C and Project A.
After these projects are funded, no funds remain and, consequently, Project B is not funded. By funding
these projects, the enterprise achieves a total NPV of $15,000 ($12,000 NPV of D + $1,000 NPV of C +
$2,000 NPV of A + $0 NPV of B). A greater total NPV is not possible given the limited funds available.
The PVI yields the return per investment dollar, and the greater the PVI, the greater the return per dollar
invested. Therefore, selecting the projects with the highest PVI maximizes the NPV.
INSIGHTS & APPLICATIONS The machine has an estimated useful life of four
years and has zero salvage value. Euclid's hurdle
Euclid's Use of the IRR Method rate is 12 percent in the following computations, a
16 percent IRR is tried first. The present value of
Euclid is considering the purchase of a machine the cash inflows at 16 percent is $16,320 larger
for $200,000 that will reduce production costs by than the investment ($216,320 - $200,000). There-
$50,000, $80,000, $100,000, and $90,000 during fore, the IRR is larger than 16 percent. Next, an 18
year 1, year 2, year 3, and year 4, respectively. percent IRR is tried.
The results show that the 18 percent rate is An approximation of the present value factor
still too low. With a 20 percent IRR, the pres- is calculated as follows:
ent value is $1,550 less than the investment
($200,000 - $198,450). Thus, the true IRR is
between 18 and 20 percent. By interpolating, IRR factor = $335,000 / 100,000
the exact rate is 19.64 percent. The IRR of = 3.350
19.64 percent is much larger than the 12 per- Looking at the table in Exhibit 23-3 for five
cent desired rate of return, or hurdle rate. So, years, the present value for 14 percent is
the proposed investment is very attractive. 3.433, and the factor for 16 percent is 3.274.
Euclid is also considering another capital Thus, the IRR with a factor of 3.350 would be
project of $335,000 that provides uniform very close to 15 percent.
cash inflows of $100,000 for five years with
zero salvage value.
Maxximum manufactures truck parts. Management is Machine B is preferable under the NPV method. The
considering two new computer-controlled machining PVI for machine A is:
devices with the following present value of cash
flows: ($5,000 + 6,000 + $3,000) / $10,000 = 1.4
2 6,000 15,000
3 3,000 7,000 Machine A, however, is preferable under the PVI
method.The PVI indicates that although machine B
has the larger excess of present value over the amount
to be invested, it is not as desirable as machine A in
terms of the amount of present value per dollar
invested.
When investment funds are unlimited, the project with the greatest NPV is selected from a set of mutually
exclusive projects. When investment funds are limited, selecting a project in this manner may not produce
the greatest total NPV.
Exhibit 23-5 illustrates a situation in which managers are evaluating Projects 1, 2, and 3. Projects 1 and 2
are mutually exclusive. Both are uninterruptible power supply systems for the company's computer sys-
tem. Project 3 is a truck, which is an independent project.
If unlimited funds were available, management would select Project 2 over Project 1 and also invest in
Project 3. If only $90,000 of investment funds were available, management would have two choices. It
could invest all its funds in Project 2 with an NPV of $40,000, or it could invest in Projects 1 and 3, which
have a combined NPV of $45,000. Investing in Projects 1 and 3 is the better choice.
It is also interesting to note that if the PVI had been used, Project 2 would have been selected, with a PVI
of 1.44 compared to a PVI of 1.42 for Project 1. Clearly, this is not the wiser choice because the remaining
$30,000 can be put to better use. Therefore, if investments are mutually exclusive, the NPV method may
be a better approach to ranking projects. The PVI indicates the best return per dollar invested, but does not
consider the alternative possibilities of unused funds.
Can a conclusion be drawn about ranking mutually exclusive projects? The problem with mutually exclu-
sive projects is that they may rank differently with each of the discounted cash flow methods. One project
may have the highest NPV, another the highest PVI, while another has the highest IRR. In most situations,
however, the NPV is preferable to either the IRR or the PVI for ranking mutually exclusive projects.
projects are $0.79 [($2.00 x 0.893) - $1.00] and $33,950 [($150,000 x 0.893) - $100,000], respectively.
Selecting the first project based on the IRR criterion would lead to a return of $0.79 instead of $33,950.
Therefore, the NPV is the better criterion when choosing between mutually exclusive projects. As the
example shows, a manager concerned with the greatest absolute profitability should choose the project
with the greatest NPV, not the largest IRR. The IRR is a percentage measure of profitability, while the
NPV is an absolute measure.
Exhibit 23-3 Required Investment for Two Mutually Exclusive
Projects and One Independent Project
Generally, managers are more comfortable with the IRR method, though, because its results are in per-
centage terms. For example, a manager can say that a 20 percent IRR is desirable because it exceeds a hur-
dle rate of 15 percent and that a 5 percent IRR is undesirable. On the other hand, an NPV of $50,000 may
not be as easy to interpret with respect to a desired discount rate.
The discount rate is the rate used to determine the NPV. If the NPV is zero, the discount rate equals the
IRR. If the NPV is positive, the IRR is greater than the discount rate. If the NPV is negative, the IRR is
less than the discount rate.
The NPV method assumes that cash inflows will be reinvested at the discount rate, while the IRR method
assumes that the cash inflows will be reinvested at the rate earned by the project; that is, at the internal rate
of return. If the project's cash inflows are not reinvested at the IRR, the ranking calculations obtained from
the IRR method may be in error. In many situations, the NPV method may give more reasonable results
because the reinvestment is assumed to be the cost of capital, a more likely scenario.
Under certain conditions, the NPV method indicates that a certain alternative has the highest NPV and
therefore should be selected while the IRR method indicates another project is better because it produces
the highest return. Such a situation occurs because the two methods make different assumptions about the
reinvestment of cash inflows.
Two mutually exclusive capital projects are compared in Exhibit 23-6. The discount rate is 12 percent.
Project A generates the higher NPV, and Project B produces a larger IRR. The NPV method assumes that
cash inflows from Project B will be reinvested to earn 12 percent, the discount rate. Alternatively, the IRR
method assumes that the cash inflows generated by Project B will be reinvested to earn 22.90 percent. If
this is true, then Project B is the better alternative. Finding new capital projects that yield such high rates
of return would be extremely difficult, however.
The problem arises because Projects A and B have unequal useful lives and cash inflows. One approach to
resolving the problem of unequal project lives is to replace Project B at the end of two years with another
project that covers the estimated useful life of Project A so there is a common termination date.
Nondiscounted cash flow methods include the following: Discuss the nondis-
counted cash flow
• Payback period method methods, which are
• Accounting rate of return method the payback period
(PP) method and
These methods ignore the time value of money and, therefore, do not use any present value techniques. the accounting rate
of return (ARR)
Because they ignore the time value of money, many accountants consider these methods to be inferior to method.
the discounted cash flow methods. Nevertheless, the payback period and accounting rate of return meth-
ods should still be studied for two reasons:
Many organizations use these methods. Even in organizations where the use of discounted cash flow
methods has increased, nondiscounted cash flow methods are also used in conjunction with them.
Exhibit 23-4 Comparing NPV and IRR When Mutually Exclusive Projects Are Involved
Project A Project B
year Cash Present Value factor Present value Year Cash Present Value factor Present
Inflows (12%) inflows (12%) value
The internal rates of return for Projects A and B are calculated as fol-
lows:
Project A
20% 22%
Year Cash Present Present Present Present
inflows value factor value value factor value
1 $2,000 .833 $1,666 .820 $1,640
2 3,000 .694 2,082 .672 2,016
3 5,000 .579 2,895 .551 2,755
4 1,000 .482 482 .451 451
$7,125 $6,862
Project B
22% 24%
Year Cash inflows Present Present value Present value factor Present
value factor value
1 $6,000 .820 $4,920 .806 $4,836
2 3,200 .672 2,150 .650 2,080
$7,070 $6,916
Present value at 22% $7,070 $7,070
Present value at 24% 6,916
Present value of investment 7,000
Difference $ 154 $ 70
Thus far, this chapter has provided basic treatment of discounted and non-discounted cash flow methods. Describe the impact
This section builds on the NPV method by incorporating the following additional considerations: of income taxes,
purchasing versus
leasing, and infla-
tion on capital bud-
geting financial
analysis.
• Income taxes
• Purchasing versus leasing
• Inflation
INSIGHTS & APPLICATIONS The machine will have zero salvage value after
the five years, and all revenues earned within a
Cascade Industries Application of the ARR year are collected in that year. The total cash
Method using the Original Investment inflow for the five years is $210,000, making the
average cash inflow $42,000 ($210,000 / 5 years).
A drilling machine requires an initial outlay of Average depreciation is $20,000 ($100,000 / 5
$100,000. The life of the project is five years with years). The average net income is $22,000
the following cash inflows: $40,000, $50,000, ($42,000 - $20,000). Using the average net
$50,000, $40,000, $30,000. income and original investment, the ARR is 22
percent ($22,000 / $100,000). If the average
investments used instead of the original invest-
ment, the ARR is 44 percent ($22,000 / $50,000).
CHOOSING DEPRECIATION METHODS. Since the purpose of taxes is to collect money, the
national governments can develop almost any system they want. In most systems there is some attempt to
make things easy on the taxpayer since the less costly the tax system, the more taxes that can be collected.
The US system is a good example of one that is half-way between a financial accounting-type system and
the completely tax centered Canadian version mentioned above. Basically the US system has been slowly
changing over to a more arbitrary, but much (much, much) cheaper to run system based on having the gov-
ernment allow only preset amounts for any asset based on assignment of assets to a very small number of
categories. So, individual asset lives do not need to be assessed (or, audited!). In the following section you
will see an example of the US version of such a mixed system.
Current US tax laws require that the modified accelerated cost recovery system (MACRS) be used for tax
depreciation purposes. MACRS specifies the amount allowable each year as a depreciation deduction
(called “capital recovery” under MACRS). Estimates of future salvage values are ignored under MACRS.
Any salvage or disposal price of the project is taxed at the same rate as ordinary income at the time of the
sale.
As shown in Exhibit 23-8, eight different recovery periods are possible. These recovery periods do not
necessarily reflect the estimated useful life of the assets included in each category. MACRS offers compa-
nies the option of using straight-line depreciation (called the alternative depreciation system, or ADS)
within any recovery period class.
In reality, a lease is just a substitute for a loan. Each lease payment implicitly contains a repayment of a
portion of the loan and an interest charge.
For example, Protex Manufacturing has decided to acquire a computer numerical control machine with a
five-year life at a purchase price of $500,000. Alternatively, the machine can be leased for $140,000 per
year. The project has been accepted from previous NPV analysis. Now the optimal financing strategy-
lease or purchase-must be determined. Protex can negotiate a loan at Central Bank for 10 percent. With a
marginal tax rate of 40 percent, this loan has an aftertax cost of 6 percent [.10 x (1 - .40)]. Why discount
cash flows at 6 percent rather than at Protex's discount rate, which would probably be higher than 6 per-
cent? The company would use the 6 percent rather than the discount rate because investment decisions
(which either accept or reject projects for implementation) and financing decisions are separate. Discount
rates based on weighted-average cost of capital apply to investment decisions but not to financing deci-
sions. The incremental cost of debt is the basic rate for discounting in financing decisions. Thus, in
Exhibit 23-11, both sets of cash flows are discounted at 6 percent. Because the effective aftertax interest
rate of the lease is higher than 6 percent, the purchase option is the wiser choice financially.
Exhibit 23-9 Comparison of Purchasing and Leasing
Purchase
Cost of project $500,000
Schedule showing the net aftertax annual cash inflows adjusted for inflation
20X4 20X5 20X6 20X7
Costs-of-quality savings $250,000 $250,000 $250,000 $250,000
Cost of additional supplies <10,000> <10,000> <10,000> <10,000>
Cost of additional power <40,000> <40,000> <40,000> <40,000>
Net cost savings 200,000 200,000 200,000 200,000
Inflation index x 1.08 x 1.17 x 1.26 x 1.36
Inflation-adjusted net cost savings 216,000 234,000 252,000 272,000
Income taxes (40%) <86,400> <93,600> <100,800> <108,800>
Inflation-adjusted net aftertax cost 129,600 140,400 151,200 163,200
savings
Depreciation tax shield 42,600 42,600 42,600 42,600
Net aftertax cash inflow adjusted $172,200 $183,000 $193,800 $205,800
for inflation
a. Discount rate with the inflation factor of 8% is 24%: (1 + .15) (1 + .08) - 1 = .24.
The new machine would be purchased and installed at the end of 20X3 at a net cost of $426,000. If pur-
chased, the machine would be depreciated using the straight-line method for both financial accounting and
tax purposes. The machine would become obsolete in four years and have no salvage value at that time.
Management at Justrite incorporates inflation into capital budgeting decisions by adjusting the expected
cash flows by an industry index. The adjusted aftertax cash flows are then discounted using an adjusted
discount rate. The estimated year-end industry index values for each of the next five years are as follows:
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
LEARNING
OBJECTIVE 4
As the previous discussions have shown, estimates are used for various parameters, such as discount rates, Explain how sensi-
cash flows, tax rates, useful lives, salvage values, and inflation indexes. The results of financial analysis tivity analysis
assists managers in
are directly dependent on the parameter values used. Yet, since these parameter values are not known with making capital;
certainty, it is quite possible that a change in a particular parameter's value might significantly affect the budgeting deci-
financial results. Conversely, a change in a particular parameter's value might not affect the results at all, sions.
or very little.
Sensitivity analysis is a process by which managers and management accountants determine how
changes in parameter values affect the financial results. Sensitivity analysis helps managers determine the
amount that parameter values must change before the decision will be affected. It is a what-if process. For
example, sensitivity analysis addresses such questions as what is the effect on the decision to invest in the
candidate project if the cash inflows are 10 percent less than expected and the salvage value is $20,000
more than estimated. Or, what is the effect (or financial results) if the discount rate is 2 percent higher than
expected and the original investment is 14 percent less than estimated? The objective of management
accountants is to present various possible results using numerous parameters so that management can
evaluate and gain insight into a wide range of possibilities. Sensitivity analysis is the tool that enables
management accountants to meet this objective.
The basic idea behind using sensitivity analysis in capital budgeting is to alter input parameter values and
observe the effect on financial results. There are two broad classes of sensitivity analysis:
• Deterministic
• Probabilistic
The deterministic class involves altering parameters to specific or determined values and observing the
specific results. The probabilistic class involves altering parameter values randomly within a specified
probability distribution and observing the probability distribution and statistics (i.e., mean or expected
value, standard deviation, and variance) of the results.
Exhibit 23-11 Examples of Possible Sensitivity Relationships with the Graphical Method
Slightly
Different values of Different values of
Parameter 2 Parameter 2
Result Value
Highly
Although most often used for the deterministic class, computer spreadsheet add-on products can be pur-
chased that will perform probabilistic analysis. The first step in using these programs is to define the prob-
ability distribution for all variable input parameter cells in the spreadsheet and then to specify the output
cells. The program does the necessary repetitive calculations, storing output cell results and displaying
them as probability distribution plots when finished.
INSIGHTS & APPLICATIONS These values were then plotted as shown in Exhibit 23-
14. Note that the x-axis is the yearly increased cash
Sensitivity Analysis of Tahoe Ski Lodge's NPV Calcula- inflows-from $130,000 to $190,000-and the three lines
tion represent the three possible residual values. By choos-
ing a residual value and a yearly cash flow value, the
As previously given, the expected additional yearly NPV can be read on the y-axis.
cash inflows for a new ski lift are $160,000. The lift
would cost $500,000 and have a useful life of five years
and a salvage value of $40,000. These values result in Examination of the graph indicates that the NPV is very
an NPV of $42,880 at a discount rate of 16 percent. sensitive to the yearly revenue, but not particularly sen-
sitive to changes in the residual value. Since the project
can more rapidly achieve a $0 NPV for higher values of
Management at Tahoe Ski Lodge, however, is uncertain yearly increased cash inflows, management should
of the yearly increased cash inflows, thinking that they focus further analysis effort on refining the yearly cash
could be as high as $180,000 or as low as $140,000. inflow estimates and expend less effort on refining the
Also, management believes the residual value of the lift residual value estimate.
could be $0, $40,000, or $65,000. With these determin-
istic values, NPVs were calculated, resulting in the
table below.
140
120 Residual value = $ 65 000
80 Residual value = $ 0
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
130 140 150 160 170 180 190
yearly Increased cash inflows [thousands $]
computers, though small and moderate simulations can be adequately and quickly performed on personal
computers.
Learning objective 1. Discuss the discounted cash flow methods, and explain the net
present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), and present value index (PVI)
methods.
Discounted cash flow methods consider the time value of cash flows by discounting them to their present
value using a discount rate based on the weighted-average cost of capital. The following capital budgeting
financial analysis methods are based on discounted cash flow concepts:
• Net present value (NPV)
• Internal rate of return (IRR)
• Present value index (PVI)
The NPV technique calculates the expected net financial gain or loss from a capital project by discounting
all estimated cash inflows and outflows to the present, using some predetermined discount rate. The IRR
method calculates the rate at which the present value of estimated cash inflows from a capital project
equals the present value of estimated cash outflows of the capital project. The PVI method calculates a
ratio that compares the present value of cash inflows to the present value of the investment outlay. Because
more profitable capital projects have higher indexes, an enterprise can rank its independent capital projects
according to the PVI indexes.
The NPV, IRR, and PVI methods assist managers in deciding if capital projects are worthwhile financially.
The decision rules for these methods are as follows:
Method Condition Decision
NPV >$0 Accept
IRR >hurdle rate Accept
PVI > 1.0 Accept
It is often argued that NPV is the most reasonable method, but many people who want to relate returns to a
percentage figure find IRR easier to understand.
Learning objective 2. Discuss the nondiscounted cash flow methods, which are the
payback period (PP) method and the accounting rate of return (ARR) method.
Nondiscounted cash flow methods do not consider the time value of money. The following nondiscounted
cash flow methods are widely used:
• Payback period (PP)
• Accounting rate of return (ARR)
The PP method calculates the amount of time needed to recoup the initial investment that the capital proj-
ect requires. The ARR method divides the original or average investment into the estimated average
annual income after depreciation and income taxes.
A summary of the capital budgeting financial analysis methods appears in Exhibit 23-15.
Learning objective 3. Describe the impact of income taxes, purchasing versus leas-
ing, and inflation on capital budgeting financial analysis.
Unless an enterprise is a tax-exempt organization, such as a government entity, income taxes should be
considered in capital budgeting financial analysis. Tax-deductible cash expenditures must be converted to
an aftertax basis by multiplying the expenditure by (I - Tax rate). Only the aftertax amount is used in deter-
mining the desirability of a capital project. Similarly, taxable cash inflows must be placed on an aftertax
basis by multiplying them by the same formula.
Although depreciation deductions do not involve a cash outflow, they represent tax deductions. These
deductions shield income from taxation, resulting in less taxes being paid. These savings in income taxes
are calculated by multiplying the depreciation deduction by the tax rate itself. Because accelerated depre-
ciation methods provide the largest amount of tax shield early in the life of depreciable capital projects,
they are normally superior to the straight-line method of depreciation. On the other hand, the straight-line
method would be appropriate for start-up companies or companies that expect to experience low income
or losses over the next several years.
A company that plans to acquire a capital project must determine how it will finance its acquisition and
implementation. Two common methods used to finance acquisitions are purchasing and leasing. If a com-
pany purchases the project, funds can come from equity investment, debt, or other sources. When leasing,
funds are provided by the lessor at some cost. Thus, the cost of leasing can be compared to the cost of
owning to determine the least expensive method of financing an acceptable project.
Inflation is rampant in some countries. Inflation makes a dollar received in the future less valuable than a
dollar on hand today. Inflation is generally incorporated into capital budgeting financial analysis by
including an inflation factor in the discount rate. This inflation-adjusted discount rate is then used to esti-
mate the future cash flows over the life of the project.
IMPORTANT TERMS
Accounting rate of return (ARR) method (unadjusted rate of return and book value rate of return)
Calculates the return from a capital project by dividing the average annual net income (after
depreciation and income taxes) by the average investment or initial investment.
Annuity A series of equal cash flows (either inflows or outflows) per period.
Dedicated computer program method Customized software package for conducting specialized sensi-
Advantages Disadvantages
Net Present Value (NPV)
Considers time value of money. Discount rate may not be valid.
Considers cash flows over the entire life of the Timing and size of cash flows may not be reliable.
project.
When projects are mutually exclusive, NPV is Difficult for some people to understand.
generally the superior method to use in selecting
the best project.
It is assumed that if the shorter-lived of two projects
is selected, the cash inflows of that project will con-
tinue to earn the discount rate of return through the life
of the longer-lived project.
If projects being compared involve different dollar
amounts of investment, the project with more profit-
able dollars may not be the better project if it also
requires a larger investment.
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Considers time value of money. Hurdle rate may not be valid.
Considers cash flows over the entire life of the Timing and size of cash flows may not be reliable.
project.
The percentage figure enables a reasonable rank- - Difficult to calculate.
ing of projects that require different initial cash out-
lays and have unequal lives.
Results in terms of a percentage may be more - It is assumed that if the shorter-lived of two projects
meaningful to managers than the NPV or PVI. is selected, the cash inflows of that project will con-
tinue to earn the IRR through the life of the longer-
lived project (generally not a reasonable assumption).
•Projects are ranked for funding using the IRR rather
than the absolute dollar return.
Present Value Index (PVI)
Same as NPV, except that it simplifies ranking of an Same as NPV.
optimum set of independent projects when the total Gives relative answer but does not reflect absolute
capital budget is limited. dollars of NPV.
It can be misleading on mutually exclusive projects
that have different total initial investments.
DEMONSTRATION PROBLEMS
DEMONSTRATION PROBLEM 1 Comprehensive analysis.
Primerate Bank is considering the purchase of a local area network (LAN) for $800,000 that will reduce
operating costs by $300,000, $400,000, $500,000, and $600,000 during 20X4, 20X5, 20X6, and 20X7,
respectively. The LAN has an estimated life of four years with no salvage value. Primerate uses straight-
line depreciation. The income tax rate is 40%, and Primerate's desired rate of return on capital project
investments is 14%. The aftertax increase in net income and the cash flow from the proposed LAN invest-
ment are as follows:
Required:
a. Calculate the internal rate of return (IRR) and give a brief description of it.
b. Calculate the net present value (NPV) and give a brief description of it.
*Payback period using a 14% discount rate = Amount needed / Total cash inflow
in year 4 = (($800,000 - $730,600)/ $260480) + 3 years = 3.27 years
This calculation eliminates the criticism that the payback period necessarily ignores the time value of
money. Using the 14% discount rate and the present value of the cash inflows, the payback period is 3.27
years.
e.
Under the ARR method, the expected annual net income is divided by the investment. The net income is
the average net cash inflows minus depreciation.
where:
Average cash inflow =( $1,400,000 / 4 years) = $350,000
per year
Depreciation = $800,000 / 4 years = $200,000 per year
As can be seen from this analysis, the NPV of the tax shield (i.e., tax savings) from MACRS is greater than
that from the straight-line depreciation method.
DEMONSTRATION PROBLEM 3 The lease-versus-purchase decision.
Macrs Method
Year Depreciation tax rate tax shield Present Value Present
expense factor (10%) value
1 $2,000 .40 $ 800.00 .909 $ 727.20
2 3,200 .40 1,280.00 .826 1,057.28
3 1,920 .40 768.00 .751 576.77
4 1,152 .40 460.80 .683 314.73
5 1,152 .40 460.80 .621 286.16
6 576 .40 230.40 .564 129.95
NPV $3,092.09
Mercy Hospital's management accountant, Mary Balinsky, has just finished performing an NPV analysis
for a $1,090,000 CAT scanner with a five-year useful life. Top management has agreed with Mary's rec-
ommendation and has asked her to analyze the alternative financing available.
After careful analysis, Mary has narrowed the financing of the project to two alternatives. The first alter-
native is a lease agreement with the manufacturer of the CAT scanner. The manufacturer is willing to lease
the scanner to Mercy Hospital for five years. The lease agreement calls for Mercy to make annual pay-
ments of $250,000 at the beginning of each year.
The second alternative would be for Mercy to purchase the scanner outright from the manufacturer for
$1,090,000. The hospital can claim an investment tax credit of $90,000 if it purchases the scanner. Prelim-
inary negotiations with Mercy's bank indicate that the hospital would be able to finance the scanner acqui-
sition with a 10% term loan.
If the scanner is purchased, Mercy plans to depreciate the scanner over five years using the straight-line
method. Salvage value is zero.
All maintenance, taxes, and insurance costs are the same under both alternatives and are paid by Mercy.
Mercy is subject to a 40% income tax rate.
Required:
a. Calculate the relevant present value cost of the purchasing alternative.
b. Calculate the relevant present value cost of the leasing alternative.
c. Financially, which is the better alternative?
SOLUTION TO DEMONSTRATION PROBLEM 3
a.Purchase
Cost of project = = (cash outflow of $1,000,000 - $90,000 x present value factor of 1.000) =$1,000,000
Demonstration Problem 3 part b. Less pres-
ent value of depreciation tax shield:
Present 1,000,00
Value 0
Year Annual Tax Deprecia- Present Pres-
Deprecia- rate tion tax Value Fac- ent
tion Shield tor (10%) value
1 $200,000 .40 $80,000 .909 $72,720
2 200,000 .40 80,000 .826 66,080
3 200,000 .40 80,000 .751 60,080
4 200,000 .40 80,000 .683 54,640
5 200,000 .40 80,000 .621 49,680 <303,200
>
Net present value of pur- $ 696,800
chase
b See table following.
c. The lease alternative is better financially because the NPV (i.e., cost) of this alternative is $71,300
($696,800 - $625,500) less than the NPV (cost) of the purchase alternative.
DEMONSTRATION PROBLEM 4 The graphical method of sensitivity analysis. As presented in the
text, the expected additional yearly revenue for a new automatic welding machine for Vulcan Machine
Shop is $100,000. The yearly cash operating costs and income taxes are estimated at $68,000. The
machine would cost $200,000, have a ten-year life, and have a salvage value of $30,000. A straight-line
depreciation method is used. Management at Vulcan is uncertain of the yearly revenue, however, thinking
that it could be as high as $125,000 or as low as $90,000. Also, management believes the salvage value of
the machine could be $0, $30,000, or $50,000.
Required:
a. Create the mathematical model and perform a sensitivity analysis.
b. Show the results in graphical form.
c. Comment on the results.
SOLUTION TO DEMONSTRATION PROBLEM 4 a. The mathematical model for this problem is:
ARR = R - (OT + DE) / ((C+S) / 2)
where:
• R = Increased yearly revenue
• OT = Yearly increased operating costs and taxes
• C = Cost of the machine
• S = Salvage value of the machine
• DE = Yearly depreciation expense calculated by DE = (C-S) / L
• L = Life (years) of the machine
b. Note that the x-axis is the yearly revenue-from $80,000 to $130,000-and the three lines represent the
three possible salvage values. By choosing a salvage value and a yearly revenue value, the ARR can be
read on the y-axis.
Salvage value $ 0
35
25
APR %
c. Examination of the graph indicates that the ARR is very sensitive to the yearly revenue, but not particu-
larly sensitive to changes in the salvage value. Since the project can achieve the minimum desired rate of
20% for high values of yearly revenue, management should focus further analysis effort on refining the
yearly revenue estimates and expend less effort on refining the salvage value estimate.
It can also be seen that the three lines are not parallel. This is a direct result of the formulation of the math-
ematical model. Since the salvage value is used in two different places, changes in this value will cause
the slope to change.
DEMONSTRATION PROBLEM 5 The spreadsheet method of sensitivity analysis. Management at
Secure System is considering acquiring a machine that will manufacture a new automobile security
device. The machine will cost $200,000 with a useful life of four years and no salvage value. There is
some management disagreement as to the amount of net cash inflows the machine will produce. Estimates
are $50,000, $70,000, and $90,000 annually. Cash inflows for each year are equal. Also, management
believes the project should be analyzed assuming discount rates of 8, 10, and 12%, respectively.
Required: Use sensitivity analysis to compute the NPV under each assumption.
Solution To Demonstration problem 5
Useful Dis- Initial Present Value Of Cash Net Pres-
life count Cash Out- Inflows ent Value
rate flow
4 8% $200,000 $165,600 = ($50,000 x 3.312) <$34,400>
4 10 200,000 158,500 = ($50,000 x 3.170) < 41,500>
4 12 200,000 151,850 = ($50,000 x 3.037) < 48,150>
4 8 200,000 231,840 = ($70,000 x 3.312) 31,840
4 10 200,000 221,900 = ($70,000 x 3.170) 21,900
4 12 200,000 212,590 = ($70,000 x 3.037) 12,590
4 8 200,000 298,080 = ($90,000 x 3.312) 98,080
4 10 200,000 285,300 = ($90,000 x 3.170) 85,300
4 12 200,000 273,330 = ($90,000 x 3.037) 73,330
SOLUTION TO DEMONSTRATION PROBLEM 6 a. The mathematical equation for the NPV is:
NPV = (0.877 x Y1) + (0.769 x Y2) - D
where:
• NPV = Net present value
• Y1 = First-year cash inflow
• Y2 = Second-year cash inflow
• D = Initial development costs
Using this equation, the original NPV would be:
NPV = (0.877 x $85,000) + (0.769 x $50,000) - $110,000 NPV = $2,995
b. The Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis was simplified by assuming step functions for each of the probabil-
ity distributions. Then, a table of ten values for each parameter was created by using the probabilities. For
example, for the development costs parameter, one of the ten values would be $150,000, three of the values
would be $120,000, and so forth, resulting in the following:
Development costs Year 1 cash Inflows Year 2 cash Inflows
$150,000 $100,000 $65,000
120,000 100,000 65,000
120,000 90,000 60,000
120,000 90,000 60,000
105,000 90,000 60,000
105,000 90,000 60,000
105,000 80,000 40,000
105,000 80,000 40,000
105,000 65,000 25,000
65,000 65,000 25,000
Then, for each Monte Carlo iteration, obtaining a random number for each parameter becomes a simple
process of selecting one value from each column randomly. After obtaining the random parameter values,
the NPV calculation was done. The NPV was saved for each iteration, and a cumulative mean value was
calculated. The iterations were stopped when the cumulative mean value did not vary more than $250 and
the cumulative variance did not vary more than $62,500 ($250 x $250) from iteration to iteration.
In all, 347 iterations were required, with the total number of NPVs below $0 being 151. Thus, the probabil-
ity for the NPV being below $0 is:
Probability = 151 / 347 = 43.5%
The mean of the NPVs was $2,117.10.
The 43.5% probability that the project would have a negative NPV, even though the mean estimates show a
positive NPV, might cause management to require further refinement of the parameter estimates and prob-
ability distributions before approving the project.
c. The mean values from Requirements (a) and (b) are somewhat different. This can be attributed to the
limited number of iterations required to meet the cumulative mean and variance change limits. In a com-
puterized Monte Carlo system, with a significantly smaller difference limit of $50, a total of 665 iterations
were required for stabilization. The cumulative mean was $3,003.53-very close to the results in (a)-and the
probability that the NPV would be less than $0 was 44.1 %, not much of a change from that calculated in
(b).
REVIEW QUESTIONS
23.1 The second stage of the capital budgeting methodology deals with:
a. Decisions affecting high-tech companies.
b. Financial analysis of long-term decisions.
c. Financial analysis of short-term decisions.
d. Capital asset tracking systems.
23.2 Present value is:
a. The sum of cash inflows discounted to time zero.
b. The sum of cash outflows discounted to time zero.
c. Both (a) and (b).
d. None of the above.
23.3 An enterprise's relevant weighted-average cost of capital:
a. Should be the same as the prime rate.
b. Should be unaffected by the enterprise's capital structure.
c. Is a weighted average of the enterprise's required future returns on debt and equity.
d. Is a weighted average of common stock less paid-in capital.
23.4 The basis for measuring the cost of capital derived from debt and preferred stock, respectively, is the
a. Pretax rate of interest for debt and stated annual dividend rate for preferred stock.
b. Aftertax rate of interest for debt and stated annual dividend rate for preferred stock.
c. Aftertax rate of interest for debt and stated annual dividend rate less the expected earnings per
share for preferred stock.
d. Pretax rate of interest for debt and stated annual dividend rate less the expected earnings per
share for preferred stock.
23.5 The discount rate ordinarily used in present value calculations is:
a. The prime rate.
b. The savings bond rate.
c. The Federal Reserve rate.
d. The desired rate of return set by management.
23.6 Net present value is:
a. The sum of discounted cash inflows plus discounted cash outflows.
b. The sum of discounted cash outflows.
c. The sum of discounted cash inflows less the sum of discounted cash outflows.
d. The sum of discounted cash inflows.
23.7 The IRR and NPV methods usually produce identical rankings of candidate projects. Under certain
conditions, however, dissimilar rankings can occur. When such differences occur, the method
normally selected is:
a. NPV because all reinvestment of funds occurs at the discount rate based on the cost of capital
and because it takes into account the relative size of the original investment.
b. IRR because all reinvestment of funds occurs at the discount rate that will make the NPV of
the project equal to zero.
23.24 Depreciation is incorporated in the discounted cash flow methods because it:
a. Reduces the cash outlay for income taxes.
b. Represents the initial cash outflow spread over the life of the project.
c. Represents a hedge against inflation.
d. Represents cash outflow that cannot be avoided.
23.25 Which of the following best describes the effect that changing from straight-line to accelerated
depreciation will have on the financial analysis of a capital project?
a. The calculations will be invalid because only the straight-line depreciation method can be used
for tax purposes.
b. The risk of the proposed investment will be larger than if the straight-line depreciation method
is used.
c. The NPV of the proposed investment will be larger than if the straight-line depreciation
method is used.
d. The cash inflows in each period after income tax effects will be smaller than with the straight-
line depreciation method.
23.26 When applying one of the discounted cash flow methods to evaluate the desirability of a capital proj-
ect, which of the following factors is generally not considered?
a. The impact of inflation.
b. The impact of income taxes.
c. The timing and quantity of cash flows.
d. The method of financing the project.
CHAPTER-SPECIFIC PROBLEMS
These problems require responses based directly on concepts and techniques presented in the text.
23.27 Weighted-average cost of capital. Excello Company is in the process of reengineering its activities
based on activity-based management (ABM) analyses. The projects contained in the Capital Projects Port-
folio Statement that support the reengineered activities involve nearly equal risk. They are independent of
each other so that Excello may invest in a single project, any combination, or all of them. The capital out-
lay for each project is as follows:
Project A $ 800,000
Project B 200,000
Project C 900,000
Project D 400,000
Total $2,300,000
Excello intends to maintain a capital structure of 40% long-term debt and 60% equity, of which 80% is
common stock and 20% retained earnings. The weighted-average cost of capital is 9% when historical val-
ues are used.
The expected annual cost of generating earnings available for the capital projects is 12%. Excello can issue
long-term bonds at an annual interest rate of 10%. Issuance of common stock will cost 20%. Excello is
subject to a 40% income tax rate.
Required:
a. Explain why new capital investments should be evaluated on the basis of future weighted-
average cost of capital rather than a weighted-average cost of capital based on historical values.
b. Calculate the weighted-average cost of capital Excello should use in its discounted cash flow
analysis.
23.28 Using the PVI and NPV methods. Seth Milam has collected the following data during the first
stage of the capital budgeting methodology. These data relate to Projects Alpha and Beta, which are of
equal risk.
Required:
Which of the projects would be selected using the PVI and NPV methods?
Present Value Of Cash Flows
Year Alpha Beta
0 <$10,000> <$30,000>
1 4,550 13,650
2 4,150 12,450
3 3,750 11,250
23.29 Capital rationing. Arco has the opportunity to invest in the following independent projects:
Project Required investment Npv
A $ 80,000 $2,000
B 100,000 1,000
C 40,000 1,200
D 80,000 1,500
E 92,000 2,200
Although Arco would like to invest in all five projects, it has only $240,000 of capital funds available.
Required: Using the NPV and PVI methods, determine the combination of projects that produces the
greatest value to Arco's stockholders. Assume that the projects permit partial investment. Which method,
the NPV or PVI, would you use to ration the capital funds of $240,000? Justify your answer.
23.30 Calculating the payback period given unequal cash inflows. A machine costing$2,000 produces
total cash inflows of $3,000 over four years as follows:
Year After tax cash Inflows Cumulative cash flows
1 $600 $600
2 800 1,400
3 1,000 2,400
4 600 3,000
Required:
Calculate the payback period.
23.31 Calculating the payback period and accounting rate of return. [AICPA adapted] Hanley Company
purchased a machine for $125,000. The machine will be depreciated $25,000 each year for five years. At
the end of five years, it will have zero salvage value, The related cash flow from operations, net of income
taxes, is expected to be $45,000 annually. Hanley's income tax rate is 40% for all years.
Required:
a. Calculate the payback period.
b. Calculate the accounting rate of return.
23.32 Calculating the payback period given equal cash inflows. Tarmack Company is considering the
purchase of a machine for $350,000 with a life of five years and a salvage value of $50,000. The machine
will be depreciated using the straight-line method. (Ignore the half-year convention.) The machine is
expected to produce cash inflows from operations, net of income taxes, of $100,000 annually in each of
the next five years.
Required: Calculate the payback period.
Required:
a. What is the present value of the depreciation tax shield for the 20X7 MACRS depreciation of Crane's
new asset?
b. What is the discounted net-of-tax amount that should be factored into Crane's analysis for the disposal
transaction?
c. What are the relevant discounted operating cash flows that should be factored into Crane's analysis?
[CMA adapted]
23.38 Calculating the tax shield and payback period for a new machine. Britelite Company is consider-
ing purchasing a new machine that will cost $120,000 and will have annual depreciation for tax purposes
of $24,000 for five years. Cash inflows of $40,000 annually will be generated by the new machine.
Required: If the tax rate is 40%, what is the payback period for the new machine?
23.39 Considering mutually exclusive projects and income tax consequences. [CMA adapted] Garrison
Corporation is considering the replacement of an old machine that is currently being used. The old
machine is fully depreciated but can be used by the corporation through 20X7. If Garrison decides to
replace the old machine, Picco Company has offered to purchase it for $60,000 on the replacement date.
The old machine would have no salvage value in 20X7.
If the replacement occurs, a new machine would be acquired from Hillcrest Industries on January 2, 20X3.
The purchase price of $1,000,000 for the new machine would be paid in cash at the time of replacement.
Required:
a. Calculate the present value of the aftertax cash inflow associated with the salvage value of the old
machine.
b. Before consideration of any depreciation tax shield, calculate the annual after-tax cash savings that arise
from the increased efficiency of the new machine throughout its life.
c. Calculate the present value of the depreciation tax shield for 20X4.
d. Assume that the new machine has a salvage value of $80,000 on December 31, 20X7, instead of zero
salvage value. Calculate the present value of the additional aftertax cash inflow.
23.40 Calculations of capital budgeting financial analysis methods. [CMA adapted] Hazman Company
plans to replace an old piece of equipment that is obsolete and expected to be unreliable under the stress of
daily operations. The equipment is fully depreciated and will have no salvage value.
One piece of equipment being considered would provide annual cash savings of $7,000 before income
taxes. The equipment would cost $18,000 and have annual depreciation of $3,600 for five years, for both
book and tax purposes. It would have no salvage value at the end of five years.
The company is subject to a 40% tax rate and has a 14% aftertax cost of capital. Assume all operating reve-
nues and expenses occur at the end of the year.
Required:
a. Calculate the aftertax payback period.
b. Calculate the aftertax ARR.
c. Calculate the aftertax NPV.
d. Calculate the aftertax PVI.
e. Calculate the aftertax IRR.
23.41 Analyzing alternative financing arrangements. [CMA adapted] Crown Corporation has agreed to
sell some used computer equipment to Bob Parsons, one of the company's employees, for $5,000. Crown
and Parsons have been discussing alternative financing arrangements for the sale and the present and
future values of each alternative.
Required:
Following are alternative financing arrangements:
a. Crown Corporation has offered to accept a $1,000 down payment and set up a note receivable for Par-
sons that calls for four $1,000 payments at the end of each of the next four years. If Crown uses a
6% discount rate, what would be the present value of the note receivable?
b. Parsons has agreed to the immediate down payment of $1,000 but would like the note for $4,000 to be
payable in full at the end of the fourth year. Because of the increased risk associated with the
terms of this note, Crown would apply an 8% discount rate. What would be the present value of
this note?
c. If Parsons borrowed the $5,000 at 8% interest for four years from his bank and paid Crown the full price
of the equipment immediately, Crown would invest the $5,000 for three years at 7%. What would
be the future value of this investment?
23.42 Analyzing the lease-versus-purchase decision. LeToy Company produces a wide variety of chil-
dren's toys, most of which are manufactured from stamped parts. The Production Department recom-
mended that a new stamping machine be acquired. The Production Department further recommended that
the company consider using the new stamping machine only for five years. Top management has con-
curred with the recommendation and has assigned Ann Mitchum of the Budget and Planning Department
to supervise the acquisition and to analyze the alternative financing available.
After careful analysis and review, Mitchum has narrowed the financing of the project to two alternatives.
The first alternative is a lease agreement with the manufacturer of the stamping machine. The manufac-
turer is willing to lease the equipment to LeToy for five years even though it has an economic useful life of
ten years. The lease agreement calls for LeToy to make annual payments of $62,000 at the beginning of
each year. The manufacturer (lessor) retains the title to the machine, and there is no purchase option at the
end of five years. Investment credit is claimed by the lessor and does not flow through to LeToy (lessee).
This agreement would be considered a lease by the Internal Revenue Service.
The second alternative would be for LeToy to purchase the equipment outright from the manufacturer for
$240,000. LeToy can claim an investment tax credit of $16,000 if it purchases the equipment. Preliminary
discussions with LeToy's bank indicate that the firm would be able to finance the asset acquisition with a
15% term loan.
LeToy would depreciate the equipment over five years using the sum-of-the-years-digits method. The
market value of the equipment at the end of five years would be $45,000; consequently, LeToy would use
a salvage value of $45,000 for depreciation purposes.
All maintenance, taxes, and insurance are the same under both alternatives and are paid by LeToy. LeToy
requires an aftertax cutoff return of 18% for investment decisions and is subject to a 40% corporate
income tax rate on both operating income and capital gains and losses.
Required:
a. Calculate the relevant present value cost of the leasing alternative for LeToy Company.
b. Calculate the relevant present value cost of the purchase alternative for LeToy Company.
THINK-TANK PROBLEMS
Although these problems are based on chapter material, reading extra material, reviewing previous chap-
ters, and using creativity may be required to develop workable solutions.
23.43 Comprehensive discussion of capital budgeting financial analysis methods. [CMA adapted]
Plasto Corporation is a manufacturer of plastic products. The company is embarking on a five-year mod-
ernization and expansion plan. Thus, management is identifying all of the capital projects that it should
consider. Financial analyses will be prepared for each identified project. Plasto will not select and imple-
ment all of the projects because some may not be financially attractive and some are mutually exclusive.
In addition, not all projects can be implemented because capital funds are limited.
All modernization and expansion projects would be completed in three years. The projects have varying
lives, but none exceed seven years. Plasto's criteria for evaluating and selecting projects are maximization
of return and quickness of investment recovery. The projects included in the Capital Projects Portfolio
Statement are as follows:
Required:
a. When attempting to determine if a project is profitable and should be implemented, Plasto should be
sure that the project's:
1. Return exceeds a hurdle rate specified by Plasto's management.
2. Return exceeds the interest rate that is charged on any debt that is incurred to finance a capital project.
3. Return exceeds the company's historical return on stockholders' equity.
4. Payback is three years or less.
b. The overriding concern for Plasto's maintenance project should be to:
1. Minimize the IRR.
2. Minimize the present value of cash outlays.
3. Maximize the payback period.
a.All fixed costs are directly allocatable to the production of the manual collator and include
depreciation on equipment of $20,000, calculated on the straight-line basis with a useful life of
ten years.
of the manual collator would fall to 70,000 units per year. Second, if the selling price is not increased, Beta
could sell approximately 190,000 units per year of the semiautomatic model. Third, because of the
advances being made in this area, the patent will be completely worthless at the end of four years.
Because of the uncertainty of the current situation, the raw materials inventory has been almost com-
pletely exhausted. Regardless of the decision reached, substantial and immediate inventory replenishment
will be required. The Engineering Department estimates that if the new model is to be produced, the aver-
age monthly raw materials inventory will be $20,000. If the old model is continued, the inventory balance
will average $12,000 per month.
Required:
a. Prepare a schedule that shows the incremental aftertax cash flows for comparison of the two alterna-
tives. Assume that Beta will use the sum-of-the-years-digits method for depreciating the costs of modify-
ing the equipment. (Ignore MACRS and the half-life convention.)
b. Using the cash inflows in Requirement (a), if Beta has a cost of capital of 18%, will it decide to manu-
facture the semiautomatic collator?
Period Present value of Interest Factors present For 18% accumu- Accumulated value Of $1
$1 value of $1 per Period lated value of $1 per Period received At
received At end of Period end Of Period
1 .85 .85 1.18 1.00
2 .72 1.57 1.39 2.18
3 .61 2.18 1.64 3.57
4 .52 2.70 1.94 5.21
c. Calculate the ARR for each project. Using this method, would you recommend that Beta manufacture
the semiautomatic collator? Explain.
d. What additional analytical methods, if any, would you consider before presenting a recommendation to
management? Why?
e. What concerns would you have about using the information given in the problem to reach a decision in
this case? [CMA adapted]
23.45 Financing decision. HMG Corporation is a for-profit health care provider, which operates three
hospitals. One of these hospitals, Metrohealth, plans to acquire new X-ray equipment that management
has already decided will be cost-beneficial and will enhance the technology available in the outpatient
diagnostic laboratory. Before Metrohealth submits a purchase requisition for the equipment to corporate
headquarters, Paul Monden, Metrohealth's management accountant, has to prepare an analysis comparing
financing alternatives.
The new equipment is a Supraimage X-ray 400 machine priced at $1,000,000, including shipping and
installation, and would be delivered January 1, 1984. Its annual depreciation expense will be $400,000,
$240,000, $144,000, $108,000, and $108,000, respectively, over five years. The machine will have no sal-
vage value at the end of five years.
Metrohealth is considering the following financing alternatives:
• Finance internally. HMG Corporation would provide Metrohealth with the funds to purchase the equip-
ment. The supplier would be paid on the day of delivery.
• Finance with a bank loan. Metrohealth could obtain a bank loan to finance 90% of the equipment cost at
10% annual interest with five annual payments of $237,420 each due at the end of each year, with the
• Lease from a lessor. The equipment could be leased from MedLeasing with an initial payment of $50,000
due on equipment delivery and five annual payments of $220,000 each, commencing on December 31,
20X4. At the option of the lessee, the equipment can be purchased at the fair market value at lease termi-
nation (the lessor is currently estimating a 30% residual value). The lease satisfies the requirements of an
operating lease for both FASB and income tax purposes. Due to expected technological changes in med-
ical equipment, Metrohealth is not planning to purchase the X-ray equipment at the end of the lease com-
mitment.
Both HMG Corporation and Metrohealth have an effective income tax rate of 40%, an incremental bor-
rowing rate of 10%, and an aftertax corporate hurdle rate of 12%. Income taxes are paid at the end of the
year. Present value tables for several interest rates are as follows:
Present Value Of $1 Present Value Of An Annuity Of $1
Received At The end Of The Received at The End Of Each period (Ordi-
Period nary)
PERIOD 6% 10% 12% 20% 6% 10% 12% 20%
1 .94 .91 .89 .83 .94 .91 .89 .83
2 .89 .83 .80 .69 1.83 1.74 1.69 1.53
3 .84 .75 .71 .58 2.67 2.49 2.40 2.11
4 .79 .68 .64 .48 3.47 3.17 3.04 2.59
5 .75 .62 .57 .40 4.21 3.79 3.61 2.99
Required:
a. Prepare a present value analysis as of January 1, 20X4, of the expected aftertax cash inflows for each of
the three financing alternatives available to Metrohealth for acquiring the new X-ray equipment. As part of
your present value analysis:
1. Justify the discount rate(s) you employed.
2. Identify the financing alternative that is most advantageous to Metrohealth.
b. Discuss the qualitative factors Paul Monden should include for management consideration before a final
decision is made regarding the financing of this new equipment. [CMA adapted]
23.46 Comprehensive lease analysis. On December 29, 20X4, Dallas Corporation leased
20 trucks to Reutzel Express Company under a six-year, noncancelable lease.
Additional information regarding the lease and the trucks follows:
• The lease requires equal payments of $145,200 that are due on December 31 each year, and the first rent
was paid December 31, 20X4. These payments provide Dallas Corporation with a 12% return on the net
investment; this implicit interest rate is known by Reutzel.
• The lease does not pass ownership of the trucks at the end of the lease, but Reutzel may purchase all of
the trucks at the end of the lease for a total of $10,000. The estimated residual value of all of the trucks is
$25,000 at the end of the lease term and $1,000 at the end of nine years.
• The fair value of the trucks is $674,000. The cost of the trucks to Dallas is $650,000, and each truck has
an expected useful life of nine years.
• Reutzel's incremental borrowing rate is 14%.
• Reutzel pays the executory costs (insurance, taxes, and other fees not included in the annual lease pay-
ments) of $485 per year and depreciates all of its trucks using straight-line depreciation.
• The collectibility of the lease payments is reasonably predictable, and there are no important uncertain-
ties surrounding the amount of unreimbursable costs yet to be incurred by Dallas.
• Present value factors for 12% are as follows:
The equipment used to manufacture the waste container must be replaced because it has broken and can-
not be repaired. The new equipment would have a purchase price of $945,000 with terms of 2/10, n/30;
company policy is to take all purchase discounts. The freight on the equipment would be $11,000, and
installation costs would total $22,900. The equipment would be purchased in December 20X3 and be
placed into service on January 1, 20X4. It would have a five-year economic life and would be treated as
three-year property under the modified accelerated cost recovery system (MACRS). This equipment is
expected to have a salvage value of $12,000 at the end of its economic life in 20X8. The new equipment
would be more efficient than the old equipment, resulting in a 25% reduction in both direct materials and
variable overhead. The savings in direct materials would result in an additional onetime decrease in work-
ing capital requirements of $2,500 due to a reduction in direct materials inventories. This working capital
reduction would be recognized at the time of equipment acquisition.
The old equipment is fully depreciated and is not included in the fixed over-head. The old equipment from
the plant can be sold for a salvage amount of $1,500. Jonfran has no alternative use for the manufacturing
space at this time, so if the waste containers are purchased, as discussed next, the old equipment would be
left in place.
Rather than replace the equipment, one of Jonfran's production managers has suggested that the waste
containers be purchased. One supplier has quoted a price of $27 per container. This price is $8 less than
Jonfran's current manufacturing cost, which is as follows:
Jonfran employs a plantwide fixed overhead rate in its operations. If the waste containers are purchased
outside, the salary and benefits of one supervisor, included in the fixed overhead at $45,000, would be
eliminated. There would be no other changes in the other cash and noncash items included in fixed over-
head, except depreciation on the new equipment.
Jonfran is subject to a 40% income tax rate. Management assumes that all annual cash flows and tax pay-
ments occur at the end of the year. A 12% aftertax discount rate is used. The MACRS depreciation rates
and the present values for 12 and 20% are as follows:
Present Value of Present Value of An
$1 Received at ordinary annuity Of $1
Macrs three- The End of The received At the End Of
year rate Period each Period
YEAR 12% 20% 12% 20%
1 33.3% .89 .83 .89 .83
2 44.5 .80 .69 1.69 1.53
3 14.8 .71 .58 2.40 2.11
4 7.4 .64 .48 3.04 2.59
5 - .57 .40 3.61 2.99
Required:
a. Jonfran Company must decide whether to purchase the waste containers from an outside supplier or to
purchase the equipment to manufacture the waste containers. Calculate the NPV of the estimated aftertax
cash inflows at December 31, 20X3, and determine which of these two options to pursue.
b. Companies often calculate the payback period for an investment. Without prejudice to your response in
Requirement (a), assume that the capital cost is $1,000,000 and the aftertax cash inflows for 20X4-20X8
are as follows:
20X4 $300,000
20X5 350,000
20X6 240,000
20X7 200,000
20X8 200,000
1. Explain why some companies calculate the payback period in addition to determining the NPV.
2. Calculate the payback period for this project using the assumed aftertax cash inflows. [CMA adapted]
23.48 Analyzing three alternative financing decisions. Edwards Corporation is a manufacturing concern
that produces and sells a wide range of products. The company not only mass-produces a number of prod-
ucts and equipment components but also is capable of producing special-purpose manufacturing equip-
ment to customer specifications.
The firm is considering adding a new stapler to one of its product lines. More equipment will be required
to produce the new stapler. Edwards has identified three alternative ways of acquiring the needed equip-
ment:
• Purchase general-purpose equipment
• Lease general-purpose equipment
• Build special-purpose equipment
Purchase of the special-purpose equipment has been ruled out because it would be prohibitively expensive.
The general-purpose equipment can be purchased for $125,000. The equipment has an estimated salvage
value of $15,000 at the end of its useful life of ten years. At the end of five years, the equipment can be
used elsewhere in the plant or be sold for $40,000.
Alternatively, the general-purpose equipment can be acquired under a five-year lease for $40,000 annu-
ally. The lessor will assume all responsibility for taxes, insurance, and maintenance.
Special-purpose equipment can be constructed by Edwards' Contract Equipment Department. Although
the department is operating at a level that is normal for the time of year, it is below full capacity. The
department could produce the equipment without interfering with its regular revenue-producing activities.
The estimated departmental costs for the construction of the special-purpose equipment are as follows:
Materials and parts $ 75,000
Direct labor 60,000
Variable overhead (50% of DL$) 30,000
Fixed overhead (25% of DL$) 15,000
Total $180,000
Corporation general and administrative costs average 20% of labor dollar content of factory production.
Engineering and management studies provide the following revenue and cost estimates (excluding lease
payments and depreciation) for producing the new stapler, depending on the equipment used:
General-purpose
equipment
Leased Purchased Self-constructed equipment
Unit selling price $5.00 $5.00 $5.00
Unit production costs:Materials 1.80 1.80 1.70
Conversion costs: 1.65 1.65 1.40
Total unit production costs 3.45 3.45 3.10
Unit contribution margin $1.55 $1.55 $1.90
Estimated unit volume 40,000 40,000 40,000
Estimated total contributionmargin $62,000 $62,000 $76,000
Other costs:Supervision $16,000 $16,000 $18,000
Taxes and insurance 3,000 5,000
Maintenance 3,000 2,000
Total $16,000 $22,000 $25,000
The company will depreciate the general-purpose machine over ten years using the sum-of-the-years-dig-
its (SYD) method. At the end of five years, the accumulated depreciation will total $80,000. (The present
value of this amount for the first five years is $62,100.) The special-purpose machine will be depreciated
over five years using the SYD method. Its salvage value at the end of that time is estimated to be $30,000.
The company uses an aftertax cost of capital of 10%. Its marginal tax rate is 40%.
Required:
a. Calculate the NPV for each of the three alternatives that Edwards has at its disposal.
b. Should Edwards select any of the three options, and, if so, which one? Explain your answer. [CMA
adapted]
The Plastics Division of Catix compensates for inflation in capital expenditure analyses by adding the
anticipated inflation rate to the cost of capital and then using the inflation-adjusted cost of capital to dis-
count the project cash inflows. The Plastics Division recently rejected a project with cash inflows and eco-
nomic life similar to those associated with the machine under consideration by the Electronics Division.
The Plastics Division's analysis of the rejected project was as follows:
Net pretax cost savings $37,000
Less incremental depreciation expenses 20,000
Increase in taxable income $17,000
Increase in income taxes (40%) 6,800
Increase in aftertax income $10,200
Add back noncash expense (depreciation) 20,000
Net aftertax annual cash inflow (unadjusted for inflation) $30,200
Present value of net cash inflows using the sum of the cost of capital (12%) $77,916
and the inflation rate (8%) or a minimum required return of 20%
Investment required < 80,000>
Net present value <$ 2,084>
All operating revenues and expenditures occur at the end of the year.
Required:
a. Using the price index provided, prepare a schedule showing the net aftertax annual cash inflows adjusted
for inflation for the automated assembly and soldering machine under consideration by the Elec-
tronics Division.
b. Without prejudice to your answer in Requirement (a), assume that the net aftertax annual cash inflows
adjusted for inflation for the project being considered by the Electronics Division are as follows:
Calculate the NPV for Electronic Division's project.
The Wardl production schedule calls for 12,000 direct labor hours per month during the first quarter. If
Wardl is awarded the contract for the Lyan equipment, production of one of its standard products will have
to be reduced. This is necessary because production levels can only be increased to 15,000 direct labor
hours each month on short notice. Furthermore, Wardl's employees are unwilling to work overtime.
Sales of the standard product equal to the reduced production will be lost, but there will be no permanent
loss of future sales or customers. The standard product, whose production schedule will be reduced, has a
unit sales price of $12,000 and the following cost structure:
Raw materials $2,500
Direct labor (250 DLhr at 3,750
$15)
Overhead (250 DLhr at $9) 2,250
Total cost $8,500
Lyan needs the custom-designed equipment to increase its bottle-making capacity so that it will not have
to buy bottles from an outside supplier. Lyan Company requires 5,000,000 bottles annually. Its present
equipment has a maximum capacity of 4,500,000 bottles with a directly traceable cash outlay of $0.15 per
bottle. Thus, Lyan has had to purchase 500,000 bottles from a supplier at $0.40 each. The new equipment
would allow Lyan to manufacture its entire annual demand for bottles at a raw material cost savings of
$0.01 for each bottle manufactured.
Wardl estimates that Lyan's annual bottle demand will continue to be 5,000,000 bottles over the next five
years, the estimated economic life of the special-purpose equipment. Wardl further estimates that Lyan has
an aftertax cost of capital of 15% and is subject to a 40% marginal income tax rate, the same rates as
Wardl.
Required:
a. Wardl Industries plans to submit a bid to Lyan Company for the manufacture of the special-purpose bot-
tling equipment.
1. Calculate the bid Wardl would submit if it follows its standard pricing policy for special-purpose equip-
ment.
Probabilities assigned to estimate cash inflows over four years, the life of the new project, are as follows:
90
70
Cumulative mean NPV [$]
14 000
Number of values
50
10 000
30
6000
10
2000
32500
-22500
2500
0
Monte Carlo iterations
Mid-point values [NPV $]
Required: For the following, make any assumptions you deem necessary:
a. What is the minimum number of iterations required for the Monte Carlo Simulation? Discuss and justify
your answer.
b. Should CleanSweep proceed with the new product line? Discuss and justify your answer.