FM Lecture Notes
FM Lecture Notes
FM Lecture Notes
FM - lecture notes
ACCA – FM
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
STUDY NOTES
Contents
1. Investment Appraisal 01
2. Inflation 20
4. Cost of Capital 39
7. Business Valuation 57
8. Sources of Finance 64
10. 77
Islamic Financing
11. Small and Medium Enterprises (SME) 80
Investment Appraisal
Decision making
Investment Appraisal:-
A detailed evaluation of projects/investments to assess the viability, its effects on shareholders wealth is called
investment appraisal,
What is Appraisal:-
Any expenditure in the expectation of future benefits. There are two types of investment:
Capital expenditure:
Capital expenditure is an expenditure which results in the acquisition of non-current assets or an improvement in
their earning capacity. It is not charged as an expense in the income statement; this expenditure appears as a non-
current asset in the balance sheet.
Revenue expenditure:
Charged to the income statement and is expenditure which is incurred.
(i) For the purpose of the trade of the business this includes expenditure classified as selling and distribution,
administration expenses and finance charges.
(ii) To maintain the existing earning capacity of non-current asset.
i. Origination:-
A good understanding of market demand, market conditions and customer perceptions are always needed in
order to avail the opportunities.
There should be a proper mechanism which identifies the potential opportunities available in the market for
investment, and if technology is obsoleting, organization should know beforehand that new investment is
required.
a) Financial Analysis:-
This step would involve the application of organization’s preferred investment appraisal techniques e.g. IRR,
NPV etc.
Some projects e.g. marketing investment decisions have intangible returns in this case more weight may be
given to the consideration and qualitative issues.
b) Qualitative Issues:-
Qualitative Issues are those issues which are difficult or impossible to quantify but decisions should be made
after considering these issues e.g.
(i) How the project will affect the company’s image
(ii) Would the project help the organization in satisfying the customer needs
c) Accept or Reject:-
Acceptance depends on three factors
(i) Type of investment
Basic Methods
1. Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)
Definition:-
The earnings of a project expressed as a percentage of the capital outlay or average investment
Or
Average return as a percentage of average investment.
Formula:-
ARR = Average Annual profit x 100
Initial investment
Comparison Decision:
Project with higher ARR shall be preferred.
It takes into account the whole life of the project, as it takes the average of all profits available in the project
life.
It can be used as a relative measure in case of mutually exclusive projects.
The expected profitability of a project can be compared with the present profitability of business.
Any cash flows or cost incurred in the past, or any committed costs which will be incurred regardless of whether the
investment is undertaken or not are non-relevant cash flows e.g. sunk lost, allocated overheads etc.
The all other cash flows, which should be considered, are as follows:
i. Opportunity Cost:-
Cost incurred or revenues lost from diverting enlisting resources from their best use are called opportunity cost.
As this will happen because of new project that’s why it is relevant.
ii. Tax:-
Relevant costs include the extra taxation that will be payable on extra profits, or the reductions in tax arising
from capital allowances or operating losses in any year.
May be substantial, particularly if the investment is in a new product or service, but if the market research has
been done in the past and no further investment in marketing is required then this will be non-relevant cost.
Finance Related cash flows are only relevant if the incur a different rate of interest from the rate which is being
used as the discount rate.
Definition:-
The time period in which initial investment gets recovered, known as payback period.
The number of years for the cash out lay to be matched by cash inflows.
Formula:-
a. For constant(Even) cash flows:
Answer should be compared with the target payback period of the business.
Decision rule:-
i. Feasibility Decision:
If payback period is less than target payback period then ACCEPT the project.
If payback period is more than target payback period then REJECT the project.
Required: Calculate payback period using non discounting payback period method and comment whether to
accept or reject.
Example.2
Initial investment in project Z is $5,000. Project life is five years. For the year cash flows from project Z are $2,000,
$1,500, $1,000, $500 and $250 respectively. If target payback period of company is 7 year whether the project should
be feasible or not.
Required: Calculate how much time is required to regain its investment and comment of it acceptability.
Example.3
Initial investment in project HMZ is $10,000. Project life is five years. For the year cash flows from the project HMZ
are $5,000, $1,000, $1,500, $1,250 and $2000 respectively. If target payback period of the company is 4 year whether
the project should be feasible or not.
Required: Calculate time Compute payback period by using non discounting payback period method and comment
of it acceptability.
Solutions
Ex #1
Initial investment
Payback period =
Constant cash inflow
80,000
=
20,000
= 4yrs < targeted 5y.
So accept the project.
Ex #2
Yr Cash flow Cumulative cash flow
T0 (5,000) (5,000)
T1 2,000 (3,000)
T2 1,500 (1,500)
T3 1,000 (500)
T4 500 -
T5
Ex #3
Yr Cash flow Cumulative cash flow
T0 (10,000) (10,000)
T1 5,000 (5,000)
T2 1,000 (4,000)
T3 1,500 (2,500)
T4 1,250 (1,250)
T5 2,000 750
𝑅𝑒𝑞
Payback period = 4𝑦𝑟𝑠 +
𝑅𝑒𝑐
1,250 1,250
= 4𝑦𝑟𝑠 + 4𝑦𝑟𝑠 & [ ] 𝑋12
2,000 2,000
Advanced Methods
Simple interest
1. 1000 x 10% = $100
2. 1000 x 10% = $100
3. 1000 x 10% = $100
Compound interest
1. 1000 x 10% = 100 + 1000 = 1100
2. 1100 x 10% = 110 + 1100 = 1210
3. 1210 x 10% = 121 + 1210 = 1331
Cash flows are reinvested each year resulting in higher principal that increases the interest amount.
Discounting
Where r = cost of capital = WACC = required rate of return
PV = FV (1+r)-n
Assumption:
All cash flows are reinvested in the same project or any other at a given rate of return (cost of capital).
Consistent Cashflows
If Cashflows arises in a series of equal cashflows then it is called Consistent Cashflows. These are of two Types:
Annuity: If Consistent cashflow for a certain Period. e.g Y1-5 or Y3-7
Perpetuity: If Consistent cashflow for infinite period e.g. Y1-∞ or Y3-∞
Present Values of Consistent Cashflows
𝟏−(1 + r)-n
The Annuity Factor =
𝒓
𝟏
The Perpetuity Factor =
𝒓
Annuity Perpetuity
Decision Rule:-
If NPV of the project, discounted at cost of capital, is positive, Accept the project
If NPV of the project, discounted at cost of capital, is negative, Reject the project.
It assumes that cash flows are reinvested at the company’s cost of capital.
NPV is technically more superior method to IRR because of its less rigid assumptions.
Example.5
Mr. Omar have $50,000 in his old age, he wants to invest into ASA. Project life is 5 years and Mr. Omar will get the
cash benefit in following manner.
Year Cash flow ($)
1 16,000
2 14,000
3 12,000
4 10,000
5 8,000
Example.6
Initial investment in a project is $80,000. Project life is 6 years.
Yr Cash flow ($)
1 24,000
2 22,000
3 20,000
4 26,000
5 20,000
6 2000
10
Example.7
An Organization is considering a capital investment in new equipment the estimated cash flows are as follows.
Yr Cash flow ($)
0 (240,000)
1 80,000
2 120,000
3 70,000
4 40,000
5 20,000
Required : Calculate Net Present Value (NPV) of the project to access whether it should be undertaken or not.
Example.8
Wheel Ltd. has the opportunity to invest in investment with the following initial cost & returns (cash profit).
Year A B
$ $
0 (90,000) (20,000)
1 40,000 10,000
2 30,000 8,000
3 20,000 6,000
4 20,000 4,000
5 20,000 4,000
Residual value in case of A $4,000 and in case of B $2,000. Cost of Capital in both situations are 10%.
Example.9
Initial investment in a project is $100,000. Net cash inflows from year 1 to 10 are $60,000, $30,000, $25,000, $20,000,
$18,000, $15,000, $12,000 and $10,000.
11
Solutions
Ex #5
Year Cash flow D.F. PV
T0 (50,000) 1 (50,000)
T1 16,000 0.909 14,545
T2 14,000 0.826 11,564
T3 12,000 0.751 9,012
T4 10,000 0.683 6,830
T5 8,000 0.621 4,968
NPV = - 3,082
Reject the Project
Ex #6
Yr Cash flow D.F. PV
T0 (80,000) 1 (80,000)
T1 24,000 0.952 22,848
T2 22,000 0.907 19,954
T3 20,000 0.863 17,280
T4 26,000 0.823 21,398
T5 20,000 0.784 15,680
T6 2,000 0.746 1,492
NPV = - 18,652
Ex #7
Yr Cash flow D.F. PV
T0 (240,000) 1 (240,000)
T1 80,000 0.917 73,360
T2 120,000 0.842 101,040
T3 70,000 0.772 54,040
T4 40,000 0.708 28,320
T5 20,000 0.650 1,304
29,760
Ex #8
Project A
Yr Cash flow D.F. PV
T0 (90,000) 1 (90,000)
T1 40,000 0.909 36,360
T2 30,000 0.826 24,780
T3 20,000 0.751 15,020
T4 20,000 0.683 13,660
12
Project B
Yr Cash flow D.F. PV
T0 (20,000) 1 (20,000)
T1 40,000 0.909 9,090
T2 8,000 0.826 6,608
T3 6,000 0.751 4,506
T4 4,000 0.683 2,732
T5 6,000 0.621 3,725
NPV = +6,662
Ex #9
Yr Cash flow D.F. PV
T0 (60,000) 1 (60,000)
T1 22,500 0.943 21,218
T2 22,500 0.890 20,025
T3 22,500 0.840 18,900
T4 22,500 0.792 17,820
T5 22,500 0.747 16,808
NPV = +33,771
Decision Rule:-
a) Feasibility Decision:
If IRR of the project > Cost of Capital, Accept the project because the project is adding value to the owner’s
wealth resulting in positive NPV.
If IRR of the project < Cost of Capital, Reject the project because the project is destroying value in shape
of negative NPV.
b) Comparison Decision:
Project with higher IRR shall be preferred.
13
Advantages of IRR:
IRR takes into account the time value of money and thus giving a better picture of the projects viability.
It considers the timing and life of the project.
It can be calculated by assuming any discount rate in its calculation.
IRR is easier to understand as compared to NPV.
Risk can be incorporated into decision making by adjusting the company’s target discount rate.
Disadvantages of IRR:
It ignores the size of investment and length of the project.
It gives no absolute measure to reach at some conclusion.
It is fairly complicated to calculate.
It can be confused with accounting ROCE.
Interpolation technique used in IRR calculation does not give exact answer. It only provides an estimate and if
the margin between required rate of return and IRR is fairly small, this lack of accuracy could result in wrong
decision being taken.
In case of non-conventional cash flows, there may be several IRRs which can mislead the decision makers.
IRR does not give indication about the increase or decrease in the wealth of shareholders.
It considers the long term viability of the project, losses may be made in the short term.
It requires assumption of reinvestment at IRR which may not be fulfilled in case of higher IRR.
Example 1:
Initial investment in a project is $100,000. Net cash flows in year1 are $32,000, year 2 $28,000 and from year 3 to
year 6 $852,000 p.a. cost of capital is 10% p.a.
Example 2:
Initial investment in a project is $50,000. Net cash inflows from year 1 to 8 are $30,000, $15,000, $15,000, $20,000,
$18,000, $15,000, $12,000 and $10,000.
Solutions
Ex # 1
Yr Cash flow D.F. PV D.F. PV
0 (100) 1 (100) 1 (100)
1 32 0.909 29.088 0.833 26.656
2 28 0.826 23.128 0.694 23.128
3 852 0.751 639.852 0.578 492.456
14
2194
IRR = 10% + (20 − 10)
2194−1480
IRR = 40%
Ex # 2
Yr Cash flow D.F. PV D.F PV
T0 (50) 1 (50) 1 (50)
T1 30 0.909 27.27 0.833 24.99
T2 15 0.826 12.39 0.694 10.41
T3 15 0.751 11.26 0.578 8.76
T4 20 0.683 13.66 0.482 9.64
T5 18 0.621 11.17 0.402 7.23
T6 15 0.576 8.64 0.334 5.01
T7 12 0.513 6.156 0.279 3.34
T8 10 0.466 4.66 0.232 2.32
45.236 21.7
45.236
IRR = 10% + (20 − 10)
45.236−21.7
IRR = 29%
Definition:
The time period in which initial investment is recovered in terms of present value, known as payback period
or
The number of years for the present value of the cash out lay to be matched by present value of cash inflows.
It is similar to simple payback period. The only difference is that the discounted cash flows are used instead of simple
cash flows for calculation.
Decision Rule
Feasibility Decision:
If discounted payback period is less than target discounted payback period then ACCEPT the project.
If discounted payback period is more than target discounted payback period then REJECT the project.
Comparison Decision :
Project with minimum discounted payback period should be preferred.
15
It considers cash flows rather than accounting profits, that’s why chances of manipulation are very low.
Risk and uncertainty can be incorporated with the help of risk adjusted cost of capital.
In the situation of capital rationing, it can be used to identify the projects which generate additional cash for
reinvestment quickly.
Short payback period result in increased liquidity and enable business to grow more quickly, so used in rapidly
changing technologies and industries.
Example.1
Initial investment in a project A is $60,000. Net cash inflows during project life of 7 years are $25,000, $20,000,
$18,000, $16,000, $15,000, $13,000 & $10,000.
Required:
i) Calculate payback period
ii) Calculate discounted payback period. (If cost of capital is 10% p.a.)
Example.2
Initial investment in a project $500,000. Initial investment includes investment in working capital of 10%. Scrap value
of initial investment is 10%. Project life is 5 years. Net cash flows from the project are $200,000, $180,000, $160,000,
$(20,000) and $67,000.
Required:
If cost of capital is 15% p.a. calculates the NPV.
Example.3
Initial investment in a project $50,000.Project life 8 years .Net cash flows are as below:
Years Cash flows ($)
1 24,000
2 20,000
3 16,000
4 12,000
5 10,000
16
6 68,000
7 6,000
8 4,000
Required:
i. Calculate the simple payback period.
ii. Calculate discounted payback period.
Solutions
Ex #1 (a)
Yr Cash flow Cumulative cash flow
T0 (60,000) (60,000)
T1 25,000 (35,000)
T2 20,000 (15,000)
T3 18,000 3,000
T4
T5
15,000
Pay period = 2 + 𝑦𝑟
18,000
= 2.83y
(b)
Yr Cash flow D.F. PV Cum PV
T0 (60,000) 1 (60,000) (60,000)
T1 25,000 0.909 22,725 (37,275)
T2 20,000 0.826 16,520 (20,755)
T3 18,000 0.751 13,518 (7,237)
T4 16,000 0.683 10,928 3691
T5 15,000 0.621 93,159
7237
= 3yr +
10928
= 3.66Yr
Ex #2
= 2.4 yr
17
Yr
D.F. PV Cum PV
T0 (550) 1 (550) (550)
T1 200 0.909 181.8 (368.2)
T2 180 0.826 148.68 219.52
T3 160 0.751 120.16 99.36
T4 (20) 0.683 (13.660) (113.02)
T5 167 0.621 103.707 (10.02)
The initial investment’s recovers so, reject the project
The effect of taxation will not necessarily occur in the same year as the relevant cash flow that comes in.
18
3 1125 281 84 4
19
Inflation
Definition:-
Inflation may be defined as a general increase in prices, leading to general decline in the real value of money.
(Decrease in purchasing power)
Inflation
20
In times of inflation, the fund providers will require a return made up of two elements.
i. A return to compensate for inflation (to maintain purchasing power).
ii. A real return on top of this for the use of their funds.
The required return that incorporates both of these elements is known as a money return.
Note:
In case of general inflation, either of the two methods can be used.
In case of specific inflation, only applicable method is Money method
ILUSTRATION 6
A company is considering to invest in a project with its life of 4 years. Total working capital required at the
beginning of each year is as follows:
Year Cashflows
$’000
1 500
2 700
3 1000
4 600
21
Required:
Calculate the working capital cashflows of each year to be included in NPV calculation?
Solution
Scrap Value X
Net Cash flows (X) X X X X
X Discount Factor X X X X X
Present Values (X) X X X X
Net Present Value X
Capital rationing:
Where the finance available for capital expenditure is limited to an amount which prevents acceptance of all new
projects with a positive NPV, the company is said to experience “capital rationing”.
22
Lecture example
A company has four projects under consideration.
Project A Initial investment $60,000 .project life 3 years. Net cash inflows per year are $30,000, $45,000 &
$27,000 respectively.
Project B Initial investment is $80,000. Project life is 4 yrs. Net cash inflows from the project in yr 1 $50,000,
yr 2 $30,000, yr 3 $28,000 and yr 4 $25,000.
23
The company has only $335,000 currently available. Additional funds will be freely available in future years. If cost
of capital is 10% p.a.
Required:
a) Calculate Net present value of each project.
b) Assuming no capital rationing situation, decide which projects to be accepted and also calculate their
total net present value.
c) Assuming capital rationing situation, calculate profitability index for each project.
d) If projects are divisible determine the optimal investment plan.
e) Using the above investment plan calculate the associated NPV.
f) Assuming that the projects are indivisible find out the optimal investment plan.
g) Using the above investment plan, find out the relevant NPV.
Solutions
Ex # 1
Project A:
NPV = PV of inflow – PV of outflow
= 30,000 x 0.909 x 45,000 x 0.826 + 27,000 x 0.751 – 60,0000 x 1
= 84,717 – 60,000
= 24,717
Project B
NPV = 50,000 x 0.909 + 30,000 x 0.826 + 28,000 x 0.751 + 25,000 x 0.683 – 80,000 x 1
= 45,450 + 24,780 + 21,028 + 17,075 – 80,000
= 28,333
Project C
NPV = 21,000 x 4.865 – 100,000
= 102,288 – 100,000
= 2,228
Project D
NPV = 60,000 x 0.909 + 50,000 x 0.826 + 30,000 x 0.751 + 28,000 x 0.680 + 35,000 x 0.621 – 120,000 x 1
NPV = 39,229
In case of divisibility:
NPV P.I.
A 24,717 1.4119 (1)
B 28,333 1.354 (2)
C 2,228 1.0222 (4)
D 39,229 1.3269 (3)
24
(C)
$ NPV
335,000
A (100%) (60,000) 24,717
275,000
B (100%) 80,000 28,333
19,5000
C (100%) 120,000 1,671
75,000
Total NPV 93,950
Indivisible
Req. NPV
A+B+C 24,000 55,278
A+ B + D 260,000 92,279
B+C+D 300,000 69,790
A+C+D 280,000 66,174
The best decision is to choose the option with the lowest EAC.
Key ideas/assumptions:
Cash inflows from trading (revenues) are not normally considered in this type of question. The assumption being
that they will be similar regardless of the replacement decision.
The operating efficiency of machines will be similar with differing machines or with machines of differing ages.
The assets will be replaced in perpetuity.
25
Lecture example.1
A company operates a machine which has the following costs and resale values over its four year life. purchase cost:
$25,000.
Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4
$ $ $ $
Running costs (cash expenses) 7,500 11,000 12,500 15,000
Resale value (end of year) 15,000 10,000 7,500 2,500
Required: You are required to assess how frequently the asset should be replaced.
Lecture example.2
Naurfold regularly buys new delivery vans. Each van costs £30,000, has running costs of £3,000 and a scrap value of
£10,000 in its 1st year. In its 2nd year the van has higher running costs (£4,000) & a lower scrap value (£7,000).
Vehicles are not kept for > 2 years for reliability reasons.
Required: Using Naurfold’s cost of capital of 15%, identify how often the van should be replaced. Ignore tax.
Lecture example.3
A company operates a machine which has the following costs and resale values over its three year life .purchase
cost: $30,000.
Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4
$ $ $ $
The organization’s cost of capital is 25%.specific inflation in running cost and residual value is 6% & 7.5% respectively.
Required : You are required to assess how frequently the asset should be replaced.
Solutions
Ex # 1
Everyone Yr
T0 T1
$000) $(000)
Purchase cost (25
Running cost (7.5)
Residual value 15
Cash flow (25) 7.5
D.F. 10% 1 0.909
26
(25) 6.818
NPV = (18.181
18.181
Annual Equivalent Cost (AEC) =
0.909
= (2.001)
Every two Yr
T0 T1 T2
$(000) $(000) $(000)
Purchase cost (25)
Running cost (7.5) (11)
Residual value 10
(25) (7.5) (1)
D.F. 10% 1 0.909 0.826
(25) 6.818 (0.826)
NPT = - 32.644
−32.664
EAC =
1.736
EAC = (18.804)
Every three yr
T0 T1 T2 T3
$(000) $(000) $(000) $(000)
Purchase cost (25)
Running cost (7.5) (11) (12.5)
Residual value 7.5
(25) (7.5) (11) (5)
1 0.909 0.826 0.751
NPV = (44.659)
44.659
EAC =
2.486
EAC = (17,964)
Every four yr
T0 T1 T2 T3 T4
$(000) $(000) $(000) $(000)
Purchase cost (25)
Running cost (7.5) (11) (12.5) (15)
Residual value 2.5
(25) (7.5) (11) 12.5 (12.5)
D.F. 10% 1 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683
(25) (6.818) (9.086) (9.388) (8.536)
NPV= 58.830
58.830
EAC = = (185.64)
3.169
27
Ex #2
T0 T1
$(000) $(000)
Purchase cost (30)
Running cost (3)
Residual value 10
Cash flow (30) 7
D.F. 10% 1 0.869
(30) 6.083
NPV = (23.917)
(23.917)
Annual Equivalent Cost (AEC) = = (21.522)
0.869
NPV = - 30.339
(30.339)
EAC =
1.625
= (18.670)
Every two ye best.
Ex #3
T0 T1
$(000) $(000)
Purchase cost (30)
Running cost (7.42)
Residual value 12.9
Cash flow (30) 5.48
D.F. 1 0.80
(30) 4.384
NPV = (25.62
25.62
EAC = = (32.09)
0.80
Every 2 yr
T0 T1 T2
28
NPV = (38.084)
(38.084)
EAC =
1.44
= (26.44)
Every three yr
T0 T1 T2 T3
$(000) $(000) $(000) $(000)
Purchase cost (30)
Running cost (7.42) (14.045) (15.483)
Residual value 10.187
(30) (7.42) (14.045) (5.296)
1 0.80 0.64 0.512
(30) (5.936) (8.98) (2.71)
NPV = (47.637)
47.637
EAC =
1.952
EAC = (24,404)
Key information
Discount rate = post tax cost of borrowing.
The rate is given by the rate on the bank loan in the question, if it is pre-tax then the rate must be adjusted for tax.
If the loan rate was 10% pre-tax and corporation tax is 30% then the post -tax rate would be 7%. (10% x (1 – 0.3).
Cash flows :
Bank loan Finance Lease
29
Other considerations:
Who receives the residual value in the lease agreement? It is possible that the residual value may be received
wholly by the lesser or almost completely by the lessee.
There may be restrictions associated with the taking on of leased equipment. The agreements tend to be much
more restrictive than bank loans.
Are there any additional benefits associated with lease agreement? Many lease agreements include within the
payments, some measure of maintenance or other support service.
Lecture example.4
Smicer plc is considering how to finance a new project that has been accepted by its investment appraisal process.
For the four year life of the project the company can either arrange a bank loan at an interest rate of 15% before
corporation tax relief. The loan is for $100,000 and would be taken out immediately prior to the year end. The
residual value of the equipment is $10,000 at the end of the fourth year. An alternative would be to lease the asset
over four years at a rental of $30,000 per annum payable in advance. Tax is payable at 33% one year in arrears.
Capital allowances are available at 25% on the written down value of the asset.
Solutions
Ex #4
CA
W Capital allowance
100 Tax saving
(25)
CAI 8.25
75
(18.75)
CAII 6.18
56.25
(14.063)
CAIII 4.641
42.187
30
(10)
R.V
32.187
(32.187)
CA IV 10.622
∝
Lease
T0 T1 T2 T3 T4
$(000) $(000) $(000) $(000) $(000)
(30) (30) (30) (30) (30)
Tax saving on CA 9.90 9.90 9.90 9.90
(30) (20.1) (20.1) (20.1) (20.1)
D.F. 10% 1 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683
(30) (18.271) (16.603) (15.095) 6.762
NPV = 73.207
31
Before deciding to spend money on a project, managers will want to be able to make a judgment on the
risk/uncertainty of its return.
Risk:-
A condition in which several possible outcomes exist, the probabilities of which can be quantified from historical
data.
Uncertainty:-
The inability to predict possible outcomes due to a back of historical data being available for quantification.
Risk:-
Expected values:-
The quantitative result of weighting uncertain events by the probability of their occurrence.
Or
Using probabilities to create an assessment of the average expected net present value from an investment.
The simple expected value decision rule is appropriate, if three conditions are met or nearly met.
There is a reasonable basis for making the forecast and estimating the probability of different outcomes.
The decision is relatively small in relation to the business. Risk is then small in magnitude.
The decision is for a category of decisions that are often made. A technique, which maximizes average pay off,
is then valid.
Advantages of expected value method:-
Recognizes that there are several possible outcomes and is therefore, more sophisticated then single value
forecasts.
Enable the probability of the different outcomes to be quantified.
32
Example.1
Mr. Sajid wants to open a campus in Sargodha. Initial investment is $100,000. Project life is 4 years.
Example.2
Initial investment in a project is $300,000. Project life is 2 years. Net cash inflows from the project are :
Year 1:
Cash flows ($) Probability
100,000 0.25
200,000 0.50
300,000 0.25
33
Year 2:
If cash inflow in year 1 Cash flows in year2 Probability is
($): ($)
100,000 0.25
200,000 0.50
300,000 0.25
iii) 300,000
200,000 0.25
300,000 0.50
350,000 0.25
Uncertainty:-
Uncertainty cannot be quantified, but can be described using different techniques e.g. payback period. Adjusted
payback period, sensitivity analysis and simulation.
The quicker the payback the less relevant a project is on the later, more uncertain cash flows.
Sensitivity Analysis:
Definitions:-
Sensitivity analysis assess how responsive the projects’ NPV is to changes in the variables used to calculate that net
present value.
In general, risky projects are those whose future cash flows, and hence the project returns, are likely to be variable.
The greater the variability is, the greater the risk. The problem of risk is more accurate with capital investment
decisions than other decisions for the following reasons.
Estimates of capital expenditure might be for several years ahead, such as for major consumption projects.
Actual costs may escalate well above budget as the work progresses.
Estimates for benefits will be for several years ahead, sometimes 10, 15 or 20 years ahead or even longer, and
long-term estimates can be at best by approximations.
Practical factors may be those over which managers have no control.
34
The best approach of sensitivity analysis is to calculate the projects net present value under alternative assumptions
to determine how sensitive it is to changing conditions. This indicates which variables may impact most upon the
net present value (critical variables) and the extent to which those variables may change before the investment
results in a negative NPV.
Lecture example:
Initial investment in a project is $1,000,000.
Project life is 4 years.
Sales limits per year are 20,000.
$/unit
Selling price 100
Material cost 50
Labour cost 20
Variable overheads 5.0
Increment fixed cost is $100,000 per annum cost of capital is 10% p.a.
35
Required:
a) Calculate net present value of the project.
b) Calculate sensitivity of each variable of the project.
Solutions
Sensitivity Analysis
Yr Cash flow D.F. PV
T0 Initial inv. (1000) 1 (1000)
T1 – T4 Sales 2000 3.169 6338
T1 – T4 Mat (1000) 3.169 (3169)
T1 – T4 Lab (400) 3.169 (267)
T1 – T4 v.FOH (100) 3.169 (316.9)
T1 – T4 Inc. F.C (150) 3.169 (475.35)
T4 RV 50 0.683 34.150
+ 143.37
𝑁𝑃𝑉
% age sensitivity =
𝑃𝑉 𝑜𝑓 𝑣𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒
143.3
Initial NPV = × 100
1000
= 14.33%
143.3
Sales = × 100 => 2.26%
6338
143.3
Mat = × 100 => 4.526%
3169
143.3
Lab = × 100 => 11.3%
1267.6
143.3
V.FOH = × 100 => 45.22%
3169
143.3
In. FC = × 100 => 30.14%
475.35
143.3
R.V = × 100 => 419.61%
34.150
Certainty equivalents:
Definition:-
One particular approach to sensitivity analysis, the certainty equivalent approach, involves the conversion of the
expected cash flows of the project to risk less equivalent amounts. The greater the risk of an expected cash flow, the
smaller the certainty equivalent value (for receipts) or the larger the certainty equivalent value (for payments). The
disadvantage of the certainty equivalent approach is that the amount of the adjustment to each cash flow is decided
subjectively by management. As the cash flow are reduced to supposedly certain amounts they should then be
discounted at a risk free rate.
36
Lecture example:
$/Annum
Sales Revenue 40,000
Material cost 15,000
Labour cost 5,000
Cost of capital 10%
Following are the ratio of certainty equivalent for cash inflows and cash outflow.
Year Cash inflow Cash outflow
1 0.95 1.06
2 0.90 1.10
3 0.85 1.15
4 0.80 1.18
Solutions
Ex #1
T0 T1 T2 T3 T4
$(000) $(000) $(000) $(000) $(000)
Sales 38 36 34 32
Less MC (15.9) (16.5) (17.25) (17.7)
Less VC (5.3) (5.5) (5.75) (5.9)
Initial (20)
(200 16.8 14 11 8.4
D.F 1 0.909 0.826 0.751 0.683
(20) 15..271 11.564 8.261 5.737
NPV = +20.833
Simulation:
use of simulation:-
Simulation is a technique, which allows more than one variable to change at the same time. One example of
simulation is a mathematical model, which could be approached using the “Monte Carlo” method.
37
Stages in simulation:-
Specify the major variables
Specify the relationship between the variables
Attach probability distribution to each variable and assign random members to reflect the distribution.
Stimulate the environment by generating random numbers.
Reward the outcomes of each simulation.
Repeat simulation many times to obtain a probability distribution of likely outcomes.
Advantages of simulation:
It gives more information about the possible outcomes and their relative probability.
It is useful for problems, which cannot be solved analytically.
Limitations in simulation:
It is not a technique for making a decision only for obtaining more information about the possible outcomes.
It can be very time-consuming without a computer.
It could prove expensive in designing and running the simulation on a computer.
Simulations are only as good as the probabilities assumptions and estimates made.
Variables:-
The net present value could depend on a number of certain independent variables.
Selling price
Sales volume
Cost of capital
Initial cost
Operating costs
Benefit
38
Cost of Capital
A fundamental calculation for all companies is to establish its financing costs, both individually for each component
of finance and in total terms. These will be of use both in terms of assessing the financing of the business and as a
cost of capital for use in investment appraisal.
Overall Return
A combination of two elements determine the return required by an investor for a given financial instrument.
1. Risk-free return – The level of return expected of an investment with zero risk to the investor.
2. Risk premium – the amount of return required above and beyond the risk-free rate for an investor to be
willing to invest in the company
Degree of Risk
WACC
Capital
structure
theories
39
Cost of debt: this the after-tax return required by the debt holders of the company. The symbol used to represent
after-tax cost of debt is Kd (1 – t).
Cost of preference shares: the return required by the the preference shareholders of the company. The symbol used
to represent cost of preference shares is Kp.
Dividend Valuation Model: used for companies that pay: Constant dividend
Constant growth in dividends
𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑
M.v =
𝐾𝑒
𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑
Ke = 𝑋 100%
𝑃0
Where,
𝑃0 = Current market value of equity share
𝐾𝑒 = cost of equity
Where,
𝑃0 = Current Ex-market value of equity share
40
Cum-Dividend Price
Less: Dividend
Ex-Dividend Price
Munero Ltd paid a dividend of 6p per share 8 years ago, and the current dividend is 11p. The current share
price is $2.58 ex div
Required:
Calculate the cost of equity
Solution
8 11
𝑔=√ − 1 = 7.9%
6
Required:
Estimate the cost of equity
41
SOLUTION
g = 12% X (1-30%) = 8.4%
Systematic risk is how market factors effect that investment. Market factors are:-
Macroeconomic variables
Political factors
CAPM assumes that the investor has eliminated the unsystematic risk.
Diversification
By holding a portfolio, the unsystematic risk is diversified away but the systematic risk is not and will be present in
all portfolios. If we were to enlarge our portfolio to include approximately 25 shares we would expect the
unsystematic risk to be reduced to close to zero, the implication being that we may eliminate the Unsystematic
portion of overall risk by spreading investment over a sufficiently diversified portfolio.
42
CAPM Formula
Cost of Equity = Rf + β (Risk Premium)
Where,
Rf = Risk free rate
β = measure of relative systematic risk
Risk Premium = ERM Rf
RM = Expected Return on Market
(Rm-Rf)=Market risk premium or equity risk premium
It is assumed that investors are rational & will hold a well diversified portfolio (unsystematic risk will be reduced to
minimum level).
Transaction cost is low or nil.
Investors have homogeneous expectations about the market.
Market is perfect and all investors have same level of information & no individual can dominate the market.
Debt beta is zero.
There is no cost of acquiring information. No individual can dominate the market.
Advantages of CAPM
It considers only systematic risk, reflecting a reality in which most investors have diversified portfolios from
which unsystematic risk has been essentially eliminated.
It generates a theoretically – derived relationship between required return and systematic risk which has been
subject to frequent empirical research and testing.
It is generally seen as a much better method of calculating the cost of equity than the dividend growth model
(DGM) in that it explicitly takes into account a company’s level of systematic risk relative to the stock market
as a whole.
It is clearly superior to the WACC in providing discount rates for use in investment appraisal.
Limitations of CAPM
It might be difficult to locate information needed for calculating CAPM. Government securities are assumed to
be risk- free, but the return on these securities varies according to their term to maturity. Market rate of return
is hard to estimate different economic environments and the probabilities of the various environments. An
appropriate Beta equity might not be located, as it might not be feasible to find a proxy company with business
operations similar to the proposed investment project. Moreover, most companies have a range of business
operations they undertake and so their equity betas do not reflect only the desired level and type of business
risk.
It assumes that a perfect capital market exists, when in reality capital markets are only semi- strong form
efficient at best.
It assumes that investors hold diversified portfolio’s, i.e. the investors will only require a return for the
systematic risk of their portfolios, since unsystematic risk has been removed and can be ignored. This is not
necessarily the case, meaning that some unsystematic risk may remain.
The CAPM is really just a single Period model. Few investment projects last for one year only and to extend the
use of the return estimated from the model to more than one time period would require both project
performance relative to the market and the economic environment to be reasonably stable.
43
However, the model gives no explanation as to why different shares have different costs of equity. Why might one
share have a cost of equity of 15% and another of 20%? The reason that different shares have different rates of
return is that they have different risks, but this is not made explicit by the dividend growth model. That model simply
measures what’s there without offering an explanation. Note particularly that a business cannot alter its cost of
equity by changing its dividends.
Dividend valuation model might suggest that the rate of return would be lowered if the company reduced its
dividends or the growth rate. That is not so. All that would happen is that a cut in dividends or dividend growth rate
would cause the market value of the company to fall to a level where investors obtain the return they require.
The CAPM explains why different companies give different returns. It states that the required return is based on
other returns available in the economy (the risk free and the market returns) and the systematic risk of the
investment – its beta value. Not only does CAPM offer this explanation, it also offers ways of measuring the data
needed. The risk free rate and market returns can be estimated from economic data. So too can the beta values of
listed companies. It is, in fact, possible to buy books giving beta values and many investment websites quote
investment betas.
When an investment and the market is in equilibrium, prices should have been adjusted and should have settled
down so that the return predicted by CAPM is the same as the return that is measured by the dividend growth model.
44
The company’s financial gearing. High borrowing and interest cost will cause high variation in equity earning
compared with variation in operating profit, increasing the equity beta as equity returns become more variable
in relation to market as whole. This effect will countered by the low beta of debt when computing the weighted
average beta of the whole company.
45
Example
The 10% irredeemable loan notes of Rifa plc are quoted at $120 ex-interest. Corporation tax is payable at
30%
Required:
What is the cost of debt net?
SOLUTION
10(1−30%)
𝐾𝑑(𝑛𝑒𝑡) = 𝑋100% = 5.83%
120
×× ××
46
Required:
3.43 (12.42)
3.43
Kd (1 – t) =5% + [ 𝑋(10 − 5)] % = 𝟔. 𝟎𝟖%
3.43+12.42
Convertible Debt
Here bond holders have choice to either redeem the debt or convert the debt into predetermined number of shares.
The method of calculating cost of debt for convertible is same as calculating the cost of debt of redeemable debt.
The problem here is that we do not know whether the bond holder would exercise the conversion option or not.
Therefore we take higher value of redemption value or conversion value.
Where,
g = Share price growth
n = no. of years in conversion
47
Required:
Answer:
Conversion Value = 20× 4.44 × 1.05^4=$108
Redemption Value=$100
Investor are rational and will chose the higher Value
(7) 10
10
Kd (1 – t) =5% + [ 𝑋(10 − 5)] % = 𝟕. 𝟗𝟒%
10+7
Non-tradable Debt
An example of non-tradable debt is bank loan.
Kd=Interest % x (1-t)
48
Preference Shares
Irredeemable Preference Shares Redeemable Preference Shares
The cost of capital is calculated in the same way as the The cost of capital is calculated in the same way as the
cost of equity, assuming a constant annual dividend. cost of redeemable debt. Assuming before tax
preference dividend as no tax deduction is allowable on
M.v = Preference Dividend preference dividend.
r
r or KD = Preference Dividend
Market value
Example
Bar plc has 20m ordinary 25p shares quoted at $3, and $8m of loan notes quoted at $85. The cost of equity has
already been calculated at 15% and the cost of debt (net of tax) is 7.6%.
Required:
Calculate WACC?
SOLUTION
Market Value of Equity = 20m X $3 = $60m
Market Value of Debt = $8m X 85/100 = $6.8m
Total capital (60+6.8) = $66.8m
49
14.25%
50
Cost of debt: There is no impact on the cost of debt until the level of gearing is prohibitively high. When this level is
reached the cost of debt rises.
Gearing (D/E)
Key point : As the gearing level increases initially the WACC will fall. However, this will happen upto an appropriate
gearing level. After that level WACC will start to rise. There is an optimal level of gearing at which the WACC is
minimized and the value of the company is maximized.
Assumptions:
1. Perfect capital market exist where individuals and companies can borrow unlimited amounts at the same rate
of interest.
2. There are no taxes or transaction costs.
3. Personal borrowing is a perfect substitute for corporate borrowing.
4. Firms exist with the same business or systematic risk but different level of gearing.
5. All projects and cash flows relating thereto are perpetual and any debt borrowing is also perpetual.
6. All earnings are paid out as dividend.
7. Debt is risk free.
51
The increase in Ke directly compensates for the substitution of expensive equity with cheaper debt. Therefore, the
WACC is constant regardless of the level of gearing.
If the weighted average cost of capital is to remain constant at all levels of gearing it follows that any benefit from
the use of cheaper debt finance must be exactly offset by the increase in the cost of equity.
Implication: As the level of gearing rises the overall WACC falls. The company benefits from having the highest level
of debt possible.
52
53
There are no issue costs if retained earnings are Pecking order theory is an explanation of what
used, and the issue costs of debt are lower than businesses actually do rather than what they
those of equity. should be looking forward to do.
Systematic Risk
54
Systematic Risk
From the shareholder perspective, systematic risk is the sum of business risk and financial risk, Systematic risk is the
risk that remains after a shareholder has diversified investments in a portfolio, so that the risk specific to individual
companies has been diversified away and the shareholder is faced with risk relating to the market as a whole. Market
risk and diversifiable risk are therefore other names for systematic risk. From a shareholder perspective, the
systematic risk of a company can be assessed by equity beta of the company. If the company has debt in its capital
structure, the systematic risk reflected by the equity beta will include both business risk and financial risk. If company
is financial entirely by equity, the systematic risk reflected by the equity beta will be business risk alone, in which
case the equity beta will be the same as the asset beta.
The Formula
𝑽𝒆
𝜷𝒂 = 𝑿 𝜷𝒆
𝑽𝒆 +𝑽𝒅 (𝟏−𝑻)
Where:
Ve = Market Value of Equity
Vd = Market Value of Debt
55
Example
Techno, an all equity agro-chemical firm, is about to invest in a diversification in the consumer pharmaceutical
industry. Its current equity beta is 0.8, whilst the average equity β of pharmaceutical firms is 1.3. Gearing in the
pharmaceutical industry averages 40% debt, 60% equity. Corporate debt is available at 5%.
Rm = 14%, Rf = 4%, corporation tax rate = 30%.
Required:
What would be a suitable discount rate for the new investment if Techno were to finance the new project
with 30% debt and 70% equity?
SOLUTION
1. Pharmaceutical Industry 𝛽𝑒 = 1.3
60
2. 𝛽𝑎 = 𝑋 1.3 = 0.89
60+40(1−30%)
70+30(1−30%)
3. 𝛽𝑒 = 𝑋 0.89 = 1.16
70
5. WACC
Source Propotion X Cost WACC
Equity 70% X 15.6% 10.92%
Debt 30% X 5% (1-30%) 1.05%
WACC 11.97%
56
Business Valuation
Equity Valuation
Cash-Flow based Method
• Dividend Valuation Model
57
a) Investors act rationally and homogenously. The model fails to take into account the different expectations of
shareholders, nor how much they are motivated by dividends versus future capital appreciation on their shares.
b) The D0 figure used does not vary significantly from the trend of dividends. If D0 does appear to be a rouge figure.
It may be better to use an adjusted trend figure, calculated on the basis of the past few years dividends.
c) The estimates of future dividends and prices used, and also the cost of capital are reasonable. As with other
methods, it may be difficult to make a confident estimate of the cost of capital. Dividend estimates may be made
from historical trends that may not be a good guide for a future, or derived from uncertain forecasts about
future earnings.
d) Directors use dividends to signal the strength of the company’s position (however company’s that pay zero
dividends do not have zero share values).
e) Dividends either show no growth or constant growth. If the growth rate is calculated using “g=b x R”, then the
model assumes that ‘b’ and ‘R’ are constant.
f) Other market influences on share prices are ignored.
g) The company’s earnings will increase sufficiently to maintain dividend growth levels.
h) The Discount Rate used, always exceeds the dividend growth rate.
Adjustments:
Monetary assets: book value
Tangible assets:
Replacement value( if purpose is going concern)
Realizable Value( if purpose is of disposal)
Book value( if above values are not available)
58
EXAMPLE
The minimum amount that the shareholders should accept for this business is $1,550,000, the amount of share
capital plus reserves after revaluation (or alternatively, $2,550,000 – 400,000 – 600,000).
59
Market Value of Target Company = Earnings per Share of Target Company X P/E Ratio of Proxy or (Industry
Average)
Adjustments.
Adjust earnings for one off exceptional items (After-tax).
If target company is a private company then downwards adjust the calculated market value because:
Public company has better image over private company
Public company shares are more marketable and liquid
Public company is less risky as compared to private company.
If we are using P/E ratio of quoted company for the valuation of unquoted company then we reduced it by 30% to
reflect the poor quality of earnings.
Price/Earning Method
If private company has better growth prospects then upwards adjust the calculated market value.
For better analysis use Forecasted earnings.
M.V of Target Co= Forecasted Earnings x P/E Ratio of Industry
In exam we will calculate both values (using historic earnings and forecasted earnings) and suggest that market
value of the company should be in between
Market Value of Target Company/ Share = EPS of Target Company X 1/ Earning Yield (Proxy)
60
Valuation of Debt
Irredeemable Debt
• These debts involve a company paying interest every year in perpetuity, without ever having to redeem the
loan.
• M.V = Annual Interest paid/Rate of Return by debt investors
• Tax effect should be ignored.
• Rate of Return by debt investors=Before tax Kd
Redeemable Debt
• The market value of the redeemable debt is the discounted present value of future interest receivable, up to
the year of redemption, plus the discounted present value of the redemption payment at before tax Kd
• Bank loan or Variable rate loan
• Book Value=Market Value
Convertible Debt
• Convertible bonds give bondholders the right but not the obligation to convert their bonds into a predetermined
number of shares at predetermined dates prior to the bond's maturity.
• This is calculated same way as Redeemable debt.
• Conversion value = P0 (1+g)^n R
WHERE -
P0 = Current ex-dividend ordinary share price
g = Expected annual growth rate of ordinary share price
n = Number of years to conversion
R = Number of shares received on conversion
Total present
value=M.V
61
Efficient Markets
Features of Efficient Markets
It has been argued that the UK and USA stock markets are efficient capital markets i.e. the markets in which:
i. Informational Processing Efficiency: The prices of securities bought and sold reflect all the relevant information
which is available to the buyers and sellers, in other words, share prices change quickly to reflect all new
information about future prospects. Market will absorb information in no time.
ii. No individual dominates the market.
iii. Operational efficiency
Transaction costs of buying and selling are not so high as to discourage trading significantly.
iv. Allocative efficiency:
Investors are rational and will invest in high profit company instead of loss making.
v. There are low, or no costs of acquiring information.
Weak-Form Efficiency
• In weak form efficiency, the hypothesis asserts that all past information and data are fully reflected in the price
of securities.
• No investor can earn excess returns by developing trading rules based solely on historical price or return
information.
This means that individuals cannot ‘beat the market’ by reading the newspapers or annual reports, since the
information contained in these will be reflected in the share prices.
Technical Analyst:
Charting or ‘Technical analysis’ attempt to predict share price movements by assuming that past price patterns will
be repeated. There is no real theoretical justification for this approach, but it can at times be spectacularly successful.
Studies have suggested that the degree of success is greater then could be expressed merely from chance.
Fundamental Analyst:It is based on the theory that the realistic market price of a share can be derived from a
valuation of estimated future dividends. The value of a share will be the discounted present value of all future
expected dividends on the shares, discounted at the shareholders’ cost of capital.
62
Insider:
Technical analyst Fundamental analyst insiders
63
Sources of Finance
Factors to consider in choosing appropriate source of finance
1) Cost of funds (Normally debt is cheaper)
o Since secured hence low risk for provider
o Guaranteed returns
o Definite maturity
o Tax saving by interest
2) Duration of need (Matching)
3) Gearing ratio (High gearing High risk)
4) Accessibility - Generally difficult for small co. to raise debt
Equity
Ordinary Shares
Owning a share confers part ownership.
High risk investments offering higher returns.
Permanent financing.
Post-tax appropriation of profit, not tax efficient.
Marketable if listed
Advantages
Access to wider pool of finance
Better image
Releasing capital for other uses
Possibilities of acquisition and growth
Disadvantages
Increased public scrutiny of the company
Possibility of dilution of control
Increased costs e.g. corporate governance, internal audit
These are readily available and have no issuance cost however they may be not sufficient to fund large projects.
Methods for Share Issuance
Offer for Sale
Placing
Rights Issue
64
This method involves a corporation selling a new issue of share to an issuing house, and the issuing house
will bear the risks of selling shares to other investors.
The price is determined by the company in consultation with the sponsor and the broker who also helps to
manage the issue.
The price is decided in such a manner that it is attractive to shareholders, as it is lower than the market
price.
The issue is underwritten so that the company can be confident of the success of the issue. (The
underwriters subscribe to the shares that are not taken up by the public).
The public is invited to bid for the shares at a price that is equal to or above this level.
The striking price is determined after the offers been received. (A striking price is a price that ensures that
all the shares on offer are sold)
65
Advantages
• Right issues are cheaper then offer for sale to general public.
• A right issue secures the discount on market price for existing shareholders, who may either keep the
shares or sell them if they want.
• Relative voting rights are unaffected if shareholders all take up their rights.
• The finance raised may be used to reduce gearing in book value terms by increasing share capital
• To pay off long-term debt which will reduce gearing in market value terms
Disadvantages
• The amount finance that can be raised by right issues of unquoted companied is limited by funds
available to existing shareholders.
• Choosing the best issue price may be problematic.
• If the price is considered too high, the issue may not be fully subscribed.
• If the price too low, the company will not have raised all the funds.
• Right issues cannot be used to widen the base the base of shareholders.
Example
Existing Shares = 1,000,000
Existing Share Price = $4/Share
Company wants to raise $800,000 using a rights issue, incurring an issuance cost of 20,000.
Right Price = $3/Share
Solution
Rights Shares = 800000/3 = 266,667
TERP = (1000000 x 4) + (800000 – 20000)
1000000 + 266667
= $3.77/Share
Value of Right
= TERP – Right Price
= 3.77 – 3
= $0.77
Example 2 (Part a)
Existing no of share = 400,000
Existing share price = $5
Right Price = $4.20
Company is issuing one new share against every four shares currently held.
66
Solution
TERP = (400000 x 5) + (4.2 x 400000/4)
400000 + (400000/4)
= $4.84
Value of Right = 4.84 – 4.20
= $0.64
Example 2 (Part b)
An investor has 1000 shares of this company. What are the different options available to this investor at time of
rights issue?
Steps
• Calculate revised earnings or revised EPS
• Right issue funds invested in new project or redeeming the loan which will directly increase the earnings
• Existing Price-to-earnings ratio will remain constant and calculate new market value using this equation.
• Revised M.V= Revised Earning × Constant P/E ratio
• If revised market value > TERP, then shareholders wealth will be Maximized.
67
Preference Shares
Cumulative Preference Shares
Non-Cumulative Preference Shares
Participating Preference Shares
Non-Participating Preference Shares
Types of Bonds
Deep Discount Bonds
Zero Coupon Bonds
Convertible Bonds
• Market Value
• Floor Value
• Conversion Premium
68
Convertible Bonds:
Convertible bonds are fixed interest debt securities, which the holder can choose to convert into ordinary shares of
the company.
• This conversion takes place at a pre-determined rate and date.
• If the conversion doesn’t take place, the bonds will run their full life and be redeemed on maturity.
Conversion Rate:
The conversion rate is expressed as a conversion ratio i.e the number of ordinary shares to be issued in exchange of
one bond, or part of it.
Conversion Value:
The conversion value is the market value of shares expected to be issued in conversion of one bond.
Conversion Premium:
The conversion premium is the difference between the market price of the convertible bond and the market price
of the shares into which the bond is expected to converted.
For example:
The market value of a convertible bond is $14. It is convertible into 3 ordinary shares . Market Value of one ordinary
share is $4.
69
Warrants:
The right to buy the new ordinary shares in a company at a future date, at the exercise price (a fixed, pre-determined
price) is known as warrant.
Usually warrants are issed along with loan stock, in order to make the loan stock attractive.
Advantages of warrants to investor:
a) Low intital investment
b) Due to lower intial investment, the risk of loss of investment is also lower.
Venture Capital
Venture capital is a risk capital, normally provided in return for an equity stake.
Venture capital requires representative in BOD.
Types of Venture:
Business start-ups
Business development
Management buyout
Helping a company where one of its owners wants to realize all or part of his investment
70
The market and competition Threat from rival producers or future new
entrants
Future profits Detailed business plan showing profit
prospects that compensate for risks
Representation in the Board To take account of VC’s interests and ensure
VC has say in future strategy
Risk borne by existing owners Owners bear significant risk and invest
significant part of their overall wealth
Ratio Analysis
Financial Performance
Shareholders Wealth
Financial Risk
Pro forma
Performance Ratios
Return on Capital Employed
71
Return on Equity
Profit after tax x 100
Book value of equity
Shareholders Wealth
Dividend Yield = D x 100
Po
Where, D = dividend per share
Po = Opening market value/share
Financial Risk
Gearing = Prior Charge Capital Or Debt
Prior Charge Capital + Equity Debt + Equity
If overdraft is material
Gearing = Long term debt + Overdraft
Long term debt + overdraft+ Equity
72
Assuming that company wants to raise some funds, based on financial risk decide whether we should raise funds
through debt or equity
Irrelevancy Theory
According to MM theory dividends are irrelevant, it does not matter, what actually matters that is earning power.
The extent and timing of dividend payouts is irrelevant. Investors are indifferent to whether they receive their
earnings by way of dividends or capital gains.
Since prime importance is given to investment decisions, dividends are determined as a residual amount. There may
even be no dividends if the retained earnings are consumed by investment projects. However, the expected future
earnings of the company will push the share prices up. In this manner, a shareholder gains in capital appreciation
even if he does not receive dividend payments.
73
It was argued that if shareholders needed cash when no dividends were declared, they could sell some of their
shares and generate cash.
Assumptions
This theory is based on the following assumptions:
Capital markets are perfect.
There are no taxes at the corporate or personal level. There are no issue costs for the securities.
Relevancy Theory
Markets are not perfect, dividends play a role of signal
A dividend which differs from shareholders expectations about dividends might send signals to the market and
affect share price. „ A higher than expected dividend may signal that the board of directors are confident about
the future and may lead to an increase in share price „ A lower than expected dividend may signal that the
company is in financial difficulties and lead to a fall in share price.
Liquidity Preference
Investors have their own liquidity needs so they will prefer cash now to later
Tax Position
Tax on dividends is income tax whereas tax on selling shares is capital gains tax
If company changes its dividend policy, it will distribute investors tax position
Scrip Dividend
A scrip dividend is the dividend paid by issue of additional company shares, rather than cash.
A company that wants to retain cash for reinvestment but does not want to reduce its dividends might offer its
shareholders a scrip dividend.
The rules of the stock exchange might require that when a company wants to make a scrip dividend, it must offer a
cash dividend alternative, so that shareholders can choose between new shares and cash.
74
Advantages
They can preserve a companies cash position if a substantial number of shareholders take up the shares option.
Investors may be able to take tax advantages if dividends are in form of shares.
Investors looking to expand their holding can do so without incurring the transaction costs of buying more
shares.
A small scrip issue will not dilute the share price significantly.
A share issue will decrease the company’s gearing and therefore enhance its borrowing capacity
Stock Split
A stock split occurs where, for example, each share of $1 each is split into two shares of 50c each, thus creating
greater marketability.
Scrip Issue
A bonus (scrip) issue is a method of altering the share capital without raising cash. It is done by changing the
company’s reserves into share capital.
The rate of bonus issue is normally expressed in terms of the number of new shares issued for each existing
share held, e.g. one for two (one new share for each two shares currently held). As a consequence market price
of share mat benefit.
Share Repurchase
Purchase by a company of its own shares can take place for various reasons and must be in accordance with any
requirements of legislation.
If a company chooses to pay higher dividend, this might act as a signal shareholder who then expect high dividends
in future years too. If the cash is used for share repurchases instead of higher dividends, future dividend expectations
will not be affected.
Disadvantages
It can be hard to arrive at a price that will be fair both to the vendors and to any shareholders who are not selling
shares to the company.
75
A repurchase of shares could be seen as an admission that the company cannot make better use of funds than
the shareholders.
Some shareholders may suffer from being taxed on capital gains following the purchase of their shares rather
than receiving dividend income.
76
Islamic Financing
Riba
It is forbidden Islamic finance.Riba is generally interpreted as the predetermined interest collected by a lender, which
the lender receives over and above the principal amount it has lent out. The Quranic ban on riba is absolute. Riba
can be viewed as unacceptable from three different perspectives, as outlined below
77
Ijara: (Lease)
Ijara is a lease finance agreement whereby the bank buys an item for a customer and then leases it back over a
specific period at an agreed amount.
• Ownership of the asset remains with the lessor bank, which will seek to recover the capital cost of the equipment
plus a profit margin out of the rentals payable.
• Under ijara the responsibility for maintainence of the leased item remains with the lessor.
78
Murabaha Trade credit / loan There is a pre-agreed mark-up to be paid in recognition of the
convenience of paying later for an asset that is transferred
immediately. There is no interest charged
Musharaka Venture Capital Profits are shared according to a pre-agreed contract. There are
no dividends paid. Losses are solely attributable to the provider of
capital
Mudaraba Equity Profits are shared according to a pre-agreed contract. There are
no dividends paid. Losses are solely attributable to the provider of
capital
Sukuk Bonds There is an underlying tangible asset that the sukuk holder shares
in the risk and rewards of ownership. This gives the sukuk
properties of equity finance as well as debt finance
79
What is an SME?
SME is something larger than those business that are fundamentally a vehicle for the self-employment of their
owner. SME is unlikely to be listed on any stock exchange and likely to be owned by relatively small numbers of
shareholders
Importance of SME
• It covers the wide range of business
• Important for the economies of many countries
• Account for about half of the employment and half of national income
• Flexible and quicker to innovate than larger companies due to their small size
• They are often thought to be better at embracing new trends and technologies
• It is easier for SME’S to survive and flourish in service sector (service sector is a growing market)
The SME sector tends to suffer because SMEs are viewed as a less attractive investment opportunity than many
others due to the high levels of uncertainty and risk they are perceived to have. This perception of risk is due to a
number of reasons including:
• SMEs often have a limited track record in raising investment and providing suitable returns to their investors
• SMEs often have a non-existent or very limited internal controls
• SMEs often have few external controls. For instance they are unlikely to be abiding by the rules of any stock
exchange and due to their size they are unlikely to attract much press scrutiny
• SMEs often have a one dominant owner-manager whose decisions may face little questioning
• SMEs often have a few tangible assets to offer as security.
Some key sources and their limitations are briefly described below
80
Trade credit
SMEs, like any company, can take credit from their suppliers. However, this is only short term and, indeed, if their
suppliers are larger companies who have identified them as a potentially risky SME the ability to stretch the credit
period may be limited.
Leasing
Leasing asset rather than buying them is often very useful for an SME as it avoids the need to raise the capital cost.
However, leasing is only really possible on tangible asset such as car, machine etc.
Bank Finance
Bank may be willing to providing an overdraft of some sort and may be willing to lend in the long-term where that
lending can be secured on major asserts such as land and buildings. However, raising medium-term finance to fund
operations is often more difficult for SMEs as banks are traditionally rather conservative. This is understandable that
as the loss on one defaulted loan requires many good loans to recover that loss. Hence, many SMEs end up financing
medium term, and potentially longer-term assets, with short-term finance such as an overdraft. This is poor
matching and very less than ideal. This issue is often known as “maturity gap” as there is a mismatch of the maturity
of the assets and liabilities within the business
Listing
By achieving a listing on stock exchange an SME would become a quoted company and, hence, raising finance would
become less of an issue. However, before a listing can be considered the company must grow to such a size that a
listing is feasible. Many SMEs never hope to achieve this
81
Crowdfunding
Crowdfunding involves funding a venture by raising finance from a large number of people (the crowd) and is very
often achieved over the internet.
The internet platforms are set up and run by moderating organisations who bring together the project initiator with
the idea, and those organisations and individuals who are willing to support the idea.
A feature of crowdfunding is that it lets people search for and invest in ideas and projects that they have an interest
or a belief in. Hence, these investors are sometimes willing to take bigger risks and/or accept lower returns than
would be usual. A further feature is that, just as in a real crowd, there is potential for interaction within the crowd.
Hence, keen supporters of a particular idea will very often encourage others to participate.
Example
Company A (which has an A+ credit rating) buys goods from Company B
(which has a B+ credit rating). Co B has agreed to give Co A 30 days credit.
Co B invoices Co A.
Co A approves the invoice.
Co A is expected to pay the amount due to its financial institution – ‘Bank C’ –in 30 days at which point the funds are
immediately remitted to Co B.
However, Co B can request the funds from Bank C prior to the due date. If they do this they receive the payment less
a suitable discount. This discount is likely to be less than the discount charged if Co B used traditional factoring or
invoice discounting. This is because they are using Bank C (Co A’s financial institution) and benefit from Co A’s higher
credit rating as the debt is the debt of Co A, and by approving the invoice Co A has confirmed this.
Equally, if Co A wants to delay payment beyond the 30-day point, then it can do so. However, when Co A does finally
pay Bank C some interest will be due. Obviously this interest charge reflects the credit rating of Co A.
82
• Providing equity investment – many countries have government-backed venture capital organisations that are
willing to invest in the equity of SMEs. This is often done on a matching basis, where the organisation will match
any equity investment raised from other sources. In the UK this is done through ‘Enterprise Capital Funds’, while
in the US there is the ‘Small Business Investment Company’ programme.
83
Different commodities in two different currencies will have same price, if there is any difference that will be
absorbed by exchange rate.
According to PPP the exchange rate between two currencies can be explained by the difference between inflation
rated in respective countries.
PPP says country with HIGH inflation rate normally faces the decrease in its currencies value and a country with a
LOW inflation rate has an expectation of increase in its currencies value.
The businesses normally use PPP for calculation of expected spot rate against the forward rate offered by banks.
Expected spot rate Future Spot rate= current spot rate × ( 1+ inflation of first currency)
( 1 + inflation of 2nd currency)
This concept says that the difference between 2 currencies worth can be explained by interest rate structure in the
countries of these 2 currencies.
According to IRP a country with a high interest rate structure normally has a currency at discount in relation to
another currency whose country has a low
Forward rate Forward rate = current spot rat rate x ( 1+ interest of first currency)
(1 + interest of 2 nd currency)
84
Fisher Effect
This concept tells us the relation between interest rate and inflation.
It assumes that real interest rate between two economies are same and nominal interest rates are different
because of inflation.
Countries with relatively high rate of inflation will generally have high nominal rates of interest, partly because high
interest rates are a mechanism for reducing inflation.
USA [1+nominal (money) rate] = [1+ real rate] x [1+ inflation rate]
K [1+nominal (money) rate] = [1+ real rate] x [1+ inflation rate]
Expectation Theory
Future spot rate and forward rate should be equal.
If temporary difference arises b/w these two rates it will be reduced due to expectation of investors over the time.
For example – if forward rate is lower than future spot rate, investors will start buying in forward rates and starts
selling in future spot markets. Until the difference is negligible.
85
Netting is a process in which all transaction of group companies are converted into the same currencies and then
credit balances are netted off against the debit balances, so that only reduced net amounts remain due to be paid
or received.
86
Forward Contract :
A forward contract is a legally binding agreement between two parties to buy or sell currencies in future at pre
dertemined rate and pre specified date.
Example
- Home Currency is British Pound £ , Exports receipts = $ 500,000 after six months
Forward Contracts
It is a legally binding contract between two parties to buy or sell in future at a pre-determined rate and a pre-
specified date.
Advantages
Eliminate currency risk, as foreign exchange costs are determined upfront.
They are tailor made and can be matched against the time period of exposure as well as for the cash size of the
exposure, therefore they are referred to as a complete hedge.
They are easy to understand.
Disadvantages
It is subject to default risk.
There may be difficult to find a counter-party.
They are legally binding so difficult to cancel.
Transaction Risk
- External Hedging Method
87
Steps:
a) Calculate present value of foreign currency using lending rate of foreign currency and deposit that amount.
With relatively small amounts, the OTC market represents the most convenient means of locking in exchange rates.
Where cross border flows are common and business is well diversified across different currency areas then currency
hedging is of questionable benefit. Where, as in this case, relatively infrequent flows occur then the simplest solution
is to engage in the forward market for hedging risk. The use of a money market hedge as described may generate a
more favorable forward rate than direct recourse to the forex market. However the administrative and management
costs in setting up the necessary loans and deposits are a significant consideration.
Derivatives
• Future Settlement
• Initial amount to be paid is nil or low
• Drive their value from some underlying
• Traded in two types of market
Derivatives
88
Future Contract
• Futures are standardized contracts traded on a • These contracts are highly standardized both in
regulated exchange to make or take delivery of a size and in terms of their delivery mechanism.
specified quantity of a foreign currency, or a • Physical delivery is very rare. Contracts are usually
financial instrument at a specified price, with settled prior to the settlement date.
delivery or settlement at a specified future date. • An initial margin is required, a further mark-to-
• They are available in major currencies and quoted market margin may be necessary.
against USD. • Standardized contracts
• There are four settlement dates M ARC H ,J U N E • Exchange traded derivatives are settled daily by
,S E P.T .DEC settling the difference in the contracted price and
• Tick = minimum movement of future contract, the traded price in cash. This is called the mark-to-
0.01% of contract size. market mechanism. No Default Risk
• Basis= current spot rate - future rate • More liquid in nature (e.g. futures contracts).
TYPES:
Currency options give the buyer the right but notCALL OPTION Right to buy at a specified rate
the obligation to buy or sell a specific amount ofPUT OPTION Right to sell at a specified rate
foreign currency at a specific exchange rate (the
strike price) on or before a predetermined future
date.
For this protection, the buyer has to pay aOPTION BUYER - OPTION HOLDER LONG POSITION
premium.
OPTION SELLER - OPTION WRITER SHORT POISTION
A currency option may be either a call option or a
put option
Currency option contracts limit the maximum lossAmerican Option - can be exercised at anytime before maturity
to the premium paid up-front and provide theEuropean Option - can be exercised at maturity only.
buyer with the opportunity to take advantage of
favorable exchange rate movements.
This risk can either be translated as an increase of interest payments that it has to make against borrowed funds or
a reduction in income that it receives from invested funds.
89
• Options
• Interest Rate Swaps
• CAP, FLOOR & COLLAR
1. RISK
High risk, high return
Low risk, low return
No risk, some return
6. Government policy
EXAMPLE
Company wants to borrow $10m in three months’ time for a period of 6 months. Company is expecting that
interest rate will rise in future and wants to hedge its position using FRA.
90
Calculate the effective interest rate if forward hedge is taken. If after three months interest rates are
10%
5%
FRA
An interest rate call option guarantees the borrower a maximum rate of interest, whereas an interest rate put option
guarantees the depositor a minimum rate of interest.
91
92
Currency Swaps
Advantages
• Swaps are easy to arrange and are flexible since they can be arranged in any size and are reversible.
• Transaction costs are low, only amounting to legal fees, since there is no commission or premium to be paid.
• The parties can obtain the currency they require without subjecting themselves to the uncertainties of the
foreign exchange markets.
• The company can gain access to debt finance in another country and currency where it is little known, and
consequently has a poorer credit rating, than in its home country. It can therefore take advantage of lower
interest rates than it could obtain if it arranged the currency loan itself.
• Currency swaps may be used to restructure the currency base of the company's liabilities.
This may be important where the company is trading overseas and receiving revenues in foreign currencies,
but its borrowings are denominated in the currency of its home country. Currency swaps therefore provide a
means of reducing exchange rate exposure.
• At the same time as exchanging currency, the company may also be able to convert fixed rate debt to floating
rate or vice versa. Thus it may obtain some of the benefits of an interest rate swap in addition to achieving the
other purposes of a currency swap.
Disadvantages
• If one party became unable to meet its swap payment obligations, this could mean that the other party risked
having to make them itself.
• A company whose main business lies outside the field of finance should not increase financial risk in order to
make speculative gains.
• There may be a risk of political disturbances or exchange controls in the country whose currency is being used
for a swap.
• Swaps have arrangement fees payable to third parties. Although these may appear to be cheap, this is because
the intermediary accepts no liability for the swap. (However, the third party does suffer some spread risk, as it
warehouses one side of the swap until it is matched with the other, and then undertakes a temporary hedge
on the futures market.)
93
Current Assets
Inventory
Receivables
Cash
Current Liabilities
Payables
Overdraft
Liquidity
Liquidity is availability of cash for day to day activities.
How it is ensured?
By maintaining liquid assets and liabilities.
E.g. Maintaining cash balance, having a line of credit
Liquidity Vs Profitability
There is always a conflict between liquidity and profitability.
If we maintain more liquid assets, profitability will be reduced.
If we maintain less liquid assets, profitability will be increased as more assets are invested but risk of insolvency
increased
Objective:
Working capital facilitates two main objectives
To ensure business has enough liquid resources to reduce risk of insolvency
To increase return on assets
94
Current Assets
Current Liabilities
95
LIQUIDTY RATIOS
Current Ratio
It is used to assess the ability of business to pay, what it owes. It also indicates margin of safety.
This ratio depicts that how much we have in current assets to pay $1 of current liabilities.
This ratio depicts that how much we have in current assets to pay $1 of current liabilities.
Quick ratio
Current assets less inventory
Current liabilities
96
Raw materials inventory holding period =Average raw materials x 365 day
Annual purchases
Accounts payable payment period & Sales revenue/net working capital ratio
Accounts payable payment period =Average trade payables x 365days
Purchases or cost of sales
Over Trading
“A business which is trying to do too much too quickly with too little long-term capital is overtrading”
97
Bank overdraft
Some debt and liquidity ratios alter dramatically.
Current ratio and quick ratio fall
Business might have a liquid deficit i.e. an excess of current liabilities over current assets.
Proportion of total assets financed by equity capital falls and the proportion financed by credit rise.
Sales/working capital ratio is increasing over time, working capital should increase in line with sales.
Solution to Overtrading
New capital could be injected from shareholders The growth can be financed through long-term loans.
Better control could be applied to management of inventories and accounts receivable.
The company could postpone ambitious plans for increased sales and fixed asset investment.
Over Capitalized
“If there are excessive inventories, accounts receivable and cash and very few accounts payable, there will be an over-
investment by company in current assets and the company will be in this respect over-capitalized.”
Symptoms:
Rapid increase in turnover.
Rapid increase in the volume of current assets e.g. inventory and receivable .
High Inventory and accounts receivable period.
Not much rise in Trade accounts payable and overdraft.
Current ratio and quick ratio rise significantly. Current assets are more than current liabilities
Sales/working capital ratio is decreasing over time, working capital should be increased in line with sales.
98
Inventory Management
Inventory Costs
Insurance cost
Pilferage cost
EOQ Example
Example:
Annual demand is 200,000 units
Per order cost is 20$
Holding cost is 0.2$ per unit
Purchase price is 1$/unit
99
Supplier has offered 1% discount if order quantity is at least 30,000 units What is the total cost if company
accept the supplier’s offer.?
Purchase cost =1$× 200,000×0.99=$198,000
Ordering cost=20$×200,000/30,000=133$
Holding cost=0.2×30,000/2=$3000
Total cost= $201,133
Buffer safety inventory = Re-order level – (average usage x average lead time)
Advantages Disadvantages
Reduction in inventory holding costs Just-in-time manufacturing system is vulnerable to
unexpected disruptions in supply chain. A production
line can quickly come to a halt if essential parts are
unavailable
Reduced manufacturing lead times JIT can only be implemented in case of reliable
suppliers that are located close
Improved labor productivity
Reduced scrap/rework/warranty costs.
100
Cost of Receivable
o Administrative cost to record and collecting debts
o Cost of irrecoverable debts (Sales X % of bad debt)
o Cost of early Settlement Discount = (Sales X % of discount X % of customers taken the discount)
o Finance Cost (Average Receivable X % of interest rate)
101
Bad debt = sales × % of bad debt Bad debt = sales × % of bad debt
100
Cost of early settlement discount= ( )^365/t -1
100−𝑑
Where
d = discount offered
t = reduction in payment period in days that is necessary to obtain early payment discount
102
Trade reference
Bank reference This is obtained from another company who has
While a bank reference can be fairly easily dealings with your potential customer/customer. Due
obtained, it must be remembered that the to the litigious nature of society these days, it may not
other company is the bank’s customer and be so easy to obtain a written reference. However, you
so a bank reference will stick to the facts. It may be able to call contacts you have in the trade and
is most unlikely to raise any fears the bank obtain an informal oral reference
may have about the company
Financial Statements
Credit rating/reference agency Financial statements of a company are publicly available
These agencies’ professional business is information and can be quickly and easily obtained. While
to sell information about companies an analysis of the financial statements may indicate
and individuals. Hence, they will be whether or not a company should be granted credit, it
keen to give you the best possible must be remembered that the financial statements
information, so you are more likely to available could be out of date and may have suffered from
return and use their services again manipulation. For larger companies, an analysis of their
accounting information can generally be found through
various sources on the internet
Visit
Information from the financial media Visiting a potential new customer to discuss their exact
Information in the national and local needs is likely to impress the customer with regard to your
press, and in suitable trade journals and desire to provide a good service. At the same time, it gives
on the internet, may give an indication of you the opportunity to get a feel for whether or not the
the current situation of a company. For business is one which you are happy to give credit to. While
example, if it has been reported that a it is not a very scientific approach, it can often work quite
large contract has been lost or that one well, as anyone who runs their own successful business is
or more directors has left recently, then likely to know what a good business looks, feels and smells
this may indicate that the company has like!
problems
103
Collection of Receivables
Debt Factoring
Factoring is an arrangement to have debts collected by a factor company, which advances a proportion of the
money it is due to collect.
Aspects of Factoring
The main aspects of factoring include the following
Administration of the client’s invoicing, sales accounting and debt collection service.
Credit protection for the client’s debts, whereby the factor takes over the risk of loss from bad debts ad so
insures the client against such losses. This is knows as non-recourse service.
Making payments to the client in advance of collecting the debts. This is referred to as ‘factor finance’
104
A factor would take on the task of debt administration and credit checking, at an annual fee of 2.5% of credit sales.
The company would save $30,000 a year in administration costs. The payment period would be 30 days.
It is assumed that the factor would advance an amount equal to 80% of the invoiced debts, and the balance 30 days
later.
The factor would also provide an advance of 80% of invoiced debts at an interest rate of 14% (3% over the current
base rate). The company can obtain an overdraft facility to finance its accounts receivable at a rate of 2.5% over base
rate.
Required:
Should the factor's services be accepted? Assume a constant monthly turnover.
Solution (a)
The current situation is as follows, using the company’s debt collection staff and a bank overdraft to finance all debts.
Solution (b)
The cost of the factor. 80% of credit sales financed by the factor would be 80% of $1,500,000 = $1,200,000. For a
consistent comparison, we must assume that 20% of credit sales would be financed by a bank overdraft. The average
credit period would be only 30 days. The annual cost would be as follows.
$
Factor’s finance 30/365 x $1,200,000 x 14% 13,808
Overdraft 30/365 x $300,000 x 13.5% 3,329
17,137
Cost of factor’s services: 2.5% x $1,500,000 37,500
Cost of the factor 54,637
105
Solution (c)
Conclusion. The factor is cheaper. In this case, the factor’s fees exactly equal the savings in bad debts ($7,500) and
administration costs ($30,000). The factor is then cheaper overall because it will be more efficient at collecting debts.
The advance of 80% of debts is not needed, however, if the company has sufficient overdraft facility because the
factor’s finance charge of 14% is higher than the company’s overdraft rate of 13.5%.
Invoice Discounting
Invoice discount is the purchase of trade debts at a discount by the providers of the discounting service.
Invoice discount and factoring are linked and mostly factors also provide invoice discounting service too. It involves
the purchase of a selection of invoices by the factor at a discount but the invoice discounter doesn’t take over
administration of the client’s sales ledger.
Confidential invoice discounting is an arrangement whereby a debt is assigned to the factor confidentially and
the client’s customer will only become aware of the arrangement if he doesn’t pay his debt to client.
Non-confidential invoice discount is an arrangement whereby the client’s customer is aware of the relationship
of factor to client and acknowledges its liability towards factor.
106
Forfaiting
Forfaiting involves the purchase of foreign accounts receivable from the seller by a forfaiter.
The forfaiter takes on all of the credit risk from the transaction (without recourse) and therefore the forfaiter
purchases the receivables from the seller at a discount.
The purchased receivables become a form of debt instrument (such as bills of exchange) which can be sold on
the money market.
The non-recourse side of the transaction makes this an attractive arrangement for businesses, but as a result
the cost of forfaiting is relatively high.
LETTER OF CREDIT
This is a further way of reducing the investment in foreign accounts receivable and can give a business a risk-free
method of securing payment for goods or services.
COUNTERTRADING
In a countertrade arrangement, goods or services are exchanged for other goods or services instead of for cash.
The benefits of countertrading include the fact that it facilitates conservation of foreign currency and can help a
business enter foreign markets that it may not otherwise be able to.
107
Disadvantage
The value of the goods or services received in exchange may be uncertain.
It includes complex negotiations and logistical issues, particularly if a countertrade deal involves more than two
parties.
Disadvantages include the relatively high cost of premiums and the fact that the insurance does not typically cover
100% of the value of the foreign sales.
EXPORT FACTORING
An export factor provides the same functions in relation to foreign accounts receivable as a factor covering domestic
accounts receivable and therefore can help with the cash flow of a business. However, export factoring can be more
costly than export credit insurance and it may not be available for all countries, particularly developing countries.
Trade Credit
The cost of lost cash discount can be calculated by the following formula
100
Cost of early settlement discount= ( ) ^365/t -1
100−𝑑
Example:
Product Q The annual demand for Product Q is 456,000 units per year and Plot Co buys in this product at $1 per unit
on 60 days credit. The supplier has offered an early settlement discount of 1% for settlement of invoices within 30
days.
Plot Co finances working capital with short-term finance costing 5% per year. Assume that there are 365 days in each
year.
Calculate the net value in dollars to Plot Co of accepting the early settlement discount for Product Q.
108
Managing Cash
Objective of holding Cash:
John Maynard Keynes identified three reasons for holding cash.
Transactions Motive:
Every business needs cash to meet its regular commitments of paying its accounts payable like employee wages,
taxes, annual dividends …
Precautionary motive:
There is a need to maintain a ‘buffer of cash for unforeseen contingencies.
Speculative Motive:
Sometimes businesses hold surplus cash as a speculative asset in the hope that interest rates will rise in future.
Inflation
Even if a business is making a profit, it can still face cash flow problems in during period of inflation.
Growth
During periods of growth, business has an ever increasing need for more non-current assets and for its increasing
working capital
Seasonal business
When a business has seasonal or cyclical sales, it may have cash flow difficulties at certain times during the year.
109
Treasury Management
Treasury management can be defined as
Corporate handling of all financial matters,
The generation of external and internal funds for business,
The management of currencies and cash flows,
The complex strategies,
Policies and procedures of corporate finance
Treasury department can be centralized or decentralized in an organization depending on its needs. Both have
certain advantages associated with them.
110
Q = 2CS
I
Where
Q = Optimum amount of cash to be raised
S = Amount of cash to be used in each time period
C = Cost per sale of securities
I = Interest cost of holding cash or near cash equivalents
(Interest rate on new borrowings – interest earned on cash investment)
EXAMPLE
Finder Co faces a fixed cost of $4,000 to obtain new funds. There is a requirement for $24,000 of cashover each
period of one year for the foreseeable future. The interest cost of new funds is 12% per annum; the interest rate
earned on short-term securities is 9% per annum.
Required:
How much finance should Finder raise at a time?
Solution
The cost of holding cash is 12% - 9% = 3%
The optimum level of Q (the ‘recorder quantity) is:
111
112
Example
The following data applies to a company.
The minimum cash balance is $8,000.
The variance of daily cash flows is 4,000,000, equivalent to a standard deviation of $2,000 per
The transaction cost for buying or selling securities is $50. The interest rate is 0.025 per cent day.
Required:
You are required to formulate a decision rule using the Miller-Orr model.
Solution
The spread between the upper and the lower cash balance limits is calculated as follows.
The decision rule is as follows. If the cash balance reaches $33,300, buy $16,900 (= 33,300 – 16,400) in marketable
securities. If the cash balance falls to $8,000, sell $8,400 of marketable securities for cash.
Conservative Approach
“A conservative working capital management policy aims to reduce the risk of system breakdown by holding high
levels of working capital”
Customers are allowed generous payments terms to stimulate demand,
Finished goods inventories are high to ensure availability for customers,
Raw material and work in progress are high
Suppliers are paid promptly to ensure their goodwill.
113
Conservative Approach
Policy A can be characterized as a conservative approach to finance working capital where all non-current assets,
permanent current assets and part of fluctuating current assets are financed by long-term funding
114
Aggressive Approach
Policy B can be characterized as an aggressive approach to finance working capital where non-current assets and
some part of permanent current assets are financed through long-term borrowings while fluctuating current assets
and part of permanent current assets are financed through short-term sources
Moderate Approach
Policy C describes a balance between risk and return which might be best achieved by moderate approach. In this
case, long-term sources of finance are used to finance permanent current assets while short-term sources of finance
are used to finance fluctuating current assets.
115