F&O Simplified: Delta
F&O Simplified: Delta
F&O Simplified: Delta
DELTA
Delta of an Option
Notice the following two snapshots here – they belong to Nifty’s 8250 CE option. The
first snapshot was taken at 09:18 AM when Nifty spot was at 8292.
A little while later…
Now notice the change in premium – at 09:18 AM when Nifty was at 8292 the call
option was trading at 144, however at 10:00 AM Nifty moved to 8315 and the same call
option was trading at 150.
In fact here is another snapshot at 10:55 AM – Nifty declined to 8288 and so did the
option premium (declined to 133).
From the above observations one thing stands out very clear – as and when the value of
the spot changes, so does the option premium. More precisely as we already know – the
call option premium increases with the increase in the spot value and vice versa.
Keeping this in perspective, imagine this – you have predicted that Nifty will reach 8355
by 3:00 PM today. From the snapshots above we know that the premium will certainly
change – but by how much? What is the likely value of the 8250 CE premium if Nifty
reaches 8355?
Well, this is exactly where the ‘Delta of an Option’ comes handy. The Delta measures
how an options value changes with respect to the change in the underlying. In simpler
terms, the Delta of an option helps us answer questions of this sort – “By how many
points will the option premium change for every 1 point change in the underlying?”
Therefore the Option Greek’s ‘Delta’ captures the effect of the directional movement of
the market on the Option’s premium.
The delta is a number which varies –
1. Between 0 and 1 for a call option, some traders prefer to use the 0 to 100 scale. So the
delta value of 0.55 on 0 to 1 scale is equivalent to 55 on the 0 to 100 scale.
2. Between -1 and 0 (-100 to 0) for a put option. So the delta value of -0.4 on the -1 to 0
scale is equivalent to -40 on the -100 to 0 scale
3. We will soon understand why the put option’s delta has a negative value associated with
it
At this stage I want to give you an orientation of how this chapter will shape up, please
do keep this at the back of your mind as I believe it will help you join the dots better –
1. We will understand how we can use the Delta value for Call Options
2. A quick note on how the Delta values are arrived at
3. Understand how we can use the Delta value for Put Options
4. Delta Characteristics – Delta vs. Spot, Delta Acceleration (continued in next chapter)
5. Option positions in terms of Delta (continued in next chapter)
So let’s hit the road!
Well, as we know the delta measures the rate of change of premium for every unit
change in the underlying. So a delta of 0.3 indicates that for every 1 point change in the
underlying, the premium is likely change by 0.3 units, or for every 100 point change in
the underlying the premium is likely to change by 30 points.
Premium = 133
Well, this is fairly easy to calculate. We know the Delta of the option is 0.55, which
means for every 1 point change in the underlying the premium is expected to change by
0.55 points.
We are expecting the underlying to change by 22 points (8310 – 8288), hence the
premium is supposed to increase by
= 22*0.55
= 12.1
Therefore the new option premium is expected to trade around 145.1 (133+12.1)
Let us pick another case – what if one anticipates a drop in Nifty? What will happen to
the premium? Let us figure that out –
Nifty @ 10:55 AM is at 8288
Premium = 133
We are expecting Nifty to decline by – 88 points (8200 – 8288), hence the change in
premium will be –
= – 88 * 0.55
= – 48.4
= 133 – 48.4
As you can see from the above two examples, the delta helps us evaluate the premium
value based on the directional move in the underlying. This is extremely useful
information to have while trading options. For example assume you expect a massive
100 point up move on Nifty, and based on this expectation you decide to buy an option.
There are two Call options and you need to decide which one to buy.
=5
= 20
As you can see the same 100 point move in the underlying has different effects on
different options. In this case clearly the trader would be better off buying Call Option 2.
This should give you a hint – the delta helps you select the right option strike to trade.
But of course there are more dimensions to this, which we will explore soon.
At this stage let me post a very important question – Why is the delta value for a call
option bound by 0 and 1? Why can’t the call option’s delta go beyond 0 and 1?
To help understand this, let us look at 2 scenarios wherein I will purposely keep the delta
value above 1 and below 0.
Scenario 1: Delta greater than 1 for a call option
Premium = 133
= 1.5*42
= 63
Do you notice that? The answer suggests that for a 42 point change in the underlying,
the value of premium is increasing by 63 points! In other words, the option is gaining
more value than the underlying itself. Remember the option is a derivative contract, it
derives its value from its respective underlying, hence it can never move faster than the
underlying.
If the delta is 1 (which is the maximum delta value) it signifies that the option is moving in
line with the underlying which is acceptable, but a value higher than 1 does not make
sense. For this reason the delta of an option is fixed to a maximum value of 1 or 100.
Let us extend the same logic to figure out why the delta of a call option is lower bound to
0.
Premium = 9
Delta of the option = – 0.2 (have purposely changed the value to below 0, hence
negative delta)
= -0.2*88
= -17.6
For a moment we will assume this is true, therefore new premium will be
= -17.6 + 9
= – 8.6
As you can see in this case, when the delta of a call option goes below 0, there is a
possibility for the premium to go below 0, which is impossible. At this point do recollect
the premium irrespective of a call or put can never be negative. Hence for this reason,
the delta of a call option is lower bound to zero.
However here is a table which will help you identify the approximate delta value for a
given option –
Option Type Approx Delta value (CE) Approx Delta value (PE)
Of course you can always find out the exact delta of an option by using a B&S option
pricing calculator.
Underlying Nifty
Strike 8300
Premium 128
Delta -0.55
Note – 8268 is a slightly ITM option, hence the delta is around -0.55 (as indicated from
the table above).
The objective is to evaluate the new premium value considering the delta value to be -
0.55. Do pay attention to the calculations made below.
= 42
Delta = – 0.55
= -0.55*42
= -23.1
= 104.9
Here I’m subtracting the value of delta since I know that the value of a Put option
declines when the underlying value increases.
= 38
Delta = – 0.55
= -0.55*38
= -20.9
= 148.9
Here I’m adding the value of delta since I know that the value of a Put option gains when
the underlying value decreases.
I hope with the above two Illustrations you are now clear on how to use the Put Option’s
delta value to evaluate the new premium value. Also, I will take the liberty to skip
explaining why the Put Option’s delta is bound between -1 and 0.
In fact I would encourage the readers to apply the same logic we used while
understanding why the call option’s delta is bound between 0 and 1, to understand why
Put option’s delta is bound between -1 and 0.
In the next chapter we will dig deeper into Delta and understand some of its
characteristics.
KEY POINT
When the markets are highly volatile, market tends to move steeply and during such time
the volatility index tends to rise.
Volatility index declines when the markets become less volatile. Volatility indices such as
India VIX are sometimes also referred to as the ‘Fear Index’, because as the volatility
index rises, one should become careful, as the markets can move steeply into any
direction. Investors use volatility indices to gauge the market volatility and make their
investment decisions
Volatility Index is different from a market index like NIFTY. NIFTY measures the direction
of the market and is computed using the price movement of the underlying stocks
whereas India VIX measures the expected volatility and is computed using the order book
of the underlying NIFTY options. While Nifty is a number, India VIX is denoted as an
annualized percentage.
Divide IV by 16
KEY POINT
1. Vega of at the money strike will be highest. ( Strike wise )
2. Vega of next expiry will be high. ( Time wise )
THETA
TIME DECAY FACTOR
All options – both Calls and Puts lose value as the expiration approaches. The Theta
or time decay factor is the rate at which an option loses value as time passes. Theta is
expressed in points lost per day when all other conditions remain the same.
A long option (option buyer) will always have a negative theta meaning all else equal, the
option buyer will lose money on a day by day basis. A short option (option seller) will have
a positive theta. Theta is a friendly Greek to the option seller. Remember the objective of
the option seller is to retain the premium.
This is the graph of how premium erodes as time to expiry approaches. This is also
called the ‘Time Decay’graph. We can observe the following from the graph –
1. At the start of the series – when there are many days for expiry the option does not
lose much value. For example when there were 120 days to expiry the option was
trading at 350, however when there was 100 days to expiry, the option was trading at
300. Hence the effect of theta is low
2. As we approach the expiry of the series – the effect of theta is high. Notice when
there was 20 days to expiry the option was trading around 150, but when we approach
towards expiry the drop in premium seems to accelerate (option value drops below 50).
So if you are selling options at the start of the series – you have the advantage of
pocketing a large premium value (as the time value is very high) but do remember the
fall in premium happens at a low rate. You can sell options closer to the expiry – you will
get a lower premium but the drop in premium is high, which is advantageous to the
options seller.
GAMMA
DELTA FACTOR
Unlike the delta, the Gamma is always a positive number for both Call and Put Option.
Therefore when a trader is long options (both Calls and Puts) the trader is considered
‘Long Gamma’ and when he is short options (both calls and puts) he is considered
‘Short Gamma’.
For example consider this – The Gamma of an ATM Put option is 0.004, if the underlying
moves 10 points, what do you think the new delta is?
Before you proceed I would suggest you spend few minutes to think about the solution
for the above.
Here is the solution – Since we are talking about an ATM Put option, the Delta must be
around – 0.5. Remember Put options have a –ve Delta. Gamma as you notice is a
positive number i.e +0.004. The underlying moves by 10 points without specifying the
direction, so let us figure out what happens in both cases.
o Delta = – 0.5
o Gamma = 0.004
o Change in underlying = 10 points
o Change in Delta = Gamma * Change in underlying = 0.004 * 10 = 0.04
o New Delta = We know the Put option loses delta when underlying increases, hence –
0.5 + 0.04 = – 0.46
Case 2 – Underlying goes down by 10 points
o Delta = – 0.5
o Gamma = 0.004
o Change in underlying = – 10 points
o Change in Delta = Gamma * Change in underlying = 0.004 * – 10 = – 0.04
o New Delta = We know the Put option gains delta when underlying goes down, hence –
0.5 + (-0.04) = – 0.54
Now, here is trick question for you – In the earlier chapters, we had discussed that the
Delta of the Futures contract in always 1, so what do you think the gamma of the Futures
contract is? Please leave your answers in the comment box below :).
KEY POINT