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Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements

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Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements

I. Ratio analysis

A. Analysis of financial statements can be used to predict future earnings and dividends

B. Analysis of financial statements is starting point for planning actions that will improve
future performance

C. Ratio analysis: Calculates and interprets financial ratios to analyze firm’s performance

II. The different types of ratios

A. Two liquidity ratios


1. Liquid asset =asset that can be converted to cash quickly without having to reduce
asset’s price very much
2. Liquidity ratios: ratios that show the relationship of a firm’s cash and other current
assets to its current liabilities
3. Current ratio
a. Indicates the extent to which current liabilities are covered by those assets expected
to be converted to cash in the near future
b. Formula:

4. Quick Ratio or Acid Test Ratio


a. Inventories least liquid of firm’s current assets and are assets on which assets most
likely to occur in event of liquidation. Firm’s ability to pay-off short-term
obligations without relying on sale of inventories is important
b. Formula:

B. Four asset management ratios


1. Asset management ratios = set of ratios that measure how effectively firm manages its
assets
2. Inventory turnover ratio

3. Days sales outstanding (DSO) = average collection period = ACP


a. Indicates the average length of time the firm must wait after making a sale before it
receives cash
b. Formula:

4. Fixed assets turnover ratio


a. Measures how effectively the firm uses its plant and equipment
b. Formula:
Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements Page 1
5. Total assets turnover ratio

C. Debt management ratios


1. Total debt to total assets

2. Times-interest-earned (TIE) ratio


a. Measures firm’s ability to meet its annual interest payments
b. Formula

3. EBITDA coverage ratio


a. Ratio whose numerator includes all cash flows available to meet fixed financial
charges and whose denominator includes all fixed financial charges
b. Formula:

D. Four profitability ratios


1. Profitability ratios = group of ratios that show combined effects of liquidity, asset
management, and debt on operating results
2. Profit margin on sales

3. Return on total assets (ROA)

4. Basic earning power (BEP) ratio


a. Ratio indicates the ability of firm’s assets to generate operating income
b. Formula

5. Return on common equity


a. Measures rate of return on common stockholders’ investment
b. Formula:

6. An important digression: The effect of leverage on ROE


a. The concept of leverage
i. Financial debt = use of debt financing
ii. Three important implications of using debt financing

Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements Page 2


● By raising funds through debt, stockholders can control a firm with limited
amount of equity investment
● The higher the proportion of total capital provided by stockholders, the less
risk faced by creditors.
● If firm earns more on its assets than the interest it pays on debt, then using
debt “leverages” or magnifies the return on equity (ROE)
b. Example: A leveraged and unleveraged firm

Table 4-1: Effects of Financial Leverage on Stockholder Returns


FIRM U [UNLEVERAGED (NO DEBT)]
Current assets $50 Debt $0
Fixed assets 50 Common Equity 100
Total assets $100 Total Liabilities & Equity $100

Business Conditions
Good Expected Bad
Sales Revenue $150.0 $100.0 $75.0
Operating costs Fixed 45.0 45.0 45.0
Variable 60.0 40.0 30.0
Total operating costs 105.0 85.0 75.0
Operating Income (EBIT) $45.0 $15.0 $0.0
Interest (Rate = 10%) 0.0 0.0 0.0
Earnings before taxes (EBT) $45.0 $15.0 $0.0
Taxes (rate = 40%) 18.0 6.0 0.0
Net income $27.0 $9.0 $0.0
ROE 27.0% 9.0% 0.0%

FIRM L [LEVERAGED (SOME DEBT)]


Current assets $50 Debt $50
Fixed assets 50 Common Equity 50
Total assets $100 Total Liabilities & Equity $100

Business Conditions
Good Expected Bad
Sales Revenue $150.0 $100.0 $75.0
Operating costs Fixed 45.0 45.0 45.0
Variable 60.0 40.0 30.0
Total operating costs 105.0 85.0 75.0
Operating Income (EBIT) $45.0 $15.0 $0.0
Interest (Rate = 10%) 5.0 5.0 5.0
Earnings before taxes (EBT) $40.0 $10.0 -$5.0
Taxes (rate = 40%) 16.0 4.0 0.0
Net income $24.0 $6.0 -$5.0
ROE 48.0% 12.0% -10.0%

Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements Page 3


c. Results:
i. Because interest is deductible, use of debt lowers tax bill and leaves more of the
firm’s operating income available to investors
ii. Use of debt require firms to balance higher expected returns against increased
risk

E. Three market value ratios


1. Set of ratios that relate stock price to its earnings, cash flow and book value per share
2. Price/Earnings Ratio = P/E Ratio
a. Shows the dollar amount investors will pay for $1 of current earnings
b. Formula:

3. Price/cash flow ratio


a. Shows the dollar amount investors will pay for $1 of cash flow
b. Formula:

4. Market/Book Ratio
a. Book value per share:

b. market/book ratio:

III.Book’s example of Allied Food Products

A. Review financial statements developed in Chapter 3: Tables 3 – 1, 3 – 2, 3 – 3, 3 – 4

Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements Page 4


TABLE 4-2: Allied Food Products: Summary of Financial Ratios (Millions of Dollars)

Liquidity Ratios
2004 Industry
Ratio Formula Calculation Comment
Value Average

Current Ratio 3.7x 4.2x Poor

Quick 1.8x 2.2x Poor

Asset Management
2004 Industry
Ratio Formula Calculation Comment
Value Average
Inventory
6.9x 10.9x Poor
Turnover
Days sales
40.3 days 36 days Poor
outstanding
Fixed asset
3.3x 2.8x OK
turnover
Total assets Somewhat
1.7x 1.8x
turnover Low

Debt Management
2004 Industry
Ratio Formula Calculation Comment
Value Average
Total debt to High
47.6% 40.0%
total assets (risky)
Times-interest-earned Low
4.4x 6.0x
(TIE) (risky)
EBITDA Low
3.5x 4.3x
Coverage* (risky)
*
Assumes lease payments = $28 million and principal payments = $20 million

Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements Page 5


TABLE 4-2 (Continued): Allied Food Products: Summary of Financial Ratios (Millions of Dollars)

Profitability
2004 Industry
Ratio Formula Calculation Comment
Value Average

Profit margin on sale 4.3% 5.0% Poor

Return on total asset


7.3% 9.0% Poor
(ROA)
Basic earning power
15.7% 18.0% Poor
(BEP)
Return on common equity
13.8% 15.0% Poor
(ROE)

Market Value Ratios


2004 Industry
Ratio Formula Calculation Comment
Value Average

Price/earnings (P/E) 10.7x 11.3x Low

Price/cash flow 6.13x 5.4x Low

Market/book (M/B) 1.5x 1.7x Low

IV. Benchmarking: cross-sectional and trend comparisons

A. Trend analysis
1. = analysis of a firm’s financial ratios over time
2. Used to estimate the likelihood of improvement or deterioration in its financial condition

B. Cross-sectional analysis: compare company’s financial ratios with a group of “benchmark” companies

Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements Page 6


V. Tying ratios together: The Du Pont Equation

A. Basic Du Pont Equation


1. ROA is the product of the profit margin and the total asset turnover
2. Formula

3. Book’s 2005 Allied Food Example

B. ROA and ROE


1. If a company were financed only by common equity → no debt → no liabilities → assets
= equity

2. Define the equity multiplier


a. Definition:

b. Firms with more leverage → ↑ debt and ↓ equity → ↑ equity multiplier


c. Book’s 2005 Allied Food example: equity multiplier = ($2,000)/($940) = 2.13
3. Extended Du Pont equation

a.

b.

c. Book’s 2005 Allied Food Example: ROE = (3.9%)(1.5)(2.13) = 12.5%

VI. Uses and limitations of ratio analysis

A. Comparison with industry averages more difficult for conglomerate firms that operate
many divisions in different industries

B. “Average” performance is not necessarily good → Perhaps firm should have higher goal
and focus on industry leader’s ratios → Benchmarking will help in this area

C. Inflation distorts balance sheets and income statements and comparisons of ratios across
time must be done with care

D. Seasonal factors can distort ratios

E. Firms may employ “window dressing techniques” to make their financial statements look
better than they really are

F. Different accounting and operating practices can distort comparisons of ratios


Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements Page 7
G. It is difficult to determine whether a given ratio value is good or bad
1. A high current ratio may imply excellent liquidity (which is good) or excessive cash
(which is bad because it is a nonearning asset)
2. A high fixed asset turnover ratio may indicate a firm that uses its fixed assets efficiently
or a firm that is short cash and doesn’t have capital for needed investments

H. Some of the firm’s ratios may look strong while some of its ratios look poor
1. Makes it difficult to determine overall position of firm
2. Statistical methods (discriminate analysis) have been used to determine the net effect of
a set of ratios and determine which ones predict financial distress

VII. Problems with ROE

A. ROE and shareholder wealth are positively correlated but problems can anise when ROE
is the sole measure of performance

B. Types of problems
1. ROE does not consider risk
2. ROE does not consider the amount of invested capital
3. Managers attempts to maximize ROE will ignore other profitable investments

Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements Page 8

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