Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements
Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements
Chapter 4: Analysis of Financial Statements
I. Ratio analysis
A. Analysis of financial statements can be used to predict future earnings and dividends
B. Analysis of financial statements is starting point for planning actions that will improve
future performance
C. Ratio analysis: Calculates and interprets financial ratios to analyze firm’s performance
Business Conditions
Good Expected Bad
Sales Revenue $150.0 $100.0 $75.0
Operating costs Fixed 45.0 45.0 45.0
Variable 60.0 40.0 30.0
Total operating costs 105.0 85.0 75.0
Operating Income (EBIT) $45.0 $15.0 $0.0
Interest (Rate = 10%) 0.0 0.0 0.0
Earnings before taxes (EBT) $45.0 $15.0 $0.0
Taxes (rate = 40%) 18.0 6.0 0.0
Net income $27.0 $9.0 $0.0
ROE 27.0% 9.0% 0.0%
Business Conditions
Good Expected Bad
Sales Revenue $150.0 $100.0 $75.0
Operating costs Fixed 45.0 45.0 45.0
Variable 60.0 40.0 30.0
Total operating costs 105.0 85.0 75.0
Operating Income (EBIT) $45.0 $15.0 $0.0
Interest (Rate = 10%) 5.0 5.0 5.0
Earnings before taxes (EBT) $40.0 $10.0 -$5.0
Taxes (rate = 40%) 16.0 4.0 0.0
Net income $24.0 $6.0 -$5.0
ROE 48.0% 12.0% -10.0%
4. Market/Book Ratio
a. Book value per share:
b. market/book ratio:
Liquidity Ratios
2004 Industry
Ratio Formula Calculation Comment
Value Average
Asset Management
2004 Industry
Ratio Formula Calculation Comment
Value Average
Inventory
6.9x 10.9x Poor
Turnover
Days sales
40.3 days 36 days Poor
outstanding
Fixed asset
3.3x 2.8x OK
turnover
Total assets Somewhat
1.7x 1.8x
turnover Low
Debt Management
2004 Industry
Ratio Formula Calculation Comment
Value Average
Total debt to High
47.6% 40.0%
total assets (risky)
Times-interest-earned Low
4.4x 6.0x
(TIE) (risky)
EBITDA Low
3.5x 4.3x
Coverage* (risky)
*
Assumes lease payments = $28 million and principal payments = $20 million
Profitability
2004 Industry
Ratio Formula Calculation Comment
Value Average
A. Trend analysis
1. = analysis of a firm’s financial ratios over time
2. Used to estimate the likelihood of improvement or deterioration in its financial condition
B. Cross-sectional analysis: compare company’s financial ratios with a group of “benchmark” companies
a.
b.
A. Comparison with industry averages more difficult for conglomerate firms that operate
many divisions in different industries
B. “Average” performance is not necessarily good → Perhaps firm should have higher goal
and focus on industry leader’s ratios → Benchmarking will help in this area
C. Inflation distorts balance sheets and income statements and comparisons of ratios across
time must be done with care
E. Firms may employ “window dressing techniques” to make their financial statements look
better than they really are
H. Some of the firm’s ratios may look strong while some of its ratios look poor
1. Makes it difficult to determine overall position of firm
2. Statistical methods (discriminate analysis) have been used to determine the net effect of
a set of ratios and determine which ones predict financial distress
A. ROE and shareholder wealth are positively correlated but problems can anise when ROE
is the sole measure of performance
B. Types of problems
1. ROE does not consider risk
2. ROE does not consider the amount of invested capital
3. Managers attempts to maximize ROE will ignore other profitable investments