F-306 Prepared by Hazrat Ali
F-306 Prepared by Hazrat Ali
F-306 Prepared by Hazrat Ali
The report attempted to highlight the prospects and opportunities of real estate sector in
Bangladesh. Like other economic sector in the country, real estate is one of major sectors which
contribute to the national economy. The report tried to furnish the overview of the performances
of real estate sector in Bangladesh. The report has also shown the overall picture of the real
estate market and opportunity in Bangladesh. Residence is one of the basic needs of human
beings. The right to live in one’s own house is a fundamental right of people and it is
internationally recognized. The demand of housing in urban areas in developing countries like
Bangladesh is dramatically increasing due to population increase and its fast growth rate. Rural
people are migrating not only to find jobs but many wealthy people are moving to urban areas
like Dhaka city for the fulfillment of their expectations of better of their future generation, and
for enjoying the modern facilities of the city life. This has resulted into a serious crisis all over
the country especially in the major cities of Bangladesh. In recent time, the private real estate
firms have taken initiatives by ensuring maximum uses of land in a planned way. In this system
it is possible to accommodate more people in a comparatively small place.
Real estate sector is one of the most attractive sectors of investment now in Bangladesh. Rapid
urbanization has become an acute problem for the country. The rate of urbanization is estimated
to be 5-6% annually for Bangladesh (REHAB, 2004). About 25% of the people of Bangladesh is
now living in urban areas and 34% will be living by 2015 (REHAB, 2004) and 50% by 2025.
There is acute shortage of housing supply in all urban areas and it’s increasing with current
demand of 600,000 to 800,000 units all over the country. Particularly in Dhaka this demand is
estimated to be 60,000 units of real estate apartments combined with 200,000 units of
replacement plus backlogs (REHAB, 2004). Dhaka is currently growing very fast compared to
other cities in Bangladesh.
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Introduction
Real Estate and Construction Industry play an important role for sustainable development of a
country. The construction industry is an important sector for physical expansion and economic
development of the country. This sector is well linked with human settlements, employment and
environment. It is recognized that the health of the Real Estate Development sector is the
barometer of the national economy. Being one of the most densely populated countries of the
world with a huge population, Bangladesh has already surrendered nearly 25°/o of its land to
human settlements and related uses. Real estate products in Bangladesh are needed for real time
demand fulfillment in the market toward the total socio economic development of Bangladesh.
The sector is directly contributing to the GDP through creating shelter, developing unused land,
helping other businesses to grow, attracting local and foreign investment and generating
employment. High population density coupled with land scarcity and lack of social security
enhanced the development of the sector over the time.
Market Structure about the market concentration in the real estate sector especially apartment
projects, took off in the Dhaka city in the late 1970s. From the early 1980s the business started to
flourish and showed robust growth. At present, more than 1500 companies are active in the real
estate business in the country. The market is highly segmented, primarily based on location,
price of the land and size of the apartments.
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Table: Average price of apartments (Taka/Sq.feet) from 2000 to 2018.
Compared to the price increase of the earlier decade, price rise is almost exponential in this
decade. The following figure shows the price hike trend of apartments in Bangladesh.
200%
180%
160%
140%
120%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
• Approximately half of the low-income housing units are in bus tees, informal settlements areas
that include both private rental and private ownership housing, built on either privately owned
land or illegally occupied public land. • Conventional tenement slums (rental and owner
occupied) take up another quarter of the low-income sector. Overcrowding in these buildings has
increased over the last years due to an influx of rural migrants to work in the expanding garment
industry. • Other categories of low-income housing include: government-provided squatter
resettlement camps, plots of land with basic services that are provided on a leasehold basis;
employee housing consisting mostly of small apartments in high-rise complexes provided by the
government; squatters who have built makeshift houses on illegally occupied public or private
land; and pavement dwellers.
Total number of dwelling units: Bangladesh 25,020,489 Rural 18,474,566 Urban 6,545,923 Per
capita floor space: Bangladesh 54.9 square feet Rural 53.5 square feet Urban 62.3 square feet
Occupancy level in 2006: 5.48 people/dwelling unit Access to clean water: Rural 78% Urban
42%.
Housing production
Suppliers of housing are the public sector, and the formal and informal private sector, including
owner-households and NGOs.
Rural housing in the rural areas is mostly produced incrementally by owner households. While
most owners build on their own or rented land, informal occupation and squatting are increasing
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in rural areas. The Grameen Bank pioneered a housing loan programs that provided basic
building materials for a simple new house for which repayment could take place over a 15-year
period. Other NGOs have followed this example, with shorter payment periods and a total of
approximately 700,000 housing units have been constructed using microfinance facilities from
the time these programs were put in place in the 1970s.
After the Liberation, the then government inaugurated a program to rehabilitate the poor and the
homeless in a number of Guscho Gram (cluster villages). Later, various governments developed
different programs to support the rural landless and homeless people. Sheikh Hasina’s
government initiated programs like Asrayon (shelter), Gharey Phera (return home) and Ekti Bari
Ekti Khamar (one homestead, one farm). Grihayan Tahbil (housing fund), administered by the
Prime Minister’s Office, provides low-cost funds to NGOs and private sector developers for the
construction of houses for low- to moderate-income group people.
Non-governmental sector
The NGO sector has only been marginally involved in urban housing. The discrepancy between
urban land and house prices, and incomes of the below median income groups has made
sustainable housing solutions difficult to conceive for this income group. Recently, the larger
microfinance institutions have shown an interest in entering the multifamily residential market
for moderate and lower-income households. Proshika and BRAC have plans to invest in large-
scale low-and moderate-income housing developments 30 to 40 km outside Dhaka. Some
projects will receive free government land. The plan is to develop hostel-type rental housing for
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urban workers and small low-cost family apartments for tenant-purchase. The NGOs have access
to international funds, which they complement by borrowing and other income sources. Their
cheap sources of funds make it possible for them to make long-term investments in social
housing. None of these plans, however, has been implemented as yet.
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The enactment of the Financial Institutions Act 1993 opened the door for private housing finance
companies. There are now 23 private companies that extend housing finance in Bangladesh.
Prominent among them are the Delta-BRAC Housing Finance Corporation Ltd. and the National
Housing Finance and Investment Ltd. These companies make loans for the construction of
houses, acquisition of flats and houses, extension and improvement of existing housing, and the
purchase of housing plots. Most of the private sector players, though relatively new, have
nonperforming loans (NPLs) of below 1%. But their interest rates are very high compared with
the nationally owned BHBFC. For example, Delta-BRAC Housing charges interest rates as high
as 16%, which is higher than that of BHBFC by 1%. The contribution of microcredit lenders in
this sector is very insignificant. In the next section, we will briefly describe public, private and
private-NGO collaborated financial institutions that are engaged in real estate financing in
Bangladesh.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a measure of all goods and services produced in the economy.
The Real Estate sector contributes directly and significantly to overall production activity and
thus to GDP. The two line items in GDP directly associated with the Real Estate sector are
residential fixed investment and housing service. Residential fixed investment consists of value-
put-in-place of new housing units, brokers commissions on the sale of existing residential
properties, and expenditures related to improving and additions to existing units. Housing
service is a component of personal consumption expenditures, purchased by residents in
Bangladesh, usually in the form of rent for tenants or as rental equivalence for homeowners. It is
important to note that this approach measures the value to the homeowner of the daily
consumption of the flow-of-services provided by a home (a place to fix meals, relax, entertain,
garden, etc.) and not the value of an investment in a long-lived asset (home). Rental equivalence
or implicit rent is the amount of rent that homeowners could charge if their homes were leased to
others instead of living in the homes themselves. Because implicit rent is not a market
transaction, such as the payment to a landlord from a renter, it is estimated by measuring the
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change in market rents for rental housing units with similar characteristics and in similar
locations as the homeowner units.
All economic activity produces a ―Keynesian‖ multiplier effect. A home purchase usually
results in further spending in other sectors of the economy (landscaping, appliances, and so on).
The income earned by the landscapers is re-circulated into the economy as they spend,
generating another round of income and purchases. The degree of multiplier depends on the
degree of monetary policy accommodation and the ―crowding out effect.
The sector wise share of Real Estate, Renting and Business Service sector to the national GDP of
the country is as follows:
The figure below shows the trend of GDP contributions of this sector.
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8.63 8.5
7.75 8.25
7.25 8.13
7.5
6.5 7.2
2000-02 2002-04
2004-06 2006-08
2008-10 2010-12
2012-14 2014-16
2016-18
Trend of sector wise share of Real Estate, renting and business services
From the above figure, it is seen that sector wise share of Real Estate, Renting and Business
service sector has a downward trend. But that does not show the real picture. To better
understand the growth scenario, a comparison is made between overall GDP growth and GDP
growth of the Real estate, renting and business service sector.
Urban Housing Markets are increasingly significant in shaping the economic and social well-
being of many citizens. A substantial variation exists across neighborhoods in the type of
housing available, the quality of public services, the level of tax burdens, and the quality of life
generally. Consequently, households confront important tradeoffs between different types of
housing, neighborhood characteristics, and accessibility to place of work. Since housing
expenditures are a large component of every household's budget, the availability of housing and
its price assume considerable importance. Moreover, housing markets play a central role in the
process of metropolitan development, both affecting and reflecting other forces at work in this
sphere. Urban development patterns, in turn, are crucial to our future welfare in many ways.
High population growth and rural-urban migration intensify the problems of urbanization in
Bangladesh, as in all developing countries. For Bangladesh the problem is further aggravated by
limited land supply in urban areas, lower land utilization and lack of proper policy and planning
of land-use. Decline in household size combined with increase in population has pushed up
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housing demand. Presently families in urban area spend a high share of their income on housing
but still obtain low-quality accommodations.
With a rising population and increasing housing demand, apartment culture has grown up in
Dhaka sharply. Apartments were first introduced by the formal private developers in early 80s to
the housing history in Bangladesh. It first appeared in Dhaka near Central Road and
subsequently the city experienced a boom in apartment development in all residential areas
including Dhaka, Chittagong, Barishal, Rajshahi, Sylhet, Khulna, Mymenshing, and Rangpur.
It must be emphasized that the economic costs of any failure in the housing markets can be
enormous and severely harmful to prospects for economic growth. Inefficiencies in the housing
markets can generate not only an inelastic supply of new dwellings but also insufficient market
transactions with respect to housing demand and any future run-up of housing prices, which can
further develop into asset bubbles. Such problems in the housing markets can easily affect the
rest of the economy. In particular, there are three broad consequences of housing market failures.
First, if housing transactions absorb too much capital because of overvalued house prices, then
the growing demand for capital from the housing market can generate a ‗crowding-out effect‘
that leads to increasing overall interest rates and absorbed savings (i.e., expanding foreign debt),
which may reduce the economy‘s stock of productive capital. Second, the scarcity of housing,
the low liquidity of housing assets and/or their excessive price can delay needed structural
changes by imposing severe restrictions on labor migration. Finally, scholars have widely
recognized that collapses of housing bubbles are commonly associated with significant
disruptions to the domestic financial system and the real economy.
350%
300%
250%
200%
150%
Loan Account
Loan Amount
100%
50%
0%
2007
-50% 2008
2009
2010
2011
10
Growth of loan account and amount to the Real Estate Developers
In June 2006, loan was disbursed to 922 Real Estate Developer companies. In 2011, this number
raised to 2385, showing around 160% growth in loan disbursement during this period.
During the period June 2007 to June 2008, no. of loan accounts had a drastic negative growth.
The total loan amount in this period also had a slender negative growth.
After June 2008, total loan amount always had a positive growth irrespective of the growth in
the no. of loan accounts.
Again, during June 2009 to June 2010 no. of loan accounts had a sharp, almost exponential,
positive growth.
Comparing the three population sources, it is estimated that demand for houses in upcoming
three years is around 30,000 to 40,000; in upcoming five years demand is around 60,000 to
80,000; and in upcoming 10 years demand are around 95,000 to 130,000.
In case of flats, estimated demand in upcoming three years is around 75,000 to 100,000; in
upcoming five years demand is around 90,000 to 125,000; and in upcoming 10 years demand are
around 70,000 to 95,000.
For houses, demand is increasing in the long run; i.e. people are more interested to build houses
in 10 years.
For flats, demand is more in medium and short run; i.e. people are more interested to purchase
flats in 5 years, then in 3 years.
180000
160000
140000
120000
100000
Houses
80000 Flats
60000
40000
20000
Flats
0
Deman in 3 yrs
Houses
Demand in 5 yrs
Demand in 10 yrs
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NRB INVESTMENT IN THE REAL ESTATE SECTOR
Like many other countries, most surveys indicate that the majority of remittances are used for
consumptions. Food and clothing feature highest on the list. Siddiqui and Abrar‘s (2001) study
revealed a proportion of 20% while in Murshid et al.‘s (2002) survey 36% of the remittances
were spent on food alone (IOM Rsearch Series, 2005).
A second important use of remittances is the purchase of land and home construction and repair.
Murshid et al. (2002) stated that 15-40% and 10-30% is spent on each item respectively (IOM
Rsearch Series, 2005).
From the consumer survey part of this study it is found that, foreign remittance is a prominent
source of fund to purchase any real estate property along with personal and family savings, and
bank loan. But, any consolidated figure about how much foreign remittance is invested per year
in real estate sector was not available. From the survey, foreign investment was just identified as
a source of fund. From the survey the following information was also derived.
Among the 676 respondents of the survey 436 have a flat, or house, or plot in Dhaka city.
Among the respondents, 13.5% (59 out of 436) stated that a portion of their total investment for
the flat or house or plot was covered by foreign remittance from their family members.
i) Lack of clear land administration: In Bangladesh due to lack of clear land administration the
suitable place & provision for a sound real estate business is in distress condition.
ii) Absence of industry status: There are no clearer standard as a result industry status are
below than normal.
iii) Shortage of skilled & qualified manpower: There is a real need for skilled & qualified
manpower in the real estate sector to promote real estate in Bangladesh.
iv) Non-availability of utility connection: Utility which is an urgent need for a good real estate
industry that is absent in various areas of Bangladesh.
v) Exorbitant price hike of land: Sometimes unexpected rise in price of land specially in urban
areas is really bad for a real estate business.
vi) Rising manpower & material cost: Day by bay labor cost as well as buildings construction
materials price is increasing.
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CONCLUSION
The real estate business has been flourishing in Bangladesh for a considerable period of time,
and has seen tremendous growth in Bangladesh. After a haphazard start, it has gradually become
more systematic and organized. However, land record management in Bangladesh is very
ambiguous and people are apprehensive about land ownership and its legal procedures. People
cannot trust all the real estate companies equally. Only the top professional companies are doing
well. So it is necessary to establish a strong legal framework for real estate development. The
rights of citizens should be protected through proper transparency and accountability. The
planning and design approach is very important components in the construction sector specially
to ensure sustainability. The technology and innovation in the construction industry may reduce
construction cost and time, as well as increase safety. New technological innovations, often in
conjunction with materials and equipment, should be introduced into several of the disciplines
within the construction industry. Such technology also ensures higher productivity, which can
bring socio-economic prosperity to the country. The Government sets regulations on construction
industry such as building code, land use, tendering constructor’s negotiation and environmental
regulation in national and local level. Changes are also sought to improve quality, management
efficiency, material flow, and maintain schedules by better organization and controlling of design
and production process.
Apartments were first introduced by the formal private developers in early 80s to the housing
history in Bangaladesh. It first appeared in Dhaka near Central Road and subsequently the city
experienced a boom in apartment development in all residential areas including Dhaka, Barishal,
Chittagong, Rajshahi, Sylhet, Khulna, Mymenshing, Rangpur to name just a few. During the last
decade, the total volume of Real Estate, Renting and Business service sector increased every year
which implies a positive growth in the sector every year. The growth in this industry also
facilitated a fast growth in many linkage industries like glass and glass products industry, brick
industry, cement industry, ceramic industry, iron and steel industry etc over the last decade. Such
consistent growth in the real estate sector is mainly due to a consistent demand at the consumer
end.
From this study, it is evident that like most other economies of the world, the real estate sector of
Bangladesh is playing a vital role in mitigating housing needs as well as contributing to the
economy. It is felt by all concerned parties that a long term policy for the facilitation of
sustainable growth of this industry is to be formulated very quickly as the industry is said to be
entered into its matured state. For such policy formulation, it is very important that proper data is
available and accessible to all concerned parties.
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