Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand : Chapter Key Ideas
Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand : Chapter Key Ideas
Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand : Chapter Key Ideas
SUPPLY AND
AGGREGATE
DEMAND**
C h a p t e r Key I d e a s
Production and Prices
A. What forces bring persistent and rapid expansion of real GDP?
B. What leads to inflation?
C. Why do we have business cycles?
D. Research on these issues divides economists into schools of thought.
E. The AS-AD model provides a framework for understanding economic growth, inflation, business
cycles, and the different schools of economic thought.
Outline
I. Aggregate Supply
A. Aggregate Supply Fundamentals
1. The aggregate quantity of goods and services supplied depends on three factors:
a) The quantity of labor (L )
b) The quantity of capital (K )
c) The state of technology (T )
2. The aggregate production function, Y = F(L, K, T ), shows how quantity of real GDP
supplied, Y, depends on labor, capital, and technology.
3. At any given time, the quantity of capital and the state of technology are fixed but the
quantity of labor can vary.
4. The wage rate that makes the quantity of labor demanded equal to the quantity supplied is
the equilibrium wage rate. At that wage rate, the level of employment full employment. At
full employment, the unemployment rate is called the natural rate of unemployment.
5. Over the business cycle, employment fluctuates around full employment.
*
* This is Chapter 23 in Economics.
145
146 CHAPTER 7
6.To study aggregate supply in different sates of the labor market, we distinguish two time
frames:
a) Long-run aggregate supply
b) Short-run aggregate supply
B. Long-Run Aggregate Supply
1. The macroeconomic long run is a
time frame that is sufficiently long for all
adjustments to be made so that real
GDP equals potential GDP and there is
full employment.
2. The long-run aggregate supply
curve (LAS ) is the relationship
between the quantity of real GDP
supplied and the price level when real
GDP equals potential GDP. Figure 7.1
shows an LAS curve with potential GDP
of $10 trillion.
3. The LAS curve is vertical because
potential GDP is independent of the
price level. Along the LAS curve all
prices and wage rates vary by the same
percentage so that relative prices and the real wage rate remain constant.
C. Short-Run Aggregate Supply
1. The macroeconomic short run is
a period during which some money
prices are sticky and real GDP might
be below, above, or at potential GDP
and the unemployment rate might be
above, below, or at the natural rate of
unemployment.
2. The short-run aggregate supply
curve (SAS) is the relationship
between the quantity of real GDP
supplied and the price level in the short
run when the money wage rate and
other resource prices are constant and
potential GDP does not change. Figure
7.2 shows a short-run aggregate supply
curve.
3. Along the SAS curve, a rise in the price
level with no change in the money
wage rate and other input prices
increases the quantity of real GDP
supplied—the SAS curve is upward
sloping.
4. The SAS curve is upward sloping
because a rise in the price level with no
AGGREGATE SUPPLY AND AGGREGATE DEMAND 147
change in costs induces firms to increase production; and a fall in the price level with no
change in costs induces firms to decrease production.
D. Movements along the LAS and SAS Curves
1. A change in the price level with an
equal percentage change in the
money wage rate brings a movement
along the LAS curve.
2.
A change in the price level with no
change in the money wage rate results
in a movement along the SAS curve.
Figure 7.3 illustrates both
movements.
E. Changes in Aggregate Supply
1. When potential GDP increases, both
the LAS and SAS curves shift
rightward.
a) Potential GDP changes, as
shown in Figure 7.4 for three
reasons:
2. Buying plans depend on many factors and some of the main ones are
a) The price level
b) Expectations
c) Fiscal and monetary policy
d) The world economy
B. The Aggregate Demand Curve
1. Aggregate demand is the relationship between the quantity of real GDP demanded and
the price level.
2. The aggregate demand (AD) curve
plots the quantity of real GDP
demanded against the price level.
Figure 7.6 shows an AD curve.
3. The AD curve slopes downward for
two reasons: a wealth effect and
two substitution effects.
a) Wealth effect: A rise in the
price level, other things
remaining the same, decreases
the quantity of real wealth. To
restore their real wealth,
people increase saving and
decrease spending, so the
quantity of real GDP
demanded decreases.
Similarly, a fall in the price
level, other things remaining
the same, increases the
quantity of real wealth. With
more real wealth, people
decrease saving and increase
spending, so the quantity of
real GDP demanded increases.
b) Intertemporal substitution
effect: A rise in the price level, other things remaining the same, decreases the real value
of money and raises the interest rate. Faced with a higher interest rate, people borrow
less and spend less so the quantity of real GDP demanded decreases. Similarly, a fall in
the price level increases the real value of money and lowers the interest rate. Faced with
a lower interest rate, people borrow more and spend more so the quantity of real GDP
demanded increases.
c) International substitution effect: A rise in the price level, other things remaining the
same, increases the price of domestic goods relative to foreign goods, so imports
increase and exports decrease, which decreases the quantity of real GDP demanded.
Similarly, a fall in the price level, other things remaining the same, decreases the price
of domestic goods relative to foreign goods, so imports decrease and exports increase,
which increases the quantity of real GDP demanded.
3. A change in the price level changes the quantity of real GDP demanded and there is a
movement along the aggregate demand curve.
AGGREGATE SUPPLY AND AGGREGATE DEMAND 149
c) Monetary policy is changes in the interest rate and quantity of money in the
economy.
i) An increase in the
quantity of money
increases buying power
and increases aggregate
demand.
ii) A cut in the interest rate
increases expenditure and
increases aggregate
demand.
d) The world economy influences
aggregate demand in two ways:
i) A fall in the foreign
exchange rate lowers the
price of domestic goods
and services relative to
foreign goods and services
and so increases exports
and decreases imports,
thereby increasing
aggregate demand.
ii) An increase in foreign
income increases the
demand for U.S. exports
and increases aggregate
demand.
3. When aggregate demand increases,
the AD curve shifts rightward and
when aggregate demand decreases,
the AD curve shifts leftward. Figure
7.7 illustrates an increase and a
decrease in aggregate demand.
1. Real GDP and potential GDP grew from $2.8 trillion to $10.3 trillion.
2. The price level rose from 22 to 105.
3. Business cycle expansions alternated with recessions.
B. Economic Growth
Real GDP growth was rapid during the 1960s and 1990s and slower during the 1970s and
1980s.
C. Inflation
Inflation was the most rapid during the 1970s.
D. Business Cycles
Recessions occurred during the mid-1970s, 1982, 1991–1992, and 2001.
2.Keynesians believe that expectations (“animal spirits”) are the most significant influence on
aggregate demand and business cycle fluctuations.
3. Keynesians believe that the money wage rate is extremely sticky, especially in the downward
direction. A new Keynesian believes that not only is the money wage rate sticky but that
prices of goods and services are also sticky.
4. The Keynesian view calls for fiscal policy and monetary policy to actively offset changes in
aggregate demand.
C. The Classical View
1.A classical macroeconomist believes that the economy is self-regulating and that it is
always at full employment.
2. Classical macroeconomists believe that technological change is the most significant
influence on both aggregate demand and aggregate supply. They believe fluctuations in
potential GDP are responsible for business cycle fluctuations.
3. Classical macroeconomists believe that the money wage rate is flexible and that the
economy adjusts to long-run aggregate supply very quickly.
4. The classical view emphasizes the potential for taxes to stunt incentives and create
inefficiency.
D. The Monetarist View
1. A monetarist macroeconomist believes that the economy is self-regulating and that it will
normally operate at full employment provided that monetary policy is not erratic and that
the pace of money growth is kept steady.
2. Monetarists believe that the quantity of money is the most significant influence on aggregate
demand and business cycle fluctuations.
3. Monetarists believe that the money wage rate is sticky, leading to a distinction between
short-run and long-run aggregate supply.
4. The monetarist view is that, provided that the quantity of money is kept on a steady growth
path, no active stabilization is needed to offset changes in aggregate demand.
Te a c h i n g S u g g e s t i o n s
1. Economists as a group are ambivalent about the aggregate supply-aggregate demand (AS-AD) model.
Real business cycle theorists, who like to build their models from the base of production functions
and preferences, don’t use the model because the AS and AD curves are not independent.
Technological change shifts both the AS and AD curves simultaneously and in complicated ways.
New Keynesian economists have dropped the model in favor of a dynamic variant that places the
inflation rate on the y-axis and the output gap (real GDP minus potential GDP as a percentage of
potential GDP) on the x-axis.
Despite attacks on the model from both sides of the doctrinal spectrum, those of us who spend a good
part of our professional lives teaching the principles course recognize the AS-AD model as the key
macroeconomic model. For us, the model plays a similar role in the organization of the
macroeconomics to that played by the demand and supply model in microeconomics. That is the
view taken in this textbook.
The AS-AD model is the best model currently available for introducing students to macroeconomics.
It enables them to gain insights into the way the economy works, to organize their study of the
subject, and to understand the debates surrounding the effects of policies designed to improve
macroeconomic performance.
Devoting about a week of lecture time to the AS-AD model is worthwhile. At this point the students
don’t yet have the background to appreciate all the details that go into the aggregate demand and
aggregate supply curves. But they are able to grasp the basic purpose of the model. Your goal at this
point in the course is to help them understand the components of the model intuitively and to put the
model to work using some of its more simple and obvious features. (The situation is very similar to
that at the beginning of the microeconomics sequence when you teach demand and supply At that
stage, the students don’t know about the consumer problem that lies behind the demand curve and
the model of perfect competition that lies behind the supply curve when they study demand and
supply at the beginning of their microeconomics course. But they can appreciate the intuition on the
demand and supply curves and use the model to generate predictions.)
2. Aggregate Supply
The flavor of the Classical-Keynesian controversy. If you want to convey the flavor of one of the biggest
controversies in macroeconomics, you can do so at this early stage of the course by using only the
aggregate supply curves. The difference between the upward-sloping SAS and the vertical LAS lies at
the core of the disagreement between Classical economists who believe that wages and prices are
highly flexible and adjust rapidly and Keynesian economists who believe that the money wage rate in
particular adjusts very slowly.
Along the LAS curve—two things happening. Students seem comfortable with the idea that the SAS
curve has a positive slope; but they seem less at ease with the vertical LAS curve. Emphasize (as the
textbook does) the crucial idea that along the LAS curve two sets of prices are changing — the prices
of output and the prices of resources, especially the money wage rate. Once they get this point,
students quickly catch on to the result that firms won’t be motivated to change their production levels
along the LAS curve. The vertical LAS curve is both vital and difficult and class time spent on this
concept is well justified.
One LAS curve-many SAS curves. Another way of reinforcing the distinction between the two AS
curves is to point out to students that at any given time, there is just one LAS curve, corresponding to
potential GDP. But there is an infinite number of possible SAS curves, each corresponding to a
different money wage rate.
2. Aggregate Demand
Keep it simple. You know that the AD curve is a subtle object—an equilibrium relationship derived
from simultaneous equilibrium in the goods market and the money market. This description of the
AGGREGATE SUPPLY AND AGGREGATE DEMAND 157
AD curve is not helpful to students in the principles course and is a topic for the intermediate macro
course. At the same time that we want to simplify the aggregate demand story, we also want to avoid
being misleading. The textbook walks that fine line, and we suggest that you stick closely to the
textbook treatment and don’t try to convey the more subtle aspects of aggregate demand.
A major problem with the AD curve is that a change in the price level that brings a movement along
the curve is not a strict ceteris paribus event. A change in the price level changes the quantity of real
money, which changes the interest rate. Indeed, this chain of events is one of the reasons for the
negative slope of the AD curve. In telling this story, we must be sensitive to the fact that the student
doesn’t yet know about the demand for money. We must provide intuition with stories (like the
Maria stories in the textbook) without referring to the demand for money.
Income equals expenditure on the AD curve. Some instructors want to emphasize a second and more
subtle violation of ceteris paribus, that along the AD curve, aggregate planned expenditure equals real
GDP. That is, the AD curve is not drawn for a given level of income but for the varying level of
income that equals the level of planned expenditure. If you want to make this point when you first
introduce the AD curve, you must cover the AE model of Chapter 29 (Chapter 13 in Macroeconomics)
before you cover this chapter. (The material is written in a way that permits this change of order.) If
you do not want to derive the AD curve from the equilibrium of the AE model, don’t even mention
what’s going on with income along the AD curve. Silence is vastly better than confusion. You can pull
this rabbit out of the hat when you get to Chapter 29 (Chapter 13 in Macroeconomics) if you’re
covering the material in the order presented in the textbook.
3. Macroeconomic Equilibrium
Short-run macroeconomic equilibrium. Emphasize that in short-run macroeconomic equilibrium, firms
are producing the quantities that maximize profit and everyone is spending the amount that they
want to spend. Describe the convergence process using the mechanism laid out on page 530 (page
158 in Macroeconomics) of the textbook. In that process, firms always produce the profit-maximizing
quantities—the economy is on the SAS curve. If they can’t sell everything they produce, firms lower
prices and cut production. Similarly, they can’t keep up with sales and inventories are falling, firms
raise prices and increase production. These adjustment processes continues until firms are selling their
profit-maximizing output. Emphasize also that with a fixed (sticky) money wage rate, this short-run
equilibrium can be at, below, or above potential GDP.
Long-run macroeconomic equilibrium. You can use the idea that there is only one LAS curve-but many
SAS curves to explain long-run equilibrium. In long-run equilibrium, real GDP equals potential GDP
on the one LAS curve. The money wage rate is at the level that makes the SAS curve the one of the
infinite number of possible SAS curves that passes through the intersection of AD and LAS.
From the short run to the long run. Explain that market forces move the money wage rate to the long-
run equilibrium level. At money wage rates below the long-run equilibrium level, there is a shortage
of labor, so the money wage rate rises. At money wage rates above the long-run equilibrium level,
there is a surplus of labor, so the money wage rate falls. At the long-run equilibrium money wage rate,
there is neither a shortage nor a surplus of labor and the money wage rate remains constant.
Shifting the SAS curve. Reinforce the movement toward long-run equilibrium with a curve-shifting
exercise. Take the case where the AD curve shifts rightward. The fact that the initial equilibrium
occurs where the new AD curve intersects the SAS curve is not difficult. But the notion that the SAS
curve shifts leftward as time passes is difficult for many students. The trick to making this idea clear is
to spend enough time when initially discussing the SAS so that the students realize that wages and
other input prices remain constant along an SAS curve. Once the students see this point, they can
understand that, as input prices increase in response to the higher level of (output) prices, the SAS
curve shifts leftward.
158 CHAPTER 7
Avoid confusing students by using ‘up’ to correspond to a decrease in SAS. But do point out that that
when the SAS curve shifts leftward it is moving vertically upward, as input prices rise to become
consistent with potential GDP and the new long-run equilibrium price level. Most students find it
easier to see why the SAS curve shifts leftward once they see that rising input prices shift the curve
vertically upward
4. Growth, inflation, and cycles
Putting the AS-AD model to work. Don’t neglect the predictions of the model. This is the payoff for
the student. With this simple model, we can now say quite a lot about growth, inflation, and the
cycle.
The price level doesn’t fall, and real GDP rarely falls. The AS-AD model predicts a fall in the price level
when either aggregate demand decreases or aggregate supply increases. And the model predicts that
real GDP decreases when either aggregate supply or aggregate demand decreases. Students are
sometimes bothered by this apparent mismatch between the predictions of the model and the
observed economy. The best way to handle this issue is to emphasize that in our actual economy,
aggregate supply and aggregate demand almost always are increasing. When we use the model to
simulate the effects of a decrease in either aggregate supply or aggregate demand, we’re studying what
happens relative to the trends in real GDP and the price level. A fall in the price level in the model
translates into a lower price level than would otherwise have occurred and a slowing of inflation. The
story is similar for real GDP.
5. Macroeconomic Schools of Thought
The flavor of the Classical-Keynesian controversy. If you want to convey the flavor of one of the biggest
controversies in macroeconomics, you can do so at this early stage of the course using only the
aggregate supply curves. The difference between the upward-sloping SAS and the vertical LAS lies at
the core of the disagreement between Classical economists who believe that wages and prices are
highly flexible and adjust rapidly and Keynesian economists who believe that the money wage rate in
particular adjusts very slowly.
with Chapter 10 (Chapter 26 in Economics), the next block of chapters elaborates the demand side.
Chapters 10 and 11 (Chapters 26 and 27 in Economics) explain the role of money and provide the
detailed underpinning for the effects of money on aggregate demand. Chapter 12 (Chapter 28 in
Economics) uses the AS-AD model to examine inflation. Chapter 13 (Chapter 29 in Economics) lays
out the aggregate expenditure model, explains the multiplier effect of changes in investment,
describes the adjustment process that moves the economy toward the AD curve, and derives the AD
curve from the AE equilibrium. Chapter 14 (Chapter 30 in Economics) uses the AS-AD model to
study the sources of the business cycle. Chapters 15 and 16 (Chapters 31 and 32 in Economics) use
the AS-AD model to explain the effects of fiscal policy and monetary policy and to examine the
debates and alternative views on the appropriate use of fiscal policy and monetary policy.
O v e r h e a d Tr a n s p a r e n c i e s
Transparency Text Figure Transparency title
36 Figure 7.2 Short-Run Aggregate Supply
37 Figure 7.3 Movements Along the Aggregate Supply
Curves
38 Figure 7.6 Aggregate Demand
39 Figure 7.8 Short-Run Equilibrium
40 Figure 7.9 Long-Run Equilibrium
41 Figure 7.10 Economic Growth and Inflation
42 Figure 7.11 The Business Cycle
43 Figure 7.12 An Increase in Aggregate Demand
44 Figure 7.14 Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand:
1963–2003
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the graph that you made to answer problem 3, add a new AD curve by plotting the price level against
“New quantity of real GDP demanded.” The new equilibrium level of real GDP is $450 billion, and
the price level is 110.
6. Make a new table based on that in problem 4. Add a column headed “New real GDP demanded.”
Enter values in this column that equal the value in the column headed “Real GDP demanded” minus
$150 billion. (For example, on the first row of your new column, you have $450 billion.) Now, using
the graph that you made to answer problem 4, add a new AD curve by plotting the price level against
“New quantity of real GDP demanded.” The new equilibrium level of real GDP is $250 billion, and
the price level is 110.
7. Make a new table based on that in problem 3. Add a column headed “New real GDP supplied in the
short run.” Enter values in this column that equal the value in the column headed “Real GDP
supplied in the short run” minus $100 billion. (For example, on the first row of your new column,
you have $250 billion.) Now, using the graph that you made to answer problem 3, add a new SAS
curve by plotting the price level against “New quantity of real GDP supplied in the short run.” The
new equilibrium level of real GDP is $350 billion, and the price level is 110.
8. Make a new table based on that in problem 4. Add a column headed “New real GDP supplied in the
short run.” Enter values in this column that equal the value in the column headed “New real GDP
supplied in the short run” plus $150 billion. (For example, on the first row of your new column, you
have $300 billion.) Now, using the graph that you made to answer problem 4, add a new SAS curve
by plotting the price level against “New quantity of real GDP supplied in the short run.” The new
equilibrium level of real GDP is $400 billion, and the price level is 110.
9. a. Point C. The aggregate demand curve is the red curve AD1. The short-run aggregate supply
curve is the blue curve SAS0. These curves intersect at point C.
b. Point D. The short-run aggregate supply curve is the red curve SAS1. The aggregate demand
curve is now the red curve AD1. These curves intersect at point D.
c. Aggregate demand increases if (1) expected future incomes, inflation, or profits increase; (2) the
government increases its purchases or reduces taxes; (3) the Fed increases the quantity of money
and decreases interest rates; or (4) the exchange rate decreases or foreign income increases.
d. Short-run aggregate supply decreases if resource prices increase.
10. a. Point B. The short-run aggregate supply curve is SAS1. The aggregate demand curve has not
changed. These curves intersect at point B.
b. There are three possible events that could have changed the long-run aggregate supply curve
from LAS0 to LAS1: an increase in the full-employment quantity of labor; an increase in the
quantity of capital; and/or an advance in technology.
c. The same events that changed the LAS curve also will shift the SAS curve. The SAS curve will
shift by the same amount as the LAS curve.
d. After the increase in aggregate supply, there is a new short-run equilibrium at point B. Real
GDP is less than potential GDP, which is now along the LAS1 curve. There is a recessionary gap
at point B.
e. Aggregate demand would need to increase. Full-employment equilibrium would be achieved at
point C with an increase in AD.