Valuation Concepts and Methods Course Outline
Valuation Concepts and Methods Course Outline
1. INTRODUCTION
Value
The monetary worth of an asset, business entity, goods sold, services rendered, or liability or
obligation acquired
What is Value?
In accounting terms, value is the monetary worth of an asset, business entity, goods sold, services
rendered, or liability or obligation acquired. In economic terms, value is the sum of all the benefits
and rights arising from ownership.
Economic Value
The economic value of a business is the business’s contribution to the global gross domestic product
(GDP). The most common method of estimating economic value is the counter-factual method. The
counter-factual method states that the economic value of a business is the difference between the
current global GDP and the hypothetical global GDP if the business did not exist.
The value per share of a company can be calculated by simply dividing the value by shares
outstanding. When valuing a business, an analyst is trying to answer the following question: How
much is this business worth in the market? Accountants tend to focus on stock valuations and
consider owners’ equity as the most accurate estimator of the true value of a business.
On the other hand, financial markets investors tend to focus on flow values and consider net revenues
as the most accurate estimator of a business’ true value. The market price of a business is the
market’s estimate of the true value of the company. Since the market is composed of heterogeneous
agents with rapidly changing beliefs about the business, the market price of a business fluctuates
drastically (to reflect the changing beliefs).
In addition, the business’ market price is also affected by the state of the overall economy. It may
increase during an economic boom (expansionary phase) and decrease during a recession
(contractionary phase).
2. Value primarily varies in accordance with the capacity of a business to generate future cash flow
A company’s valuation is essentially a function of its future cash flow except in rare situations where
net asset liquidation leads to a higher value. The first key takeaway in the second principle is “future.”
It implies that historical results of the company’s earnings before the date of valuation are useful in
predicting the future results of the business under certain conditions.
The second key in this principle is “cash flow.” It is because cash flow, which takes into account capital
expenditures, working capital changes, and taxes, is the true determinant of business value. Business
owners should aim at building a comprehensive estimate of future cash flows for their companies.
Even though making estimates is a subjective undertaking, it is vital that the value of the business is
validated. Reliable historical information will help in supporting the assumptions that the forecasts
will use.
3. The market commands what the proper rate of return for acquirers is
Market forces are usually in a state of flux, and they guide the rate of return that is needed by
potential buyers in a particular marketplace. Some of the market forces include the type of industry,
financial costs, and the general economic conditions.
Market rates of return offer significant benchmark indicators at a specific point in time. They influence
the rates of return wanted by individual company buyers over the long term. Business owners need to
be wary of the market forces in order to know the right time to exit that will maximize value.
The above are fundamental business valuation principles that determine the value of a business. The
value of any business is usually determined at a specific point in time and is impacted by the
company’s capacity to generate future cash flow, market forces, underlying net tangible assets,
transferability of future cash flows, and liquidity.
Although they are technical valuation concepts, the basics of the valuation principles need to
understood by business owners to help them increase the valuation of their businesses.
Valuation Methods
The main methods used to value a business
The “comps” valuation method provides an observable value for the business, based on what other
comparable companies are currently worth. Comps are the most widely used approach, as they are
easy to calculate and always current. The logic follows that if company X trades at a 10-times P/E
ratio, and company Y has earnings of $2.50 per share, company Y’s stock must be worth $25.00 per
share (assuming the companies have similar attributes).
The values represent the en bloc value of a business. They are useful for M&A transactions but can
easily become stale-dated and no longer reflective of the current market as time passes. They are less
commonly used than Comps or market trading multiples.
A DCF analysis is performed by building a financial model in Excel and requires an extensive amount of
detail and analysis. It is the most detailed of the three approaches and requires the most estimates
and assumptions. However, the effort required for preparing a DCF model will also often result in the
most accurate valuation. A DCF model allows the analyst to forecast value based on different
scenarios and even perform a sensitivity analysis.
For larger businesses, the DCF value is commonly a sum-of-the-parts analysis, where different
business units are modeled individually and added together.
Another valuation method for a company that is a going concern is called the ability to pay analysis.
This approach looks at the maximum price an acquirer can pay for a business while still hitting some
target. For example, if a private equity firm needs to hit a hurdle rate of 30%, what is the maximum
price it can pay for the business?
If the company does not continue to operate, then a liquidation value will be estimated based on
breaking up and selling the company’s assets. This value is usually very discounted as it assumes the
assets will be sold as quickly as possible to any buyer.
The enterprise value (which can also be called firm value or asset value) is the total value of the assets
of the business (excluding cash).
The equity value (or net asset value) is the value that remains for the shareholders after any debts
have been paid off.
Enterprise value is more commonly used in valuation techniques as it makes companies more
comparable by removing their capital structure from the equation.