FIN 200 Notes 12-10-22
FIN 200 Notes 12-10-22
FIN 200 Notes 12-10-22
Group 2 - Pelaelo
• Financial management
• It is primarily about financial decisions in Businesses. It can be defined as
the acquisition, application and disbursement of funds by the organisation.
• These funds are acquired and used in financial markets many a times the
whole process is facilitated by financial institutions such as brokerage and
investment banking houses as this involves large sums of money
7
• Financing should be cost effective and/or convenient in terms of
matching repayment income with instalments.
• In other cases supplementary features of the financing process will
have the upper hand such as less stringent conditions of the funds
being raised
• To conduct a splendid financing process a lot goes into planning,
appraisal and risk assessment
• The scope of financial management is therefore quite broad. It
involves:
▪ Financial appraisal of business opportunities
▪ Assessment of the cost effective means of sourcing capital
▪ Securities evaluation
▪ Assessment of risk and returns
• Examples of Financing activities – issuing of shares, long term
(Bonds) or Short-term borrowing (commercial paper)
2. Investment Activities – refers to expenditure on capital assets
such as Property, Plant and Equipment (PPE), independent projects
and acquisition of other businesses.
• Investment of excess funds in market securities is also included in
this category
3. Operating Activities – deals with daily activities of the core
business of a company in order to produce and sell its products.
The main focus is in managing expenditure and generating revenue
• Examples are procurement of material, payment of salaries and
wages, payment of factory or warehouse rent, utilities etc
Role of a financial manager
12
The Financial Markets
13
▪ Types Financial Markets
14
Money Markets vs Capital Markets
a) Money Markets
➢ Trade in short-term finance (normally up to 1 year) e.g. treasury bills
➢ Highly liquid and marketable securities
➢ Facilitate transactions between savers with temporarily idle funds and businesses temporarily
short of funds (working capital)
b) Capital Markets
➢ Trade in long-term finance, e.g. shares, bonds, debentures (GIY)
➢ Mechanism through which long-term finance is pooled and made available to corporations
➢ Higher in risk and return
Mortgage Markets vs Consumer Credit Markets
a) Mortgage Markets
➢ Financial instruments linked to real estate (mortgages) are created by financial
institutions
➢ These instruments are then traded in the secondary markets
16
PRIMARY VS SECONDARY MARKETS
Primary Market
• The shares/stock are issued directly by the company to investors
• Achieved by either private placement or initial public offering (IPO)(GIY)
• The company receives the funds and issues share certificates (nowadays not physical)
• Funds used as start-up (IPO) or expansion capital(FPO)
• New capital is formed in the economy
• E.g. BTC listing
Secondary Market
• Trade in existing or already outstanding securities
• Transaction between security (share) holder and a third party investor
• Proceeds from the sale doesn’t accrue to the owner company
17
ORGANISED EXCHANGES VS OVER THE COUNTER
MARKETS(OTC)
19
Methods of Capital Transfer
Direct vs Indirect Transfer
Direct Transfer
Direct Transfer
• Businesses (SDUs) directly solicit and acquire funds from investors
• Limited capacity to raise finance
• Slow process
• Cuts the involvement and costs of the go-between such as an intermediary
• i.e. private equity firms like CEDA, Venture Capital, unlisted credit lending
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Direct Transfer Through Investment Banks or brokers
26
5. Mutual Savings Banks
• Localised financial institutions that have a depository functionary for individuals and small scale
operators
• The institution creates short and long-term securities for home ownership and other purposes e.g BBS
27
7. Pension Funds (BPOPF,UBDPF)
• A pool of savings in the form of premiums is collected from members
• Employers may contribute to members’ funds
• Appointed fund managers oversee fund investment, creating suitable portfolios
• Rules and regulations govern how the funds ought to be invested
• Members are only entitled to the funds in case of occurrence of an event stipulated in the policy
document or after a defined time lapse, e.g. retirement, disability or death
• Member borrow short-term against their entitlements
29
Hedge Funds
• Similar to mutual funds in that they accept money from savers and buy various securities
• Unlike mutual funds, hedge funds are largely unregulated as they target high net worth individuals and
institutions
• Used by individuals who want to hedge risks (or economic conditions)
NOTE: With exception to hedge funds and private equity companies, financial institutions are regulated to
protect investors
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Exercises
a. Discuss the responsibilities performed by the Finance Manager or Finance Director of a listed company.
a. Distinguish between: Direct capital transfer and Indirect capital transfer, with relevant hypothetical examples.
b. Distinguish between: i) Money and Capital markets; ii)Primary and Secondary markets; iii) organised and over the counter (OTC) stock
markets; and iv) spot and futures markets giving relevant hypothetical examples of each.
c. What would you consider to be a ‘conducive economic environment’ for a business to borrow debt? Use any three of the factors that
determine interest rate to explain your answer.
d. How does the interest rate of short-term securities differ from that of the long-term securities issued by the Central Bank?
e. A three-month BOB bond carries a nominal interest rate of 6.2%. A comparable (in Liquidity) three-month bond of a lowly rated
company’s carries a nominal interest rate of 7.6%. What is the default risk premium for the company
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Interest Rates
Introduction
➢Cost of Capital: Interest Rate is a reflection of the cost of capital, and in
particular is the price of borrowed debt
➢Compensation: Interest rate is a compensation paid by the borrower of funds
to the lender
➢Rationing: Interest rate rations available capital funds, thereby allocating
funds prudently among alternative investment opportunities i.e. profitable
ventures attract most capital away from inefficient ones
➢Opportunity Cost: It represents the opportunity cost of capital
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Determinants of Interest Rates
34
•
Other Determinants of Interest Rates
35
Monetary vs Fiscal Policies
• Monetary Policy -Deals with Monetary policy i.e the supply or amount of money in
the economy through the central Bank
• Central Bank Policy
• Economic activity, the rate of inflation, and hence interest rates, can be controlled using money
supply
– Increase in money supply increases expected inflation rate, thereby pushing interest rates up
– Reduction in money supply has the opposite effect
– Central bank also has direct control over interest rate
– Short term rates are most adversely impacted by Central Bank intervention. Long-term rates
may remain unchanged, or indicate slight change
– Read BoB 2022 Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) (GIY – Google It Yourself)
• Fiscal Policies - Deals with Govt expenditures through Treasury –Min Of Finance
• Budget Deficits or Surpluses
– Governments borrow to supplement budgets, thereby increasing the demand (competition) for
money
– Interest rates increase as a direct result of such expenditure
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– Debt security buy-backs reduce interest rates
Nominal (Quoted) Market Interest Rate (k)
• The nominal market interest rate of a security (k) is the actual interest rate that is quoted on
the face of a security as charged by the lender and paid by the borrower
• ‘k’ will vary across situations, depending largely on the riskiness of both the security and
the borrower
• k = k* + IP + DRP + LP + MRP Or
37
Nominal vs Real risk-free Interest Rate
38
3. Default risk (DRP)
• The probability of a borrower being unable to service his/her debt obligations, i.e. paying principal and
interest at agreed intervals
• Default risk is largely influenced by the borrower’s history in debt servicing, hence rating agencies
become important. Debt securities of companies rated highly carry low DRP
• Central Bank debt securities carry the lowest (near zero) DRP while lowly rated companies carry the
highest DRP
• Effectively govt security is regarded as carrying no default risk
4. Liquidity Premium(LP)
• Securities with weak secondary market tie-up the funds of an investor
• The liquidity premium is levied depending on the marketability or liquidity of the security
• Liquidity is measured by the extent to which a security is easily marketable and saleable at reasonable
price on short notice in the secondary markets
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5. Maturity Premium(MRP)
• Investing in long-term securities carries a risk that is associated with unanticipated adverse
economic events that may occur with the passage of time i.e.
economic/political/environmental/social events that may occur with the passage of time
• To shield the investor’s returns on long-term securities from the possibility of being
disadvantaged from the prospects of some unanticipated occurrence happening with the
passage of time. This is also included in Central Bank long-term securities
• The maturity risk premium is charged for risking capital losses due to the passage of time as
a result of unexpected changes in interest rates,
• Generally, the longer to maturity for a security the higher will be the maturity risk premium
40
Structure of Interest Rates- RECAP
• K = Nominal or Quoted Interest rate – Reward for lending one’s funds
i. K = K* - Real risk-free rate - True/Pure Compensation
▪ Would be enough in a world without inflation and any other risk of loss
▪ Doesn’t exist in the real world
ii. K = K* + IP = Compensation for inflation → Krf - Nominal risk-free
▪ Bt absolutely no other risk exposure – No company can offer that. Only Govt
short-term bonds →T-Bills – come close to that
iii. k = krf + DRP includes the possibility of Default
▪ The possibility of default exists for all Businesses even the Blue-chip Firms
iv. k = krf + DRP + LP includes a measure of liquidity
▪ Marketability depends on the breadth and depth of the secondary market for
the concerned security
▪ It also depend on some features or conditions imposed on each security
• k = krf + DRP + LP + MRP – finally add Maturity risk premium which is a
collective name for all risks or potential calamities that can befall the
investment in the interim
▪ The longer the investment period the higher such risk even for govt bonds
▪ Could be economic/political/social/environmental and even technological
▪ Examples of Economic Calamities are Stock Market Crushes and Financial
Crisis
▪ Examples of Political risk are the ideological difference between Russia and
Ukraine that affected many markets and industries including Confectineries
and the Energy sector
▪ Examples of Social Unrest is the toppling of Sri Lanka Govt recently through
Protest. There are other examples of Social unrest in Bolivia Iraq, Sudan
even Canada where the transport routes where brought to a grinding halt
which affected many Business
• Environmental impact can be found from the move from Coal to cleaner
sources of energy. This affect coal based Business massively
• Technological impact could be a Trade/Credit Union whose members were
mostly concrete mixtures and Labourers being replaced by concrete mixers
and other Industrial machinery. Washing Machines and Dish washers being
replacing Maid Requirements etc
• Artificial Intelligence and Robotics are also affecting quite a number of
workplaces
Exercise 1
• Gibbs, a UB graduate aged 21, has just been employed and is looking forward to moving out of
his parents’ house to establish himself. Mr Oldie, on the other hand has served the government
for 18 years and is starting to think of a retirement package. Based on the concept of time
preferences for consumption, explain why these two individuals would potentially demand
different interest rates (returns). Who would demand a higher interest rate (return) as a
motivation to invest?
• Answer:
• Gibbs will demand a higher interest rate than Oldie in the context of the time preference for
consumption because most of his income by necessity has to go towards current consumption
in covering his basic necessities which includes rent and other amnesties such as grocery.
• He therefore has to be incentivized by a higher margin to give up consumption
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
• His propensity for current consumption can be measured by his which
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝐼𝑛𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒
surely exceeds that of Oldie’s
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II. Distinguish between ‘real’ and ‘nominal’ risk-free rates.
• Answer:
• The ‘nominal’ rate indicates that the rate includes inflation and ‘real’ indicates that the rate
is net of inflation
• Therefore Nominal Risk-free Rate(krf )is equal to Real Risk-free(k*)plus Inflation
Premium(IP)
• krf = k* + IP
• Real Risk-free is equals to k* . If given krf then:
• k* = krf - IP
III. There is a 5-year security to be offered next-year. You are informed that the current rate of
inflation is 3.5% and is to be as follows in the next 5 years: 5.0%, 5.6%, 4.9%, 7.0% and
7.2%. You are required to compute the Inflation Premium for the security.
• Answer:
• The inflation rates that are relevant are those of the period of investment. In this case the
investment occurs over the next 5 years we therefore take year 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5
• Note that we exclude the current year’s inflation of 3.5% as it has already
occurred
• The answer is therefore is the average of those 5 years which is
5+5.6+4.9+7+7.2 29.7
• IP = = = 5.9%
5 5
iv. Information drawn from the Central Statistics Office predicts inflation for the
next 6 years as follows; 4.4%, 5.3%, 3.5%, 4.0%, 3.7% and 4.8%. The
following data is available with regard to a company’s 6-year security:
Real Risk-free rate 3.75%
Default Risk Premium 1.25%
Liquidity Premium 2.20%
Maturity Risk Premium 1.45%
You are required to compute the Nominal Risk-Free and the Nominal Interest
Rates for the company’s security.
• Answer:
• Nominal Risk-free rate (krf ) = k* + IP
(4.4+5.3+3.5+4+3.7+4.8) 25.7
• Inflation Premium(IP) = =
6 6
• = 4.3%
• Nominal Risk-free rate (krf ) = k* + IP
• = 3.75 + 4.3
• = 8.05%
• K = krf + DRP + LP + MRP
• = 8.05 + 1.25 + 2.20 + 1.45
• = 12.95%
Exercise 5
The following data has been compiled for a security with 4 years to
maturity:
Nominal Risk-free rate of return 7.5%
Default Risk Premium 1.75%
Liquidity Premium 2.25%
Maturity Risk Premium 2%
The current rate of inflation is 4.75%, and that expected for the next 5
years is 4.0%, 4.2%, 4.6%, 5.0% and 5.75%.
• Money like any commodity has a price and this price is called
interest.
• Interest is the compensation for loss of value or purchasing power of
the future amount
• This interest should atleast be just enough to compensate for loss in
purchasing power
• There is therefore a need to compare Today’s values with Future
values
• Amounts of Pulas occurring at different time periods have different
values
• These amounts have to be translated into the same time value in
order to be compared
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• One can translate these amounts into either FUTURE VALUE or PRESENT
VALUE
• Risk- The present value is certain and has no risk whilst the future value is
uncertain and therefore carries a certain amount of risk
• In order to compare these two you use either present value(PV) or Future
value(FV) computations
53
Future & Present Values
• Future value (FV) is how much your money today (Present Value)
will be worth in the future after growing it by a certain interest rate.
• The process of going to future values from the present is called
compounding.
• Present value (PV) is how much your future amount (FV) is worth
in today’s terms i.e assuming you were to use it now.
• The process of moving from future values (FV) back to present
values(PV) is called discounting.
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• Today’s values can be compounded (grown) to future values.
• On the other hand Future Values that can be discounted (reduced) to
today’s values:
• Example
• Suppose P40 can be able to buy a bag of oranges today but a
person would need P46 to buy a bag of orange in a year’s time.
• Observations:
• It means that P40 is the PV
• P46 is the FV
46
• Interest Factor(1+i) = = 1.15
40
𝐹𝑉
• Interest factor of a single amount(1+i) =
𝑃𝑉
55
𝐹𝑉
• If (1+i) =
𝑃𝑉
• FV = PV x (1+i)
• FV = 40 x 1.15
• = P46.00
• In the above example the sum of P40 is regarded as a lumpsum amount in
this transaction as only a single amount is spared
• This lumpsum amount is then allowed to grow over time
• Assuming constant growth of 15% the sum will grow as follows:
56
• Year 0 40
• Year 1 40(1.15) = P46
• Year 2 46(1.15) = P52.90
• Year 3 52.90(1.15) = P60.84
• ________________________________________
• Also recognized as follows:
• Year 0 = 40
• Year 1 = 40(1.15) = P46
• Year 2 = 40(1.15)(1.15) = P52.90
• = 40(1.15)2 = P52.90
• Year 3 = 40(1.15)(1.15)(1.15) = P60.84
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• = 40(1.15)3 = P60.84
• PV = P40
• FVs = P46, P52.90, P60.84 etc
• Interest Factor(1+i ) = 1.15 = FVIF
• Therefore FVn = PV(FVIF)n
• FVn = PV(1+i )n
58
Determining FVs & PVs
• There are four procedures that can be used to solve time value
problems.
59
• The future value could be for a lumpsum over a specific time period
• E.g In the previous exercise a lumpsum of P40 was allowed to grow
over a period of time
• In certain instances it will be a series of amounts being deposited over
a certain period of time
• Example, one could put P500 every month in a bank savings account
• A series of payments or deposits is referred to as a cashflow or
cashflow stream
• In this case each deposit will be earning interest
60
Using Time Line
to determine FVs
• Lumpsum
• A time line help you to visualise what is happening in a particular problem.
See an illustration below.
0 1 2 3
Periods 6%
Cash PV = P200 FV = ?
• This implies that Financial tables are worked out from the basic compounding Process
Time Line Approach
0 1 2 3
Periods 6%
(1+i)
Cash P212.00 P224.72 P238.20
P200.00
1 212.00 12.00
2 224.72 12.72
3 238.20 13.48
Total Interest 38.20
• Interest earned each period increases because the
beginning balance is higher each successive year.
• Total interest earned (P38.20) is reflected in the final
balance (P238.20).
64
Formula Approach
FVn=PV(1+i)n
• Where:
– FV= Future value
– PV=Present value
– i= interest rate
– n= Number of periods
• Calculate FV from the earlier example using the above formula given PV=200,
i=6% and n=3
65
Solution
FV3 = PV(1+i)n
FV3 = 200(1+0.06) 3
66
Understanding Interest tables
67
• FVIF(6%,3) = 1.191
• To get our FV we use the formula
• FV3 = PV0 x FVIF(6%,3)
• FV3 = 200 x 1.191
• = P238.20
68
Using Financial Calculators
69
Spread Sheets
• Refer to class exercise that we will do together in class.
• Basically you have to be familiar with the following notation to be used
in the excel function.
– PV = use this function for calculating Present Value
– FV = used for calculating Future Value
– RATE = used when determining the interest rate
– NPER = used when determining the number of periods
– PMT =used when determining constant periodic payments
• Example: to find FV used the function below in excel
• =FV(rate,nper,pmt,[pv])
70
• We now know that FVn = PV(1+i)n = Compounding
• From the Previous example the terms of the equation are:
• Present value; PVt=0 = 200
• Future value Interest Factor(FVIF6%,3)Use tables= ?
• (1+i)n = (1.06)3 = 1.191
• FVn = PV(1+i)n = 200 x (1.191)
• = P238.20
71
Present Values
72
𝐹𝑉
• This is the PV formula: PV =
(1+1)𝑛
• Finding PV is called discounting
• All the four methods discussed earlier (step-by-step approach, formula,
Financial calculator and spread sheets can be used to solve PV problems.
• Example
• A security promises to pay P238.20 at the end of 3 years. How much is it
worth today . Use the formula approach to solve for the PV or fair price of this
security using a discount rate of 6%.
73
Formula Approach
𝐹𝑉
• PV =
(1+1)𝑛
• Pv = ?
• FV =
• 238.20
• n =
• 3
• i =
• 6% or 0.06
𝐹𝑉
• ThereforePV =
(1+𝑖)𝑛
238.20
• =
(1.06)3 74
• = 199.997
• = P200
75
1. Step-by-step approach
• To get the PV for period zero(now) you have to get the PV
for period 2 and 1 first.
• Basically you divide the amount at the end of each period by
(1+ i) to get the PV for the previous period. See the figure
below.
(1+i)
76
0 1 2 3
Periods 6%
(1+i)
Cash P200.00 P212.00 P224.72 P238.20
77
Using Interest Table
• PVIF(6%,3) = ?
• 0.840
PV = FVxPVIF
PV = FV(1+i)-n
PV = 238.20 x 0.840
PV= P200
• Note that you don’t divide by the PVIF but rather you multiply by the factor.
Whenever you use the interest table you will always multiply by the interest
factor whether it’s a FV or PV interest factor.
78
PVIF explained
𝐹𝑉
• PV =
(1+1)𝑛
1
• = FV x
(1+𝑖)𝑛
1
• = FV x
𝐹𝑉𝐼𝐹
1
• PVIF =
𝐹𝑉𝐼𝐹
• = FV x PVIF
79
Finding the interest rate(i) and
and the period of investment (n)
• Once you know the formula for PV and Future value you can
always find missing items from the formula.
• E.g from our previous example assume in a FV calculation you
know both your FV, PV and (n) to be P238.20, P200 and 3 years
respectively, thus
FV3 = PV(1+i)3
238.20 = 200(1+i)3
• Calculate (i)
80
Calculating “i” – the Interest rate
• FV3 = PV(1+i)3
• 238.20 = 200(1+i)3
• 238.20/200 = (1+i)3
• 1.191 = (1+i)3
• 3√(1.191) = 3√(1+i)3
• 1.06 = 1+i
• 1+i = 1.06
• 1+i - 1 = 1.06 -1
• i = 0.06
• Therefore i = 0.06 = 6%
81
Calculating “n” – the period of investment
• Assume now that you are given everything but (n) in our previous example,
thus
• FV3 = PV(1+i)3
• 238.20 = 200(1+0.06)n
• Calculate (n), the number of years or Maturity of the Investment.
82
Solution
• 238.20 = 200(1+0.06)n
• 238.20/200 = (1+0.06)n
• 1.191 = 1.06n
• Ln1.191 = (n)Ln1.06
• 0.1748 = (n)0.0583
0.1748
• = n
0.0583
• Therefore: n= 2.998 = 3 years
83
Annuities
84
Introduction
85
FV of an Ordinary Annuity
• Example 1
• Assume that instead of 1 lump sum payment of P200, you actually deposit
P200 at the end of each year for 3 years in your savings account. How much
money will you have in you account at the end of 3 years, if you earn 6%
interest per year.
86
Solution
1. Formula approach
{(1+i)n −1}
• FVA n = PMT[ ]
i
{FVIFn −1}
• FVA n = PMT[ ]
i
{(1+0.06)3−1}
• FVOA 3 = 200x [ ]
0.06
{(1.191016)−1}
• FVOA 3 = 200x [ ]
0.06
{(1.191016)−1}
• FVOA 3 = 200x [ ]
0.06
(0.191016)
• FVOA 3 = 200x [ ]
0.06
• FVOA 3 = 200x 3.1836 = P636.72
87
2. Using Financial tables
• FVOA = PMTxFVIFOA(6%,3)
• FVOA = PMT*FVIFOA(6%,3) Note sometimes we use * as the multiplication sign
• Find ** FVIFOA(6%,3) from the table
• FVIFOA(6%,3) = 3.1834
• Apply to FVOA = 200(3.1834)
• = P 636.68
• Note that we are able to directly get the FVIFA(6%,3) of 3.1834 from
the table which is a bit quicker.
FV of an Annuity Due
• Example 2
• Assume the P200 in the previous example is deposited at the at the
beginning of each period(annuity due) for three years.
1. Formula Approach
• FVAdue = FVA(1+i)
89
2. Using Interest tables
• FVAdue = PMTxFVIFAdue(6%,3)
• FVAD = PMT*FVIFAD(6%,3)
• Find FVIFAdue(6%,3) = ?
• = 3.37462
• FVAD = 200(3.37462)
• = P674.92
90
PV of an Ordinary Annuity
• Example 1
• Assume that the series of P200 is actually deposit at the end of each
year for 3 years in your savings account. How much is your account
worth in today’s terms if it earns 6% interest per year.
1. Formula Approach
1
[ (1+i)n }
]
1−{
• PVA n = PMT
𝑖
1
[ (1+i)n }
]
1−{
• PVOA n = PMT
𝑖
1−(1+𝑖)−𝑛 }
• PVOA n = PMT[ ]
𝑖 91
1−𝑃𝑉𝐼𝐹𝑖,𝑛 }
• PVOA n = PMT[ ]
𝑖
• Solution
1
[ (1+i)n }
]
1−{
• PVOA n = PMT
𝑖
1
200[ ]
(1+0.06)3 }
1−{
• PVA n =
0.06
• BODMAS – BRACKETS, ORDERS, DIVISION, MULIPLICATION,ADDITION AND SUBSTRACTION
1
[ (1.06)3 }
]
1−{
• PVA n = 200
0.06
[ 1.191016} ]
1
1−{
• PVA n = 200 92
0.06
• PVA n = [
200
1−0.8396
0.06
]
• PVOA n = 200[ ]0.1604
0.06
• PVOA n = 200[2.673]
• PVOA = P534.60
93
2. Using Financial tables
• PVOA = PMT*PVIFOA(6%,3)
• Find the PVIFOA(6%,3 from the table = ??
• = 2.673
• PVOA = 200(2.673) = ?
• = P534.60
• PV of an Annuity Due(PVAD)
• PVAD = PVOA*(1+i)
• PVAD = 534.60* 1.06 = ?
• = P566.68
• Using Financial table: PVAD = PMT*PVIFAD(6%,3)
• Find PVIFAD(6%,3) = ?
• = 2.83339
• PVAD = 200*2.83339
94
• = P566.68
• Note that the PV of Annuity due > PV of Ordinary annuity. This is because
with Annuity due, each PMT is discounted back one less year.
PERPETUITIES
96
Example
• Solution
𝑃𝑀𝑇
• PV of a perpetuity =
𝑖
2.50
• PV = 0.10
• PV = P25
97
Uneven Cash Flows
• So far our discussion has been based on constant (even) cash flows
(CF) in the form of annuity payments.
• However some situations may by nature require the use of non-
constant (uneven) cash flows.
• For e.g common stock dividend & CFs from capital projects are
usually uneven and increase over time.
• Uneven cash flows have two classes:
98
1. Constant plus a lumpsum
Periods 0 1 2 3
i=6%
• 2. Irregular Stream
• In this instance the payouts are uneven or irregular streams (e.g Stocks &
Capital Investments)
0 1 2 3
Periods i=6%
102
1. Annual interest rate(i)
103
Investment Period/
Maturity of the investment(n)
• The annual or number of years must be converted to the correct number of
periods.
• No. periods(n) = No. years X compounding periods per year
• Example: 3 years becomes :
• 3 x 2 = 6 periods; Semi-annually
• 3 x 4 = 12 periods; Quarterly
• 3 x 12 = 36 periods; Monthly
104
Example
• P20 000 is deposited into a savings account paying 16% interest
for 5 years. Compute the FV of the investment assuming the
interest is compounded:
i. Annually
ii. Semi-annually
iii. Quarterly
iv. Daily (365 days in a year)
105
Solution
i) Annually:
• FVn = PV(1 + i)n
= 20 000(1.16)5
= P 42,006.83
ii) Semi - Annually
• FVn = PV(1 + i)n
0.16
• Periodic Rate(i) = = 0.08
2
• No. Periods(n) = 5x2 = 10
• FVn = PV(1 + i)n
• FV = 20 000(1.08)10
= P43,178.50 106
3) Quarterly
• FVn = PV(1 + i)n
0.16
• Periodic Rate = = 0.04
4
• No. Periods (n) = 5 x 4 = 20
• FV = 20 000 (1.04)20
= P43,822.46
107
iv) Daily
• FVn = PV(1 + i)n
0.16
• Periodic Rate = = 0.0004
365
• No. Periods (n) = 5 x 365 = 1,825
• FV = 20 000(1.0004)1825
= 20 000 (2.2251)
= P44,503.02
108
• We conclude that
A. The more the compounding periods a year the greater the FV of
the investment at the end of the period, and
B. By extension, the higher the actual interest or return rate paid by
the investment
• This is basically a measure of effective annual rate
109
Effective annual rate (EFF%)
• Different compounding periods will yield different FVs & PVs for the same
loan or investment even though the annual percentage rate ( APR) also called
Nominal Interest rate (INOM) is the same
110
EAR
Where:
• iNOM = nominal rate expressed as a decimal
•M = number of compounding periods per year
111
Effective or Equivalent rate
• This means that the actual return in each instance is higher. This is referred to
as the Effective Annual Rate(EAR) or Equivalent Annual Rate(EAR)
112
Example
• Assume you have two equally risky investment options,
Investment A pays 20% compounded semi-annually and
Investment B pays 20.6% compounded annually. Which
investment will you choose?
Solution
• First convert 20% semi-annual to an effective annual rate
(EFF%)
113
• Therefore we choose investment A since the 21% expected
interest in annual terms for Investment A is greater than 20.6%
expected for investment B.
Application of Time Value of Money
Concepts
Amortisation
115
Amortised Loans
116
Example
• Assume a homeowner borrows P100,000 as a mortgage
loan and the loan is to be repaid in five equal
instalments at the end of each of the next 5 years. The
loan has an annual interest rate of 6%.
• Required:
(a)Construct the loan amortisation schedule.
(b)What is the Total interest Paid on the loan?
(c)How much will be owed on the loan at the beginning
and end of 5th year?
117
Solution
1. First, we need to calculate the PMT to be paid by the borrower each year.
PMTs should be such that the sum of their PVs is equals the original loan
amount.
i. To determine PMT:
• PVOA = PMTxPVIFOA(6%,5)
• PVIFOA(6%,5) = ???
• = 4.2124
• PVOA = PMTxPVIFOA(6%,5)
• 100 000 = PMT(4.2124)
100 000
• Solve for PMT: PMT = = ???
4.2124
• = P23,739.44
118
• Notice that this PMTs are equal and constant over time for 5 years.
• This represents an annuity; it is an ordinary annuity since PMTs are made at
end of each year.
• Remember when using interest tables:
• PVOA = PMT*PVIFOA(i,n)
120
The Amortisation Schedule
PRINCIPAL ENDING
YEAR BEGINNIN AMOUNT PAYMENT INTEREST REPAYMENT BALANCE
(1) (2) (3) (2) X (i) = (4) (3)-(4) = (5) (2)-(5) = 6
122
TVM CONCLUSION
• WHAT IS FINANCE
• Finance involves making decisions about the best alternative option that will
either:
• Maximise the return/profitability of an organisation or
• Minimise it’s costs
• It is a study of decision making processes about money
• Such decisions are premised/based upon three basic principles, viz;
123
Fundamental Principles of TVM
• 1. MORE VALUE IS PREFERABLE OVER LESS
• P100 now vs P70 now
• 2. THE SOONER CASH IS RECEIVED THE MORE VALUABLE IT IS
♦ Prefer to receive cash now than at end of year, because;
♦ You can buy more with it before prices of goods increase
♦ You can reinvest it and, earn interest for the rest of the year.
♦ Or the person/(organisation) that had promised you the money
may become bankrupt or cease to exist
• 3. LESS RISKY ASSETS ARE MORE VALUABLE THERE ARE
• Shares vs Bonds vs Money Market vs Cash (vs Loan to Risky
Colleague)
124
Additional Principles of Finance
125
TVM CONCLUSION (CONT)
• TVM CONCEPT
• - when making decisions you have got to compare “like with like”
• - thus you must restate/translate all the cashflows that you are comparing to a
single reference point in time; either “t=0” (present value) or “t=n” (future
value)
• - to achieve this, we use the time value of money concepts
126
TVM CONCLUSION (CONT)
• -this TVM Concept is used to move the value of money across time to
bring it to the comparator reference date, viz;
• 1. MOVING A LUMPSUM PAYMENT BACK (PV via discounting) OR
FORWARD (FV via compounding)
• 2.MOVING THE VALUE OF A SERIES OF EQUAL CASHFLOWS
RECEIVED OVER A SPECIFIED PERIOD, TO A REFERENCE DATE
• -DISCOUNTING (PV); COMPOUNDING (FV)
• - FOR ORDINARY ANNUITY VS ANNUITY DUE
127
TVM CONCLUSION (CONT)
128
TVM CONCLUSION (CONT)
129
TVM CONCLUSION (CONT)
130
The Basics of Capital Budgeting
• Capital budgeting refers to the process of evaluating major projects
and new investments aimed at the expansion and/or sustenance of
a business
• It basically refers to all expenditures on capital resources or
economic assets meant to produce other assets/profit or more
resources
• Examples
• A new plant/factory
• A new line of products such as an adult food line to a baby foodline;
TsaBana vs TsaBotlhe
• Men’s attire to Lady’s wear
• New investments such as a new subsidiary or division to a company
• Moving into a new sector or Industry such as an Aviation Company
adding the hospitality or Hotels Industry
• Even buying or hiring or maintain (old) machinery and equipment or
upgrading an entire software program
• A firm’s growth and its ability to remain competitive depend on a
constant flow of ideas for new products, new ways to make existing
products better, ways to produce output at a lower cost and even
venturing out into other sectors.
• Procedures must be established for evaluating the worth of such
projects.
What is Capital Budgeting?
• The process of planning and evaluating expenditures on
assets whose cash flows are expected to extend beyond
one year
–Analysis of potential additions to fixed assets
–Long-term decisions which involve large expenditures
–Analysis of replacement of existing equipment or
processes
–Very important to the firm’s future
Project Classifications
1. Replacement Decisions: whether to purchase capital assets to take
the place of existing assets to maintain or improve/upgrade existing
operations
2. Expansion Decisions: whether to purchase capital assets and add
them to existing assets to increase existing operations (grow the firm)
3. Independent Projects: Projects whose cash flows are not affected by
decisions made about other projects
• There is no competition between these projects
4. Mutually Exclusive Projects: A set of projects where the acceptance of
one project means the others cannot be accepted
• Here there is competition for only one place
Normal and non-normal cash flow
streams
• The cash flow of projects under the capital budgeting process falls under two
categories:
• Conventional cash flow stream – Cost (negative CF) followed by a series of
positive cash inflows. One change of signs.
0 1 2 3
Project x
CFt -100 10 60 80
• Unconventional cash flow stream – Two or more changes of signs. Most
common: Cost (negative CF), then string of positive CFs, then cost to close
project. Nuclear power plant, strip mine, etc.
0 1 2 3
Project x
CFt -100 30 80 -10
Steps in capital budgeting
0 1 2 3
Project L
CFt -100 10 60 80
0 1 2 3
Project S
CFt -100 70 50 20
Project L
Cumulative
Year CFt CFt PaybackL
0 -100 -100
1 10 -90 2
2 60 -30 + 2.375 years
3 80 30 0.375
=
80
Project S
Cumulative Payback
Year CFt CFt Paybacks PeriodS
0 -100 -100 1
1 70 -30 + 1.6 years
30
2 50 = 0.6
50
3 20
Calculating Regular payback
0 1 2 2.4 3
Project L
CFt -100 10 60 100 80
Cumulative -100 -90 -30 0 50
PaybackL == 2 + 30 / 80 = 2.375 years
0 1 1.6 2 3
Project S
CFt -100 70 100 50 20
Cumulative -100 -30 0 20 40
• Example
• Calculate the discounted Payback period for Project L and S assuming the
prevailing market rate for such projects is 10%.
0 1 2 3
Project L 10%
CFt -100 10 60 80
0 10% 1 2 3
Project S
CFt -100 70 50 20
Project L
Cum
Year CFt PVIF10%,t PVt PVt PaybackL
0 -100 1.00 -100 -100
1 10 0.909 9.09 -90.91 2
2 60 0.826 49.56 -41.35 + 2.7years
41 .35
3 80 0.751 60.08 60 .08
= 0.68
Example
.
0 10% 1 2 2.7 3
CFt -100 10 60 80
PV of CFt -100 9.09 49.59 60.11
Cumulative -100 -90.91 -41.32 18.79
0 10% 1 1.88 2 3
CFt -100 70 50 20
PV of CFt -100 63.64 41.32 15.03
Cumulative -100 -36.36 4.96 19.09
CFt -100 10 60 80
• Using the formula:
• NPV = PV of Net Cash inflows - Cost
𝐶𝐹1 𝐶𝐹2 𝐶𝐹3
• NPVL= + + - CF0
(1+𝑖)1 (1+𝑖)2 (1+𝑖)3
10 60 80
• NPVL= + + - 100
(1.10)1 (1.10)2 (1.10)3
• NPVL= 9.09 + 49.59 + 60.11 - 100
• = P18.79
• Project L has a positive NPV of 18.79, therefore it is accepted if it is
independent of other projects.
• Using financial tables
• What is Project L’s NPV? i=10%
Year CFt PVIF10%,t PVt
0 -100 1.000 -100
1 10 0.909 9.09
2 60 0.826 49.56
3 80 0.751 60.08
NPVL 18.73
Calculating Net Present Value
(NPV) for Project S
0 10% 1 2 3
Project S
CFt -100 70 50 20
• Using the formula:
• NPV = PV of Net Cash inflows - Cost
70 50 20
• NPVL= + + - 100
(1.10)1 (1.10)2 (1.10)3
• = P19.99
• Project S has a positive NPV of P19.99, therefore it is accepted if it is
independent of other projects.
Using financial tables
– This is where all the funny begins. Please ensure you attend the next lesson!
Trial and Error Method: IRR
NPV = 0
100 = 10 /(1 + IRR) + 60 /(1 + IRR) 2 + 80 /(1 + IRR) 3
10 60 80
• 100 = + +
(1+𝑖𝑟𝑟)1 (1+𝑖𝑟𝑟)2 (1+𝑖𝑟𝑟)3
• The only way to find the IRR is through trial and error.
• If we try a rate of 0 our NPV is P50
10 60 80
• NPV ? = + + - 100
(1+𝑖𝑟𝑟)1 (1+𝑖𝑟𝑟)2 (1+𝑖𝑟𝑟)3
10 60 80
• = + + - 100
(1+0)1 (1+0)2 (1+0)3
10 60 80
• = + + - 100
1 1 1
• = 50 169
Trial and Error Method: IRR
• If we try a rate of 10% our NPV is P18.78
10 60 80
• NPV ? = + + - 100
(1+𝑖𝑟𝑟)1 (1+𝑖𝑟𝑟)2 (1+𝑖𝑟𝑟)3
10 60 80
• NPV = + + - 100 = ??
(1.10)1 (1.10)2 (1.10)3
• NPV = 9.09 + 49.59 + 60.10 - 100 = ??
• NPV = 18.78
• We can try a number of rates and then have a table as shown below:
NPVL
50.00 33.05 18.78 6.67 0.26 (1.75) (12.64)
Disc Rate 0% 5% 10% 15% 18% 19% 25%
170
Trial and Error Method: IRR
NPV Profile
60.00
50.00
40.00
30.00
NPV
20.00
10.00
-
0% 5% 10% 15% 18% 19% 25%
(10.00)
• Formula
NL
IRR = L + x ( H − L)
NL − NH
173
Linear Interpolation Method: IRR
Where:
L = Lower discount rate
H = Higher discount rate
NL = NPV at lower discount rate
NH= NPV at higher discount rate
174
Linear Interpolation Method: IRR
0 1 2 3
Project S
CFt -100 70 50 20
• If we try a rate of Zero% the NPV = 40
• If we try a rate of 10% our NPV:
NPV = 70 /(1.1) + 50 /(1.1) + 20 /(1.1) − 100 = P19.99
2 3
177
Linear Interpolation Method: IRR
• Project S: IRR
0.71
• 𝐼𝑅𝑅 = 23 + 𝑥 24 − 23
0.71− −0.54
•
𝐼𝑅𝑅 = 23.56
178
IRR Acceptance Criteria
k NPVL NPVS
0% $50 $40
5% 33 29
10% 19 20
15% 7 12
20% (4) 5
180
Graph of NPV profiles
NPV 60
($)
50 .
40 .
. Crossover Point = 8.7%
30 .
20 . IRRL = 18.1%
10 .. S IRRS = 23.6%
L . .
0 . Discount Rate (%)
5 10 15 20 23.6
-10
181
NPV Method vs IRR - Recap
0 1 2 3
Project L 10%
CFt -100 10 60 80
0 10% 1 2 3
Project S
CFt -100 70 50 20
NPV Profiles
k NPVL NPVS
0% $50 $40
5% 33 29
10% 19 20
15% 7 12
20% (4) 5
183
Graph of NPV profiles
NPV 60
($)
50 .
40 .
. Crossover Point = 8.7%
30 .
20 . IRRL = 18.1%
10 .. S IRRS = 23.6%
L . .
0 . Discount Rate (%)
5 10 15 20 23.6
-10
184
Comparing the NPV and IRR methods
• If projects are independent, the two methods always lead to the same
accept/reject decisions.
• If projects are mutually exclusive …
–If k > crossover point, the two methods lead to the
same decision and there is no conflict.
–If k < crossover point, the two methods lead to
different accept/reject decisions.
185
Reasons why NPV profiles cross
186
Reinvestment rate assumptions
187
• Since managers prefer the IRR to the NPV method, is
there a better IRR measure?
• Yes, MIRR is the discount rate that causes the PV of a
project’s terminal value (TV) to equal the PV of costs.
• TV is found by compounding inflows at Weighted Average
Cost of Capital (WACC) i.e. sum of FV of inflows.
• MIRR assumes cash flows are reinvested at the WACC.
188
Calculating MIRR
1. TV inflows =
t =n
COFt
2. PV outflows =
t = 0 (1 + k )
t
189
Example
0 10% 1 2 3
190
Calculating MIRR
0 10% 1 2 3
191
Calculating MIRR
0 10% 1 2 3
192
Calculating MIRR
0 10% 1 2 3
193
Calculating MIRR
0 10% 1 2 3
194
Calculating MIRR
0 10% 1 2 3
195
Calculating MIRR for Project L
0 10% 1 2 3
$100 $158.1
=
(1 + MIRR)3
PV outflows TV inflows
196
0 10% 1 2 3
$100 $158.1
=
(1 + MIRR)3
PV outflows TV inflows
𝑇𝑉 𝑜𝑓 𝐶𝐼𝐹
• PV of COF =
(1+𝑀𝐼𝑅𝑅)𝑛
158.1
• 100 =
(1+𝑀𝐼𝑅𝑅)3
158.1
• (1+𝑀𝐼𝑅𝑅)3 =
100
• (1+𝑀𝐼𝑅𝑅)3 = 1.581
• 1+ MIRR =
3
1.581
• 1+ MIRR = 1.1649
• MIRR = 1.1649 -1
• MIRR = 0.1649 0r 16.5%
MIRR for Project L
0 10% 1 2 3
199
Why use MIRR versus IRR?
200
Security Valuation
Bonds
What is a Bond?
• Income Bond
–A bond that pays interest to the holder only if the firm earns
sufficient income to cover the interest payment
• Putable Bond
–Bond that can be redeemed at the bondholder’s option if the
firm takes a particular action
Types of Bonds
• If Gaborone City Council needs P25 000 000 to construct a new dam,
it might issue 25 000 bond notes at P1 000 each, paying an annual
interest of 10% over a 15-year period.
• Gaborone City Council, the bond issuer, becomes obliged to pay the
bond holders periodic interest plus principal at maturity.
206
Key Features of a Bond Contract
Call Provision
• A provision in a bond’s contract that gives the issuer the
right to redeem the bonds under specified terms prior to the
normal maturity date
Convertible Feature
• Permits the bondholder to convert the bond into shares of
common stock at a fixed price.
• Once converted, the Investor is not allowed to convert the
stocks back to bonds, later on
Sinking Funds Provision
• Any arrangement that facilitates an orderly retirement of
bonds e.g. retire a portion of bond issue each year
New vs Outstanding Bonds
• A bond that has just been issued is known as a “New Issue” and
normally sells at par value.
• Outstanding/Existing Bonds are those that have been in the market for
a while and are known as "Seasoned issues” . Their price might be
different from the par value.
Bond Valuation
• The price or value of a bond is given as the sum of the present values
of all its future expected cash flows.
n
INT M
Bond Value = +
t =1 ( 1 + k d ) t
( 1 + k d ) n
213
• Where Kd or rdis the appropriate or prevailing Market interest
rate of a bond.
• The bond market rate is determined by prevailing market or
economic conditions and would fluctuate over time depending on
the forces of demand and supply
• n- The number of years to bond maturity.
• n declines each year after the bond has been issued.
• INT- The annual Pula value of interest payable on a bond as given
by (Coupon Rate x Par Value).
• M - The par or face value of the bond, being the principal payable
at maturity.
Example
• Suppose the Gaborone City Council bond has a par value of P1 000,
a coupon rate of 10%, maturity period of 15 years and the prevailing
market interest rate is 10%.
• Calculate the bond’s value.
215
Example 1
• Vb = INT(PVIFAkd,n) + M(PVIFkd,n)
• n = 15 kd = 10%
• Therefore PVIFA10%,15 = ???
• 7.6060
• PVIF10%,15 = ???
• 0.2394
• INT = Par Value x Coupon Rate
• = 1000 x 0.10
• = 100
• Vb = INT(PVIFAkd,n) + M(PVIFkd,n)
• Vb = 100(PVIFA10%, 15yrs) + 1 000(PVIF10%, 15yrs)
= 100(7.6060) + 1 000(0.2394)
= 760.60 + 239.40
= P1,000 216
Example 2
• Five years after the issue, suppose the market interest rates for the same bond falls
to 6%.
• Calculate the value of the bond.
• Answer
Kd = 6%, n = 10 years
Vb = INT(PVIFA kd, n) + M(PVIF kd,n)
Vb =?
INT(PVIFA 6%,10yrs) + M(PVIF 6%,10yrs)
=100(7.3601) + 1,000(0.5584)
= 736.01 + 558.40
= P1,294.41
217
Example 3
• Calculate the value of the bond 5 years after initial issue assuming the market interest
rate actually raises to 12%.
• Solution
Kd = 12%, n= 10 years
218
Conclusion
At first issue, the Coupon rate would normally be set at Kd so that the
bond can sell at its par value.
Thereafter, fluctuations in market interest rates affects bond value.
A fall in Kd below the coupon rate results in the bond selling at a
premium (i.e. a price higher than par value).
Such Bonds are referred to as Premium Bonds
An increase Kd above the coupon rate results in the bond selling at a
discount (price below par)
Such bonds are referred to as Discount Bonds
Semi-annual bonds
• Vb = 60(PVIFA7%,30 ) + M(PVIF7%,30)
= 60(12.4090) + 1,000(0.1314)
= 744.54 + 131.4
= 875.94
222
Security Valuation
Preferred & Common
Stock
What is a Preferred Stock?
• A hybrid security
– similar to bonds with fixed dividend amounts to
investors;
– Also similar to bonds in that it has no voting rights
– but like bonds it has priority in terms of payment over
common stock
– similar to common stock as missed preferred dividend
payments will not force a company into bankruptcy
– Also similar to common stock in that it has no fixed
maturity date
Features of a Preferred Stock
• Par Value
– The nominal or face value of a stock
• Cumulative Earnings
– Any preferred dividends not paid in
previous periods must be paid before
common stock dividends can be distributed
• Maturity
– Generally has no specific maturity date
• Priority to Assets and Earnings
– Dividends must be paid on preferred stock
before they can be paid on common stock
• Control of the Firm (Voting Rights)
– Almost all preferred stocks are non-voting stock
• Convertibility
– Some Preferred stock that can be converted to
common stock at the option of the investor
• Redeemable
– The company has a right to buy back the stock at
any point in time
• Other Provisions
– Call provision - Gives the issuing
corporation the right to redeem/buyback the
preferred stock at any point in time
– Sinking fund - Calls for the repurchase and
retirement of a given percentage of the stock
each year
– Participating- Participates with the common
stock in sharing the firm’s earnings over and
above their fixed periodic payments
Preferred Stock Valuation
• Preference shares entitle the holder to a
fixed-amount of dividend normally
determined as a percentage of the stock’s
par value / face value.
• Ordinarily, preference stock dividend is
payable on condition of adequate profit
availability.
Valuation Model
𝐷𝑝𝑠
a) Vps =
kps
9
• Vps =
0.08
• Vps = P112.50
𝐷𝑝𝑠
b) Vps =
kps
9
• Vps =
0.12
• Vps = P75.00
Common Stock/Equity
Facts about common stock
• Represents ownership
• Ownership implies control
• Stockholders elect directors
• Directors elect management
• Management’s goal: Maximize the stock price
238
Features of Common Stock
• Par Value
– Legally, represents a stockholder’s minimum financial
obligation in the event the corporation is liquidated
• Dividends
– The firm has no legal obligation to pay common stock
dividends.
– Dividends can only be paid when there is enough Profit.
It cannot be paid from the sale of a company’s assets
• Maturity
– Generally has no specific maturity date
• Priority to Assets and Earnings
– Dividends can be paid only after interest on debt and
preferred dividends are paid
• Control of the Firm (Voting Rights)
– Common stockholders have the right to elect the firm’s
directors and to vote on directors’ proposals, mergers,
and changes in the firm’s charter.
• Preemptive Right
– Gives stockholders the right to purchase any additional
shares of stock sold by the firm on a pro rata basis (in
proportion to their current holding) before the shares can
be offered to new investors.
Intrinsic Value and Stock Price
242