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September, 2015

Mehalmeda
Contents Page
Summery ........................................................................................................................................ iv

1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 1

1.1. Background .......................................................................................................................... 1

1.2. Vision ................................................................................................................................... 6

1.3. Mission. ................................................................................................................................ 6

1.3. Core Values .......................................................................................................................... 7

1.5. Objectives ............................................................................................................................. 8

1.5.1, Main objective ............................................................................................................... 8

1.5.2. Specific objective .......................................................................................................... 8

1.6. Ownership ......................................................................................................................... 9

1.7. Strength, Weakness, Opportunity and Threat (SWOT) Analysis ..................................... 9

2. Organization/Project Institution Structure ................................................................................ 16

3. Project Preparation .................................................................................................................... 17

3.1. Market and Technical Analysis ...................................................................................... 17

3.1.1. Customer...................................................................................................................... 17

3.1.2. Competitors, (In Case Of Business Project) ................................................................ 23

3.2. Technical Analysis ............................................................................................................. 23

3.2.1. Raw Materials And Supplies................................................................................ 23

3.3. Production Capacity of the Project ............................................................................ 27

3.3.1. Required Production Inputs, Materials and Manpower, and It’s Cost ........... 28

4. Financial Analysis ................................................................................................................ 49

4.1. NPV .................................................................................................................................... 53

4.2. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) .................................................................................... 54

5. Environmental Policy and legal Analysis .......................................................................... 55

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5.1. Environmental analysis ...................................................................................................... 55

5.2. Policy and legal Analysis ............................................................................................. 57

6. Social Contribution.............................................................................................................. 59

7. Considerations taken while preparing the financial part of the project: ................................... 59

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List of Table Page
Table 1 Urbanization: Levels And Growth Rates ......................................................................... 17
Table 2 Estimated Numbers of Livestock in Ethiopia by Region ................................................ 19
Table 3 National livestock product utilization in 2019/2020........................................................ 20
Table 4 Projected demand for milk in Ethiopia ............................................................................ 22
Table 5 Cost of Required Dairy cow and Fatting Cattle............................................................... 29
Table 6 Required Feed and medication and its cost ..................................................................... 30
Table 7 Utility Cost ....................................................................................................................... 31
Table 8 Cost of Required Machinery and Equipment .................................................................. 33
Table 9 Required office equipment and its cost............................................................................ 35
Table 10 Required Manpower cost ............................................................................................... 36
Table 11 Other project cost ........................................................................................................... 39
Table 12 Total project cost in each Year ...................................................................................... 40
Table 13 source of initial Finance ................................................................................................. 42
Table 14 Required initial investment Capital ............................................................................... 42
Table 15 Depreciation ................................................................................................................... 44
Table 16 Estimating of production sale ........................................................................................ 46
Table 17 Gross Income of The Project ......................................................................................... 48
Table 18 Financial Cash Flow Statement ..................................................................................... 49
Table 19 NPV ............................................................................................................................... 53
Table 20 IRR ................................................................................................................................. 54

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Summery
Briye Kebede Tilahun Dairy and fatting project is located in 03(Atedass Gedenbo) Kebele, Menz
Gera District/ North Shewa Zone, Amhara Regional State. It is a ten years Project. Its initial
Starting Capital is 5263123 ETB. The production capacity of the project is increasing every year.
In the first year of project operation, it will provide 15 beef cattle to potential Market and
demand in the country. For the remaining 9 project operation years, it will provide 40 beef cattle
each year. Until the completion of the project's operation years, it will provide 375 beef cattle to
the market. In addition, 40 improved breeds of dairy cows are used for milk production. During
the ten operation year of the project 295 Heifers/calves will be born. Out of the born heifers, 40
are left to replace dairy cows whose production is decreasing. The remaining 255 heifers/calves
are marketed to meet the community's demand for improved heifers and bulls. Through this, the
firm contributes to the improvement and productivity of the local community's dairy cow and
fatting cattle. In one year, on average 150,750.00 liters of quality and desirable milk is produced
and marketed at an affordable price to satisfy the needs of customers. In order to alleviate the
existing unemployment and to fulfill the manpower required for the firm 31 By hiring permanent
workers and 250 workers (per operation year) on a temporary basis, creating job opportunities
for the local unemployed community, the social necessity of the part will be released.

In general, for 10 consecutive years of project operation, our firm has been providing
competitive milk product and beef cattle to the market that are of high quality, consider customer
needs and purchasing power, contribute to fill the gap of milk and beef production in the
domestic market.

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1. Introduction

1.1. Background
In Ethiopia, livestock provides multiple functions including as source of quality food and as
industrial raw materials (FAO, 2015). The livestock sector in Ethiopia play significant
contribution to the economy accounting for 45 % of the agricultural gross domestic product, 18.7
% of the national gross domestic product and between 16 – 19 % to the total foreign exchange
earnings of the country (Eshetie Et al., 2018). However, the livestock sector contribution to the
country economy remains disproportionately low due to low productivity of the animals. The
estimated average live weight of cattle is 250 kg with 14 % off take rates and carcass weight is
110 kg with 44 % dressing percentage due to multifaceted challenges related to production,
husbandry and marketing (MARD, 2010; AGPLMD, 2013). The cattle population is Ethiopia
was estimated to be 59.5 million among which 99 % were local cattle and 1 % were cross breeds
(CSA, 2017). Cattle are a very common asset in Ethiopian households and 70 % of the total
population depend on cattle for their livelihoods and the country produces about 1 million tons of
beef per year valued at USD 5.1 billion (ASL, 2018). The annual contribution of ruminants to
meat production in Ethiopia was estimated to be over 3.2 million tones representing over 72 % of
the total meat production (Issack et al., 2017), from which beef accounted for over 70 % of the
total red meat production and over 50 % of the total meat output in Sub-Saharan Africa (Wabalo
and Anja, 2018). According to Bachewe et al. (2017) in Ethiopia the consumption expenditure
on Animal Source Foods (ASF) increased by 13.4 % in 2011 from which beef accounted for 42
%. Bachewe et al. (2017) noted that the value of exported of meat products increased from 18
million USD in 2005 to 107 million USD in 2015 due to the increase in international livestock
trade. Beef cattle fattening is a common practice in Ethiopia and special attention was given by
the government to boost red meat supply through cattle fattening (Agmas and Adugna, 2018).
Accordingly, cattle fattening is an increasing business at different scales in Ethiopia. Various
research activities in cattle fattening have been conducted over the years to fill the production
gaps, identify the challenges and opportunities of cattle fattening and support needs of the sector.
Therefore, there is a need to review and avail information on cattle fattening for those who wish
to engage on small or large scale cattle fattening as well as on commercial feedlot enterprises in

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Ethiopia. According to CSA (2015), 52.93 % of beef and 90.04 % of mutton/goat meat were
consumed in the household, and 33.18 % and 3.42 % were sold for export in the country.
Menz Gra Midir District is one of the districts in North Showa Zone of Amhara National
Regional state. The district is located at 282 km from Addis Ababa, the capital city of Ethiopia,
857 km from Bahar Dar, the capital city of Amhara Regional state, and 182 km from
Debrebarhan, the capital of North Shewa Zone. The spherical location of the circuit is at
39023'51"-39049'43" longitude and 10011'41"-10033'52" latitude.

The Menz Gera Midir district is divided into twenty rural administrative kebeles, Amedguya and
Gwassa Community Conservation Area. The district is bordered by Geshe Rabel in the north,
Menz Mama and Menz Lalo in the south, Menz Qaya in the southwest, Kechene river in the west
with South Wolo zone (Jama and Worailu), Antsokiya Gemza in the northeast and Efrata and
Gdam districts in the east.

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The coverage of the district is 111831.761 ha, of which 67956.09 ha is agricultural land, 7139.07
ha is pasture land, 12446.2 ha is covered by forest and bushes, and the remaining 24290.401 ha
is covered by other different type of land uses. The agro climatic zone of the district is divided
into weyina dega (7.62%), dega (69.93%) and wurch (22.45%), and the elevation/latitude is from
1657 meters above sea level up to 3561 meters above sea level. The total population number of
the district is 154127(Male =75179 and Female = 78948), (CSA July 2021 G.C). The main
income/economy of the district community is based on agriculture and animal husbandry. In the
district there are 16560 oxen, 15744 cows and 233710 Sheep and Goat, Total 266014 Animals
are available. Out of these, there are only 1915 oxen and 2129 cows with improved breeds (Menz
Gera Midir Woreda Animal Production Office, 2022 G.C). Livestock farming is the main source
of income and economic option for the farmers and they use it as cash and insurance in the times
of crisis and drought period. However, the existing animal husbandry system is largely
traditional and based on open grazing. This has made the productivity and income of the animals
less than expected. As it is known, to solve the food security problem in the district, To increase

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and improve the income options of the farmers, as well as to improve the nutritional content of
the community, there are works being done on dairy farming and cattle fatting. However, the
works that are being done do not meet the demand of milk and meat in the market and the
operation is done in a traditional way. As it is known, the demand for milk and meat production
in the mehalmeda market as well as in the national level/central market has been increasing.
There is a significant shortage of supply. The milk and meat production provided is not
compatible with the current population growth and food need. Therefore, in order to satisfy the
growing demand for milk and meat production, to make the work in the sector improve and
grow, to increase the contribution of the sector to the country's economy, to create job
opportunities in the sector for unemployed sections of society; It is important to prepare a work
plan and invest in this sector in order to use the product in the market and be profitable. That is
why we have developed a dairy cow and cattle fattening project and our desire to start working is
increasing and growing.

Our Dairy and Cattle Fattening Project work site is located in Menz Gera Midir District, 03
Kebele / Atedas Gedenbo at 574279 Longitude and 1140793 Latitude and is also located at 3152
meters above sea level. Our project site is located 2 kilometers from the Mehalmeda city
administration and is close to the district capital city, Mehalmeda. It is very convenient to
provide milk and milk products to the district and the city administration community in a way
that preserves the quality and freshness on a daily basis. To demonstrate improved practices to
farmers in the kebele where the project is implemented; to ensure that you get and use our best
experiences; It is a convenient workplace to help them improve their own/home livestock
operations and provide natural fertilizers/compost to improve their crop yields. The project site is
very convenient to supply the beef cattle in Mehalmeda and the central market and to meet the
meat needs of the users/customers and to be a part of the profit.

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In general, the improvement of dairy farming and the breeding of cattle make important
contributions to the reduction of the food shortage/food security problem in our district, as well
as in our country and the improvement of the food nutrition content. The location is suitable for
dairy development and beef cattle. The fact that there is no extensive work done on the sector
and there is high user demand in all areas. Because of the community in the area where the
project is working has the desire/willingness for the project to be implemented and will benefit
from the work. Availability of manpower required for the work. The availability of resources
necessary for the work and the availability of alternative markets and roads to provide resources
that are not available in the area. The field of work in which the project is prepared is supported
by the government's policy and strategy and there is a positive desire for this type of project to
work on the part of the government, Being able to create employment opportunities for the
unemployed community in the project implementing area, As it facilitates the transfer of
improved practices and technologies to the local community. We find it important to prepare a

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project in this field of work as it is a field of work that provides a better source of income and
makes it profitable.

Mission, Objectives and Keys to success

1.2. Vision
Our vision is to create a competitive and profitable firm in the field of dairy farming and cattle
fatting, and filling the demand gap of consumers.

1.3. Mission.

The mission of this firm will be to produce:-

 • Competitive and preferred product in the domestic market;


 • Friendly to the environment and the health of the user;
 • High quality and healthy,
 Products that respects the culture and religion of the community/customers/;
 • Socially acceptable and desirable;
 • Making a convenient milk development and cattle breeding work to transfer new
practices to the local community;
 Meet domestic market and consumer needs,
 Producing and marketing a product that is preferred and choose by customers;
 Creating job opportunities for the local community and unemployed youth and doing
work that can expand their income options;
 Adopting and implementing innovative practices and technologies in local and domestic
markets that can grow the sector and improve production, productivities and profit,
 Contribute to the development of the country's economy and the improvement of the
community’s.

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1.3. Core Values
The core value of this firm are;-

 Giving priority to the company's reputation and the customers who use the firm's
products
 Use health and selected dairy and fatting cattle’s to ensure the healthy and security of
customers that choose our product and service.
 Working together and collaboration with other competitors and partners. (Promoting a
culture of working, changing and growing together )
 Ensuring accountability and transparency.
 Timely payment of taxes and related fees expected from the firm (without delay or
concealment)
 Giving respect and recognition to the company's employees to make you like and
satisfied with the organization.
 Provide honestly quality, fresh, healthy and customer oriented product and service.
 By adapting and integrating the knowledge of the local community with the scientific
method, we work by giving priority to the jobless sections of the society.
 We do work that respects and accepts the culture and religion of the community.
 We do our work in a manner that does not cause environmental pollution. (We work by
making sure that the surplus product from cattle is disposed of properly and used as soil
fertilizer).
 Our work is free from any kind of political activities and by providing the product in the
market at a reasonable price; we satisfy the needs of the customers and get a reasonable
profit.
 The work we do does not contradict any of our country's development policies, strategies
and laws and contributes to its success.

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1.5. Objectives

1.5.1, Main objective


In the field of dairy development and cattle fatting produce and provide Quality, health-friendly,
marketable and preferred, competitive, environmental friendly, socially acceptable and
economical viable milk and beef cattle product to increase profit and to expand investment. As
well as to respond and filling the demand gap of milk, milk by-product and beef product.

1.5.2. Specific objective


 Ensuring that pregnant and lactating cows receive balanced and nutritious feed to
maximize productivity of cows and firm profit;
 Ensuring that fattening cattle have access to nutritious and sufficient fodder;
 Provide adequate and hygienic shelter, food and fodder storage to ensure dairy and fatting
cattle health and its productivities;
 Conducting timely and consistent health checkups and vaccinations;
 Providing 40 beef cattle per a year (10-14 cattle in one round in 3 months or 40 cattle in
3-4 round a year) to market that are of good quality, healthy and marketable and can meet
the customer's willingness/purchasing power and needs.
 Selecting and purchasing 15-40 milk heifer/cows with selected, healthy and improved
breeds and engaging in milk development, starting from the middle of the 1st year of the
project in average to providing 150,750 liters of quality milk per year that is in demand
by customers.
 To increase productivity of dairy heifers/cow and fatting cattle use improved, healthy,
productive and best species dairy and fatting cattle, and contribute to ensure food security
by providing improved breeds heifers or bull to local farmers.
 Hiring manpower’s who has commitment, experience, skill and desire for the work and
contribute to the movement being made to reduce the number of unemployment as a
country.

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1.6. Ownership
This dairy development and cattle fattening project is a private profit-making project and the
owner of the project is Mr/Ms. Briye Kebede Tilahun. The project is established in Menz Gra
Mider District 03 (Atedas Gedenbo) Kebele.

1.7. Strength, Weakness, Opportunity and Threat (SWOT) Analysis


Identifying and analyzing of internal and external factors has a vital role to make the project
effective and profitable. Therefore, the strength, weakness, opportunity and threat to make the
project successful have been identified as follows, and solutions and procedures have been put in
place.

Issues/Factors Interventions/Solutions or possible measures

STRENGTHS

The cattle house will be located in the central area of


the town of the district, which is easily accessible to
Location nearby markets and abattoirs
Building materials (stone, soil, sand and wood), are
near/ close to the project site, which saves time and
Local Construction material availability energy and contributes to the profitability of the firm.

Healthy relationships with loads of major players


(agriculture merchants) in the livestock farming
Contacts in business (Suppliers, Buyers, industry; both suppliers and buyers within and outside
Merchants) of local market

The owner is so energetic and the business and willing


to do passionate about whatsoever to make sure it
succeeds. The closeness and commitment creates a
Enthusiasm large positive driving force towards it success.

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Possessions of the latest cattle rearing machines, tools
and equipment that will help us breed our cattle (cows,
Latest technology in cattle rearing and oxen, bulls, bullocks, steers, heifers and calf) in
fattening commercial quantities with less stress.

Experienced hands in cattle rearing / livestock farming


Professional staff/workers industry in the payroll.

The cattle that are used as input for the product is


found in the country and do not incur additional taxes
Domestically produced as they are not imported from the abroad.

Identifying, training and employing the required


manpower based on experience, knowledge and skills
Large number of labor force. (skilled, semi-skilled and unskilled)

To encourage and assist animal husbandry and related


development activities, to work in accordance with the
Government is committed to develop the decrees, rules and regulations issued in the country
sector and to use the assistance of the government.

Using supermarkets, restaurants, hotels, etc. which are


expanding and increasing in the project area and
Rapid growth supermarkets, superstore, country level as the main potential customers of the
restaurant and hotel. product.

Utilization of available technologies to


improve/increase production and productivity of cattle
fatting and dairy operations, maintain product quality
Availability of innovative technology and reduce costs.

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Making work based on the comfortable working
environment, climate and improved animal species.
(Using improved breeds of cattle to improve
Favorable geographical location, climate production and productivity and increase profits,
and breed implementing AI).
Satisfying the needs of the customers and increasing
the profit by providing quality, competitive and
Consumers preference for beef milk and preferred products for the meat and dairy needs of the
beef customers in the market.

WEAKNESSES

Purchase, collect and store of cattle that are fattened


and dedicated to dairy farming in the autumn and fall
seasons when feed supply options are abundant, based
on feed needs. Prepare a fodder storage warehouse
free from moisture, pests and other problems that spoil
the fodder so that the purchased and collected fodder
Lack of feed and fodder does not spoil and maintain its quality.

When selecting and buying animals for breeding and


milking, they are healthy with the help of an animal
health expert. Ensuring that they receive timely
vaccinations and medical care. Isolate and treating
Incidence of animal diseases victims cattle.

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Working closely with government and non-
government organizations that are interested in the
work. Promote work in progress. Show the values that
providing to the user community and the pressure we
Limitations of supporting institutions reduced. Showing the contribution of the works to the
related to beef and cattle development of the national economy
Using Lending Financial Institutions as a source of
credit and obtaining sufficient working capital. Using
Lack of working capital cattle on hand for the job.

Creating market connections with customers who need


the product, promoting the product to consumers using
various communication media (leaflets, internet, etc.).
Knowing the practices of other suppliers of similar
No organized marketing system products and using a better market strategy.

OPPORTUNITIES
Due to the increase in population in the country, the
demand for meat and milk is increasing. Therefore, it
is appropriate to produce and market a quality product
Potential demand for beef and milk over that is advocated, preferred by customers, and
the country. competitive.

It is necessary to use the positive support of the


government for the development of the sector to
Government support to develop beef produce and market a quality, desirable product based
cattle on policies, strategies and practices.

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By adding value to the sector and identifying
commercial establishments/companies that process
High potential for profitable slaughter milk and beef to the market, provide quality products
and processing business and increase profits.

Consumers express more interest and Producing products that are affordable and of good
are willing to pay for safe food quality for customers who are willing and able to pay.
Since the project is labor intensive and there is plenty
of manpower around. So, select, hiring and recruit
experienced, skill, committed and unemployed labor
Labor intensive and employment to maximize product of the firm and to create work
opportunities opportunity.
The government’s campaign on promoting indigenous
Government support farm output is an added advantage
Having institutions that lend loans to work will solve
the lack of working capital/financial problems (banks,
Expansion of credit institutions microfinance, Cooperative, etc.)
The proximity to market will play a key role in the
Easy access to market success of the business
Homes source for milk and its by-products and
Large demand for other cattle products industries also source for the raw materials from the
apart from beef livestock farms

THREATS

With the current rise in cattle rustling, a close vigil


Theft and security will be insured
The current state of economy might reduce the
purchasing power of most intending buyers or
Foreign exchange unfavorable government policies. Therefore, by

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considering this problem design good market strategy
and copying mechanism to minimizing the risk.

A new competitor (i.e. a commercial farm that rear


same animals) as our cattle ranch within same
Weather and natural disasters location.
If the war going on in our country does not end and
there is no peace; There will be market volatility.
There are problems with infrastructure and
transportation to trade and sell products. Therefore,
there is a need to produce a product that is seasonal
Political instability and conflict and can be used as an alternative to the local market.
Animal fodder is collected from farmers in the area, so
if there is a drought, it will be difficult to collect
enough animal fodder. Therefore, it is necessary to use
other options, which are to reduce the number of
animals that are fattened and used for milk production,
use of factory results, transportation from areas with
better fodder supply, and use of production seasons to
occurrence of drought collect and store fodder.
To improve and increase production and productivity,
feed the nutrients, ensure that they receive
vaccinations and keep them healthy; It is necessary to
provide quality and sufficient water, clean and
Low productivity adequate shelter.

Keeping livestock buying seasons separate with


national and religious holidays. It is used for milk
Increase in cattle cost production and calving in rearing calves.

High transportation cost (Illegal toll for Establishing partnerships with companies and

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cattle marketing) individuals that provide freight services.

Carry out regular and scheduled check-ups and


vaccinations; ensure you have a balanced diet. It is
necessary to maintain the cleanliness of their dining,
Spread of cattle diseases lodging and park areas.

Using cost minimizing practices and offering products


The purchasing power of customers is and services based on customer willingness and
low purchasing power, At a fair and reasonable price.

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2. Organization/Project Institution Structure
• Institutional structure is the base of the project to develop successful system of the
management. Our project stricture is listed on the following chart.

Manager

secretary
vice manager

Adminstrative staff
Finance department
Production Department

- Procurement Expert - Field


Supervisor
-Accountant -Ware
Ware house Man
-Sales Man/women -Animal Production -Machine
Machine Operator/ Mixer
officer
-Driver
-Animals Health officer
-guards
-Processing Supervisor
-unskilled
unskilled labor
-temporary
temporary labor

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3. Project Preparation

3.1. Market and Technical Analysis

3.1.1. Customer
When we look at the demand for beef and milk production in the country and in the project area,
it is increasing from time to time. It is widely demanded by consumers in the local and domestic
markets. Various studies show that the product is in demand in the market and there are many
customers who use the product. The main reason for this is the ever-increasing demand for food,
the increase in population and the fact that one of the options used by the society to meet the
demand for food is animals and animal products.

According to the study of Worldometer (2022 G.C), (https://www.worldometers.info/) the


population of Ethiopia in 2020 E.C is 114,963,588 has been. Looking at the growth rate, it is
2.57 percent. In the year 2050 E.C, the country's population is estimated to be 205,410,675. The
growth rate will be 1.51 percent. In the same situation, the expansion of cities has increased over
time, and the number of people living in cities has increased rapidly. The food needs of the city
dwellers are also increasing from time to time. Urbanization also leads to a significant
improvement in animal production and animal by-products, a change in diet and a high demand
for the product.

Table 1 Urbanization: Levels and Growth Rates

Table 1:- Urbanization: Levels And Growth Rates


Urban Share
Of Total Growth In Total Growth In Urban
Population Population Population
2003 1980–2003 1980–2003
Region/Country Group/Country (Percentage) (Annual Percentage Growth)

Developed Countries 73 0.5 0.8


Former Centrally Planned
Economies 63 0.3 0.6

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Other Developed Countries 77 0.6 0.9

Developing Countries 42 1.9 3.7

East And Southeast Asia 41 1.3 4


China 39 1.1 4.1
Latin America And The
Caribbean 77 1.8 2.6
Brazil 83 1.7 2.7
Ear East And North Africa 60 2.4 3.4
South Asia 28 2 3.1
India 28 1.9 2.8

Sub-Saharan Africa 35 2.7 4.9


World 48 1.5 3
Source: FAO, 2009b.

This indicates that the population is increasing. As the population increases, so does the demand
for food, because there is a direct relationship between the increase in population and the
increase in food demand. Animals and animal products have a significant role to fill the food gap
of the growing population and to improve the food composition.

Likewise, according to the 2007 National Population and Housing Census, the population of
Menz Gera district was 102,000 At present, the population of Menz Gera midir district is
154,127 and the population of Mahmalmeda city is 23,676 (CSA July, 2021).

On the other hand, as various studies indicate, there is a large number of animals in the country,
but it does not follow improved practices; Because does not use improved animal species and
new technologies, does not receive adequate medical and vaccination services, does not receive
nutritious feed, does not receive high-quality shelter and water, and because the farming method
is mostly traditional and based on open grazing, it is not possible to provide a product that can
fulfill the needs of consumers in the local and national market. The productivity of the animals is
low and the quality is not competitive in the market. Therefore, there is a high demand for milk
and meat at local and national level. Different Data’s shown that consumers of the product are

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willing to buy quality and healthy beef and milk products.

Table 2 Estimated Numbers of Livestock in Ethiopia by Region

Estimated Numbers of Livestock in Ethiopia by Region


Region Cattle Sheep Goats Poultry
Tigray 4,908,964 2,097,619 4,838,969 6,317,518
Afar 1,952,394 4,040,176 8,531,082 92,941
Amhara 16,318,446 10,386,223 6,883,316 16,827,119
Oromia 25,031,068 9,260,493 7,526,644 16,668,657
Somale 3,646,940 9,188,394 17,001,672 354,264
Benshangul-Gumuz 626,537 72,284 404,015 884,660
SNNP 12,404,963 4,735,604 4,819,573 7,347,205
Gambela region 327,801 43,903 134,206 229,151
Harari 69,615 4,236 103,567 104,585
Dire Dawa Astedader 67,364 65,462 258,629 129,575
65,354,092 39,894,394 50,243,044 48,955,675
Source: CSA (2020a)

The users of the product are mainly small cafeteria, restaurant, small tea houses, hotels,
hospitals, tea houses in various institutions, parents with children, factories, and the entire
society consumes milk, milk by-products and beef following religious and national
festivals/holidays. The estimate of total cow milk production for the rural sedentary areas of the
country in 2019/2020 was about 3.89 billion liters (CSA, 2020a). From this total milk, beef and
meat more than 50% was used to home/household consumption (CSA, 2020a).

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Table 3 National livestock product utilization in 2019/2020

National livestock product utilization in 2019/2020


Household
Type of Product Consumption Sale Wages in Kind Other
Milk 50.10% 10.00% 0.60% 39.40%
Butter 54.90% 38.60% 0.50% 6.00%
Cheese 77.20% 17.20% 0.50% 5.10%
Beef 56.90% 29.40% 1.90% 11.80%
Mutton/Goat Meat 88.90% 3.90% 0.40% 6.80%
Eggs 31.40% 46.80% 0.30% 21.50%
Skim milk 60.90% 2.80% 0.70% 35.50%
Camel Meat 46.50% 16.30% 1.90% 35.40%
Source: CSA (2020b)

Milk Demand

Demand analysis is one and main factors to determine the product type, product amount, and to
estimate potential customer and potential market.

Demand is determined by different factors such as the customer's purchasing power/income, the
customer's choice and willingness, the price of the product, the quality of the product, the supply
of the product, marketability, product promotion strategy of the project, other competitors with
the same product, population size, etc. However, population size plays a major role in the
demand of the product. Therefore, to design a strategy for marketing of the milk and beef
product of the project for 10 consecutive years of the project and to estimate the number of
demand, it has been prepared as follows. According to the data, there is a demand gap of 47 %
up to 56%. There is an attempt made to project the additional milk requirement to supply the
growing consumer needs in Ethiopia for the coming 9-10 years. In the projection, the annual
growth rate of 2.57 percent of the human population was used in the calculation based on the
Worldometer (2022 G.C population, projection),(https://www.worldometers.info/). To estimate
the milk production, cow milk production growth rate of 4.1 percent calculated based on the

20
figures reported by the CSA annual report for the years 2004 to 2010 was used. Milk available
for consumption is estimated based on the report of Felleke (2001) who indicated that 68 percent
of the total annual milk production was to be consumed. The value recommended by FAO
(1990), (62.5 kg/year/person) to be maintained for a balanced diet is considered as a target to be
achieved

21
Table 4 Projected demand for milk in Ethiopia

Projected demand for milk in Ethiopia


Gap between projected
Demand for milk, in milk available for
Population in Milk production, in Milk available for million liters based consumption and demand
‘000’ based on million liters based consumption (68% of on FAO based on FAO’s
current growth on current growth the produce) in recommendation recommendation in Gap in
Year rate (2.57%) rate, (4.1%) million liters (62.5kg) million liters %
2020 114,964 4960 3372.8 7,185.23 3,812.43 46.94
2021 117,918 5,163 3511.0848 7,369.89 3,858.80 47.64
2022 120,949 5,375 3655.039277 7,559.29 3,904.25 48.35
2023 124,057 5,595 3804.895887 7,753.57 3,948.67 49.07
2024 127,245 5,825 3960.896619 7,952.83 3,991.94 49.80
2025 130,516 6,064 4123.29338 8,157.22 4,033.93 50.55
2026 133,870 6,312 4292.348408 8,366.86 4,074.51 51.30
2027 137,310 6,571 4468.334693 8,581.89 4,113.55 52.07
2028 140,839 6,840 4651.536416 8,802.44 4,150.91 52.84
2029 144,459 7,121 4842.249409 9,028.67 4,186.42 53.63
2030 148,171 7,413 5040.781634 9,260.70 4,219.92 54.43
2031 151,979 7,717 5247.453681 9,498.70 4,251.25 55.24
2032 155,885 8,033 5462.599282 9,742.82 4,280.22 56.07

22
3.1.2. Competitors, (In Case Of Business Project)
Farmers, different public associations/cooperatives and enterprises organized in milk
development and fattening, consumer associations, and investors are the main competitors who
are offered in the market with the same product and are market sharers. Therefore, to be a market
competitor and to find customers who are interested in buying, conduct the work in a timely
manner; it is necessary to provide a quality, healthy, competitive product that is preferred by
customers at an affordable price.

3.2. Technical Analysis


3.2.1. Raw Materials And Supplies

Various materials and resources are required to carry out the project work. That is;-

• Dairy heifers/cows used for milk production;

• Cattle used for fatting/slaughter;

• Supply of quality and yield-enhancing feed and water for dairy cows, heifers and calves;

• Materials used for the construction of animal shelters, food, product storage, staff offices, etc. Most of
them are located in the project area.

Dairy Heifers/cows and Fatting cattle to produce milk and beef

This project has two parts which are milk production and cattle fattening. The improved breed of
dairy heifers/cows/ and fatting cattle needed to start the project will be purchased from the
district where the project is located and neighboring districts (Lalo, Mama, Zamero and Geshe).
The project will start with 15 dairy heifers/cows of improved breed. When the project starts to
use its full potential, the number of heifers/cows of improved breed will reach 40 by purchasing
from suppliers and replacing the calves born. The project will carry out fattening work and offer
3 to 4 rounds of fattening animals to the market in a year, and in one round, 10 up to 14 cattle
will be fattened and marketed. In one year, it provides 40 beef cattle.

23
Animal feed

Balanced, high-quality and sufficient fodder plays an important role in maintaining the health of
dairy cows and fattening cattle and improving their productivity. Crop residue/straw and hay is
available in sufficient quantity from the project district and bordering districts (Lalo, Mama,
Zamero, Jiru and Menz Gera). Therefore, barley, wheat straw, bean straw, teff straw and hay for
this purpose will be collected from the district where the project is implemented and bordering
districts according to the season/production period. Regarding additional dairy cow and dairy
cattle feed (fagulo, molasses, frushka and others), since they are not available near the project
site and are located in Adiss Ababa and Debre Berhan, it is necessary to prepare a time schedule
and manage it properly to avoid supply problems. The amount of feed given to one cattle per day
varies according to the animal's age level, service provided, weight, moisture and dryness
condition/quality of the feed, and on average, 4.5 kg/day for calves,8 kg for dairy cows and 8 kg
for fattening cattle. It will be prepared with consideration.

Water Resource

Water plays an irreplaceable role in maintaining animal health, increasing the production of dairy
cows and beef cattle, maintaining the workplace environment and product hygiene. The water
used for this project is located 100 meters away from the project site. Depending on the age level
of the animal, according to the service and weight, depending on the climate of the project area...
etc., the amount of water given to one animal per day varies. However, to meet the water needs
of milk and beef cattle, 20 liters per day for calves, 60 liters for dairy cows and 40 liters for
fattening cattle will be prepared. Likewise, to clean the stalls and milk storage rooms of dairy
cows and fattening cattle, it is necessary to prepare an average of 45 liters per cow/bull. Also, the

24
water required for the construction of the project is available at a distance of less than 100 meters
from the project site.

Building Material:-

Construction is the first phase of the project before other production activities begin. The quality
of the construction determines the amount, quality, demand, continuity, etc. of the production
works carried out in the project. In order for the project to be sustainable and profitable, it needs
to be of good quality, include the types of construction that must be completed, and be
comfortable and maintain quality. Therefore, the construction includes animal shelter and
feeding, Alley, fodder store room, milk room, and quarantine shed, isolated shed, staff office,
fence, etc. Construction materials such as land, stone, sand, gravel, soil and wood are available
around the project site. Factory products such as tins, nails, boards, shutters, etc. are easily
available in Malmeda, Debre Berhan and Addis Ababa. A professional who does the
construction work is easily available in the mehalmeda town. The problem of building materials
to do this work cannot be a hindrance to the project.

Utilities

Electricity, telephone and water have a significant contribution to continue the work of the
project according to the strategy and systems that designed by the project owner. Without
electricity, telephone and water, the project wills not performer its objective properly. Electricity,
25
telephone and water are the main variables that contribute to maintaining the quality and
desirability of the project, either increasing or decreasing of its product and sale volume. The
area where the project is located has 24-hour electricity, telephone service and adequate water
supply, so it has positive contributions to the effectiveness of the project. In addition, it is
possible to use sunlight/solar as an alternative energy and reduce the cost of the project and
reduce the problem of power outages in the middle of the project and improve the productivity of
the project.

Infrastructure:-

Infrastructure plays a vital role in procuring and supplying the necessary raw materials and
delivering the project's output to the market where there is a demand for it. To reduce production
cost and to increase production for the project, to maintain product quality, to deliver the
produced product to a customer who is willing and able to pay, to protect and keep the health of
the dairy and beef cattle, to get close and consistent professional and other support, to reduce the
cost of the project and to increase the profit... etc. Infrastructure is important. As the project site
is close to infrastructure, there are favorable conditions for increasing production and
productivity. There is an alternative road (Atayu Asphalt Road from Malmeda, Addis Ababa
Gravel and Asphalt Road from Malmeda, Zamero Asphalt Road from Malmeda, Geshe Gravel
Road from Malmeda and a gravel road connecting 20 menz gera adiminstrativ Kebeles in the
district to Malmeda). Regarding other service-providing institutions, animal health post,
hospitals and other government institutions that do professional and administrative work are
located around the project site. This will make a positive contribution to achieve the vision,
mission and objective of the project.

Manpower/Labor Resource

In order to start the project, to produce quality products, to ensure that the dairy cows and dairy
cattle get adequate care and increase their productivity, there is a need for manpower who can be
employed in the project through permanent employment, temporary employment/temporary
workers. For this, there is sufficient supply of manpower in the area where the project is located.
The project will create job opportunities by employing 10 employees with diploma and above,
15 with 10th grade and above and 9 without education/unskilled. The project will meet the

26
manpower needs. It also hires 250 temporary/daily laborers per fiscal year who can perform
various labor tasks that can increase project output. In addition to benefiting from the available
manpower, the project will create permanent and temporary job opportunities for the
unemployed youth and farmers in the area to increase their income and improve their
livelihoods, thereby creating a favorable environment for them to fulfill their social and
economic responsibilities.

Land

Land has an important role to implement all the activities of the firm included in the project
activities. There is 2427 square meters of land available for this purpose. As the owner of the
land is the owner of the project, no additional cost is required. Therefore, the firm can build the
constructions required for the project in the time schedule, size and quality and run the project
without facing any land problems.

3.3. Production Capacity of the Project


In the first year, the project starts and completes the construction works. Where it
fulfills/supplies required materials and raw materials; it is the year of manpower recruitment,
employment and giving short-term professional training. However, in the first year, it starts by
buying 15 dairy heifers/cows of improved breed (75 percent and above are high breed).When the
project starts using his full production capacity; it will increase the number of dairy heifers/cow
and bring 65 dairy heifers/cows to work. By taking proper care of dairy cows (quality and
quantity of nutrition, timely health monitoring and vaccination, adequate and hygienic shelter,
feeding, drinking water, improved movement, etc.) and improving their production and
productivity per day produce 15 Liter for milking from one cow. In average every year 150,750
liters of quality milk will be supplied to the market that demands it. Born 295 Heifers/calves/
will be marketed at affordable prices to meet the local community's demand for improved breeds
and increase the profitability of the project. In order to improve and increase the productivity of
the company, after 3-4 years of milking and production, the purchased heifers/cows will be
replaced with newly purchased dairy heifers/cows in the project. Regarding fattening cattle, there
are 3-4 rounds of fattening and marketing in a year, and 40 fattening cattle are offered to the

27
market in one year, and 10 to 14 fattening cattle are offered to the market in one round.

3.3.1. Required Production Inputs, Materials and Manpower, and It’s Cost

The development of dairy resources and dairy cattle work is a work that requires different
expenses. Work efficiency, product quality, production volume and profitability have a direct
and indirect relationship with the project cost. The higher the quality and soundness of the inputs
purchased for the project, the higher the quality and quantity of the project's output. Therefore,
the various materials and resources required for this project as well as the cost amount are
detailed below.

28
Table 5 Cost of Required Dairy cow and Fatting Cattle

Cost of Required Dairy cow and Fatting Cattle

Production Required dairy/milk cow/ Required cattle to fatting Total no of required dairy and fatting
year cattle
Quantity Unit Price Total Price in Quantity Unit Price Total Price Total Total Cost in ETB
in no in ETB ETB in no in ETB in ETB Quantity
in no
2015 15 50,000 750,000 15 25000 375,000 30 1,125,000
2016 20 50,000 250,000 40 25000 1,000,000 60 1,250,000
2017 30 50,000 500,000 40 25000 1,000,000 70 1,500,000

2018 35 50,000 250,000 40 25000 1,000,000 75 1,250,000


2019 35 50,000 40 25000 1,000,000 75 1,000,000
2020 40 50,000 250,000 40 25000 1,000,000 80 1,250,000
2021 40 50,000 - 40 25000 1,000,000 80 1,000,000
2022 40 50,000 - 40 25000 1,000,000 80 1,000,000
2023 40 50,000 - 40 25000 1,000,000 80 1,000,000
2024 40 50,000 - 40 25000 1,000,000 80 1,000,000

Total Cost 40 2,000,000 375 9,375,000.00 710.00 11,375,000

29
Table 6 Required Feed and medication and its cost

Required Feed and medication and its cost


Number Of
Dairy cow,
Fatting Cattle Vaccine and Treatment
Sr.No Production Year and Calve Feed injection (100
Quantity in Ton Price in ETB ETB/Head/1Year) Total Cost
3,000 49,720
1 2015 30 59 46,720
7,500 105,077
2 2016 75 122 97,577
9,000 136,507
3 2017 90 160 127,507
10,500 162,827
4 2018 105 191 152,327
11,000 169,897
5 2019 110 199 158,897
11,500 182,077
6 2020 115 213 170,577
12,000 189,147
7 2021 120 221 177,147
12,000 189,147
8 2022 120 221 177,147
12,000 189,147
9 2023 120 221 177,147

30
12,000 189,147
10 2024 120 222 177,147
100,500 1,562,690
Total Cost 1,829 1,462,190

Table 7 Utility Cost

Utility Cost
Utility Type
Electricity Water
Unit Total
Production Qyt in Cost in Cost in Unit Cost in Total Cost in Total Utility
Sr.No Year KWH ETB ETB Qyt in M3 ETB ETB Cost in ETB Remark
Free Access

Use solar Energy as a primary option


1 2015 - - - 887 Free Access -
Free Access Free Access
2 2016 - - - 1,955 -
Free Access Free Access
3 2017 - - - 2,453 -
Free Access Free Access
4 2018 - - - 2,879 -
Free Access Free Access
5 2019 950 1.2 1140 2,996 1140

31
Free Access Free Access
6 2020 1000 1.2 1200 3,187 1200
Free Access Free Access
7 2021 1000 1.2 1200 3,304 1200
Free Access Free Access
8 2022 1100 1.2 1320 3,304 1320
Free Access Free Access
9 2023 1100 1.2 1320 3,304 1320
Free Access
10 2024 1100 1.2 1320 3,304 Free Access 1320
Total 6250 1.2 7500 27,571 7,500

32
Table 8 Cost of Required Machinery and Equipment

Cost of Required Machinery and Equipment

Sr.No Item Description Qut in No Unit Cost in ETB Total Cost in ETB
Hand Tools (shovel, Spade, saw,
1 hammer, etc) 35 1,000 35,000
2 Watering Equipment 95 600 57,000

3 Manure Handling Equipment 8 600 4,800

4 Milk Processing Equipment 25 2,500 62,500


5 Deeping Vat 1 25,000 25,000
6 Water Tank (6 m3) 3 10,000 30,000
7 bore hall/ water well 1 130,000 130,000
8 Insulated Tank 1 65,000 65,000
9 Generator 1 200,000 200,000
10 Solar 1 150,000 150,000
11 External Reservoir 1 70,000 70,000
12 Parallel filter (set) 1 55,000 55,000
13 Regulator 1 30,000 30,000
14 Compact plate Pasteurize 1 20,000 20,000
15 Butter Moal 7 10,000 70,000
16 Butter Churn 1 15,000 15,000
17 Spiral air Compressor 1 25,000 25,000
18 Centrifugal Pump 1 30,000 30,000
19 Connecting Pipes 1 15,000 15,000
20 Crutch 1 5,000 5,000
21 Syringe 30 700 21,000
22 Hoof Trimmer 10 1,000 10,000
23 Burdizzo Crusher 5 1,000 5,000
24 Knapsack Sprayer 5 1,500 7,500
25 Weighing Scale 1 90,000 90,000
26 Molasses Tank 1 50,000 50,000
27 Silage Grapes 1 55,000 55,000

33
28 Reservoir 1 350,000 350,000
Total 1,408,900 1,682,800

Constriction Cost

Construction is one of the activities of the firm that carry out the project work practically and
visibly on the ground. In order to actually start the project, various construction works need to be
done. They are animal shelter and feeding, alley, fodder store room, milk room, quarantine shed,
isolated shed, staff office, fence, etc. The land area set aside for the project is 2427 square
meters. Out of this, 774 square meters of land will be left for the constructions listed above. That
is, shelter and feeding for dairy cows and fattening cattle is 560 square meters, 21 square meters
to identify/isolate cattle with health problems, 24 square meters to quarantine newly purchased
cattle until their health conditions are checked, milk storage room 9 square meters, animal feed
storage room 50 square meters, staff office 50 square meters, storage room for various materials,
hand tools and machines 60 square meters, a total of 774 square meters. During the construction,
local and factory-made materials are used, and at the current market price, it costs 1600 Birr to
construct one square meter. Therefore, 1238400 Birr is needed to cover 774 square meters. The
remaining 1653 square meters of land will be fenced off and will be used as a site for various
activities of the project; it includes areas where dairy cows, fatting cattle and calves can move,
rest and breathe.

34
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Sr.
No

e
er
tion
Item

Kent
Table

Chiare
Printer

Stapler
comput

Punctur
Descrip
No No No No No No No Unit

3 1 1 5 3 - - Qut

750 250 500 2,000 2,400 - - Price 2015

- - - 5 3 - - Qut

- - - 2,000 2,400 - - Price 2016

- - - 10 4 - - Qut
Table 9 Required office equipment and its cost

- - - 4,000 3,200 - - Price 2017

5 - - 13 - 1 1 Qut

1,250 - - 5,200 - 70,000 70,000 Price 2018

- 1 1 - - - - Qut

35
- 250 500 - - - - Price 2019

- - - - - - - Qut
Year

- - - - - - - Price 2020
Required office equipment and its cost

- - - - - - - Qut

- - - - - - - Price 2021

- - - - - - - Qut

- - - - - - - Price 2022

- - - - - - - Qut

- - - - - - - Price 2023

- - - - - - - Qut

- - - - - - - Price 2024

8 2 2 33 10 1 1 Qut

2,000 500 1,000 13,200 8,000 70,000 70,000 Price Total cost
3
2
1
Sr.
No
9
8

Position

Manager

Supervisor
Processing
ry

Labor Cost

Vice Manager
Total Cost
Shelf
Statione

Qyt in No 2015 No No
Monthly Salary in ETB
- -
Annual Salary in ETB
6,900 1,000 -
1 Qyt in No 2016

7500 Monthly Salary in ETB


- -

Table 10 Required Manpower cost


90000 Annual Salary in ETB 5,400 1,000 -
1 Qyt in No 2017
7500 Monthly Salary in ETB - 1

90000 Annual Salary in ETB 11,200 1,000 3,000

1 Qyt in No 2018 -
7500 Monthly Salary in ETB
7,450 1,000
90000 Annual Salary in ETB
- -
1 1 Qyt in No 2019

36
5500 7500 Monthly Salary in ETB 1,750 1,000 -
66000 90000 Annual Salary in ETB - -
1 1 Qyt in No 2020
1,000 1,000 -
Required Manpower cost

5500 7500 Monthly Salary in ETB


- -
66000 90000 Annual Salary in ETB
1,000 1,000 -
1 1 Qyt in No 2021

5500 7500 Monthly Salary in ETB


- -

66000 90000 Annual Salary in ETB 1,000 1,000 -

1 1 Qyt in No 2022 - -
5500 7500 Monthly Salary in ETB
1,000 1,000 -
66000 90000 Annual Salary in ETB
- -
1 1 Qyt in No 2023

5500 7500 Monthly Salary in ETB 1,000 1,000 -


66000 90000 Annual Salary in ETB
- 1
1 1 Qyt in No 2024

5500 7500 Monthly Salary in ETB


177,700 10,000 3,000

66000 90000 Annual Salary in ETB

- 396000 810000 Total Salary in ETB


9
8
7
6
5
4

15
14
13
12
11
10
Staff

Mixer

Driver
officer
officer

Expert

Secretary
Accountant
Procurement

Adminstrative
Animals Health

Unskilled Labor
Field Supervisor

Ware house Man


Sales Man/women

Machine Operator/
Animal Production

1 1 1 1
2,000 3,500 4,000 3,500

24,000 42,000 48,000 42,000

1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1

2,500 4,000 2,000 4,000 4,000 3,500 4,000 4,000 4,000 3,500

30,000 48,000 24,000 48,000 48,000 42,000 48,000 48,000 48,000 42,000

1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
2,500 4,000 2,000 4,000 4,000 3,500 4,000 4,000 4,000 3,500

30,000 48,000 24,000 48,000 48,000 42,000 48,000 48,000 48,000 42,000

7 1 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 1

10,500 2,500 4,000 2,000 8,000 4,000 3,500 4,000 4,000 4,000 3,500

126,000 30,000 48,000 24,000 32,000 48,000 42,000 48,000 48,000 48,000 42,000

7 1 1 1 1 6 1 1 1 1 1 1

37
10,500 2,500 3,000 4,000 2,000 12,000 4,000 3,500 4,000 4,000 4,000 3,500

126,000 30,000 36,000 48,000 24,000 72,000 48,000 42,000 48,000 48,000 48,000 42,000

7 1 1 1 1 10 1 1 1 1 1 1

10,500 2,500 3,000 4,000 2,000 20,000 4,000 3,500 4,000 4,000 4,000 3,500

126,000 30,000 36,000 48,000 24,000 240,000 48,000 42,000 48,000 48,000 48,000 42,000

7 1 1 1 1 10 1 1 1 1 1 1

10,500 2,500 3,000 4,000 2,000 20,000 4,000 3,500 4,000 4,000 4,000 3,500

126,000 30,000 36,000 48,000 24,000 240,000 48,000 42,000 48,000 48,000 48,000 42,000

7 1 1 1 1 10 1 1 1 1 1 1

10,500 2,500 3,000 4,000 2,000 20,000 4,000 3,500 4,000 4,000 4,000 3,500

126,000 30,000 36,000 48,000 24,000 240,000 48,000 42,000 48,000 48,000 48,000 42,000

7 1 1 1 1 10 1 1 1 1 1 1

10,500 2,500 3,000 4,000 2,000 20,000 4,000 3,500 4,000 4,000 4,000 3,500

126,000 30,000 36,000 48,000 24,000 240,000 48,000 42,000 48,000 48,000 48,000 42,000

7 1 1 1 1 10 1 1 1 1 1 1

10,500 2,500 3,000 4,000 2,000 20,000 4,000 3,500 4,000 4,000 4,000 3,500

126,000 30,000 36,000 48,000 24,000 240,000 48,000 42,000 48,000 48,000 48,000 42,000

882,000 270,000 216,000 432,000 240,000 1,400,000 432,000 420,000 480,000 432,000 432,000 420,000
16 Guards

456,000
24,000

48,000

48,000

48,000

48,000

48,000

48,000

48,000

48,000

48,000
2,000

4,000

4,000

4,000

4,000

4,000

4,000

4,000

4,000

4,000
1

2
17 Daily Laborer/year

450,000
45,000

45,000

45,000

45,000

45,000

45,000

45,000

45,000

45,000

45,000
18 Total

1,029,000

1,029,000

1,029,000

1,029,000

1,029,000

8,168,000
225,000

609,000

609,000

719,000

861,000
15,000

47,000

47,000

61,500

74,000

82,000

82,000

82,000

82,000

82,000
14

14

23

27

31

31

31

31

31
5

Other Costs

In addition to the costs detailed above:-

 To start the project and get legal recognition,


 To transport products from place to place and sell, to advertize and promote manufactured products and
 Additional budget is required to pay interest on working capital obtained from loan. This is shown in detail in the following
table.

38
5
4
3
2
1
Sr.No

Total
Table 11 Other project cost

cost
interest
Item Description

Taxes (15% VAT)


Transportation Cost(Milk, beef
Advertizing and promotion cost

cattle, heifer/bull and others cost

Registration, licensing and related


Unit

ETB
ETB
ETB
ETB
ETB
ETB

889,303 10,000 511,900 357,228 6,675 3,500 2015

1,210,185 894,968 294,817 16,900 3,500 2016

39
Other project cost

1,425,997 1,177,006 224,141 21,350 3,500 2017

1,527,878 1,354,695 144,108 25,575 3,500 2018

1,487,432 1,400,881 53,476 29,575 3,500 2019

1,577,433 1,541,633 32,300 3,500 2020

1,615,337 1,578,037 33,800 3,500 2021


Production Year

1,615,337 1,578,037 33,800 3,500 2022

1,627,119 1,587,819 35,800 3,500 2023

1,763,032 1,711,732 47,800 3,500 2024

14,739,052 10,000 13,336,708 1,073,769 283,575 35,000 Total


Inputs, Materials, Equipments, Machinery, Manpower and others required for the project are detailed in the above tables and in
general, the costs required in the 10 operation years of the project are summarized in the following table.

Table 12 Total project cost in each Year

Total project cost in each Year


Year

total cost
2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024
Sr.No Cost description Unit

1,682,800 270,000.00 7,900.00

148,450

1,562,690 7,500 1,682,800 8,618,000 187,700


12,200

2,750

2,000

2,000

2,000

2,000

2,000
6400
1 Office Equipment Cost ETB

1,074,000

1,074,000

1,074,000

1,074,000

1,074,000
654,000

764,000

906,000
654000
2 Manpower (labor) Cost ETB

Machinery and Production


3 Equipment Cost ETB

1,140

1,200

1,200

1,320

1,320

1,320
4 Utility Cost ETB
105076.667
49,720.00

136,507

162,827

169,897

182,077

189,147

189,147

189,147

189,147
5 Feed and medication Cost ETB

40
8
7
6

Total Cost
cost

Other Cost
Construction (building) Cost
Dairy Cow and Fatting Cattle

ETB
ETB
ETB
ETB

5,263,123.05 889,303 1,238,400.00 1,125,000.00

3,225,661.72 1,210,185 1,250,000.00

3,728,703.64 1,425,997 1,500,000

41
3,853,154.18 1,527,878 1,250,000

3,567,218.91 1,487,432 1,000,000

4,086,709.49 1,577,433 1,250,000

3,881,683.19 1,615,337 1,000,000

3,881,803.19 1,615,337 1,000,000

3,893,585.80 1,627,119 1,000,000

4,029,498.84 1,763,032 1,000,000

39,411,142.01 14,739,052 1,238,400 11,375,000


Source/Means of Finance

As detailed above, it is stated that various costs are required to implement the project according
to the plan and to produce the products demanded by the market while maintaining their quality
and providing them to the consumers. Although various costs are required in all the production
years of the project to increase the production of the project and improve its profitability, the cost
of starting the project in the first year is the main, basic and the cost of starting the production of
the project. Therefore, Birr 4,393,995 is required to start the project, of which Birr 1,600,000
(30.4%) will be financed by the project owner, and the remaining Birr 3,663,123.05 (69.6%) will
be financed by loans from lending institutions. The start-up money of this project includes the
interest paid on the loan in the first year and the 15% VAT paid to the government from the
income from the products produced and sold in the first year.

Table 13 source of initial Finance

source of initial Finance


Sr.no Description unit Amount coverage in %
Term Loan (From Borrower Financial
1 Organization) ETB 3,663,123.05 69.6
2 Owner Equity
2.1 Own Cash ETB 950000 18.05
Current inventories ( present Milk Cow
2.2 and Fatting Cattle) ETB 650000 12.35
Sub total 1,600,000 30.40
Total 5,263,123.05 100

In the table above 13 the amount of initial investment cost/budget required for the project launch
and the source of the budget are set. Fixed and variable inputs, materials, equipment, machinery
and others that are required to start the project are also listed in the following table.

Table 14 Required initial investment Capital

42
Required initial investment Capital
Sr.No Item Description Unit Amount
Fixed Cost
1 Office Equipment Cost ETB 7900
2 Machinery and Equipment Cost ETB 1682800
3 Dairy Cow and Fatting Cattle cost ETB 1125000
4 Construction (building) Cost ETB 1238400
Sub Total 4054100
Variable Cost
5 Manpower(labor) Cost ETB 270000
6 Utility Cost ETB
7 Feed and medication Cost ETB 49720
8 Other Cost ETB 889303.0548
Sub Total 1209023.055
Total 5,263,123.05

43
o
Sr.N
Depreciation

Total
Cost
Cost

)Cost
Item Description

Office Equipment

Machinery and other


production Equipment

Construction (building
Table 15 Depreciation

3
15
10
n in %
Depreciatio

308,342 37,152 252,420 18,770 1st Year

267,487 36,037 214,557 16,893 2nd Year

232,533 34,956 182,373 15,204 3rd Year

44
202,608 33,908 155,017 13,683 4th Year
Depreciation

176,970 32,890 131,765 12,315 5th year

154,987 31,904 112,000 11,083 6th Year

136,122 30,947 95,200 9,975 7th Year


Amount of Depreciation in ETB

119,916 30,018 80,920 8,978 8th Year

105,980 29,118 68,782 8,080 9th Year

93,981 28,244 58,465 7,272 10th Year

1,473,752 1,351,499 122,253 total


salvage/book
1,309,973 913,226 331,300 65,447 value
Expected Gross Income

This dairy development and cattle fatting project is a project that established to make profit. It
works to earn income by marketing and selling dairy and beef cattle products that are of high
quality, consider customer needs and purchasing power, and are healthy. Among the products
and by-products it offers to the market are fattened beef cattle, born heifers/calves, milk, cows
that have finished their service period/reduced productivity/ and animal manure. The
considerations taken to calculate the income from the products that the project offers to the
market are listed below:

• Sale of fattened/beef cattle: - One fattened/beef bull was sold from Birr 60,000 to Birr 110,000
in mehalmeda. However, in order to provide the user with an affordable price and to be
competitive in the market, the fattened/beef cattle of this project will be offered for sale in the
market for 80,000 Birr.

• Born heifers/calves: - The results of the project include heifers/calves born. The selling price of
heifers and bulls in the market is also different. However, the heifers/bull born in this firm will
be offered for sale at an average price of 35,000 thousand Birr per heifer/bull to the market that
is suitable for the project and has the best demand.

• Due to the end of their service period, with regard to the cows offered to the market, by taking
proper care of them, maintaining their health and improving their weight, one cow will be
offered for sale for Birr 55,000.

• Animal manure: One of the project's contributions to the community is providing animal
manure at an affordable price. In the area where the project is located, there is a significant loss
of soil fertility and productivity, so providing the animal manure to the farmers will improve the
fertility of the land and increase its productivity.. Therefore, the price of one kilogram of animal
feed is 1.92 Birr in the mehalmeda market, and the project provides 0.75 Birr to the beneficiary
farmers. For farther information, the details are listed in the following table.

45
Year

2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
5 5 Qut in No

55,000 55,000 55,000 55,000 55,000 Unit Price Dairy Cow

275,000 275,000 - - - Total


Price
40 40 40 40 15 Qut in No
Table 16 Estimating of production sale

80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 Unit Price


Beef Cattle

3,200,000 3,200,000 3,200,000 3,200,000 1,200,000 Total


Price
25 15 10 Qut in No

35,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 Unit Price


heifers/calves

46
875,000 525,000 350,000 - - Total
Price
120,120 114,660 98,280 81,900 32,760 Qut in Kg
Sale Product type
Estimating of production sale

1 1 1 1 1 Unit Price

90,090 85,995 73,710 61,425 24,570 Total


Price
Animal Manure (3kg/)cat)

157,500 157,500 135,000 90,000 67,500 Qut in


liter
40 40 40 40 40 Unit Price

6,300,000 6,300,000 5,400,000 3,600,000 2,700,000 Total


Milk(15l/1cow)

Price

10,740,090 10,385,995 9,023,710 6,861,425 3,924,570 Total Sale in ETB


total
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020

40.00 5 10 10 5

55,000 55,000 55,000 55,000 55,000

2,200,000 - 275,000 550,000 550,000 275,000

375 40 40 40 40 40

800,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000

30,000,000 3,200,000 3,200,000 3,200,000 3,200,000 3,200,000

255 75 40 30 30 30

350,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 35,000

47
8,925,000 2,625,000 1,400,000 1,050,000 1,050,000 1,050,000

1,097,460 131,040 131,040 131,040 131,040 125,580

8 1 1 1 1 1

823,095 98,280 98,280 98,280 98,280 94,185

1,507,500 180,000 180,000 180,000 180,000 180,000

400 40 40 40 40 40

60,300,000 7,200,000 7,200,000 7,200,000 7,200,000 7,200,000

102,248,095 13,123,280 12,173,280 12,098,280 12,098,280 11,819,185


In the table above 15 the types of products offered by the project, quantity, unit price of each
product and total product price estimate are summarized. To make it more clear, in the table
below, the gross income from the products offered to the market in each production year of the
project has been shown in detail.

Table 17 Gross Income of the Project

Gross Income of The Project


Sy.N Income Source Uni Year
o t

Total
2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024
1 Beef Cattle Sale ET

30,000,000
1,200,000

3,200,000

3,200,000

3,200,000

3,200,000

3,200,000

3,200,000

3,200,000

3,200,000

3,200,000
B

2 dairy Cow sale ET


(Due to the end B

2,200,000
275,000

275,000

275,000

550,000

550,000

275,000
of their
-

-
service/producti
on) period
3 Heifer/calves ET
1,050,000

1,050,000

1,050,000

1,400,000

2,625,000

102,248,095 823,095 60,300,000 8,925,000


350,000

525,000

875,000

Sale B
-

4 Milk sale ET
2,700,000

3,600,000

5,400,000

6,300,000

6,300,000

7,200,000

7,200,000

7,200,000

7,200,000

7,200,000

5 Animal Manure ET
24,570

61,425

73,710

85,995

90,090

94,185

98,280

98,280

98,280

98,280

Sale B

Gross Income ET
10,385,995

10,740,090

11,819,185

12,098,280

12,098,280

12,173,280

13,123,280
3,924,570

6,861,425

9,023,710

48
1

1.5
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.1
Sr.No

Milk sale
Beef Cattle Sale

Heifer/calves Sale

Animal Manure Sale


Income and Expenditure Type

their service/production) period


Table 18 Financial Cash Flow Statement

dairy Cow sale (Due to the end of


Unit

ETB
ETB
ETB
ETB
ETB

24,570 2,700,000 - - 1,200,000 2015

49
61,425 3,600,000 - - 3,200,000 2016
Income

73,710 5,400,000 350,000 - 3,200,000 2017


4. Financial Analysis

Financial Cash Flow Statement

85,995 6,300,000 525,000 275,000 3,200,000 2018

90,090 6,300,000 875,000 275,000 3,200,000 2019

94,185 7,200,000 1,050,000 275,000 3,200,000 2020

98,280 7,200,000 1,050,000 550,000 3,200,000 2021

98,280 7,200,000 1,050,000 550,000 3,200,000 2022

98,280 7,200,000 1,400,000 275,000 3,200,000 2023

98,280 7,200,000 2,625,000 - 3,200,000 2024

823,095 60,300,000 8,925,000 2,200,000 30,000,000 Total


2

2.6
2.5
2.4
2.3
2.2
2.1
Gross Income

Utility Cost
Manpower(labor) Cost
Office Equipment Cost

Feed and medication Cost


Machinery and Equipment Cost

Dairy Cow and Fatting Cattle cost


ETB
ETB
ETB
ETB
ETB
ETB
ETB

1,125,000 49,720 1,682,800 270,000 7,900 3,924,570

50
1,250,000 105,077 654,000 6,400 6,861,425

1,500,000 136,507 654,000 12,200 9,023,710


Expenditure

1,250,000 162,827 764,000 148,450 10,385,995

1,000,000 169,897 1,140 906,000 2,750 10,740,090

1,250,000 182,077 1,200 1,074,000 2,000 11,819,185

1,000,000 189,147 1,200 1,074,000 2,000 12,098,280

1,000,000 189,147 1,320 1,074,000 2,000 12,098,280

1,000,000 189,147 1,320 1,074,000 2,000 12,173,280

1,000,000 189,147 1,320 1,074,000 2,000 13,123,280

11,375,000 1,562,690 7,500 1,682,800 8,618,000 187,700 102,248,095


2.8
2.7

Net Profit
Other Cost

Total Expenditure/cost
Construction (building) Cost

ETB
ETB

ETB
ETB

(1,338,553) 5,263,123 889,303 1,238,400

51
3,635,763 3,225,662 1,210,185

5,295,006 3,728,704 1,425,997

6,532,841 3,853,154 1,527,878

7,172,871 3,567,219 1,487,432

7,732,476 4,086,709 1,577,433

8,216,597 3,881,683 1,615,337

8,216,477 3,881,803 1,615,337

8,279,694 3,893,586 1,627,119

9,093,781 4,029,499 1,763,032

62,836,953 39,411,142 14,739,052 1,238,400


Financial Cash Flow Statement gross

14,000,000

12,000,000

10,000,000

Cost/expense
8,000,000

gross income
6,000,000

net incom/revenu
4,000,000

2,000,000

0
2015 2,016 2017 2,018 2019 2,020 2021 2022 2023 2024
-2,000,000

-4,000,000

52
As stated in the above table, the total cost of the project is 39,411,142 Birr. This project cost
includes 15% VAT, interest; fixed cost depreciation, transport cost, advertisement and promotion
cost and different legal fees. Looking at the net income of the project, it is 102,248,095 Birr. As
we can see in Table17 above, it shows that the income of the project is increasing year by year.
The net income of the project in 10 consecutive years is 62,836,953 Birr. As seen in the table
above 17 the total investment cost for the project will be returned by the firm's production in less
than 5 years. The total fixed and variable cost of the company during the 10-year project period
is 39,411,142 Birr, and the project's income from sales until the 5th year is 40935790 Birr. This
shows that the firm has covered its expenses and has a profit of 1324648 Birr only in five
production year. In general, it means that the company will cover the total cost of the investment
in less than 50% of the 10 working years of the project and the sales obtained in the remaining
five years will be the income of the project. Thus, it shows us that the project is an effective
project.

4.1. NPV
Since the Payback Period does not show the time value of money, it is a better choice to see the
effectiveness of the project using the Net Present Value. Therefore, the profitability of this
project is checked by Net Present Value as follows.

Table 19 NPV

Inputs
Discount Rate(%): 7

Initial Invest Amount: 5263123


Number of years: 10

Year Cash Flow Present Value Discount Factors


1 -1338553 -1250983.52 0.934579
2 3635763 3175617.2 0.873439
3 5295006 4322302.81 0.816298
4 6532841 4983871.73 0.762895

53
5 7172871 5114156.6 0.712986
6 7732476 5152473.52 0.666342
7 8216597 5116885.78 0.62275
8 8216477 4782063.56 0.582009
9 8279594 4503552.68 0.543934
10 9093781 4622814.48 0.508349
Result

Net Present Value (NPV): 35259631.84

Probability Index(PI): 7.7

Net Present Value (NPV) is 35259631.84 as shown in the table above. This indicates that the Net
Present Value (NPV) is greater than zero. This means that if the firm implements this project and
works, it will be profitable.

4.2. Internal Rate of Return (IRR)


The use of different financial analysis methods to check the effectiveness of the project helps us
to be sure of the profitability of the project. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) also shows us the
capital cost (discount rate) threshold at which our project will stop working and will not be
profitable. The current capital cost (discount rate) is 7% and the Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
value is shown in the following table.

Table 20 IRR

Inputs
Initial Invest Amount: 5263123 ETB

Number of years: 10

Year Cash Flow


1 -1338553
2 3635763

54
3 5295006
4 6532841

5 7172871
6 7732476
7 8216597
8 8216477
9 8279694
10 9093781
Result

Internal Rate of Return (IRR): % 56.261

As indicated in the table above 19 Internal Rate of Return (IRR) is 56.261%. This means that it is
effective if the firm continues the project until the capital cost (discount rate) rises from 7% to
56.261%.
In general, as confirmed by all three methods (Payback period, NPV & IRR), it means that the
company will be effective if it continues this project.

5. Environmental Policy and legal Analysis

5.1. Environmental analysis


It is known that dairy farming and cattle fattening have many economic and social benefits. If it
is done properly and there is a good management, it has great contributions to improve the
fertility and safety of the environment, to improve the fertility of the land and to increase the
yield, etc. However, if a negative environmental impact of the project is not carried out properly,
it can have a significant Short term and long term negative impact on the environment.
Therefore, to increase the positive contribution and to reduce (eliminate) the negative impact of
the project the following corrective action will be taken.

55
Sr.No Impact Description Suitable Measures to be Taken
1 greenhouse gas  Avoiding the use of animal feed which is a cause of
(GHG) emissions deforestation
 Increase in the concentrates-to-forage ratio.
 support a transition away from cattle -- which accounts
for 41% of livestock-related GHG emissions but only 5%
of calories -- towards other animals
 /Increase of available space per Livestock Unit (LU)/
 Planting/cultivating trees in the project area
OVERGRAZING  Avoid free grazing dairy farming and fattening.
 Ensuring that they have enough fodder and water in their
barn.
Soil erosion and  Make sure they have enough feed and water in their barn,
Degradation  By preventing them from walking outside the project area
in search of fodder and water, the soil erosion caused by
their Nail/ Shekona
Pollution  Pollution occurs due to the problem of cattle dung/Manure
management, cattle feeding, lodging, product storage ------
etc. due to lack of hygiene.
 Therefore, preparing a good and sufficient well and
storing cattle dung/Manure in a way that does not pollute
the environment and making a promise to use it for land
improvement. Keeping house and environment clean.
 Establishment and use of waste incinerators and burial
pits.

56
Product hygiene and  The milk and beef products produced by the firm must be
disease clean and of good quality to ensure the health of the user.
 Maintaining the health of the animals, ensuring that they
receive timely examinations and vaccinations.
 If there are animals with health problems, it is necessary
to isolate them and not to market their products.
 The workers who do the work must be clean and healthy
to prevent product contamination.
Transmission of  Buying healthy and selected animals at the time of
disease from purchase,
animals to animals  not mixing them with the animals in the house (keeping
them in quarantine), Vaccinating/sickening them.
 Identify if there are any diseases in the production
process; do not mix with healthy animals, do not market
and do not sell to other breeders without professional
confirmation that they have been treated and taken care of.

5.2. Policy and legal Analysis


Generally an institutional and technical development are affecting the scope of dairy
development and fatting of cattle in the overall development of the livestock sector.
Development policies adopted by the Government may differ in form, declared or undeclared,
which may affect the implementation according to legislations, regulations, orders and decrees
that may follow. Declared policies in the early period in dairy, dairy related developments and
fatting are: • Proclamation to provide for the control of animal diseases of 1961 • Order for the
establishment of the institute of agricultural research of 1966 • Order for the establishment of the
dairy development Agency of 1971 • Proclamation for the establishment of joint venture of 1983
and • Proclamation for the establishment of the national investment policy of 2002. Recent
progress in development policy included the privatization policy, the reorganization of the
Ethiopian Agricultural Research Organization and the establishment of the Livestock and
Livestock Products Marketing Authority. See the following Table for the relevant polices
regulation, acts and standards relevant for dairy sector development.

57
Status of key policy issues relevant for dairy and fatting investment

Issues position
Policy and strategy issues
a) Agricultural Policy - n place
b) Livestock Development Policy Draft
c) Livestock Research Policy In place (Amh)
d) Dairy development Policy Draft
e) Livestock Master plan In-preparation
f) Dairy Dev. Master Plan n-preparation
g) Ruminant Livestock Dev. Strategy Draft
h) Cattle Milk Research Strategy In place
i) Animal Health Research Strategy In place
j) Animal Feeds & Nutrition Strategy In place
Dairy and related acts
a) Dairy Regulation Draft
b) Dairy Industry act In place
c) Public Health act In place
d) Cooperative Statute In place
e) Regulations enforcement Draft
f) Standard enforcement In place
g) Veterinary surgeons act Draft
l) Animal Diseases act In place

Ethiopia follows a market-oriented economic development strategy. In order to encourage,


promote and expand private investment, the Government has issued a liberalized investment
code (Proclamation No. 37/1996) and established the Ethiopian Investment Authority (EIA) and
regional Investment bureaus. The EIA, in addition to the issuance of investment permits,
provides one-stop investment services such as the provision of trade registration and operating
licenses for private investors, granting of work permits to expatriate employees and facilitating
the acquisition of land as well as utilities by private investors.

Therefore, the implementation of this project is supported by government policy and law and is

58
not against the law.

6. Social Contribution
The project will make various environmental and social contributions in the area where it works,
including:

 It creates temporary and permanent job opportunities for the unemployed sections of the
community living in the area. (The quantity depends on the detailed manpower
requirement of the project).
 As there is a shortage of dairy and fatting cattle with improved breeds in the area,
heifers/calves will be made available to the local community at affordable prices. The
local community will benefit from improved breed of dairy heifers and bulls.
 During the winter season, the organization hires workers to plant/take care of 500 to 1000
seedlings.
 The community will share experiences on improved dairy farming and cattle fattening
operations. The community will learn and implement how to work in a way that is free
from open grazing. This helps prevent environmental degradation.
 It will contribute to reduce the social pressure caused by lack of milk and beef
production.
 The local community gets cattle dung/Manure at a low price to improve their farm
land.

7. Considerations taken while preparing the financial part of the project:


1. The interest rate is 15%

2. Discount rate 7 %

3. The loan repayment period will be completed in five years and will be paid once a year.

4. 15% VAT

5. There is a possibility that water will be available for free, so no cost has been allocated.

59

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