The Early Duterte Presidency in The Philippines
The Early Duterte Presidency in The Philippines
The Early Duterte Presidency in The Philippines
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URN: http://nbn-resolving.org/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:gbv:18-4-10073
ISSN: 1868-4882 (online), ISSN: 1868-1034 (print)
Published by
GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies, Institute of Asian Studies and
Hamburg University Press.
The Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs is part of the GIGA Journal Family, which
also includes Africa Spectrum, Journal of Current Chinese Affairs and Journal of Politics
in Latin America: <www.giga-journal-family.org>.
■■■ Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs 3/2016: 3–14
■■■
Introduction
The Early Duterte Presidency
in the Philippines
Mark R. Thompson
1 Several of the authors in this special issue (Batalla, de Castro, Teehankee, and
Thompson) presented papers to a panel on the Duterte presidency to the In-
ternational Studies Association Asia-Pacific Conference at the City
University of Hong Kong, 25–26 June, co-hosted by the Department of
Asian and Inter- national Studies (AIS) and the Southeast Asian Studies
Centre (SEARC), both at the City University of Hong Kong. I would like
to thank Curato, Holmes and Reyes for their willingness to also submit
papers for this special issue. I would also like to express my appreciation to
JCSAA Co-editor Marco Bünte for his support in putting together this
special issue on short notice and Chris- tine Berg for her editorial assistance.
■ 4 Mark R. ■
Why Duterte?
Duterte won the 9 May Philippine presidential elections with nearly
40 per cent of the vote, a solid plurality in a five-way race in which his
■ ■
com- petitors conceded and no major accusations of vote fraud 5
Introduction. The Early Duterte
were made. His election follows six years of high growth and
political stability under
■ 6 Mark R. ■
La Violencia
The use of the Colombian expression referring to peasant-on-peasant
violence in that country for a decade from the late 1940s to the
late 1950s shortly after the Conservatives’ return to power and the
assassina- tion of a charismatic Liberal presidential candidate may not
seem an apt analogy to the Philippines under Duterte where supposed
drug dealers and users are being singled out for extrajudicial killing.
There are also certain parallels: the abrupt outbreak of violence and
the staggering number of deaths locally around the Philippines in a
short period of time due to violence provoked by political change at
the national level.
In his contribution, Danilo Reyes, a PhD candidate at the City
Uni- versity of Hong Kong and a long-time human rights campaigner
origi- nally from Mindanao, offers four theoretical frames to
understand this violence better. These are: violence as spectacle
(Foucault 1979), as polit- ical messaging (Feldman 1991), as othering
(Agamben 2005), and as characteristic of a form of rule by “violent
ideological leaders” (Mum- ford et al. 2007). The “spectacle of
violence” is designed to “humiliate and cow criminals,” while
“convincing ordinary citizens they are being protected” and
reinforcing Duterte’s presidential authority. This is “per- formed” by
reducing supposed criminals’ bodies to objects that carry political
messages that have boosted Duterte’s popularity, as it has other
politicians who have also resorted to violent “law and order” measures
in imitation of the Philippine president. As Reyes points out, when
Duterte was elected president, he appointed Ronald Dela Rosa as chief
of the Philippine National Police (PNP), confirming that Duterte
would do exactly what he had promised: implement the “Davao
model” nation- wide. Duterte and Dela Rosa explicitly made drug
dealers legitimate targets of the police, vigilante groups and even
ordinary citizens. The drug dealers’ dead bodies have been turned into
spectacle, shaming the victims’ families and friends. Dumped along
roads, under bridges, or in neighbouring town, tortured and taped-up
bodies are often left with a cardboard confessional sign strapped
around their necks saying “I’m a pusher” or “a drug lord” and “do not
do as I did,” with the guilt of vic- tims is assumed, not proven,
seriously investigated, or even questioned.
Since Philippine National Police (PNP) “Anti-Illegal Drugs Cam-
paign Plan Project” dubbed “Double Barrel” commenced on 1 July
2016, a number of politicians, judges, and policeman have been cited
in lists Duterte has made public accusing them of involvement in
illegal drugs. Most killings have been of the poor, who are at most
■ Introduction. The Early Duterte 9 ■ of
small-time drug users, with mounting evidence of a large number
“innocents” who are not involved in the drug trade being “killed in
the cross-fire.” Walden
■ 1 Mark R. ■
Bello (cited in Dioquino 2016) has called this “a war against the poor”
that “only addresses the symptoms rather than the root cause.” A
recent study by the London School of Economics (Collins 2016) of
coercive anti-drug campaigns around the world concluded, after
surveying the literature, that “the failures of the ‘war on drugs’ have
been well docu- mented.”
There has been no mass “poor Filipinos’ lives matter” movement
comparable to the “Black Lives Matter” movement in the US (Thomp-
son 2016). During much of the post-Marcos period, many of those
killed extra-judicially were linked to the communist left, which
blamed the military. Duterte has reached out to the Communist Party
of the Philip- pines, giving their allies several social-welfare related
cabinet positions and so far sticking to his promise of negotiating a
peace deal. Hoping for a chance to re-enter mainstream politics, much
of the left has been silent about Duterte’s anti-drug killings. A bastion
of liberal critiques of human rights abuses during the Marcos and, to a
lesser extent during the post- Marcos period, the Catholic Church was
easily out-manoeuvred by Duterte who threatened to expose their sex
scandals (claiming himself to have been abused by a priest as a child),
involvement in corruption, and their hard-line stance against all forms
of reproductive health as a hazard to Filipinas’ well-being.
Switching Sides
In his paper, Prof. Renato de Castro, a leading international relations
scholar at de la Salle University, assesses Duterte’s shift away from
the US towards China (and also Russia). After standing up to China’s
“heavy-handed” actions in the South China Sea (recently officially re-
named “West Philippine Sea” in the Philippines), the Aquino
administra- tion challenged China directly (by filing a case, which the
Philippines won last summer, with an international arbitration panel)
while seeking closer security cooperation with the US. Duterte quickly
distanced the Philippines from its long-time treaty ally, the United
States, while moving closer to China. Besides reaction to US/Western
criticism of his drug crackdown, de Castro argues Duterte is seeking
to “to harness China for several major infrastructure and investments
projects in the Philippines and to resort to bilateral negotiations with
Beijing.” To complicate mat- ters, while courting Beijing, Duterte is
■ 1 also cosying up to Japan, China’s Mark R. ■
■ Introduction. The Early Duterte 1 ■
Economic Implications
In his article, Prof. Eric Vincent C. Batalla, chair of the de la Salle
Politi- cal Science Department and a leading Filipino political
scientist, argues that, over the last three decades, the performance of
the Philippine economy has become increasingly
insulated from the divisiveness of its politics […] Despite the
po- litical turbulence that characterised the Estrada and Arroyo
■ 1 dencies, the Philippine economy managed to continue its
Mark R. ■
presi-
growth path following the difficulties of the 1983–1992 period.
■ Introduction. The Early Duterte 1 ■
This is due to the fact that the country has achieved financial stability
through increasing tax collection and a liberalised and reformed
banking and financial system, as well as because of increasing foreign
exchange revenues – particularly from overseas remittances and from
a thriving business processing/call centre industry. Batalla suggests
that “these factors continue to enable sustain rapid economic growth
despite Duter- te’s controversial leadership.” Political risks may be
“unpredictable” but “the country’s economic fundamentals remain
strong.”
Batalla’s article leaves open the reverse question, which why
there has been repeated political upheaval over the last decade-and-a-
half de- spite rapid growth and economic stability. Many critics have
pointed to the shallowness of rapid growth in the Philippines – in
terms of slow poverty reduction, as well as continued high levels of
inequality and joblessness. While the fact that Duterte’s support is
stronger among the elite and middle class than the poor makes it
difficult to claim Duterte’s rise is part of the global outrage against
growing inequality, it does sug- gest that growth itself is not enough to
ensure political stability. The “shallowness” of the Philippine
economy explains the continued resur- gence of pro-poor populists
(overthrown president Joseph E. Estrada, cheated presidential
contender Fernando Poe, Jr., and defeated 2016 presidential candidate
Jojo Binay). However, growth itself may have raised the expectations
of the “winners” in society, particularly in the elite and middle
class, that the state would offer them greater protection. Given the
seeming failures of the liberal and supposedly reformist ad-
ministration of Noynoy Aquino to do so, many better-off voters opted
for Duterte and his promise to violently restore law and order.
Conclusion
The articles in this special issue assess the reasons for Duterte’s rise to
power, his violent anti-drug campaign, the nature of his rule and the
implications of it. Although, as Holmes shows, there was some contin-
gency in his victory in the 2016 presidential elections (particularly
given the weakness of the other major candidates), Duterte’s “law and
order” message, which was a form of “penal populism”, did resonate
strongly with voters, as Curato demonstrates. However, as my and
Teehankee’s essays stress, Duterte kicked in a door that was already
rotten due to the “disjunction” of the liberal reformist order. Driven by
middle-class anger and anxiety about their personal safety, Duterte has
used violence as spectacle to cow criminals while assuring “good
citizens” that they are safe, as Reyes shows. As Teehankee argues,
■ 1 Duterte’s strong nationalism Mark R. ■
■ Introduction. The Early Duterte 1 ■
References
Agamben, Giorgio (2005), State of Exception, Chicago: University of
Chi- cago Press, (trans. Kevin Attell).
Banyan (2016), Duterte’s Pivot, in: The Economist, 22 October, online:
<www.economist.com/news/asia/21708984-philippines-until-
now- staunch-american-ally-falling-chinese-camp-dutertes-
pivot/> (7
January 2017).
Collins, John (2016), Development First: Multilateralism in the
Post-‘War on Drugs’ Era, LSE Ideas, After the Drug Wars:
Report of the LSE Expert Group on the Economics of Drug
Policy, London: London School of Economics.
David, Randy (2016), Dutertismo, in: The Philippine Daily Inquirer, 3
May, online: <http://opinion.inquirer.net/94530/dutertismo/> (7
Janu- ary 2017).
Dioquino, Rose-an (2016), Walden Bello Tells Duterte: Addressing
Pov- erty, Not Killings, The Way to Solve Drug Problem, in:
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<www.gmanetwork.com/news/story/577394/n
ews/nation/walden-bello-tells-duterte-addressing-poverty-not-kill
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Esmaquel, Paterno II. (2016), Cardinal Tagle on Christmas: Why No
Hope for Those Astray?, in: Rappler, 23 December, online:
<www. rappler.com/nation/156434-cardinal-tagle-christmas-
message-hope- astray/> (7 January 2017).
■ 1 Mark R. ■