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QM 2 Submission E13

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QM-II

Newspaper Vendor

Section E Group 13

Demand: 75-200 newspapers/day

Cost: Rs. 1 / newspaper

Selling Price: Rs.2 / newspaper

Size of each stack: 50 newspapers

How many stacks should the newspaper vendor order?

Assuming the probability distribution is uniform between 75 and 200. We recommend the
newspaper vendor buy 2 stacks of newspaper (i.e. a total of 100 newspapers) every day at the start.

We created a profit matrix assuming demand has a uniform probability distribution in the range of
75-200. The below graph represents the profit for each order quantity at various demand levels.

Profits
250

200

150

100
Profit

50

0
100

170
75
80
85
90
95

105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
155
160
165

175
180
185
190
195
200
-50

-100
Demand

50 100 150 200

Given a uniform distribution, we see that an order of 150 newspapers earns the highest expected
profit followed by an order of 100. Although the variance of the profit is very large for an order of
150 in comparison to an order of 100. Assuming that a newspaper vendor would be a risk-averse
person, an order of 100 newspapers assures him a high as well as a certain profit of close to Rs.
94.84.

Order (newspapers) 50 100 150 200


Expected Profit 50 94.84 104.76 75.00
Standard Deviation 0 12.25 50.27 73.03
Range Lower Limit 50 50 0 -50
Range Upper Limit 50 100 150 200
Range 0 50 150 250
Coefficient of Variation 0% 13% 48% 97%

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