Developing A Bioeconomic Framework For Scallop Culture Optimization and Product Development
Developing A Bioeconomic Framework For Scallop Culture Optimization and Product Development
Developing A Bioeconomic Framework For Scallop Culture Optimization and Product Development
To cite this article: Struan Coleman, Dana Morse, W. Christian Brayden & Damian C. Brady
(2021): Developing a bioeconomic framework for scallop culture optimization and product
development, Aquaculture Economics & Management, DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2021.2000517
ABSTRACT KEYWORDS
Aquaculture is the fastest growing food production sector in Bioeconomic model;
the world and is quickly diversifying. In the Northwest Placopecten magellanicus;
Atlantic, interest in sea scallop (Placopecten magellanicus) product optimization;
sea scallops
(hereafter scallop) aquaculture has grown substantially.
However, technical and economic challenges have hindered
industry growth. We conducted bioeconomic simulations for
various sized farms that targeted either live “whole” scallops
or the shucked adductor muscle “meat.” The majority of farms
selling whole scallops were profitable. However, all farms sell-
ing meats generated negative returns. Labor made up the
greatest portion of costs in model simulations and increased
linearly with farm size, representing a significant bottleneck.
Whole scallop farm value was most sensitive to changes in (1)
market price and (2) time to market. Our analysis suggests
four strategies to increase farmed scallop production in the
Northwest Atlantic: (1) mechanize low density net culture, (2)
optimize net stocking densities, (3) build site selection tools,
and (4) invest in consumer education, end-markets, and
biotoxin testing for whole scallops. The sector will require a
combination of regulatory, industry, and research cooperation
to overcome these pressing challenges, but holds the poten-
tial to profitably diversify the bivalve aquaculture industry.
Introduction
Despite benefiting from the world’s largest Exclusive Economic Zone
(EEZ), the United States is the global leader in seafood imports (FAO,
2020). The U.S. is home to well managed and lucrative wild fisheries that
generate substantial economic value (National Marine Fisheries Service,
2020) and support 1.7 million jobs (National Marine Fisheries Service,
Gilbert and Cantin (1987) conducted a similar financial analysis and noted
that consistently increasing lines of credit to fund nets and mooring
systems proved insurmountable for growers. While Gilbert and Cantin
(1987) concluded that selling the traditionally consumed shucked adductor
meat alone would generate negative returns, Penney and Mills (2000)
observed that farms selling whole live scallops (i.e., all soft tissue compo-
nents and the shell) could be profitable.
Shucked meats comprise the vast majority of scallop products consumed
in North America, but only make up 10% of the total mass of each
landed scallop (National Marine Fisheries Service, 2020). Bringing whole
scallops to market significantly increases the yield from each individual,
but poses challenges for growers. Frequent, and often costly, testing for the
presence of the biotoxins Amnesic Shellfish Poisoning (ASP) and Paralytic
Shellfish Poisoning (PSP) within the viscera and roe is required (Shumway
et al., 1988). These hurdles have limited the industry to a handful of
operational farms in the U.S. and Canada. Currently, farmed scallops
represent <1% of annual scallop sales in North America (Shumway &
Parsons, 2016).
In the last decade, close collaboration between researchers, regulatory
agencies, and growers in the U.S. has led to technical and regulatory break-
throughs that could translate to commercial success. Delegations of Maine
fishermen, farmers, and extension agents have traveled to Japan and
returned with expertise and equipment specifically designed to manage bio-
fouling and increase scallop growth, leading to potential cost reductions
(Beal et al., 1999; Coastal Enterprises, Inc., 2019; Morse, 2017). Similarly,
an agreement between growers and the state agency charged with regulat-
ing shellfish with respect to public health, the Maine Department of
Marine Resources (DMR), has resulted in a biotoxin testing policy that
allows for the sale of whole live scallops (Maine Department of Marine
Resources, 2017). As a result, the first U.S. sales of live farmed scallops
were completed in 2019 (Dana Morse, May 2021, pers. comm.). Despite the
early success of a handful of farms, considerable questions remain about
the economic viability of suspended net culture, the value of whole scallops
in a competitive seafood market, the ability of growers to profitability sell
meats alone, and the effect of various biological, technical, and market vari-
ables on farm level success (Coastal Enterprises, Inc., 2019).
Our primary goal was to analyze the feasibility of, and potential bottle-
necks to, the emerging scallop aquaculture industry. We conducted semi-
structured interviews with growers to inform a bioeconomic framework.
Bioeconomic models are useful tools for untangling the complex human-
ecosystem relationships that often dictate the profitability of aquaculture
operations (Choi et al., 2006; Fuentes-Santos et al., 2017). We compared
4 S. COLEMAN ET AL.
Methods
We conducted semi-structured interviews with seven scallop farmers in
Maine, USA. Interviews lasted between 1 and 2 hours and were conducted
with two primary goals: (1) to collect quantitative production data to accur-
ately parameterize a bioeconomic scallop aquaculture model and (2) to
catalog the most pressing Research & Development (R&D) challenges fac-
ing this nascent industry in the Northwest Atlantic. For example, to collect
data relevant to goal (1) growers were asked to describe their production
process as well as all fixed, operating, and investment costs relevant to the
business. Labor expenses were calculated from the time required to com-
plete production tasks and the quantity of scallops brought to market
annually. The more qualitative R&D cataloging within goal (2) was used to
select relevant parameters for sensitivity analyses conducted with the bio-
economic model and inform future research priorities. The interview script
is available in the Supplementary material.
Currently, there are 167 active standard aquaculture leases and 676 active
limited purpose aquaculture licenses (LPA) in Maine (DMR, 2021). Of
these 843 leases and licenses, 193 list scallops as an approved species
(DMR, 2021). The vast majority of these potential scallop growers are
focused on other species (oysters, mussels, or kelp), experimenting, or
growing scallops at a very small, sub-commercial, scale. We therefore chose
participants that were operating at a commercial scale (at least 2 years of
experience or actively selling scallop products) for interviews. The average
experience among participants ranged from 2 to 8 years (mean ¼ 4 years).
Growers were distributed from southern Maine to the "Downeast" region
(the portion of the Maine coast situated North and East of Penobscot Bay),
with farms located in both the warmer Western Maine Coastal Current
and the colder Eastern Maine Coastal Current (Pettigrew et al., 2005). One
farmer we spoke with was not actively growing scallops, but had dedicated
AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT 5
Figure 1. Production timeline for farms targeting either whole 75 mm scallops or 15–20 count
meats used in the bioeconomic model. Only in year 3 does the process differ between whole
scallop and shucked meat farms. In October of year 3, whole scallop farms are starting to bring
product to market, while farms selling meats are starting to reduce stocking densities for an
additional overwintering.
Two of the growers we spoke with had experienced biotoxin levels above
the legal limit on their sites. Both the timing and the duration of these clo-
sures varied, reflecting the unpredictable spatial abundance of biotoxins in
the Gulf of Maine (Cembella et al., 1994). One closure period began in
August while the other began in January. However, both closures lasted
less than two months (Dana Morse, September 2021, pers. comm.). If simi-
lar restrictions on sales were to occur on an annual basis within scenarios
1 and 2, revenues could be significantly altered.
Equipment costs were sourced directly from suppliers when not provided
during interviews. All scenarios assume the use of 244 m (800 ft.) longlines
spaced 30 m (100 ft.) apart. All lease application fees and ongoing lease rent
fees were included and are therefore unique to Maine, USA. A 50:50 split
between owner equity and debt was used to calculate the present value and
repayment schedule for a ten-year term loan with a 7.5% interest rate for
AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT 7
where n was the total number of years (5 or 10) used in the calculation,
COFt was the cash outflow during a single year t, and St was the quantity
of scallops sold during a single year t. COP calculations began at t ¼ 0 and
thus included the initial capital outlay. NPV is the discounted sum of all
future cash flows over a period of time, a method commonly used, through
discounting, to evaluate a project based on a next best alternative. NPV
was calculated as
Xn
NCF t
NPV ¼ t þ IO
t¼1 ð1 þ iÞ
where n was the total number of years (5 or 10) used in the calculation,
NCFt was the net cash flow (CIF–COF) during a single year t, i was the
rate used to discount future cash flows, and IO was the initial capital outlay
in year 0. The initial capital outlay is paid out in the present (t ¼ 0) and is
thus not discounted. We used a 7.5% discount rate and Microsoft Excel’s
net present value formula for all NPV calculations.
To quantify the effects of farm size on COP5, we iteratively increased
projected annual sales by 10,000 scallops year–1 from 200,000 to 1,000,000
scallops year–1 and calculated a corresponding COP5 for each production
scenario (1–4). Within each of our four production scenarios, we also
examined farms of three different sizes: 200,000 (200 K), 600,000 (600 K),
and 1,000,000 (1 M) scallops year–1. For each farm, we projected annual
NCFs as well as calculated COP and NPV over 5 and 10 year time periods
to estimate both short term and long term success. We then cataloged the
cost structure of the 200 K, 600 K, and 1 M farms in scenarios 1 and 3.
When we analyzed the cost structure of simulated farms, capital goods
were depreciated using a straight-line depreciation schedule with no salvage
value. We also calculated the market price needed to “break-even”
(NPV5 > 0) for each of the three farms (200 K, 600 K, 1 M) in
each scenario.
We performed sensitivity analyses on the 600 K farms in scenarios 1 and
3 (costs of boat and truck included) only. We analyzed the effects of chang-
ing key labor input parameters on COP5. In þ/– 5% increments, we itera-
tively changed the time required to complete three tasks: (1) sort seed, (2)
reduce stocking densities and clean nets in the fall of juvenile culture, and
(3) reduce stocking densities while washing and grading scallops in the
spring of grow-out. We then calculated a corresponding COP5 under each
condition. For the 600 K farm selling meats alone and with the cost of the
boat and work truck included, we included a fourth task, the time required
to reduce stocking densities and clean nets for overwintering in the fall of
grow-out (Figure 1). We then tracked the effects of iteratively changing, in
AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT 9
þ/– 5% increments, farm size, mortality rate, spat collection success, labor
inputs, market price, and scallop growth rate on NPV5.
A Monte Carlo analysis was performed to assess risk as a function of
potentially random key variables (Chen et al., 2017; Valderrama et al., 2016).
We ran 500 iterations of four separate simulations using the 600 K farm in
scenario 1 (whole scallops) and calculated a corresponding NPV5. We
assumed that market price, annual mortality rate, spat collection success, and
a combination of the three variables were triangularly distributed. We
assumed a best, worst, and most likely value for each parameter based on the
variability within our interview data. Market price was bound between $0.70
and $1.30 with a most likely value of $1.00, annual mortality was bound
between 2.5 and 24.5% with a most likely value of 12.5%, and spat collection
success was bound between 300 and 2,700 spat collector–1, with a most likely
value of 1,500 spat collector–1. For each iteration, a value (or values) was
chosen at random, using Excel's random number generator, based on the the-
oretical distribution of each variable.
Results
During semi-structured interviews, growers consistently referenced seven
main themes: (1) site selection, (2) spat supply, (3) biofouling, (4) mechan-
ization, (5) biotoxins, (6) end market uncertainty, and (7) scale. Notably,
there was an even distribution of references to each theme across the inter-
views (Figure 2). These data were used as the basis for selecting farm size,
Figure 3. 5 year aggregated cost of production ($ scallop–1) for scenarios 1 (a; whole scallops;
red), 2 (a; whole scallops; blue), 3 (b; meats; red), and 4 (b; meats; blue) as a function of farm
size (annual sales).
mortality rate, spat collection success, labor inputs, market price, and scal-
lop growth rate as relevant sensitivity analysis parameters.
We observed clear economies of scale for farms in all four scenarios. Annual
sales were inversely proportional to cost of production ($ scallop–1; COP5)
(Figure 3). For example, as production in the model increased from 200,000 to
600,000 scallops year–1 in scenario 1, COP5 fell from $1.12 to $0.68 scallop–1
(Figure 3(a)). However, as we continued to increase sales from 600,000 to
1,000,000 scallops year–1, only fell from $0.68 to $0.59 scallop–1. Production
costs were substantially higher for farms targeting shucked scallop meats (rang-
ing from $1.73 to $2.77 scallop–1) than for farms targeting whole scallops
($0.52–$1.12 scallop–1) (Figure 3). Removing the cost of the boat and work
truck decreased COP5 by 13–34% for farms selling whole scallops and by
16–26% for farms selling shucked meats (Figure 3).
There were notable differences in the performance of farms targeting
whole scallops and those bringing meats to market. For whole scallop
AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT 11
farms, an initial capital outlay (IO) was followed by two years of negative
net cash flows (NCF) before positive net returns were realized in year three
(Figure 4(a)). However, for farms in scenarios 3 and 4 (meats only), NCFs
were negative over the entire 10-year model timeline (Figure 4(b)).
The upfront costs for meats only farms (scenarios 3 and 4) were signifi-
cantly higher than those for whole scallop ventures, driven by the lantern
net and longline demands of final low density (5 individuals tier–1) stock-
ing and an extended grow-out process (30 months). For example, the IO
for a 600 K whole scallop farm, in which the cost of the boat and work
truck are included, totals $209,900 (Figure 4(a)). A farm of the same size
targeting meats would require an IO of $411,920 (Figure 4(b)). All farms
selling meats only generated negative NPV5 and NPV10 (Table 1).
Figure 4. Net annual cash flows for farms in scenarios 1 (a; whole scallops), 2 (a; whole scal-
lops), 3 (b; meats), and 4 (b; meats) with varying production scales. Year 0 represents the initial
capital outlay.
12 S. COLEMAN ET AL.
Table 1. Net present value (NPV; $) and cost of production (COP; $ scallop–1) over both 5
(NPV5, COP5) and 10 (NPV10, COP10) year timelines for three farm sizes in each of the 4 pro-
duction scenarios. Values are in USD.
Farm size
Farm scenario (annual sales) NPV5 NPV10 COP5 COP10
(1): Whole scallops: cost of 200K –$106,559 $177,473 $1.12 $0.70
boat and work 600K $255,209 $1,369,913 $0.68 $0.45
truck included 1M $617,652 $2,562,985 $0.59 $0.40
(2): Whole scallops: pre-owned 200K $66,552 $395,264 $0.74 $0.53
boat and work truck 600K $428,291 $1,587,703 $0.55 $0.39
1M $790,733 $2,780,775 $0.52 $0.37
(3): Shucked meats: cost of 200K –$598,257 $809,552 $2.77 $1.40
boat and work 600K –$1,186,500 $1,706,285 $2.15 $1.16
truck included 1M –$1,958,856 $2,613,1130 $2.03 $1.12
(4): Shucked meats: pre-owned 200K –$397,650 –$529,461 $2.05 $1.12
boat and work truck 600K –$974,962 –$1,256,677 $1.78 $1.01
1M –$1,557,598 –$1,992,697 $1.73 0.98
Figure 5. Cost breakdown for 200 K, 600 K, and 1 M scallops year–1 farms in scenarios 1 (a;
whole scallops) and 3 (b; meats).
Labor made up the greatest portion of total costs for all farms in scen-
arios 1 and 3 (Figure 5). For the 200 K farm in scenario 1, labor made up
40% of total costs. However, as farm size increased to 1 M, labor costs
increased to 61% of the total share (Figure 5(a)). A detailed look at the
cost subcategories for the 600 K farms in both scenarios 1 and 3 under-
scored the impacts of low-density net stocking. Lantern nets accounted for
42.2% and 55.8% of depreciation costs, while stocking density reductions
and net cleanings accounted for 75.4% and 87.6% of labor expenses, for the
600 K farms in scenarios 1 and 3, respectively. Regulatory testing for the
AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT 13
Figure 6. Net present value (NPV5; $) for 200 K, 600 K, and 1 M scallops year–1 farms in
scenarios 1 (a; whole scallops), 2 (a; whole scallops), 3 (b; meats), and 4 (b; meats). The dashed
horizontal line denotes NPV5 ¼ 0.
sale of whole scallops accounted for just over 4% of costs for a 600 K farm
in scenario 1. This value does not include any associated transportation
expenses (fuel, time, etc.) to a certified testing center as the value could not
be generalized between farms.
Additional benefits of scale were identified by tracking the effects of mar-
ket price on NPV5. All farms in scenarios 1 and 2 “broke-even”
(NPV5 > 0) with whole scallop market prices between $0.58 and $1.29
(Figure 6(a)). Break-even was achieved at the lowest market price ($0.58
scallop–1) for the 1 M scallops year–1 farm in scenario 2, indicating substan-
tial benefits for a fisherman with a boat and truck transitioning into scallop
aquaculture. Conversely, break-even was never achieved across the full
range of market prices ($0.10–$25.10 lb.–1) for any of the farms in scenarios
3 and 4 (Figure 6(b)). A substantial premium for cultured scallop meats
14 S. COLEMAN ET AL.
Figure 7. Effects of changes in key labor input parameters for 600 K scallops year–1 farms in
scenarios 1 (a; whole scallops) and 3 (b; meats) on cost of production ($ scallop–1).
only (sale prices of $43.75 and $36.00 lb.–1 for a 600 K farm in scenarios 3
and 4, respectively) was necessary to achieve NPV5 > 0.
The time required to handle nets before grow-out, compared to seed
sorting or handling nets during juvenile culture, had the most significant
impacts on COP5 for the 600 K farm targeting whole scallops (scenario 1).
For example, for a whole scallop farm, a 25% increase in the time required
to reduce stocking densities in the second spring of grow-out resulted in a
$0.05 (9%) increase in COP5 (Figure 7(a)). For the 600 K meats only farm
(scenario 3), a 25% increase in the time required to reduce stocking den-
sities to 5 individuals tier–1 in the second fall for an additional year of
grow-out resulted in a $0.17 (10%) increase in COP5 (Figure 7(b)).
Whole scallop farm NPV5 was most sensitive to changes in market
price and scallop growth rate (Figure 8(a)). A 25% increase in market
price ($1.00–$1.28) or the amount of time required for scallops to reach
75 mm (19–24 months) resulted in a $300,000 increase and a $200,000
decrease in NPV5, respectively (Figure 8(a)). Increases in farm size
exerted the most influence on NPV5 for the 600 K meats only farm, but
the effects were strongly negative. A 25% increase in farm size generated
a $282,000 decrease in NPV5 for the 600 K farm selling meats alone
(Figure 8(b)).
We performed a Monte Carlo analysis using only the 600 K farm in scen-
ario 1 (whole scallops). All farms selling meats alone generated negative
returns and would provide little insight into potential “risk of loss” as a
AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT 15
Figure 8. Effects of changes in key model parameters on NPV5 ($) for 600 K scallops year–1
farms in scenarios 1 (a; whole scallops) and 3 (b; meats).
Figure 9. Cumulative probability distribution curves for the results of a stochastic Monte Carlo
analysis using the 600,000 whole scallops year–1 farm. Market price (a), mortality (b), spat col-
lection success (c), and a combination of the three variables (d) were modeled randomly with
triangular distributions over 500 runs.
16 S. COLEMAN ET AL.
Table 2. Stochastic Monte Carlo simulation results in which market price, mortality, and spat
collection success were all modeled as random variables with triangular distributions.
Random Random spat
Random mortality collector–1 Random price,
NPV5 ($): Price ($0.70–$1.30) (2.5%–24.5%) (300–2,700) mortality, and spat
Mean $246,044 $251,655 $247,009 $239,263
Sd $135,890.46 $14,516 $141,177 $143,780
Minimum –$65,196 $216,767 –$310,045 –$172,800
Maximum $568,227 $284,107 $586,608 $569,605
Risk of loss (NPV < 0) 2.8% 0% 3.8% 5.2%
A simulation in which all three variables were randomized simultaneously was also performed. 500 runs were
carried out in each trial. Values are in USD.
Discussion
This study attempts to quantify the effects of biological and production
parameters on farm-level success within the emerging Northwest Atlantic
scallop aquaculture industry. The results of this analysis are applicable to
both new and established farmers and can help identify priority research
and development (R&D) areas. A market analysis of farm raised scallops
indicated that domestically produced live products could be well received
by chefs, retailers, and distributors (Coastal Enterprises, Inc., 2019). Recent
research also demonstrates that consumers are willing to pay a premium
for locally farmed shellfish (Brayden et al., 2018). Scallop adductor muscles
form the basis of a $1 billion industry in the U.S. (National Marine
Fisheries Service, 2020), with nearly half the value coming from imports
(Hale Group & Ltd, 2016), representing a significant opportunity for a
farmed product to capture a portion of the market share.
Our analysis suggests that, based on current production conditions and
available technology, growing the cultured scallop sector in the Gulf of
Maine will require farms to sell whole scallops at scale (>200,000 scallops
year–1) while keeping labor costs at a minimum. End-product type was the
most important determinant of farm-level success; the vast majority of
farms bringing whole scallops to market were profitable while those target-
ing shucked meats alone needed a significant price premium (>$36.00 lb–1)
to generate positive returns. We also observed substantial reductions in
production costs with increases in scale. However, grower interviews and
model simulations highlight labor and mechanization issues associated with
AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT 17
lantern nets, regardless of end-product type. Despite the fact that cost of
production was inversely proportional to farm size, labor costs increased
linearly with production volume, a function of low-density net stocking.
Sensitivity analyses shed light on opportunities and technologies to
overcome many of these challenges. Both time to market and market
price exerted the most influence on the value of whole scallop farms.
Focusing efforts on optimizing scallop growth rates and developing mar-
kets for value added farmed scallop products could substantially increase
farm values. Similarly, relatively small (5–10%) decreases in the time
required to handle nets could lead to substantial decreases in production
costs. These results, in aggregate, argue for future investment in four
primary areas of R&D: (1) develop and test grow-out methods to mech-
anize or circumvent lantern net culture, (2) identify “optimal” stocking
densities that balance growth and expenses, (3) build site selection tools
to optimize scallop growth rates, and (4) strengthen end markets and
invest in consumer education for whole scallop products while increas-
ing biotoxin testing capacity.
The combination of clear economies of scale and labor bottlenecks
indicates that reducing the time required to handle lantern nets is one of
the pressing needs of this burgeoning industry (Figure 2; Morse, 2017).
Small increases in net handling time requirements led to disproportionately
large increases in production costs, and vice versa. Yet even with the added
benefits of improved equipment included in this model (i.e., the automated
scallop grader and washer) we still observed mechanization issues associ-
ated with net culture. In all four scenarios labor made up between 30 and
70% of total expenses, and this portion increased with farm size.
One potential solution to mitigate these issues for both whole scallop
and meats only farms would be to circumvent lantern nets almost entirely
via ear-hanging—an alternative grow-out method that supports a $500
million USD Patinopecten yessoensis scallop industry in Japan (OECD,
2020). Ear hanging increases growth rates compared to lantern nets and
eliminates the costly need to handle heavily fouled equipment after the first
year of juvenile culture (Dadswell & Bradford, 1991; Grant et al., 2003;
Morse, 2017), allowing small family operations to bring a significant quan-
tity of scallops to market each year (Beal et al., 1999; Imai, 1977; Ventilla,
1982). Despite the growth benefits, there is still considerable uncertainty
surrounding ear-hanging cost requirements in the Northwest Atlantic, as
the specialized machinery could substantially increase a grower’s upfront
investment (Coastal Enterprises, Inc., 2019; Morse, 2017). Future analyses
should identify the conditions under which the long-term decreases in
labor expenses outweigh the initial increase in labor and equipment costs
for ear-hung scallops.
18 S. COLEMAN ET AL.
Optimizing lantern net stocking density from both a growth and cost
perspective, i.e., balancing time to market with labor and equipment
expenses, can potentially maximize farm value. Scallops are particularly
sensitive to the effects of space limitation within nets (Coleman, Kiffney,
et al., 2021), and small increases in the number of individuals per net tier
can significantly increase time to market (Coleman, Cleaver, et al., 2021;
Parsons & Dadswell, 1992). Yet the number of nets a grower must manage
dictates labor and equipment costs, and emerged as a particularly sensitive
parameter within our model simulations (Figures 7 and 8). Others have
explored the nested effects of farm (Pilditch et al., 2001) and individual net
(Parsons & Dadswell, 1992) stocking densities on scallop growth, but our
results argue for analyzing density within the framework of a cost-benefit
analysis. Identifying the specific densities at which growth is maximized
and costs are minimized will require accurate estimates of the relationship
between food availability, net densities, and growth, and should be a future
research priority.
Careful site selection is another method of improving farm value by
increasing growth rates without needing to further reduce net stocking den-
sities. Increasing the time required to bring whole scallops to market size
by 25% (5 months) decreased farm value (NPV5) by nearly $200,000 for
the 600 K whole scallop farm (Figure 7). It is clear that effective scallop site
selection will require a multivariate approach, including considerations of
temperature, food availability, spat collection, and water depth (Coleman,
Kiffney, et al., 2021; C^ ote et al., 1994; Davidson & Niles, 2014; Freites
et al., 1999; Khandekar & Swail, 1995; MacDonald & Thompson, 1985;
Pilditch & Grant, 1999; Stewart & Arnold, 1994). Our analysis underscores
the importance of developing site selection tools that take into account
multiple biophysical and social parameters (Johnson et al., 2019), as these
factors can exert an outsized influence on financial performance.
The most important determinant of profitability was ultimately the end
product type. Even with the added benefit of an owned vessel and
equipment sharing, selling shucked meats alone generated negative returns
(scenario 4). For these businesses, the period between initial capital outlays
and cash inflows was long (4þ years) and holding scallops at 5 individuals
tier–1 in lantern nets led to insurmountable labor and capital costs (Gilbert
& Cantin, 1987). Under current production conditions, farms will likely be
required to sell at least a portion of their inventory into the live market.
However, selling whole scallops poses challenges. Growers and researchers
in Maine have worked diligently with the Maine Department of Marine
Resources (DMR) to sell live products (Maine Department of Marine
Resources, 2017), but the testing costs are considerable for small operations
in the pre-revenue period and biotoxin closures could significantly impact
AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT 19
revenues. ASP and PSP abundance varies spatially and temporally in the
Gulf of Maine (Keafer et al., 2005; Luerssen et al., 2005), making proactive
site selection an unlikely strategy to completely avoid issues with toxins.
However, as whole scallop sales continue to increase, managers and
researchers could incorporate historical in-situ scallop biotoxin data into
site selection tools. Insight into the potential timing and extent of closures
in a given area will allow growers to better plan for disruptions to whole
scallop sales.
Maximizing the value of novel whole scallop products within a competi-
tive seafood market will require investing in consumer education and end
markets in parallel with the necessary testing to satisfy public health
requirements. Farm gate market prices exerted the most influence on the
profitability of farms selling whole scallops. Our model simulations indi-
cated that farms selling >200,000 whole scallops year–1 could be profitable
(Table 1). This volume of sales would represent a substantial increase in
the current U.S. supply of whole scallops. Investing in both market and
testing capacity for these products in the near term will be needed to
increase demand to match potential increases in supply.
Production costs for farms in scenarios wherein growers already had
access to a vessel and truck (i.e., fishermen transitioning into aquaculture)
were substantially lower than those for growers with these capital items,
indicating that transitioning to scallop aquaculture from a fishing back-
ground offers large advantages. While the transition from fishing to farm-
ing has been limited across the entirety of the aquaculture industry (Stoll
et al., 2019), two of the seven growers we interviewed hold commercial lob-
stering licenses and two had previously worked on lobster boats. Based on
gear requirements, skill set, and social acceptance, scallop farming, in par-
ticular, may offer a pathway to realize some of the coastal diversification
potential of aquaculture heralded by policy makers (Mamauag et al., 2013;
DMR, 2004). Removing the cost of the vessel and truck generated a
significant ($175,000) reduction in upfront costs during the challenging
pre-revenue period. Effective transition to aquaculture requires explicit ben-
efits to local communities and limited disruption to existing social patterns
(Rubino & Stoffle, 1990). Individuals who have experience working on the
water and adopt scallop aquaculture may have economic advantages and be
able to overcome the social, environmental, and regulatory challenges that
are hindering aquaculture-based fisheries diversification in the Northwest
Atlantic (Cleaver et al., 2018).
Similarly, resource sharing through cooperatives not only spreads out the
cost of specialized equipment, but also offers other non-monetary benefits
(Kaminski et al., 2020). A recent analysis of the Maine Aquaculture Co-op
(MAC), the primary scallop aquaculture cooperative in Maine, noted that
20 S. COLEMAN ET AL.
Acknowledgements
We thank the scallop farmers in Maine who generously donated their time and expertise to
make this research possible.
Funding
Funding was provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Saltonstall-Kennedy award #NA18NMF4270188 to the University of Maine and Maine Sea
Grant and a USDA Cooperative Agreement.
ORCID
Struan Coleman http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7061-2104
Damian C. Brady http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9640-2968
AQUACULTURE ECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT 21
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