Outcome Predictors of Acute Stroke Patients in Need of Intensive Care Treatment
Outcome Predictors of Acute Stroke Patients in Need of Intensive Care Treatment
Outcome Predictors of Acute Stroke Patients in Need of Intensive Care Treatment
Michael G. Hennerici a Marc Fatar a
a
Department of Neurology, and b First Department of Medicine, Universitätsmedizin Mannheim,
Author Country Age, y, Stroke Thrombolysis, NIHSS MV, % In-hospital Predictors for Predictors
mean subtype, % % admission mortality, % in-hospital for poor
mortality outcome
Alonso Germany 347 70.8 IS 252 (72.6) 97 (38.5) median 231 (66.6) IS 79 (31.3) age, MV, ICH, age, MV
et al., 2015 ICH 95 (27.4) 12 ICH 64 (67.4) NIHSS
Lahiri et al., USA 99,782 67.2 IS 50,871 (51) n.a. n.a. 99,782 (100) IS 46.8 n.a. n.a.
2014 [18] ICH 32,967 (33) ICH 61.0
Moon et al., Korea 498 56 IS 198 (39.8) n.a. mean n.a. 131 (26.3) NIHSS, GCS, n.a.
2015 [25] ICH 300 (60.2) 21.63 APACHE II,
SAPS II
Riachy et al., Lebanon 62 65.8 IS 45 (62.6) 10 (16.1) n.a. 23 (37) 16 (25.8) age, APACHE II, n.a.
DOI: 10.1159/000430871
2008 [21] ICH 17 (27.4) GCS, MV (a.o.)
Alonso/Ebert/Kern/Rapp/Hennerici/Fatar
resulting in a three-fold increase in mortality hazard for with our own results. In our cohort, the in-hospital mor-
patients >85 years [6]. This is quite in line with our re- tality of mechanically ventilated patients was 57.1%,
sults, showing that patients >80 years with additional which is quite in line with previously published data [18,
negative outcome markers either do not survive the acute 23]. Strikingly, the percentage of mechanically ventilated
phase or are left in a completely dependent state. The patients in our study was exceptionally high (66.6%) as
markedly higher mean age of our patients compared to compared to previous studies [6, 8]. This finding might
the most previous studies reflects the actual epidemio- be attributable to the multidisciplinary competencies on
logical changes with an aging population. With an overall our stroke unit in the management of severe stroke and
life-expectancy of about 80 years for US citizens and even its complications, thus reducing the need for ICU trans-
slightly more for inhabitants of European states (WHO, ferrals in non-ventilated patients.
2012), we will have to face an increasing number of aged We further found that ICH was a predictor for in-hos-
patients with multiple comorbidities suffering a stroke. pital mortality, while the functional outcome after reha-
Of importance, mortality rates for ischemic stroke pa- bilitation did not differ between ischemic and hemor-
tients in our study did not differ substantially from those rhagic stroke patients. A higher short-term mortality for
reported in younger stroke populations [4, 24]. However, ICH patients treated on specialized stroke units has al-
the functional outcome after rehabilitation in the acute ready been shown by Chambers and coworkers in 1987
stroke survivors was mainly influenced by the patients’ [29]; in stroke patients requiring ICU management, the
age. data are more conflicting. Most studies agree with our
Impaired consciousness at admission is probably the results regarding an increased risk of mortality in ICH
most accepted negative outcome predictor in stroke pa- patients [4, 5]. After correction for age and APACHE III
tients needing ICU management. In our study, coma at score, patients with ICH had a mortality that was 4.1
admission was a strong predictor of in-hospital mortality. times higher than that of ischemic stroke patients in a
In line with this finding, several studies demonstrated a Spanish prospective observational study [4]. However,
correlation of initial GCS and short-term mortality [21, several studies also linked the presence of intracerebral
25, 26]. However, only two studies including >100 pa- hemorrhage to a worse functional outcome [5]. The lack
tients – both originating from Asian countries – evalu- of association in our study might be attributable to two
ated the NIHSS score in their patient collectives as a factors: first, severely affected ischemic stroke patients
stroke-specific severity marker [16, 25]. Consistent with with high NIHSS at admission and only reduced potential
our results, NIHSS was found to predict both in-hospital for improvement might be overrepresented in our study.
mortality as well as functional outcome. In contrast, the Second, hemorrhagic stroke patients have been shown to
two large US studies with inclusion of 8,185 and 99,782 experience even more significant recovery than ischemic
stroke patients treated on ICU, respectively, could only stroke patients [30]. This observation might be attribut-
draw on administrative data and therefore lacked specific able to an improvement of the initial neurological deficit
information on stroke severity or stroke treatment [6, 18]. due to brain compression after the resolution of the he-
Whether to initiate mechanical ventilation in severely matoma [31].
affected stroke patients is still a matter of debate, and, to Notably, the proportion of ischemic stroke patients re-
date, trials that verify the utility of mechanical ventilation ceiving thrombolytic therapy was very high (38.5%), pos-
in severe stroke are still lacking [3]. Undisputedly, the sibly raising the concern that thrombolytic therapy itself
need for mechanical ventilation is a potent predictor of might be an additional risk for ICU admission. However,
mortality and poor outcome [16] and leads to a five-fold whether thrombolysis was performed or not did not af-
increase in mortality hazard in the short-term [6]. The fect the mortality rate or functional outcome. We believe
restraint of many stroke physicians is based on large stud- that, apart from early admission to our stroke unit, the
ies conducted in the 1990s showing catastrophic fatality overrepresentation of severely affected stroke patients in
rates of about 90% in acute stroke patients requiring me- our cohort may explain the high thrombolysis rates. Sup-
chanical ventilation [27, 28]. More recent studies report porting this theory, Faigle and colleagues demonstrated
somewhat lower rates, however, still reaching about 70% that high NIHSS score at admission predicts ICU needs
mortality after 1 year [7, 8, 18]. In a small prospective following tPA for acute ischemic stroke [32]. This finding
study including 58 patients with ischemic stroke in need should not discourage stroke physicians to perform
of mechanical ventilation, the presence of stupor or coma thrombolysis even in severely affected and older stroke
was an independent predictor of mortality [8], consistent patients [33]. Although octogenarians undergoing throm-
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