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Bbmf2093 Corporate Finance

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BBMF2093 CORPORATE FINANCE

TUTORIAL 3 INTRODUCTION TO RISK

1. Jerome J. Jerome is considering investing in a security that has the following distribution
of possible one-year returns:

Probability of 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1


occurrence
Possible return -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3

What is the expected return and standard deviation associated with the investment?

11.35 *11.36*%

Therefore, the standard deviation is 11.36%

2. Describe market risk and diversifiable risk. (slides 10-13)

Market risk also known as systematic risk which is non- diversifiable. The
returns are directly associated with overall movement in the general market or
economy, therefore diversification cannot eliminate market risk. For example
interest rate risk, political risk and earthquake
Non-Systematic Risk also known as company specific risk or diversifiable risk.
This risk is related to specific companies which diversify and are able to reduce
risk. For example staff riot can be overcome by firing the manager, price of palm
oil increase can be substitute by using soya bean oil

3. Stock X has a 9% expected return, a beta coefficient of 0.8 and a 30% standard deviation
of expected returns. Stock Y has 14% expected return, a beta coefficient of 1.3 and a
20% standard deviation. The risk free rate is 5% and market risk premium is 6.5%.
a. calculate the coefficient of variation of each stock

Stock X = 0.3/0.09

= 3.333

Stock Y = 0.2/0.14

=1.429

b. which stock is riskier than the other stock?

Stock X is more risky than Stock Y since the coefficient variation of stock X is higher
than Stock Y. Stock x has a high risk per unit return.

a. what is the required return of each stock?

CAPM:

Required rate of return = risk free return + beta (market risk premium)

Stock X = 5% + 0.8(6.5%) = 10.2%

Stock Y = 5% + 1.3(6.5%) = 13.45%

Market risk premium = market portfolio return - risk free return


4. A stock’s returns have the following distribution

Demand for company product probability of this demand rate of


return

Weak 10% (50%)


Below average 20% (5%)
Average 40% 16%
Above average 20% 25%
Strong 10% 60%
_____
100%

Calculate the stock’s expected return, standard deviation and coefficient of variation

Expected return
= Σ (piRi)
= (0.1)(-50%) + (0.2)(-5%) + (0.4)(16%) + (0.2)(25%) + (0.1)(60%)
= 11.4%

Therefore, the expected return of the stock is 11.4%.

Standard deviation

=
√ 0.1(−50 −11.4 )❑2 +0.2(− 5− 11.4)❑2+ 0.4(16 − 11.4)❑2 +0.2(25 − 11.4)❑2 +0.1( 60− 11.4)❑2
= √ 0.1(−61.4 )❑2 +0.2(− 16.4)❑2+0.4 ( 4.6)❑2 +0.2(13.6)❑2+ 0.1(48.6)❑2❑

= √ 376.996+53.792+8.464+36.992+236.196

= √ 712.44

= 26.69%

Therefore, the standard deviation is 26.69%.

Coefficient of variation

standard deviation
=
expected return
26.69 %
=
11.4 %

= 2.34

Therefore, the coefficient of variation is 2.34.

5. Samson, the financial manager for A2A Corporation, wishes to evaluate three
prospective investments: X, Y, and Z. Currently, the firm earns 12% on its
investments, which have a risk index of 6%. The expected return and expected risk of
the investments are as follows:

Investment Expected Return Expected Risk


X 14% 10%
Y 12% 8%
Z 10% 9%

(a) If Samson were risk-indifferent, which investments would he select? Explain


why.
Risk indifference investors are investors who want highest returns and are not bothered with
risk. Therefore, Samson will select investment X as it provides a higher return than 12%
currently.
(b) If he were risk-averse, which investments would he select? Why?
Risk averse investors dislike risk and require higher rates of return as an inducement to buy
riskier securities, higher risk, higher return. Therefore, Samson will select investment X as it
offers a higher return with a small increase in risk.

(c) If he were risk-seeking, which investments would he select? Why?


Risk seeking investor is the investor who is willing to take higher risk with lower
return. Therefore, Samson will select investment Z as it has a higher risk and give a
lower return.

(d) Given the traditional risk preference behavior exhibited by financial managers,
which investment would be preferred? Why?
The traditional risk behavior for the financial managers is a risk averse and the financial
managers will prefer investment X as it provides higher return with a small increase in risk.

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