Assignments 2
Assignments 2
Assignments 2
Que1
The number of claims on a portfolio of insurance policies has a Poisson distribution with
mean 200. Individual claim amounts are exponentially distributed with mean 40. The
insurance company calculates premiums using a premium loading of 40% and is
considering entering into one of the following re-insurance arrangements:
(A) No reinsurance.
(B) Individual excess of loss insurance with retention 60 with a reinsurance company that
calculates premiums using a premium loading of 55%.
(C) Proportional reinsurance with retention 75% with a reinsurance company that
calculates premiums using a premium loading of 45%.
(i) Find the insurance company’s expected profit under each arrangement. (8
marks)
(ii) Find the probability that the insurer makes a profit of less than 2000 under each of the
arrangements using a normal approximation. (12 marks)
Qué 2
Level 0 0%
Level 1 25%
Level 2 50%
The premium at the Level 0 is £800. The probability that a policyholder has an accident in
a year is 0.2, and it is assumed that a policyholder does not have more than one accident
each year.
In the event of a claim free year the policyholder moves to the next higher level of
discount in the coming year or remains at Level 2.
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In the event of a claim the policyholder moves to the next lower level of discount in the
coming year or remains at Level 0.
Following an accident the policyholder decides whether or not to make a claim based on
the claim size and the amount of premiums over the period of the next 2 policy years,
assuming no more claims are made.
(i) For each discount level, find the minimum claim amount for which the policyholder
will make a claim. (4 marks)
(ii) Assuming that the cost of repair for each accident has an exponential distribution
with mean £600, calculate the probability that a policyholder makes a claim at each
level of
discount. (8 marks)
(iii) Write down the transition matrix and calculate the average premium payment for a
year when the system has reached the equilibrium. (8
marks)
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