Roadmap: The U.S. Small Wind Turbine Industry
Roadmap: The U.S. Small Wind Turbine Industry
Roadmap: The U.S. Small Wind Turbine Industry
ROADMAP
A 20-year industry plan for small wind turbine technology
AWEA SMALL WIND TURBINE COMMITTEE
ROADMAP
A 20-year industry plan
for small wind turbine
technology
June 2002
NOTICE
Neither the United States government nor any agency thereof, nor any of their employees, makes
any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy,
completeness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or
represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific
commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise
does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the United
States government or any agency thereof. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do
not necessarily state or reflect those of the United States government or any agency thereof. 1
CONTENTS
Foreword . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Executive Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
2
FOREWORD
Millions of homeowners, farmers, and U.S. small wind turbine industry, its part-
small business owners all across ners, and its supporters is to deliver the
America dream of the day they can gen- products Americans want at a price they
erate their own electricity from clean, can afford. This task requires progress
sustainable renewable resources. They on several fronts—from public policy ini-
want the freedom of choosing how their tiatives, to technology development, to
electricity is produced, who produces it, market development.
and what environmental impacts their
consumption generates. A full 91% of In addition to meeting the dreams of
Americans support "investments in new Americans for clean energy, the U.S.
sources of energy, such as solar, wind, small wind turbine industry is also posi-
and fuel cells," according to a Gallup tioned to help the 2 billion people
poll conducted November 27, 2001. around the world who do not have
access to electric power.
For many of these Americans, small
wind turbine technology offers the best
near-term hope of supplying products to
fulfill that dream. The task before the
3
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
VISION STATEMENT:
Small wind turbine technology can be a But a great deal of work must be done to
meaningful contributor to our energy securi- realize the potential for small wind technol-
Our vision is to make ty, strategic technology, and long-term eco- ogy. The current products are too few in
small wind turbine technol- nomic growth. Small wind turbines are a number, too expensive, and not reliable
ogy1 a significant contribu- "distributed" generation source with a very enough to ignite the market. Customers face
tor to America’s clean attractive near-term potential for low-cost, too many obstacles in financing, permitting,
energy supply portfolio by rapid growth. Small wind turbines can miti- and installing small wind energy systems,
gate our dependence on foreign energy and most receive few, if any, financial
providing consumers with
supplies while providing distinct benefits to incentives to investment from state and
an affordable renewable our domestic economy. Electricity generated federal governments.
energy option for their by small wind turbines uses a clean, non-
homes and businesses polluting energy source—the wind. The long-term industry vision is of a major
and to make wind energy new category of home energy appliance. In
a significant contributor to The AWEA Small Wind Turbine Committee order to achieve 50,000 MW the small
recognizes the importance of collaborative wind turbine industry will have to grow to
improving the quality of
planning and R&D partnering to the future over $1 billion per year and employ over
life and economic opportu- vitality of the technology—especially 10,000 people in manufacturing, sales,
nities of people in devel- because no segment of the industry is cur- installation, and support. This is possible
oping nations worldwide rently large enough to guide the entire infra- due to the sheer number of homes (15
through electrification. structure and competitive investments on its million) and small businesses (1 million) that
own. By developing this "roadmap," the could effectively use small wind systems if
U.S. small turbine industry is addressing the the economics were favorable.
critical needs of small wind turbine technol-
ogy and is ensuring U.S. industry leader- In this roadmap, the industry has identified
ship over foreign competitors. Our docu- barriers and appropriate near-term, mid-
ment is a framework that can serve to term, and long-term actions to address these
1
Small wind turbines (SWT) are
develop strategic plans for and investments barriers. The industry has also tried to prior-
defined as having a generating
capacity up to 100 kilowatts (kW) in this technology and business—specifical- itize these actions and identify priorities for
(~60 ft rotor diameter). ly as a U.S. strategic and national resource. R&D efforts. The roadmap is intended to
help guide government and corporate
It is time for a combined effort on the part policy towards the overall goal of making
of government and industry to increase the small wind a significant contributor to
contribution of small wind turbines to our America’s domestic energy supply.
electric generation mix. In 2001, annual
sales of the U.S. small wind turbine industry
amounted to about 13,400 turbines. We
estimate that turbine sales will increase, and
by 2020, small wind turbines could con-
tribute 3%, or 50,000 MW, to America’s
electric supply. Increasing the energy contri-
bution from this home-grown industry could
increase our energy security and our gross
national product as well as our energy
supply. In the process, this technology will
also give the public more energy choices
and make electricity markets more competi-
tive.
4
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
"This is an exciting time for the small wind turbine industry. We are very close to the ‘tipping point’ where production
volumes would skyrocket, causing production costs to plummet. With the right federal leadership and support in a few more
states, I think we will get there." - Mike Bergey, Chair, AWEA Small Wind Turbine Committee
5
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Mid-Term - Work to improve the reliability and - Update national market study - Influence/develop new state and
(4-10 years) reduce the cost of power - Characterize the export potential for national incentives
electronics U.S. manufacturers and work with - Disseminate and expand informa-
multilateral development tion on zoning regulations, intercon-
- Work to eliminate noise from small programs
turbine designs nection agreements, and net meter-
- Establish consumer-friendly cus-
- Develop consumer-friendly tomer financing programs, including ing rules
performance predictions lease options - Develop a more consumer-friendly
- Improve analytical design tools - Increase the number of products national interconnection standard
- Continue the development of pack- available (models and size range)
ages with other distributed genera- for different market segments
tion and storage - Increase outreach and education
technologies
Long-Term - Develop hydrogen-based systems - Stimulate the emerging micro-power - Develop policies to help deliver
(11+ Years) - Develop blackout protection revolution, of which SWTs are part higher service levels to rural
strategies customers
- Establish links with storage and
other power technologies
Crosscutting - Continually work to reduce cost - Continue to develop standards for - Continue to develop standards for
(Ongoing) and improve reliability reliability, durability, and longevity reliability, durability, and longevity
- Continue to develop standards for
reliability, durability, and longevity
6
INTRODUCTION
The U.S. Small Wind Turbine Industry In 2001, annual sales of the U.S. Small
Roadmap is the result of collaboration over Wind Turbine Industry are estimated to be
an 18-month period among the members of 13,400 turbines valued at about $20
the Small Wind Turbine Committee of the million.[1] While this is about the same level
American Wind Energy Association as sales in the early 1980s, it is only about
(AWEA). Many industry leaders contributed 2% of the value of sales of large wind tur-
to this roadmap that will guide activities to bines in the United States.[2] The success of
achieve the vision of the small wind turbine the large wind turbine industry shows the
industry of the United States. impact of sustained, substantial support from
government programs and policies (both at
State of the Small Wind Turbine home and abroad). Support such as federal
Industry and state tax credits was discontinued in the
The modern industry for small wind turbines mid-1980’s for small wind systems. This led
was born in the energy crisis of the 1970s. to a significant shrinking of the industry and
Responding to the crisis, consumers turned a loss of momentum in technology and
to restored vintage designs from the 1930s, market development.
to newly manufactured machines based on
the old designs, and to new wind turbine There are several good reasons why it is
technologies developed to meet modern time for a combined effort from government
needs. Most of these turbines were connect- and industry to increase the contribution of
ed to the utility grid. This surge in the U.S. small wind turbines to our generation mix.
small wind turbine industry, fueled by First, there is the potential for real contribu-
federal energy tax credits, state incentives, tion to our energy supply. We project that
and high electricity prices, peaked in 1983. small wind turbines could contribute 3% of
Then energy prices fell, federal energy tax U.S. electrical consumption by 2020.
credits expired, and state incentives gradual- Second, small wind technology is a home-
ly fell by the wayside. By 1986, the people grown industry. While the market for other
who still wanted small wind turbines were renewable energy technologies is dominated
interested in stand-alone or off-grid applica- by foreign companies, the U.S. small wind
tions for remote homes. While serving this turbine industry is the leader in markets at
smaller domestic market, U.S. manufacturers home and abroad.
expanded their efforts in markets overseas.
Third, the market for small wind turbines
Since 1999, electricity prices have been also fuels companion industries, including
rising again. People are once again con- those that market composite products, steel,
cerned about the security of our energy sup- towers, power electronic equipment, and
plies and the centralized generating facilities construction projects. Fourth, while produc-
that rely on those sources of energy. And ing energy, small wind turbines produce no
some people want independence from elec- environmental emissions. Fifth, small wind
tric utilities. There is also a steadily increas- turbines help meet the national need for
ing concern about global warming. State energy diversification and national security.
governments, under utility restructuring, have And finally, the American public overwhelm-
enacted significant incentive programs that ingly supports the expansion of renewable
buy down the initial cost of small wind energy, and they stand to benefit from more
turbine systems, thereby tunneling through choices about where their energy comes
the cost barrier. These incentives are funded from. Small wind turbines
through system benefit charge programs
could contribute 3% of
which are significant—totaling $3.5 billion Recently, the market for small wind turbines
in 2001 for programs that include incentives has been growing 40% per year. As we U.S. electrical con-
for small wind turbines. All these factors discuss later, the potential market for resi- sumption by 2020.
have increased interest in small wind tur- dential and business applications of small
bines connected to the utility grid. wind turbines is tremendous because it is
Meanwhile, the U.S. industry continues to clear that the turbines work and that people
dominate the overseas market for small wind want them. However to realize our vision,
turbines. significant challenges lie ahead in the
market, policy, and technology areas. We
7
INTRODUCTION
8
INTRODUCTION
up to 100 kW of electricity for large loads fore have relatively low maintenance
such as a small commercial operation. requirements.
Small wind turbines can operate effectively Thanks to continuous development within
in most of the rural areas of the United the industry and in collaboration with the
States. In fact, about 60% of the United U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) small
States has enough wind for small turbines to wind turbine projects, several new features
generate electricity. Today’s small turbines are in development for incorporation into
have been designed for high reliability with commercial turbines. Advanced airfoils,
only two or three moving parts and there- super-magnet generators, smart power elec-
9
INTRODUCTION
tronics, very tall towers, and low-noise fea- ty, eliminate noise concerns, and lower
tures will help reduce the cost of electricity manufacturing and installation costs.
and increase the acceptability of this tech- There is much to be done both to incor-
nology. porate the technologies currently under
development and to enhance manufactur-
VISION STATEMENT: Small wind technology has been improv- ing. As an example of the cost reduc-
ing since the 1970s. However, it is still tions that are possible, the industry esti-
Our vision is to make generally acknowledged that more work mates that high-volume manufacturing
is needed to improve operating reliabili- alone could reduce costs 15–30%.
small wind turbine tech-
nology a significant con-
tributor to America’s
clean energy supply
portfolio by providing
consumers with an
affordable renewable
energy option for their
homes and businesses
and to make wind
energy a significant con-
tributor to improving the
Key elements of our vision
quality of life and eco-
nomic opportunities of
1. Enhance America’s energy diversity
people in developing
and security
nations worldwide
2. Increase competition in electric
through electrification.
markets by giving consumers the
choice of a clean power source
3. Develop small wind turbines as a
household energy appliance and
business tool (by lowering competi-
tive energy costs)
4. Build an industry to meet the explo-
sive growth potential
5. Contribute to rural infrastructure
development worldwide
10
THE TECHNOLOGY OPPORTUNITIES
Modern small wind turbines are not like to a solar electric system operating in the
our grandparents’ wind generators from same environment. Both technologies
the 1920s and 1930s. Today’s small tur- have the potential for significant cost
bines borrow from aerospace technolo- reduction and for substantial roles in dis-
gies with sophisticated, yet simple, tributed generation markets. In our expe-
designs that allow them to operate reli- rience, the public is most concerned with
ably for up to a decade or longer finding a clean technology they can
without maintenance. Current products afford, whether that be wind or solar or
are designed for operational lives of 20 a combination of both.
to 30 years, and they have withstood
everything, short of a direct hit from a Responding to more active markets in the
tornado, that Mother Nature can throw last few years, the small wind turbine
at them. As small wind turbine technolo- industry has increasingly adopted
gy has matured, the products have advanced component technologies and
become mechanically simpler and more state-of-the-art design tools such as three-
robust. dimensional solid modeling and compu-
tational fluid dynamics. Technologies
As shown in Table 3, small wind turbines such as unique high-efficiency airfoils,
are very competitive with other renew- neodymium-iron-boron "super-magnet"
able energy technologies that are suit- generators, pultruded FRP blades,
able for homes, farms, and small busi- graphite-filled injection molded plastic
nesses. Small wind systems, for example, blades, special purpose power electron-
cost less than half the price of compara- ics, and tilt-up tower designs have both
ble photovoltaic systems. We do not lowered costs and increased efficiency.
foresee a time when solar electric The long-term vision of the industry is to
systems will be less expensive than small produce small wind turbines that are
wind systems. Solar electric systems do accepted as common household appli-
have the advantage of wider geographic ances in the same way that heating and
applicability, and they can be used in air-conditioning systems are today. By
denser suburban or even urban environ- virtue of their compelling economics,
ments. However, the wind resource in a these new turbines will achieve high
good area can lead to much higher market penetration in areas with lower
capacity factors for small wind compared
Table 3: Comparison of
Home-Based Renewables
11
THE TECHNOLOGY OPPORTUNITIES
housing densities and sufficient wind relationship between DOE/NREL and the
resources. small turbine industry is important today,
and it will become increasingly important
People, however, do not tend to live as international competition heats up
where the wind howls, so achieving high over the next five to ten years. All parties
market penetration rates will require need to realize that large wind turbines
small wind turbines that are specially are now in their seventh or eighth gener-
designed to work effectively in low wind ation of technology development, while
resource areas. These turbines of the small wind turbines are only in their
future will need to have relatively larger second or third.
rotors to capture more energy. But they
cannot sacrifice robustness because even For its part, the industry is striving to
areas with low average wind speeds reduce the cost of electricity generated
experience severe weather. The new tur- by small wind turbines. In 2002, typical
bines must be extremely quiet, so that 5- to 15-kW residential wind turbines
they are seldom heard above the local cost about $3,500 per installed kilowatt.
background noise. They must be able to These turbines produce about 1,200
operate for 10 to 15 years between kWh per year of electricity per kilowatt
inspections and/or preventive mainte- of capacity in an area with a DOE class
nance, and they must offer a reasonable 2 wind resource. 2 By 2020, the industry
expectation of a 30- to 60-year operat- hopes to have lowered the installed cost
ing life. Most important of all, the small to between $1,200 and $1,800 per kilo-
wind turbines of the future must be watt (smaller systems being relatively
affordable without significant subsidies. more expensive) and to have raised the
productivity level to 1,800 kWh per
Achieving these goals will require further installed kilowatt. If these goals are met,
advances in small wind turbine technolo- the 30-year life cycle cost of energy will
gy, major improvements in small turbine be in the range of $0.04 to
manufacturing, and more efficient instal- $0.05/kWh, lower than virtually all resi-
lation techniques. The U.S. Department dential electric rates in the country
of Energy (DOE) and the National today.
Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
have critical roles to play in accelerating To further enhance the attractiveness of
the development and adoption of new small wind turbines to consumers, there
small wind turbine technology and manu- is also a need for meaningful, appropri-
facturing techniques. A close working ate, and cost-effective standards and a
certification program for them. Some
new entrants to the industry have signifi-
2002 2020
2
Numbers provided by Mike Bergey, chairman AWEA Small Wind Turbine Committee, Jan. 15, 2002.
12
THE TECHNOLOGY OPPORTUNITIES
13
THE MARKET POTENTIAL THE MARKET POTENTIAL
In 2001, we estimate that 13,400 small U.S. Market The most recent public market study for The 1981 ADL study was quite conserva-
wind turbines were manufactured in the We estimate that small wind turbines small wind generators was the A. D. Little tive. Although it considered wind
United States. More than 50% of these have the potential to contribute up to 8% study sponsored by DOE in 1981. [2] resources, electricity costs, and available
were exported. We believe that both the of U.S. electrical demand in 2020. Our That report (the ADL study) projected a incentives, it excluded more than 100
domestic and foreign market for small industry goal is to install turbines that market potential of 3.8 million small wind counties with high population densities.
wind turbines will continue to grow. This will generate at least 3% of U.S. electri- systems installed in grid-connected appli- Today, we know that many of these coun-
roadmap is designed to accelerate this cal demand in 2020 or 6-8% of residen- cations. If the average generating capaci- ties have small wind systems and that
growth to its maximum potential. tial electricity demand. This will require ty of these systems were 10 kW, then the thousands of properties in these counties
small wind turbines installed with a total potential contribution to the nation’s gen-
generating capacity of 50,000 MW. eration mix would be 38,000 MW.
14 15
THE MARKET POTENTIAL
Gross potential number of homes for wind turbines 21.6 37.2 43.2
Net potential number of homes for wind turbines 7.6 13.0 15.1
*The number of homes has been growing 1.54% per year (U.S. Census Bureau, American Housing
Survey, Census Bureau: Washington, D.C., 1998).
**Appropriate small wind technology not yet available for lots under one acre.
are suitable for small turbines. We also In 2020, there will be approximately 43
know more about the wind resource and million homes with 1/2 acre or more of
can better estimate the number of homes land. Of these homes, we estimate 65%
in suitable wind regimes. will be prevented from using small wind
technology because the wind resource is
In this roadmap, we estimate the poten- not sufficient, 4 because of restrictive
tial contribution of small wind turbines by zoning and covenants, or because of
dividing the market into sectors. proximity to airports or other sensitive
areas. This will leave 15.1 million homes
Rural Residential Market Sector— with the potential to install a small wind
Distributed Generation turbine. If each of these homes installed
a 7.5-kW machine, the total contribution
The largest potential market for small wind tur- to generating capacity would be
bines is for homeowners in rural areas where 113,000 MW. (see Table 4)
wind-generated electricity can reduce utility
bills. In 1998, American homes used 1.1 tril- Other Domestic Markets
lion kWh or 35% of total electricity sales.
Electricity consumption in the residential When combined, other markets for small
sector exceeds the consumption in either com- wind turbines in the United States offer
mercial or industrial sectors. Homeowners significant opportunities to expand elec-
buy wind turbines to reduce their electricity tric generation capacity. For example,
bills, and federal laws (such as PURPA 210) about two million medium-sized commer-
guarantee their right to use them.3 While cial buildings 5 are candidates for small
some wind turbines may be installed when a wind turbines of 10 to 100 kW. In addi-
new home is built, most market opportunities tion, public facilities such as schools and
will be for installations at existing homes. A government buildings could also use
small wind turbine produces energy that is small wind turbines at suitable sites.
either consumed immediately in the home or
transferred to the power grid and consumed Another distributed generation market
by a neighbor. sector includes industrial and commercial
customers who are connected to the
3
To meet the electrical needs of a typical home, a small wind turbine in a moderate wind regime must have
a rotor diameter of 16 to 25 feet and sit on a tower from 60 to 150 feet tall. These dimensions are not suit-
able for homes on small lots.
4
The homes will be located in areas with DOE wind class 1. DOE wind class 2 or 3 is considered necessary
with today’s technology for effective production of electricity with small wind turbine generators.
5
Fewer than 25,000 square feet under one roof.
16
THE MARKET POTENTIAL
utility grid and may have back-up gener- farms, and livestock. Today, there are
ation requirements, which could easily also new wind-electric water pumping
be integrated with a larger small turbine. systems for which the turbine can be
Since the utility rate structure is typically located where there is good exposure to
different from the residential market (e.g. the wind, and it does not have to be
demand charges), further study is located near the well and pump.
needed to specifically define this market. However, for low wind speed sites, the
mechanical water pumper still offers
Where the utility grid is not available, more economic water pumping.
stand-alone or hybrid6 systems could
provide electricity for homes, communi- Deregulation of the telecommunications
ties, water pumping, and telecommunica- industry and the rapid growth in wireless
tions services. The Energy Information systems has spawned growth in the
Administration (EIA) estimates that there development of remote broadcast facili-
are 200,000 off-grid homes in the U.S. ties. The preferential method of powering
This is already a very active market for these facilities is hybrid systems that
small wind systems. combine generation from solar, wind,
and diesel systems.
There are also a number of off-grid com-
munities that are remote, isolated, and These other markets could contribute up
produce their electricity with diesel or to 25,000 MW of generating capacity
gasoline generators. Alaska, for by 2020. From this discussion, we con-
example, has 91 villages powered by clude that the total installed capacity for
diesel generators, serving a population small wind turbines in 2020 could be
of about 42,000 people. In addition, 140,000 MW across all markets.
several hundred miscellaneous remote However, the goal of the AWEA Small
facilities are powered by diesel genera- Wind Turbine Committee is to install
tors ranging in size from 2 to 250 kW. 50,000 MW of small wind turbines by
2020. (See Tables 4 and 5)
In addition, water pumping for livestock
and off-grid facilities is still a sizable According to figures taken from the most
market. In the early part of the 20th recent EIA documents, the total generat-
century, the United States had about ing capacity in the U.S. in 1999 was
three million mechanical windmills in approximately 745,000 MW. According
operation, supplying water for homes, to the EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2001,
Telecommunications 2,000 2 4
Total 25,729
6
Hybrid systems combine other generation such as solar cells or gas generators along with storage batteries
to provide reliable power off-grid.
17
THE MARKET POTENTIAL THE MARKET POTENTIAL
the projection for 2020 is 1,060,000 small wind turbine markets, even with produce an estimated 132 billion kWh to 50,000 MW in 2020 would require a
MW of generating capacity and 4,804 attractive incentives and favorable poli- of clean electricity per year, or approxi- doubling of the market each year for
billion kWh in demand. cies, will not match the pace of market mately 3% of projected total U.S. several years and then require sustained
penetration of other common household demand. At this level of capacity, small sales growth in the range of 50–55% per
Although the domestic potential for small electrical devices with lower price tags wind systems would be providing 6-8% year. In this scenario, the domestic small
wind generating capacity is estimated at and easier implementations. of residential sector electrical demand. wind turbine industry would reach
140,000 MW in 2020, we do not Our goal of 50,000 MW of small wind The EIA Annual Energy Outlook docu- annual sales of $1 billion and employ
believe that this is a realistic goal. The capacity by 2020 is aggressive but ment forecasts that the residential electric approximately 10,000 people in 2020.
limitation we see is market growth, not achievable given the right public policy sector demand will be 1,701 billion
manufacturing capacity or sales and environment, particularly over the next kWh in 2020. Export Market
support infrastructure. The growth of ten years. Fifty gigawatts (50,000 MW) U.S. manufacturers of small wind tur-
of small wind turbines in 2020 would Growing the domestic market from its bines currently export more than 50% of
current installed capacity of 15–18 MW their production and have a leading
18 19
THE MARKET POTENTIAL
share of the world market for this tech- carbon dioxide per kilowatt hour than
nology. The foreign market for grid-con- diesel generators do. Small wind systems
nected wind turbines is fueled by electric- can be used to electrify single homes
ity prices more than double those faced (<500 W) or villages (<50 kW). There
by U.S. consumers. In addition, it has are also a myriad of special uses of
been estimated that about 2 billion wind electricity, such as making ice for
people in the world do not have access coastal fishing villages, charging batter-
to electricity for domestic, agricultural, or ies for distribution to single homes, and
commercial uses. 7 The traditional method purifying water for drinking.
of providing electricity by extending the
distribution grid has proved to be expen- Developing countries have a high poten-
sive and poorly suited to the low con- tial demand for small wind systems
sumption levels of communities in devel- because they normally do not have
oping nations. And the number of homes major electrical power plants serving
without electricity is increasing because rural areas. However, the people are
the birthrate is outpacing the electrifica- usually too poor to buy small wind
tion rate. systems and need financial assistance
from their government in order to afford
Small-scale renewable energy systems them. This assistance is, today, almost
(wind, micro-hydro, and solar) are often exclusively directed to subsidizing exten-
less expensive to install than line exten- sion of the grid and installing diesel gen-
sions. Small turbines are less expensive erators. A breakdown of the estimated
to operate and produce much less export market potential for 2000, 2010,
and 2020 time frames is shown in
Table 6.
Single home systems 150.0 0.2 30,000 195.0 0.3 58,500 260.0 0.4 104,000
Village systems 3.8 10.0 38,000 4.9 10.0 49,000 6.6 10.0 66,000
Facilities 7.0 1.0 7,000 9.1 1.5 13,650 12.2 2.0 24,400
Miscellaneous 5.0 1.0 5,000 6.5 1.5 9,800 8.7 2.0 17,400
7
World Bank, 2000.
20
THE BARRIERS IDENTIFIED
21
THE BARRIERS IDENTIFIED
difficult for them to compare small wind tur- Need for sustained national incentives
bines with other potential investments.
As mentioned above, the lack of federal
Lack of multilateral bank funding for incentives slows the pace of industry growth
export markets to meet the market demand. Other tradition-
al energy source technologies are being
The World Bank and Global Environmental subsidized, and as noted above, federal tax
Facility have been funding substantially policies actually encourage the use of fossil
more solar projects than small wind projects, fuel and utility power.
even though the cost of electricity from small
wind turbines is lower than from solar elec- Need for national models for net
tric products. [2] There is a need for the metering and zoning rules
small wind industry and its partners to
provide in-house technology expertise to the There are too many state, county, and city
World Bank, which has proven to be suc- jurisdictions for the wind industry to address
cessful for the solar industry. the policy needs of each. For example, in
California there are 538 counties and incor-
Mid-Term Policy Barriers porated cities. A 2001 industry study esti-
mated that addressing the zoning barriers
Need for more state-based incentives with new ordinances in each jurisdiction
would cost more than $20 million and
Currently, four states (California, Illinois, would require more than 200 person-years
New Jersey, and Rhode Island) offer sub- of effort. This finding led to a state zoning
stantial rebate or buy-down programs to bill, AB1207. National regulations, like
promote the installation of renewable energy those passed for satellite TV, would be very
equipment. Rebates typically range from 50 helpful to the industry.
to 60% of the installed small wind system
cost, resulting in significant savings. Other Lack of interconnection standards
states, such as Wisconsin, offer production-
based incentives. (See the appendix for a Few states have standardized interconnec-
full listing of state incentives in 2002.) If tion requirements, and many public utility
more states offered incentives, the sales and commissions give utilities broad discretion
production volume for small wind turbines on policies towards customer-owned genera-
would increase. tion. Some utilities have used this freedom to
discourage competition through excessive
requirements for equipment, special tests,
and additional insurance.There is a need for
a national interconnection standard devel-
oped by a technically recognized body.
24
ACTION PLAN
This roadmap of the U.S. small wind • Develop advanced airfoils suitable for
turbine industry identifies the background, small wind turbines.
status, and potential of the market for small • Develop advanced permanent magnet
wind turbines. The roadmap points to tech- alternator and other generator technolo-
nology, market, and policy goals and the gy suitable for small wind turbines.
specific actions necessary to meet these
goals. Many groups will need to partici- Reduced tower and installation costs
pate in the activities described here in
order to realize our vision of U.S. small Actions
wind turbines as a significant contributor to • Develop advanced, lower-cost foundation
America’s energy supply portfolio. or anchoring systems for towers.
• Develop automated processes for tower
These high-priority goals have been identi- fabrication.
fied by the AWEA Small Wind Turbine • Develop alternate, lower-cost tower
Committee to overcome the barriers identi- designs.
fied in the previous section. Under each
goal are listed specific actions that can be Improved turbine reliability
taken by the industry working in concert
with federal, state, and local governments Actions
to meet these goals. Progress on these • Develop test methods for reliability issues
items in the near-term, mid-term, and long- like "extreme events."
term timeframes will help make the vision • Gather multi-year data on turbine per-
of this roadmap a reality. formance, reliability, operation, and
maintenance.
• Develop structural safety standards for
Near-Term (0–3 Years)
the small turbine industry.
Technology Goals and
Actions Increased participation of small wind
turbines as a technology option in
Reduced cost of energy resulting from domestic government programs
turbines that operate in low-wind
regimes Actions
• Work with the Federal Energy
Actions Management Program to develop small
• Develop U.S. technology for low-cost, wind projects at federal facilities.
robust rotors optimized for low wind • Promote small wind turbines for home-
speed regimes. land security and other military opera-
• Develop low-cost, very tall towers. tions.
8
In-house research projects are supported by the government through competitive, cost-shared procurement
that may include cost sharing by the companies involved.
9
Universities, research institutes, and companies work together on applied research projects.
25
ACTION PLAN
10
Such as for conversion, optimization of wind turbine generator operation, storage, etc.
11
Now that wind maps have better resolution (down to 400 m2) we should be able to weed out sites that will
result in poor performance and give realistic assessments of performance for small wind turbines.
26
ACTION PLAN
Development of a consumer-friendly
Long-Term (11+ Years)
performance rating system
Technology Goals and
Actions Actions
• Update and reconcile the AWEA per-
Develop hydrogen-based systems formance standard with the IEC 61400-
12 for small wind turbines.
Action • Promote adoption of the AWEA estimat-
• Establish link with other hybrid power ed annual energy output
technologies such as micro gas turbines, parameter.
PV panels, diesel and other fuel genera-
tors, and any new power generating Increased visibility and credibility of
technologies that may develop. small wind turbines
27
ACTION PLAN
Actions Actions
• Update the 1981 A.D. Little market study • Support the establishment of in-house
for small wind turbines in the United technology expertise in small wind at
States. U.S. AID, the World Bank, U.N.
• Characterize the export potential of U.S. Development Program, and other multilat-
technology. eral development programs.
• Develop effective response to foreign
Increased customer options for tied-aid competition.
purchase and financing of small • Promote easier and more effective export
wind turbines finance programs.
• Educate Congress and the public on the
Actions importance of spending on foreign aid
• Expand availability of plug-and-play assistance.
systems suitable for mass marketing. • Encourage World Bank to make renew-
• Establish consumer-friendly customer able purchase decisions based on least
financing programs, like those available cost instead of defaulting to PV.
for car buyers.
12
Action suggested by M. Sagrillo.
29
THE STRATEGY
All emerging industries and products have benefit charges assessed to retail electricity
faced this basic "chicken and egg" sales. Funds generated by these system
“Many more people
dilemma. Some never made it over the benefit charges can be designated by legis-
would buy small wind hump and eventually faded from the market- latures to subsidize renewable energy proj-
systems if they were place. Some got over the hump by virtue of ects and promote industry development.
massive corporate investment (in R&D and
cheaper. But, we can’t
forward pricing), and others made it into In 2002, four states offered these rebate
make them cheaper the mainstream by steadily improving cost incentives for small wind turbines:
unless many more and functionality. The small wind industry is California, Illinois, Rhode Island, and New
people buy them.” composed of innovative, small, struggling Jersey. The requirements for specific turbines
firms that lack the resources to develop are determined on a state-by-state basis,
mass-production designs and build large and typically these incentives are only for
David Blittersdorf, factories in anticipation of quantum increas- small turbines that are connected to the
President, AWEA. es in sales. Steady improvement is the most grid. Other states offer tax credits, sales or
likely route for firms offering small wind tur- property tax incentives, and net metering
bines. In Washington, this is sometimes for small turbine owners.
referred to as sustained orderly develop-
ment. The various stimulus packages are shown in
the map of state incentives presented in
Sustained orderly development is the recog- Figure 3. As the number of states offering
nition that there are not likely to be "silver stimulus packages for small turbines in-
bullets" that will radically transform the creases, there will be further sustained
glide slope of market penetration for small orderly development of the market.
wind turbines. Steady improvements in the
products and sustained public sector In order to meet the market goals of the
support offer the best hope of delivering the AWEA Small Wind Turbine Committee,
industry’s vision of a "new home appli- more incentives are needed. An additional
ance" and making small wind turbines a two or three states per year need to imple-
notable contributor to our national energy ment stimulus programs for small wind tur-
supply. Although economics are a barrier, bines over the next six to ten years. It is
the exciting thing about residential and also critically important that the federal gov-
small business markets is that once the ernment does its share with a significant
numbers work for one home, they work for (25 to 40%) tax credit or rebate program.
10,000 homes. This gives the small wind
turbine industry explosive growth potential. Research, Development,
and Demonstration
Public Policy Federal, and to a lesser extent, state R&D
A primary element of sustained orderly programs need to provide greater resources
development for small wind turbine technol- for small wind turbine technology develop-
ogy is related to public policy. Smart subsi- ment, and the industry must continue to
dies, which enable customers to tunnel devote significant resources to product
through the cost barriers, are critically development. The DOE research program
important in aggregating demand. Federal on wind energy cannot be effective if it con-
and state subsidies and incentives need to centrates solely on long-range, high-risk
dovetail for a total package that provides R&D. Instead, the federal R&D program
enough stimulus to move the market. must support development of advanced
Removing institutional market barriers, such products and components and attack other
as tower height restrictions and undue inter- cost drivers such as technology for manufac-
connection costs, is also an important part turing and installation, outreach for con-
of the recipe. sumer education, support for policy and
market transformation, and work on generic
In addition to efforts by the U.S. govern- basic technology.
ment, some states have good policy envi-
ronments for small wind turbines. Many of DOE now has a wind energy R&D budget
these states offer rebate or buy-down pro- of about $40 million, of which about $3
grams that are typically funded with system million, or 8%, is spent on programs to
30
THE STRATEGY
develop small wind turbines. As technology market demand. DOE, national laborato-
for large wind turbines "graduates" and ries, test centers, and universities will work
requires less public sector support for the with industry partners to conduct basic and
next few years, spending on small wind applied research, development, and testing
technology should significantly increase. to improve small wind technology.
Organizations representing utilities, stan-
Small Wind Turbine Industry dards-making bodies, regulatory agencies,
The small turbine industry must be open to and every level of government will partici-
new entrants and should not foreclose any pate in market and policy actions to
investment options. Private capital will remove barriers. Consumers will express
remain the cornerstone of the substantial their will by seeking out this environmental-
investments that will be necessary if this is ly friendly technology in spite of the barri-
to become a billion-dollar industry. ers that still exist.
Likewise, the industry should pursue all
viable market diffusion models, from full- To address policy barriers, industry and
service dealerships to "big box" chain government entities work together to
stores to "Dell-like" direct sales programs. propose, review, advocate, and help imple-
ment policies that support development of
Cooperative Strategy small wind technology while safeguarding
The members of the industry will continue
to develop products and processes to meet
The market for small wind turbines in the United States is also affected by the activi-
ties of the Wind Powering America (WPA) Program. This DOE activity works to
educate the general public on wind energy and its uses. The general public has
specifically requested information on small wind turbines at various state workshops
being organized under WPA. This grassroots level of interest stems from many
sources, such as the desire for independence from the utility grid, the urge to reap
the environmental benefits of renewable energy, the desire to make a public state-
ment about the environment in a visual way by using small wind turbines, and the
desire to use a renewable technology that is cost competitive over the life of the
small wind turbine. Further, the agricultural community has historically used wind
energy and may be more comfortable with small wind turbines.
Under the WPA activities, members of the AWEA Small Wind Turbine Committee
were asked to rank the states from high to low priority for focused WPA small turbine
activities. Not only were the states ranked, but the specific state activities were rated
as well. These activities include the development of state-specific guides for con-
sumers on small wind electric systems; distribution of Clean Power Estimator—an eco-
nomic tool to help residential consumers and small business owners understand the
economics of a small turbine system; and the development of better wind resource
assessment maps.
The top 14 states designated by the AWEA Small Wind Turbine Committee have
been targeted for the state-specific activities listed above. The targeted states are
California, New Jersey, New York, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Washington,
Oregon, Vermont, Colorado, Massachusetts, Idaho, Arizona, and Rhode Island.
These states also receive high priority for workshops on small turbine tech-
nology under the WPA outreach and market development activities, in hope of stimu-
lating the domestic market.
Further, Wind Powering America small turbine activities will be determined in con-
junction with the AWEA Small Wind Turbine Committee.
31
THE STRATEGY
the public interest. The industry also The following tables summarize wide-
lobbies at the national, state, and local ranging discussions of the AWEA Small
level for policies that remove barriers and Wind Turbine Committee about the timing
compensate for subsidies to other energy of actions to overcome barriers and reach
technologies. the goals described in this roadmap.
Mid-Term - Work to improve the reliability and - Update national market study - Influence/develop new state and
(4-10 years) reduce the cost of power - Characterize the export potential for national incentives
electronics U.S. manufacturers and work with - Disseminate and expand informa-
multilateral development tion on zoning regulations, intercon-
- Work to eliminate noise from small programs
turbine designs nection agreements, and net meter-
- Establish consumer-friendly cus-
- Develop consumer-friendly tomer financing programs, including ing rules
performance predictions lease options - Develop a more consumer-friendly
- Improve analytical design tools - Increase the number of products national interconnection standard
- Continue the development of pack- available (models and size range)
ages with other distributed genera- for different market segments
tion and storage - Increase outreach and education
technologies
Long-Term - Develop hydrogen-based systems - Stimulate the emerging micro-power - Develop policies to help deliver
(11 + Years) - Develop blackout protection revolution, of which SWTs are part higher service levels to rural cus-
strategies tomers
- Establish links with storage and
other power technologies
Crosscutting - Continually work to reduce cost - Continue to develop standards for - Continue to develop standards for
(Ongoing) and improve reliability reliability, durability, and longevity reliability, durability, and longevity
- Continue to develop standards for
reliability, durability, and longevity
32
THE STRATEGY
Reduce cost - Low-cost robust rotors with advanced airfoils - Larger small turbine development (50–100 kW)
- Low-cost, very tall towers - Improve performance and efficiency
- Turbine optimized for low wind speed
Improve reliability - Develop improved turbine standards - Design test methodology for “extreme events”
- Gather multi-year turbine data
- Research topics w/reliability impact
Power electronics - Reduce cost and improve reliability of power - Develop power electronics design for integrating power
electronics and storage technologies and improving overall system
- Develop optimized converter technology energy efficiencies
Improve overspeed control knowledge - Expand analytical tools to handle furling, stall/furling - Develop design tool based on improved aerodynamic
data
Distributed generation applications - Control strategies to combine power and storage - Real-time optimization for electricity, heat, and second-
sources ary uses
- Control strategies to combine power and heat appli-
cations
33
ENDNOTES
34
NOTES
35
NOTES
36
APPENDIX-DETAILED LIST OF STATE INCENTIVES 1
% - rural
STATE
equipment
Tucson Electric Power:
wind < or equal to 100 kw
NEG based on fixed sea-
sonal rates Arizona Public
Service: wind < or equal
to 10 kw NEG based on
avoided cost
% - rural
STATE
Public benefits fund. $118 million over five Enacted in 11.6% (3.1
Must be a direct econom- years-- renewable energy April 1998 total) 3,282k
ic benefit to the state of investment fund
Connecticut. Available in
the form of grants, direct
or equity investments,
contracts or other actions
CONNECTICUT
in 5 years or less.
Several restrictions can
be viewed at:
http://www.idwr.state.id.us
/energy/Financial/
loanr.htm
% - rural
STATE
100% exempt.
% - rural
STATE
Renewable Energy Trust Will focus on large wind $150 million over a five 58
Fund. farms. Plans to put $ on year period; approximate-
resource assessment ly $20 million per year for
DG - "Still, limited aware- an undefined period
ness among potential con- beyond 2002.
sumers, lack of technical
and financial information,
and problems providing
financing to consumers
hamper wide scale com-
mercialization...."
Alternative Energy Patent Allows income tax deduc-
Development: Corporate and tions for any income
personal. received from the sale of
or royalty income from a
patent that is deemed
beneficial for energy con-
servation or alternative
energy development.
May be used for 5 years
after it is granted.
% - rural
STATE
% - rural
STATE
Alternative Energy
Revolving Loan Account.
Applicable for residential
and commercial cus-
tomers for the purpose of
building alternative
energy systems to gener-
ate energy for their own
use and for net metering.
% - rural
STATE
counties.
Enacted Renewables < or equal to
in 1998 10 kW NEG carried
forward month to month,
or paid at avoided cost by
the utility Utility chooses
which method for credit.
All utilities
10 kW or less. Limit of
100 customer-generators
for each IOU. Customer
can choose to have NEG
credited toward the next
month's bill. Utilities are
not required to pay
avoided cost for NEG.
8 STATE INCENTIVES
% - rural
STATE
commercial, industrial,
retail, agricultural, non-
profit, or multifamily facility
is eligible for this program.
Must be customer of one of
6 IOU's in NY.
Public Benefits Fund. $150 million annually. Expires
June 30,
2006.
High Value PV and Wind
solicitation $1.3M - spring
2000 (net metering law
not applicable to wind)
2011.
Geothermal, Solar, and Five year
Wind Property Exemption period fol-
lowing
installa-
tion.
Large wind sales tax Construction must
exemption (100 kW or begin before January
larger). 1, 2011.
Up to 100 kW; no
statewide limit of net
metering capacity; NEG
must be purchased at
avoided cost.
95
IOU's and rural coopera-
tives under the
Commission's jurisdiction
OKLAHOMA
% - rural
STATE
% - rural
STATE
property value.
installation, up to January 1,
$2,000. 2001,
through
December
31, 2006.
STATE INCENTIVES 11
Incentives % - rural
STATE
profit organizations.
Public benefits fund. State Approximately $3.8 To be re-
awards grants for low income, million to fund renew- evaluated
energy efficiency and renewable able projects. after 2005.
energy services.
% - rural
STATE
"This table was created based upon a report ""Looking Outside - Lessons Learned from Renewable Energy Funds in
Other States or Regions"" written by Ryan Wiser and Kevin Porter. The net metering column information was found on
the Green Power Network - Net Metering, http://www.eren.doe.gov/greenpower/netmetering, latest revision July
2001. Other information on state tax, property tax and loans was found on
http://www.dcs.ncsu.edu/solar/dsire/financial.html, latest revision September 2001. Rural land information from:
http://www1.stateline.org/fact.do?factId=721 (Data is from Highway Statistics '98, Federal Highway Administration,
U.S. Dept. of Transportation); Land information from: http://ga.water.usgs.gov/edu/wetstates.html (Data is from the
Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1987