PJM Manual 15
PJM Manual 15
PJM Manual 15
Prepared by
Cost Development Subcommittee
PJM © 2022
PJM Manual 15: Cost Development Guidelines
Table of Contents
Table of Contents
Table of Exhibits......................................................................................... 8
Approval.................................................................................................... 10
Current Revision....................................................................................... 11
Section 1: Introduction.............................................................................12
1.1 About PJM Manuals.....................................................................................................12
1.2 How to Use This Manual..............................................................................................12
1.3 The intended audiences for this Manual:.....................................................................12
1.4 What is in this Manual?................................................................................................12
1.5 Cost Development Subcommittee Mission.................................................................. 12
1.6 Purpose of this Manual................................................................................................ 13
1.6.1 Reason for Cost Based Offers: Market Power Mitigation............................... 13
1.7 Components of Cost.................................................................................................... 13
1.7.1 Generator offer curves.................................................................................... 14
1.7.2 Start-up Cost...................................................................................................14
1.7.3 No Load Cost.................................................................................................. 14
1.7.4 Incremental Cost.............................................................................................14
1.7.5 Total Production Cost......................................................................................15
1.8 Cost Methodology and Approval Process....................................................................15
1.9 References.................................................................................................................. 15
Section 7: Hydro....................................................................................... 63
7.1 Pumping Efficiency (Pumped Storage Hydro Only) and Performance Factor............. 63
7.2 Fuel Cost..................................................................................................................... 64
7.3.1 Total Energy Input Related Costs for Pumped Storage Hydro Plant
Generation...........................................................................................................64
7.3 Incremental Energy Cost............................................................................................. 65
7.4 Start-up Cost................................................................................................................65
7.5 No-Load Cost...............................................................................................................65
7.6 Maintenance................................................................................................................ 65
7.7 Synchronized Reserve: Hydro Unit Costs to Condense.............................................. 65
7.8 Regulation Cost........................................................................................................... 66
Table of Exhibits
Exhibit 1: VOM for all Hydro Units or Non-Hydro Units providing service for less
than 10 years..............................................................................................................35
Exhibit 2: Example of VOM for Non-Hydro Units providing Regulation for more than
10 years......................................................................................................................36
Exhibit 11: Three hourly basis differential ratios variables for the same hour in each
of three historical years.............................................................................................. 78
Exhibit 12: Monthly Peak Basis Differentials for the three historical periods.................. 79
Exhibit 13: Forecasted monthly bus prices for three historical periods...........................80
Exhibit 14: Forecasted bus LMPs for one hour for each of the three historical base
years...........................................................................................................................82
Exhibit 15: Three daily fuel volatility scalars values developed for June 3 in each of
three historic years for a unit with a single fuel...........................................................82
Exhibit 16: Create three daily delivered fuel forecasts from the volatilities of three
historic years.............................................................................................................. 84
Exhibit 18: Calculating total margins with a minimum runtime of one hour (i.e. no
minimum runtime restriction), using historical data from the past three calendar
years...........................................................................................................................86
Exhibit 20: Three Hourly Basis Differential Ratios Values for the same hour in Each
of Three Historical Years............................................................................................ 89
Exhibit 21: Monthly Peak Basis Differentials for the Three Historical Periods................ 89
Exhibit 22: Forecasted Monthly Bus Prices for Three Historical Periods........................90
Exhibit 24: Calculating Total Margins with a minimum run time of one hour (i.e. no
minimum run time restriction), using historical data from the past three calendar
years...........................................................................................................................95
Approval
Approval Date: 11/01/2022
Effective Date: 10/28/2022
Glen Boyle
Current Revision
Revision 42 (11/1/2022):
• Corrected the CDS mission statement to reflect MIC, not MRC, as the parent committee
in Section 1.5
• Corrected the Incremental Heat Rate equation in Section 2.1
• Corrected the Basic Nuclear Fuel Cost equation in Section 3.3.1
• Replaced “other Fuel Related Costs” with “Operating Costs” in Sections 4.2 and 6.3.1
• Removed reference to annual Fuel Cost Policy submission in Section 9.2
• Corrected section titles in Section 9.7 and Section 13.3 Exhibit 28
• Added missing chart and removed outdated no-load calculation in Attachment B
Section 1: Introduction
Production costs are the costs to operate a unit for a particular period. Several different
cost components are needed to determine a generating unit's total production cost. The total
production cost includes:
• Start-up Cost
• No-Load Cost
• Incremental costs (energy cost per segment of output range)
Production costs have a direct impact on which units are scheduled by PJM. In general,
generation will be scheduled to achieve the lowest possible overall costs to the system.
The following material is provided for background and should be used for information only.
operating costs, Maintenance Adders, emissions allowances, tax credits, and energy market
opportunity costs.
1.9 References
The references to other documents that provide background or additional detail directly related
to the PJM Manual for Cost Development Guidelines are:
• PJM Manual for Pre-Scheduling Operations (M-10)
• PJM Manual for Energy & Ancillary Services Market Operations (M-11)
• PJM Manual for Generator Operational Requirements (M-14D)
• PJM Manual for Open Access Transmission Tariff Accounting (M-27)
• PJM Manual for Operating Agreement Accounting (M-28)
• Markets Gateway User Guide
• Markets Database Dictionary
Incremental Heat Rate = B + 2*C*Unit Output (MWℎ)
Economic Minimum is the lowest level of energy in MW the unit can produce and maintain a
stable level of operation under normal operation.
Economic Maximum is the highest unrestricted level of energy, in MW, that the operating
company operates the unit under normal operation. This represents the highest output available
from the unit for economic dispatch.
Heat Rate equals the MMBtu content of the heat input divided by the MWh of energy output.
The smaller the heat rate value the greater the efficiency.
MMBtu Heat Input
Total Heat Rate = MWℎ = Net MW
Performance Factor is the calculated ratio of actual fuel burn to either theoretical fuel burn
(design heat input) or other current tested heat input. Actual burn may vary from standard burn
due to factors such as unit age or modification, changes in fuel properties, seasonal ambient
conditions, etc.
TotalActualFuelConsumed
PerformanceFactor = TotalTℎeoreticalFuelConsumed
Requests for exemptions from these periods should be submitted to PJM and the MMU for
evaluation pursuant to Section 2.3. The overall Performance Factor can be modified by a
seasonal Performance Factor to reflect ambient conditions. Performance factors have to be
calculated for the entire year, by month or by season (e.g. summer/winter). Performance factors
cannot be applied inconsistently (i.e. applied during the summer months and not during the
winter months).
These three methods are described with their corresponding equations as follows:
Performance Factors are used in calculating start fuel as well as operating fuel. When the (1)
total fuel approach is used, the Performance Factor would represent the ratio:
TotalActualFuelConsumed
PerformanceFactor = TotalTℎeoreticalFuelConsumed
With the total fuel approach, fuel quantities measured during start tests should be modified by
the Performance Factor in effect at the time of the test so that theoretical or standard start fuel
quantities will be on the same basis as the standard operating fuel quantity.
Conditions encountered during the start of certain units may make it preferable to assign
separate Performance Factors for start and operating fuel. If (2) separate Performance
Factors are calculated for start fuel prior to calculating the "operating fuel" Performance Factor,
this Operating Fuel Performance Factor will represent the ratio:
TotalActualFuelConsumed − ActualStartFuelConsumed
OperatingFuelPerformanceFactor = TotalTℎeoreticalFuelConsumed − TℎeoreticalStartFuelConsumed
Due to the variability and difficulty in measuring actual start fuel, a Market Seller may choose to
set a (3) fixed start Performance Factor of one, implicitly assigning all performance variations
to no-load and incremental loading costs. In order to account for all fuel actually consumed, the
operating fuel Performance Factor will represent the ratio:
TotalActualFuelConsumed − TotalTℎeoreticalStartFuelConsumed
OperatingFuelPerformanceFactor = TotalTℎeoreticalFuelConsumed − TotalTℎeoreticalStartFuelConsumed
Where total theoretical start fuel consumed = fuel quantity used in the Start-up Cost calculation
2.2 Fuel Cost Policies and Guidelines (moved from Section 2.3)
A Market Seller may only submit a non-zero cost-based offer greater than the temporary cost
offer methodology if it has a PJM-approved Fuel Cost Policy consistent with each fuel type on
which the resource can operate in accordance with Section 2.2.1 of this manual and Operating
Agreement, Schedule 2. Regulation only resources do not require a Fuel Cost Policy. The Fuel
Cost Policy will be submitted in MIRA, or other system(s) made available for submission of such
data. Submission to MIRA, or other system(s) made available is considered submission to PJM
and the MMU. Market Sellers that offer a schedule with more than one fuel type must ensure
that the portion of the offer for each fuel type is in accordance with the PJM approved Fuel Cost
Policy.
The Market Seller shall notify PJM and the MMU that an update to an existing Fuel Cost
Policy or the need for a Fuel Cost Policy for a new resource is required at the earliest possible
opportunity. If PJM requests the Market Seller to submit an updated Fuel Cost Policy, then the
expiration of the Market Seller’s current Fuel Cost Policy shall follow the process set forth in
Section 2.3.1.2. The Market Seller shall provide an updated policy to PJM and the MMU:
• For new resources, following the process delineated in Operating Agreement Schedule 2
Section 2.2 (a).
• For resources transferred to another Market Seller, the new Market Seller shall submit
a Fuel Cost Policy to PJM and MMU for review prior to transfer or an alternative date
agreed to by PJM. The new Market Seller may use the temporary cost offer methodology
described in Section 2.2.1.3 for making cost based offers, as an alternative to offering
zero, while a new policy is under evaluation. Note: Changes in dispatch agent do not
require submission of a new policy.
• For existing resources, the Market Seller may use the temporary cost offer methodology
described in Section 2.2.1.3 for making cost-based offers, as an alternative to offering
zero, while the requested update or new policy is under evaluation, in the absence of an
approved Fuel Cost Policy.
2.2.1.1 PJM and MMU Review Timelines and Fuel Cost Policy Effective Date
The MMU shall have an initial 10 Business Days to review a submitted Fuel Cost Policy and
an additional 5 Business Days every time the Market Seller revises the Fuel Cost Policy. At any
time, the Market Seller may request:
• PJM begin its review prior to the completion of the MMU review; or
• PJM delay its review until after the completion of the MMU review.
Immediately following the MMU’s review, or at the Market Seller’s request for PJM to review,
PJM shall have 20 Business Days to review a submitted Fuel Cost Policy and an additional
5 Business Days or an agreed upon date between PJM and the Market Seller every time the
Market Seller revises the Fuel Cost Policy. If PJM rejects a Market Seller’s updated Fuel Cost
Policy, PJM must include an explanation for why the Fuel Cost Policy was rejected in its written
notification. All approved Fuel Cost Policies will have an effective date of the next operating day
following approval, or a later date as indicated by PJM in its written notification to the Market
Seller and MMU. The approved policy will be in effect until superseded or expired.
accurately reflects the fuel pricing and/or estimation method documented in the previously
approved Fuel Cost Policy that was expired. However, if, upon review of the Market Seller’s
supporting documentation, PJM determines that the expired policy accurately reflects the
Market Seller’s actual methodology used to develop the cost-based offer that was submitted
at the time of expiration and that the Market Seller has not violated its Fuel Cost Policy, then
PJM will make whole the Market Seller via uplift payments for the time period for which the
applicable Fuel Cost Policy had been expired and the generation resource was mitigated to its
cost-based offer.
The temporary cost offer methodology shall be comprised of the index settle price at the PJM
assigned commodity pricing point multiplied by heat input curves submitted by the Market Seller,
in accordance with Section 2.1:
• For generation resources that opt-out of intraday offers, the last published closing index
settle price shall be used for all hours of the Operating Day
• For generation resources that opt-in to intraday offers, index settle prices shall be based
on the last published closing settle price for a ll hours of the Operating Day to reflect the:
o Last published closing settle price, if decreased, for hours ending 11 through 24 for
natural gas
o Last published closing settle price, if decreased, for all hours of the Operating Day
for all other fuel types
The commodity pricing point and index publication source shall be assigned by PJM in
consultation with the Market Seller and with timely input and advice from the IMM.
reflect the locational cost of fuel for the generating unit, and be verifiable by PJM or the IMM
after-the-fact. The locational cost of fuel shall include specification of any additional incremental
costs of delivery for the generating unit.
Gas pipeline penalties are not permitted to be included with a Market Seller’s cost-based
offer. Gas pipeline penalties, as referenced herein, are charges that are incurred for taking
unauthorized gas in violation of an interstate pipeline and/or LDC tariff or contract. In addition,
gas balancing charges from ratable take gas cannot be included in a Market Seller’s cost-based
offer. However, gas pipeline storage, park and loan, or other similar tariff-based rate for gas
balancing can be included in the cost-based offer once these expenses are incurred. Gas
balancing due to a change in ownership cannot be included.
Each Market Seller must document a standardized method or methods for calculating fuel costs
in the Day Ahead offer period. Fuel cost updates in the Rebid and Intraday periods are optional.
If a Market Seller chooses to update fuel cost in the Rebid and/or Intraday they must document
a standardized method or methods for those updates and define objective triggers like specific
time periods, Hot/Cold Weather Alerts, pipeline events or notices, or liquidity volumes for
optional updates during those periods in their Fuel Cost Policy.
In order to Opt In to Intraday Offers, Market Seller must validate their cost offers once per day or
business day at a defined time period specified in the Fuel Cost Policy during the Intraday and
update their cost-based offer intraday if costs change from original input used to create the day-
ahead cost offer. During the Intraday update, cost-based offers may be increased but must be
decreased. Additional updates during the Intraday are optional. However, Market Sellers must
define objective triggers like specific time periods, Hot/Cold Weather Alerts, pipeline events or
notices, or liquidity volumes for each additional update.
Each Market Seller must account for situations where applicable indices or other objective
market measures are not sufficiently liquid by documenting in the Fuel Cost Policy the
alternative means actually utilized by the Market Seller to price the applicable fuel used
in the determination of its cost-based offers, such as specifing alternative pricing points or
documented quotes for the procurement of natural gas.
Each Market Seller will be responsible for establishing its own method of calculating delivered
fossil fuel cost, limited to inventoried cost, replacement cost or a combination thereof, which
reflects the way fuel is purchased or scheduled for purchase.
The method of calculation will be consistent with the current effective Fuel Cost Policy and
may only be changed by receipt of final approval pursuant to Section 2.2.1. Fossil fuel cost
adjustments compensating for previous estimate inaccuracies should not be considered when
determining the basic fossil cost component of Total Fuel Related Cost.
Units that co-fire more than one fuel shall weight average the cost of the fuel on a per MMBtu
basis. Units that fire solid waste, bio-mass, or landfill gas shall include the cost of such fuel
when calculating the average even when the cost of such fuel is negative. However, cost offers
for units that fire solid waste, biomass, or landfill gas are not required to be less than zero.
Escalation of previous year dollar amounts is permitted when the term of calculation exceeds
twelve months. When used, escalation indexes will be the same as those developed for
calculation of incremental Maintenance Adders.
Note:
Basic Fuel Cost for each unit type will be addressed in subsequent sections.
Incremental Energy Cost –The incremental heat or fuel required to produce an incremental
MWh at a specific unit loading level multiplied by the applicable Performance Factor, multiplied
by the fuel cost plus the appropriate maintenance & operating cost.
Total Cost – The total theoretical heat input minus the no-load heat input at a specific unit
loading level, multiplied by the applicable Performance Factor, multiplied by the fuel cost plus
the appropriate maintenance & operating cost, plus the No-Load Cost.
When calculating the Total Fuel Related Costs, fixed charges for transportation equipment (e.g.,
pipelines, train cars, and barges) should be excluded. Dollars that represent lease charges are
considered fixed charges if the total amount to be paid over a period is fixed regardless of
the amount of fuel transported. Should the terms of the lease agreement be such that there
is a fixed charge plus a charge for every unit of fuel delivered, the "charge per unit of fuel
delivered" should be included in the Fuel on Board (FOB) delivered cost or in the calculation of
the Operating Costs as per the documented Fuel Cost Policy.
The above guideline applies when a unit, plant, or system is served totally by leased fuel
transportation equipment. When fuel is supplied by both leased and common carrier fuel
transportation systems, the common carrier rate should be included in the Fuel On Board (FOB)
delivered cost or included in the calculation of the Operating Costs as per the documented Fuel
Cost Policy of each Market Seller. This assumes that the leased fuel transportation equipment
would serve base fuel requirements, while common carrier deliveries would change, based on
incremental generation changes.
Incremental Energy Cost (Slope Offer) = Incremental Heat Rate*
$
Total Fuel Related Cost MMBtu + Maintenance Adder ($/ MWℎ) +
$
Operating Cost Adder ( MWℎ ) + Opportunity Cost Adder ($/ MWℎ)
Incremental Heat Rate – See Section 2.1
• Total Fuel Related Cost – See Section 2.2.3
• Maintenance Adder – See Section 2.6
• Operating Cost Adder – See Section 2.6.8
• Opportunity Cost Adder – See Section 12
Incremenatal Energy Cost Block Offer =
MMBtu
(Average Heat Rate MWℎ
• Station Service Rate – A $/MWh value based on the 12-month rolling average off-peak
energy prices updated quarterly by the Office of the Interconnection.
• Start Fuel - Fuel consumed from first fire of start process (initial reactor criticality for
nuclear units) to breaker closing (including auxiliary boiler fuel) plus fuel expended from
breaker opening of the previous shutdown to initialization of the (hot) unit start-up,
excluding normal plant heating/auxiliary equipment fuel requirements.
• Start Maintenance Adder – See Section 2.6
• Start Additional Labor Cost – Additional labor costs for startup required above normal
station manning levels.
consistent basis for scheduling, operating, and accounting applications. These records shall be
made available to the MMU or PJM upon request.
2.5 No Load
Units that only operate block loaded (i.e. no dispatchable range) must be offered using an
average heat rate and zero no load cost. All the hourly costs of operating the unit must be
included in the incremental energy offer.
TotalMaintenanceCostNextYear =
EscalationIndexNextYear
AnnualMaintenanceCost* EscalationIndex +
CurrentYear
EscalationIndex
AnnualMaintenanceCost* EscalationIndexNextYear +
LastYear
EscalationIndexNextYear
AnnualMaintenanceCost* EscalationIndex +
LastYear − 1
EscalationFactorNextYear
… + AnnualMaintenanceCost* EscalationIndex
LastYear − (Maintenance Period − 1)
The Maintenance Adder is based on the actual maintenance expense history of the unit for the
defined Maintenance Period (See 2.6.3) and must be justified with supporting documentation.
The Market Seller shall retain and make available to PJM and/or the Market Monitor when
requested such supporting documentation for all costs that are included in the unit’s historical
Maintenance Period. Only expenses incurred as a result of electric production based on
operating hours, starts, or a combination of operating hours and starts qualify for inclusion.
Fixed costs cannot be included. The Maintenance Adder should be reviewed (and updated if
changed) at least annually. Maintenance Adders may be included as part of the start cost, no
load, or incremental energy offer. Maintenance Adders may be specified as $/Start, $/Hour,
$/MMBtu, $/Equivalent Service Hour (ESH), and/or $/MWh.
The Maintenance Adder must be submitted to PJM and the MMU for review annually, in
accordance with Operating Agreement Schedule 2 Section 4. Market Sellers may only use
the PJM-approved Maintenance Adder in their unit’s cost-based offer. Approved Maintenance
adders expire December 31 of the year following acceptance. Upon the transfer of ownership
to a new Market Seller, the new Market Seller must submit a new Maintenance Adder for PJM
review if a non-zero Maintenance Adder is desired.
The Operating Costs must be submitted to PJM and the MMU for review annually, in
accordance with Operating Agreement Schedule 2 Section 4. Market Sellers may only use
the PJM-approved Operating Costs in their unit’s cost-based offer. Approved Operating Costs
expire December 31 of the year following acceptance. Upon the transfer of ownership to a new
Market Seller, the new Market Seller must submit a new Operating Cost for PJM review if a
non-zero Operating Cost is desired.
Market Sellers may only change the format of the Maintenance adder (i.e., $/MMBtu, $/MWh,
$/Start, etc.) during the annual review period. In addition, once the Maintenance adder is
approved by PJM, the adder can only be included in the corresponding portions of the
associated cost based energy offer components (i.e., No-Load Costs, Incremental Energy
Costs, Start-Up Costs).
Market Sellers may only change the format of the Operating Costs (i.e., $/MMBtu, $/MWh)
during the annual review period. In addition, once the Operating Costs have been approved by
PJM, the adder can only be included in the corresponding portions of the associated cost based
energy offer components (i.e., No-Load Costs, Incremental Energy Costs, Start-Up Costs).
If a Market Seller feels that a unit modification or required change in operating procedures will
affect the unit's Maintenance Adder, the revised Maintenance Adder must be submitted to PJM
and the MMU for review and PJM-approval prior to use in cost-based offers.
(b) Major maintenance of gas turbine generators directly related to electric production include,
but are not limited to:
• compressor blade repair/replacement;
• hot gas path inspections, repairs, or replacements.
(c) Major maintenance of steam turbine generators directly related to electric production include,
but are not limited to:
• stop valve repairs;
• throttle valve repairs;
Maintenance Costs that cannot be included in a unit’s cost-based offer are preventative
maintenance and routine maintenance on auxiliary equipment like buildings, HVAC,
compressed air, closed cooling water, heat tracing/freeze protection, control room equipment
and software, and water treatment. Typically, if the system is needed to remain in-service when
the unit is not in operation expenses related to it cannot be included in a unit’s cost based offer.
Upgrades or replacement of existing equipment with capital upgrades/enhancements typically
cannot be included in the calculation of a unit’s maintenance adder. If the equipment is being
upgraded because the original equipment is obsolete and can no longer be procured, this
expense is considered a replacement and can be included.
Expenses for repairs and or replacements due to weather events also cannot be included in a
unit’s maintenance history, items that have failed, for example, due to a lighting strike or external
weather corrosion are not directly related to electric production.
Note:
Total Maintenance Dollars must be calculated for the same historical period as Equivalent
Service Hours.
EquivalentServiceHoursMaintenance ($/ ESH) =
TotalMaintenanceDollars
EquivalentServiceHours
• Estimated Year 2011 Total Maintenance Cost calculation example for a CT:
TotalMaintenanceCost2011 =
EscalationIndex
AnnualMaintenanceCost2010* EscalationIndex2011 +
2010
EscalationIndex
AnnualMaintenanceCost2009* EscalationIndes2011 +
2009
EscalationIndex
AnnualMaintenanceCost2008* EscalationIndex2011 +
2008
EscalationIndex
… + AnnualMaintenanceCost2000* EscalationIndex2011
2000
EquivalentServiceHours =
CyclicStartingFactor*NumberOfStarts + TotalOperatingHours +
(CyclicPeakingFactor*NumberOfHoursAboveBaseload)
Note:
Cyclic Starting Factors and Cyclic Peaking Factors values shall be consistently used for
equivalent service hours and cost based offer calculations for CC and CT Units. See cyclic
starting factor and cyclic peaking factor in sections 5.6.3 & 6.6.3.
RegulationCapabilityCosts $/ MWℎ ≤
Fuel Cost Increase and UnitSpecific Heat Rate Degradation due to Operating at Lower Loads
+ MarginRisk Adder
• Regulation Performance costs to provide Regulation Service from a unit shall include the
following components up to but not exceeding:
$
Regulation Performance Costs ∆ MW ≤
{Cost Increase in VOM + Cost Increase due to Heat Rate Increase during nonsteady state operation
above ℎeat rate factor not to exceed 0.35% + (Energy Storage Unit Losses)}/ ∆ MW / MW
Fuel Cost Increase and Unit Specific Heat Rate Degradation due to Operating at lower
loads
The costs (in $/MWh of Regulation) to provide Regulation Service from units shall not exceed
the fuel cost increase due to operating the unit at lower loads than at the optimal economic
dispatch level load and the unit specific heat rate degradation from operating at lower loads,
resulting from operating the unit at lower MW output incurred from the provision of Regulation
over the entire generator MW range of providing Regulation Service.
Cost Increase due to Heat Rate increase during non-steady state
The cost (in $/MWh of Regulation) increase due to the heat rate increase resulting from
operating the unit at a non-steady-state condition. This heat rate loss factor rate shall not
exceed 0.35% of the top Regulation load MW heat rate value.
Margin/Risk Adder
Margin Risk Adder shall not exceed $12.00 per MWh of Regulation Service provided.
Energy Storage Unit Losses
Energy storage unit losses can only be greater than zero for energy storage type devices and
calculated in accordance with the guidance provided in section 11.8.
Cost increase in VOM
The cost increase (in $/MWh of Regulation) of variable operations and maintenance (VOM) cost
resulting from operating the unit at lower MW output incurred from the provision of Regulation.
VOM costs shall be calculated by the following methods and shall not exceed those levels
below:
For any unit that does not have a PJM approved Maintenance Adder, the following variable
operation and maintenance (VOM) costs can be applied by unit type to the following:
Unit Type VOM
Exhibit 1: VOM for all Hydro Units or Non-Hydro Units providing service for less than 10 years
Any unit that has a PJM approved Maintenance Adder can use the VOM rates above if the
annual VOM dollar amounts resulting from those rates included in Regulation cost based
offers, are subtracted from the escalated 10 or 20 year historical total VOM accounts and the
Regulation MWh based on the average of the last three years.
Energy storage units that participate only in regulation Service shall include all their VOM Cost
increase in VOM adder in Regulation cost offers.
For example, a 100 MW sub-critical coal fired steam unit that has been providing Regulation
Service for 30 years. The unit averaged 5,000 MWh of Regulation Service over the last three
years and the escalated 20 year historical total VOM = $10,000,000.
Annual VOM Costs to Subtract
= $350,000
= $10,000,000 - $350,000
= $ 9,650,000
Exhibit 2: Example of VOM for Non-Hydro Units providing Regulation for more than 10 years
Actual Regulation VOM incremental costs submitted and evaluated pursuant to the Cost
Methodology and Approval Process.
For Example for a Sub-critical Coal-Fired Steam Unit providing Regulation Service for the last
seven years:
Data Submitted by Participant Value Units
EcoMax 100.0 MW
RegMin 40.0 MW
UnitBaseLoadHeatRateFuelInput =
UnitBaseLoadHeatRate*RegMin*1MMBtu /1,000,000 MMBtu*1,000 kW / MW
UnitBaseLoadHeatRateFuelInput =
9,000 MMBtu / kWℎ*40 MW*1MMBtu /1,000,000MMBtu*1,000 kW / MW = 360 MMBtu / Hr
UnitReducedLoadHeatRateFuelInput =
UnitReducedLoadHeatRate*RegMin*1MMBtu /1,000,000MMBtu*1,000 kW / MW
UnitReducedLoadHeatRateFuelInput =
12,500MMBtu / kWℎ*40 MW*1MMBtu /1,000,000MMBtu*1,000kW / MW = 500 MMBtu / Hr
HeatRateLoss =
(EconomicMaximumHeatRate*0.35%)*1MMBtu /1,000,000MMBtu*1,000kW / MW*EconomicMaximumMW
Heat Rate Loss =
(9,000MMBtu / kWℎ*035%)*1MMBtu /1,000,000MMBtu*1,000kW / MW = 3.15 MMBtu / Hr
FuelCostAdder =
(Difference*FuelCost)/(EconomicMaximumMW − RegulationMinimumMW)
For Example:
FuelCostAdder =
(140 MMBtu / Hr*$1.50/ MMBtu)/(100MW − 40MW) = $3.50/ Hr / MW
RegA 5
** This value is an example substitute for the average value for RegA.
(c) Heat Rate Adjustment (Non Value Units
Steady-State Operation)
MaximumPerformanceOffer =
FuelCostAdder NonSteadyStateOperation + RegulationVOMAdder / HistoricMileage
Regulation Maximum Allowable Cost Adder Example:
FuelCostAdder =
For example a Market Seller calculates the following incremental energy costs for the unit
MW Incremental Cost
($/MWh)
100 800
200 1100
300 1950
400 2005
Then the allowable ten percent adder for each MW step would be
MW Incremental Cost Calculated 10% Limitation Allowable 10%
($/MWh) Adder ($/MWh) Adder ($/MWh)
Note:
TotalFuelRelatedCostsforNuclearUnits = BasicNuclearFuelCost + MaintenanceAdder
Start-up Cost – The dollars per start as determined from start fuel, Total Fuel-Related Cost,
Performance Factor, electrical costs, start maintenance adder, and additional labor cost, if
required above normal station manning levels.
Start Fuel – Fuel consumed from first fire of start process (initial reactor criticality for nuclear
units) to breaker closing and fuel expended from breaker opening of the previous shutdown to
initialization of the (hot) unit start-up, excluding normal plant heating/auxiliary equipment fuel
requirements.
• And shutdown fuel cost defined as the cost of fuel expended from breaker opening of
the previous shutdown to shutdown of equipment needed for normal cool down of plant
components, excluding normal plant heating/auxiliary equipment fuel requirements.
3.4.4 Additional Components Applied to Hot, Intermediate and Cold Start-up Costs
These additional components for station service, labor and maintenance apply to all types of
starts and should be added to the cost.
• Station service from initiation of start sequence to breaker closing (total station use
minus normal base station use) priced at the Station Service rate.
• Station service after breaker opening during shutdown (station service during shutdown
should be that associated with the normal unit auxiliary equipment operated during
shutdown in excess of base unit use, this station service is not to include maintenance
use or non-normal use) priced at the Station Service rate.
• Additional labor costs in excess of normal station manning requirements that are
incurred when starting the unit.
• Start Maintenance Adder.
Nuclear Maintenance Adder - The dollars per unit of fuel (or heat) as derived from FERC
Accounts 530 and 531 for nuclear steam units. Market Sellers that use FERC Accounts must
remove straight time labor when calculating the Maintenance Adder.
The specific system or unit configuration system change must be reviewed by PJM and the
MMU for evaluation pursuant to the Cost Methodology and Approval Process prior to approving
the use of a Configuration Addition Maintenance adder.
To calculate Total Maintenance Dollars for 2011, this example assumes a maintenance period of
10 years; please see section 2.6.3 for further explanation of Maintenance Periods.
TotalMaintenanceCost2011 =
EscalationIndex
FERC 530 &FERC 531 − StartCosts in FERC 530 &FERC 5312010 * EscalationIndex2011
2010
EscalationIndex
+ FERC 530 &FERC 531 − StartCosts in FERC 530 &FERC 5312009 * EscalationIndex2011
2009
EscalationIndex
+ FERC 530 &FERC 531 − StartCosts in FERC 530 &FERC 5312008 * EscalationIndex2011 +
2008
EscalationIndex
… FERC 530 &FERC 531 − StartCosts in FERC 530 &FERC 5312000 * EscalationIndex2011
2000
To calculate the Start Maintenance Adder, calculate the total Start Maintenance Cost. Please
note the expenses in the maintenance adder and the expenses in the start maintenance adder
are mutually exclusive.
TotalStartMaintenanceCost =
EscalationIndex
(StartCosts in FERC 530 & FERC 531)2010 × EscalationIndex2011
2010
EscalationIndex
+ (StartCosts in FERC 530 & FERC 531)2009 × EscalationIndex2011
2009
EscalationIndex
+ (StartCosts in FERC 530 & FERC 531)2008 × EscalationIndex2011 +
2008
EscalationIndex
… (StartCosts in FERC 530 & FERC 531)2000 × EscalationIndex2011
2000
Incremental(FERC 530 + FERC 531 −
EscalationIndex +
StartCost FERC 530 + FERC 531)2009 × EscalationIndex2011
2009
Incremental(FERC 530 + FERC 531 −
EscalationIndex +
StartCost FERC 530 + FERC 531)2008 × EscalatonIndex 2011
2008
Incremental(FERC 530 + FERC 531 −
… EscalationIndex
StartCost FERC 530 + FERC 531)2000 × EscalationIndex2011
2000
TotalConfigurationAdditionDollars
ConfigurationAdditionMaintenanceAdder = TotalFuel
historical record used to develop the maintenance adder. An example of a significant system
or unit configuration change that may result in a step decrease in qualified maintenance costs
includes, but is not limited to, conversion from open loop to closed loop circulation water
systems.
Like units that can be used for calculation of Performance Factors are units having similar
ratings, steam conditions, make or model and same site location.
Fossil fuel cost adjustments compensating for previous estimate inaccuracies should not be
considered when determining the basic fossil cost component of Total Fuel Related Cost.
Fossil Operating Costs
The dollars in FERC Account 501 Fuel plus incremental expenses for fuel treatment and
pollution control (excluding SO2 and NOX emission allowance costs) that were not included
in FERC Account 501; minus the fuel expenses from FERC Account 151 that were charged into
FERC Account 501, all divided by the fuel (heat content or quantity) shifted from FERC Account
151 into FERC Account 501.
Note:
In some instances, a Steam Unit with a Start-up plus Notification time greater than 48 hours
may enter a state called “Extended Cold Start” as defined in M10, M13, M14D and the Markets
Gateway User Guide. Steam units in this state, calculate the Start Cost information associated
with this state in accordance with the “Cold Start Cost” Section below and enter this value into
the “Cold Start Cost” field in Markets Gateway
Start up Cost $/ Start =
Start Fuel Consumed MMBtu / Start *TRFC $/ MMBtu *Performance Factor +
[Station Service (MWℎ)*Station Service Rate($/ MWℎ)] + Start Maintenance Adder
($/ Start) + Start Additional Labor ($/ Start)
Fossil Steam - Maintenance Adder - is the dollars per unit of fuel (or heat) as derived from
FERC Accounts 512 and 513 for fossil steam units. Market Sellers that use FERC Accounts
must remove straight-time labor when calculating the Maintenance Adder.
Note:
Total Maintenance Dollars (TMD) plus (+) Total Start Maintenance Dollars (TSD) cannot exceed
Total Dollars in FERC Accounts 512 and 513 minus labor.
Calculate total Maintenance Dollars for 2011, this example assumes a maintenance period of 10
years; please see section 2.6.3 for further explanation of Maintenance Periods.
Total Maintenance Dollars =
Escalation Index
((FERC 512 + FERC 513) − Start Cost (FERC 512 + FERC 513)2010 )* Escalation Index2011 +
2010
Escalation Index
((FERC 512 + FERC 513) − Start Cost (FERC 512 + FERC 513)2009 )* Escalation Index2011 +
2009
Escalation Index
((FERC 512 + FERC 513) − Start Cost (FERC 512 + FERC 513)2008 )* Escalation Index2011 + …
2008
Escalation Index
(FERC 512 + FERC 513 − Start Cost FERC 512 + FERC 513)2000 * Escalation Index2011 +
2000
Calculate total fuel burned (heat input in MMBtu) for the maintenance period.
Total Fuel = Fuel2010 + Fuel2009 + Fuel2008 + … + Fuel2000
These allow for the calculation of the maintenance adder:
Maintenance Adder2011 ($/ MMBtu) = Total Maintenance Dollars / Total Fuel
To Calculate the Start Maintenance Adder, Calculate the total Start Maintenance Cost. Please
note the expenses in the maintenance adder and the expenses in the start maintenance adder
are mutually exclusive.
Total Start Maintenance Cost =
Escalation Index
Start Cost (FERC 512 + FERC 513)2010 * Escalation Index2011 +
2010
Escalation Index
Start Cost (FERC 512 + FERC 513)2009 * Escalation Index2011 +
2009
Escalation Index
Start Cost (FERC 512 + FERC 513)2008 * Escalation Index2011 + …
2008
Escalation Index
Start Cost (FERC 512 + FERC 513)2000 * Escalation Index2011 +
2000
The specific system or unit configuration system change needs to be reviewed by PJM and
the MMU pursuant to the Cost Methodology and Approval Process and receive final approval
thereof prior to the use of a Configuration Addition Maintenance adder.
As with the current maintenance adder calculation, the adder for year (Y) uses the actual costs
beginning with year (Y-1). Therefore, the first year of actual incremental additional expenses will
be captured by the CAMA in the second year.
Following the initial year of use of the CAMA, each additional year’s Configuration Addition
maintenance cost will be incorporated into the Configuration Addition maintenance adder until
the end of the historical maintenance cost period selected for the unit.
To Calculate the Configuration Addition Maintenance Adder, Calculate the solely incremental
Maintenance Cost for the Configuration Change. Please note these expenses are purely
incremental and adhere to the requirements in section 3.8.1. Also note that labor must be
removed from all applicable FERC Accounts.
Total Configuration Addition Maintenance Dollars =
Escalation Index
Incremental (FERC 512 + FERC 513 − Start Cost FERC 512 + FERC 513)2010 * Escalation Index2011 +
2010
Escalation Index
Incremental (FERC 512 + FERC 513 − Start Cost FERC 512 + FERC 513)2009 * Escalation Index2011 +
2009
Escalation Index
Incremental (FERC 512 + FERC 513 − Start Cost FERC 512 + FERC 513)2008 * Escalation Index2011 +…
2008
Escalation Index
Incremental (FERC 512 + FERC 513 − Start Cost FERC 512 + FERC 513)2000 * Escalation Index2011
2000
Total costs to provide Synchronized Reserve from a steam unit shall be capped at the expected
value of the penalty for failing to provide Synchronized Reserve, where such expected value
shall be posted on Markets and Operations > Ancillary Services > Synchronized Reserve page.
The expected value of the penalty is calculated using the equation below:
$
Expected Value of Penalty MWℎ = Average Penalty* Average Rate of Nonperformance* Probability an event will occur
Where:
4.8 Regulation
Note:
The information in Section 2.8 contains basic Regulation Cost information relevant for all unit
types including fossil steam units.
Start-up Costs for Combined Cycle (CC) plants shall include only the following components and
shall never be less than zero:
TFRC = Total Fuel Related Cost
Start up Cost ($/ Start) =
(Start Fuel Consumed (MMBtu / Start)*TFRC($/ MMBtu)*Performance Factor)
+(Station Service (MWℎ)*Station Service Rate ($/ MWℎ))
Start Fuel Consumed Cost is the cost of start fuel (basic fuel cost plus fuel handling,
maintenance cost, operating cost, and emission cost) from first CT fire to breaker closing for
the steam turbine generator, as measured during a normal start sequence, and the cost of
shutdown fuel from last breaker opening to fuel valve closure. Additionally, this includes the cost
of start fuel from CT first fire to the point where heat recovery steam generator (HRSG) steam
pressure matches steam turbine inlet pressure, for any CT unit/HRSG combinations started
after synchronization of the steam turbine generator.
Station Service is included from initiation of start sequence of initial CT to breaker closing of
the steam turbine generator (total station use minus normal base station use) priced at the
Station Service Rate.
Add to this (+) station service after breaker opening of the last component when finished
operating as a CC unit, priced at the Station Service rate. (Station service during shutdown
should be that associated with the normal unit auxiliary equipment operated during shutdown in
excess of base unit use. This station service is not to include maintenance use or non-normal
uses.)
Minus (-) the integration of net generation from CT synchronization to steam turbine generator
synchronization or to HRSG steam output at line pressure, priced at the actual cost of the unit.
Minus (-) the integration of net generation during the shutdown period, priced at the actual cost
of the unit.
Incremental labor costs in excess of normal station manning requirements (only when
necessary to start the CC unit).
Start Maintenance Adder. This quantity includes both the previously defined CT Starting
Maintenance Cost
Combined Cycle Maintenance Adder – The dollars per unit of fuel (or heat) as derived from
actual maintenance expenses or FERC Accounts 512, 513, and 553. If submitting as a simple
cycle CT, use actual maintenance expenses or total dollars from FERC Account 553 divided by
Equivalent Service Hours (ESH), MWh, starts, or hours. Market Sellers that use FERC Accounts
must remove straight time labor when calculating the Maintenance Adder.
Total costs to provide Synchronized Reserve from a CC unit shall be capped at the expected
value of the penalty for failing to provide Synchronized Reserve, where such expected value
shall be posted on Markets and Operations > Ancillary Services > Synchronized Reserve page.
The expected value of the penalty is calculated using the equation below:
$
Expected Value of Penalty MWℎ = Average Penalty* Average Rate of Nonperformance* Probability an event will occur
Where:
Average Penalty is expressed in $/MWh and calculated as
$ Total Penalty ($)
Average Penalty MWℎ = Total Sℎortfall (MWℎ)
5.8 Regulation
Note:
The information in Section 2.8 contains basic Regulation Cost information relevant for all unit
types including CC units.
‘Like’ CT Units - An average Performance Factor may be calculated and applied for groups
of like units burning the same type of fuel. Like includes same primary manufacturer not
necessarily engine or generator manufacturer, but one with overall system responsibility. The
following are two examples:
• Worthington sells CT's with P&W engines and a GE generator. Worthington would be
considered the primary manufacturer.
• Same general frame size - a manufacturer may modify a basic design to produce units
with varying capabilities. Units built with such variations may be placed in a may be
placed in a single group.
CT Maintenance Adder is included directly with the individual operating cost components on a
$/hour basis.
Note:
CT Maintenance Adder is included directly in start, no-load and peak segment components.
Start-up costs for all CTs and diesel units shall include only the following components:
$
Start up Cost Start
Start Fuel Consumed * Total Fuel Related Cost (TFRC) * Performance Factor is the cost of
start fuel (basic fuel cost plus fuel handling, operating, and emissions costs) from first fire to unit
breaker closing, Plus (+) cost of shutdown fuel from unit breaker opening to fuel valve closure
(basic fuel cost plus fuel handling, operating, and emissions costs).
Incremental labor costs are the costs in excess of normal station manning requirements (only
when necessary to start a CT unit).
Station Service * Station Service Rate from initiation of start sequence to breaker closing
(total station use minus normal base station use) priced at the Station Service rate. Plus (+)
station service after breaker opening during shutdown (station service during shutdown should
be that associated with the normal unit auxiliary equipment operated during shutdown in excess
of base unit use, this station service is not to include maintenance use or non-normal uses)
priced at the Station Service rate.
Note:
Starting Maintenance Cost, please see section 6.6.3
Reminder: CT Maintenance Adder is included directly in start, no-load and peak segment
components.
Note:
CT Maintenance Adder is included directly in start, No-Load and peak segment components.
For CT generating units, no-load fuel shall be the theoretical or actual fuel burn rate expressed
in MMBtu/Hr at the point of electric bus synchronization.
CT - Maintenance Adder – The total dollars from actual maintenance expenses or FERC
Account 553 divided by Equivalent Service Hours (ESH), MWh, starts, hours, or per unit of
fuel (or heat). Market Sellers that use FERC Accounts must remove straight time labor when
calculating the Maintenance Adder.
Industrial CT – This is a CT developed specifically for power generation.
Aircraft - Type CT – These are CTs originally designed for aircraft and modified for power
generation.
Diesel - Maintenance Adder – The total dollars from FERC Account 553 divided by total fuel
burned (in MMBtu’s).
Combustion Turbine Start – For calculating CT maintenance cost, only the number of
successful starts to synchronization shall be used. Successful starts should include those at
the direction of PJM and for company tests.
Long Term Maintenance Expenses – CT Plant major inspection and overhaul expenses can
be included in the calculation of a combustion turbine’s or diesel engine’s maintenance adder if
they were not included in the unit’s capacity offer for a Delivery Year in which the unit cleared a
Base Residual or Incremental Auction.
(Industrial Unit)
Peak Hours = 200 Hrs
Peak Pickup = 5 MW
Peak Hours are the hours run above base load temperature rating.
Total Maintenance Dollars =$100,000
(Actual historical maintenance data escalated to present value).
Cyclic starting factor = 10, Cyclic peaking factor = 3
Equivalent Service Hours Maintenance Cost =
$100,000 $17.86
(10*300) + 2,000 + (3*200) = ESH
3*$17.86
Peak Segment Equivalent Maintenance Cost = 5 = $10.72 per MWℎ
Total synchronous condensing costs for CTs and diesel units shall be capped at the expected
value of the penalty for failing to provide Synchronized Reserve, where such expected value
shall be posted on Markets and Operations > Ancillary Services > Synchronized Reserve page.
The expected value of the penalty is calculated using the equation below:
$
Expected Value of Penalty MWℎ = Average Penalty* Average Rate of Nonperformance* Probability an event will occur
Where:
Average Penalty is expressed in $/MWh and calculated as
$ Total Penalty ($)
Average Penalty MWℎ = Total Sℎortfall (MWℎ)
Total Hours of Syncℎronized Reserve Events ≥ 10 Minutes
Probability an event will occur = Total Hours in tℎe Period
• Start-up Costs if applicable, shall be applied when a unit moves from cold to
condensing operations and when a unit moves from condensing operations to energy
generation, but shall not be applied when a unit moves from energy generation to
condensing operations.
• Actual cost of power consumed during condensing operations at real time bus LMP
as determined by Market Settlements. MW consumed must be included in the offer.
Section 7: Hydro
This section contains information for the development of Hydro or Pumped Storage Hydro cost
offers.
Hydro Units – Generating unit in which the energy of flowing water drives the turbine generator
to produce electricity. This classification includes pumped and run-of-river hydro.
Pumped Storage Hydro Unit – Hydroelectric power generation that stores energy in the form
of water by pumping from a lower elevation source to a higher elevation reservoir, then allowing
the upper reservoir to drain turning the turbines to produce power.
Pumping Efficiency is the Pumped Storage Hydro Unit’s version of a heat rate. It measures
the ratio of generation produced to the amount of generation used as fuel.
Pumping Efficiency (PE) is calculated by dividing the MWh of generation produced while
operating in generation mode by the MWh required to pump the water needed to produce the
generation MWh.
MWℎ Generation Produced
Pumping Efficiency = MWℎ Generation Pumped as Fuel
For example, it requires 1,000 ft3 to produce one MWh of generation as water flows from the
pond to the sink and it requires 1.4 MWh of pumping load to pump 1,000 ft3 of water from the
sink to the pond. The resultant efficiency is:
MWℎ Generation Produced 3.5 MWℎ (Generated)
Pumping Efficiency = MWℎ Generation Pumped as Fuel = 5 MWℎ (Pumped) = 0.70
In order to account for environmental and physical factors associated with the characteristics
of the pond and pumping operations that limit the accuracy of calculating short term pumping
efficiency, a seven day rolling total of pumping and generation MWh are utilized for pumping
efficiency calculations.
PE can be calculated by one of three methods. A Market Seller must make the choice of
method by December 31 prior to the year of operation and cannot change to another method for
a period of one calendar year.
• Option 1: Twelve month calendar actual Pumping Efficiency.
o The previous 12-month calendar year average Pumping Efficiency based on actual
pumping operations.
• Option 2: Three month rolling Pumping Efficiency.
o The previous three months rolling actual efficiency where the average monthly
availability is 50% or greater. The calculation must be updated after each month.
• Option 3: The previous month actual Pumping Efficiency.
o The previous month actual efficiency where the availability is 50% or greater. The
calculation must be updated monthly.
The fuel costs for a run-of-river hydro Unit are equal to zero.
For a Pumped Storage Hydro Unit to be consistent with other PJM units within this manual the
term fuel cost is used to account for the energy necessary to pump from the lower reservoir to
the upper reservoir.
Note:
The information in Section 2.3 contains basic Fuel Cost information relevant for all unit types.
The following additional information only pertains to Pumped Storage Hydro Units.
If a Market Seller wishes to change its method of calculation of pumped storage TFRC, the
Market Seller shall notify PJM and the MMU in writing by December 31 prior to the year of
operation, to be evaluated pursuant to the Cost Methodology and Approval Process before the
beginning of the cycle in which the new method is to become effective. The new cycle starts on
February 1st and continues for a period of one year
Basic Pumped Storage Fuel Cost – Pumped storage fuel cost shall be calculated on a seven
(7) day rolling basis by multiplying the real time bus LMP at the plant node by the actual
power consumed when pumping divided by the pumping efficiency. The pumping efficiency is
determined annually based on actual pumping operations or by OEM curves if annual data is
not available due to the immaturity of the unit. The following equations govern pumping storage
fuel cost:
1 Real Time LMP $ *Pumping Power (MWℎ)
∑168
$ MWℎ
Pumping Power Cost MWℎ =( 1 Pumping Power MWℎ
∑168
)
Pumping Power Cost ($/ MWℎ)
Pumped Storage Fuel Cost ($/ MWℎ) = Pumping Efficiency
7.3.1 Total Energy Input Related Costs for Pumped Storage Hydro Plant Generation
Total energy input-related costs for all pumped storage hydro units shall be defined as follows:
Pumped Storage Hydro Total Energy Input Related Cost
= Basic Pumped Storage Energy Input Cost + Maintenance Cost
7.6 Maintenance
Note:
The information in Section 2.6 contains basic Maintenance Cost information relevant for all unit
types. The following additional information only pertains to hydro units.
This account shall include the, materials used and expenses incurred in the maintenance of
plant, includible in Account 332, Reservoirs, Dams, and Waterways. (See operating expense
instruction 2.) However, the cost of materials used and expenses incurred in the maintenance
of fish and wildlife, and recreation facilities, the book cost of which is includible in Account
332, Reservoirs, Dams, and Waterways, shall be charged to Account 545, Maintenance of
Miscellaneous Hydraulic Plant. Further, Pumped Storage Hydro Units scheduled by the Office
of the Interconnection pursuant to the hydro optimization tool in the Day-ahead Energy Market
may not include maintenance costs in their offers because such offers may not exceed an
energy offer price of $0.00/MWh. Market Sellers that use FERC accounts must remove straight
time labor expenses from the accounts as those costs are typically recovered in the capacity
market.
Some Hydro Units have the ability to purge the turbines of water and run backwards effectively
creating a capacitor. This method of operation of the machine is referred to as operating the
Hydro unit in synchronous condensing mode.
Total synchronous condensing costs for Hydro units shall be capped at the expected value of
the penalty for failing to provide Synchronized Reserve, where such expected value shall be
posted on Markets and Operations > Ancillary Services > Synchronized Reserve page. The
expected value of the penalty is calculated using the equation below:
$
Expected Value of Penalty MWℎ = Average Penalty*Average Rate of Nonperformance*Probability an event will occur
Where:
Average Penalty is expressed in $/MWh and calculated as
$ Total Penalty ($)
Average Penalty MWℎ = Total Sℎortfall (MWℎ)
Hydro Costs to Condense $/ MWℎ
= Condensing Start Costs + Expected Value of Penalty
Condensing Start costs if applicable, start costs shall be applied when a unit moves from
cold to condensing operations and when a unit moves from condensing operations to energy
generation, but shall not be applied when a unit moves from energy generation to condensing
operations.
Where:
Average Penalty is expressed in $/MWh and calculated as
$ Total Penalty ($)
Average Penalty MWℎ = Total Sℎortfall (MWℎ)
Total Hours of Syncℎronized Reserve Events ≥ 10 Minutes
Probability an event will occur = Total Hours in tℎe Period
The Fuel Cost Policy should include how the generator intends to account for Renewable
Energy Credits (RECs) and Production Tax Credits (PTCs).
9.6 Maintenance
Note:
The information in Section 2.6 contains basic Maintenance Cost information relevant for all unit
types. The following additional information only pertains to wind units.
Maintenance Cost includes major overhauls and inspections, as well as short run Wear and
Tear on the Unit (including preventative and scheduled; not including capital). Rolling twelve-
month historic maintenance cost divided by MWh for the same period.
Solar unit’s Start Fuel and Total Fuel Related Costs are equal to zero.
10.6 Maintenance
Note:
The information in Section 2.6 contains basic Maintenance Cost information relevant for all unit
types. The following additional information only pertains to solar units.
Efficiency factors can be calculated over the time period specified by the Market Seller in the
Fuel Cost Policy. A Market Seller must make the choice of method in their fuel cost policy and
cannot change to another method for a period specified in Section 2.1
Battery and flywheel Performance Factors are equal to 1.0.
To be consistent throughout the manual, the term fuel cost is used to account for the energy
necessary to charge the battery or flywheel.
11.6 Maintenance
Note:
The information in Section 2.6 contains basic Maintenance Cost information relevant for all unit
types. The following additional information only pertains to batteries and flywheels.
Batteries and flywheels cannot include costs that can be included in their capacity offer such
as straight time labor. Maintenance costs for batteries and flywheels may include, but are
not limited to: cell repairs/replacements, inverter maintenance, and generation owned GSU/
Interconnection Transmission maintenance.
The cost to provide synchronous reserves from battery or flywheel resources shall be capped
at the expected value of the penalty for failing to provide Synchronized Reserve, where such
expected value shall be posted on Markets and Operations > Ancillary Services > Synchronized
Reserve page. The expected value of the penalty is calculated using the equation below:
$
Expected Value of Penalty MWℎ = Average Penalty* Average Rate of Nonperformance* Probability an event will occur
Where:
Average Penalty is expressed in $/MWh and calculated as
$ Total Penalty ($)
Average Penalty MWℎ = Total Sℎortfall (MWℎ)
Batteries and flywheels shall calculate Energy Storage Unit Losses in accordance with the
equation below. The “Cost Increase due to Heat Rate Increase during non-steady state
operation” and the “Fuel Cost Increase and Unit Specific Heat Rate Degradation due to
Operating at lower loads” shall be equal to zero.
If a Market Seller wishes to change its method of calculating these losses, the Market Seller
shall submit a request pursuant to Section 1.8. The approved method of calculation may be
implemented upon approval and may be updated no more frequently than once every 12
months. If any action by a government or regulatory agency that results in a need for the Market
Seller to change its method of cost calculation, the affected Market Seller may submit a request,
or notification as appropriate, to PJM and the MMU for evaluation, pursuant to Section 2.3.1.
Energy Storage Unit Losses ($/MW) – shall be the calculated average of seven (7) days of
rolling hourly periods where the real time bus LMP ($/MWh) at the plant node is multiplied
by the net energy consumed (MWh) when regulating divided by the regulation offer (MW).
The seven (7) days of rolling hourly periods shall consist of the unit’s last 168 hour periods
with accepted regulation offers. The following equation governs energy storage unit’s fuel cost
increase:
Energy Storage Unit Losses $/ MW
Hourly LMP $ *Hourly Net Energy Consumed MWℎ
MWℎ
= Average of 7 Days{ Hourly Accepted Regulation Offers MW
}
The Opportunity Cost Calculator described in Section 12.3 through 12.6 of this manual is
suspended as of June 1, 2020. Market Sellers that wish to include an Opportunity Cost in a
unit’s cost based offers should use the IMM Opportunity Cost Calculator described in Section
12.7 of this manual.
For details on how to obtain an opportunity cost adder from the IMM Opportunity Cost
Calculator, contact the IMM at MMU_Energy_Offers_Review@monitoringanalytics.com.
For any other questions related to Opportunity Cost adders please contact PJM at
FuelCostPolicyAnalysis@pjm.com.
12.4 Definitions
VALUE DEFINITION
Y Year
m month
VALUE DEFINITION
h hour
FY future year
Trading Day In respect of a particular futures market a day on which that Market open for
trading
Base year one of the three historical years used to create volatility in the fuel and power
forecasts
Peak Peak hours are from 7:00 AM to 11:00 PM (the hour ending 0800 to the hour
ending 2300) prevailing local time. Peak days are Mondays through Fridays,
excluding North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) holidays.
Off-peak Off-peak hours are from midnight to 7:00 AM (the hour ending 0100 to the
hour ending 0700) and 11:00 PM to midnight (the hour ending 2400) Mondays
through Fridays; also, all day Saturdays and Sundays (the hour ending 0100
to the hour ending 2400) and North American Electric Reliability Corporation
holidays
Frequently mitigated unit A unit that was offer-capped for more than a defined proportion of its real-time
(FMU) run hours in the most recent 12-month period. FMU thresholds are 60 percent,
70 percent and 80 percent of run hours. Such units are permitted a defined
adder to their cost-based offers in place of the usual 10 percent adder.
All inputs use prevailing width preserving decimal precision of historical record.
12.5.1 Step 1: Derive Historical Monthly LMP Basis Differential between the generation
bus and western hub
The mismatch between the location of the forward contract delivery point (Western Hub) and the
relevant generator bus can be accounted for in the historic, monthly average basis differential
for both peak and off-peak hours. This basis differential can be expressed as the average, over
all peak or off-peak hours in a month, of the ratio of the hourly bus LMP to the hourly Western
Hub LMP. If this ratio is greater than one, it means the bus LMP is greater than the Western Hub
LMP on average. If this ratio is less than one, it means the bus LMP is less than the Western
Hub LMP on average.
Platts-ICE Forward Curve for “PJM west” (PJM Western Hub) must be collected for this first
step (http://www.platts.com/). These PJM Western Hub Forwards multiplied by a historical basis
adjustment ratio for delivery to the generator’s bus creates monthly delivered bus prices. The
three prior calendar year’s historical data is used to make this calculation. For example, when
calculating opportunity costs for July 2, 2010 for a unit with a calendar year compliance period,
use historical LMP data from July 2nd (2007,2008,2009) to December 31st (2007,2008,2009).
The Opportunity Cost Calculator is also able to provide forecasts for a rolling compliance
period (e.g. a rolling 12 months) rather than a calendar year period. For units with a 12 month
rolling compliance period, use LMP data from the previous three years, beginning on the date
calculated and ending two days previous. For example, when a unit is calculating opportunity
cost for July 2nd, 2010 with a rolling 12 month compliance period, use historical LMP data
from July 2nd (2007,2008,2009) to June 30th (2008, 2009, 2010). Begin by taking the hourly
bus prices for the three prior calendar years at the generator’s bus, and for every hour, divide
that hour’s price by the corresponding price at PJM Western Hub. The historic hourly basis
differential in hour h, day d, month m, and year y is:
BUSLMPy, m, d, ℎ
HourlyBasisDifferentialRatioy, m, d, ℎ = PJMWHLMPy, m, d, ℎ
Note:
When PJMWHLMP is zero and the BUSLMP is zero, then the radio value is one. If PJMWHLMP
is zero and the BUSLMP is not zero then value is null and it is not included in the average.
Exhibit 11: Three hourly basis differential ratios variables for the same hour in each of three
historical years
Once the hourly basis ratios are calculated for every hour during the three-year history, for
each historic month take the sum of the on-peak hourly basis differentials in the month, and
divide by the number of peak hours in the month (observations). Similarly, for every month,
sum the off-peak hourly basis ratios, and then divide by the number of off-peak hours within
that month. When calculating the monthly peak basis ratio all days in the month will be used
for the average. These monthly basis differentials adjust PJM Western Hub monthly peak and
off-peak forward prices to expected peak and off-peak monthly forward prices delivered to the
generator’s bus.
MontℎlyPeakBasisDifferentialRationypeak
, m =
peak
∑peak ℎours * HourlyBasisDifferentialRatiosy, m, d, ℎ)
Number of Peak Hours in montℎ m
MontℎlyOffPeakDifferentialRatioypeak
. m =
off − peak
∑peak ℎours * HourlyBasisDifferentialRatiosy, m, d, ℎ )
Number of Off − Peak Hours in montℎ m
peak
MontℎlyPeakBasisDifferentialRation June 2007
∑peak ℎours * HourlyBasisDifferentialRatios in June 2007)
= Number of Peak Hours in June 2007
peak
MontℎlyPeakBasisDifferentialRation June 2008
∑peak ℎours * HourlyBasisDifferentialRatios in June 2008)
= Number of Peak Hours in June 2008
peak
MontℎlyPeakBasisDifferentialRation June 2009
∑peak ℎours * HourlyBasisDifferentialRatios in June 2009)
= Number of Peak Hours in June 2009
Exhibit 12: Monthly Peak Basis Differentials for the three historical periods
Multiply monthly peak and off-peak basis differential ratios by the respective monthly peak and
off-peak PJM Western hub forwards to derive forecasted monthly peak and off-peak bus prices
from the historical year. When calculating the monthly peak basis differential ratio all days in the
month will be used for the average.
peak peak
Forecasted Montℎly Bus Pricefy, m* PJMWesternHubfy, m*MontℎlyPeakBasisRatioypeak
, m ]
OFFpeak
ForecastedMontℎlyBusPrice June 2010, base 2007
=
OFFpeak
(PJMWHFRPfor delivery June 2010)
OFFpeak
ForecastedMontℎlyBusPrice June 2010, base 2008
=
OFFpeak
(PJMWHFRPfor delivery June 2010)
OFFpeak
ForecastedMontℎlyBusPrice June 2010, base 2009
=
OFFpeak
(PJMWHFRPfor delivery June 2010)
Exhibit 13: Forecasted monthly bus prices for three historical periods
12.5.2 Step 2: Derive hourly volatility scalars to incorporate hourly volatility into the LMP
forecast
The monthly futures prices quoted only consider the average peak and off-peak prices for the
month and do not consider hourly LMP volatility. Step 2 derives will develop an hourly volatility
scalar. This scalar will later be multiplied against the forecast in Step 1 to derive an hourly
bus LMP forecast that incorporates historic hourly peak and off-peak LMP volatility as well as
monthly peak and off-peak basis differentials from the historical year with PJM Western Hub.
First, for each historic month compute the average peak and off-peak price at the unit’s bus
for each remaining month in the compliance period. When calculating the monthly average bus
LMP all days in the month will be used for the average.
peak
∑peak ℎours HourlyBusLMPy, m, d, ℎ
MontℎlyAverageBusLMPypeak
,m = Number of Peak Hours in montℎ m
off − peak
∑off − peak ℎours HourlyBusLMPy, m, d, ℎ
− peak
MontℎlyAverageBusLMPyoff
,m = Number of Off − Peak Hours in montℎ m
Next, for every hour, take the hourly bus LMP divided by the relevant monthly average peak or
off-peak bus LMP computed above. If the hour is an on-peak hour, divide by the average peak
LMP for the month.
peak
peak BUSLMPy, m, d, ℎ
HourlyVolatilityScalary, m, d, ℎ = peak
MontℎlyAverageBusLMPy, m
If the hour is off-peak, divide that hour by the monthly off-peak average price for the
corresponding month.
off − peak
off − peak BUSLMPy, m, d, ℎ
HourlyVolatilityScalary, m, d, ℎ = off − peak
MontℎlyAverageBusLMPy, m
Example 2.1: Volatility scalar for the each of the three historical years:
BUSLMP June 3, 2007 H23
HourlyVolatilityScalar June3,2007 H23 = Average Offpeak June 2007 BUSLMP
Step 3 creates three hourly forecasts from the volatility scalars developed in step 2 and the
monthly bus LMP forecasts developed in Step 1. Multiply the hourly volatility scalars developed
in step 2 by the corresponding peak or off-peak from the historical year forecasted monthly bus
price calculated in Step 1.
The expected or forecasted LMP for hour h, day d, month m, based on year y that is a peak
hour is:
peak peak peak
ForecastedBUSLMPy, m, d, ℎ = HourlyVolatilityScalary, m, d, ℎ*ForecastedMontℎlyBusPricefy, m
The expected or forecasted LMP for hour h, day d, month m, based on year y that is an off-peak
hour is:
Assume that it is April 5, 2010. To create the set of three forecasted prices for each hour of June
3, 2010:
offpeak
ForecastedBUSLMP June 3, 2010 H23, base 2007 = HourlyVolatilityScalar June 3, 2007 H23*ForecastedMontℎlyBusPrice June 2010
offpeak
ForecastedBUSLMP June 3, 2010 H23, base 2008 = HourlyVolatilityScalar June 3, 2008 H23 *ForecastedMontℎlyBusPrice June 2010
offpeak
ForecastedBUSLMP June 3, 2010 H23, base 2009 = HourlyVolatilityScalar June 3, 2009 H23*ForecastedMontℎlyBusPrice June 2010
Exhibit 14: Forecasted bus LMPs for one hour for each of the three historical base years
Step 4 creates a daily fuel volatility scalar using historic daily delivered fuel prices (as used to
develop a unit’s TFRC) from the previous three calendar years. Take each daily bus-delivered
fuel price and divide it by the monthly average bus delivered fuel price to create a ratio for every
day in the three-year history. In calculating monthly average bus price, all days in the month will
be used for the average. For units that have dual fuels; the daily delivered fuel prices need to
be multiplied by their respective weights and then added together. Nm is the number of days in
month m.
Units with Single Fuel Type:
DeliveredFuelPricey, m, d
DailyFuelVolatilityScalary, m, d = Nm
(∑ = 1 (DeliveredFuelPricey, m))
n
Nm
DeliveredFuelPrice June 3,2007
DailyFuelVolatilityScalar June, 3, 2007 = Average June 2007 DeliveredFuelPrice
DeliveredFuelPrice June 3,2008
DailyFuelVolatilityScalar June, 3, 2008 = Average June 2008 DeliveredFuelPrice
DeliveredFuelPrice June 3,2009
DailyFuelVolatilityScalar June, 3, 2009 = Average June 2009 DeliveredFuelPrice
Exhibit 15: Three daily fuel volatility scalars values developed for June 3 in each of three historic
years for a unit with a single fuel
If there is not fuel cost record for a given date, use the pervious available date.
Step 5 takes fuel futures and/or contract prices and the daily delivered fuel scalars from step 4
and multiplies them to create a fuel forecast that corresponds on an average monthly basis to
the fuel futures, yet maintains historical volatility. For units that have dual fuels, the fuel forwards
for the two fuels will be multiplied by their respective weights (derived from expected use of
each fuel), added together, and then multiplied by the daily fuel volatility scalar. For units with
some or all of their fuel procured by contract, the contract and fuel forwards are multiplied by
their respective weights (derived from expected use of each fuel) and added together and then
multiplied by the daily fuel volatility scalar. The current daily delivery charge adjustment will be
applied through the compliance period.
Unit with a single fuel:
DailyDeliveredFuelfy, m, d =
DailyFuelVolatilityScalary, m, d *
(WeigℎtSpotm*FuelForwardfy, m + (WeigℎtContract*ContractPrice))
Where WeightContractm + WeightContractm=1
Unit with duel fuel:
Permits the use of dual fuels for units that may burn multiple fuels or source fuels from different
areas at different prices. For units with restrictions on consumption of specific fuels, this method
allows accounting for both fuels in the same calculation.)
DailyDeliveredFuelfy, m, d =
DailyFuelVariabilityScalary, m, d *[WeigℎtFuelTypeAm
*(WeigℎtContractFuelTypeAm*ContractPriceFuelTypeAm
+ WeigℎtSpotFuelTypeAm *(DeliveryAdjustmentFuelTypeA
+ FuelForwardFuelTypeAfy, m)) + WeigℎtFuelTypeBm*(WeigℎtContractFuelTypeBm
* ContractPriceFuelTypeBm + WeigℎtSpotFuelTypeBm
* DeliveryAdjustmentFuelTypeB + FuelFowardFuelTypeBfy, m )]
Wℎere WeigℎtFuelTypeAm + WeigℎtFuelTypeBm = 1
Wℎere WeigℎtContractFuelTypeAm + WeigℎtSpotFuelTypeAm = 1
Wℎere WeigℎtContractFuelTypeBm + WeigℎtSpotFuelTypeBm = 1
Unit with a single fuel:
DailyDeliveredFuelForecast base 2007
June 3,2009, base 2007 = DailyFuelVolatilityScalar June 3, 2007*FuelForward June 2010
2008
DailyDeliveredFuelForecast base
June 3,2009, base 2008 = DailyFuelVolatilityScalar June 3, 2008*FuelForward June 2010
DailyDeliveredFuelForecast base 2009
June 3,2009, base 2009 = DailyFuelVolatilityScalar June 3, 2009*FuelForward June 2010
Exhibit 16: Create three daily delivered fuel forecasts from the volatilities of three historic years
12.5.6 Step 6: Create generating unit(s) cost for each of the three forecasts
In step 6, take the unit characteristics, future emission allowance prices, the three daily fuel
forecasts and create a daily unit cost for the three forecasts using the appropriate heat rate for
the forecast day. Unit costs do not include Start-up Costs will be added later in the calculation of
Unit Dispatch Cost. For each day in the three fuel forecasts, a unit dispatch cost is calculated as
follows:
base year
Unit Costfy, m, d =
$ base year
UnitHeatRate ( MMBtu
mwℎ )*DailyDeliveredFuelForecast MMBtu Future year, m, d] +
$
UnitHeatRate MMBtu lbs
mwℎ *UnitNOxEmissionRate MMBtu *Cost of NOx lb +
$
UnitHeatRate MMBtu lbs
mwℎ *UnitSO2EmissionRate MMBtu *Cost of SO2 lb +
$ 10% margin
UnitHeatRate MMBtu lbs
mwℎ *UnitCO2EmissionRate MMBtu *Cost of CO2 lb + VOM + }eitℎer a
OR FMU adder
Unit Heat Rate 10.35 MMBtu/MWH
Unit NOx Emission Rate 0.328 lbs/MMBtu
Unit SO2 Emission Rate 1.2 lbs/MMBtu
Unit CO2 Emission Rate 117 lbs/MMBtu
DailyDeliveredFuelForecast $5.56/MMBtu
Combined NOx Allowance cost $1375/ton
SO2 Allowance cost $200/ton
CO2 emission cost $8.00/ton
VOM & Maintenance Adder $2.22/MWh
FMU $0.00/MWh
10.35MMBtu $5.56
UnitCost = mwℎ * MMBtu
10.35MMBtu 0.328 lbs $1375.00 ton
+ mwℎ * MMBtu * ton * 2000 lbs
10.35MMBtu 1.2 lbs $200.00 ton
+ mwℎ * MMBtu * ton * 2000 lbs
10.35MMBtu 117 lbs $8 . 00 ton $2.22 $0
+ mwℎ * MMBtu * ton * 2000 lbs + MWℎ + MWℎ
base year $58.58 $2.33 $1.24 $4.84 $2.22
UnitCostfy, m, d = MWℎ + MWℎ + MWℎ + MWℎ + MWℎ = $69.21/ MWℎ
12.5.7 Step 7: Calculate the margin for every hour in the three hourly forecasts
Step 7 calculates the hourly margin the generator would receive by comparing the cost offer
developed in step 6 against the hourly forecasted bus LMPs developed in step 3. To remove
planned outages, for any future date that the unit will be offline, set the outage hours to
unavailable for all three forecasts.
For Units with minimum run time restrictions, this step calculates the total margins in blocks
of adjacent hours, based on the sum of the margins of each block and the minimum runtime
parameter restriction of the unit. Blocks may include additional incremental hours, if these hours
are found to be more valuable than the additional block, up to double the unit’s minimum
runtime. Adjacent hour blocks with equal or greater number of hours than double a unit’s
minimum run time will be split into multiple blocks (however, adjacent blocks do not use an
additional Start-up Cost). For units with Start-up Costs, the value of the unit’s Start-up Cost
divided by economic maximum will be subtracted from the total margin of each block that
contains a new start, but not from each subsequent incremental hour added to the block, in
order to correctly value hours that do not incur Start-up Costs. Calculate the total margins for all
blocks of hours in the three forecasts.
base year
TotalMarginBlock
block
base year base year
∑t = block + MRT − 1 (ForecastedBusLMPy t , m t , d t , ℎ t − UnitDispatcℎCostfuture y, m, d )
t = block
The Total Number of Hours variable represents the number of hours left in
the compliance period to be forecasted, and is based on the date calculated and whether or not
the unit has a rolling 12 month run-hour restriction.
This example uses block # 3788:
2007
TotalMarginBlockblock 3788
base year
= ∑tt == block
block + MRT − 1 baseyear
(ForecastedBusLMPy t , m t , d t , ℎ(t) − UnitDispatcℎCostfuture year)
=
∑tt == 3788
3788 + 1 − 1
(ForecastedBusLMPy2007
, m, d, ℎ(t) − UnitDispatcℎCosty2007
, m, d(t))
=
ForecastedBusLMPy2007
, m, d, ℎ 3788 − UnitDispatcℎCost y2007
, m, d, ℎ (3788)
= ForecastedBusLMP2007 2007
June 3, 2010 H07 − UnitDispatcℎCost June 3, 2010 = $78.27 − $69.21 = $9.06
Similarly,
2008
TotalMarginBlockblock 3788
= ForecastedBusLMP2008 2008
June 3, 2010 H07 − UnitDispatcℎCost June 3, 2010
= ForecastedBusLMP2009 2009
June 3, 2010 H07 − UnitDispatcℎCost June 3, 2010
At this point, the blocks of hours would be ranked according to the value of their total
margins.
For each of the three years, the opportunity cost component for that year will be the average
total margin of the lowest value block added before the run hour limit was reached. The three
opportunity costs will then be averaged to get the opportunity cost component available to the
generator. If the final opportunity cost component is less than zero then the opportunity cost
component will be set to zero.
The average value of the block which includes the
700tℎ ℎourbase 2007 = $7.99/ MWℎ
The average value of the block which includes the
700tℎ ℎourbase 2008 = $ − 2.54/ MWℎ
The average value of the block which includes the
700tℎ ℎourbase 2009 = $10.59/ MWℎ
700th hour opportunity cost component =
$7.99 + −$2.54 + $10.59
3 = $5.33/ MWℎ
12.6.1 Step 1: Derive Historical Monthly LMP Basis Differential between the generation
bus and western hub
As before with Opportunity Costs, PJM Western Hub (Western Hub) is a liquid trading point
for forward LMP prices. The mismatch between the location of the forward contract delivery
point Western Hub and the relevant generator bus can be accounted for in the historic monthly
average basis differential for peak and off-peak hours. The basis differential is an average for
the peak or off-peak hours intra-month of the hourly bus LMP to the hourly Western Hub LMP.
The result is a ratio of the bus to the hub by time. If this ratio is greater than one, it means the
bus LMP is greater than the Western Hub LMP. If this ratio is less than one, it means the bus
LMP is less than the Western Hub LMP on average. The resultant ratio can be applied to the
PJM Western Hub to shape it into the specific generator bus.
Platts-ICE Forward Curve for “PJM west” (PJM Western Hub) must be collected for this first
step (http://www.platts.com/). The PJM Western Hub daily forward prices are multiplied by the
historical basis adjustment ratio or shaping factor at the generator’s bus to approximate the
intra-month delivered bus prices.
Begin by taking the hourly intra-month bus prices for the three prior calendar years at the
generator’s bus, and for every hour, divide that hour’s price by the corresponding price at PJM
Western Hub. The historic hourly basis differential in hour h, day d, month m, and year y is:
HourlyBasisDifferentialRatioy, m, d, ℎ = BUSLMPy, m, d, ℎ / PJMWHLMPy, m, d, ℎ
Note:
When PJMWHLMP is zero and the BUSLMP is zero, then the ratio value is one. If PJMWHLMP
is zero and the BUSLMP is not zero then value is null and it is not included in the average.
BUSLMP June 3,2007 H11
HourlyBasisDifferentialRatio June 3,2007 H11 = PJMWHLMP June 3,2007 H11
BUSLMP June 3,2008 H11
HourlyBasisDifferentialRatio June 3,2008 H11 = PJMWHLMP June 3,2008 H11
BUSLMP June 3,2009 H11
HourlyBasisDifferentialRatio June 3,2009 H11 = PJMWHLMP June 3,2009 H11
Exhibit 20: Three Hourly Basis Differential Ratios Values for the same hour in Each of Three
Historical Years
Once the hourly basis ratios are calculated for every hour in the historic period take the sum of
the on-peak hourly basis differentials, and divide by the number of peak hours. Similarly sum
the off-peak hourly basis ratios, for the month then divide by the number of off-peak hours.
When calculating the intra-month peak basis differential ratio, all days in the month will be
used for the average. The intra-month basis differentials adjust PJM Western Hub daily peak
and off-peak DA prices to expected peak and off-peak daily forward prices delivered to the
generator’s bus.
MontℎlyPeakBasisDifferentialRatioypeak
,m
peak
∑peak ℎours (HourlyBasisDifferentialRatiosy ,m )
= Number of Peak Hours in montℎ m
MontℎlyPeakBasisDifferentialRatioypeak
,m
off − peak
∑off − peak ℎours (HourlyBasisDifferentialRatiosy ,m )
= Number of Off − Peak Hours in montℎ m
peak
MontℎlyPeakBasisDifferentialRatio June 2007
peak
∑peak ℎours (HourlyBasisDifferentialRatios June 2007)
= Number of peak ℎours in June 2007
peak
MontℎlyPeakBasisDifferentialRatio June 2008
peak
∑peak ℎours (HourlyBasisDifferentialRatios June 2008)
= Number of peak ℎours in June 2008
peak
MontℎlyPeakBasisDifferentialRatio June 2009
peak
∑peak ℎours (HourlyBasisDifferentialRatios June 2009)
= Number of peak ℎours in June 2009
Exhibit 21: Monthly Peak Basis Differentials for the Three Historical Periods
Multiply peak and off-peak basis differential ratios by the respective peak and off-peak PJM
Western hub forwards to derive forecasted peak and off-peak bus prices for each historical year.
When calculating the intra-monthly peak basis differential ratio all days in the month will be used
for the average.
peak
Forecasted Montly Bus Pricefy, m
peak peak
= [ PJMWesternHubfy , m * MontℎlyPeakBasisRatioy, m ]
OFFpeak
Forecasted Montly Bus Price June 2010, base 2007
OFFpeak OFFpeak
= [ PJMWHfor delivery June 2010 * MontℎlyOffPeakBasisDifferentialRatio June 2007 ]
OFFpeak
Forecasted Montly Bus Price June 2010, base 2008
OFFpeak OFFpeak
= [ PJMWHfor delivery June 2010 * MontℎlyOffPeakBasisDifferentialRatio June 2008 ]
OFFpeak
Forecasted Montly Bus Price June 2010, base 2009
OFFpeak OFFpeak
= [ PJMWHfor delivery June 2010 * MontℎlyOffPeakBasisDifferentialRatio June 2009 ]
Exhibit 22: Forecasted Monthly Bus Prices for Three Historical Periods
12.6.2 Step 2: Derive hourly volatility scalars to incorporate hourly volatility into the LMP
forecast
Daily forward prices are the average peak and off-peak prices for the next day and do not
include hourly LMP volatility. Step 2 derives an hourly volatility scalar. This scalar will later be
multiplied against the forecasted prices in Step 1 to develop an hourly bus LMP forecast that
incorporates historic hourly peak and off-peak LMP volatility.
First, for each historic month compute the average peak and off-peak price at the unit’s bus for
the intra-month. When calculating the monthly average bus LMP all days in the month will be
used for the average.
MontℎlyAverageBusLMPypeak
,m
peak
∑peak ℎours (HourlyBusLMPy, m, d, ℎ)
= Number of Peak ℎours in montℎ m
− peak
MontℎlyAverageBusLMPyoff
,m
off − peak
∑off − peak ℎours (HourlyBusLMPy, m, d, ℎ )
= Number of Off − Peak ℎours in montℎ m
Next, for every hour, take the hourly bus LMP divided by the relevant monthly average peak or
off-peak bus LMP computed above. If the hour is an on-peak hour, divide by the average peak
LMP for the month.
peak
peak BUSLMPy, m, d, ℎ
HourlyVolatilityScalary, m, d, ℎ = peak
MontℎlyAverageBusLMPy, m
If the hour is off-peak, divide that hour by the monthly off-peak average price for the
corresponding month.
off − peak
off − peak BUSLMPy, m, d, ℎ
HourlyVolatilityScalary, m, d, ℎ = off − peak
MontℎlyAverageBusLMPy, m
Example 10.1: Volatility scalar for the each of the three historical years:
BUSLMP June 3, 2007 H23
HourlyVolatilityScalar June 3, 2007 H23 = Average Offpeak June 2007 BUSLMP
Step 3 creates three hourly forecasts from the volatility scalars developed in step 2 and the
monthly bus LMP forecasts developed in Step 1. Multiply the hourly volatility scalars developed
in step 2 by the corresponding peak or off-peak from the historical year forecasted monthly bus
price calculated in Step 1.
The expected or forecasted LMP for hour h, day d, month m, based on year y that is a peak
hour is:
peak
ForecastedBUSLMPy, m, d, ℎ
peak
= HourlyVolatilityScalarypeak
, m, d, ℎ*ForecastedMontℎlyBusPricefy, m
The expected or forecasted LMP for hour h, day d, month m, based on year y that is an off-peak
hour is:
off − peak
ForecastedBUSLMPy, m, d, ℎ
− peak off − peak
= HourlyVolatilityScalaryoff
, m, d, ℎ *ForecastedMontℎlyBusPricefy, m
Example 11.1: Forecasted bus LMPs for one hour for each of the three historical base
years:
To create the set of three forecasted prices for each hour of June 3, 2010:
= HourlyVolatilityScalar June 3,2007 H00*ForecastedMontlyBusPriceoffpeak
June 2010
= HourlyVolatilityScalar June 3,2008 H00*ForecastedMontlyBusPriceoffpeak
June 2010
= HourlyVolatilityScalar June 3,2009 H00*ForecastedMontlyBusPriceoffpeak
June 2010
In the short term method, no volatility is applied to the fuel prices. Take the Day Ahead Price for
the appropriate fuel; add the delivery adder and this is the appropriate fuel price to use.
For units that have dual fuels; the daily delivered fuel prices need to be multiplied by their
respective weights and then added together. If there is no fuel cost record for a given date, use
the previous available value.
For units with some or all of their fuel procured by contract, the contract and DA fuel prices
are multiplied by their respective weights (derived from expected use of each fuel) and added
together and then multiplied by the daily fuel volatility scalar. The current daily delivery charge
adjustment will be applied through the compliance period.
Unit with a single fuel:
Daily Delivered Fuely, m, d
= WeigℎtSpotm*(Day Aℎead Fuel Price + Delivery Adjustment)
+(WeigℎtSpotm + (WiegℎtContractm*ContractPricem)
Wℎere Weigℎt Contractm + Weigℎt Spotm = 1
Unit with duel fuel:
The following equation permits use of dual fuels for units that may burn multiple fuels or
source fuels from different areas at different prices. For units with restrictions on consumption of
specific fuels, this method allows accounting for both fuels in the same calculation.
DailyDeliveredFuelfy, m, d
= [WeigℎtFuelTypeAm
*(WeigℎtContractFuelTypeAm
*ContractPriceFuelTypeAm
+ WeigℎtSpotFuelTypeAm
* DeliveryAdjustmentFuelTypeA + FuelForwardFuelTypeAfy, m )
+ WeigℎtFuelTypeBm*ContractPriceFuelTypeBm + WeigℎtSpotFuelTypeBm
* DeliveryAdjustmentFuelTypeB + FuelForwardFuelTypeBfy, m )
Wℎere Weigℎt Fuel Type Am + Weigℎt Fuel Type Bm = 1
Wℎere Weigℎt Contract Type Am + Weigℎt Spot Type Am = 1
Wℎere Weigℎt Contract Type Bm + Weigℎt Spot Type Bm = 1
12.6.5 Step 5: Create generating unit’s cost for each of the three forecasts
In Step 5, take the unit characteristics, future emission allowance prices, the three daily fuel
forecasts and create a daily unit cost for the three forecasts using the appropriate heat rate for
the forecast day. Unit costs do not include Start-up Costs, Start-up Costs will be added later in
the calculation of Unit Dispatch Cost. For each day in the three fuel forecasts, a unit dispatch
cost is calculated as follows:
base year
UnitCostfy, m, d
MMBtu $ base year
= { Unit Heat Rate MWℎ * Daily Delievered Fuel Forecast MMBtu Future y, m, d
MMBtu lbs $
+ Unit Heat Rate MWℎ *Unit NOxEmission Rate MMBtu *Cost of NOx lb
MMBtu lbs $
+ Unit Heat Rate MWℎ *Unit SO2Emission Rate MMBtu *Cost of SO2 lb
MMBtu lbs $
+ Unit Heat Rate MWℎ *Unit CO2Emission Rate MMBtu *Cost of CO2 lb
10% margin or
+ VOM} + eitℎer a{FMU adder
12.6.6 Step 6: Calculate the margin for every hour in the three hourly forecasts
Step 6 calculates the hourly margin the generator would receive by comparing the cost offer
developed in step 5 against the hourly forecasted bus LMPs developed in step 3.
For units with minimum run time restrictions, this step calculates total margins in blocks of
adjacent hours, based on the sum of the margins of each block and the minimum run time
parameter restriction of the unit. Blocks may include additional incremental hours, if these hours
are found to be more valuable than an additional block, up to double a unit’s minimum run time.
Adjacent hour blocks with equal or greater number of hours than double a unit’s minimum run
time will be split into multiple blocks (however adjacent blocks do not use an additional Start-up
Cost). For units with Start-up Costs, the value of the unit’s Start-up Cost divided by economic
maximum will be subtracted from the total margin of each block that contains a new start, but
not from each subsequent incremental hour added to the block, in order to correctly value hours
that do not incur Start-up Costs. Calculate the total margins for all blocks of hours in the three
forecasts:
base year block
TotalMarginBlockt = block + MRT − 1 base year base year
= ∑t = block (ForecastedBusLMPy t , m t , d t , ℎ(t) − UnitDispatcℎCostfuture y, m, d)
2007
TotalMarginBlockblock 3679
=
base year
∑tt == block
block + MRT − 1
(ForecastedBUSLMPyblock
t , m t , d t , ℎ(t) − UnitDispatcℎCostfuture y, m, d)
=
t = 3679 + 1 − 1 2007 2007
∑t = 3678 (ForecastedBUSLMPy t , m t , d t , ℎ(t) − UnitDispatcℎCostfuture y , m , d )
= ForecastedBusLMP2007 2007
June 3, 2010 H02 − UnitDispatcℎCost June 3, 2010
Similarly
2008
TotalMarginBlockblock 3679
= ForecastedBusLMP2008 2008
June 3, 2010 H02 − UnitDispatcℎCost June 3, 2010
And
2009
TotalMarginBlockblock 3679
= ForecastedBusLMP2009 2009
June 3, 2010 H02 − UnitDispatcℎCost June 3, 2010
At this point, the blocks of hours would be ranked according to the value of their total margins.
For each of the three years, the opportunity cost for that year will be the average total margin
of the lowest value block added before the run hour limit was reached. The three opportunity
costs will then be averaged to get the opportunity cost adder available to the generator. If the
opportunity cost adder is less than 0, the opportunity cost adder will be set to 0.
Tℎe average value of tℎe block wℎicℎ includes tℎe 700tℎ ℎourbase2007 = $18.33 MWℎ
Tℎe average value of tℎe block wℎicℎ includes tℎe 700tℎ ℎourbase2008 = $ − 2.50 MWℎ
Tℎe average value of tℎe block wℎicℎ includes tℎe 700tℎ ℎourbase2009 = $1.59 MWℎ
1
A separate opportunity cost adder, applicable to a specific portion of the generator’s offer
curve, may be appropriate for an environmental or operational limitation that applies to the
duct fire capability of the generator (e.g. duct fire hours limit). If it is determined that a duct
fire limit is binding, the corresponding opportunity cost is the shadow price corresponding to
the duct fire limit.
location of the forward contract delivery point (PJM Western Hub) and the relevant generator
bus. The hourly volatility scalar incorporates hourly volatility into the forward LMP.
Three different historical time periods will be identified and mapped on an hourly basis to
the optimization period. Historical on peak hours will be mapped to on peak hours in the
optimization period, and historical off peak hours will be mapped to off peak hours in the
optimization with adjustments made to ensure historical holiday and weekend days are mapped
to holiday and weekend days during the optimization period. For example, if the calculation date
is January 25, 2019 and the optimization period is one year into the future, then three different
historical time periods, each consisting of 8,760 hours from the three year period preceding
January 25, 2019, will be identified. Each of the three historical time periods will be mapped
to the 8,760 hours in the optimization period such that on peak hours are mapped to on peak
hours, off peak hours are mapped to off peak hours, holidays are mapped to holidays, and
weekend days are mapped to weekend days.
Three on peak and three off peak basis differentials will be computed for each futures contract
used in the calculation of the forward LMPs using the three historical time period mappings. The
on peak basis differential will be calculated as the average of the ratio of the hourly bus LMP
to the hourly Western Hub LMP, with the average being taken over all on peak hours during the
identified historical time period where the month corresponds to the futures contract month of
expiry. The off peak basis differential will be calculated as the average of the ratio of the hourly
bus LMP to the hourly Western Hub LMP, with the average being taken over all off peak hours
during the identified historical time period where the month corresponds to the futures contract
month of expiry.
Three hourly volatility scalars will be computed for each hour during the optimization period
based on the three different historical time period mappings. For an on peak hour in the
optimization period, the hourly volatility scalar will be calculated as the ratio of the historical bus
LMP to the average historical bus LMP, with the average being taken over all on peak hours
during the identified historical time period where the month corresponds to the month of the on
peak hour in the optimization period. For an off peak hour in the optimization period, the hourly
volatility scalar will be calculated as the ratio of the historical bus LMP to the average historical
bus LMP, with the average being taken over all off peak hours during the identified historical
time period where the month corresponds to the month of the off peak hour in the optimization
period.
the generator’s heat rate data, emission rate data, and VOM cost available in the Member
Information Reporting Application (MIRA), and emission futures prices. The calculation of hourly
operating cost is consistent with the calculation of cost based offers specified in PJM Manual
15.
The hourly operating cost or operating parameters may be adjusted in cases where the unit’s
historical offer behavior deviates from the short run marginal cost or the commitment and
dispatch of the generator has historically differed from expected economic outcomes due to
actions taken by the Transmission Provider or other factors outside the control of the Market
Participant. The application, and the magnitude and direction, of any adjustment is dependent
upon an expectation that the offer behavior or conditions that cause the noneconomic
commitment and dispatch of the unit will persist into the optimization period and that the unit will
be subject to mitigation.
2
The required opportunity cost is a solution of a constrained optimization problem and
the IMM Opportunity Cost Calculator uses an integer programming solver that finds
the maximum energy market revenue net of the generator’s short run marginal cost
of producing energy while simultaneously satisfying all generator parameter limits (e.g.
minimum run time, economic minimum economic maximum) and environmental or
operational limits.
Information that is currently included in the Cost Offer Assumptions (COA) or the Fuel Policy as
part of the Member Information Reporting Application (MIRA) does not need to be resubmitted.
generator’s Black Start Service revenue requirements shall be an annual calculation performed
in May and effective June 1 through May 31 of the following year.
Black Start Units selected prior to June 6, 2021 will utilize the Capital Recovery Rates as
published in Tariff, Schedule 6A. Black Start Units selected after June 6, 2021 will utilize the
CRFs as posted on the PJM website and updated annually as described in section 13.4 below.
Capital Recovery Factors (CRF) are calculated using the equation below:
sB mj
r (1 + r)N 1 − − s 1 − B 1 + r ∑Lj = 1
1+r (1 + r) j
CRF = N …
1 − s 1 + r[(1 + r) − 1]
Where:
• r is the After Tax Weighted Averga Cost of Capital (ATWACC)
ATWACC =
% equity cost of equity
+(% debt)(debt interest rate)(1 − effective tax rate)
• s is the effective tax rate which is calculated as
o If the 2-year change in the Moody Utility Index for bonds rated Baa1 is more than
200 basis points, this change will be added to the interest rate used in the most
recent Net CONE quadrennial review and used for the current year’s interest rate
• debt term equal to the recovery period,
• cost of equity equal to an after tax internal rate of return on equity of 12%.
Any changes to the debt/equity ratio and after tax internal rate of return on equity components
stated above shall be included in revisions to Tariff, Schedule 6A, Section 18
Debt Interest Rate Example Calculation
Value
Current year CRF Debt Interest Rate ATWACC + (only if greater than 200 basis points)
[ 2020 Moody Utility index – 2018 Moody Utility
Index]
Current year CRF Debt Interest Rate 8.0% + (only if greater than 200 basis points) [3.5% -
4.68%] = 8%
Effective as of March 1.
Interested parties shall have until April 15 of each year to contest PJM’s calculation of the
annual CRF value before it becomes effective on June 1 of each year. The timeline of the CRF
calculation process is shown below:
PJM determines annual CRF inputs March 1
• The cost of fuel shall be charged initially to Account 151, Fuel Stock (for Non-major
utilities, appropriate fuel accounts carried under Account 154, Plant Materials and
Operating Supplies), and cleared to this account on the basis of the fuel used. Fuel
handling expenses may be charged to this account as incurred or charged initially to
Account 152, Fuel Stock Expenses Undistributed (for Non-major utilities, an appropriate
sub account of Account 154, Plant Materials and Operating Supplies). In the latter event,
they shall be cleared to this account based on the fuel used. Respective amounts of fuel
stock and fuel stock expenses shall be readily available.
Items
Labor:
• Supervising purchasing and handling of fuel.
• All routine fuel analysis.
• Unloading from shipping facility and putting in storage.
• Moving of fuel in storage and transferring fuel from one station to another.
• Handling from storage or shipping facility to first bunker, hopper, bucket, tank or holder of
boiler-house structure.
• Operation of mechanical equipment, such as locomotives, trucks, cars, boats, barges,
cranes, etc.
Note:
Abnormal fuel handling expenses occasioned by emergency conditions shall be charge to
expense as incurred.
A.2.3 FERC FORM 1 ACCOUNT 512: Maintenance of Boiler Plant (Major only)
• This account shall include the cost of labor, materials used and expenses incurred in
the maintenance of steam plant, the book cost of which is includible in Account 312,
Boiler Plant Equipment. (See operating expense instruction 2; which can be found in this
manual, Attachment A.3.1)
• For the purposes of making charges hereto and to Account 513, Maintenance of Electric
Plant, the point at which steam plant is distinguished from electric plant is defined as
follows:
o Inlet flange of throttle valve on prime mover.
o Flange of all steam extraction lines on prime mover.
o Hotwell pump outlet on condensate lines.
o Inlet flange of all turbine-room auxiliaries.
o Connection to line side of motor starter for all boiler-plant equipment.
A.2.4 FERC FORM 1 ACCOUNT 513: Maintenance of Electric Plant (Major only)
This account shall include the cost of labor, materials used and expenses incurred in the
maintenance of electric plant, the book cost of which is includible in Account 313, Engines and
Engine-Driven Generators, Account 314, Turbogenerator Units, and Account 315, Accessory
Electric Equipment. (See operating expense instruction 2, which can be found in this manual,
Attachment A.3.1and paragraph B of Account 512.which can be found above in A.2.3)
A.2.5 FERC FORM 1 ACCOUNT 518: Nuclear Fuel Expense (Major only)
• This account shall debit and Account 120.5, Accumulated Provision for Amortization of
Nuclear Fuel Assemblies, credited for the amortization of the net cost of nuclear fuel
assemblies used in the production of energy. The net cost of nuclear fuel assemblies
subject to amortization shall be the cost of the nuclear fuel assemblies plus or less the
expected net salvage of uranium, plutonium, and other byproducts and unburned fuel.
The utility shall adopt the necessary procedures to assure that charges to this account
are distributed according to the thermal energy produced in such periods.
• This account shall also include the costs involved when fuel is leased.
• This account shall also include the cost of other fuels, used for ancillary steam facilities,
including superheat.
• This account shall be debited or credited as appropriate for significant changes in
the amounts estimated as the net salvage value of uranium, plutonium, and other
byproducts contained in Account 157, Nuclear Materials Held for Sale and the amount
realized upon the final disposition of the materials. Significant declines in the estimated
realizable value of items carried in Account 157 may be recognized at the time of market
price declines by charging this account and crediting Account 157. When the declining
change occurs while the fuel is recorded in Account 120.3, Nuclear Fuel Assemblies in
Reactor, the effect shall be amortized over the remaining life of the fuel.
A.2.6 FERC FORM 1 ACCOUNT 530: Maintenance of Reactor Plant Equipment (Major
only)
This account shall include the cost of labor, materials used and expenses incurred in the
maintenance of reactor plant, the book cost of which is includible in Account 322, Reactor Plant
Equipment.
A.2.7 FERC FORM 1 ACCOUNT 531: Maintenance of Electric Plant (Major only)
This account shall include the cost of labor, materials used and expenses incurred in the
maintenance of electric plant, the book cost of which is includible in Account 323, Turbo-
generator Units, and account 324, Accessory Electric Equipment.
A.2.8 FERC FORM 1 ACCOUNT 543: Maintenance of Reservoirs, Dams, and Waterways
(Major only)
This account shall include the cost of labor, materials used and expenses incurred in the
maintenance of plant, includible in Account 332, Reservoirs, Dams, and Waterways. (See
operating expense instruction 2, which can be found in this manual, Attachment A.3.1.)
However, the cost of labor materials used and expenses incurred in the maintenance of fish and
wildlife, and recreation facilities, the book cost of which is includible in Account 332, Reservoirs,
Dams, and Waterways, shall be charged to Account 545, Maintenance of Miscellaneous
Hydraulic Plant.
A.2.9 FERC FORM 1 ACCOUNT 544: Maintenance of Electric Plant (Major only)
This account shall include the cost of labor, materials used and expenses incurred in the
maintenance of plant includible in Account 333, Water Wheels, Turbines and Generators, and
Account 334, Accessory Electric Equipment. (See operating expense instruction 2, which can
be found in this manual, Attachment A.3.1.)
• If the book cost of any property is carried in Account 102, Electric Plant Purchased
or Sold, the cost of maintaining such property shall be charged to the accounts for
maintenance of property of the same class and use, the book cost of which is carried in
other electric plant in service accounts. Maintenance of property leased from others shall
be treated as provided in operating expense instruction 3.
Items
• Direct field supervision of maintenance
• Inspecting, testing, and reporting on condition of plant specifically to determine the need
for repairs, replacements, rearrangements and changes and inspecting and testing the
adequacy of repairs that have been made
• Work performed specifically for the purpose of preventing failure, restoring serviceability
or maintaining life of plant
• Rearranging and changing the location of plant not retired
• Repairing for reuse materials recovered from plant
• Testing for locating and clearing trouble
• Net cost of installing, maintaining, and removing temporary facilities to prevent
interruptions in service
• Replacing or adding minor items of plant that do not constitute a retirement unit (See
electric plant instruction 10)
Note:
ELECTRIC PLANT INSTRUCTION 10 Rents includes amounts paid for the use of construction
quarters and office space occupied by construction forces and amounts properly includible in
construction costs for such facilities jointly used.
• The cost, when incurred by the lessee, of operating and maintaining leased property,
shall be charged to the accounts appropriate for the expense if the property were owned.
• The cost incurred by the lessee of additions and replacements to electric plant leased
from others shall be accounted for as provided in electric plant instruction.
Each diamond in the graph above indicates one hourly heat input data point calculated from
plant instrumentation during operations. A regression analysis was performed on the data
collected to obtain the unit’s Heat Input curve as a function of unit’s output with oil as a fuel:
No − load Fuel = 306.744 MMBtu / Hr
$
No Lad Cost Hour = No Load Fuel*Performance Factor*TFRC
$14.00 $4,380
= 306.744 MMBtu
ℎr *1.02* MMBtu = ℎr
The unit’s Cost Curve must be developed to determine if adjustments are needed for the unit’s
No-Load Cost. The Heat Input Curve Equation is used to determine the units heat input at
various outputs. Total Operating Cost is calculated by:
VOM = $0.15/MMBtu
$
Total Operating Cost ℎr = Heat Input*Performance Factor*(TFRC + VOM)
50 795.12 11,476
The unit’s Incremental Cost ($/MWh) at various outputs can be determined arithmetically by the
following equation:
$ Total Operating Cost MW1
Incremental Cost MWℎ = Total Operating Cost MW2 − (MW2 − MW1)
50 141.91
160 144.59
310 150.46
410 156.10
525 160.95
550 164.11
When calculating the first increment, MW1 is zero and the Total Operating Cost MW1 is the
No-Load Cost. Since the Incremental Costs are monotonically increasing, no adjustment to the
No-Load Cost is required.
The unit’s Incremental Cost ($/MWh) at various output levels can also be determined by using
the derivative of the Heat Input Curve:
$
Incremental Cost MWℎ
50 142.10
160 147.07
310 153.84
410 158.36
525 163.55
550 164.68
Each diamond in the graph above is a design heat input data point obtained from the original
equipment manufacturer or calculated by heat balance. A regression analysis was performed on
the design data to obtain the unit’s Heat Input curve as a function of unit’s output with natural
gas as a fuel:
No Load Cost $/ ℎr = No Load Fuel*Performance Factor*TFRC
= 578.23 MMBtu / ℎr*1.02*$4.00/ MMBtu = $2,359/ ℎr
The unit’s Cost Curve must be developed to determine if adjustments are needed for the unit’s
No-Load Cost. The Heat Input Curve Equation is used to determine the unit’s heat input at
various unit output levels. Total Operating Cost is calculated by:
Maintenance Factor = 1.0 for Minimum & Base (= 3.0 for Peak)
VOM = $75.00/ESH
Total Operating Cost $/ ℎr
= Heat Input*Performance Factor*TFRC + Maintenance Factor*VOM
70 879.02 3,662
90 1054.57 4,378
The unit’s Incremental Cost ($/MWh) at various unit output levels can be determined
arithmetically by the following equation:
Incremental Cost $/ MWℎ
Total Operating Cost MW2 − Total Operating Cost MW1
= MW2 − MW1
70 18.61
90 35.82
100 64.42
When calculating the first increment, MW1 is zero and the Total Operating Cost MW1 is the
No-Load Cost. Since the Incremental Costs are monotonically increasing, no adjustment to the
No-Load Cost is required.
The unit’s Incremental Cost ($/MWh) at various unit output levels can also be determined by
using the derivative of the Heat Input Curve:
Incremental Cost $/ MWℎ
∆ VOM
= ((2*0.0498*MW + 0.8122)*Performance Factor*TFRC) + ∆ MW
Since VOM is in the units of $/hr it can only be added to the first incremental and any
incremental where the maintenance factor changes.
Output (MW) Incremental Cost ($/MWh)
70 32.83
90 39.89
100 66.45
The No-Load Cost is calculated by subtracting the incremental cost (unit’s economic minimum
cost-offer value multiplied by MW value) at the unit’s economic minimum point from the total
cost (from the heat input at economic minimum value) at the unit’s economic minimum point.
No − Load Cost $/ ℎr
= Economic Minimum Heat Input*Performance Factor*TFRC
+ VOM − (Economic Minimum Incremental Cost*Economic Minimum MW)
= 879.02 MMBtu / ℎr*1.02*$4.00/ MMBtu
+ $75.00/ ESH − $32.83/ MWℎ*70MW = $1,363.30/ ℎr
Differences in the calculated No-Load Cost between the two methods are due to the differences
in using a block average cost offer method versus a sloped derivative cost offer. When using
the derivative method, user must select “Use Sloped Offer” when entering cost information into
Markets Gateway.
Each diamond in the graph above is a design heat input data point obtained from the original
equipment manufacturer or calculated by heat balance. A regression analysis was performed
on the design data to obtain the unit’s Heat Input curve as a function of unit output levels with
natural gas as a fuel:
Heat Input (MMBtu / Hr) = 0.0078*MW2 + 4.5164*MW + 312.36
Then the No-Load Fuel at Zero output is:
No − Load Fuel = 312.36 MMBtu / ℎr
The initial estimate of a unit’s No-Load Cost ($/hr) is:
Performance Factor = 1.02
Total Fuel related Cost (TFRC) = $4.00/MMBtu
No Load Cost $/ ℎr =
No Load Fuel*Performance Factor*TFRC
= 312.36 MMBtu / ℎr*1.02*$4.00/ MMBtu = $1,274/ ℎr
The unit’s Cost Curve must be developed to determine if adjustments are needed for the unit’s
No-Load Cost. The Heat Input Curve Equation is used to determine the units heat input at
various unit output levels. Total Operating Cost is calculated by:
The unit’s Incremental Cost ($/MWh) at various unit output levels can be determined
arithmetically by the following equation:
Incremental Cost $/ MWℎ =
Total Operating Cost MW1
Total Operating Cost MW2 − (MW2 − MW1)
105 22.48
135 26.06
270 31.87
300 32.72
When calculating the first increment, MW1 is zero and the Total Operating Cost MW1 is the
No-Load Cost. Since the Incremental Costs are monotonically increasing, no adjustment to the
No-Load Cost is required.
The unit’s Incremental Cost ($/MWh) at various unit output levels can also be determined by
using the derivative of the Heat Input Curve:
Incremental Cost $/ MWℎ =
((2*0.0078*MW + 4.5164)*Performance Factor*TFRC) + ∆ VOM / ∆ MW
Since VOM is in the units of $/hr it can only be added to the first incremental and any
incremental where the maintenance factor changes.
Output (MW) Incremental Cost ($/MWh)
105 25.82
135 27.02
270 36.17
300 37.52
The No-Load Cost is calculated by subtracting the incremental cost (unit’s economic minimum
cost-offer value multiplied by MW value) at the unit’s economic minimum point from the total
cost (from the heat input at economic minimum value) at the unit’s economic minimum point.
NO − Load Cost $/ ℎr
= Economic Minimum Heat Input*Performance Factor*TFRC) + VOM
− Economic Minimum Incremental Cost*Economic Minimum MW
= 872.58 MMBtu / ℎr*1.02*$4.00/ MMBtu + $75.00/ ESH
− $25.82/ MWℎ*105MW = $924.03/ ℎr
Since VOM is in the units of $/hr it can only be added to the first incremental and any
incremental where the maintenance factor changes.
Differences in the calculated No-Load Cost between the two methods are due to the differences
in using a block average cost offer method versus a sloped derivative cost offer. When using
the derivative method, user must select “Use Sloped Offer” when entering cost information into
Markets Gateway.
Each diamond in the graph above indicates one hourly heat input data point calculated from
plant instrumentation during operations. A regression analysis was performed on the data
collected to obtain the unit’s Heat Input curve as a function of various unit output levels with
oil as a fuel:
Heat Input MMBtu / ℎr = 0.000148321*MW2 + 10.7195*MW + 238.232
Then the No-Load Fuel at zero output is:
No Load Fuel = 238.232 MMBtu / ℎr
The unit’s Cost Curve must be developed to determine if adjustments are needed for the unit’s
No-Load Cost. The Heat Input Curve Equation is used to determine the units heat input at
various unit output levels. Total Operating Cost is calculated by:
VOM = $0.15/MMBtu
Total Operation Cost $/ ℎr =
Heat Input*Performance Factor*(TFRC + VOM
50 774.58 3,279
The unit’s Incremental Cost ($/MWh) at various unit output levels can be determined
arithmetically by the following equation:
Total Operating Cost MW2 − Total Operating Cost MW1
Incremental Cost $/ MWℎ = MW2 − MW1
50 46.14
160 45.51
310 45.67
410 45.83
525 45.96
550 46.05
When calculating the first increment, MW1 is zero and the Total Operating Cost MW1 is the
No-Load Cost. However due to the quality of the heat input data, the first increment of the cost
offer was greater than the second increment. This is shown in the graph below:
The No-Load Cost was then raised to $1007.76 until the first increment of the cost offer was
less than $1/MWh below the second increment, producing a monotonically increasing curve in
the graph below:
To avoid making adjustments to the No-Load Cost, first calculate the unit’s Incremental Cost
($/MWh) at various outputs using the derivative of the Heat Input Curve:
Incremental Cost $/ MWℎ
= 2*0.000148321*MW + 10.7195 *Performance Factor*(TFRC + VOM)
50 45.43
160 45.58
310 45.76
410 45.89
525 46.03
550 46.06
The No-Load Cost is calculated by subtracting the incremental cost (unit’s economic minimum
cost-offer value multiplied by MW value) at the unit’s economic minimum point from the total
cost (from the heat input at economic minimum value) at the unit’s economic minimum point.
No − Load Cost $/ ℎr
= Economic Minimum Heat Input*Performance Factor* TFRC + VOM
− Economic Minimum Incremental Cost*Economic Minimum MW
= 774.58 MMBtu / ℎr*1.02* $4.00/ MMBtu + $0.15/ MMBtu − $45.43/ MWℎ*50MW = $1007.3/ ℎr
Differences in the calculated No-Load Cost between the two methods are due to the differences
in using a block average cost offer method versus a sloped derivative cost offer. When using
the derivative method, user must select “Use Sloped Offer” when entering cost information into
Markets Gateway.
Each diamond in the graph above is a design heat input data point obtained from the original
equipment manufacturer or calculated by heat balance. A regression analysis can be performed
on the design data to obtain the unit’s Heat Input curve as a function of various unit output
levels with natural gas as a fuel:
Heat Input (MMBtu / Hr) =
The unit’s Heat Input Curve Equation or actual measured fuel input data is used to determine
the units heat input at its maximum output (100MW).
Heat Input (MMBtu/Hr) =
0.0498*MW2 + 0.8122*100 + 578.23
0.0498* 1002 + 0.8122*100 + 578.23 = 1157.28 MMBtu / ℎr
The unit’s Incremental Cost ($/MWh) at maximum output with a zero No-Load Cost is calculated
by:
Incremental Cost ($/MWh) =
Total Operating Cost / Maximum Output
= ($5,022/ ℎr)/(100MW) = $50.22/ MWℎ
Revision History
Revision 41 (10/1/2022):
• Reserve Price Formation changes are reflected in Sections 4.7, 5.7, 6.7, 7.7, 8.1 and
11.7
o Removed references to Tier 1 and Tier 2 due to the Tier 1/Tier 2 consolidation
o The Variable Operations and Maintenance component was removed from
Synchronized Reserve offers
o The existing $7.50/MWh offer margin was reduced to the expected value of the
penalty
o Added the expected value of the penalty calculations
o Removed Exhibit 10: Steam Unit Synchronized Reserve Example
Revision 40 (06/07/2022):
• Revised Section 2.2.1 Submission of and/or Modifications to Fuel Cost Policies
• Revised Section 2.2.2 Fuel Cost Calculation
Revision 39 (12/15/2021):
• Revised Section 1.7.3 No-Load Cost Definition
• Revised Section 1.7.4 Incremental Energy Cost Definition
• Consolidate Section 2.1 Heat Rate and Section 2.2 Performance Factor into Section 2.1
Heat Rate Input/Rates and Performance Factors
• Revised Section 2.1 Heat Input definition and Heat Input and Incremental Heat Rate
equations
• Moved Section 2.3 Fuel Cost Policies and Guidelines to Section 2.2
• Revised Section 2.2.3 and 2.2.4 to replace Other Fuel Related Cost with Operating Cost
• Created new Section Incremental Energy Cost
• Revised Section 2.5.1 No-Load definition, Section 2.5.2 No-load Fuel, and Section 2.5.3
No-Load Calculation
• Added Section 2.9 Ten Percent Adder
• Consolidated Section 3.1 Nuclear Heat Rate and Section 3.2 Performance Factor into
Section 3.1 Nuclear Heat Input/Rate and Performance Factor
Revision 38 (6/6/2021):
• Added Section 13 Black Start Capital Recovery Guidelines
Revision 37 (12/9/2020)
• Biennial Review
o Handy Whitman removed from M15 and moved to PJM.com (link in Section 2.6.3)
o Generic documentation language previously included in all Fuel Cost Policies added
to Section 2.3
o Language regarding penalty gas application added for additional clarity around
current PJM practices in Section 2.3.2
o Additional clarity to Operating Costs
− Moved Operating Costs to Section 2.6
− Reworded Section 2.6.1 to align with OA Schedule 2
o Additional clarity to Maintenance Costs
− Use of Equivalent Service Hour (ESH) adder in Section 5.6.3 and 6.6.3
− Included example of allowable/not allowable expenses
Revision 36 (09/01/2020):
• Section 2.3:
o Updates to reflect revised Fuel Cost Policy rules from Operating Agreement,
Schedule 2 based on key work activities from MIC Special Session: Fuel Cost Policy
Enhancements
o Removal of Annual Review Process
o Updates to Fuel Cost policy review process
Revision 35 (04/24/2020):
• Section 12:
o Update to reflect suspension of PJM Opportunity Cost Calculator
o Update Independent Market Monitor Opportunity Cost Calculator methodology
Revision 34 (02/11/2020):
• Conforming VOM adder format rules to FERC Dockets ER19-210 and EL19-8
Revision 33 (12/03/2019):
• FERC Order 841 Energy Storage Resources changes:
o Section 11 – Batteries and Flywheels
• Equation clarified in Section 7.3
• Changes were approved by PJM Board on December 4, 2019
Revision 32 (05/13/2019):
• FERC VOM Order Docket No. ER19-210-001 conforming changes:
o Sections 2.3, 2.6, 3.6, 4.6, 5.6, 6.6, 7.6, 9.6
• Revised Exhibit 1: Handy Whitman Index to reflect figures for the year 2019
Revision 31 (02/15/2019):
• Incorporate Independent Market Monitor Opportunity Cost Calculator methodology
Revision 30 (12/04/2018):
• Biennial Review
Revision 29 (5/15/2017):
• Fuel Cost Policy and Hourly Offers conforming changes:
o Section 1.8, 2.3, 2.3.1, 2.3.1.1, 2.3.1.2, 2.3.1.3
• Additional changes to require submission to PJM and MMU
• Removed references to Manual 35 as this has been retired
Revision 28 (10/18/2016):
Biennial Review and Administrative Changes:
• Unit Owner changed to Market Seller
• Capitalization, Abbreviations, Grammar
• Pumped Storage Hydro
• Demand Resource
Revision 27 (04/20/2016):
Administrative Changes:
• Updated references eMKT to Markets Gateway
• Operating Parameter Definition Updates
Revision 26 (11/05/2014):
Revision 25 (07/28/2014):
• Update to the Handy Whitman Index numbers chart in section 2.6.1
Revision 24 (03/01/2014):
• Cyclic peaking and starting factors for combined cycle and combustion turbines in
sections 2.6.4, 4, 5, and 6 were updated to reflect how to use OEM values. A reference
was added for extended cold start.
Revision 23 (08/01/2013):
• Regulation Cost Based Offer update shifting manual language from Manual 11 to Manual
15
• Updated Section 2.8 related to Regulation cost based offers and 11.8 for Energy Storage
units and Regulation
Revision 22 (06/01/2013):
• Update to the Handy Whitman Index numbers chart in section 2.6.1
Revision 21 (04/01/2013):
• Added sections for hydro, energy storage, wind, solar and biofuel powered generation
resources.
• Added shutdown cost language for DSR resources participating in synchronous reserve.
• Modified the Cost Development and Approval process to include more than generation
resources.
Revision 20 (11/01/2012):
• Added section 2.6.5 to define maintenance cost calculation for immature units
• Updated Long Term Maintenance Cost language for Combustion Turbines and
Combined Cycles for additional clarity
Revision 19 (06/01/2012):
• Updated Handy Whitman Index with actual for 2011 and estimate for 2012.
Revision 18 (02/08/2012):
• Removes overhaul costs for Combined Cycles and (CCs) Combustion Turbines (CTs)
from Variable Operation and Maintenance Cost (VOM). Section 5.6, 5.6.2 and 6.2
• Adds clarity to the development of No Load Costs. Section 1.7.3, 2.1 and Attachment B
• Updates Manual 15 to be consistent with the tariff with respect to Non-Regulatory and
Energy Market Opportunity Costs. Section 9
Revision 15 (10/27/2010):
• Modifies Section 8: Opportunity Cost Guidelines to conform to FERC Order EL08-47-005
allowing for the inclusion of Opportunity Costs for Energy or Environmental Limitation
Revision 14 (06/01/2010):
• Section 5: Updated Chronology of Maintenance Adder Escalation Index Numbers for the
year 2010.
Revision 13 (05/07/2010):
• Section 5: Updated Maintenance Period for the choice of 20 years or 10 years and
added Unit Configuration Addition Maintenance Adder language
Revision 12 (02/23/2010):
• Section 9: Updated Regulation Cost Guidelines approved 8/25/2009
Revision 11 (12/02/2009):
• Section 4: Updated Fuel Cost Policy Guidelines
Revision 10 (06/01/2009):
• Section 5: Updated Chronology of Maintenance Adder Escalation Index Numbers for the
year 2009.
Revision 09 (01/23/2009):
• Section 4: Added CO2 emission allowance cost to TFRC calculation. Updates to the
TFRC cost equation reflect addition of CO2 emission allowance cost.
• Section 5L: Updated Chronology of Maintenance Adder Escalation Index Numbers for
the year 2008.
• Attachment A: TFRC equation updated to reflect addition of CO2 emission allowance
cost.
Revision 08 (10/16/2007):
• Exhibit 1 — Updated Chronology of Maintenance Adder Escalation Index Numbers for
the year 2007.
Revision 07 (08/03/2006):
• Exhibit 1—Updated to include the new Manual 30: Alternative Collateral Program.
• Section 4—Added definition for Total Fuel-Related Costs for Pumped Storage Hydro
Plant Generation.
• Section 5—Added guidelines for Long Term Service Contract Cost Recovery.
• Exhibit 2—Updated Chronology of Maintenance Adder Escalation Index Numbers for the
year 2006.
• Section 7—Modified terminology for Spinning Synchronized Reserve.
Revision 06 (03/02/2006):
• Added guidelines for no-load fuel costs for Combustion Turbines to Section 1 and
Section 2.
• Added “Long Term Maintenance Expenses” definition for Combustion Turbine and
Combined Cycle Plants to Section 5.
• Revisions were made on the following pages: 8, 9, and 20-22.
Revision 05 (08/18/2005):
• Updated Exhibit 1 to include new PJM Manuals.
• Updated Exhibit 2, Chronology of Maintenance Adder Escalation Index Numbers, for the
year 2005.
Revision 04 (09/01/2004):
• Insert new section nine into the CDS Manual
Revision 03 (06/01/2004):
• Revised table "Chronology of Maintenance Adder Escalation Index Numbers" in Section
5 to reflect figures for the year 2004.
• Reformatted to reflect the new PJM format and style.
• Updated list of PJM Manuals to reflect title changes and additional Manuals
Revision 02 (06/01/2003):
• Revised table in Section 5.6, “Chronology of Maintenance Adder Escalation Index
Numbers”, for the year 2003
Revision 01 (12/01/2002):
• This revision incorporates changes to Section 7: Spinning Cost Guidelines. These
changes reflect the rules associated with the new PJM Spinning Reserve Market.
Revision 00 (12/01/2002):
• This revision is the preliminary draft of the PJM Manual for Cost Development
Guidelines (M-15). Prior to Revision 00 of this Manual, a document with this name
existed under direction of the PJM Operating Committee. Revision 00 was the first
issuance of this Manual under the approval of the PJM Board of Directors, pursuant to
Schedule 2 of the Operating Agreement of the PJM Interconnection, L.L.C.