Lecture 37
Lecture 37
Lecture 37
ASSIGNMENT
QUIZ
Alternative Hypothesis
Level of Significance
Test Statistic
Inference
Hypothesis Tests
A hypothesis test is a process that uses sample statistics to
test a claim about the value of a population parameter.
If a manufacturer of rechargeable batteries claims
that the batteries, they produce are good for an
average of at least 1,000 charges, a sample would be
taken to test this claim.
P is the area to
the left of the
test statistic.
z
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Test
statistic
Right-tailed Test
2. If the alternative hypothesis contains the greater-than
symbol (>), the hypothesis test is a right-tailed test.
H0: μ k
H1: μ > k
P is the area to
the right of the
test statistic.
z
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Test
statistic
Two-tailed Test
3. If the alternative hypothesis contains the not-equal-to
symbol (), the hypothesis test is a two-tailed test. In a
two-tailed test, each tail has an area of 2P.
1
H0: μ = k
H1: μ k
P is twice the
P is twice the area to the right
area to the left of the positive
of the negative test statistic.
test statistic.
z
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Test Test
statistic statistic
Identifying Types of Tests
Example:
For each claim, state H0 and Ha. Then determine whether the
hypothesis test is a left-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed test.
a.) A cigarette manufacturer claims that less than one-
eighth of the US adult population smokes cigarettes.
H0: p 0.125
H1: p < 0.125 (Claim) Left-tailed test
b.) A local telephone company claims that the average
length of a phone call is 8 minutes.
H0: μ = 8 (Claim)
H1: μ 8 Two-tailed test
Making a Decision
Decision Rule Based on P-value
To use a P-value to make a conclusion in a hypothesis test,
compare the P-value with .
1. If P , then reject H0.
2. If P > , then fail to reject H0.
Claim
Decision Claim is H0 Claim is H1
There is enough evidence to There is enough evidence to
Reject H0 reject the claim. support the claim.
There is not enough evidence There is not enough evidence
Do not reject H0 to reject the claim. to support the claim.
Interpreting a Decision
Example:
You perform a hypothesis test for the following claim. How
should you interpret your decision if you reject H0? If you
fail to reject H0?
H0: (Claim) A cigarette manufacturer claims that less
than one-eighth of the US adult population smokes
cigarettes.
If H0 is rejected, you should conclude “there is sufficient
evidence to indicate that the manufacturer’s claim is false.”
If you fail to reject H0, you should conclude “there is not
sufficient evidence to indicate that the manufacturer’s claim
is false.”
Steps for Hypothesis Testing
1. State the claim mathematically and verbally. Identify the
null and alternative hypotheses.
H 0: ? H 1: ? This sampling distribution
is based on the assumption
that H0 is true.
2. Specify the level of significance.
=?
3. Determine the standardized
sampling distribution and z
0
draw its graph.
Reject H0.
7. Write a statement to interpret the decision in the context of
the original claim.