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Tutorial 3

This document summarizes probability distributions, including the binomial, Poisson, and normal distributions. It provides examples of calculating probabilities for each distribution. For the binomial distribution, it calculates probabilities related to seed germination rates and credit card user demographics. For the Poisson distribution, it examines accident rates and typing errors. For the normal distribution, it analyzes costs, incomes, tax refunds, and bag weights.

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30 views

Tutorial 3

This document summarizes probability distributions, including the binomial, Poisson, and normal distributions. It provides examples of calculating probabilities for each distribution. For the binomial distribution, it calculates probabilities related to seed germination rates and credit card user demographics. For the Poisson distribution, it examines accident rates and typing errors. For the normal distribution, it analyzes costs, incomes, tax refunds, and bag weights.

Uploaded by

鼠哥哥
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
Available Formats
Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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BQT1614, QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS TRI1, 2020/2021

Tutorial 3
Topic 4: Probability Distributions

Binomial Distribution
1. A certain type of cucumber seed germinates 95% of the time. A backyard farmer planted 30 seeds.

i) What is the probability that exactly 25 seeds germinate?


ii) What is the probability that 28 or fewer seeds germinate?
iii) What is the expected number of seeds that germinate?

2. A credit card company knows that 70% of its customers are males. The company is considering
randomly selected five people each month to receive a free vacation.

i) What is the probability in a given month that all five people selected will be males?
ii) Suppose that in a given month, all five people selected are females. What is the probability of this
happening?

3. At a shopping mall, it is found that there is 70% of the customers pay by credit card. A random sample
of 9 customers has been chosen, find the probability that

i) exactly 2 customers pay by credit card.


ii) more than 6 customers pay by credit card.

4. Recent statistics suggest that 20 percent of those who visit a retail site on the World Wide Web make a
purchase. A retailer wished to verify this claim. To do so, he selected a sample of 12 hits to his site and
found that 4 had actually made a purchase.

i) What is the likelihood of exactly 4 purchases?


ii) How many purchases should he expect?
iii) What is the likelihood of 3 or more purchases?

Poisson Distributions
1. The number of accidents in a production facility has a Poisson distribution with a mean of 2.4 per
month.

i) For a given month what is the probability that there will be fewer than two accidents?
ii) For a given month what is the probability that there will be at least three accidents?
iii) For a given week (assuming one month consists of 4 weeks), what is the probability that there will
be no more than one accident?

2. The average typo errors done by a typist on each page of the paper is 1. Find the probability that
i) there are three typo errors on each page.
ii) there are 5 typo errors on a randomly selected double page.

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BQT1614, QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS TRI1, 2020/2021

3. The number of bacterial colonies on a petri dish can be modelled by a Poisson distribution with average
number 2.5 per cm2. Find the probability that

i) in 1 cm2 there are no bacterial colonies,


ii) in 2 cm2 there are more than four bacterial colonies,
iii) in 4 cm2 there are six bacterial colonies.

Normal Distributions
1. A contractor has concluded from his experience that the cost of building a bungalow is a normally
distributed random variable with a mean of RM600,000 and a standard deviation of RM50,000.

i) What is the probability that the cost of building a bungalow will be between RM560,000 and
RM640,000?
ii) Find the amount (in RM) such that only 20% of the cost of building a bungalow will be more than
this amount.

2. A marketing research company in their recent study found that the annual household income in a city is
normally distributed with a mean of RM38000 and a standard deviation of RM6100.

i) What is the proportion if the annual household income is between RM35000 and RM40000?
ii) If an advertising campaign will to be launched, and the target is for those who have income in the top
30%. Find the minimum income for this target group.

3. According to the Public Revenue Service, the mean tax refund for the year 2008 was RM2,454. Assume
the standard deviation is RM650 and that the amounts refunded follow a normal distribution.

i) What is the percentage that the refund is more than RM3,000?


ii) What is the percentage that the refund is more than RM3,000 but less than RM3,500?

4. Canine Crunchies Inc.(CCI) sells large bags of dog food to warehouse clubs. CCI has an automatic
filling process to fill the bags. Weights of the filled bags are normally distributed with a mean of 50kg
and a standard deviation of 1.25kg.

i) What is the probability that a randomly sampled filled bag will weigh between 48.5 and 51kg?
ii) What is the minimum weight of a bag of dog food could be in order to remain in top 15% of all bags
filled?

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