CMS Financial Report For Fiscal Year 2022
CMS Financial Report For Fiscal Year 2022
CMS Financial Report For Fiscal Year 2022
FY 2022
Original Publication:
November 2022
Publication Number: 12114
AT A GLANCE
The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) is an operating division within the Department of Health and Human Services
(HHS). The CMS Agency Financial Report for fiscal year (FY) 2022 presents the agency’s detailed financial information relative to our
mission and the stewardship of those resources entrusted to us. This report is organized into the following three sections:
i
1 MANAGEMENT’S
DISCUSSION &
ANALYSIS 2 FINANCIAL
SECTION
3 OTHER
INFORMATION
This section gives an overview of our This section contains the message This section includes the Summary
organization, programs, performance from our Chief Financial Officer, of the Federal Managers’ Financial
goals, and overview of financial data. financial statements and notes, Integrity Act Report and the Office
required supplementary information, of Management and Budget (OMB)
and audit reports. Circular A-123—Management
Responsibility for Enterprise Risk
Management and Internal Control.
States (U.S.).
90
82
50
42 43
(CHIP) provide health care for one in four Americans. Medicare 40
33
enrollment has increased from 19 million beneficiaries in 1966 30 28
31
27
23
to approximately 65 million beneficiaries. Medicaid enrollment 20
19
22
I am pleased to present the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services’ (CMS) Financial
Report for fiscal year (FY) 2022. Over the last year, CMS has made meaningful progress
toward our ambitious agenda to advance health equity, expand coverage, and improve
health outcomes as a trusted partner and steward.
CMS programs cover over 170 million people across the United States, including, more
than 89 million people enrolled in Medicaid, the Children’s Health Insurance Program
(CHIP), and the Basic Health Program and over 64 million people enrolled in Medicare.
This unprecedented reach reflects increased enrollment through HealthCare.gov among
Hispanic people by 26 percent and Black people by 35 percent, combating historic
inequities in access. CMS continues to build on these advances through a record $98.9
million in grant funding invested in Navigator organizations for the 2023 Open Enrollment
Period to help consumers navigate enrollment through the Marketplace, Medicaid and
CHIP, as well as $49 million in grants through the Connecting Kids to Coverage program to
support Medicaid and CHIP enrollment and retention. CMS is working closely with states
and other external partners to preserve recent coverage gains once the COVID-19 public
health emergency ends.
I am especially proud of the progress we have made in strengthening access to life-saving care after pregnancy. Thanks to
the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 (P.L. 117-2), as of September 2022, 24 states and the District of Columbia have extended
continuous postpartum Medicaid and CHIP coverage to 12 months. CMS is also establishing a publicly-reported hospital
designation, the “Birthing-Friendly” hospital, to drive improvements in maternal health outcomes and advance maternity care
quality, safety, and equity. These and other actions are aimed at helping to reduce maternal mortality and morbidity as well as
disparities in maternal care across the United States.
Over the last year, CMS continued to advance additional impactful policies that respond to the urgent public health challenges
facing our nation, including in support of CMS’s Behavioral Health Strategy, released in May 2022. CMS implemented provisions
enacted in the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021 to expand access to behavioral health care by finalizing rules making
telehealth for behavioral health services permanent in Medicare. This change will enable people to receive telehealth services for
the diagnosis, evaluation, and treatment of mental health disorders in their homes and in any geographic area. CMS also finalized
Medicare payment for behavioral health care provided by Rural Health Clinics and Federally Qualified Health Centers through
telecommunications technology, strengthening access to care for rural and medically underserved communities. In September
2022, CMS also approved the nation’s first Medicaid mobile crisis intervention services program enabled by the American Rescue
Plan Act of 2021, providing 24/7 access to community-based crisis stabilization services to people experiencing mental health
crises or co-occurring substance use disorders throughout Oregon. Working with partners across the federal government, CMS
will continue its multi-faceted approach to increase and enhance access to equitable and high-quality behavioral health services
and improve outcomes for people with behavioral health care needs.
CMS also continued to play a critical role in the federal response to the COVID-19 pandemic, unprecedentedly covering over-
the-counter COVID-19 tests for people with Medicare and paying for booster COVID-19 vaccine shots with no out-of-pocket
costs. CMS is also offering resources through Quality Improvement Organizations to thousands of nursing homes serving older
Americans and people with disabilities so they have tools to get residents and staff vaccinated, including by helping schedule
on-site vaccination clinics; supporting development of a plan to get staff and residents boosted; and providing other technical
assistance and support. As we look to the future, CMS is evaluating lessons learned during the public health emergency to help
strengthen quality and build resilience across the continuum of care.
CMS released the first-ever HCBS Quality Measure Set in July 2022, to enable the measurement and improvement of the quality
of HCBS programs. This set of nationally standardized quality measures for Medicaid-funded HCBS is intended to promote more
common and consistent use within and across states of nationally standardized quality measures in HCBS programs, create
opportunities for CMS and states to have comparative quality data on HCBS programs, and drive improvement in quality of care
and outcomes for people receiving HCBS.
CMS has also made significant progress improving safety and quality of care in the nation’s nursing facilities. CMS continues to
work towards proposing to establish staffing requirements by conducting a rigorous, mixed-methods study. CMS has also acted
to improve public transparency around nursing facilities, posting new staffing measures on Care Compare to provide consumers
with information on staff turnover and weekend staffing levels and publishing detailed information on the ownership of
approximately 15,000 Medicare certified Skilled Nursing Facilities. To boost quality of care, we are adding quality measures to the
Skilled Nursing Facility Value-Based Purchasing program, and we issued significant updates to guidance on minimum health and
safety standards around infection control, room crowding, and other topics.
CMS is making strides in increasing value-based arrangements through participation in the national Accountable Care
Organization (ACO) program and accelerating care transformation. As of January 2022, the Medicare Shared Savings Program
(Shared Savings Program) includes over 525,000 participating clinicians who provide care to more than 11 million people with
Medicare. In 2021, the Shared Savings Program saved Medicare more than $1.6 billion and continued to deliver high-quality
care to beneficiaries. Informed by rigorous stakeholder engagement, CMS also finalized the nationwide expansion of the Home
Health Value-Based Purchasing Model; redesigned an existing model to become the ACO Realizing Equity, Access, and Community
Health (REACH) Model, and promoted health equity through policies to transition ACOs in the Shared Savings Program to all-
payer quality measures. Achieving our goals in growing accountable care relationships will improve quality, increase savings, and
promote innovative care delivery that better meet people’s needs.
These accomplishments are made possible by excellence in CMS’s operations across all 23 of CMS’s Centers and Offices. We have
intentionally fostered collaboration across different components within the agency through 13 cross-cutting initiatives, including
an effort to better align policies and experiences across coverage programs. I am especially proud that CMS has again scored in
the top quartile of all federal agencies in employee satisfaction. To further promote a positive and inclusive workforce, CMS is
undertaking 55 projects across the agency that will improve employee engagement and increase diversity, equity, and inclusion.
We are also focused on delivering value using taxpayer dollars, taking concrete steps to streamline the consumer experience
across our programs and protecting program funds - including working collaboratively with our law enforcement partners to
promote program integrity by combating fraud. In other operational areas, CMS established a formal Enterprise Risk Council;
continues to advance equity in procurement; and facilitates increased migration from on-premise data centers to the CMS Cloud.
This letter includes just a few highlights from a very productive year. While the challenges we confront are daunting, I am
grateful to face them with close engagement from people with lived experience and other external partners, and alongside such
a talented and dedicated team. I remain honored to lead an agency that plays such a unique and vital role in advancing health
equity, expanding access to coverage and care, and driving innovation for the people we serve.
Chiquita Brooks-LaSure
CMS Administrator
November 2022
Medicaid
Program Management
OFFICE OF FINANCIAL
CENTER FOR CONSUMER
OFFICE OF THE ACTUARY MANAGEMENT
INFORMATION AND INSURANCE
Paul Spitalnic, Megan Worstell, OVERSIGHT
Director and Chief Actuary Director & CMS Chief Financial Officer
Dr. Ellen Montz,
John Czajkowski, Deputy Administrator and Director
Deputy Director
Jeff Grant,
OFFICE OF Deputy Director for Operations
STRATEGIC OPERATIONS AND Jeff Wu,
REGULATORY AFFAIRS Deputy Director for Policy
Kathleen Cantwell, Director Michael Jimenez,
Olen Clybourn, Deputy Director Center Chief Technology Officer
OUR ORGANIZATION
CMS, an operating division of the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), employs approximately 6,400 federal
employees in Maryland, Washington, DC, and many other states throughout the country. CMS provides direct services to state
agencies, healthcare providers and suppliers, individuals with Medicare, sponsors of group health plans, Medicare health and
prescription drug plans, and the general public.
CMS’s employees write policies and regulations that establish program eligibility and benefit coverage; set payment rates;
safeguard the fiscal integrity of the programs it administers from improper payments including fraud, waste, and abuse; and
develop quality measurement systems to monitor quality, performance, and compliance. In addition, CMS’s staff provides
technical assistance to Congress, the Executive branch, universities, and other private sector researchers.
CMS also contracts and/or partners with third parties to operate many of its important activities. Each state administers a
Medicaid program and a Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP). States inspect hospitals, nursing homes, and other facilities
to ensure that health and safety standards are met. The Medicare Administrative Contractors process claims, provide technical
education to providers, review medical records, enroll providers, perform a host of financial audit and overpayment recovery
services, adjudicate first level appeals and answer inquiries from Medicare providers. Additionally, Quality Improvement
Organizations (QIOs) conduct a wide variety of quality improvement programs to ensure quality of care is provided to individuals
with Medicare.
OVERVIEW
As the largest single health payer in the U.S., CMS administers Medicare, Medicaid, CHIP, the federal Marketplace, and the Clinical
Laboratory Improvement Act of 1988 (CLIA) program. CMS now maintains the nation’s largest collection of healthcare data.
According to 2022 projections1, Medicare and Medicaid (including state funding) represent 43 cents of every dollar spent on
healthcare in the U.S.— or looked at from three different perspectives: 55 cents of every dollar spent on nursing homes, 45 cents
of every dollar received by U.S. hospitals, and 39 cents of every dollar spent on physician services.
Other Government
Programs
5% Other Private
Medicaid
19% 9%
Out of Pocket
12%
Medicare 24%
Medicare
Title XVII of the Social Security Act established Medicare in 1965. It was legislated as a complement to Social Security retirement,
survivors, and disability benefits, and originally covered people aged 65 and over. In 1972, the program expanded to cover people
with disabilities and people with End-Stage Renal Disease (ESRD). The Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement, and Modernization
Act (MMA) further expanded the Medicare program, which included a prescription drug benefit for all Americans with Medicare
beginning January 1, 2006.
Medicare routinely processes over one billion fee-for-service (FFS) claims a year and accounts for approximately 13 percent of the
federal budget. Medicare is a combination of four programs: Hospital Insurance (HI), Supplementary Medical Insurance (SMI),
Medicare Advantage (MA), and Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit. Since 1966, Medicare enrollment has increased from 19 million
to roughly 65 million individuals.
Hospital Insurance
Hospital Insurance, also known as HI, is provided to people aged 65 and over who have worked long enough to qualify for Social
Security benefits and to most people entitled to Social Security or Railroad Retirement benefits. Most people do not pay a
premium for HI because they or their spouse already paid for it through their payroll taxes while working. The HI program pays for
inpatient hospital, skilled nursing facility (SNF), certain home health, and hospice care, and is financed primarily by payroll taxes
paid by workers and employers. The taxes paid each year are used mainly to pay benefits for current individuals with Medicare.
Medicare Advantage
The Balanced Budget Act of 1997 established the Medicare+Choice program, now known as the Medicare Advantage program to
provide more healthcare coverage choices for individuals with Medicare. Those who are eligible because of age (65 or older) or
disability may choose to join a MA commercial plan servicing their area if they are entitled to HI and enrolled in SMI. Those who
are eligible for Medicare because of ESRD could join a MA plan beginning January 1, 2021. Medicare beneficiaries have the option
to choose to enroll in healthcare plans that contract with CMS instead of receiving services under fee for service arrangements
offered under original Medicare. Many MA plans offer supplemental benefits such as prescription drugs, vision, and dental
benefits, and offer different out-of-pocket cost sharing arrangements. MA plans assume full financial risk for care provided to their
Medicare enrollees. Individuals with Medicare can also enroll in cost plans where they can receive services through the cost plan’s
network or Original Medicare.
Medicaid
Title XIX of the Social Security Act established the Medicaid program in 1965. Medicaid is administered by CMS in partnership
with the states. Although the federal government establishes certain parameters for all states to follow, each state administers
its Medicaid program differently, resulting in variations in Medicaid coverage across the country. States have flexibility in
determining Medicaid benefit packages within federal guidelines; however, states are required to cover certain mandatory
benefits. States have additional options for coverage and may choose to cover other groups, such as individuals receiving home
and community-based services (HCBS) and children in state-funded foster care. States and the federal government jointly fund
the Medicaid program. CMS provides matching payments to the states and territories for Medicaid program expenditures and
related administrative costs.
Medicaid provides access to comprehensive health coverage that may not be affordable otherwise for millions of Americans,
including eligible low-income adults, children, pregnant women, elderly adults, and people with disabilities. Medicaid is the
primary source of healthcare for more than 82.3 million individuals. Over 11 million people are dually eligible for both Medicare
and Medicaid.
CHIP
CHIP was created through the Balanced Budget Act of 1997 and provides health coverage to low-income uninsured children and
pregnant women whose income is too high to qualify for Medicaid. Title XXI of the Social Security Act outlines the program’s
structure and establishes a partnership between federal and state governments. States administer CHIP according to federal
requirements while working closely with CMS, Congress, and other federal agencies. CMS ensures state programs meet statutory
requirements designed to ensure meaningful coverage. CMS provides extensive guidance and technical assistance so states can
further develop their CHIP state plans and use federal funds to provide healthcare coverage to as many children as possible. CHIP
funds cover the cost of healthcare services, reasonable costs for administration, and outreach services to enroll children.
States are given broad flexibility in designing their programs, such as choosing to provide benchmark coverage, benchmark-
equivalent coverage, or Secretary-approved coverage. In addition, states can create or expand their own separate CHIP programs,
expand Medicaid, or combine both approaches. Important cost-sharing protections in CHIP safeguard families from incurring
unaffordable out-of-pocket expenses. In FY 2022, CMS projects that approximately 10 million children will be enrolled in CHIP for
at least one month during the year.
CLIA
CLIA legislation expanded the survey and certification of clinical laboratories from Medicare-participating and interstate
commerce laboratories to all facilities testing human specimens for health purposes, regardless of location. CMS regulates all
laboratory testing on patients, including those performed in physicians’ offices, for a total of 319,404 facilities.
The CLIA program is 100 percent user-fee financed and is jointly administered by three HHS operating divisions: CMS, the
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). CMS manages the overall CLIA
program, including its regulatory and financial aspects. This includes enrollment, regulation, and policy development; approval
of accrediting organizations and exempt states; proficiency testing and certification of providers; and enforcement. CDC provides
research, technical support, and coordination of the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Advisory Committee, while FDA performs
test categorization.
CMS works with states to ensure issuers comply with market reforms through policies like the federal prohibition on denying
coverage for pre-existing conditions, the prohibition on annual and lifetime dollar limits on essential health benefits, and
rating requirements. CMS also implements a process for states or CMS to review rates of non-grandfathered health insurance
products in the individual and small group markets to determine compliance with federal health insurance rating rules. CMS is
also responsible for enforcing compliance with a federal minimum Medical Loss Ratio (MLR) requiring health insurance issuers
to spend a predetermined portion of premium revenues on clinical services and quality improvement, or provide a rebate to
policyholders if the MLR standard is not met. By ensuring issuer compliance with specific market reforms, CMS is expanding
consumers’ access to quality, affordable health coverage and care.
The Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021(CAA) amended MHPAEA to provide important new consumer protections. Group health
plans or health insurance issuers offering group or individual health insurance coverage that provides both M/S and MH/SUD
benefits and that impose non-quantitative treatment limitations (NQTLs) on M/H and SUD benefits must perform and document
comparative analyses of the design and application of their NQTLs and make their comparative analyses available to CMS or
the Department of Labor (DOL), as applicable upon request. CMS and DOL are responsible for reviewing these comparative
analyses and identifying any compliance concerns and they work with the group health plan or health insurance issuer to ensure
compliance. CMS, in collaboration with DOL and the Department of Treasury, also reports these analysis findings to Congress
annually.
Transparency in Coverage
CMS’s Transparency in Coverage final rule, published by HHS, DOL and Treasury, is a historic step towards putting healthcare price
information in the hands of consumers and other stakeholders, advancing CMS’s goal of ensuring consumers are empowered
with the critical information they need to make informed healthcare decisions. This rule requires most group health plans, and
health insurance issuers offering group or individual health insurance coverage to disclose price and cost-sharing information
to participants, beneficiaries, and enrollees, and to give consumers real-time, personalized access to cost-sharing information,
including an estimate of their cost-sharing liability, through an internet based self-service tool. This information is intended to
empower consumers to shop and compare costs between specific providers before receiving care. Plans and issuers are also
required to disclose on a public website their in-network negotiated rates, billed charges, and allowed amounts paid for out-
of-network providers. Making this information available to the public will drive innovation, support informed, price-conscious
decision-making, and ultimately promote competition in the healthcare industry to move towards quality, affordable health
coverage and care.
PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT
Performance measurement results provide valuable information on the success of CMS’s programs and activities. CMS uses
performance information for improvement opportunities and to shape its programs. Performance measures clearly communicate
CMS’s programmatic objectives to the public and our partners, such as states and national professional organizations.
Performance data are extremely useful in shaping policy and management choices in both the short and long term.
The Government Performance and Results Act of 1993 (GPRA) mandates that cabinet-level agencies have strategic plans, annual
performance goals, and annual performance reports that encourage accountable stewardship of public programs.
As required by the GPRA Modernization Act of 2010, HHS developed a new Strategic Plan (2022-2026), which was released with the
President’s Budget in February 2022. Key CMS performance measures from the previous Strategic Plan are featured in the
FY 2023 HHS Annual Performance Plan and Report. Consistent with GPRA principles, the CMS GPRA performance goals reinforce
the mission, goals, and objectives of the Administration. We look forward to the challenges represented by our performance goals
and are optimistic in our ability to meet them.
Our FY 2022 performance measures track progress in our major program areas, including measuring error rates. In addition, we
measure quality improvement initiatives geared towards older adults, children, and people with disabilities, who are served by
the Medicare, Medicaid, CHIP, and the QIO programs. Detailed CMS performance measure information and available results are
included in the CMS Budget. Progress on our measures has been reported through the FY 2023 President’s Budget process.
Strategic Pillars
CMS has an ambitious agenda and a bold plan to meet our mission. All our work is organized and managed along six CMS
strategic pillars that promote the establishment of broad programmatic goals. Inherent in our work is an unyielding focus on
the customer experience to expand coverage and equitable access to those who are covered by one or more of our programs.
Also essential is a focus on continuous improvement of CMS’s operations to ensure they are best in class and set a benchmark for
health system transformation.
All of CMS’s centers and offices are actively developing and implementing projects to collaboratively advance these pillars across
the agency. The following pages provide examples of some of the initiatives we have taken to achieve these goals.
To this end, CMS sought improvements to programs’ financial incentives that would incentivize primary care providers and
specialists alike to care for such populations going forward. For example, in the calendar year 2023 Medicare Physician Fee
Schedule Proposed Rule, CMS proposed changes to the Medicare Shared Savings Program to incorporate advanced shared
savings payments for certain Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) that could be used to address Medicare beneficiaries’
social needs. Additionally, it proposed a health equity payment adjustment that rewards ACOs for providing high-quality care to
underserved populations.
Further, CMS will require and consider incentives and support for model participants to collect data on race, ethnicity, geography,
disability, and other demographics to help providers address health disparities (in a manner that protected health information
complies with the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act and other applicable laws).
Achieving this goal requires centering equity in all stages of model design, operation, evaluation, and aligning these concepts
with other CMS programs. It also requires engaging providers who have not previously participated in value-based care initiatives
and ensuring that eligibility criteria and application processes encourage care for historically disadvantaged populations,
including racial, ethnic, and rural communities, as well as those with disabilities.
Through 2022, the LAN will engage with Executive Forum members and other organizations to convene action-oriented work
groups and undertake strategic initiatives to further advance health equity and reset the LAN goals to align with the new CMS
goal to move all beneficiaries into accountable care relationships with total cost of care accountability by 2030. In service of this
goal, the LAN recently announced a new definition for “accountable care” and corresponding accountable care commitment
curve. These items make clear what is meant by implementing accountable care and accountable care relationships, as well
as illustrate the varying levels of commitment and sophistication an organization can have around this concept. In addition to
receiving stakeholder feedback and input on these items, the LAN plans to further advance this concept with the creation of
the Accountable Care Action Collaborative (ACAC). The LAN will form the ACAC later this year under the goal of advancing the
adoption, evolution, and growth of accountable care relationships in the healthcare system by forging new partnerships with
national organizations with shared goals and commitments.
Build on the Affordable Care Act and Expand Access to Quality, Affordable Health
Coverage and Care
American Rescue Plan Implementation
CMS is charged with implementing many of the provisions of the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 (ARP) that relate to private
insurance. Section 9813 of the ARP amended Title XIX of the Social Security Act to authorize a state option to provide qualifying
community-based mobile crisis intervention services for a period of up to five years, during the period starting April 1, 2022, and
ending March 31, 2027. States that have approved coverage and reimbursement authority through their Medicaid programs
may receive an 85 percent federal medical assistance percentage (FMAP) for expenditures on qualifying community-based
mobile crisis intervention services for the first 12 fiscal quarters within the five-year period. Implementation guidance was issued
December of 2021 and CMS continues the provision of technical assistance to states.
Section 9817 of the ARP provided states with additional federal funding for Medicaid home and community-based services
(HCBS). States can use the additional funding for a broad range of activities to enhance, expand, and strengthen their HCBS
systems, including to increase community living options for people with disabilities, strengthen the HCBS system in response to
the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency (PHE), increase access to HCBS for Medicaid beneficiaries, protect the HCBS workforce,
safeguard the financial stability for HCBS providers, and accelerate long-term services and supports (LTSS) reform. States plan to
spend about $25 billion on activities that enhance, expand, or strengthen HCBS under Medicaid as a result of ARP Section 9817.
In addition, in March 2022, CMS released a Notice of Funding Opportunity (NOFO) that offered up to $110 million to expand
access to HCBS through Medicaid’s MFP program. The new NOFO, which was authorized under the CAA will make individual
awards up to $5 million to states and territories that are not currently participating in MFP. These funds will support states during
the initial planning and implementation of their programs, as well as for capacity building activities, including:
■ Establishing partnerships with community stakeholders, including those representing diverse and underserved populations,
Tribal entities and governments, key state and local agencies (such as state and local public housing authorities), and
community-based organizations;
■ Conducting system assessments to better understand how HCBS support local residents;
■ Developing programs for the types of community transitions MFP supports;
■ Establishing or enhancing Medicaid HCBS quality improvement programs;
■ Recruiting HCBS providers as well as expert providers for transition coordination and technical assistance; and
■ Conducting a range of planning activities deemed necessary by the award recipients and approved by CMS.
The CAA reauthorized funding for the MFP program through FY 2023 and made other statutory changes to the program
authorizing additional states to participate in the program and allowing states to provide community transition services earlier in
an eligible individual’s inpatient stay. In light of these changes, CMS updated the scope of MFP supplemental services and their
reimbursement rate to help states address barriers to community transition, increase community transition rates, and increase
the effectiveness of the MFP demonstration. Specifically, the definition of supplemental services was modified from one-time
services to short-term services to support an MFP participant’s transition that are otherwise not allowable under the Medicaid
program. Further, the definition was expanded to address critical barriers to transition for MFP participants, including the lack
of affordable and accessible housing, food insecurity, and financial and administrative barriers to transitions. Additionally, the
reimbursement rate for supplemental services was increased from the state’s FMAP rate to full coverage by MFP grant funds at a
federal reimbursement rate of 100 percent. Examples of the expanded scope of supplemental services that states may choose to
cover under their respective MFP programs include:
■ up to 6-months of short-term rental assistance and associated utility expenses;
■ food pantry stocking for up to a 30-day period;
■ payment for services and activities such as home accessibility modifications, vehicle adaptations, pre-tenancy support,
community transition services, and case management prior to an individual transitioning from an institutional setting; and
■ costs associated with securing a community-based home that are not coverable under Medicaid such as apartment
application and administrative fees.
To help Medicaid and CHIP agencies prepare for and respond to PHEs, disasters, and other emergencies, CMS and the Medicaid
and CHIP Coverage Learning Collaborative updated a toolkit on the strategies available to support Medicaid and CHIP operations
and beneficiaries. This toolkit was updated with additional strategies and lessons learned from the COVID-19 PHE, and now
includes a new strategic framework for Medicaid and CHIP agencies as they prepare to respond to a future disaster or PHE.
Additionally, CMS released a State Medicaid Director Letter on Implementation of At-Risk Youth Medicaid Protections for Inmates
of Public Institutions to provide guidance to states on Section 1001 of the Substance Use-Disorder Prevention that Promotes Opioid
Recovery and Treatment for Patients and Communities Act, which prohibits states from terminating Medicaid eligibility for eligible
juveniles who become inmates of public institutions. Facilitating enrollment in Medicaid and supporting access to healthcare
services upon release can be crucial to ensuring a successful transition to the community following incarceration.
Standardized plan options were also introduced for QHPs using the federal platform for plan year 2023. These standardized plan
options allow consumers to compare plan options easily to choose a plan that meets their medical and financial needs, as well
as makes baseline health benefits more transparent. These policies will ensure consumers can more easily find the right form of
quality, affordable coverage for their circumstances.
Engage Our Partners and the Communities We Serve Throughout the Policymaking
and Implementation Process
Data Exchange Between CMS and the States
CMS finalized the Interoperability and Patient Access Rule, which mandates daily submission of certain dual eligibility status
files by April 1, 2022. Prior to April 2022, states were required to submit these files at least monthly to CMS. Without daily
exchanges, CMS lagged in its ability to automatically enroll individuals in Medicare drug plans; deem them automatically eligible
for the low-income subsidy for Medicare Prescription Drug Benefit premiums, deductibles, and copayments; and terminate or
activate state payment of Medicare premiums. Increasing the frequency of federal-state data exchanges improves beneficiaries’
experiences with their Medicare benefits and ensures that Medicare coverage is affordable. This will also reduce burden on states
and providers to reconcile incorrect payments due to data lags and improve provider compliance with the prohibition on billing
Qualified Medicare Beneficiaries for Medicare HI and SMI cost-sharing.
By June 2022, 49 states submitted files on dual eligibility status daily, and 47 states exchanged data daily on state payment of
Medicare premiums. CMS provides technical assistance to states through the State Data Resource Center, including tip sheets,
frequently asked questions, and recorded webinars.
To improve processing of State Buy-In actions for vulnerable populations eligible for Medicare through State Buy-In, CMS
established an electronic system for states to transmit State Buy-In actions that may impact the ability for certain Medicare
beneficiaries to receive services or payment. CMS manages and provides oversight for the control, problem identification, and
correction of State Buy-In transactions, and provides resolution to related data discrepancies.
CMS also engages with state partners to improve services for vulnerable communities and to maximize awareness of Medicare
and Medicaid services by coordinating and hosting quarterly and monthly state office hours calls for the sharing of operational
State Buy-In issues, solutions, resources, lessons learned and experiences among the states and CMS. The response rate of
attendees who attest that these state office hours calls were useful, is higher than 75 percent, as measured by the CMS state office
hours survey in 2021-2022.
Stakeholder Engagement
Stakeholder engagement related activities continued in FY 2022 throughout the policymaking and implementation process.
Some of the stakeholder related activities in the fiscal year include the following:
■ CMS actively engaged with external stakeholders through listening sessions hosted by CDC and Office of the Assistant
Secretary for Preparedness and Response (ASPR) to obtain feedback about proposed changes to the hospital and critical
access hospital conditions of participation. These proposals pertained to continued COVID-19-related data reporting after
the end of the PHE declaration and establishing new requirements for data reporting in the event of a new PHE declaration
involving infectious diseases. Pertinent stakeholders included hospitals, health systems, and other healthcare providers or
their associations, state, tribal, local, and territorial public health and emergency preparedness professionals.
■ Beneficiaries, providers, patient advocacy groups, foundations, research experts, and other stakeholders in five CMS
Innovation Center public listening sessions were engaged on the following topics: health equity, beneficiary engagement,
safety net providers, advanced primary care, and the Innovation Center’s strategy refresh.
■ In response to the unprecedented challenges posed by the 2020 COVID-19 PHE, CMS launched a project to gather broad
stakeholder feedback. To help CMS better prepare the nation’s healthcare system for future disasters, the project conducted
discussions with hospitals and nursing homes to understand how they prepared for and responded to the PHE. We
conducted voluntary discussions with approximately 30 hospitals and nursing homes to learn perspective on preparedness,
resiliency, and implementation of the COVID-19 response and synthesized responses, including qualitative themes and
quantitative inputs from provider discussions.
■ Worked with our sister agency, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), to complete a Technology Assessment,
on the Coverage with Evidence Development clinical study requirements.
■ Engaged with the Forum of ESRD Networks and patient community to gather feedback regarding emerging issues affecting
dialysis patients. Feedback related to COVID directly impacted CMS/ASPR supply chain assessment and response for dialysis
related supplies affected by COVID.
to four years ago, in the number of submissions from manufacturers for new technology add-on payment in the inpatient
hospital setting. In addition, our workforce is dedicated to customer service by streamlining navigation of our coverage, coding,
and payment processes for manufacturers, providers, and other stakeholders who are involved in coordinating the care of our
beneficiaries. In support of this, a small team of new technology liaisons was established in FY 2021. This team coordinated and
facilitated cross-component and/or product specific meetings with industry stakeholders and CMS policy staff regarding coding,
coverage, and/or payment considerations for medical technologies, to support critical information sharing.
In recent years, CMS has partnered with states to develop innovative, integrated care and financing models. CMS has focused
on initiatives to better integrate and strengthen access to care for dually eligible individuals and to eliminate unnecessary cost
shifting between the Medicare and Medicaid programs. There are a range of approaches to integrating Medicare and Medicaid
benefits and/or financing, including through implementing new demonstrations and enhancing existing programs.
Prior Authorization
Prior authorization is a process through which a request for provisional affirmation of coverage is submitted for review before a
service is furnished to a Medicare patient and before a claim is submitted for payment. Prior authorization helps to ensure that
all applicable Medicare coverage, payment, and coding rules are met before a service is furnished, which helps providers and
suppliers address claim issues early and avoid denials and appeals. By utilizing prior authorization, CMS protects the Medicare
Trust Fund from improper payments.
CMS works closely with providers and associations to share prior authorization guidelines and procedures. In FY 2022, CMS
completed the nationwide expansion of the prior authorization model for repetitive, scheduled non-emergent ambulance transports.
In addition, CMS began to require prior authorization for certain lower limb orthoses, lumbar sacral orthoses, and additional power
mobility devices. CMS also continued prior authorization for certain outpatient hospital services. As prior authorization is an
ongoing process, CMS continues to explore additional opportunities to expand Medicare FFS’s use of prior authorization.
3 Substance Use Disorder Prevention that Promotes Opioid Recovery and Treatment for Patients and Communities (SUPPORT) Act, Pub. L. No. 115-271, 132 Stat.
3987.
CMS Financial Report 2022 15
M A N A G E M E N T ’ S D I S C U S S I O N & A N A LY S I S
Foster a Positive and Inclusive Workplace and Workforce, and Promote Excellence in
All Aspects of CMS’s Operations
Foster a Positive and Inclusive Work Environment
CMS continues to improve its ranking as a Best Place to Work through its focused efforts to foster a positive and inclusive work
environment. Specifically, in support of this goal, CMS has developed and implemented a Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI)
Strategic Plan, which establishes five goals and initiatives to enable our organization to establish a more inclusive and equitable
culture. The goals are: 1) Invest in DEI Infrastructure; 2) Embed Inclusion in the Culture; 3) Build DEI into the Talent Process; 4)
Transform CMS DEI Analytics Capability and 5) Equip Every Leader to be a DEI Champion. A few initiatives in support of these
goals include: establishing a DEI Council; developing and delivering a DEI Basics course for the workforce; and mitigating biases
and enhancing equity into our talent processes and policies. In addition, with a focus on enhancing employees’ work-life balance,
and in partnership with the labor union, CMS is implementing the CMS Hybrid Workplace providing expanded work flexibilities to
include more remote duty stations for the workforce.
EDL’s current developments provide end-user-level access to the enterprise data. The EDL team deployed an enabling model
called Launchpad, an enterprise data catalog to capture business information about the data, and a secured role management
capability. Launchpad accelerates the delivery of various cloud services to consumers who either do not have a cloud footprint,
need expedited analytical and visualization capabilities, or are in the cloud but need custom services like visualization, processing,
or data role management. The EDL (Data Mesh) program continues to grow, onboarding new sets of teams on an ongoing basis.
The basic financial statements in this report are prepared pursuant to the requirements of the Government Management Reform
Act of 1994, the Chief Financial Officers Act of 1990, and other requirements, including the Office of Management and Budget
Circular A-136, Financial Reporting Requirements. CMS management is responsible for the integrity of the financial information in
these statements. The OIG selects an independent certified public accounting firm to audit CMS’s financial statements and related
notes.
Appropriations affect CMS’s net position balance. Funds From Dedicated Collections are shown in a separate column from Other
Funds. The bulk of the change pertains to Appropriations Used of $1,079.6 billion, which represents the Medicaid and CHIP
appropriations, transfers from Payments to the HealthCare Trust Funds to HI and SMI, and State Grants and Demonstrations and
general fund-financed Program Management appropriations. Medicaid and CHIP are financed by general fund appropriations
provided by Congress. Employment tax revenue is Medicare’s portion of payroll and self-employment taxes collected under the
Federal Insurance Contributions Act and the Self Employment Contributions Act for the HI trust fund and totaled $343.7 billion.
CMS total budgetary resources were $2,399.6 billion. Obligations of $2,175 billion leave unobligated balances of $224.6 billion.
Total outlays, net of collections, were $2,062.3 billion. When offset by $698.2 billion relating to collection of premiums and
general fund transfers from the Payments to the HealthCare Trust Funds, as well as refunds of Medicare Administrative Contractors
overpayments, the CMS net outlays were $1,364.1 billion.
Actuarial present values are computed under the intermediate set of assumptions specified in the 2022 Annual Report of the
Boards of Trustees of the Federal Hospital Insurance and Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds. Beginning in 2020, the
Medicare program was dramatically affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. The amount of payroll taxes expected to be collected
by the HI trust fund was greatly reduced due to the economic effects of the pandemic on labor markets. Spending was directly
affected by the coverage of testing and treatment of the disease. In addition, several regulatory policies and legislative provisions
were enacted during the public health emergency that increased spending. More than offsetting these additional costs in 2020,
spending for non-COVID care declined significantly (compared to both actual 2019 spending and pre-pandemic expectations for
2020). Overall, the projections are based primarily on actual experience through 2019. However, program costs in 2020 and 2021
were used to help inform the development of adjustment factors by type of service, which account for the impact of COVID-19
through 2028. In spite of these substantial impacts on the Medicare program in 2020, the pandemic was not factored into the
SOSI projections until 2021 because of the uncertainty of the impacts at the time the 2020 Trustees Report was released.
Spending for services other than COVID-19 was significantly lower than expected in 2020 and 2021. This decline was more
pronounced for elective services. In addition, Medicare beneficiaries whose deaths were identified as related to COVID had costs
that were much higher than the average Medicare beneficiary prior to the onset of the pandemic. As a result, compared to the
pre-pandemic Medicare population, the surviving Medicare population had lower morbidity, on average, reducing costs by an
estimated 1.5 percent in 2020 and 2.9 percent in 2021. This morbidity effect is expected to continue over the next few years but is
assumed to decrease over time before ending in 2028.
While the COVID-19 pandemic has significantly affected Medicare short-term financing and spending, it is not expected to have a
large effect on the financial status of the trust funds after 2028. As discussed throughout the Trustees Report, the key measures of
the financial adequacy for each trust fund are fairly comparable to those included in last year’s report.
The Medicare Accelerated and Advance Payments Program was significantly expanded during the COVID-19 public health
emergency period. Total payments of approximately $107.2 billion were made from March 2020 through June 2021: roughly $67.1
billion from the HI trust fund and $40.1 billion from the SMI Part B trust fund account. The Trustees assumed that the accelerated
and advance payments would be fully repaid by September of 2022, resulting in no net changes to trust fund expenditures. As
discussed in Note 5, the majority of these accelerated and advance payments have been repaid as of September 30, 2022.
It should be noted that there is an unusually large degree of uncertainty with these COVID-related impacts and that future
projections could change significantly as more information becomes available. Moreover, as a result of developments that have
occurred since the assumptions for this year’s Trustees Report were selected in mid-February 2022, uncertainty has increased
regarding the path of the COVID-19 pandemic and the economy. The estimates do not reflect the potential impact of the Inflation
Reduction Act (Public Law 117-169), which was enacted on August 16, 2022. As of the date of the financial statements, there is still
a considerable amount of uncertainty surrounding these impacts and the projections have not been adjusted. The Trustees will
continue to monitor developments and modify the projections in later reports as appropriate. The pandemic is an example of the
inherent uncertainty in projecting health care financing and spending over any duration.
When the combined HI and SMI trust fund assets are included, the present value increases. As of January 1, 2022, the future cash
flow for all current and future participants is $(4.7) trillion for the 75-year valuation period. The comparable cash flow for the
closed group of participants, including the combined HI and SMI trust fund assets, is $(14.2) trillion.
Short-Term Financing
The HI trust fund is deemed adequately financed for the short term when actuarial estimates of trust fund assets for the beginning
of each calendar year are at least as large as program obligations for the year. Estimates in the 2022 Trustees Report indicate that
the HI trust fund is not adequately financed over the next 10 years. Under the intermediate assumptions of the 2022 Trustees
Report, the HI trust fund ratio is estimated to remain at about the same level for a few years before decreasing for the rest of the
projection period until the fund is depleted in calendar year 2028. Assets at the end of calendar year 2021 were $142.7 billion and
after 2022 are expected to decrease steadily until depleted in 2028.
Long-Term Financing
The short-range outlook for the HI trust fund is slightly more favorable than what was projected last year. The trust fund ratio
declines until the fund is depleted in 2028, two years later than projected in 2021 HI financing is not projected to be sustainable
over the long-term with the projected tax rates and expenditure levels. Program cost is expected to exceed total income in all
years. When the HI trust fund is exhausted, full benefits cannot be paid on a timely basis. The percentage of expenditures covered
by tax revenues is projected to decrease from 90 percent in 2028 to 80 percent in 2046, and then to increase to about 93 percent
by the end of the projection period.
The primary reasons for the projected long-term inadequacy of financing under current law relate to the fact that the ratio of
the number of workers paying taxes relative to the number of individuals eligible for benefits drops from 2.9 in 2021 to about 2.2
by 2096. In addition, healthcare costs continue to rise faster than the taxable wages used to support the program. In present
value terms, the 75-year shortfall is $4.9 trillion, which is 0.7 percent of taxable payroll and 0.3 percent of Gross Domestic Product
(GDP) over the same period. Significant uncertainty surrounds the estimates for the SOSI. In particular, the actual future values of
demographic, economic, and programmatic factors are likely to be different from the near-term and ultimate assumptions used
in the projections. For more information, please refer to the Required Supplementary Information: Social Insurance disclosures
required by the Federal Accounting Standards Advisory Board.
While differences between the two accounts exist, the financing mechanism for each part is similar in that the financing is
determined on a yearly basis. The Part B account is generally financed by premiums and general revenue matching appropriations
determined annually to cover projected program expenditures and to provide a contingency for unexpected program variation.
The Part D account is financed by premiums, general revenues, and transfers from state governments.
Unlike the Part B account, the appropriation for Part D has generally been set such that amounts can be transferred to the Part D
account on an as-needed basis; under this process, there is no need to maintain a contingency reserve. In September 2015, a new
policy was implemented to transfer amounts from the Treasury into the account 5 business days before the benefit payments to
the plans. As a result, the Trustees expect the Part D account to include a more substantial balance at the end of most months to
reflect this policy. Since both the Part B and Part D programs are financed on a yearly basis, from a program perspective, there is
no unfunded liability in the short or long-range. Therefore, in this financial statement, the present value of estimated future excess
of income over expenditures for current and future participants over the next 75 years is $0. However, from a government-wide
perspective, general fund transfers, as well as interest payments to the Medicare trust funds and asset redemption, represent a draw
on other federal resources for which there is no earmarked source of revenue from the public. Hence, from a government wide
perspective, the corresponding estimate of future income less expenditures for the 75-year projection period is $(47.5) trillion.
Even though from a program perspective the unfunded liability is $0, there is concern over the rapid increase in cost of the
SMI program as a percent of GDP. In 2021, SMI incurred expenditures were 2.4 percent of GDP. By 2096, SMI expenditures are
projected to grow to 4.5 percent of the GDP.
Financial Challenges
These Medicare projections continue to demonstrate the need for timely and effective action to address the remaining financial
challenges—including the projected depletion of the HI trust fund, this fund’s long-range financial imbalance, and the rapid
growth in expenditures. The Board of Trustees believes that solutions can and must be found to ensure the financial integrity
of HI in the short and long term and to reduce the rate of growth in Medicare costs through viable means and they recommend
that Congress and the executive branch work closely together with a sense of urgency to address these challenges. The sooner
solutions are enacted, the more flexible and gradual they can be. Moreover, the early introduction of reforms increases the time
available for affected individuals and organizations—including healthcare providers, beneficiaries, and taxpayers—to adjust their
expectations and behavior.
The following table presents key amounts from our basic financial statements for FY 2020 through 2022.
Present value of estimated future income (excluding interest) less expenditures for current $(5,094) $(5,057) $(4,800)
and future participants over the next 75 years (open group), current year valuation
Present value of estimated future income (excluding interest) less expenditures for current $(5,057) $(4,800) $(5,484)
and future participants over the next 75 years (open group), prior year valuation
The present value as of January 1, 2022, decreased by $98 billion due to advancing the valuation date by 1 year and including the
additional year 2096 and decreased by $1,958 billion due to changes in economic and healthcare assumptions. However, changes
in the projection base, demographic assumptions, and law increased the present value by $1,996, $18, and $5 billion, respectively.
The net overall impact of these changes is a decrease in the present value of $37 billion.
5 The table or other singular presentation showing the measures described above. Although, the closed group measure is not required to be presented in the
table or other singular presentation, CMS presents the closed group measure and open group measure. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded
components.
I am pleased to report that for the 24th consecutive year, CMS received an
unmodified audit opinion on four of the six principal financial statements. An
unmodified audit opinion confirms that our financial statements present fairly
our financial position and are free from material misstatement, and conform
with generally accepted accounting principles. However, as in previous years,
the auditors were not able to express an opinion on the Statement of Social
Insurance and the Statement of Changes in Social Insurance Amounts due
to the uncertainty in the long-range assumptions applied in our projection
models. Nonetheless, CMS remains confident that the projections made are
solid and have properly disclosed the purpose of our projections and that
they are fairly presented.
As the nation slowly recovers from the effects of the public health emergency,
the impact of COVID-19 continued to linger in FY 2022 which reinforced
our commitment to ensure our programs’ accessibility to high quality health care and lower health care costs. CMS remained
dedicated to responsible financial stewardship while promoting excellence in all aspects of CMS’s operations by seeking
innovative ways to manage our complex programs. We prioritized our commitment to identifying and mitigating program
vulnerabilities, strengthening our internal controls environment, and participating in comprehensive oversight activities related to
fraud, waste, and abuse. The following are highlights of what we accomplished during FY 2022:
■ As of the end of August 2022, CMS reported Medicare Secondary Payer (MSP) savings of $7.6 billion for the current FY. MSP
savings are recognized through cost avoidance and recovery. Cost avoidance savings occur where Medicare paid secondary
on a medical claim versus paying primary because an identified MSP occurrence prevented payment as primary. Recovery
savings reflect actual monies returned to CMS where another entity had primary payer responsibility. The total savings
reflect pre-pay (cost avoidance) savings of $6.5 billion and post-pay (recovery) savings of $1.1 billion.
■ Over the last 29-months, CMS seamlessly operationalized the repayment terms for the Covid-19 Accelerated and Advanced
Payments (CAAP) Program outlined by the Continuing Appropriations Act, 2021, and Other Extensions Act to ensure
prompt repayment of funds to the Medicare Trust Funds. As of the end of September 2022, CMS received repayment of
$101.4 billion of the $107.2 billion in CAAPs that were distributed to over 50,000 providers and suppliers who experienced
disruptions to their billing during the start of the public health emergency.
■ FY 2022 was the first year of reporting improper payment data for the Advance Payment of the Premium Tax Credit (APTC)
program. CMS achieved a 99.4 percent payment accuracy for APTC payments made by the Federally-facilitated Exchange
for plan year 2020. In addition to measuring the APTC improper payment estimate, CMS and the Internal Revenue Service
(IRS) are collaborating to report a combined estimate, reflecting total improper payments for all Premium Tax Credit outlays
administered by the IRS.
■ CMS continued to forge ahead by prioritizing technical innovations in order to enhance operational excellence in FY 2022
through the implementation of RPA. RPA helps in increasing efficiency and capacity, improving accuracy and quality, and
enabling the workforce to focus on higher value tasks. For example, the implementation of the Bankruptcy Bot helped to
identify bankruptcy filings with Medicare debt and the right to recovery with the court on 39 bankruptcies that could have
been missed, with overpayments totaling $5.2 million.
■ In FY 2022, CMS program integrity efforts to eliminate, fraud, waste, and abuse yielded a return investment of greater
than $7 to $1 ($7 returned for every $1 expended). In FY 2022, these activities included: 1) reviewing 11,877 providers
for proper billing practices under the Targeted Probe and Educate program; 2) collecting $464.7 million in overpayments
via Recovery auditing; 3) prior authorizing 1,988,469 (provisionally affirmed) claims to ensure beneficiaries received and
providers were paid for appropriate services; and 4) saving $330 million using the advanced data analytic capabilities of our
Fraud Prevention System. We are also particularly proud of our collaborative efforts in fighting fraud, waste, abuse across
government agencies and with our private payer partners. We increased membership in the Healthcare Fraud Prevention
Partnership from 224 to 267. Lastly, we referred 512 of potential fraud cases to law enforcement through the Major Case
Coordination process.
Our successes in financial management have been, and will continue to be, a joint effort between our dedicated employees and
the internal and external stakeholders of our programs. The improvements we made over the last year demonstrate that we take
the responsibility for stewardship of the Medicare Trust Funds very seriously and my commitment remains unwavered.
Megan Worstell
CMS Chief Financial Officer
November 2022
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
as of September 30, 2022 and September 30, 2021
(in millions)
FY 2022 FY 2021
Consolidated Totals Consolidated Totals
ASSETS
Intragovernmental:
Fund Balance with Treasury (Note 2) $335,668 $284,473
Investments, Net (Note 3) 347,264 308,133
Accounts Receivable, Net (Note 4) 535 542
TOTAL INTRAGOVERNMENTAL 683,467 593,148
Other than intragovernmental:
Accounts Receivable, Net (Note 4) 39,748 27,957
General Property, Plant and Equipment, Net 2,657 1,992
Advances and prepayments (Note 5) 39,007 67,184
Other assets 510 518
Total other than intragovernmental 81,922 97,651
TOTAL ASSETS $765,389 $690,799
LIABILITIES
Intragovernmental:
Accounts Payable $1,692 $1,818
Debt (Note 6) 8,256 36,781
Other Liabilities 31 79
TOTAL INTRAGOVERNMENTAL 9,979 38,678
Other than intragovernmental:
Accounts Payable 359 337
Entitlement Benefits Due and Payable (Note 7) 141,177 133,777
Other Liabilities
Contingencies and commitments (Note 8) 6,955 3,659
Other 13,380 9,969
Total other than Intragovernmental 161,871 147,742
TOTAL LIABILITIES (Note 9) $171,850 $186,420
NET POSITION
Unexpended Appropriations-Funds from Dedicated Collections (Note 11) $178,704 $134,944
Unexpended Appropriations-Funds from Other than Dedicated Collections 75,185 76,618
TOTAL UNEXPENDED APPROPRIATIONS 253,889 211,562
Cumulative Results of Operations-Funds from Dedicated Collections (Note 11) 338,604 289,307
Cumulative Results of Operations-Funds from Other than Dedicated Collections 1,046 3,510
TOTAL CUMULATIVE RESULTS OF OPERATIONS 339,650 292,817
TOTAL NET POSITION $593,539 $504,379
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND NET POSITION $765,389 $690,799
UNEXPENDED APPROPRIATIONS
Beginning Balances $134,944 $76,618 $211,562
UNEXPENDED APPROPRIATIONS
Beginning Balances $98,116 $78,507 $176,623
FY 2022 FY 2021
Combined Totals Combined Totals
Budgetary Budgetary
Budgetary Resources:
Unobligated balance from prior year budget authority, net
$224,534 $218,041
(discretionary and mandatory)
Appropriations (discretionary and mandatory) 2,162,281 1,865,973
Borrowing authority (discretionary and mandatory) 40 46,028
Spending authority from offsetting collections (discretionary and mandatory) 12,797 10,103
TOTAL BUDGETARY RESOURCES $2,399,652 $2,140,145
Outlays, net
Outlays, net (discretionary and mandatory) $2,062,342 $1,854,897
Distributed offsetting receipts (698,163) (619,388)
AGENCY OUTLAYS, NET (DISCRETIONARY AND MANDATORY) $1,364,179 $1,235,509
DISBURSEMENTS, NET $25 $278
Totals do not necessarily equal the sum of the rounded components. The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial
statements. Current participants are assumed to be the “closed group” of individuals who are at least age 15 at the start of the projection
period, and are participating in the program as either taxpayers, beneficiaries, or both.
CMS Financial Report 2022 31
FINANCIAL SECTION
Combined Medicare Trust Fund assets at start of period 360 341 303 305 290
Actuarial present value of estimated future income
(excluding interest) less expenditures plus trust fund assets at start (14,244) (13,100) (12,766) (12,929) (11,637)
of period
Future Participants:
Actuarial present value for the 75-year projection period:
Income (excluding interest) $27,828 $24,948 $24,074 $21,858 $19,477
Expenditures 18,318 16,564 15,805 14,108 12,258
Income less expenditures 9,510 8,384 8,269 7,750 7,219
Open-Group (all current and future participants):
Actuarial present value of estimated future income
(5,094) (5,057) (4,800) (5,484) (4,708)
(excluding interest) less expenditures
Combined Medicare Trust Fund assets at start of period 360 341 303 305 290
Actuarial present value of estimated future income
(excluding interest) less expenditures plus trust fund assets at start $(4,734) $(4,716) $(4,497) $(5,179) $(4,418)
of period
Totals do not necessarily equal the sum of the rounded components. The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial
statements. Current participants are assumed to be the “closed group” of individuals who are at least age 15 at the start of the projection
period, and are participating in the program as either taxpayers, beneficiaries, or both.
Totals do not necessarily equal the sum of the rounded components. The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial
statements.
Totals do not necessarily equal the sum of the rounded components. The accompanying notes are an integral part of these financial
statements.
NOTE 1:
SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES
Basis of Accounting and Presentation
The financial statements were prepared from CMS’s accounting records in accordance with accounting principles generally
accepted in the United States (GAAP) and the form and content specified by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) in OMB
Circular A-136, Financial Reporting Requirements. GAAP for federal entities are the standards prescribed by the Federal Accounting
Standards Advisory Board (FASAB). In accordance with Statement of Federal Financial Accounting Standards (SFFAS) 47, Reporting
Entity, CMS has included all consolidation entities for which it is accountable in this general purpose federal financial report.
The financial statements have been prepared to report the financial position, net cost, changes in net position, and budgetary
resources for all programs administered by CMS. CMS’s fiscal year (FY) ends September 30. These financial statements reflect
both accrual and budgetary accounting transactions. Under the accrual method of accounting, revenues are recognized when
earned and expenses are recognized when incurred, without regard to the receipt or payment of cash. Budgetary accounting is
designed to recognize the obligation of funds according to legal requirements that, in many cases, is made prior to the occurrence
of an accrual-based transaction. Budgetary accounting is essential for compliance with legal constraints and controls over the
use of federal funds. Accounting standards require all reporting entities to disclose that accounting standards allow certain
presentations and disclosures to be modified, if needed, to prevent the disclosure of classified information.
Use of Estimates
Financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP are based on a selection of accounting policies and the application of
significant accounting estimates. Some estimates require management to make significant assumptions. Further, the estimates
are based on current conditions that may change in the future. Actual results could differ materially from the estimated amounts.
The financial statements include information to assist in understanding the effect of changes in assumptions to the related
information.
Parent/Child Reporting
CMS is a party to allocation transfers with other federal agencies as both a transferring (parent) entity and/or a receiving (child)
entity. Allocation transfers are legal delegations by one agency of its authority to obligate budget authority and outlay funds to
another agency. Financial activity related to these allocation transfers (e.g., budget authority, obligations, outlays) is reported
in the financial statements of the parent entity, from which the underlying legislative authority, appropriations and budget
apportionments are derived. For example, CMS has a child relationship with the Internal Revenue Service for the Advance
Premium Tax Credit, and Basic Health Program payments; these payments are not included in CMS’s financial statements.
■ A statute committing the federal government to use specifically identified revenues and/or other financing sources that are
originally provided to the federal government by a non-federal source only for designated activities, benefits or purposes;
■ Explicit authority for the fund to retain revenues and other financing sources not used in the current period for future use to
finance the designated activities, benefits, or purposes; and
■ A requirement to account for and report on the receipt, use, and retention of the revenues and other financing sources that
distinguishes the fund from the federal government’s general revenues.
Employment tax revenue is the primary source of financing for Medicare’s HI program. Medicare’s portion of payroll and self-
employment taxes is collected under the Federal Insurance Contribution Act (FICA) and Self-Employment Contribution Act
(SECA). Employees and employers are both required to contribute 1.45 percent of earnings, with no limitation, to the HI trust
fund. Self-employed individuals contribute the full 2.9 percent of their net income. The Social Security Act requires the transfer of
these contributions from the U.S. Government (general fund) to the HI trust fund based on the amount of wages certified by the
Commissioner of Social Security from the Social Security Administration (SSA) records of wages established and maintained by
SSA in accordance with wage information reports.
SMI benefits and administrative expenses are financed primarily by monthly premiums paid by Medicare beneficiaries with
matching by the Federal government through the general fund appropriation, Payments to the Health Care Trust Funds. Section
1844 of the Social Security Act authorizes appropriated funds to match SMI premiums collected, and outlines the ratio for the
match as the method to fully compensate the trust fund if insufficient funds are available in the appropriation to match all
premiums received in the fiscal year.
The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) provided that beneficiary cost sharing in the Part D coverage gap be
reduced for brand-name and generic drugs to a 25 percent coinsurance. Part D is considered part of the SMI trust fund and is
reported in the SMI column of the financial statements.
Separately, the Medicaid Integrity Program was established by the Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 (DRA), and codified at section 1936
of the Social Security Act. The Medicaid Integrity Program represents the federal government’s first national strategy to detect and
prevent Medicaid fraud and abuse.
There is permanent indefinite authority for the transfer of general funds to the HI trust fund in amounts equal to SECA tax credits
and receipts from taxation of Old Age Survivors and Disability Insurance (OASDI) beneficiaries. The Social Security Amendments
of 1994, provided for additional tax payments from Social Security OASDI benefits and Tier 1 Railroad Retirement beneficiaries.
Medicaid
Medicaid is administered via grant awards, which limit the funds that can be drawn by the states to cover current expenses.
Medicaid also provides funding for the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health incentive payments made
to the states. Beginning January 1, 2014, the PPACA expanded eligibility (based upon a state’s choice) for Medicaid to certain
low-income adults with the federal government paying 90 percent of claims for those newly eligible under Medicaid expansion
for calendar year (CY) 2020 and beyond. On March 18, 2020, the President signed into law H.R. 6021, the Families First Coronavirus
Response Act. This Act provides a temporary 6.2 percentage point increase to each qualifying state and territory’s Federal Medical
Assistance Percentage (FMAP) effective beginning January 1, 2020 and extending through the last day of the calendar quarter
in which the public health emergency declared by the Secretary of HHS for COVID-19, including any extensions, terminates. The
increased FMAP was in effect through September 30, 2022.
CHIP
CHIP is administered via grant awards, which limit the funds that can be drawn by the states to cover current expenses.
The Children’s Health Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2009 (CHIPRA) established a Child Enrollment Contingency Fund to
cover shortfalls in funding for the states. This fund is invested in interest-bearing Treasury securities.
The Deficit Reduction Act Section 6201 provided Federal payments for several projects, including the Money Follows the Person
demonstration, the Medicaid Integrity Program, and the establishment of alternative non-emergency providers.
CHIPRA provided for transition grants to provide funding to states to assist them in transitioning to a prospective payment system
and grants to improve outreach and enrollment.
Program Management User Fees: Medicare Advantage, Clinical Laboratory Improvement Program,
Marketplace, and Other User Fees
This account operates as a revolving fund without fiscal year restriction. Medicare Advantage plans are required to make
payments for their share of the estimated costs related to enrollment, dissemination of information, and certain counseling and
assistance programs. These user fees are devoted to educational efforts for beneficiaries and outreach partners. The Clinical
Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988 (CLIA) marked the first comprehensive effort by the federal government to regulate
medical laboratory testing. Fees for registration, certificates, and compliance determination of all U.S. clinical laboratories
are collected to finance the program. Beginning January 1, 2014, the PPACA requires the collection of a user fee from each
issuer offering coverage through a Federally-facilitated Marketplace to offset operating costs. Other user fees are charged for
certification of some nursing facilities and for sale of the data on nursing facilities surveys, for coordination of benefits for the Part
D program, and for new providers of medical or other items or services. Proceeds from the sale of data from the public use files
and publications under the Freedom of Information Act are also credited to this fund.
The cost related to the Program Management Appropriation is allocated based on the CMS cost allocation system. It is reported
under the Program Management (administrative) and Other (user fees) columns in the supplemental statements in the
Supplementary Information section. Both of these activities are reported as dedicated collections.
The PPACA provides additional funding for Program Management to address activities such as Medicaid adult health quality
measures, a nationwide program for national and state background checks on long-term care employees, evaluations of
community prevention and wellness programs, quality measurements, state health insurance programs, the Medicare
Independence at Home Demonstration program, and the complex diagnostic laboratory tests demonstration project.
Investments consist of trust fund (Dedicated collections) investments, which are investments (plus the accrued interest on
investments) held by Treasury. The FASAB SFFAS 27 prescribes certain disclosures concerning dedicated collections investments,
such as the fact that cash generated from funds from dedicated collections is used by the U.S. Treasury for general government
purposes and that, upon redemption of investments to make expenditures, the Treasury will finance those expenditures in the
same manner that it finances all other expenditures. Additionally, investments consist of the CHIP Child Enrollment Contingency
Fund investments (net of any accrued amortized or unrealized discounts) also held by Treasury (see Note 3).
Unexpended Appropriations include the portion of CMS’s appropriations represented by undelivered orders and unobligated
balances.
Benefit Payments are payments made by Medicare contractors, CMS, and state Medicaid agencies to health care providers for
their services. CMS recognizes the cost associated with payments in the period incurred and based on entitlement. In accordance
with Public Law and existing federal accounting standards, no expense or liability is recorded for any future payment to be made
on behalf of current workers contributing to the Medicare HI trust fund.
State Phased-Down Contributions are reimbursements to the SMI trust fund for the federal assumption of Medicaid prescription
drug costs for dually eligible beneficiaries pursuant to the MMA. The MMA prescribes a formula for computing the states’
contributions and allows states to make monthly payments. Amounts billed and collected under the State Phased-Down
provision are recognized as a reduction to expense.
Medicare Premiums Collected are used to help finance benefits and administrative expenses. Premiums collected are for Part A,
Part B, Medicare Advantage and Part D.
Budgetary Financing Sources (Other than Earned Revenues) arise primarily from the exercise of the government’s power to
demand payments from the public (e.g., taxes, duties, fines, and penalties). These include appropriations used, transfers of assets
from other government entities, donations, and imputed financing. The major sources of Budgetary Financing Sources are as
follows:
■ Appropriations Used and Federal Matching Contributions are described in the Medicare Premiums Collected section
above. For financial statement purposes, appropriations used are recognized as a financing source as expenses are incurred.
A transfer of general funds to the HI trust fund in an amount equal to SECA tax credits is made through the Payments to the
Health Care Trust Funds account.
■ Nonexchange Revenues arise primarily from the exercise of the Government’s power to demand payment from the public
(e.g., taxes, duties, fines and penalties), but also include donations. Employment tax revenue is the primary source of
financing for Medicare’s HI program. Interest earned on HI and SMI trust fund investments, as well as on the Child Enrollment
Contingency Fund investments, are also reported as nonexchange revenue.
Appropriations provide budget authority that permits government officials to incur obligations that result in immediate or future
outlays of government funds.
Budgetary Resources consist of new budget authority and unobligated balances from prior year budget authority and available
for obligation in a given year.
Offsetting Collections are payments to the government which, by law are credited to expenditure accounts and deducted from
gross budget authority and outlays of the expenditure account, rather than added to receipts. Offsetting collections are to be
spent for the purposes of the account usually without further action by Congress. They result from business-like transactions with
the public (i.e., including payments from the public in exchange for goods and services, reimbursements for damages, and gifts or
donations of money to the government) and from intragovernmental transactions.
Offsetting Receipts are payments to the government which are credited to offsetting receipt accounts and deducted from
gross budget authority and outlays, rather than added to receipts. They are not authorized to be credited directly to expenditure
accounts, since the legislation that authorizes the offsetting receipts may designate them for a specific purpose or appropriate
them for expenditure for that purpose or require them to be appropriated in annual appropriations acts before they can be spent.
Similar to offsetting collections, they usually result from business-like transactions with the public and from intragovernmental
transactions with other government accounts.
Obligations are actions that creates a legal liability to disburse funds, immediately or in the future. Budgetary resources must be
available before obligating actions can be taken legally. In entitlement programs, obligations may arise under operation of law.
Outlays are payments to liquidate an obligation. Outlays generally are equal to cash disbursements. Outlays are the measure of
government spending. Net outlays are gross outlays reduced by offsetting collections.
Obligations Incurred consists of expended authority and the change in undelivered orders. OMB has exempted CMS from
the Circular No. A-11 requirement to report Medicare’s refunds of prior year obligations separately from refunds of current year
obligations on the SF-133, Report on Budget Execution and Budgetary Resources. OMB has mandated that CMS report all
Medicare cash collections as an offsetting receipt.
FY 2022 FY 2021
Status of Fund Balances with Treasury:
Unobligated Balance:
Available $72,926 $46,085
Unavailable 151,710 123,314
Obligated Balance not yet Disbursed 180,768 182,803
Non-Budgetary FBWT (69,736) (67,729)
TOTAL $335,668 $284,473
The Unobligated Balance Available includes $29,117 million ($28,639 million in FY 2021), which is restricted for future use and is not apportioned
for current use for CHIP, Program Management, Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation, and State Grants and Demonstrations.
NOTE 3:
INVESTMENTS
(Dollars in Millions)
Sections 1817 for HI and 1841 for SMI of the Social Security Act require that trust fund investments not necessary to meet current
expenditures be invested in interest-bearing obligations of the United States or in obligations guaranteed as to both principal
and interest by the United States. These investments are carried at face value as determined by Treasury. Interest income is
compounded semiannually (June and December) and was adjusted to include an accrual for interest earned from July 1 to
September 30.
The federal government does not set aside assets to pay future benefits or other expenditures associated with the HI trust fund
or the SMI trust fund. The cash receipts collected from the public for a fund from dedicated collections are deposited in the U.S.
Treasury, which uses the cash for general government purposes. Treasury securities are issued to the HI and SMI trust funds as
evidence of their receipts. Treasury securities are an asset to the HI and SMI trust funds and a liability to the U.S. Treasury. Because
the HI and SMI trust funds and the U.S. Treasury are both parts of the federal government, these assets and liabilities offset each
other from the standpoint of the federal government as a whole. For this reason, they do not represent an asset or a liability in the
U.S. government-wide financial statements.
Treasury securities provide the HI and SMI trust funds with authority to draw upon the U.S. Treasury to make future benefit
payments or other expenditures. When the HI and SMI trust funds require redemption of these securities to make expenditures,
the government finances those expenditures out of accumulated cash balances, by raising taxes, raising the federal match of SMI
premiums or other receipts, by borrowing from the public or repaying less debt, or by curtailing other expenditures. This is the
same way that the government finances all other expenditures.
NOTE 3:
CMS INVESTMENT SUMMARY (CONTINUED)
(Dollars in Millions)
NOTE 4:
ACCOUNTS RECEIVABLE, NET
(Dollars in Millions)
Intragovernmental accounts receivable represent CMS claims for payment from other federal agencies. CMS accounts receivable
for transfers from the HI and SMI trust funds maintained by the Treasury Bureau of Public Debt (BPD) are eliminated against BPD’s
corresponding liabilities to CMS in the Consolidated Balance Sheets. No allowance for uncollectible amounts is established for
intragovernmental accounts receivable because they are considered fully collectible.
Accounts receivable from other than intragovernmental are primarily composed of provider and beneficiary overpayments,
Medicare Prescription drug overpayments, Medicare premiums, State phased-down contributions, Medicaid/CHIP overpayments,
audit disallowances, civil monetary penalties and restitutions, the recognition of Medicare secondary payer (MSP) accounts
receivable, and Marketplace activities. The Medicare FFS receivables also include the amounts for the COVID-19 Accelerated and
Advance Payment (CAAP) program that have been demanded as of September 30, 2022. The accounts receivable is presented net
of an allowance for uncollectible amounts. The allowance is based on past collection experience and an analysis of outstanding
balances. For Medicare accounts receivable, the allowance for uncollectible accounts receivable derived this year has been
calculated from data based on the agency’s collection activity and the age of the debt for the most current fiscal year, while taking
into consideration the average uncollectible percentage for the past five years. The Medicaid accounts receivable has been recorded
at a net realizable value based on a historic analysis of actual recoveries and the rate of disallowances found in favor of the states. The
other accounts receivable has been recorded to account for amounts due related to collections for Marketplace activities.
NOTE 5:
ADVANCES AND PREPAYMENTS
(Dollars in Millions)
CMS has $39,007 million ($67,184 million in FY 2021) in advances and prepayments. From that amount, $37,751 million represent
payment of the Prescription Drug and Medicare Advantage benefit payments for October 2022 that occurred on September
30 instead of October 1. Advances in the amount of $1,255 million remain from accelerated payments made under the CAAP
program. The original AAP program was set up to help providers and suppliers who had cash flow concerns due to system issues
causing delays in submissions or processing of claims or local emergencies (e.g., hurricanes). On March 30, 2020, the AAP program
was expanded based on the language included in the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act for specific providers.
Collections of the CAAP advances began in April 2021 from the offset of future claims. As of September 2022, certain CAAP
advances have been demanded and are reflected in the Medicare FFS accounts receivable balance.
NOTE 6:
DEBT
(Dollars in Millions)
CMS has $8,256 million ($36,781 million in FY 2021) in total debt due to Treasury. From that total, $2,884 million is related to
amounts borrowed to cover for the advance/accelerated payments made for the CAAP program. CAAP program repayments
are based on collections. The $4,863 million is for amounts borrowed to cover premium shortfalls. The Balanced Budget Act of
2015 (Section 601) authorized a transfer from the general fund to SMI, to temporarily replace the reduction in Part B premiums
for calendar years 2016 and 2017. Section 601 created an “additional premium” charged alongside the normal Part B monthly
premiums, which will be used to pay back the general fund transfer without interest. The Continuing Appropriations Act, 2021 and
Other Extensions Act (H.R. 8337 enacted on October 1, 2020) made similar changes for 2021. These repayments are transferred
quarterly.
2021 Beginning 2021 Net 2021 Ending 2022 Net 2022 Ending
Balance Borrowing Balance Borrowing Balance
NOTE 7:
ENTITLEMENT BENEFITS DUE AND PAYABLE
(Dollars in Millions)
FY 2022 FY 2021
Medicare FFS $65,883 $57,765
Medicare Advantage/Prescription Drug Program 19,190 22,013
Medicaid 54,835 52,757
CHIP 1,269 1,242
TOTALS $141,177 $133,777
Entitlement Benefits Due and Payable represents a liability for Medicare FFS, Medicare Advantage and the Prescription Drug
Program, Medicaid, and CHIP owed to the public for medical services/claims incurred but not reported (IBNR) as of the end of the
reporting period.
The Medicare FFS liability is primarily an actuarial liability which represents (a) an estimate of claims incurred that may or may
not have been submitted to the Medicare contractors but were not yet approved for payment, (b) actual claims that have been
approved for payment by the Medicare contractors for which checks have not yet been issued, (c) checks that have been issued
by the Medicare contractors in payment of a claim and that have not yet been cashed by payees, (d) periodic interim payments for
services rendered in the current fiscal year but paid in the subsequent fiscal year and (e) an estimate of retroactive settlements of
cost reports. The September 30, 2022 and 2021 estimates also include amounts which may be due/owed to providers for previous
years’ disputed cost report adjustments for disproportionate share hospitals and teaching hospitals, as well as, amounts which
may be due/owed to hospitals for adjusted prospective payments.
The Medicare Advantage and Prescription Drug program liability represents amounts owed to plans after the completion of the
Prescription Drug payment reconciliation and estimates relating to risk and other payment related adjustments including the
estimate for the first nine months of calendar year 2022. In addition, it includes an estimate of payments to plan sponsors of
retiree prescription drug coverage incurred but not yet paid as of September 30, 2022.
The Medicaid and CHIP estimates represent the net federal share of expenses that have been incurred by the states but not yet
reported to CMS based on data from the states’ latest audited Comprehensive Annual Financial Report. Each state’s estimate is
subject to variability due to the variety of programs offered by the respective states and the data required to formulate these
estimates. Accordingly, the ultimate outcome of these estimates could vary from the amounts recorded at September 30, 2022
and September 30, 2021, and we believe these estimates to be reasonable.
NOTE 8:
CONTINGENCIES AND COMMITMENTS
(Dollars in Millions)
The contingencies balance as of September 30, 2022 is $6,955 million ($3,659 million in FY 2021), all $6,955 million is for Medicaid
($3,654 million in FY 2021) for audit and program disallowances and reimbursement of state plan amendments. Additionally,
CMS is a party in various administrative proceedings, legal actions, and tort claims which may ultimately result in settlements
or decisions adverse to the federal government. CMS accrues contingent liabilities where a loss is determined to be probable
and the amount can be estimated. CMS may owe amounts to providers for previous years’ disputed cost reports and claims
adjustments. Other contingencies exist where losses are reasonably possible, and an estimate can be determined or an estimate
of the range of possible liability has been determined. CMS does not record an accrual for a contingent liability if it is not
estimable and probable, but does disclose those contingencies in the financial statements, if the future settlement could be
material to the financial statements.
NOTE 9:
LIABILITIES NOT COVERED BY BUDGETARY RESOURCES
(Dollars in Millions)
Liabilities not covered by budgetary resources are incurred when funding has not yet been made available through Congressional
appropriations or current earnings. CMS recognizes such liabilities for debt for the CAAP program (see Note 6), contingencies (see
Note 8) and employee annual leave earned but not taken and amounts billed by the Department of Labor for Federal Employee’s
Compensation Act (FECA) payments. For CMS revolving funds, all liabilities are funded as they occur.
Medicare Health
FY 2022
Program Combined Intra-CMS Consolidated
HI TF SMI TF Medicaid CHIP Other
Intragovernmental Management Total Eliminations Total
Debt $7,747 $7,747 $7,747
Other $26 $2 28 $(3) 25
Total Intragovernmental 7,747 26 2 7,775 (3) 7,772
Federal Employee and Veterans Benefits $6 1 14 71 92 92
Other 7,270 7,270 7,270
Contingencies $6,955 6,955 6,955
Total Liabilities Not Covered by
6 7,748 6,955 7,310 73 22,092 (3) 22,089
Budgetary Resources
Total Liabilities Covered by Budgetary
91,963 94,161 54,837 $1,269 4,998 204 247,432 (99,269) 148,163
Resources
Total Liabilities Not Requiring Budgetary
229 1,067 302 1,598 1,598
Resources
TOTAL LIABILITIES $92,198 $102,976 $61,792 $1,269 $12,610 $277 $271,122 $(99,272) $171,850
Medicare Health
FY 2021
Program Combined Intra-CMS Consolidated
HI TF SMI TF Medicaid CHIP Other
Intragovernmental Management Total Eliminations Total
Debt $36,312 $36,312 $36,312
Other $99 $2 101 $(36) 65
Total Intragovernmental 36,312 99 2 36,413 (36) 36,377
Federal Employee and Veterans Benefits $5 1 14 74 94 94
Other 6,220 6,220 6,220
Contingencies 5 $3,654 3,659 3,659
Total Liabilities Not Covered by
10 36,313 3,654 6,333 76 46,386 (36) 46,350
Budgetary Resources
Total Liabilities Covered by Budgetary
81,259 94,587 52,790 $1,243 3,206 207 233,292 (94,148) 139,144
Resources
Total Liabilities Not Requiring Budgetary
138 676 112 926 926
Resources
TOTAL LIABILITIES $81,407 $131,576 $56,444 $1,243 $9,651 $283 $280,604 $(94,184) $186,420
NOTE 10:
NET COST OF OPERATIONS
(Dollars in Millions)
Medicare Health
Consolidated
HI TF SMI TF Medicaid CHIP Other
FY 2022 Total
BENEFIT/PROGRAM COSTS
Medicare
Fee for Service $205,122 $217,327 $422,449
Medicare Advantage/ 165,175 227,697 392,872
Managed Care
Prescription Drug (Part D) 87,396 87,396
Medicaid/CHIP $593,046 $16,696 609,742
Other $12,722 12,722
Bad Debt Expense and Writeoffs 159 268 (240) (4) (7) 176
Total Benefit/Program Costs $370,456 $532,688 $592,806 $16,692 $12,715 $1,525,357
OPERATING COSTS
Medicare Integrity Program $1,633 $1,633
Quality Improvement Organizations 542 $153 695
Program Management and Other 757 3,125 $183 $17 $623 4,705
Expenses
Total Operating Costs 2,932 3,278 183 17 623 7,033
TOTAL COSTS $373,388 $535,966 $592,989 $16,709 $13,338 $1,532,390
Less: Earned Revenues:
Medicare Premiums $4,624 $132,272 $136,896
Other Earned Revenues 4 17 $1 $11,896 11,918
Total Earned Revenues 4,628 132,289 1 11,896 148,814
TOTAL NET COST OF OPERATIONS $368,626 $403,198 $592,988 $16,709 $2,055 $1,383,576
NOTE 10:
NET COST OF OPERATIONS (CONTINUED)
(Dollars in Millions)
Medicare Health
Consolidated
HI TF SMI TF Medicaid CHIP Other
FY 2021 Total
BENEFIT/PROGRAM COSTS
Medicare
Fee for Service $208,024 $216,390 $424,414
Medicare Advantage/ 144,373 196,110 340,483
Managed Care
Prescription Drug (Part D) 85,423 85,423
Medicaid/CHIP $521,746 $15,987 537,733
Other $10,981 10,981
Bad Debt Expense and Writeoffs 25 56 (11) 4 (142) (68)
Total Benefit/Program Costs $352,422 $497,979 $521,735 $15,991 $10,839 $1,398,966
OPERATING COSTS
Medicare Integrity Program $1,508 $1,508
Quality Improvement Organizations 466 $167 633
Program Management and Other 1,543 3,030 $148 $15 $646 5,382
Expenses
Total Operating Costs 3,517 3,197 148 15 646 7,523
TOTAL COSTS $355,939 $501,176 $521,883 $16,006 $11,485 $1,406,489
Less: Earned Revenues:
Medicare Premiums $4,451 $118,183 $122,634
Other Earned Revenues 5 17 $1 $11,475 11,498
Total Earned Revenues 4,456 118,200 1 11,475 134,132
TOTAL NET COST OF OPERATIONS $350,853 $382,401 $521,882 $16,006 $1,215 $1,272,357
For purposes of financial statement presentation, non-CMS administrative costs are considered expenses to the Medicare trust
funds when outlaid by Treasury even though some funds may have been used to pay for assets, such as property and equipment.
CMS administrative costs have been allocated to programs based on the CMS cost allocation system. Program Management costs
allocated to the Medicare program include $2,289 million ($2,271 million in FY 2021) paid to Medicare contractors to carry out
their responsibilities as CMS’s agents in the administration of the Medicare program.
For reporting purposes, Medicare Part D expense has been reduced by actual and accrued reimbursements made by the states
pursuant to the State Phased-Down provision. The FY 2022 Part D expense of $87,396 million ($85,423 million in FY 2021) is net
of State reimbursements of $13,463 million ($11,919 million in FY 2021). The gross expense would have been $100,859 million
($97,342 million in FY 2021).
NOTE 11:
FUNDS FROM DEDICATED COLLECTIONS
(Dollars in Millions)
CMS has designated as funds from dedicated collections the Medicare HI and SMI trust funds, which also include the Payments
to the Health Care Trust Funds appropriation and the HCFAC account. Other Non-Medicare includes user fees and program
management (administrative) activities.
Total
Funds from Total Dedicated
Other Non-
Medicare Dedicated Eliminations Collections
Medicare
Collections (Consolidated)
(Combined)
NOTE 11:
FUNDS FROM DEDICATED COLLECTIONS (CONTINUED)
(Dollars in Millions)
Total
Funds from Total
Other Non-
Medicare Dedicated Eliminations Dedicated
Medicare
Collections Collections
(Combined)
Statement of Changes in Net Position for the year ended September 30, 2022
UNEXPENDED APPROPRIATIONS
Beginning Balances: $134,077 $867 $134,944 $134,944
NOTE 11:
FUNDS FROM DEDICATED COLLECTIONS (CONTINUED)
(Dollars in Millions)
Total
Funds from Total
Other Non-
Medicare Dedicated Eliminations Dedicated
Medicare
Collections Collections
(Combined)
Balance Sheet as of September 30, 2021
ASSETS
Intragovernmental:
Fund Balance with Treasury $145,714 $8,924 $154,638 $154,638
Investments, net 308,133 308,133 308,133
Accounts receivable, net 86,056 7,308 93,364 $(92,821) 543
TOTAL INTRAGOVERNMENTAL 539,903 16,232 556,135 (92,821) 463,314
Other than Intragovernmental:
Accounts receivable, net 15,647 5,806 21,453 21,453
General property, plant & equipment, net 286 1,448 1,734 1,734
Advances and prepayments 67,012 76 67,088 67,088
Total other than Intragovernmental 82,945 7,330 90,275 90,275
TOTAL ASSETS $622,848 $23,562 $646,410 $(92,821) $553,589
LIABILITIES
Intragovernmental:
Accounts payable $95,920 $33 $95,953 $(92,821) $3,132
Debt 36,312 36,312 36,312
Other Liabilities 1 13 14 14
TOTAL INTRAGOVERNMENTAL 132,233 46 132,279 (92,821) 39,458
Other than Intragovernmental:
Accounts payable 143 159 302 302
Entitlement benefits due and payable 79,778 79,778 79,778
Other Liabilities
Contingencies 5 5 5
Other 824 8,971 9,795 9,795
Total other than Intragovernmental 80,750 9,130 89,880 89,880
TOTAL LIABILITIES $212,983 $9,176 $222,159 $(92,821) $129,338
NET POSITION
Unexpended Appropriations-Funds from
$134,077 $867 $134,944 $134,944
Dedicated Collections
Cumulative Results of Operations-Funds from
275,788 13,519 289,307 289,307
Dedicated Collections
TOTAL NET POSITION $409,865 $14,386 $424,251 $424,251
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND NET POSITION $622,848 $23,562 $646,410 $(92,821) $553,589
Statement of Net Cost
for the year ended September 30, 2021
Benefit and Program Expenses $850,401 $9,861 $860,262 $860,262
Operating Costs 3,006 4,384 7,390 $(1,205) 6,185
Total Costs 853,407 14,245 867,652 (1,205) 866,447
Less Earned Revenues (122,634) (11,488) (134,122) 1,205 (132,917)
NET COST OF OPERATIONS $730,773 $2,757 $733,530 $733,530
NOTE 11:
FUNDS FROM DEDICATED COLLECTIONS (CONTINUED)
(Dollars in Millions)
Total
Funds from Total
Other Non-
Medicare Dedicated Eliminations Dedicated
Medicare
Collections Collections
(Combined)
Statement of Changes in Net Position for the year ended September 30, 2021
UNEXPENDED APPROPRIATIONS
Beginning Balances: $97,863 $253 $98,116 $98,116
NOTE 12
STATEMENT OF BUDGETARY RESOURCES DISCLOSURES
(Dollars in Millions)
Net adjustments to unobligated balance, brought forward, October 1 as of September 30, 2022 and September 30, 2021 consisted
of the following:
FY 2022 FY 2021
Net Adjustment to Unobligated Balance Brought Forward
Budgetary Resources:
Unobligated balance, brought forward, October 1 $169,401 $133,884
Recoveries of prior year unpaid obligations 83,162 43,295
Recoveries of prior year paid obligations 18,725 53,872
Appropriation withdrawn (35,912)
Appropriation temporarily precluded from obligations - prior year (4,912)
Cancelled authority (10,902) (8,956)
Prior year adjustment 11 591
Other 49 267
Unobligated balance from prior year budget authority, net $224,534 $218,041
Explanations of Differences Between the Combined Statement of Budgetary Resources and the Budget
of the United States Government for FY 2021 (Dollars in Millions)
CMS reconciled the amounts of the FY 2021 column of the SBR to the actual amounts for FY 2021 from the Appendix in the FY
2023 President’s Budget for budgetary resources, obligations incurred, offsetting receipts and net outlays (gross outlays less
offsetting collections). The Budget with the actual amounts for the current year (FY 2022) will be available at a later date at
https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget.
For the budgetary resources’ reconciliation, the amount used from the President’s Budget was the total budgetary resources
available for obligation. The Expired Accounts line included expired authority, recoveries and other amounts included in the
Combined SBR that are not included in the President’s Budget. The Other line, contained in the SBR and not in the President’s
Budget for budgetary resources, obligations incurred and net outlays, are CMS amounts reported on CDC and OS statements and
GTAS adjustments.
FY 2022 FY 2021
NOTE 13
Actuarial present values are computed under the intermediate set of assumptions specified in the 2022 Annual Report of the
Medicare Boards of Trustees of the Federal Hospital Insurance and Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds. These
assumptions represent the Trustees’ reasonable estimate of likely future economic, demographic, and healthcare-specific
conditions. As with all of the assumptions underlying the Trustees’ financial projections, the Medicare-specific assumptions
are reviewed annually and updated based on the latest available data and analysis of trends. In addition, the assumptions and
projection methodology are subject to periodic review by independent panels of expert actuaries and economists. The most
recent completed review occurred with the 2016-2017 Technical Review Panel.
Actuarial present values are computed as of the year shown and over the 75-year projection period, beginning January 1 of that
year. Beginning in 2020, the Medicare program was dramatically affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. The amount of payroll taxes
expected to be collected by the HI trust fund was greatly reduced due to the economic effects of the pandemic on labor markets.
Spending was directly affected by the coverage of testing and treatment of the disease. In addition, several regulatory policies
and legislative provisions were enacted during the public health emergency that increased spending. More than offsetting
these additional costs in 2020, spending for non-COVID care declined significantly (compared to both actual 2019 spending and
pre-pandemic expectations for 2020). Overall, the projections are based primarily on actual experience through 2019. However,
program costs in 2020 and 2021 were used to help inform the development of adjustment factors by type of service, which
account for the impact of COVID-19 through 2028. In spite of these substantial impacts on the Medicare program in 2020, the
pandemic was not factored into the SOSI projections until 2021 because of the uncertainty of the impacts at the time the 2020
Trustees Report was released.
Spending for services other than COVID-19 was significantly lower than expected in 2020 and 2021. This decline was more
pronounced for elective services. In addition, Medicare beneficiaries whose deaths were identified as related to COVID had costs
that were much higher than the average Medicare beneficiary prior to the onset of the pandemic. As a result, compared to the
pre-pandemic Medicare population, the surviving Medicare population had lower morbidity, on average, reducing costs by an
estimated 1.5 percent in 2020 and 2.9 percent in 2021. This morbidity effect is expected to continue over the next few years but is
assumed to decrease over time before ending in 2028.
While the COVID-19 pandemic has significantly affected Medicare short-term financing and spending, it is not expected to have a
large effect on the financial status of the trust funds after 2028. As discussed throughout the Trustees Report, the key measures of
the financial adequacy for each trust fund are fairly comparable to those included in last year’s report.
The Medicare Accelerated and Advance Payments Program was significantly expanded during the COVID-19 public health
emergency period. Total payments of approximately $107.2 billion were made from March 2020 through June 2021: roughly $67.1
billion from the HI trust fund and $40.1 billion from the SMI Part B trust fund account. The Trustees assumed that the accelerated
and advance payments would be fully repaid by September of 2022, resulting in no net changes to trust fund expenditures. As
discussed in Note 5, the majority of these accelerated and advance payments have been repaid as of September 30, 2022.
It should be noted that there is an unusually large degree of uncertainty with these COVID-related impacts and that future
projections could change significantly as more information becomes available. Moreover, as a result of developments that have
occurred since the assumptions for this year’s Trustees Report were selected in mid-February 2022, uncertainty has increased
regarding the path of the COVID-19 pandemic and the economy. The Trustees will continue to monitor developments and modify
the projections in later reports as appropriate. The pandemic is an example of the inherent uncertainty in projecting health care
financing and spending over any duration.
Furthermore, the projections disregard payment reductions that would result from the projected depletion of the Medicare HI
trust fund. The present values are calculated by discounting the future annual amounts of non-interest income and expenditures
(including benefit payments and administrative expenses) at the projected average rates of interest credited to the HI trust
fund. HI income includes the portion of FICA and SECA payroll taxes allocated to the HI trust fund, the portion of Federal income
taxes paid on Social Security benefits that is allocated to the HI trust fund, premiums paid by, or on behalf of, aged uninsured
beneficiaries, and receipts from fraud and abuse control activities. SMI income includes premiums paid by, or on behalf of,
beneficiaries and transfers from the general fund of the Treasury. Fees related to brand-name prescription drugs are included as
income for Part B of SMI, and transfers from State governments are included as income for Part D of SMI. Since all major sources of
income to the trust funds are reflected, the actuarial projections can be used to assess the financial condition of each trust fund.
Actuarial present values of estimated future income (excluding interest) and estimated future expenditures are presented for
three different groups of participants: (1) current participants who have not yet attained eligibility age; (2) current participants
who have attained eligibility age; and (3) new entrants, those who are expected to become participants in the future. Current
participants are the closed group of individuals who are at least age 15 at the start of the projection period and are expected to
participate in the program as either taxpayers, beneficiaries, or both.
The SOSI sets forth, for each of these three groups, the projected actuarial present values of all future expenditures and of all
future non-interest income for the next 75 years. The SOSI also presents the net present values of future net cash flows, which
are calculated by subtracting the actuarial present value of estimated future expenditures from the actuarial present value of
estimated future income. The HI trust fund is expected to have an actuarial deficit indicating that, under these assumptions as to
economic, demographic, and health care cost trends for the future, HI income is expected to fall short of expenditures over the
next 75 years. Neither Part B nor Part D of SMI has similar deficits because each account is automatically in financial balance every
year due to its statutory financing mechanism.
In addition to the actuarial present value of the estimated future excess of income (excluding interest) over expenditures for the
open group of participants, the SOSI also sets forth the same calculation for the closed group of participants. The closed group
consists of those who, in the starting year of the projection period, have attained retirement eligibility age or have attained ages
15 through 64. In order to calculate the actuarial net present value of the excess of estimated future income over estimated
future expenditures for the closed group, the actuarial present value of estimated future expenditures for or on behalf of current
participants is subtracted from the actuarial present value of estimated future income (excluding interest) for current participants.
Since its enactment in 1965, the Medicare program has experienced substantial variability in expenditure growth rates. These
different rates of growth have reflected new developments in medical care, demographic factors affecting the relative number
and average age of beneficiaries and covered workers, and numerous economic factors. The future cost of Medicare will
also be affected by further changes in these inherently uncertain factors and by the application of future payment updates.
Consequently, Medicare’s actual cost over time, especially for periods as long as 75 years, cannot be predicted with certainty
and could differ materially from the projections shown in the SOSI. Moreover, these differences could affect the long-term
sustainability of this social insurance program.
To develop projections regarding the future financial status of the HI and SMI trust funds, various assumptions have to be made.
The estimates presented here are based on the assumption that the trust funds will continue to operate under the law in effect
on June 2, 2022, except that the projections disregard payment reductions that would result from the projected depletion of the
Medicare HI trust fund. In addition, the estimates do not reflect the potential impact of the Inflation Reduction Act (Public Law
117-169), which was enacted on August 16, 2022. As of the date of the financial statements, there is still a considerable amount of
uncertainty surrounding these impacts and the projections have not been adjusted.
In addition, the estimates depend on many economic, demographic, and healthcare-specific assumptions, including changes in
per beneficiary health care costs, wages, and the consumer price index (CPI); fertility rates; mortality rates; immigration rates; and
interest rates. In most cases, these assumptions vary from year to year during the first 5 to 30 years before reaching their ultimate
values for the remainder of the 75year projection period. The assumed growth rates for per beneficiary health care costs vary
throughout the projection period.
The following table includes the most significant underlying assumptions used in the projections of Medicare spending displayed
in this section. The assumptions underlying the 2022 SOSI actuarial projections are drawn from the Social Security and Medicare
Trustees Reports for 2022. Specific assumptions are made for each of the different types of service provided by the Medicare
program (for example, hospital care and physician services). These assumptions include changes in the payment rates, utilization,
and intensity of each type of service. The projected beneficiary cost increases summarized below reflect the overall impact of
these more detailed assumptions. Similar detailed information for the prior years is publicly available on the CMS website.1
1 The notes to the financial statements include URL references to certain websites. The information contained on those websites is not part of the financial
statement presentation.
TABLE 1:
Significant Assumptions and Summary Measures Used for the Statement of
Social Insurance 2022
The projections presented in the SOSI are based on various economic and demographic assumptions. The values for each of these
assumptions move from recently experienced levels or trends toward long-range ultimate values. Table 2 below summarizes
these ultimate values assumed for the current year and the prior 4 years, based on the intermediate assumptions of the respective
Medicare Trustees Reports.
TABLE 2:
Significant Ultimate Assumptions Used for the Statement of Social Insurance,
FY 2022-2018
Annual percentage change in:
Per beneficiary cost8
Fertility Net Real-wage Real SMI Real-interest
Mortality rate3 Wages5 CPI6 HI
rate1 immigration2 differential4 GDP7 B D rate9
FY 2022 2.0 1,217,000 469.9 1.14 3.54 2.40 2.1 3.5 3.7 4.2 2.3
FY 2021 2.0 1,218,000 472.7 1.14 3.54 2.40 2.1 3.4 3.7 4.2 2.3
FY 2020 1.95 1,218,000 460.5 1.13 3.53 2.40 2.0 3.3 3.6 4.1 2.3
FY 2019 2.0 1,218,000 453.5 1.16 3.76 2.60 2.0 3.5 3.6 4.3 2.5
FY 2018 2.0 1,218,000 444.7 1.15 3.75 2.60 2.1 3.4 3.5 4.3 2.7
1. Average number of children per woman. The continued use of a cohort-based projection approach that was first implemented in the 2021 Trustees Report results in a much longer transition to
ultimate birth rates from the current low birth rates. The ultimate fertility rate is assumed to be reached in 2056.
2. Includes lawful permanent resident (LPR) immigration, net of emigration, as well as other-than-LPR immigration. The ultimate level of net LPR immigration is 788,000 persons per year, and the
assumption for annual net other-than-LPR varies throughout the projection period. Therefore, the assumption presented is the value assumed in the year 2090.
3. The age-sex-adjusted death rate per 100,000 that would occur in the enumerated population as of April 1, 2010, if that population were to experience the death rates by age and sex observed in,
or assumed for, the selected year. Since the annual rate declines gradually during the entire period, no ultimate rate is achieved. The assumption presented is the value assumed in the year 2090.
4. Difference between percentage increases in wages and the CPI. The value presented is the average of annual real-wage differentials for the last 65 years of the 75-year projection period, is
consistent with the annual differentials shown in table 1, and is displayed to two decimal places. The assumption varies slightly throughout the projection period. Therefore, the assumption
presented is the value assumed in the year 2090.
5. Average annual wage in covered employment. The value presented is the average annual percentage change from the 10th year of the 75-year projection period to the 75th year and is displayed
to two decimal places. The assumption varies slightly throughout the projection period. Therefore, the assumption presented is the value assumed in the year 2090.
6. Consumer price index represents a measure of the average change in prices over time in a fixed group of goods and services. The ultimate assumption is reached within the first 10 years of the
projection period.
7. The total dollar value of all goods and services produced in the United States, adjusted to remove the impact of assumed inflation growth. Since the annual rate declines gradually during the
entire period, no ultimate rate is achieved. The assumption presented is the value assumed in the year 2090.
8. These increases reflect the overall impact of more detailed assumptions that are made for each of the different types of service provided by the Medicare program (for example, hospital care,
physician services, and pharmaceuticals). These assumptions include changes in the payment rates, utilization, and intensity of each type of service. Since the annual rate of growth declines
gradually during the entire period, no ultimate rate is achieved. The assumption presented is the value assumed in the year 2090.
9. Average rate of interest earned on new trust fund securities, above and beyond rate of inflation. The ultimate assumption is reached soon after the 10th year of each projection period.
NOTE 14
Certain features of current law may result in some challenges for the Medicare program. For physician services, not only are
updates below the rate of inflation in all future years, but there are more immediate concerns because updates for these services
are projected to be −2.9 percent in 2023 and 0.0 percent for 2024 and 2025 and certain bonuses paid to physicians are scheduled
to expire in 2025. Payment rate updates for most non-physician categories of Medicare providers are reduced by the growth in
economy-wide private nonfarm business total factor productivity2 although these health providers have historically achieved
lower levels of productivity growth. Should payment rates prove to be inadequate for any service, beneficiaries’ access to and the
quality of Medicare benefits would deteriorate over time, or future legislation would need to be enacted that would likely increase
program costs beyond those projected under current law in this report.
The specified rate updates could be an issue in years when levels of inflation are high and would be problematic when the
cumulative gap between the price updates and physician costs becomes large. The Trustees previously estimated that physician
payment rates under current law will be lower than they would have been under the sustainable growth rate (SGR) formula by
2048 and will be about 30 percent lower by the end of the projection period. Absent a change in the delivery system or level of
update by subsequent legislation, the Trustees expect access to Medicare-participating physicians to become a significant issue
in the long term. Overriding the price updates in current law, as lawmakers repeatedly did in the case of physician payment rates,
would lead to substantially higher costs for Medicare in the long range than those projected in this report.
To help illustrate and quantify the potential magnitude of the cost understatement, the Trustees asked the Office of the Actuary at
CMS to prepare an illustrative Medicare trust fund projection under a hypothetical alternative. This scenario illustrates the impact
that would occur if the payment updates that are affected by the productivity adjustments transition from current law to the
payment updates assumed for private health plans over the period 2028–2042. It also reflects physician payment updates that
transition from current law to the increase in the Medicare Economic Index over the same period. Finally, the scenario assumes
the continuation of the 5-percent bonuses for qualified physicians in advanced alternative payment models (advanced APMs)
and of the $500-million payments for physicians in the merit-based incentive payment system (MIPS), which are set to expire in
2025.3 This alternative was developed for illustrative purposes only; the calculations have not been audited; no endorsement of
the policies underlying the illustrative alternative by the Trustees, CMS, or the Office of the Actuary should be inferred; and the
examples do not attempt to portray likely or recommended future outcomes. Thus, the illustrations are useful only as general
indicators of the substantial impacts that could result from future legislation affecting the productivity adjustments and physician
updates under Medicare and of the broad range of uncertainty associated with such impacts.
2 Beginning with the November 18, 2021 release of the productivity data, the Bureau of Labor Statistics replaced the term multifactor productivity with the term
total factor productivity, a change in name only as the underlying methods and data were unchanged.
3 The illustrative alternative projections included changes to the productivity adjustments starting with the 2010 annual report, following enactment of the
Affordable Care Act. The assumption regarding physician payments is being used because the enactment of MACRA in 2015 replaced the SGR with specified
physician updates.
Table 3 below contains a comparison of the Medicare 75-year present values of estimated future income and estimated future
expenditures under current law with those under the illustrative alternative scenario.
TABLE 3:
Medicare Present Values
(in billions)
Current law
Alternative Scenario1, 2 (Unaudited)
(Unaudited)
Income
Part A $30,163 $30,217
Part B 56,618 63,733
Part D 11,630 11,621
Expenditures
Part A 35,257 41,560
Part B 56,618 63,733
Part D 11,630 11,621
Income less expenditures
Part A (5,094) (11,343)
Part B 0 0
Part D 0 0
1
These amounts are not presented in the 2022 Trustees Report.
2
A set of illustrative alternative Medicare projections has been prepared under a hypothetical modification to current law. No endorsement of the illustrative
alternative by the Trustees, CMS, or the Office of the Actuary should be inferred.
The difference between the current-law and illustrative alternative projections is substantial for Parts A and B. All Part A fee-for-
service providers and roughly 40 percent of Part B fee-for-service providers are affected by the productivity adjustments, so the
current-law projections reflect an estimated 1.0-percent reduction in annual cost growth each year for these providers. If the
payment updates that are affected by the productivity adjustments were to gradually transition from current law to the payment
updates assumed for private health plans, the physician updates transitioned to the Medicare Economic Index, and the 5-percent
bonuses paid to qualified physicians in advanced APMs did not expire, as illustrated under the alternative scenario, the estimated
present values of Part A would be higher than the current-law projections by roughly 18 percent and Part B expenditures would
be higher than the current-law projections by roughly 13 percent. As indicated above, the present value of Part A income
is basically unaffected under the alternative scenario, and the present value of Part B income is 13 percent higher under the
illustrative alternative scenario, since income is set each year to mirror expenditures.
The Part D values are similar under each projection because the services are not affected by the productivity adjustments or the
physician updates. The very small difference is the result of a slight change in the discount rates that are used to calculate the
present values.
The extent to which actual future Part A and Part B costs exceed the projected amounts due to changes to the productivity
adjustments and physician updates depends on what specific changes might be legislated and whether Congress would pass
further provisions to help offset such costs. As noted, these examples reflect only hypothetical changes to provider payment
rates.
NOTE 15
Because of the financing mechanism for Parts B and D of Medicare, any change to the estimated future expenditures has the
same effect on estimated total future income, and vice versa. Therefore, change has no impact on the estimated future net cash
flow. In order to enhance the presentation, the changes in the present values of estimated future income and estimated future
expenditures are presented separately.
■ changes in law.
All estimates in the SCSIA represent values that are incremental to the prior change. As an example, the present values shown
for demographic assumptions, represent the additional effect that these assumptions have, once the effects from the change in
the valuation period and projection base have been considered. In general, an increase in the present value of net cash flows
represents a positive change (improving financing), while a decrease in the present value of net cash flows represents a negative
change (worsening financing).
From the period beginning on January 1, 2020 to the period beginning on January 1, 2021
The effect on the 75-year present values of changing the valuation period from the prior valuation period (2020-94) to the current
valuation period (2021-95) is measured by using the assumptions for the prior valuation period and extending them, in the
absence of any other changes, to cover the current valuation period. Changing the valuation period removes a small negative
net cash flow for 2020, replaces it with a much larger negative net cash flow for 2095, and measures the present values as of
January 1, 2021, one year later. Thus, the present value of estimated future net cash flow (including or excluding the combined
Medicare Trust Fund assets at the start of the period) decreased (was made more negative) when the 75-year valuation period
changed from 2020-94 to 2021-95. In addition, the effect on the level of assets in the combined Medicare Trust Funds of changing
the valuation period is measured by assuming that all values projected in the prior valuation for the year 2020 are realized. The
change in valuation period resulted in a slight increase in the starting level of assets in the combined Medicare Trust Funds.
Accordingly, the present value of the estimated future net cash flow, including combined trust fund assets, decreased by $160
billion.
From the period beginning on January 1, 2020 to the period beginning on January 1, 2021
Actual income and expenditures in 2020 were different from what was anticipated when the 2020 Trustees Report projections
were prepared. For Part A and Part B income and expenditures in 2020 were lower than anticipated based on actual experience,
mainly due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Part D was largely unaffected by the pandemic and total income and
expenditures were only slightly higher than estimated based on actual experience. The net impact of the Part A, B, and D
projection base changes is an increase of $237 billion in the present value of the estimated future net cash flow, including
combined trust fund assets. Actual experience of the Medicare Trust Funds between January 1, 2020 and January 1, 2021 is
incorporated in the current valuation and is more than projected in the prior valuation. In section III.B3 of the 2021 Trustees
Report, the base change represented the impact of the change in the 2019 experience rather than the 2020 experience. This was
done to accurately quantify the full impact of the COVID-19 pandemic by attributing much of the reduction in 2020 income and
expenditures to it. For purposes of the SCSIA, we have reflected the impact of the change in the 2020 experience to the projection
base change in order to be consistent with prior reporting.
The ultimate demographic assumptions for the current valuation (beginning on January 1, 2022) are the same as those for the
prior valuation. However, the starting demographic values and the way these values transition to the ultimate assumptions were
changed.
■ Final birth rate data for calendar year 2020 indicated slightly lower birth rates than were assumed in the prior valuation.
■ Near-term lawful permanent resident (LPR) immigration data were updated since the prior valuation; near-term LPR
immigration assumptions were also updated to better reflect the expected effects of the recovery from the pandemic.
■ Historical population data and other-than-LPR immigration data were updated since the prior valuation.
There was one notable change in demographic methodology. An improvement was made to put more emphasis on recent
mortality data by increasing the weights for the most recent years in the regressions used to calculate the starting rates of
improvement and starting death rates.
These changes resulted in an increase in the estimated future net cash flow. The present values of estimated income and
expenditures are lower for Part A and higher for Parts B and D. Overall, these changes increased the present value of the
estimated future net cash flow by $18 billion.
From the period beginning on January 1, 2020 to the period beginning on January 1, 2021
The demographic assumptions used in the Medicare projections are the same as those used for the OASDI and are prepared by
the Office of the Chief Actuary at the SSA.
For the current valuation (beginning on January 1, 2021), there were two changes to the ultimate demographic assumptions and
an associated change in methodology.
■ The ultimate total fertility rate was increased from 1.95 to 2.00 children per woman. At the same time, the projection
method was improved to project future birth rates using a cohort-based model, rather than a period-based model as used in
the prior valuation.
■ An additional cause of death category was added, by separating dementia out from the all-other-causes category, and
ultimate mortality improvement rates were updated for cardiovascular disease for all age groups and for the all-other-causes
category at ages 85 and over.
In addition to these changes in ultimate demographic assumptions and the associated methodology change, the starting
demographic values and the way these values transition to the ultimate assumptions were changed. The most significant are
identified below.
■ Birth rate data through the third quarter of 2020 indicated somewhat lower birth rates than were assumed in the prior
valuation.
■ Death rates were increased significantly for 2020 and 2021, and to a lesser extent for 2022 and 2023, to account for the
elevated deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic period.
These changes resulted in an increase in the estimated future net cash flow. The present values of estimated income and
expenditures are lower for Parts A, Part B, and Part D. Overall, these changes increased the present value of the estimated future
net cash flow by $700 billion.
The ultimate economic assumptions for the current valuation (beginning on January 1, 2022) are the same as those for the prior
valuation. However, the starting economic values and the way these values transition to the ultimate assumptions were changed.
The most significant are identified below.
■ Near-term real interest rates are assumed to be slightly higher on average than those for the prior valuation.
■ Economic starting values and near-term growth assumptions were updated to reflect the stronger-than-expected recovery
from the pandemic-induced recession.
■ The level of potential GDP for years 2021 and later is assumed to be about 1.1 percent higher than the level in the prior
valuation, reflecting the strong recovery and the expectation of a permanent level shift in total economy labor productivity.
The health care assumptions are specific to the Medicare projections. The following health care assumptions were changed in the
current valuation.
■ High projected spending growth for outpatient hospital services and for physician-administered drugs.
■ Slower price growth and higher direct and indirect remuneration (DIR).
The net impact of these changes was a decrease in the estimated future net cash flow for total Medicare. For Part A and Part B,
these changes increased the present value of estimated future income and expenditures. For Part D, these changes resulted in a
decrease in the present value of estimated expenditures (and income). Overall, these changes decreased the present value of the
estimated future net cash flow by $1,958 billion.
For the period beginning on January 1, 2020 to the period beginning on January 1, 2021
The economic assumptions used in the Medicare projections are the same as those used for the OASDI and are prepared by the
Office of the Chief Actuary at the SSA.
For the current valuation (beginning on January 1, 2021), there were two changes to the ultimate economic assumptions and an
associated change in methodology.
■ The ultimate average real wage differential was slightly increased from 1.14 percentage points in the prior valuation to 1.15
percentage points in the current valuation. Additionally, the real wage differential assumptions for the first ten years of the
projection period were also increased.
■ The ultimate age-sex-adjusted unemployment rate was reduced from 5.0 percent for the prior valuation to 4.5 percent in
the current valuation. At the same time, the labor force participation model was updated to incorporate data from the latest
complete economic cycle, thereby putting more weight on the recent relationships among the various factors affecting
labor force participation.
In addition to these changes in ultimate economic assumptions and the associated change methodology change, the starting
economic values and the way these values transition to the ultimate assumptions were changed. The most significant are
identified below.
■ Near-term real interest rates were adjusted downward significantly. Real interest rates are now assumed to be negative for
calendar years 2021 through 2024, with a gradual rise to the ultimate real interest rate after the economy has fully recovered
from the recession.
■ There were several changes in starting values and near-term economic growth assumptions primarily related to the
COVID-19 pandemic and ensuing recession. In particular, the level of potential GDP is assumed to be roughly 1 percent lower
than the level in the prior valuation beginning with the second quarter of 2020.
The health care assumptions are specific to the Medicare projections. The following health care assumptions were changed in the
current valuation.
■ Slightly faster projected spending growth for outpatient hospital services and for physician-administered drugs.
■ Higher direct and indirect remuneration (DIR) and the continuing enrollment shift from Prescription Drug Plans to Medicare
Advantage Prescription Drug Plans, which more than offset the higher gross drug prices assumed in this year’s report.
The net impact of these changes was a decrease in the estimated future net cash flow for total Medicare. For Part A and Part B,
these changes increased the present value of estimated future income and expenditures. For Part D, these changes resulted in a
decrease in the present value of estimated expenditures (and income). Overall, these changes decreased the present value of the
estimated future net cash flow by $959 billion.
Changes in Law
For the period beginning on January 1, 2021 to the period beginning on January 1, 2022
Most of the provisions enacted as part of Medicare legislation since the prior valuation date had little or no impact on the
program. The following provisions had a small financial impact on the present value of the 75-year estimated future income,
expenditures, and net cash flow.
The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (Public Law 117-58, enacted on November 15, 2021) included provisions that
affect the HI and SMI programs.
■ The sequestration process that is in place should Congress fail to address the budget deficit by certain deadlines is extended
by 1 year, through fiscal year 2031 (which, for sequestration purposes, covers April 1, 2031 through March 31, 2032). The
benefit payment reductions for fiscal year 2030 (covering April 1, 2030 through March 31, 2031) are changed to a uniform 2
percent (instead of 2 percent for the first 5.5 months, 4 percent for the next 6 months, and 0 percent for the final 0.5 months),
and the benefit payment reductions for fiscal year 2031 (covering April 1, 2031 through March 31, 2032) are 4 percent for first
6 months and 0 percent for the final 6 months.
The Protecting Medicare and American Farmers from Sequester Cuts Act (Public Law 117-71, enacted on December 10,
2021) included provisions that affect the HI and SMI programs.
■ The temporary exemption from sequestration for the Medicare program from May 1, 2020 through December 31, 2021 (as
described in last year’s report) is extended through March 31, 2022, and the benefit payment reduction for April 1, 2022
through June 30, 2022 is changed to 1 percent (from 2 percent). In addition, the benefit payment reductions for fiscal year
2030 (covering April 1, 2030 through March 31, 2031) are changed to 2.25 percent for the first 6 months and 3 percent for
the second 6 months (from a uniform 2 percent for the entire period). (The benefit payment reductions for fiscal year 2031,
covering April 1, 2031 through March 31, 2032, remain the same as described under Public Law 117-58.)
■ In the formula used for determining Medicare physician payment rates under the physician fee schedule for services
furnished during calendar year 2022, the conversion factor is increased by 3 percent over the amount that it would have
been in the absence of this provision’s enactment. (This increase is not subject to the budget neutrality requirements that
typically apply.)
■ Implementation of the Medicare Radiation Oncology Model is delayed until January 1, 2023 at the earliest (from January 1,
2022 at the earliest).
■ For the market-based system used to update the Medicare clinical laboratory fee schedule, laboratories are exempted for
another year from the requirement that they report private payer rates. The next data reporting period is now the first
quarter of 2023 (instead of the first quarter of 2022). Also, during the phase-in period for this system, the caps in place to
limit reductions in fee schedule payments from year to year are changed to 0 percent for 2021–2022 and 15 percent for
2023–2025 (as opposed to the previous statutory parameters of 0 percent for 2021 and 15 percent for 2022–2024). That is,
tests furnished under the fee schedule during 2021–2022 are to be paid at the same rates as under the 2020 fee schedule,
and payments may not be reduced by more than 15 percent for services provided during 2023–2025.
The net impact of all legislative changes was a small increase in the estimated future net cash flow for total Medicare. For Part A
the present value of estimated expenditures is slightly lower. The present values of estimated income and expenditures are lower
for Part B. Overall, these changes increased the present value of the estimated future net cash flow by $5 billion.
For the period beginning on January 1, 2020 to the period beginning on January 1, 2021
Several pieces of legislation were enacted since the prior valuation date, however, most of the provisions had little or no impact on
the program. Further, the impact of certain provisions is unknown and still others that in practice had no actual impact because
they would have occurred anyway. The following provisions reflect those that had a significant financial impact on the present
value of the 75-year estimated future income, expenditures, and net cash flow. See section V.A of the 2021 Medicare Trustees
Report for the complete list of enacted provisions.
The Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Support (CARES) Act (Public Law 116-136, enacted on March 27, 2020) included
provisions that affect the HI and SMI programs.
■ From May 1, 2020 through December 31, 2020, the Medicare program is exempted from the sequestration process that is
in place should Congress fail to address the budget deficit by certain deadlines. In addition, the sequestration process is
extended by 1 year, through fiscal year 2030. The benefit payment reductions of 4.0 percent for the first 6 months and 0.0
percent for the second 6 months that were ordered for fiscal year 2029 are now ordered instead for fiscal year 2030, while the
reductions ordered for fiscal year 2029 are changed to a uniform 2.0 percent. (The sequestration order for a given fiscal year
is applied to expenditures incurred from April 1 of that fiscal year through March 31 of the following fiscal year.)
■ The Medicare Accelerated and Advance Payments (AAP) Program is significantly expanded during the COVID-19 public
health emergency period. First, critical access, pediatric, and certain cancer hospitals are added to the list of eligible
providers and suppliers. (The usual eligibility criteria—to have billed Medicare during the last 180 days, to not be in
bankruptcy, to not be under review or investigation, and to not have any outstanding delinquent Medicare overpayments—
will still apply.) Next, the maximum amounts available under the AAP program are increased during the emergency period
to (i) 100 percent of Medicare payments made during the past 6 months—for inpatient acute care, pediatric, and certain
cancer hospitals; (ii) 125 percent of Medicare payments made during the past 6 months—for critical access hospitals; and
(iii) 100 percent of Medicare payments made during the past 3 months—for all other eligible entities. (The maximum
available AAP amounts had been 70 percent and 80 percent for providers and suppliers, respectively, of Medicare payments
made during the past 90 days.) In addition, recoupments begin 120 days after the accelerated or advance payment is issued,
and repayment is due in full within 1 year. (Normally, recoupments begin shortly after the payment is issued, and repayment
is due in full within 90 days.)
The Continuing Appropriations Act, 2021 and Other Extensions Act (Public Law 116-159, enacted on October 1, 2020)
included provisions that affect the HI and SMI programs.
■ For providers and suppliers who receive accelerated or advance payments under the AAP program during the COVID-19
public health emergency, the repayment terms are amended from those provided by, and discussed previously under, the
CARES Act. Specifically, recoupments are not to begin until 1 year has passed since the payment was issued, after which
recoupments are to be 25 percent of the AAP amount over the first 11 months and 50 percent over the following 6 months.
After that 29-month period has elapsed, the remaining balance will be due within 30 days. If not repaid, interest will accrue
for each full 30-day period that the balance remains unpaid, but at an interest rate of 4 percent (instead of 10.25 percent). In
addition, a $10 million limit on advance payments to Part B suppliers is established for the period from October 1, 2020 (the
date of enactment) through December 31, 2020 and for each subsequent calendar year in which there is a COVID-19 public
health emergency during all or part of the year.
The Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021 (Public Law 116-260, enacted on December 27, 2020) included provisions that
affect the HI and SMI programs.
■ The CARES Act provision described above that temporarily exempts the Medicare program from sequestration beginning
May 1, 2020 is extended through March 31, 2021 (from December 31, 2020).
An Act to Prevent Across-the-Board Direct Spending Cuts, and for Other Purposes (Public Law 117-7, enacted on April 14,
2021) included provisions that affect the HI and SMI programs.
■ The temporary exemption from sequestration for the Medicare program from May 1, 2020 to March 31, 2021 (as described
previously under Public Laws 116-136 and 116-260) is extended through December 31, 2021. (This exemption extension
applied retroactively as well, beginning April 1, 2021.) In addition, the sequestration amounts ordered for fiscal year 2030
are to be increased overall, with benefit payment reductions of 2.0 percent for the first 5.5 months, 4.0 percent for the next
6 months, and 0.0 percent for the final 0.5 months (instead of 4.0 percent for the first 6 months and 0.0 percent for the
second 6 months). (The sequestration order for a given fiscal year is applied to expenditures incurred from April 1 of that
fiscal year through March 31 of the following fiscal year.)
The net impact of all legislative changes was a decrease in the estimated future net cash flow for total Medicare. For Part A the
present value of estimated expenditures is higher. The present values of estimated income and expenditures are higher for Part B.
Overall, these changes decreased the present value of the estimated future net cash flow by $38 billion.
NOTE 16:
BUDGET AND ACCRUAL RECONCILIATION
(Dollars in Millions)
$665 $665
Increase/(Decrease) in Assets:
Accounts receivable, net $(7) $11,755 $11,748
NOTE 16:
BUDGET AND ACCRUAL RECONCILIATION
(Dollars in Millions)
$380 $380
Increase/(Decrease) in Assets:
Accounts receivable, net $65 $6,911 $6,976
REQUIRED SUPPLEMENTARY
INFORMATION
Medicare, the largest health insurance program in the country, has helped fund medical
care for the nation’s aged and disabled for almost six decades. A brief description of the
provisions of Medicare’s Hospital Insurance (HI, or Part A) trust fund and Supplementary
Medical Insurance (SMI, or Parts B and D) trust fund is included in this financial report.
The Required Supplementary Information (RSI) contained in this section is presented in accordance with the requirements of the
Federal Accounting Standards Advisory Board (FASAB). Included are descriptions of the longterm sustainability and financial
condition of the program and a discussion of trends revealed in the data.
RSI material is generally drawn from the 2022 Annual Report of the Boards of Trustees of the Federal Hospital Insurance and Federal
Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds, which represents the official government evaluation of the financial and actuarial
status of the Medicare trust funds. Unless otherwise noted, all data are for calendar years, and all projections are based on the
Trustees’ intermediate set of assumptions.
Beginning in 2020, the Medicare program was dramatically affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. The amount of payroll taxes
expected to be collected by the HI trust fund was greatly reduced due to the economic effects of the pandemic on labor
markets. Spending was directly affected by the coverage of testing and treatment of the disease. In addition, several regulatory
policies and legislative provisions were enacted during the public health emergency that increased spending; notably, the 3-day
inpatient stay requirement to receive skilled nursing facility services was waived, payments for inpatient admission related to
COVID-19 were increased by 20 percent, and the use of telehealth was greatly expanded. More than offsetting these additional
costs in 2020, spending for non-COVID care declined significantly (compared to both actual 2019 spending and pre-pandemic
expectations for 2020). Overall, the projections are based primarily on actual experience through 2019. However, program costs
in 2020 and 2021 were used to help inform the development of adjustment factors by type of service, which account for the
impact of COVID-19 through 2028. In spite of these substantial impacts on the Medicare program in 2020, the pandemic was not
factored into the Statement of Social Insurance projections until 2021 because of the uncertainty of the impacts at the time the
2020 Trustees Report was released.
Spending for services other than COVID-19 was significantly lower than expected in 2020 and 2021. This decline was more
pronounced for elective services. In addition, Medicare beneficiaries whose deaths were identified as related to COVID had costs
that were much higher than the average Medicare beneficiary prior to the onset of the pandemic. As a result, compared to the
pre-pandemic Medicare population, the surviving Medicare population had lower morbidity, on average, reducing costs by an
estimated 1.5 percent in 2020 and 2.9 percent in 2021. This morbidity effect is expected to continue over the next few years but is
assumed to decrease over time before ending in 2028.
Overall, the projections are based primarily on actual experience through 2019. However, program costs in 2020 and 2021 were
used to help inform the development of adjustment factors by type of service, which account for the impact of COVID-19 through
2028. These factors are based on (i) projections of the pandemic; (ii) direct costs associated with the testing and treatment of
COVID-19; (iii) projections for non-COVID costs; and (iv) costs for the vaccines. Certain services, such as prescription drugs, durable
medical equipment, physician-administered drugs, and hospice, are not materially affected by the pandemic.
Because of the large wave of COVID-19 cases in late 2021 through early 2022, the Trustees estimate that non-COVID-related
spending will be lower than previously expected for the beginning of 2022. For the latter part of 2022 and 2023, the return of
deferred care that is assumed to be more intensive, and thus more costly, results in spending that increases to a level that is closer
to the pre-pandemic expectations. The Trustees assume that healthcare spending patterns will return to pre-pandemic levels in
2024 but that the lingering morbidity effects will continue through 2028.
The estimates also incorporate the costs of the COVID-19 vaccines, which consist of both the payments for the vaccines
themselves and the payments for their administration. The Trustees expect vaccine utilization to decrease somewhat over time,
reflecting the likely reduction in the required number of doses and the possibility that the seriousness of COVID-19 will decrease.
It should be noted that there is an unusually large degree of uncertainty with these COVID-related impacts and that future
projections could change significantly as more information becomes available. Moreover, as a result of developments that have
occurred since the assumptions for this report were selected in mid-February 2022, uncertainty has increased regarding the path
of the COVID-19 pandemic and the economy. The estimates do not reflect the potential impact of the Inflation Reduction Act
(Public Law 117-169), which was enacted on August 16, 2022. There is still a considerable amount of uncertainty surrounding
these impacts and the projections have not been adjusted. The Trustees will continue to monitor developments and modify the
projections in later reports as appropriate.
The Medicare Accelerated and Advance Payments Program was significantly expanded during the COVID-19 public health
emergency period, by both legislative provisions and administrative actions taken by CMS early on during the emergency. Total
payments of approximately $107.2 billion were made from March 2020 through June 2021: roughly $67.1 billion from the HI trust
fund and $40.1 billion from the SMI Part B trust fund account. The Trustees assumed that the accelerated and advance payments
would be fully repaid by September of 2022, resulting in no net changes to trust fund expenditures. As discussed in Note 5, the
majority of these accelerated and advance payments have been repaid as of September 30, 2022.
While the COVID-19 pandemic has significantly affected Medicare short-term financing and spending, it is not expected to have
a large effect on the financial status of the trust funds after 2028. The key measures of the financial adequacy for each trust fund
shown in this year’s Trustees Report are fairly comparable to those included in last year’s report. This consistency is partly due
to the offsetting effects of lower income and expenditures in the HI trust fund and partly due to the expectation that the effects
of the pandemic will last only several years. The pandemic is an example of the inherent uncertainty in projecting healthcare
financing and spending over any duration.
The projections presented here are based on current law, certain features of which may result in some challenges for the
Medicare program. For physician services, not only are updates below the rate of inflation in all future years, but there are more
immediate concerns because updates for these services are projected to be −2.9 percent in 2023 and 0.0 percent for 2024 and
2025 and certain bonuses paid to physicians are scheduled to expire in 2025. Payment rate updates for most non-physician
categories of Medicare providers are reduced by the growth in economy-wide private nonfarm business total factor productivity1
although these health providers have historically achieved lower levels of productivity growth. Should payment rates prove to
be inadequate for any service, beneficiaries’ access to and the quality of Medicare benefits would deteriorate over time, or future
legislation would need to be enacted that would likely increase program costs beyond those projected under current law in this
report.
Incorporated in these projections is the sequestration of non-salary Medicare expenditures as required by the following laws:
the Budget Control Act of 2011 (Public Law 112-25, enacted on August 2, 2011), as amended by the American Taxpayer Relief Act of
2012 (Public Law 112-240, enacted on January 2, 2013); the Continuing Appropriations Resolution, 2014 (Public Law 113-67, enacted
on December 26, 2013); Sections 1 and 3 of Public Law 113-82, enacted on February 15, 2014; the Protecting Access to Medicare Act
of 2014 (Public Law 113-93, enacted on April 1, 2014); the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2015 (Public Law 114-74, enacted on November
2, 2015); the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018 (Public Law 115-123, enacted on February 9, 2018); the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2019
(Public Law 116-37, enacted on August 2, 2019); the CARES Act (Public Law 116-136, enacted on March 27, 2020); the Consolidated
Appropriations Act, 2021 (Public Law 116-260, enacted on December 27, 2020); an Act to Prevent Across-the-Board Direct Spending
Cuts, and for Other Purposes (Public Law 117-7, enacted on April 14, 2021); the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (Public Law
117-58, enacted on November 15, 2021); and the Protecting Medicare and American Farmers from Sequester Cuts Act (Public Law
117-71, enacted on December 10, 2021).
The sequestration reduces benefit payments by the percentages listed below:
■ 2 percent from April 1, 2013 through April 30, 2020;
Because of sequestration, non-salary administrative expenses are reduced by an estimated 5 to 7 percent from March 1, 2013
through September 30, 2031, excluding May 1, 2020 through March 31, 2022 when it was suspended.
The financial projections for the Medicare program reflect substantial, but very uncertain, cost savings deriving from current-law
provisions that lower increases in Medicare payment rates to most categories of healthcare providers, but such adjustments would
probably not be viable indefinitely without fundamental change in the current delivery system. It is conceivable that providers
could improve their productivity, reduce wasteful expenditures, and take other steps to keep their cost growth within the bounds
imposed by the Medicare price limitations. For such efforts to be successful in the long range, however, providers would have to
generate and sustain unprecedented levels of productivity gains—a very challenging and uncertain prospect.
In view of the factors described above, it is important to note that Medicare’s actual future costs are highly uncertain for reasons
apart from the inherent challenges in projecting healthcare cost growth over time. The expenditure projections reflect the
cost-reduction provisions required under current law. In addition, the Trustees reference in their report an illustrative alternative
scenario, which assumes that (i) there would be a transition from current-law2 payment updates for providers affected by the
economy-wide productivity adjustments to payment updates that reflect adjustments for healthcare productivity; (ii) the average
1 For convenience the term economy-wide private nonfarm business total factor productivity will henceforth be referred to as economy-wide productivity. Beginning
with the November 18, 2021 release of the productivity data, the Bureau of Labor Statistics replaced the term multifactor productivity with the term total factor
productivity, a change in name only as the underlying methods and data were unchanged.
2 Medicare’s annual payment rate updates for most categories of provider services would be reduced below the increase in providers’ input prices by the
growth of economy-wide productivity (1.0 percent over the long range).
physician payment updates would transition from current law3 to payment updates that reflect the Medicare Economic Index;
and (iii) the 5-percent bonuses for qualified physicians in advanced alternative payment models (advanced APMs) and the
$500-million payments for physicians in the merit-based incentive payment system (MIPS) would continue indefinitely rather than
expire in 2025. The difference between the illustrative alternative and the current-law projections continues to demonstrate that
the long-range costs could be substantially higher than shown throughout much of the report if the cost-reduction measures
prove problematic and new legislation scales them back.
Additional information on the current-law and illustrative alternative projections is provided in note 14 in these financial
statements, in section V.C of this year’s Medicare Trustees Report, and in a memorandum prepared by the CMS Office of the
Actuary.
Printed copies of the Trustees Report and auxiliary memorandum may be obtained from the CMS Office of the Actuary (410786-
6386) or can be downloaded from the CMS website.
ACTUARIAL PROJECTIONS
Long-Range Medicare Cost Growth Assumptions
Beginning with the 2013 report, the Trustees used the statutory price updates and the volume and intensity assumptions from the
“factors contributing to growth” model to derive the year-by-year Medicare cost growth assumptions for the last 50 years of the
projection period.4 The Trustees assume that the productivity reductions to Medicare payment rate updates will reduce volume
and intensity growth by 0.1 percent below the factors model projection.5
For some time, the Trustees have assumed that it is reasonable to expect over the long range that the drivers of health spending
will be similar for the overall health sector and for the Medicare program. This view was affirmed by the 2010–2011 Technical
Panel, which recommended use of the same long-range assumptions for the increase in the volume and intensity of healthcare
services for the total health sector and for Medicare. Therefore, the overall health sector long-range cost growth assumptions for
volume and intensity are used as the starting point for developing the Medicare-specific assumptions.
Medicare payment rates for most non-physician provider categories are updated annually by the increase in providers’ input
prices for the market basket of employee wages and benefits, facility costs, medical supplies, energy and utility costs, professional
liability insurance, and other inputs needed to produce the healthcare goods and services. These updates are then reduced by
the 10-year moving average increase in economy-wide productivity, which the Trustees assume will be 1.0 percent per year over
the long range. The different statutory provisions for updating payment rates require the development of separate long-range
Medicare cost growth assumptions for four categories of healthcare provider services:
i. All HI, and some SMI Part B, services that are updated annually by provider input price increases less the increase in
economy-wide productivity.
HI services are inpatient hospital, skilled nursing facility, home health, and hospice. The primary Part B services affected are
outpatient hospital, home health, and dialysis. Under the Trustees’ intermediate economic assumptions, the year-by-year cost
growth rates for these provider services start at 3.6 percent in 2046, or GDP plus 0 percent, declining gradually to 3.4 percent in
2096, or GDP minus 0.3 percent.
ii. Physician services
Payment rate updates are 0.75 percent per year for those qualified physicians assumed to be participating in advanced APMs
and 0.25 percent for those assumed to be participating in MIPS. The year-by-year cost growth rates for physician payments are
assumed to decline from 3.2 percent in 2046, or GDP minus 0.4 percent, to 2.8 percent in 2096, or GDP minus 0.9 percent.
3 The law specifies physician payment rate updates of 0.75 percent or 0.25 percent annually thereafter for physicians in advanced alternative payment models
(advanced APMs) or the merit-based incentive payment system (MIPS), respectively. These updates are notably lower than the projected physician cost
increases, which are assumed to average 2.05 percent per year in the long range.
4 This assumed increase in the average expenditures per beneficiary excludes the impacts of the aging of the population, changes in the sex composition of
the Medicare population, and changes in the distribution of the Medicare population on the basis of proximity to death, as the Trustees estimated these
factors separately. For convenience, the increase in Medicare expenditures per beneficiary, before consideration of demographic impacts, is referred to as the
Medicare cost growth rate.
5 The Trustees’ methodology is consistent with Finding III-2 and Recommendation III-3 of the 2010–2011 Medicare Technical Review Panel (final report available
here) and with Finding 3-2 of the 2016–2017 Medicare Technical Review Panel (final report available here).
iii. Certain SMI Part B services that are updated annually by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increase less the increase in
economy-wide productivity.
Such services include durable medical equipment that is not subject to competitive bidding,6 care at ambulatory surgical
centers, ambulance services, and medical supplies. The Trustees assume the year-by-year cost growth rates for these services
to decline from 2.8 percent in 2046, or GDP minus 0.8 percent, to 2.6 percent in 2096, or GDP minus 1.1 percent.
iv. All other Medicare services, for which payments are established based on market processes, such as prescription drugs
provided through Part D and the remaining Part B services.
These Part B outlays constitute an estimated 36 percent of total Part B expenditures in 2031 and consist mostly of payments
for laboratory tests, physician-administered drugs, and small facility services. Medicare payments to Part D plans are based on
a competitive-bidding process and are not affected by the productivity adjustments. Similarly, payments for the other Part B
services are based on market factors.7 The long-range cost growth rates for Part D and these Part B services are assumed to
equal the growth rates as determined from the factors model. The corresponding year-by-year cost growth rates for these
services decline from 4.3 percent in 2046, or GDP plus 0.7 percent, to 4.1 percent by 2096, or GDP plus 0.4 percent.
In addition, these long-range cost growth rates must be modified to reflect demographic impacts. Beginning with the 2020
Trustees Report, these impacts reflect the changing distribution of Medicare enrollment by age, sex, and the beneficiary’s
proximity to death, which is referred to as a time-to-death (TTD) adjustment. The TTD adjustment reflects the fact that the closer
an individual is to death, the higher his or her healthcare spending is. Thus, as mortality rates improve and a smaller portion of
the Medicare population is likely to die at any given age, the effect of individuals getting older and spending more on healthcare
is offset somewhat.8 This is particularly the case for Part A services—such as inpatient hospital, skilled nursing, and home health
services—for which the distribution of spending is more concentrated in the period right before death. For Part B services and
Part D, the incorporation of the TTD adjustment has a smaller effect.
After combining the rates of growth from the four long-range assumptions, the weighted average cost growth rate for Part B is
3.8 percent in 2046, or GDP plus 0.2 percent, declining to 3.7 percent by 2096, or GDP plus 0 percent. When Parts A, B, and D are
combined, the weighted average cost growth rate for Medicare is 3.8 percent, or GDP plus 0.2 percent in 2046, declining to 3.7
percent, or GDP plus 0 percent by 2096.
Chart 1 illustrates income (excluding interest) and expenditures as a percentage of taxable payroll over the next 75 years. The
projected HI cost rates are lower than those from last year for all years because of (i) lower healthcare utilization through 2028 due
to the pandemic and (ii) higher taxable payroll in all years resulting from the changing economic and demographic assumptions.
Since the standard HI payroll tax rates are not scheduled to change in
the future under current law, most payroll tax income as a percentage
of taxable payroll is estimated to remain constant at 2.90 percent. In Chart 1—HI Expenditures and Income Excluding Interest
as a Percentage of Taxable Payroll
addition, starting in 2013, high-income workers pay an additional 2022 – 2096
8%
0.9 percent of their earnings above $200,000 (for single workers) or
$250,000 (for married couples filing joint income tax returns). Because
6%
income thresholds for determining eligibility for the additional HI Expenditures
tax are not indexed, over time an increasing proportion of workers
will become subject to a higher HI tax rate, and consequently total HI 4%
Income excluding interest
payroll tax revenues will increase steadily as a percentage of taxable
payroll. Income from taxation of benefits will also increase as a 2%
greater proportion of Social Security beneficiaries become subject to
such taxation; this outcome will occur because the income thresholds
0%
determining taxable benefits are not indexed for price inflation and 2016 2026 2036 2046 2056 2066 2076 2086 2096
because the income tax brackets are indexed to the chained CPI Calendar year Source: CMS/OACT
6 The portion of durable medical equipment that is subject to competitive bidding is included with all other Medicare services since the price is determined by
a competitive bidding process. For more information on the bidding process, see section IV.B of the 2022 Medicare Trustees Report.
7 For example, physician-administered Part B drugs are reimbursed at the level of the average sales price in the market plus 6 percent.
8 More information on the TTD adjustment is available on the CMS website.
the 10th year of the projection period, income tax brackets are assumed to rise with average wages, rather than with the C-CPI-U
as specified in the Internal Revenue Code. As a result of this assumption, income from the taxation of Social Security benefits
increases at a similar rate as, rather than significantly faster than, taxable payroll.9 Thus, as chart 1 shows, the income rate is
expected to gradually increase over current levels.
In 2022 and beyond, as indicated in chart 1, the cost rate is projected to rise, primarily due to the continued retirements of those in
the baby boom generation and partly due to an acceleration of health services cost growth. This cost rate increase is moderated
by the accumulating effect of the productivity adjustments to provider price updates, which are estimated to reduce annual HI
per capita cost growth by an average of 0.7 percent through 2031 and 1.0 percent thereafter. Under the illustrative alternative
scenario, the HI cost rate would be 5.3 percent in 2047 and 7.2 percent in 2096.
To match the faster growth rates for SMI expenditures, beneficiary premiums, along with general revenue contributions, would
increase more rapidly than GDP over time but at a slower rate compared to the last 10 years. Average per beneficiary costs
for Part B and Part D benefits are projected to increase after 2021 by about 4.3 percent annually. The associated beneficiary
premiums—and general revenue financing—would increase by approximately the same rate. The special State payments to the
Part D account are set by law at a declining portion of the States’ forgone Medicaid expenditures attributable to the Medicare drug
9 See section V.C7 of the 2022 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Federal Disability Insurance Trust Funds for
more detailed information on the projection of income from taxation of Social Security benefits.
benefit. The percentage was 90 percent in 2006, phasing down to 75 percent in 2015 and later. State payments have decreased
faster than GDP for almost every year since 2015 and are projected to do so for the entire long-range period.
Worker-to-Beneficiary Ratio
HI
Another way to evaluate the longrange outlook of the HI
trust fund is to examine the projected number of workers Chart 4—Number of Covered Workers per HI Beneficiary
2022 – 2096
per HI beneficiary. Chart 4 illustrates this ratio over the next
4.0
75 years. For the most part, current workers pay for current
benefits. The relatively smaller number of persons born after
the baby boom will therefore finance the retirement of the 3.0
baby boom generation.
To illustrate the sensitivity of the long-range projections and determine the impact on the HI actuarial present values, six of the
key assumptions were varied individually.10 The assumptions varied are the healthcare cost factors, real-wage differential, CPI,
real-interest rate, fertility rate, and net immigration.11
For this analysis, the intermediate economic and demographic assumptions in the 2022 Medicare Trustees Report are used as the
reference point. Each selected assumption is varied individually to produce three scenarios. All present values are calculated as of
January 1, 2022 and are based on estimates of income and expenditures during the 75-year projection period.
Charts 5 through 10 show the present value of the estimated net cash flow for each assumption varied. Generally, under all
three scenarios, the present values decrease through the first 20 to 25 years of the projection period, at which point they start
to increase (or become less negative) once again. This pattern occurs in part because of the discounting process for computing
present values, which is used to help interpret the net cash flow deficit in terms of today’s dollar. In other words, the amount
required to cover this deficit, if made available and invested today, begins to decrease at the end of the 75-year period, reflecting
the long period of interest accumulation that would occur. The pattern is also affected by the accumulating impact of the lower
Medicare price updates over time and the greater proportion of workers who will be subject to the higher HI payroll tax rate, as
noted above.
10 Sensitivity analysis is not done for Parts B or D of the SMI trust fund due to the financing mechanism for each account. Any change in assumptions would have
a negligible impact on the net cash flow, since the change would affect income and expenditures equally.
11 The sensitivity of the projected HI net cash flow to variations in future mortality rates is also of interest. At this time, however, relatively little is known about
the relationship between improvements in life expectancy and the associated changes in health status and per beneficiary health expenditures. As a result, it
is not possible at present to prepare meaningful estimates of the HI mortality sensitivity.
Annual cost/payroll relative growth rate −1 percentage point Intermediate assumptions +1 percentage point
Table 1 demonstrates that if the ultimate growth rate Chart 5—Present Value of HI Net Cash Flow
assumption is 1 percentage point lower than the intermediate with Various Healthcare Cost Factors
2022 – 2096
assumptions, the deficit decreases by $10,063 billion. On (In billions)
$200
the other hand, if the ultimate growth rate assumption is
1 percentage point higher than the intermediate assumptions, $100
−1 percentage point
the deficit increases substantially, by $16,141 billion. $0
-$100
Chart 5 shows projections of the present value of the Intermediate
assumptions
estimated net cash flow under the three alternative annual -$200
Real-Wage Differential
Table 2 illustrates the net present value of cash flow during the 75-year projection period under three alternative ultimate real-
wage differential assumptions: 0.53, 1.15, and 1.77 percentage points.12 In each case, the assumed ultimate annual increase in the
CPI is 2.4 percent, yielding ultimate percentage increases in nominal average annual wages in covered employment of 2.93, 3.55,
and 4.17 percent, respectively.
TA B L E 2
Present Value of Estimated HI Income Less Expenditures under Various Real-Wage Assumptions
Ultimate percentage increase in wages − CPI 2.93 − 2.40 3.55 − 2.40 4.17 − 2.40
As indicated in table 2, for a half-point increase in the ultimate real-wage differential assumption, the deficit—expressed in
present-value dollars—decreases by approximately $2,599 billion. Conversely, for a half-point decrease in the ultimate real-wage
differential assumption, the deficit increases by about $1,754 billion.
12 The real-wage differential is the difference between the percentage increases in the average annual wage in covered employment and the average annual
CPI.
Chart 6 shows projections of the present value of the Chart 6—Present Value of HI Net Cash Flow
estimated net cash flow under the three alternative real-wage with Various Real-Wage Assumptions
2022 – 2096
differential assumptions presented in table 2. (In billions)
$70
Ultimate annual increase in:
$50
When expressed in present-value dollars, faster real- Wages: 4.17%
CPI: 2.40%
$30
wage growth results in smaller HI cash flow deficits, as $10
demonstrated in chart 6. A higher real-wage differential -$10
Ultimate annual increase in:
Wages: 3.55%
CPI: 2.40%
immediately increases both HI expenditures for healthcare -$30
and wages for all workers. There is a full effect on wages and -$50
-$70
payroll taxes, but the effect on benefits is only partial, since
-$90
not all healthcare costs are wage-related. In practice, faster -$110
Ultimate annual increase in:
real-wage growth always improves the financial status of the -$130 Wages: 2.93%
CPI: 2.40%
HI trust fund, regardless of whether there is a small or large -$150
2016 2026 2036 2046 2056 2066 2076 2086 2096
imbalance between income and expenditures. Also, as noted
Calendar year
previously, the closer financial balance for the HI trust fund Source: CMS/OACT
Ultimate percentage increase in wages − CPI 4.15 – 3.00 3.55 − 2.40 2.95 – 1.80
Table 3 demonstrates that if the ultimate CPI-increase assumption is 3.0 percent, the deficit decreases by $1,379 billion. On the
other hand, if the ultimate CPI-increase assumption is 1.8 percent, the deficit increases by $1,939 billion.
Chart 7 shows projections of the present value of net cash flow under the three alternative CPI rate-of-increase assumptions
presented in table 3.
This assumption has a small impact when the cash flow is Chart 7—Present Value of HI Net Cash Flow
expressed as present values, as chart 7 indicates. The projected with Various CPI-Increase Assumptions
2022 – 2096
present values of HI cash flow are relatively insensitive to the (In billions)
$50
assumed level of general price inflation because price inflation
$30
has about the same proportionate effect on income as it does Ultimate annual increase in:
$10 Wages: 4.15%
on costs. In present value terms, a smaller deficit is the result -$10 Ultimate annual increase in: CPI: 3.00%
Wages: 3.55%
under high-inflation conditions because the present values of -$30 CPI: 2.40%
Real-Interest Rate
Table 4 shows the net present value of cash flow during the 75-year projection period under three alternative ultimate annual real-
interest assumptions: 1.8, 2.3, and 2.8 percent. In each case, the assumed ultimate annual increase in the CPI is 2.4 percent, which
results in ultimate annual yields of 4.2, 4.8, and 5.3 percent, respectively.
TA B L E 4
Present Value of Estimated HI Income Less Expenditures under Various Real-Interest Assumptions
As demonstrated in table 4, for every increase of 0.1 percentage point in the ultimate real-interest rate, the deficit decreases by
approximately $140 billion.
Chart 8 illustrates projections of the present value of the Chart 8—Present Value of HI Net Cash Flow
estimated net cash flow under the three alternative real- with Various Real-Interest Rate Assumptions
2022 – 2096
interest assumptions presented in table 4. (In billions)
$40
The projected HI cash flow when expressed in present values $20
is fairly sensitive to the interest assumption, as shown in $0
I: 2.8%
chart 8. This is not an indication of the actual role that interest -$20
II: 2.3%
III: 1.8%
plays in HI financing. In actuality, interest finances very little of -$40
I
the cost of the HI trust fund because, under the intermediate -$60 II
assumptions, the fund is projected to be relatively low and -$80 III
Fertility Rate
Table 5 shows the net present value of cash flow during the 75-year projection period under three alternative ultimate fertility rate
assumptions: 1.69, 1.99, and 2.19 children per woman.
TA B L E 5
Present Value of Estimated HI Income Less Expenditures under Various Fertility Rate Assumptions
As table 5 demonstrates, for every increase of 0.1 percentage point in the assumed ultimate fertility rate, the projected present
value of the HI deficit decreases by approximately $405 billion.
Chart 9 shows projections of the present value of the net cash flow under the three alternative fertility rate assumptions presented
in table 5. Chart 9—Present Value of HI Net Cash Flow
with Various Ultimate Fertility Rate Assumptions
The fertility rate assumption has a substantial impact on 2022 – 2096
(In billions)
projected HI cash flows, as chart 9 indicates. Under the higher $40
fertility rate assumptions, there will be additional workers in the $20
labor force after 20 years, and many will become subject to the $0 I: 2.19 children per woman
II: 1.99 children per woman
additional HI tax, thereby lowering the deficit proportionately -$20 III: 1.69 children per woman I
more on a present-value-dollar basis. On the other hand, -$40
II
under the lower fertility rate assumptions, there will be fewer -$60
workers in the workforce with a smaller number subject to -$80 III
the additional tax, in turn raising the HI deficit. It is important -$100
to point out that if a longer projection period were used, the -$120
impact of a fertility rate change would be more pronounced. -$140
2016 2026 2036 2046 2056 2066 2076 2086 2096
Calendar year
Source: CMS/OACT
Net Immigration
Table 6 illustrates the net present value of cash flow during the 75-year projection period under three alternative average annual
net immigration assumptions: 847,000 persons, 1,281,000 persons, and 1,736,000 persons per year.
TA B L E 6
Present Value of Estimated HI Income Less Expenditures under Various Net Immigration Assumptions
$0
Chart 10 shows projections of the present value of net
-$20
cash flow under the three alternative average annual net 1,736,000
-$40
immigration assumptions presented in table 6.
-$60 1,281,000
-$120 847,000
tends to occur most often among people who work and pay
taxes into the HI system, a change in the net immigration -$140
2016 2026 2036 2046 2056 2066 2076 2086 2096
assumption affects revenues from payroll taxes almost Calendar year
immediately. However, the impact on expenditures occurs Source: CMS/OACT
HI expenditures exceeded income each year from 2008 through 2015. In 2016 and 2017, however, there were fund surpluses
amounting to $5.4 billion and $2.8 billion, respectively. In 2018, 2019, and 2020, expenditures again exceeded income, with trust
fund deficits of $1.6 billion, $5.8 billion, and $60.4 billion, respectively. The large deficit in 2020 was mostly due to accelerated and
advance payments to providers from the trust fund. In 2021, there was a small surplus of $8.5 billion as these payments began
to be repaid to the trust fund, and this continued repayment will result in a larger surplus in 2022. After that, the Trustees project
deficits in all future years until the trust fund becomes depleted in 2028. If assets were depleted, Medicare could pay health plans
and providers of Part A services only to the extent allowed by ongoing tax revenues—and these revenues would be inadequate to
fully cover costs. Beneficiary access to healthcare services would rapidly be curtailed. To date, Congress has never allowed the HI
trust fund to become depleted.
The HI trust fund remains out of financial balance in the long range. Bringing the fund into actuarial balance over the next 75 years
under the intermediate assumptions would require significant increases in revenues and/or reductions in benefits. Policymakers
should determine effective solutions to ensure the financial integrity of HI in the long term and should also consider the likelihood
that the price adjustments in current law may prove difficult to adhere to fully and may require even more changes to address this
challenge.
SMI
The SMI trust fund will remain adequate, both in the near term and into the indefinite future, because of the automatic financing
established for Parts B and D. There is no provision in the law for transferring assets between the Part D and Part B accounts;
therefore, it is necessary to evaluate each account’s financial adequacy separately.
The nature of the financing for both parts of SMI is similar in that the law establishes a mechanism by which income from the
Part B premium and the Part D premium, and the corresponding general revenue transfers for each part, are sufficient to cover
the following year’s estimated expenditures. Accordingly, each account within SMI is automatically in financial balance under
current law. Such financing, however, would have to increase faster than the economy to cover expected expenditure growth. A
critical issue for the SMI trust fund is the impact of the rapid growth of SMI costs, which places steadily increasing demands on
beneficiaries and taxpayers.
Medicare Overall
Federal law requires that the Board of Trustees issue a determination of excess general revenue Medicare funding if they project
that under current law the difference between program outlays and dedicated financing sources13 will exceed 45 percent of total
Medicare outlays within the next 7 fiscal years (2022–2028). For the 2022 Medicare Trustees Report, this difference is expected
to exceed 45 percent of total expenditures in fiscal year 2025, and therefore the Trustees are issuing this determination. Since
this determination was made last year as well, this year’s determination triggers a Medicare funding warning, which (i) requires
the President to submit to Congress proposed legislation to respond to the warning within 15 days after the submission of the
Fiscal Year 2024 Budget and (ii) requires Congress to consider the legislation on an expedited basis. Such funding warnings were
previously issued in each of the 2007 through 2013 reports and in the 2018 through 2021 reports. To date, elected officials have
not enacted legislation responding to these funding warnings.
The projections shown continue to demonstrate the need for timely and effective action to address Medicare’s remaining
financial challenges—including the projected depletion of the HI trust fund, this fund’s long-range financial imbalance, and
the rapid growth in Medicare expenditures. Furthermore, if the growth in Medicare costs is comparable to growth under the
illustrative alternative projections, then policy reforms will have to address much larger financial challenges than those assumed
under current law. In their 2022 annual report to Congress, the Medicare Board of Trustees emphasized the seriousness of these
concerns and urged the nation’s policymakers to “work closely together with a sense of urgency to address these challenges.”
13 Dedicated Medicare financing sources used in this year’s determination include HI payroll taxes; income from taxation of Social Security benefits; State
transfers for the prescription drug benefit; premiums paid under Parts A, B, and D; fees allocated to Part B related to brand-name prescription drugs; and any
gifts received by the Medicare trust funds.
Medicare
Payments
Program Combined
to Trust Medicaid CHIP Other
HI TF SMI TF Part D Management Total
Funds
BUDGETARY RESOURCES:
Unobligated balance from prior year budget
$83 $80 $130,320 $50,431 $24,268 $17,422 $1,930 $224,534
authority, net (discretionary and mandatory)
Appropriations (discretionary and mandatory) 397,622 473,056 111,132 530,954 603,130 32,495 13,889 3 2,162,281
TOTAL BUDGETARY RESOURCES $397,705 $473,136 $115,015 $661,274 $655,157 $56,763 $34,157 $6,445 $2,399,652
New Obligations and upward adjustments $397,705 $473,136 $115,015 $495,036 $654,796 $19,353 $14,951 $5,024 $2,175,016
Expired unobligated balance, end of year 130,320 11,388 182 1,296 143,186
Unobligated balance, end of year (total) 166,238 361 37,410 19,206 1,421 224,636
TOTAL BUDGETARY RESOURCES $397,705 $473,136 $115,015 $661,274 $655,157 $56,763 $34,157 $6,445 $2,399,652
OUTLAYS, NET:
Outlays, net (discretionary and mandatory) $392,055 $470,292 $117,889 $469,024 $586,909 $16,670 $9,407 $96 $2,062,342
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION
Medicare Health
Combined Intra-CMS Consolidated
Program Totals Eliminations Totals
HI TF SMI TF MEDICAID CHIP Other
Management
ASSETS
Intragovernmental:
Fund Balance with Treasury $2,281 $188,789 $56,380 $61,680 $26,078 $460 $335,668 $335,668
Investments, Net 178,460 168,804 347,264 347,264
Accounts Receivable, Net 44,851 46,174 1,663 2,134 4,985 99,807 $(99,272) 535
Total intragovernmental 225,592 403,767 58,043 61,680 28,212 5,445 782,739 (99,272) 683,467
Other than intragovernmental:
Accounts Receivable, net 4,430 21,266 7,016 138 6,881 17 39,748 39,748
General Property, Plant & Equipment, Net 456 691 1,510 2,657 2,657
Advances and Prepayments 13,624 25,382 1 39,007 39,007
Other Assets 31 479 510 510
Total Other than Intragovernmental 18,510 46,648 7,048 138 8,051 1,527 81,922 81,922
TOTAL ASSETS $244,102 $450,415 $65,091 $61,818 $36,263 $6,972 $864,661 $(99,272) $765,389
LIABILITIES
Intragovernmental:
Accounts Payable $49,771 $51,135 $2 $- $11 $42 $100,961 $(99,269) $1,692
Debt 7,747 509 8,256 8,256
Other Liabilities 28 6 34 (3) 31
Total Intragovernmental 49,771 58,882 2 548 48 109,251 (99,272) 9,979
Other than Intragovernmental:
NET POSITION
Unexpended Appropriations-Funds from Dedicated
$1,477 $173,397 $3,577 $253 $178,704 $178,704
Collections
Unexpended Appropriations-Funds from Other than
$3,207 $59,814 12,164 75,185 75,185
Dedicated Collections
Total Unexpended Appropriations 1,477 173,397 3,207 59,814 15,741 253 253,889 253,889
Cumulative Results of Operations-Funds from
150,427 174,042 7,693 6,442 338,604 338,604
Dedicated Collections
Total Cumulative Results of Operations 150,427 174,042 92 735 7,912 6,442 339,650 339,650
TOTAL NET POSITION $151,904 $347,439 $3,299 $60,549 $23,653 $6,695 $593,539 $593,539
Medicare SMI
Medicaid
CHIP
Other
UNEXPENDED APPROPRIATIONS
Beginning Balances $1,099 $132,978 $546 $321 $134,944 $18,200 $45,510 $12,908 $76,618 $211,562
Budgetary Financing Sources:
Appropriations Received 34,452 496,502 3,062 3 534,019 656,347 31,080 552 687,979 1,221,998
Appropriations Transferred-
(5,472) (5,472) (5,472)
in/out
Other Adjustments (17,249) (17,249) (77,228) (80) (33) (77,341) (94,590)
Appropriations Used (34,074) (438,834) (31) (71) (473,010) (588,640) (16,696) (1,263) (606,599) (1,079,609)
Change in Unexpended
378 40,419 3,031 (68) 43,760 (14,993) 14,304 (744) (1,433) 42,327
Appropriations
Total Unexpended
Appropriations: Ending $1,477 $173,397 $3,577 $253 $178,704 $3,207 $59,814 $12,164 $75,185 $253,889
Balance
Transfers-in/out without
(3,369) (5,975) 4,456 (4,888) 1,597 1,597 (3,291)
reimbursement
Imputed financing 4 5 69 78 7 7 85
Other 33 33 33
Net Cost of Operations 367,736 401,059 (341) 4,364 772,818 592,814 16,692 1,252 610,758 1,383,576
Net Change in
Cumulative Results of 10,685 37,996 384 232 49,297 (2,577) 98 15 (2,464) 46,833
Operations
Cumulative Results of
$150,427 $174,042 $7,693 $6,442 $338,604 $92 $735 $219 $1,046 $339,650
Operations: Ending Balance
Net Position $151,904 $347,439 $11,270 $6,695 $517,308 $3,299 $60,549 $12,383 $76,231 $593,539
November 7, 2022
Digitally signed by
FROM: Amy J. Frontz AMY FRONTZ
Deputy Inspector General for Audit Services Amy Frontz Date: 2022.11.07
10:14:49 -05'00'
SUBJECT: Report on the Financial Statement Audit of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid
Services for Fiscal Year 2022, A-17-22-53000
This memorandum transmits the independent auditors’ reports on the Centers for Medicare
& Medicaid Services (CMS) fiscal year (FY) 2022 financial statements, conclusions about the
effectiveness of internal controls, and compliance with laws and other matters. The Chief
Financial Officers Act of 1990 (P.L. No. 101-576), as amended, requires the Office of Inspector
General (OIG) or an independent external auditor, as determined by OIG, to audit the CMS
financial statements in support of the Department of Health and Human Services audit.
We contracted with the independent certified public accounting firm of Ernst & Young, LLP, to
audit the CMS: (1) consolidated balance sheets as of September 30, 2022 and 2021, and the
related consolidated statements of net cost and changes in net position; (2) the combined
statement of budgetary resources for the years then ended; and (3) the statement of social
insurance as of January 1, 2022, and related statement of changes in social insurance amounts.
The contract required that the audit be performed in accordance with auditing standards
generally accepted in the United States of America; the standards applicable to financial audits
contained in Government Auditing Standards, issued by the Comptroller General of the United
States; and Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Bulletin 22-01, Audit Requirements for
Federal Financial Statements.
Based on its audit, Ernst & Young found that the FY 2022 CMS consolidated balance sheets and
the related consolidated statements of net cost and changes in net position and combined
statement of budgetary resources were presented fairly, in all material respects, in conformity
with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. Ernst & Young was unable to obtain
sufficient audit evidence for the amounts presented in the statements of social insurance as of
January 1, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, and 2018, and the related statements of changes in social
insurance amounts for the periods ended January 1, 2022 and 2021. As a result, Ernst & Young
was not able to, and did not, express an opinion on the financial condition of the CMS social
insurance program and related changes in the social insurance program for the specified periods.
Ernst & Young also noted two matters involving internal controls with respect to the financial
reporting. Under the standards established by the American Institute of Certified Public
Accountants and Government Auditing Standards, Ernst & Young identified significant
deficiencies in CMS’s financial reporting processes and information systems controls:
x Financial Reporting Processes—Ernst & Young noted that CMS continues its efforts to
enhance internal controls as part of the financial reporting processes. Weaknesses in
oversight of the Medicaid program included that although operational data is currently
available, information contained within the Transformed Medicaid Statistical Information
System requires additional verification before it would be considered reliable to utilize in
the financial accounting and reporting for the Medicaid program. In addition, the process
to perform a detailed claims-level look-back analysis related to the Medicaid Entitlement
Benefits Due and Payable (EBDP) accrual, which would determine the reasonableness of
the various State calculations of the incurred but not reported liability, should be further
developed. Also, the EBDP Accrual for the Medicare Program experienced unusual or
large fluctuations within its estimates of cost report settlements that were not properly
investigated and required an adjustment after they were further analyzed by management.
It was discovered that CMS did not follow the budgetary accounting treatment set forth
by a waiver for the recoupment of advances. The advances involved the COVID-19
Advanced and Accelerated Payments. OMB had previously granted CMS a waiver from
the Circular No. A-11 requirement to report the recoveries and refunds of prior year
obligations as new budgetary resources for the Medicare program. Accounting for these
recoupments within the proprietary financial statements was handled appropriately.
Ernst & Young also identified a weakness with regard to formula errors associated with
various changes incorporated into the Statements of Social Insurance. These formula
errors were not detected by the organization’s monitoring and review function. These
deficiencies collectively represent a significant deficiency in internal control.
Ernst & Young identified several instances of noncompliance with laws and other matters.
During FY 2022, CMS was not in full compliance with the requirements of the Payment
Integrity Information Act of 2019 (PIIA) (P.L. No. 116-117). The Medicaid and Children’s
Health Insurance Program (CHIP) programs reported error rates in excess of 10 percent. CMS is
incorporating a new eligibility measurement process that would defer the establishment of error
rate reduction targets until a baseline measurement was in place. CMS has specific initiatives
underway to address these results for the Medicaid and CHIP programs that continue to report
improper payment rates above the statutory threshold of 10 percent. CMS was also not in full
compliance with PIIA as recovery activities of the identified improper payments for the Part C
and Medicare Part D program are delayed.
CMS reported an error rate of 0.62 percent for the Federally Facilitated Healthcare Exchange
component of the Advance Payment Tax Credit program. Also, CMS management continues to
implement corrective actions to reduce the Medicare FFS improper payment rate, but the rate
increased from the prior year. Previously, CMS management was notified during prior FYs that
it may have potential violations of the Federal Acquisition Regulation related to contracting
matters as well as potential violations of the Antideficiency Act related to certain contract
obligations for fiscal years 2014 and 2015. Ernst & Young disclosed no other instances of
noncompliance that are required to be reported under Government Auditing Standards and OMB
Bulletin 22-01.
x examining audit documentation, including that related to the review of internal controls
over financial reporting;
Ernst & Young is responsible for the attached reports and the conclusions expressed in those
reports. Our review, as differentiated from an audit in accordance with U.S. generally accepted
auditing standards, was not intended to enable us to express, and accordingly we do not express,
an opinion on CMS’s financial statements, the effectiveness of internal controls, whether
financial management systems substantially complied with the Federal Financial Management
Improvement Act of 1996 (P.L. No. 104-208), or compliance with other laws and regulations.
However, our monitoring review, as limited to the procedures listed above, disclosed no
instances in which Ernst & Young did not comply, in all material respects, with U.S. generally
accepted government auditing standards.
If you have any questions or comments about this report, please do not hesitate to call me, or
your staff may contact Carla J. Lewis, Assistant Inspector General for Audit Services, at
(202) 834-5992 or Carla.Lewis@oig.hhs.gov. Please refer to report number A-17-22-53000.
Attachment
cc:
Robert Gordon
Assistant Secretary for Financial Resources
Sheila Conley
Deputy Assistant Secretary, Finance
and Deputy Chief Financial Officer
Jonathan Blum
Principal Deputy Administrator
and Chief Operating Officer
Opinion
We have audited the financial statements of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services
(CMS), which comprise the consolidated balance sheets as of September 30, 2022 and 2021, and
the related consolidated statements of net cost and changes in net position and combined
statements of budgetary resources for the years then ended, and the related notes (collectively
referred to as the “financial statements”).
In our opinion, the accompanying financial statements present fairly, in all material respects, the
financial position of CMS at September 30, 2022 and 2021, and the results of its net cost of
operations, its changes in net position and its budgetary resources for the years then ended in
accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America.
Disclaimer of Opinion on the Statement of Social Insurance and the Statement of Changes in
Social Insurance Amounts
We were also engaged to audit the sustainability financial statements of CMS, which comprise the
statement of social insurance as of January 1, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, and 2018, and the related
statement of changes in social insurance amounts for the periods ended January 1, 2022 and 2021,
and the related notes (collectively referred to as the “sustainability financial statements”).
We conducted our audits in accordance with auditing standards generally accepted in the United
States of America (GAAS), in accordance with the standards applicable to financial audits
contained in Government Auditing Standards, issued by the Comptroller General of the United
States (Government Auditing Standards), and in accordance with the provisions of Office of
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Management and Budget (OMB) Bulletin No. 22-01, Audit Requirements for Federal Financial
Statements. Our responsibilities under those standards and the provisions of OMB Bulletin
No. 22-01 are further described in the Auditor’s Responsibilities for the Audit of the Financial
Statements section of our report. We are required to be independent of CMS and to meet our other
ethical responsibilities in accordance with the relevant ethical requirements relating to our audits.
We believe that the audit evidence we have obtained is sufficient and appropriate to provide a basis
for our audit opinion on the consolidated balance sheets as of September 30, 2022 and 2021, and
the related consolidated statements of net cost and changes in net position and combined
statements of budgetary resources for the years then ended.
Basis for Disclaimer of Opinion on the Statement of Social Insurance and the Statement of
Changes in Social Insurance Amounts
As discussed in Note 13 to the financial statements, the statement of social insurance presents the
actuarial present value of the Hospital Insurance (HI) and Supplementary Medical Insurance (SMI)
trust funds’ estimated future income to be received from, or on behalf of, the participants and
estimated future expenditures to be paid to, or on behalf of, participants during a projection period
sufficient to illustrate long-term sustainability of the social insurance program. The sustainability
financial statements are intended to aid users in assessing whether future resources will likely be
sufficient to sustain public services and to meet obligations as they come due. The statement of
social insurance and the related statement of changes in social insurance amounts are based on
income and benefit formulas in current law and assume that scheduled benefits will continue after
any related trust funds are exhausted. The sustainability financial statements are not forecasts or
predictions. The sustainability financial statements are not intended to imply that current policy or
law is sustainable. In preparing the statement of social insurance, management considers and
selects assumptions and data that it believes provide a reasonable basis for the assertions in the
statement. Because of the large number of factors that affect the statement of social insurance and
the fact that future events and circumstances cannot be known with certainty, there will be
differences between the estimates in the statement of social insurance and the actual results, and
those differences may be material. Projections of Medicare costs are sensitive to assumptions about
future decisions by policymakers and about the behavioral responses of consumers, employers,
and health care providers as policies, incentives, and the health care sector change over time. In
addition to the inherent variability that underlies the expenditure projections prepared for all parts
of Medicare, and as discussed below, significant additional variability and issues regarding the
sustainability of the underlying assumptions under current law were introduced by the passage of
the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) and the Medicare Access and CHIP
Reauthorization Act (MACRA).
With respect to the estimates for the social insurance program presented as of January 1, 2022,
2021, 2020, 2019, and 2018, the current-law expenditure projections reflect the physicians’
payment levels expected under the MACRA payment rules and the ACA-mandated reductions in
other Medicare payment rates. Management has developed an illustrative alternative scenario and
projections, using certain alternative payment provisions, intended to quantify the potential
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understatement of projected Medicare costs in future years. The range of the social insurance
liability estimates in the scenarios is significant. As described in Note 14, certain features of
current law may result in some challenges for the Medicare program. Should payment rates prove
to be inadequate for any service, beneficiaries’ access to and the quality of Medicare benefits
would deteriorate over time, or future legislation would need to be enacted that would likely
increase program costs beyond those projected under current law in this report. As a result, actual
Medicare expenditures are highly uncertain for reasons apart from the inherent difficulty in
projecting health care cost growth over time. Absent a change in the health care delivery system
or level of update by subsequent legislation, access to Medicare-participating providers may
become a significant issue in the long term under current law. Overriding the price updates in
current law, as lawmakers repeatedly did in the case of physician payment rates, would lead to
substantially higher costs for Medicare in the long range than those projected in this report. As a
result of these matters, we were unable to obtain sufficient audit evidence for the amounts
presented in the statement of social insurance as of January 1, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019 and 2018
and the related statement of changes in social insurance amounts for the periods ended January 1,
2022 and 2021.
Management is responsible for the preparation and fair presentation of the financial statements in
accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America, and for
the design, implementation, and maintenance of internal control relevant to the preparation and
fair presentation of financial statements that are free of material misstatement, whether due to fraud
or error.
Except as described in the Basis for Disclaimer of Opinion on the Statement of Social Insurance
and the Statement of Changes in Social Insurance Amounts section of our report, our objectives
are to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements as a whole are free of
material misstatement, whether due to fraud or error, and to issue an auditor’s report that includes
our opinion. Reasonable assurance is a high level of assurance but is not absolute assurance and
therefore is not a guarantee that an audit conducted in accordance with GAAS and Government
Auditing Standards and the provisions of OMB Bulletin No. 22-01 will always detect a material
misstatement when it exists. The risk of not detecting a material misstatement resulting from fraud
is higher than for one resulting from error, as fraud may involve collusion, forgery, intentional
omissions, misrepresentations, or the override of internal control. Misstatements are considered
material if there is a substantial likelihood that, individually or in the aggregate, they would
influence the judgment made by a reasonable user based on the financial statements.
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In performing an audit in accordance with GAAS and Government Auditing Standards and the
provisions of OMB Bulletin No. 22-01, we:
• Exercise professional judgment and maintain professional skepticism throughout the audit.
• Identify and assess the risks of material misstatement of the financial statements, whether
due to fraud or error, and design and perform audit procedures responsive to those risks.
Such procedures include examining, on a test basis, evidence regarding the amounts and
disclosures in the financial statements.
• Obtain an understanding of internal control relevant to the audit in order to design audit
procedures that are appropriate in the circumstances, but not for the purpose of expressing
an opinion on the effectiveness of CMS’s internal control. Accordingly, no such opinion is
expressed.
• Conclude whether, in our judgment, there are conditions or events, considered in the
aggregate, that raise substantial doubt about CMS’s ability to continue as a going concern
for a reasonable period of time.
We are required to communicate with those charged with governance regarding, among other
matters, the planned scope and timing of the audit, significant audit findings, and certain internal
control-related matters that we identified during the audit.
Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America require that the
Management’s Discussion and Analysis and Required Supplementary Information, as identified
on CMS’s Agency Financial Report Table of Contents, be presented to supplement the financial
statements. Such information is the responsibility of management and, although not a part of the
financial statements, is required by the Federal Accounting Standards Advisory Board who
considers it to be an essential part of financial reporting for placing the financial statements in an
appropriate operational, economic or historical context. We were unable to apply certain limited
procedures to the Required Supplementary Information related to the sustainability financial
statements in accordance with auditing standards generally accepted in the United States of
America because of the significance of the matters described in the Basis for Disclaimer of Opinion
section of our report. We do not express an opinion or provide any assurance on the Required
Supplementary Information related to the sustainability financial statements. We have applied
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certain limited procedures to the Management’s Discussion and Analysis and other required
supplementary information in accordance with auditing standards generally accepted in the United
States of America, which consisted of inquiries of management about the methods of preparing
the information and comparing the information for consistency with management’s responses to
our inquiries, the financial statements, and other knowledge we obtained during our audit of the
financial statements. We do not express an opinion or provide any assurance on the information
because the limited procedures do not provide us with sufficient evidence to express an opinion or
provide any assurance.
Supplementary Information
Our audit was conducted for the purpose of forming an opinion on the financial statements as a
whole. The Supplementary Information, as identified on CMS’s Agency Financial Report Table
of Contents, is presented for purposes of additional analysis and is not a required part of the
financial statements. Such information is the responsibility of management and was derived from
and relates directly to the underlying accounting and other records used to prepare the financial
statements. The information has been subjected to the auditing procedures applied in the audits of
the financial statements and certain additional procedures, including comparing and reconciling
such information directly to the underlying accounting and other records used to prepare the
financial statements or to the financial statements themselves, and other additional procedures in
accordance with auditing standards generally accepted in the United States of America. In our
opinion, the information is fairly stated, in all material respects, in relation to the financial
statements as a whole.
Other Information
Management is responsible for the other information included in the annual report. The other
information comprises introduction information on pages i through vi, A Message From the Chief
Financial Officer, Other Information and Glossary, as identified on CMS’s Agency Financial
Report Table of Contents, but does not include the financial statements and our auditor’s report
thereon. Our opinion on the financial statements does not cover the other information, and we do
not express an opinion or any form of assurance thereon.
In connection with our audit of the financial statements, our responsibility is to read the other
information and consider whether a material inconsistency exists between the other information
and the financial statements, or the other information otherwise appears to be materially misstated.
If, based on the work performed, we conclude that an uncorrected material misstatement of the
other information exists, we are required to describe it in our report.
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In accordance with Government Auditing Standards, we have also issued our reports dated
November 7, 2022 on our consideration of CMS’s internal control over financial reporting and on
our tests of its compliance with certain provisions of laws, regulations, contracts and grant
agreements, and other matters. The purpose of those reports is solely to describe the scope of our
testing of internal control over financial reporting and compliance and the results of that testing,
and not to provide an opinion on the effectiveness of CMS’s internal control over financial
reporting or on compliance. Those reports are an integral part of an audit performed in accordance
with Government Auditing Standards in considering CMS’s internal control over financial
reporting and compliance.
November 7, 2022
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We have audited, in accordance with auditing standards generally accepted in the United States of
America, the standards applicable to financial audits contained in Government Auditing Standards
issued by the Comptroller General of the United States (Government Auditing Standards) and the
provisions of Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Bulletin No. 22-01, Audit Requirements
for Federal Financial Statements, the financial statements of the Centers for Medicare and
Medicaid Services (CMS), which comprise the consolidated balance sheet as of September 30,
2022, and the related consolidated statements of net cost and changes in net position and the
combined statements of budgetary resources for the fiscal year then ended, and the related notes
(collectively referred to as the “financial statements”), and we were engaged to audit the
sustainability financial statements, which comprise the statement of social insurance as of
January 1, 2022, and the related statement of changes in social insurance amounts for the period
ended January 1, 2022, and the related notes (collectively referred to as the “sustainability financial
statements”), and have issued our report thereon dated November 7, 2022. Our report disclaims an
opinion on the sustainability financial statements because of the significance of the matters
described in the Basis for Disclaimer of Opinion section of our Report of Independent Auditors,
we have not been able to obtain sufficient appropriate audit evidence to provide a basis for an audit
opinion on these statements.
As part of obtaining reasonable assurance about whether CMS’s financial statements are free of
material misstatement, we performed tests of its compliance with certain provisions of laws,
regulations, contracts and grant agreements, noncompliance with which could have a direct and
material effect on the financial statements, as well as the requirements referred to in the Federal
Financial Management Improvement Act of 1996 (FFMIA). However, providing an opinion on
compliance with those provisions was not an objective of our audit and, accordingly, we do not
express such an opinion. The results of our tests disclosed instances of noncompliance or other
matters that are required to be reported under Government Auditing Standards and the provisions
of OMB Bulletin No. 22-01, as described below:
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The Payment Integrity Information Act of 2019 (hereinafter, the “Act”) requires federal agencies
to identify programs and activities that may be susceptible to significant improper payments and
estimate the amount of the improper payments. However, CMS is not in full compliance with the
Act. While CMS has calculated and reported an improper payment estimate for the Federally-
facilitated Exchange of the Advance Premium Tax Credits program, it has not calculated and
reported an improper payment estimate for the State-based Exchanges, which has been deemed
susceptible to significant improper payments. In addition, although CMS has reported improper
payment rates for each of its other high-risk programs, or components of such programs, the
Medicaid and CHIP improper payment rates exceeded the statutorily required maximum of 10
percent. CMS was also not in full compliance with PIIA as recovery activities of the identified
improper payments for the Part C and Medicare Part D program are delayed.
During prior fiscal years, CMS management was notified that it may have potential violations of
the Federal Acquisition Regulation related to contracting matters, as well as potential violations of
the Anti-Deficiency Act related to certain contract obligations related to fiscal years 2014 and 2015.
These potential violations are still being evaluated.
Under FFMIA, we are required to report whether CMS’s financial management systems
substantially comply with federal financial management system requirements, applicable federal
accounting standards, and the United States Standard General Ledger at the transaction level. To
meet this requirement, we performed tests of compliance with FFMIA Section 803(a)
requirements. The results of the tests disclosed no instances in which CMS’s financial management
systems did not substantially comply with requirements as discussed above.
Government Auditing Standards requires the auditor to perform limited procedures on CMS’s
response to the findings identified in our audit and described in the accompanying letter dated
November 7, 2022. CMS’s response was not subjected to the other auditing procedures applied in
the audit of the financial statements and, accordingly, we express no opinion on the response.
The purpose of this report is solely to describe the scope of our testing of compliance and the
results of that testing, and not to provide an opinion on the entity’s compliance. This report is an
integral part of an audit performed in accordance with Government Auditing Standards in
considering the entity’s compliance. Accordingly, this communication is not suitable for any other
purpose.
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In accordance with Government Auditing Standards, we have also issued our report dated
November 7, 2022 on our consideration of CMS’s internal control over financial reporting. The
purpose of that report is solely to describe the scope of our testing of internal control over financial
reporting and the results of that testing, and not to provide an opinion on the effectiveness of
CMS’s internal control over financial reporting. That report is an integral part of an audit
performed in accordance with Government Auditing Standards in considering CMS’s internal
control over financial reporting.
November 7, 2022
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We have audited, in accordance with auditing standards generally accepted in the United States of
America, the standards applicable to financial audits contained in Government Auditing Standards
issued by the Comptroller General of the United States (Government Auditing Standards) and the
provisions of Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Bulletin No. 22-01, Audit Requirements
for Federal Financial Statements, the financial statements of the Centers for Medicare and
Medicaid Services (CMS), which comprise the consolidated balance sheet as of September 30,
2022, and the related consolidated statements of net cost and changes in net position and the
combined statement of budgetary resources for the fiscal year then ended, and the related notes
(collectively referred to as the “financial statements”), and we were engaged to audit the
sustainability financial statements, which comprise the statement of social insurance as of
January 1, 2022, and the related statement of changes in social insurance amounts for the period
ended January 1, 2022, and the related notes (collectively referred to as the “sustainability financial
statements”), and have issued our report thereon dated November 7, 2022. Our report disclaims an
opinion on the sustainability financial statements because of the significance of the matters
described in the Basis for Disclaimer of Opinion section of our Report of Independent Auditors,
we have not been able to obtain sufficient appropriate audit evidence to provide a basis for an audit
opinion on these statements.
In planning and performing our audit of the financial statements, we considered CMS’s internal
control over financial reporting (internal control) as a basis for designing audit procedures that are
appropriate in the circumstances for the purpose of expressing our opinion on the financial
statements, but not for the purpose of expressing an opinion on the effectiveness of CMS’s internal
control. Accordingly, we do not express an opinion on the effectiveness of CMS’s internal control.
A deficiency in internal control exists when the design or operation of a control does not allow
management or employees, in the normal course of performing their assigned functions, to prevent,
or detect and correct misstatements on a timely basis. A material weakness is a deficiency, or a
combination of deficiencies, in internal control such that there is a reasonable possibility that a
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material misstatement of the entity’s financial statements will not be prevented, or detected and
corrected on a timely basis. A significant deficiency is a deficiency, or a combination of
deficiencies, in internal control that is less severe than a material weakness, yet important enough
to merit attention by those charged with governance.
Our consideration of internal control was for the limited purpose described in the first paragraph
of this section and was not designed to identify all deficiencies in internal control that might be
material weaknesses or significant deficiencies, and therefore, material weaknesses or significant
deficiencies may exist, that were not identified. Given these limitations, during our audit we did
not identify any deficiencies in internal control that we consider to be material weaknesses. We
identified certain deficiencies in internal control as described below that we consider to be
significant deficiencies.
Significant Deficiencies
Financial management in the Federal government requires accountability of financial and program
managers for the reporting of financial results related to the Federal government’s financial
resources and protection of Federal assets. To enable these requirements to be met, financial
management systems and internal controls must be in place to process and record financial events
effectively and efficiently and to provide complete, timely, reliable and consistent information for
decision-makers and the public. CMS is a very large organization that is responsible for the
management of complex programs that are continuing to increase in complexity and size. Financial
reporting of the cost of health programs and the oversight role is important as the country continues
to make decisions about this critical mission.
CMS relies on a decentralized organization and a high number of complex financial management
systems to operate and accumulate data for financial reporting. The business owners and users of
the systems are located at contracted organizations, providers, branch offices, Centers and Offices
outside of the Office of Financial Management (OFM). Providing oversight requires a common
set of accounting and reporting standards, proper execution of those standards/policies, an
integrated financial system, properly trained personnel, and meaningful collaboration within CMS
and with the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS).
The following areas identified in the current year audit merit continued focus as part of the
financial reporting processes significant deficiency.
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The Medicaid program is the primary source of medical assistance for low-income Americans.
Medicaid operates as a partnership between the states and the Federal government. The Federal
government establishes the minimum requirements and provides oversight for the program and the
states design, implement, administer and oversee their own Medicaid programs within the Federal
parameters.
The estimate of retroactive settlements of cost reports is a portion of the EBDP liability for the
Medicare program. This estimate includes amounts which may be due from or owed to providers
for previous years’ cost report for disproportionate share hospitals and teaching hospitals, as well
as amounts which may be due/owed to hospitals for adjusted prospective payments. During our
procedures, we identified fluctuations in the cost report accrual which were not properly
investigated by management. Upon further investigation, adjustments to the accrual were
necessary to properly state the accurate EBDP for these cost reports. When unusual changes are
identified in the resulting data used for the estimate or a large fluctuation is identified in the output
of the actuarial calculation, for which the actuaries do not have a thorough understanding, further
investigation should be performed and documented prior to finalizing the EBDP estimate.
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Budgetary Accounting for Recoveries and Refunds for the COVID-19 Advanced and
Accelerated Payment Program
During fiscal 2020, CMS established the COVID-19 Advanced and Accelerated Payment (CAAP)
program to help providers and suppliers experiencing cash flow concerns during the Public Health
Emergency. Most of these advances were issued during fiscal 2020, and recoupment began in
fiscal year 2021. OMB had previously granted CMS a waiver from the Circular No. A-11
requirement to report the recoveries and refunds of prior year obligations as new budgetary
resources for the Medicare Program. While accounting for these recoupments within the
proprietary financial statements (balance sheet) was handled appropriately, it was discovered in
the current year that CMS did not follow the proper budgetary accounting treatment within the
statement of budgetary resources set forth by this waiver for the recoupment of these advances.
The related control to review the accounting for the significant activity of recoupments was not
designed or operated effectively to prevent or detect this error in a timely manner.
The Statements of Social Insurance (SOSI) for CMS presents a long-term projection of the present
value of the benefits to be paid for the closed and open groups of existing and future participants
of the Medicare social insurance programs less the inflows to be received from, or on behalf of,
those same individuals. The SOSI models are complex, 75-year projections that contain a high
degree of estimation. The models and their results are heavily reviewed by actuaries and others
within CMS. The veracity of the underlying data remains critical to the accuracy of the model, and
as a result the reviews of the underlying data is robust, in line with CMS’s policies and procedures.
As part of this review, the input into the spreadsheet is checked against the original data sources
to ensure that no input errors have been made. In addition, output data, including those that are
generated from updating and running any macro in the spreadsheet, are checked by the reviewer.
These checks include a comparison to the results from the year before and testing of the formulas
that are part of the spreadsheet or macro, to ensure that the projection output from the program is
as expected and reasonable. During our procedures, formula errors and input errors of source
information were identified that were not detected by the organization’s monitoring and review
function, and accordingly, the related control was not functioning at the level of precision as
designed.
Improper Payments
The nature and volume of its expenditures present a substantial challenge to CMS in the
quantification, evaluation and remediation of improper payments. Health insurance claims
represent the vast majority of the CMS payments. These payments are complex and involve the
evaluation of the program eligibility of both the recipient of the services and of the health provider,
oversight of the medical necessity of each covered treatment and concurrence with the cost to be
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paid, some of which is based on complex financial formulas and/or coding decisions. CMS has
developed sophisticated sampling processes for estimating improper payment rates in the high-
risk CMS programs of Medicare Fee-for-Service (FFS), Medicare Advantage (Part C), Medicare
Prescription Drugs (Part D), Medicaid and CHIP.
CMS remains committed to achieving reductions in all improper payment rates through various
corrective actions. CMS has specific initiatives underway to improve results for Medicaid and
CHIP, the programs that continue to report improper payment rates above the statutory threshold
of 10 percent. While management continued to implement corrective actions to reduce the
Medicare FFS improper payment rate, the rate increased from the prior year.
Recommendations
We recommend that CMS continue to develop, refine and adhere to its financial management
systems and processes to improve its accounting, analysis and oversight of financial management
activity. Specifically, we recommend that CMS implement the following:
• Continue to enhance the data analyses on Medicaid claims level data to develop robust
analytical procedures and measures against benchmarks to monitor and identify risks
associated with the financial accounting and reporting of the Medicaid program.
• Re-evaluate the procedures performed around the completeness and accuracy used in the
cost report accrual. When unusual changes are identified in the data used for the estimate
or a large fluctuation is identified in the output of the calculation, for which management
does not have a thorough understanding, further investigation should be performed and
documented prior to finalizing the estimate.
• Enhance the design of control attributes around the accounting for unique accounting
transactions. This may include maintaining a centralized listing of guidance and waivers
relevant to the preparation of financial statements and conducting additional training of
personnel involved in preparing financial statements.
• Continue to adhere to established policies and procedures to ensure that the SOSI model
methodology and related calculation and estimates are reviewed at a level of sufficient
precision. When changes are made, such as changes to the methodology or key
assumptions, management should require an enhanced review specific to these changes.
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Information systems controls are a critical component of the Federal government’s operations to
manage the integrity, confidentiality and reliability of its programs and activities and assist with
reducing the risk of errors, fraud or other illegal acts. The nature, size and complexity of CMS’s
operations require the organization to administer its programs under a decentralized business
model by using numerous geographically dispersed contractors operating complex and extensive
information systems.
As CMS continues its efforts to enhance its internal controls, the following items identified in the
current year audit merit continued focus on the information systems controls and processes.
CMS has a large number of users requiring access to CMS systems in order to process claims and
to support beneficiaries in a timely and effective manner. Accordingly, properly implemented
system access controls, including user and system account management and monitoring of system
access, are critical to preventing and detecting unauthorized usage of CMS information resources
and program and data files. Without maintaining an appropriate level of access controls within
CMS systems, the integrity of CMS’s information resources could be compromised. Additionally,
information systems security configuration controls are vital to safeguard the confidentiality,
integrity and availability of data.
• Procedures for the removal of users who no longer required logical access were not
consistently followed.
• Monitoring and/or recertification of privileged access for key applications and underlying
IT infrastructure was not performed, or evidence of such monitoring or recertification
activity was not retained.
Appropriate consideration over the design of controls of access and monitoring of access as well
as information security configuration management controls is essential to provide a suitable
framework for subsequent implementation and operation of the controls. Without adequate
controls over managing access to critical systems and monitoring of information systems security
configuration controls, the risk of errors, fraud or other illegal acts is increased.
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The distributed nature of CMS’ governance of third parties has resulted in the inconsistent
application of oversight procedures for contractors with significant security responsibilities in the
CMS Information Security Program. This has resulted in the identification of control deficiencies
stemming from inadequate implementation of controls related to logical and physical access and
system configuration. Specifically:
• CMS’s security configuration management policy was not fully implemented and has
resulted in several vulnerabilities related to system configurations with the CMS
information systems. The remediation, mitigation of risks, or monitoring of these
vulnerabilities was not performed or not performed timely. These include settings to
disable inactive accounts and password requirements.
• Logical and physical access control procedures related to the timely removal of access for
terminated personnel supporting CMS were not followed at contractor operated systems
and facilities.
Deficiencies related to the performance of these controls by third parties were also consistently
noted in the results of management’s internal assessment (OMB A-123) and various HHS OIG
audit reports. Commonality in the control deficiencies across the business units indicates
monitoring and oversight is an enterprise level risk for which standardized processes should be
developed to in order for common controls to be implemented in the varying IT environments.
Without sufficient and consistent third-party oversight and monitoring for compliance with its
established information security control policies and procedures, Medicare and Medicaid systems
and other enterprise-wide systems may be susceptible to error, fraud, and/or security
vulnerabilities that may impact claims processing and financial reporting.
Recommendations
CMS should continue to improve the operating effectiveness of information security controls
including access controls and configuration management, to validate that:
• CMS guidance is followed for the removal of users to all systems/facilities and security
configurations.
• Privileged access for key applications and the underlying IT infrastructure is in accordance
with the principle of least privilege, monitored to detect and correct unauthorized access or
activities. Additionally, evidence of such monitoring activities should be retained.
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• User access reviews are being performed timely and by appropriate personnel with the
requisite knowledge and experience of the employee access requirements and necessary
system functionality.
Specific to the governance over implementation of information systems controls standards and
processes, CMS should continually assess the governance and oversight across its organizational
units charged with responsibility for the information security of its systems and data at both
Headquarters and the CMS FFS Medicare Administrative Contractor contractors. As such, an
approach will require continued and active communication and integration of efforts by OFM,
Office of Information Technology and the Center for Medicare.
• Enhanced risk management procedures and practices that focus on significant IT systems
that support financial management processes and a clear definition of responsibilities
associated with the oversight and implementation of controls to address identified risks.
• Ensuring that timely remediation of deficiencies identified as a part of OIG and HHS’s
OMB A-123 assessments, including tests performed on CMS and its Medicare contractors’
IT operations.
Government Auditing Standards requires the auditor to perform limited procedures on the CMS’s
response to the findings identified in our audit and described in the accompanying letter dated
November 7, 2022. CMS’s response was not subjected to the other auditing procedures applied in
the audit of the financial statements and, accordingly, we express no opinion on the response.
The purpose of this report is solely to describe the scope of our testing of internal control and the
results of that testing, and not to provide an opinion on the effectiveness of the entity’s internal
control. This report is an integral part of an audit performed in accordance with Government
Auditing Standards in considering the entity’s internal control. Accordingly, this communication
is not suitable for any other purpose.
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In accordance with Government Auditing Standards, we have also issued our report dated
November 7, 2022 on our tests of CMS’s compliance with certain provisions of laws, regulations,
contracts and grant agreements, and other matters. The purpose of that report is solely to describe
the scope of our testing of compliance and the results of that testing, and not to provide an opinion
on compliance. That report is an integral part of an audit performed in accordance with
Government Auditing Standards in considering CMS’s compliance.
November 7, 2022
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Dear Sir/Madame:
On behalf of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, I would like to thank you for
another successful year in closing out this year’s Chief Financial Officer’s Act audit. We are
pleased with the results of your audit of our fiscal year 2022 financial statements, and are proud
of the continued achievement of an unmodified opinion on our Consolidated Balance Sheet,
Statements of Net Cost and Changes in Net Position and the Combined Statement of Budgetary
Resources.
Again, you were not able to express an opinion on the Statement of Social Insurance
(SOSI) and the related Statement of Changes in Social Insurance Amounts (SCSIA) due to
the uncertainty of the long-range assumptions used in the model. While CMS is confident
that our SOSI model projections are fairly presented in accordance with current law, we are
fully committed to partnering with you to find a solution to report the SOSI projections that
will support your ability to opine on these statements in the future.
While you identified no material weaknesses in our internal controls, you continue to cite
significant deficiencies in our financial reporting processes and information systems
controls. As we continue to make progress in eliminating many of our long-standing
internal control findings, CMS remains committed to implementing effective corrective
actions to strengthen our internal controls and remediate the deficiencies you have noted.
The annual financial audit serves as an on-going catalyst to improving our processes and
always helps us improve our internal controls. We would like to thank your office for its
diligence in completing the audit efficiently and effectively, and appreciate the strong
partnership we have with you. We look forward to your continued support as we work to
remediate the issues for the future.
Sincerely,
Megan Worstell
Chief Financial Officer
CMS conducted its assessment of risk and internal control in accordance with OMB Circular A-123, Management’s Responsibility
for Enterprise Risk Management and Internal Control. Based on the results of the assessment, CMS provides reasonable assurance
that internal controls over operations, reporting, and compliance were operating effectively as of September 30, 2022, with the
exception of non-compliances with: the Payment Integrity Information Act of 2019 (PIIA), and Section 6411 of the Patient Protection
Affordable Care Act (PPACA).
CMS continues its efforts to comply with the requirements of PIIA and OMB’s implementing guidance.
With regard to compliance with Section 6411 of the PPACA, the intended functions of a Medicare Part C Recovery Audit Contractor
(RAC) are already being performed by the existing contract-level Risk Adjustment Data Validation (RADV) program. RADV
audits are the primary corrective action that CMS utilizes to address improper payments in Part C. RADV verifies that diagnoses
submitted by MA organizations for risk adjusted payment are supported by medical record documentation. In recent years,
the RADV program refined its methodology to be more targeted to areas of high risk of improper payments in response to a
Government Accountability Office (GAO) report (GAO 16-76). CMS expects to initiate recovery of identified improper payments in
FY 2023, pending finalization of the RADV proposed rule, CMS-4185-P.
The FY 2021 President’s Budget included a legislative proposal to remove the requirement for HHS to expand the RAC program to
Medicare Part C. As stated above, CMS believes that the intended functions of a Part C RAC are already performed by the RADV
program, and therefore, would be duplicative of that work. Despite their success in Medicare FFS, RACs have found the incentives for
performing recovery audits of the Medicare Part C program not viable because of differing payment structures and a more narrower
scope for payment errors. Another concern is the potential for high overturn rates of overpayments identified on appeal, using the early
experience of the Medicare Parts A and B RAC programs as a model. Additionally, potential RAC vendors expressed concerns with the
unlimited delay in the contingency payment due to timeframes not being established for appeal decisions in the MA appeal process (42
C.F.R. § 423.2600). These expressed concerns have reduced the incentive for government vendors to enter the market as a Part C RAC.
IMPROPER PAYMENTS
PIIA includes requirements for identifying programs susceptible to significant improper payments, annually reporting estimates of
improper payments, and implementing corrective actions to reduce improper payments. PIIA defines improper payments as any
payment that should not have been made or that was made in an incorrect amount (including overpayments and underpayments).
Improper payments also include payments to ineligible recipients, payments for ineligible services, duplicate payments, and
payments for services not received, as well as payments that are missing sufficient documentation to determine if proper.
Since FY 2012, CMS has complied with OMB’s implementing guidance and instituted comprehensive processes that measure the
payment error rates for the Medicare FFS, Medicare Advantage (Part C), Medicare Prescription Drug (Medicare Part D), Medicaid,
and CHIP programs. Due to COVID-19, in FY 2020, HHS exercised its enforcement discretion to temporarily suspend all improper
payment related engagement, communications, and data requests to providers and state agencies from HHS as disclosed in HHS’s
FY 2020 AFR. HHS adjusted the sample size for the FY 2021 Medicare FFS, Medicaid, and CHIP measurement programs to account
for the ongoing challenges incurred by providers, suppliers, and states during COVID-19, while continuing to maintain appropriate
accountability measures and meet the statutory obligations.
Medicare FFS
CMS measures the Medicare FFS improper payment estimate annually, through the Comprehensive Error Rate Testing (CERT)
program. The Medicare FFS measurement methodology remains the same since FY 2012. The estimated percentage of Medicare
FFS dollars paid correctly was 92.54 percent. This means Medicare paid an estimated $390.46 billion correctly in FY 2022.
The Medicare FFS improper payment estimate for FY 2022 is 7.46 percent or $31.46 billion. The improper payment estimate due
to missing or insufficient documentation is 5.03 percent or $21.20 billion, representing 67.40 percent of total improper payments.
Improper payments for skilled nursing facility (SNF), hospital outpatient, hospice, and home health claims were the major
contributing factors to the FY 2022 Medicare FFS rate. While the factors contributing to improper payments are complex and vary
by year, the primary causes continue to be insufficient documentation and medical necessity errors.
CMS uses data from the CERT program and other sources of information to address improper payments in Medicare FFS through
various corrective actions, such as policy clarifications and simplifications, when appropriate, as well as targeted probe and
educate reviews, which include more individualized education through smaller probe reviews, followed by specific education
based on the findings of these reviews. CMS is also continuing prior authorization initiatives, as appropriate, which help to make
sure that applicable coverage, payment, and coding rules are met before services are rendered while ensuring access to and
quality of care. CMS has developed several preventative measures for specific service areas with high improper payments. CMS
believes implementing targeted corrective actions in these areas will prevent and reduce improper payments in these areas and
reduce the overall improper payment rate.
In FY 2022, CMS finalized and implemented policy changes which contributed to a decrease in the Part C improper payment
estimate, representing a new baseline improper payment rate for Part C that is not directly comparable to prior reporting years.
CMS measures the Medicare Part D improper payments related to prescription drug event data through the Part D improper
payment measurement process. The Part D improper payment estimate for FY 2022 is 1.54 percent, or $1.36 billion. The improper
payment estimate due to missing or insufficient documentation is 1.21 percent or $1.07 billion, representing 78.49 percent of
total improper payments. The estimated percentage of Part D dollars paid correctly was 98.46 percent. This means Part D paid an
estimated $87.05 billion correctly in FY 2022.
The national Medicaid improper payment estimate for FY 2022 is 15.62 percent or $80.57 billion in improper payments based
on measurements conducted in FYs 2020, 2021, and 2022. The improper payment estimate due to missing or insufficient
documentation is 13.56 percent or $69.95 billion, representing 86.82 percent of total improper payments. The estimated
percentage of Medicaid dollars paid correctly was 84.38 percent. This means Medicaid paid an estimated $435.24 billion correctly
in FY 2022.
The national improper payment estimate for each Medicaid component is:
■ Medicaid FFS: 10.42 percent
■ Medicaid managed care: 0.03 percent
■ Medicaid eligibility: 11.89 percent
The national CHIP improper payment estimate for FY 2022 is 26.75 percent or $4.30 billion in improper payments based
on measurements conducted in FYs 2020, 2021, and 2022. The improper payment estimate due to missing or insufficient
documentation is 20.34 percent or $3.27 billion, representing 76.05 percent of total improper payments. The estimated percentage
of CHIP dollars paid correctly was 73.25 percent. This means CHIP paid an estimated $11.79 billion correctly in FY 2022.
The national improper payment estimate for each CHIP component is:
■ CHIP FFS: 11.23 percent
■ CHIP managed care: 0.62 percent
■ CHIP eligibility: 24.01 percent
In response to COVID-19, the FY 2022 national Medicaid and CHIP improper payment estimates reflect reviews that accounted
for certain flexibilities afforded to states during the public health emergency, such as postponed eligibility determinations and
reduced requirements around provider enrollment or revalidations.
The areas driving the FY 2022 Medicaid and CHIP improper payment estimates are:
■ Insufficient Documentation: Represents situations where the required verification of eligibility data, such as income
was not done and where there was an indication that eligibility verification was initiated but the state provided no
documentation to validate the verification process was completed. Additionally, insufficient documentation includes
situations where medical records were not submitted or were missing required documentation to support the medical
necessity of the claim. However, these payments do not necessarily represent payments to illegitimate providers or on
behalf of ineligible beneficiaries. If the missing information had been on the claim and/or the state had complied with the
enrollment or redetermination requirements, the claims may have been payable. Conversely, if the missing documentation
had been available, it could have affirmatively indicated whether a provider or beneficiary was ineligible for Medicaid or
CHIP reimbursement and, therefore, would have been deemed improper.
■ State Non-Compliance: Represents situations such as noncompliance with federal eligibility redetermination requirements;
enrolled providers not appropriately screened by the state; providers not appropriately rescreened at revalidation; providers
not enrolled; and/or providers without the required National Provider Identifier (NPI) on the claim. States’ compliance with
provider enrollment or screening requirements has improved. The Medicaid FFS component improper payment estimate
decreased from 13.90 percent in FY 2021 to 10.42 percent in FY 2022 and the CHIP FFS component improper payment
estimate decreased from 13.67 percent in FY 2021 to 11.23 percent in FY 2022. Decreases in the Medicaid and CHIP FFS
and eligibility components between FY 2021 and FY 2022 can also be attributed to the review flexibilities afforded to states
during the COVID-19 public health emergency.
■ Improper Determinations: Represents situations where the beneficiary was inappropriately claimed under Title XXI (CHIP)
rather than Title XIX (Medicaid), mostly related to incorrect state calculations based on beneficiary income, the presence of
third party insurance, household composition, or tax filer status. Improper determinations accounted for 14.68 percent or
$0.63 billion of total errors cited in CHIP FFS, CHIP managed care and CHIP eligibility in FY 2022.
CMS works closely with states to develop state-specific corrective action plans to reduce improper payments. All states are responsible for
implementing, monitoring, and evaluating the effectiveness of their corrective action plans, with assistance and oversight from CMS.
Additional information on the Medicare FFS, Medicare Part C, Medicare Part D, Medicaid, and CHIP improper payments can be found in the
HHS FY 2022 AFR and CMS websites.
The Federally-facilitated Healthcare Exchange improper payment estimate for FY 2022, for measurement of calendar year 2020, is
0.62 percent or $255.76 million. The improper payment estimate due to missing or insufficient documentation is 0.04 percent or
$16.82 million, representing 6.58 percent of total improper payments. The estimated percentage of APTC dollars paid correctly was
99.38 percent. This means the Federally-facilitated Healthcare Exchange paid an estimated $41.00 billion correctly in FY 2022.
The primary cause of improper payments was manual errors associated with determining consumer eligibility for APTC payments,
representing 94.30 percent of overpayments, or $222.63 million and 100 percent of underpayments, or $19.69 million. Most
health insurance applications have consumer eligibility verified using automated processes. Automated processes refer to
those functions which are executed using computer programming, and do not involve manual intervention. Certain eligibility
verifications consist of electronically comparing information provided by a consumer to that of third-party databases and
determining if any inconsistencies exist that may impact a consumer’s eligibility. For certain applications, manual eligibility
verifications are necessary because of the circumstances of a consumer’s application (for example, an application submitted past
the open enrollment period due to certain qualifying life events), or because the automated verification process identified a need
for additional information to be provided by the consumer to verify their eligibility. Manual verifications involve complex rules
and a large variety of documentation types and formats, and therefore have a heightened risk of error.
The improper payment rate and amounts estimated herein do not reflect APTC payments made by State-based Exchanges. CMS
continues to develop the improper payment measurement methodology for the State-based Exchanges.
1 For taxpayers claiming Net PTC which reside in states which use the Federally-facilitated Exchange. Please also see the Fiscal Year 2022 U.S. Department of
Treasury’s Agency Financial Report for more information.
GLOSSARY
A
Accelerated and Advance Payments (AAP) Program: A Medicare loan program that allows the Centers for Medicare &
Medicaid Services (CMS) to make accelerated payments to Part A providers, and advance payments to Part B suppliers,
when there is a disruption in claims submission and/or claims processing. CMS can also offer these payments in
circumstances such as national emergencies or natural disasters in order to accelerate cash flow to the affected healthcare
providers and suppliers.
Accountable Care Organization (ACO): A group of providers and suppliers of services (e.g., hospitals, physicians, and
others involved in patient care) who work together to coordinate care for the patients they serve.
Accrual Accounting: A system of accounting in which revenues are recorded when earned and expenses are recorded
when goods are received or services are performed, even though the actual receipt of revenues and payment for goods or
services may occur, in whole or in part, at a different time.
Administrative Costs: General term that refers to Medicare and Medicaid administrative costs, as well as CMS
administrative costs. Medicare administrative costs are composed of the Medicare-related outlays and non-CMS
administrative outlays. Medicaid administrative costs refer to the federal share of the states’ expenditures for administration
of the Medicaid program. CMS administrative costs are the costs of operating CMS (e.g., salaries, expenses, facilities,
equipment, rent and utilities). These costs are accounted for in the Program Management account.
Advanced Alternative Payment Model (Advanced APM): An APM that meets certain standards for risk-bearing, use of
health information technology, and quality.
Alternative payment model (APM): A program or model (except for a healthcare innovation award model) implemented
by the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation at CMS; a demonstration under the Health Care Quality Demonstration
Program; an ACO model participating in the Medicare shared savings program; or a Medicare demonstration required by law.
Advance Premium Tax Credit (APTC): Payment amounts calculated by the Exchange and paid to an eligible consumer’s
insurance company on the consumer’s behalf to lower the consumer’s out-of-pocket cost for health insurance premiums.
The amount the consumer is eligible for is based on the cost of the second lowest silver plan available through the
applicable Exchange and the consumer’s estimated annual household income compared to the Federal poverty line.
Consumers that receive the benefit of APTC payments must file a tax return to reconcile the amount of APTC payments with
the amount of the actual premium tax credit they are eligible.
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA): An economic stimulus package enacted by the 111th U.S.
Congress in February 2009. This act of Congress was based largely on proposals made by the President and was intended
to stimulate the U.S. economy in the wake of the economic downturn. The act includes federal tax cuts, expansion
of unemployment benefits and other social welfare provisions, and domestic spending in education, healthcare, and
infrastructure, including the energy sector.
American Rescue Plan Act of 2021: An emergency legislative package to provide relief and additional resources for
individuals and businesses affected by COVID-19 and to spur a strong economic recovery. The act also includes funding for
state, local, and tribal governments as well as education and COVID-19-related testing, vaccination support, and research.
B
Balanced Budget Act of 1997 (BBA): Major provisions of the BBA provided for the Children’s Health Insurance Program,
Medicare + Choice (currently known as the Medicare Advantage program), and expansion of preventive benefits.
Benefit Payments: Expenses accrued or funds outlaid for services delivered to beneficiaries.
C
Chief Financial Officers Act of 1990 (CFO Act): Designated a Chief Financial Officer in each executive department and
each major executive agency in the federal government. It provides for production of complete, reliable, timely, and
consistent financial information for use by the executive branch of the government and the Congress in the financing,
management, and evaluation of federal programs.
Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) (also known as Title XXI): CHIP (previously known as the State Children’s
Health Insurance Program, or SCHIP) was originally created in 1997 as Title XXI of the Social Security Act. CHIP is a state and
federal partnership that targets uninsured children and pregnant women in families with incomes too high to qualify for
Medicaid, but often too low to afford private coverage.
Children’s Health Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2009 (CHIPRA): CHIPRA extended and expanded CHIP,
which was enacted as part of the BBA.
Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988 (CLIA): Requires any laboratory that performs testing on
specimens derived from humans to meet the requirements established by the Department of Health and Human Services
and to have an applicable certificate in effect.
Consumer Operated and Oriented Plan Program (CO-OP): The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act calls for the
establishment of the CO-OP Program, which fosters the creation of qualified nonprofit health insurance issuers to offer
competitive health plans in the individual and small group markets.
Cost-Sharing Reduction (CSR) Payment: Payments to health insurance issuers on the Exchange on behalf of eligible
insured individuals that lower the amount consumers pay for deductibles, copayments, and coinsurance. Eligibility is
limited to those in silver plans receiving APTCs and is based on the amount of household income for the insured compared
to the poverty line. These payments to issuers ceased in Fiscal Year 2018 in light of a legal opinion from the Attorney
General of the U.S. that a valid appropriation does not exist for CSR payments. However, issuers are still required by law to
reduce cost-sharing for eligible enrollees.
D
Deficit Reduction Act of 2005: The Deficit Reduction Act restrains federal spending for entitlement programs (i.e.,
Medicare and Medicaid) while ensuring that Americans who rely on these programs continue to get needed care.
Provisions of the act require wealthier seniors to pay higher premiums for Medicare coverage; a restraint on Medicaid
spending by reducing federal overpayment for prescription drugs so that taxpayers do not pay inflated markups; and
increased benefits to students and to those with the greatest need.
Demonstrations: Projects that allow CMS to test various or specific attributes such as payment methodologies, preventive
care, and social care, and to determine if such projects/pilots should be continued or expanded to meet the healthcare
needs of the nation. Demonstrations are used to evaluate the effects and impact of various healthcare initiatives and the
cost implications to the public.
Direct and Indirect Remuneration (DIR): Payments primarily consisting of drug manufacturer rebates and pharmacy
rebates that Part D plans negotiate.
Disproportionate Share Hospital (DSH): A hospital with a disproportionately large share of low-income patients. Under
Medicaid, states augment payment to these hospitals. Medicare inpatient hospital payments are also adjusted for this
added burden.
Durable Medical Equipment (DME): Purchased or rented items such as ventilators, hospital beds, and wheelchairs used in the
patient’s home, as well as blood glucose monitors for individuals with diabetes. DME is equipment which: (1) can withstand repeated
use; (2) has an expected life of at least 3 years if classified as DME after January 1, 2012; (3) is primarily and customarily
used to serve a medical purpose; (4) generally is not useful to a person in the absence of an illness or injury; and (5) is
appropriate for use in the home.
E
End Stage Renal Disease (ESRD): Permanent kidney failure requiring dialysis or a transplant.
Expenditure: Budgeted funds that are actually spent. When used in the discussion of the Medicaid program, expenditure
refers to funds actually spent as reported by the states.
Expense: An outlay or an accrued liability for services incurred in the current period.
F
Federal Financial Management Improvement Act of 1996 (FFMIA): Requires agencies to have financial management
systems that substantially comply with federal management systems requirements, standards promulgated by the Federal
Accounting Standards Advisory Board (FASAB), and the U.S. Standard General Ledger (USSGL) at the transaction level.
Federal General Revenues: Federal tax revenues (principally individual and business income taxes) not identified for a
particular use.
Federal Insurance Contribution Act (FICA) Payroll Tax: Medicare’s share of payroll taxes used to fund the Hospital
Insurance (HI) trust fund. Employers and employees each contribute 1.45 percent of taxable wages, with no compensation
limits, to the HI trust fund.
Federal Managers’ Financial Integrity Act of 1982 (FMFIA): Requires agencies to establish internal control and financial
systems that provide reasonable assurance of achieving control objectives, including the effectiveness and efficiency of
operations; compliance with laws and regulations; and reliability of financial reporting. FMFIA requires agency heads to
conduct an annual evaluation and report on the adequacy of internal control systems.
Fee-for-Service: A system of healthcare payment in which a provider is paid separately for each particular service rendered.
G
Government Performance and Results Act Modernization Act of 2010 (GPRA Modernization Act): Amends the
Government Performance and Results Act of 1993 to require each executive agency to make its strategic plan available on
its public website and to Office of Management and Budget (OMB) on the first Monday in February of any year following
that in which the term of the President commences, and to notify the President and Congress that the strategic plan is
available.
Government Management Reform Act of 1994: Requires the auditing of executive agencies’ annual financial statements
prior to submission to OMB.
H
Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health Act (HITECH): ARRA includes the HITECH Act, which
established programs under Medicare and Medicaid to incentivize the meaningful use of certified electronic health record
technology among eligible professionals, hospitals, and critical access hospitals.
Health Insurance Marketplaces (Marketplaces): A mechanism for facilitating the purchase of Qualified Health Plans
and evaluating eligibility for APTCs and CSRs. States can establish their own Marketplace or the Federal government can
operate a Marketplace on their behalf.
Healthcare Fraud Prevention Partnership (HFPP): Voluntary public-private partnership between the federal government,
state agencies, law enforcement, private health insurance plans, and healthcare anti-fraud associations.
Home and Community Based Services (HCBS): Provide opportunities for Medicaid-eligible older adults and people
with disabilities to receive long term services and support in their own home or community rather than institutions
or other isolated settings. These programs serve a variety of targeted populations, such as people with intellectual or
developmental disabilities, physical disabilities, and/or mental illnesses.
Hospital Insurance (HI) (or Part A): The part of Medicare that pays hospital and other institutional provider benefit claims.
Also referred to as Part A.
I
Information Technology (IT): Any equipment or interconnected system or subsystem of equipment that is used in
the automatic acquisition, storage, manipulation, management, movement, control, display, switching, interchange,
transmission, or reception of data or information by the executive agency.
Internal Control: Process effected by an entity’s oversight body, management, and other personnel that provides
reasonable assurance that the objectives of an entity will be achieved. Management’s tools, such as the organization’s
policies and procedures, that help program and financial managers achieve results and safeguard the integrity of their
programs. Such controls include program, operational, and administrative areas, as well as accounting and financial
management.
M
Material Weakness: A deficiency, or combination of deficiencies, in internal control, such that there is a reasonable
possibility that a material misstatement of the entity’s financial statements will not be prevented or detected and corrected
on a timely basis.
Medicaid: A joint federal and state program that helps with healthcare costs for people with limited income and resources.
Medicare: The federal health insurance program for people who are 65 or older, certain younger people with disabilities,
and people with ESRD.
Medicare Access and CHIP Reauthorization Act of 2015 (MACRA): Legislation passed to strengthen Medicare, extend
CHIP, and make numerous other improvements to the healthcare system.
Medicare Administrative Contractor (MAC): A private entity that CMS contracts with under section 1874A of the Social
Security Act, as added by the Medicare Prescription Drug Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003 (MMA). The Part A
and Part B MACs handle Medicare Part A and Medicare Part B claims processing and related services under the MMA, and
DME MACs handle Medicare claims for DME.
Medicare Advantage (MA) Program (Part C): This program reforms and expands the availability of private health options
that were previously offered to Medicare beneficiaries by allowing for the establishment of new regional preferred provider
organizations plans as well as a new process for determining beneficiary premiums and benefits. Title II of MMA modified
and renamed the existing Medicare + Choice program established under Title XVIII of the Social Security Act to the MA
program.
Medicare Integrity Program (MIP): A program established by HIPAA to promote the integrity of the Medicare program, as
specified in Section 1893 of the Social Security Act.
Medical Loss Ratio: Requires health insurance companies to spend 80 to 85 percent of premium dollars on medical care
and healthcare quality improvement, rather than on administrative costs. When they do not, health insurance companies
are required to provide a rebate to their customers.
Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act of 2003 (MMA): Legislation that established a
new Medicare program (Medicare Part D) to provide a prescription drug benefit. Additionally, MMA sets forth numerous
changes to existing programs, including a revised managed care program, certain payment reforms, rural healthcare
improvements, and other changes involving administrative improvements, regulatory reduction, administrative appeals,
and contracting reform.
Medicare Prescription Drug Program (Part D): Also known as Medicare Part D. An optional prescription drug benefit
created by the MMA for individuals with Medicare who are entitled to benefits under Part A or enrolled in Part B. Eligible
individuals can enroll in either a stand-alone prescription drug plan to supplement their traditional Medicare coverage,
or in an MA prescription drug plan, which integrates basic medical coverage with added prescription drug coverage.
Individuals who qualify for both Medicare and Medicaid (full-benefit dual-eligible) are automatically enrolled in the Part D
program; assistance with premiums and cost sharing is available to full-benefit dual-eligible and other qualified low-income
individuals.
Medicare Secondary Payer (MSP): A statutory requirement that private insurers who provide general health insurance coverage to
Medicare beneficiaries must pay beneficiary claims as primary payers.
Medicare Trust Funds: Treasury accounts established by the Social Security Act for the receipt of revenues, maintenance of
reserves, and disbursement of payments for Medicare.
Mental Health Parity and Addiction Equity Act of 2008: This legislation requires insurance coverage for mental health
conditions, including substance use disorders, to be no more restrictive than insurance coverage for other medical
conditions
N
2019 Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19): A respiratory disease caused by SARS-CoV-2, a coronavirus discovered in
2019, in Wuhan, China.
No Surprise Act: Protects people covered under group and individual health plans from receiving surprise medical
bills when they receive most emergency services, non-emergency services from out-of-network providers at in-network
facilities, and services from out-of-network air ambulance service providers.
O
Obligation: Legal requirement to pay funds.
OMB Circular A-123, Management’s Responsibility for Enterprise Risk Management and Internal Control (OMB
Circular A-123): Provides guidance to federal managers on improving the accountability and effectiveness of federal
programs and operations by establishing, assessing, correcting, and reporting on management’s controls. The Circular is
issued under the authority of the FMFIA.
Outlay: Budgeted funds actually spent. When used in the discussion of the Medicaid program, outlays refer to amounts
advanced to the states for Medicaid benefits.
P
Part A: The part of Medicare that pays hospital and other institutional provider benefit claims, also referred to as Medicare
Hospital Insurance or HI.
Part B: The part of Medicare that pays physician and supplier claims, also referred to as Medicare Supplementary Medical
Insurance or SMI.
Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) (P.L. 111-148): A federal statute enacted in 2010 to drive health
insurance reforms. The law requires insurers to accept all legal applicants, to cover a specific list of benefits, and to charge
the same rates regardless of pre-existing conditions.
Payment Integrity Information Act of 2019 (PIIA): A law that requires government agencies to identify, report, and
reduce improper payments in the government’s programs and activities. The implementation guidance in Appendix C of
OMB Circular A-123 requires executive branch agency heads to review their programs and activities annually and identify
those that may be susceptible to significant improper payments.
Payment Safeguards: Activities to prevent and recover inappropriate Medicare benefit payments, including MSP, medical
review/utilization review provider audits, and fraud and abuse detection.
Public Health Emergency (PHE): An emergency need for healthcare [medical] services to respond to a disaster, significant
outbreak of an infectious disease, bioterrorist attack, or other significant or catastrophic event.
Program Integrity (PI): Encompasses the operations and oversight necessary to ensure that accurate payments are made
to legitimate providers for appropriate and reasonable services for eligible beneficiaries of the Medicare, Medicaid, CHIP,
and PPACA programs. PI activities target the range of causes of improper payments, errors, fraud, waste, and abuse.
Program Management: The CMS operational account which supplies CMS with the resources to administer Medicare,
the federal portion of Medicaid, and other CMS responsibilities. The components of Program Management are program
operations, survey and certification, research, and federal administrative costs.
Provider: A healthcare professional or organization that provides medical services.
Q
Qualified Health Plans (QHPs): Certified health insurance plans that meet minimum standards for health benefit coverage,
as required by the PPACA.
Quality Improvement Organizations (QIOs): Formerly known as Peer Review Organizations (PROs), QIOs monitor the
quality of care provided to Medicare beneficiaries to ensure that healthcare services are medically necessary, appropriate,
provided in a proper setting, and are of acceptable quality.
Quality Payment Program (QPP): Established by MACRA, which repeals the sustainable growth rate formula and
streamlines multiple quality reporting programs into a new Merit-based Incentive Payment System. Under the QPP,
incentive payments are provided to clinicians for their participation in Advanced Alternative Payment Models or the Merit-
based Incentive Payment System. Clinicians can choose how they want to participate based on their practice size, specialty,
location, or patient population.
R
Recipient: An individual covered by the Medicaid program. Also referred to as a beneficiary.
Retiree Drug Subsidy (RDS) Program: The RDS is one of several options available under Medicare that is designed to
encourage employers and unions to continue to provide high-quality prescription drug coverage to their retirees.
Revenue: An inflow of resources that the government earns, demands, or receives by donation. Resources arise when the
government entity provides goods and services, or from the government’s power to demand payments from the public
(e.g., taxes, duties, fines, and penalties).
Risk Adjustment (private health insurance market): The risk adjustment program is designed to protect issuers that
attract a high-risk population, such as those with chronic conditions. Under this program, money is transferred from
issuers with lower-risk enrollees to issuers with higher-risk enrollees. This is a state-based program that applies to non-
grandfathered plans in the individual and small group markets, inside and outside of Exchanges.
S
Self-Employment Contribution Act (SECA) Payroll Tax: A tax on self-employed individuals of 2.9% of taxable net income,
with no limitation. Medicare’s share of SECA is used to fund the HI Trust Fund.
Significant Deficiency: A deficiency, or a combination of deficiencies, in internal control that is less severe than a material
weakness, yet important enough to merit attention by those charged with governance.
Statement on Standards for Attestation Engagements 18 (SSAE 18): For the purposes of CMS, a report on the internal
controls of a servicing organization issued by an independent public accountant in accordance with standards promulgated
by the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA). The AICPA SSAE 18 defines the professional standards to
assess the internal controls at a service organization.
Substance Use-Disorder Prevention that Promotes Opioid Recovery and Treatment (SUPPORT) for Patients and
Communities Act: Legislation that includes Medicaid, Medicare, and public health reforms to combat the opioid crisis by
advancing treatment and recovery initiatives, improving prevention, protecting communities, and bolstering efforts to
combat illicit synthetic drugs.
Supplementary Medical Insurance (SMI) (Part B): The part of Medicare that pays physician services, outpatient hospital
services, other related medical and health services for voluntarily insured aged and disabled individuals, as well as private
plans to provide prescription drug coverage. The prescription drug benefit is funded through the SMI Trust Fund.
T
Transitional Reinsurance Program: The transitional reinsurance program stabilized premiums in the individual market
inside and outside of the Marketplaces.
21st Century Cures Act (Cures Act): Legislation which promotes and funds the acceleration of research into preventing
and curing serious illnesses, accelerates drug and medical device development, attempts to address the opioid abuse
crisis, and tries to improve mental health service delivery. The act includes several provisions that push for greater
interoperability, adoption of electronic health records and support for human services programs.
120 CMS Financial Report 2022
G LO S S A R Y
FINANCIAL REPORT
Agbeko O Kumordzie, CPA
410-786-2100
cmsfinancialreport@cms.hhs.gov
PERFORMANCE MANAGEMENT
Veronica Jones
410-786-0124
Veronica.Jones@cms.hhs.gov
CMS welcomes comments and suggestions on both the content and presentation of this report.
Please send them to Agbeko O Kumordzie by email at cmsfinancialreport@cms.hhs.gov.
cms.gov // medicare.gov