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A R T I C LE I N FO A B S T R A C T
Keywords: This review gives a worldwide overview on Power-to-Gas projects producing hydrogen or renewable substitute
Power-to-Gas natural gas focusing projects in central Europe. It deepens and completes the content of previous reviews by
Cost-development including hitherto unreviewed projects and by combining project names with details such as plant location. It is
Electrolysis based on data from 153 completed, recent and planned projects since 1988 which were evaluated with regards to
Biological CO2-Methanation
plant allocation, installed power development, plant size, shares and amounts of hydrogen or substitute natural
Chemical CO2-Methanation
Project overview
gas producing examinations and product utilization phases. Cost development for electrolysis and carbon di-
Sector coupling oxide methanation was analyzed and a projection until 2030 is given with an outlook to 2050.
The results show substantial cost reductions for electrolysis as well as for methanation during the recent years
and a further price decline to less than 500 euro per kilowatt electric power input for both technologies until
2050 is estimated if cost projection follows the current trend. Most of the projects examined are located in
Germany, Denmark, the United States of America and Canada. Following an exponential global trend to increase
installed power, today's Power-to-Gas applications are operated at about 39 megawatt. Hydrogen and substitute
natural gas were investigated on equal terms concerning the number of projects.
Declarations of interest greenhouse gas emissions of −40% until 2020, -55% by 2030 and -80
to −95% in the long run. It takes into account international CO2-trade,
None. hydrogen infrastructure implementation, intersectoral planning of in-
frastructure and opening export markets for PtG technology. Similar
1. Introduction roadmaps could be developed for other countries as well.
Despite its currently high costs and losses during conversion the
Power-to-Gas (PtG) as a sector coupling and energy storing tech- technology is considered worthwhile because it is the most cost-effi-
nology has been discussed intensively in recent years with view to in- cient long-term storage option for power, assuming that gas power
tegrated future energy systems architecture [1–4], with technological plants or combined heat and power plants exist to reconvert the re-
focus [5,6], with regard to social acceptance [7], marketing [8,9] and newable gas [11]. It also supports intersectoral decarbonization and the
political discussions [9,10]. Various pilot and demonstration projects substitution of fossil energy carriers. Literature shows that with re-
which are described in this paper result from a rising interest in the newable power generation on the increase, long-term storage with PtG
technology. PtG is an option for converting energy from electricity into will become necessary and cost-efficient [4,12].
chemical bond energy, stored in a combustible gas. Using electric There is currently a variety of projects worldwide addressing dif-
power, an electrolyzer splits water into its two components: oxygen on ferent scopes in diverse fields of application. This work aims to give a
the one hand and hydrogen as combustible gas on the other. Hydrogen brief global overview on PtG projects producing either hydrogen or
can be used directly or fed into a downstream methanation process. The methane in the context of energy transition from fossil to renewable
choice of process pathway depends on the requirements of the em- sources. It depicts the situation in early 2019 as well as its temporal
bedding energy system such as hydrogen-tolerance of gas networks, gas development in the past and gives an outlook on costs and trends up the
buffering, mobility or heat applications. year 2050. It updates, deepens and completes previous reviews by Wulf
Golling et al. [10] presented a roadmap for the implementation of et al. [13,14], Bailera et al. [15], Blanco and Faaij [16], Buttler and
PtG technology in Germany showing a way to short-term reductions in Spliethoff [17], Lecker et al. [18] or Götz et al. [5] including hitherto
∗
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: martin.thema@oth-regensburg.de (M. Thema).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2019.06.030
Received 10 January 2019; Received in revised form 24 May 2019; Accepted 12 June 2019
Available online 20 June 2019
1364-0321/ © 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/BY/4.0/).
M. Thema, et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 112 (2019) 775–787
unreviewed projects and by combining project names with details such entries of one year. Then, trends for CAPEX in Euro per kilowatt
as plant location. (€/kWel) for alkaline and membrane electrolysis (Fig. 1) as well as for
biological and chemical CO2-methanation (Fig. 2) were calculated via
exponential approximation over average annual values.
2. Methods
2.1. Electrolysis and CO2-methanation cost development - status quo and 2.2. Power-to-Gas project database
projection
For the PtG project overview, a database of 153 projects in 22
Installation costs for different electrolyzer and methanation tech- countries was analyzed. It contains information on product use, grid
nologies were analyzed. In each case, they include capital expenditure injection, operating status, year of project start, commissioning and
(CAPEX) for the electrolyzer or the methanation plant but not addi- decommissioning, power input of the electrolyzer, hydrogen produc-
tional system integration equipment like downstream compression, grid tion, methanation technology, methane production and source of
connection, installation or maintenance costs after a PtG plant was carbon dioxide. Project-information about location, products, gas grid
completed. Plant size of methanation is always referred to the electrical injection electrical power and methanation type is processed in geos-
power input of an electrolyzer necessary to feed the methanation plant. patial data as supplementary file to this work. Projects then were
This is valid for cost indication as well as for power description in the evaluated with regard to their target product gases. Further analysis
project database and avoids the pitfall of erroneous comparison of focused on the choice of electrolyzer and methanation technology and
power related to electrical or chemical energy. Thus, costs for metha- on the choice of reactor technologies for methanation. Carbon sources
nation are referred to electrical power of the electrolyzer but not con- were quantified for projects, in which methanation was implemented.
taining the electrolyzer costs itself. This approach enables the com- The feed-in of either hydrogen or methane into the gas network was
parison of PtG plants producing either hydrogen or methane from a quantified. Installed capacity starting from 1993 was quantified and a
power sector point of view. It is reasonable, since at least in large scale projection is given. For the countries with highest PtG activity, the
applications, methanation plants are assumed to mostly operate in development of installed electrical power and of the number of projects
combination with an electrolyzer. is given covering the years from 2003 to 2020 differentiating between
The historical data for calculation of capital expenditures was hydrogen and methane projects. Mean plant size is examined con-
generated from literature with regard to alkaline electrolysis cerning the annual performance from 1993 until 2019 on the one hand
[10,17,19–22], membrane (PEM) electrolysis [10,17,20,22], high- and the development per country on the other. Product gas utilization
temperature electrolysis [10,17] and methanation parameters [10]. phases were appraised and total gas production as well as mean effi-
Predictions were given by Bertuccioli et al. [20], Buttler and Spliethoff ciency in active projects were quantified. An excerpt of the data is listed
[17] and Golling et al. [10]. An expert survey on cost predictions for in Table 1. A classification into active and inactive projects with and
electrolysis was executed. It involved ten participants covering power without biological or chemical-catalytical methanation was taken.
ranges from 20 kWel to 50 MWel without including high-temperature Values on plant capacity refer to the electrical power of the elec-
electrolysis. Manufacturer specifications and projections were given trolyzer for methanation as well as for hydrogen projects. Not always,
e.g. by H-tec, Hydrogenics and Siemens. data sources give information, if only stack, or system power are spe-
Investigated annual costs were arithmetically averaged over all data cified (Table 1). To determine total gas output of all projects and
Fig. 1. Development and projection of capital expenditures for alkaline electrolysis (left side, data: [10,17,19–22]) and PEM-electrolysis (right side, data:
[10,17,20,22]). X-values in exponential approximation formulae refer to the years as numeric value in axis of abscissas. Values beyond the year 2018 are projected
data.
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M. Thema, et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 112 (2019) 775–787
Fig. 2. CAPEX status quo and projection until 2050 for biological and chemical methanation in higher resolution focusing on methanation (right side, data: [10]).
Mean values and exponential approximations of price development for electrolysis and methanation from 2000 to 2050 (left side, data: [10,17,19–22]). X-values in
exponential approximation formulae refer to the years as numeric value in axis of abscissas. Values beyond the year 2018 are projected data. Connected electrical
load for methanation refers to the electrolyzer power feeding the methanation plant with hydrogen.
resulting efficiencies, capacity is calculated by the lower heating value to demonstrate that today's spread in cost will lessen in the future which
of the end-product gas (Table 2). means that learning curves for membrane electrolyzers are expected to
be steeper than for alkaline.
Recent expert studies on future cost and performance parameters of
3. Results and discussion
water electrolysis by Glenk and Reichelstein [194] or Schmidt et al.
[195] support the values and figures processed here. They move within
3.1. Cost development for electrolysis and methanation between the years
the same range, although scattering upwards is stronger especially for
2000 and 2050
high-temperature electrolysis. Main reasons for cost decline may be
increasing automation and production capacities plus further techno-
Investment costs of all five technologies examined are expected to
logical development for Power-to-Gas application electrolyzers [11].
decrease further: According to Buttler et al. [17], Smolinka et al. [19],
Regarding CAPEX for CO2-methanation in Power-to-Gas applica-
Bertuccioli et al. [20], Jensen et al. [21], Dahl et al. [22], Golling et al.
tion, the data situation is uncertain. For chemical methanation Golling
[10] and our own survey data, average costs for alkaline electrolyzers
et al. [10] give mean values at about 800 €/kWel related to electrical
will fall from about 1300 €/kWel in 2017 to below 500 €/kWel in 2050
power input feeding the methanation plant in 2017 and 130 to 400
with an exponential fit of the data (Fig. 1). The given exponential cost
€/kWel in 2050 which is a cost reduction of about 67%. For biological
development approximation scatters with a coefficient of determination
methanation, a cost reduction of 75% from about 1200 €/kWel related
of R2 = 0.74. One cause of the observed scatter and with-it uncertainty
to electrical power input of the electrolyzer in 2017 to 300 €/kWel
in cost projections, can be that data sources not always report clearly on
results from the data illustrated in Fig. 2 (right side) as exponential
costs referring to stack rather than system costs. Reliability of predic-
approximation of annual mean values. Until 2030, the cost of biological
tions until 2050 has to be questioned because unexpected changes can
methanation is predicted to fall to about 700 €/kWel and that of che-
occur e.g. shifts in preference for feedstock or climate policy decisions
mical CO2-methanation to about 500 €/kWel. Cost reductions in this
which can interrupt energy system setups within decades. The price
field may be mainly due to economy of scale, with technological de-
development shown in this work is based on current market develop-
velopment playing a part as well. Membrane-less electrolysis is a po-
ment, predicting market launch of Power-to-Gas technology for the
tentially disruptive technology as developed e.g. by AquaHydrex. Since
upcoming years. Predictions are always affected by uncertainties due to
it is not mature for application, it shall not be examined here further.
rapidly changing energy demand, policy development and supporting
Due to privacy policies, the data situation regarding cost develop-
funds.
ment for electrolyzers from industrial point of view is quite poor. There
With even higher spread (R2 = 0.60), data from the poll as well as
are, however, references which make it possible to quantify guide va-
from Buttler et al. [17], Bertuccioli et al. [20], Dahl et al. [22] and
lues at relatively high spread of basic data. Due to relatively low
Golling et al. [10] shows, that specific costs for proton exchange
amounts of data points and high spread of data ( ± 66% from mean
membrane electrolyzers (PEM) are expected to fall from about 1900
value for biological and ± 50% for chemical methanation), it is as-
€/kWel in 2017 to 500 €/kWel in 2050. The projection of the data by
sumed here, that exponential approximation over annual mean values
exponential fitting, as for alkaline electrolysis leads to values below 500
is reasonable. It also does not disregard outliers which would be the
€/kWel This will result in cost reduction for both technologies of about
case using medians.
75% in the given time span. Fig. 1 illustrates data points from literature
Setting costs of considered electrolysis and methanation technolo-
and from the survey as well as their annual mean value. For better
gies in relation to each other, it becomes evident, that projections point
transparency exponential approximation of the annual mean values of
towards an alignment of costs in future. It has to be stated here, that
the two most important electrolysis technologies is given. High-tem-
cost for methanation exclude electrolysis costs even if they refer to the
perature electrolysis will most likely reach a cost reduction of 85% from
connected electrical power of an electrolyzer necessary as described
about 3570 €/kWel in 2017 to 535 €/kWel in 2050. Until 2030, costs are
above. All costs will then range between about 300 and 500 €/kWel.
expected to fall to about 600 €/kWel for PEM and 700 €/kWel for al-
This means, that the hydrogen production unit and the methanation
kaline electrolysis. The prediction from the exponential approximation,
unit will in future probably be responsible for costs at roughly equal
with above described high uncertainties, arrives at almost equal costs in
shares if cost basis for both technologies is the same as described in the
the long run as shown in Figs. 1 and 2. In Fig. 2 (left side), annual
methodology. To reach this situation, electrolyzers which today make
approximations of all relevant electrolysis technologies are contrasted
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Table 1
Power-to-Gas project list alphabetically arranged by country code and city of location with main literature and references. The column ‘project start’ marks the year of
commissioning. If this is not known, the year of project or planning phase start is used. ‘Power’ marks the connected electrical load of the electrolyzer. ‘n.r.’ stands for
‘no record’ and marks positions without any available figures. Non-relevant entries are marked with ‘-‘. Country codes are used as AR: Argentinia, AT: Austria, CA:
Canada, CK: Cook Islands, CH: Switzerland, DK: Denmark, DE: Germany, ES: Spain, FIN: Finland, FR: France, GR: Greece, GB: Great Britain, GL: Greenland, ISL:
Iceland, JPN: Japan, NO: Norway, NL: Netherlands, NL-DE: Dutch-German collaboration, SE: Sweden, TR: Turkey, US: United States of America. Power indications
for methanation projects refer to the connected power of an electrolyzer feeding the methanation unit with hydrogen.
Project name Location Product Grid Proj. start Power Metha- Literature,
inject. nation Reference
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M. Thema, et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 112 (2019) 775–787
Table 1 (continued)
Project name Location Product Grid Proj. start Power Metha- Literature,
inject. nation Reference
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M. Thema, et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 112 (2019) 775–787
Table 1 (continued)
Project name Location Product Grid Proj. start Power Metha- Literature,
inject. nation Reference
Feed-in projects 21 36
No. of active projects in 2019 56 38 3.2.2. Methanation reactor types, carbon sources and gas grid feed-in
Installed production capacity 6205 m³/h 590 m³/h Most groups working with chemical methanation do not give de-
18.6 MWch,LHV-H2 6 MWch,LHV-CH4
tailed information on reactor type. As characterization, fixed-bed and
Installed electrical load 24.1 MWel 14.5 MWel
Efficiency electricity-to-gas 77% 41%
Sabatier are stated most often, followed by bubbling fluidized bed,
fluidized bed, multi-channel, honeycomb and packed bed. For biolo-
gical methanation more detailed information is given: Of all the pro-
hydrogen production more expensive than methanation, will decrease jects on biological methanation listed in the database, about 46% ex-
in costs by about 75% (both, alkaline and PEM). For biological me- amined trickle-bed reactors while about 36% investigated on
thanation, which today is supposedly more expensive than chemical continuously stirred tank reactors (CSTR). One test was done in-situ of a
methanation, the same cost reduction is estimated whereas chemical biogas fermenter and another of a sewage gas fermenter.
methanation will get cheaper by 67%, so both will reach costs of about Fifteen current projects use biogas or sewage gas from wastewater
300 €/kWel. treatment plants as their carbon source for CO2-methanation. Projects
above lab or technical center scale mainly use bottled gas (13 projects).
3.2. Power-to-Gas projects: development and projection Other carbon sources investigated are bioethanol/alcoholic fermenta-
tion plants (two projects), syngas from biomass gasifiers, closed circle
For the time span from 1993 to 2050, 153 completed, recent and processes, fossil power plants, capture from biomass combustion and
planned projects in 22 countries were found. They show a variety of direct capture from air. Since not all data concerning carbon sources is
applications from early research and development level up to pilot and accessible for every project, these values should be understood as
industrial scale power conversion plants in diverse fields of application. benchmarks.
Project location and basic data can be retrieved as supplemented Nearly half of the projects (45%) inject their product gases into the
geospatial data. Fig. 3 illustrates analyzed projects on a global scale. gas network. About 35% of them feed in hydrogen, 65% methane.
Amongst all hydrogen-projects feed-in share is clearly lower than
3.2.1. Plant allocation, product gas and electrolyzer technology amongst methanation projects. Here about 60% of the projects feed
About 57% of all projects have or had their focus on hydrogen their gas directly into the gas network. This could be due to the fact that
production, storage and use. The rest is or was investigating, ad- in all countries gas grid feed-in restrictions for hydrogen are higher than
ditionally or solely, into CO2-methanation. Half of the methanation those for (bio-) methane.
projects covered biological methanation issues and the other half dealt
with chemical methanation ones (Fig. 4). Regarding global project al- 3.2.3. Capacity, plant size and project development
location, it is obvious that most of them are located in central Europe Starting from the early 1990s, installed capacity in PtG projects has
and especially in Germany, Denmark and the Netherlands. This was to continuously increased appearing to follow an exponential trend until
be expected as the idea of large scale Power-to-Gas for energy system 2020 (Fig. 6, left side) The projections given in this figure are derived
transition was first published in Germany [2]. Regarding installed ca- from data on facilities planned already today. The data shows a
pacity (electrical power of electrolyzers), Germany holds highest shares breakthrough between 2012 and 2015 when numbers and sizes of ac-
with a total of nearly 40 Megawatt (MWel) followed by Denmark with tive facilities grew intensely. With big plants planned already today for
well over 20 MWel. Planning for the future, the Netherlands will the upcoming decades e.g. in France [140,141], Hungary [159,160] or
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M. Thema, et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 112 (2019) 775–787
Fig. 3. PtG project allocation differentiated according to the target products hydrogen and methane as well as activity/inactivity. Dark green: PtG with biological
CO2-methanation active. Light green: PtG with biological CO2-methanation inactive. Red: PtG with chemical CO2-methanation, active. Orange: PtG with chem. CO2-
methanation, inactive. Dark blue: PtG without methanation, active. Light blue: PtG without methanation, inactive. Yellow: Power-to-X. (For interpretation of the
references to colour in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the Web version of this article.)
the North Sea [99,196], the exponential trend could continue, but produce methane.
blurring for this projection is high, as more projects could follow in Average plant size has been increasing over the years, experiencing
upcoming years as illustrated on right hand side in Fig. 6. This means a kind of disruptive growth from 118 kWel to 390 kWel between the
that presumably, the projections on installed PtG capacity will probably years 2012 and 2015 (Fig. 8) as described above for the number of
substantially increase as new facilities with higher capacity are an- plants. With an average electrical power of about 380 kWel per facility,
nounced (Table 3). methanation projects are about 12% smaller than projects producing
Until early 2019, the main part of PtG power installed, is located in hydrogen (430 kWel per facility). In early 2019, the total average plant
Germany (30.7 MWel) followed by Denmark (2.53 MWel), Canada and size for both product groups is 407 kWel per plant.
the United States of America (both about 0.45 MWel). Other countries Mean plant size projection over all hydrogen- and methanation
as the Netherlands, France or Hungary are already planning to increase projects until 2050 is 0.7 MWel while chemical methanation plants are
their capacity until 2020 and further on. Fig. 7 shows the annual de- the biggest (mean value 1.56 MWel). Due to a high number of smaller
velopment of installed PtG-capacity (electrolysis power in hydrogen projects, mean plant size for hydrogen-projects is 0.45 MWel, whereas
and methanation projects). In early 2019, as many as 95 examined biological methanation plants are in middle range with 0.61 MWel. As
projects are active globally with an electrical power of 38.6 MWel. 58% future projects cannot be reliably reported here, this can only be a
of them or 56 projects with a total capacity of 24.1 MWel, produce benchmark which will presumably get outnumbered in future. Fig. 9
hydrogen. The rest, 38 projects with a total capacity of 14.5 MWel, shows the boxplot of installed electrical power per plant in sum per
Fig. 4. Number of projects (left side) and total of installed electrical power in MWel (right side) of PtG-projects with regard to their products either hydrogen or
methane from chemical or biological methanation. This figure includes active and inactive e.g. completed or planned projects.
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M. Thema, et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 112 (2019) 775–787
Fig. 5. Power-to-Gas project allocation and number of methane- and hydrogen-projects per country (left side). Installed electrolyzer capacity per country divided by
projects with and without methanation. The figure includes active and inactive projects to emphasize total national interest in Power-to-Gas applications over the
years.
country for both, methanation and hydrogen projects in the data set. market application.
The increase in installed power consequently affects the gas output
proportionally (Fig. 11). In early 2019, a production capacity for about
3.2.4. Product gas utilization
6205 m³/h of hydrogen is installed which, with respect to the lower
In 57 out of 143 projects, the product gas is fed in or is planned to be
heating value of hydrogen, is equal to a power of 18.6 MWch, LHV-H2. For
fed into the natural gas grid and reconverted into electricity or heat or
methane it is about 590 m³/h or about 6 MWch, LHV-CH4.
to be used as fuel from there on (Table 1).
Mean efficiency calculated from energy content in product gas re-
Product use was further differentiated into local storage and re-
ferred with respect to the lower heating value and installed electrical
conversion without gas grid feed-in, fuel production, industrial or
loads is listed in Table 2. Hydrogen systems with 77% efficiency, re-
substantial use, oxygen and off-heat utilization and research applica-
ferred to the lower heating value, range near the middle of theoretical
tions (Fig. 10). About 45% of the projects feed in, and 55% store their
efficiency given by Sterner and Stadler [11] at 54–84%. Methanation
products locally. Both kinds of product treatment reconvert the gas
projects appear with less efficiency of 41% compared to theoretical
after buffering. Overall 88% of the projects reconvert their products
values of 49–79%. This could be due to the fact that less than ten
after either feed into the gas grid or local store.
percent of the projects include off-heat usage in their scope (Fig. 10). In
After reconversion, biofuel production is the most common product
addition, it is likely that nominal parameters which this analysis refers
utilization phase with application in 29% (36 projects) of all projects.
to, are seldom reached in real operation. Often, they are given without
Off-heat gets used in only about 10% of the plants. Use of the products
power consumption of balance of plants and, for example, refer to in-
e.g. in industrial processes (4%, 5 projects) and oxygen use (2.4%, 3
stalled electrical power as installed stack power of the electrolyzer. This
projects) only play subordinate roles in application. Only 13 projects
indicates that auxiliary systems like up- and downstream water and gas
are solely research facilities. This shows, that nearly all of them are
treatment, compression or cooling as well as standby power
designed as technical centers or pilot plants for near-to medium term
Fig. 6. Global mid-term trend in total installed electrical power of electrolyzers in methanation and hydrogen projects for the years 1993–2020 (left side) and long-
term trend for the years 1993–2050 (right side). Values beyond the year 2018 are projected data. Methanation projects without electrolyzer are excluded in this
approach.
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Table 3
PtG-Projects not included in this evaluation but in supplementary geospatial data.
Project name Location Product Grid inject. Proj. start Power Metha-nation Literature,
Reference
Fig. 7. Annual development of installed electrical power in PtG-projects split up Fig. 9. Range of electrical power in which PtG plants are installed in the dif-
in detail for the four main stakeholder countries Germany (DE), Denmark (DK), ferent countries. The boxplot shows the median of installed electrical power of a
United States of America (US) and Canada (CA). plant until 2022 combined in hydrogen and methanation projects, upper and
lower quartiles, maximum values and outliers in plant size.
4. Conclusion
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M. Thema, et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 112 (2019) 775–787
Fig. 10. Product gas utilization phases in the different projects. Numbers given show shares of total 143 projects which revealed their data concerning this matter.
Due to overlap in utilization phases, the numbers given here add up to more than 143 projects.
Acknowledgements
Fig. 11. Hydrogen and methane production capacity development between the Supplementary data associated with this article can be found, in the
years 1996 and 2019 in norm-cubic meter per hour and related to the lower online version, at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2019.06.030.
heating value LHV (LHVH2 = 2.995 kWh/m³, LHVCH4 = 9.986 kWh/m³).
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