Praxis Report-Diagnostics-Unraveling-The-Future
Praxis Report-Diagnostics-Unraveling-The-Future
Praxis Report-Diagnostics-Unraveling-The-Future
Report
Diagnostics:
Unraveling the
Future
July 2022
Healthcare team
Anjan Bose Aryaman Tandon
Advisor and Practice Leader – Healthcare Managing Partner & Co-Founder,
Gurugram
Ex-Founder Secretary General,
NATHEALTH Ex-Bain & Co.
Ex-President, Phillips Healthcare & B.Tech. (IIT Delhi)
Consumer Lifestyle, India Subcontinent
Ex-HP, Director, Emerging Markets &
Financing Programs
MDP (Univ. of Michigan), B.Tech. (IIT KGP) Sumit Goel
Managing Partner & Head -
Healthcare and Pharma
Ex-Partner at KPMG, EY
Dr. Rajen Ghadiok MBA (S.P. Jain), B.Tech. (IIT Delhi)
Domain Leader – Healthcare Delivery
Ex-Fortis, Nova Medical Centers,
International Oncology Services
M.D. (Sechenov’s First Moscow Kumar Nirnay
Medical Institute) Manager - Healthcare Practice,
Gurugram
Ex-EY, KPMG
MBA (NMIMS Mumbai),
Prabal Chakraborty B.Tech. (JSSATE Bangalore)
Domain Leader – Medical Devices
& Consumables
Ex-Boston Scientific Company,
J&J Medical India
Bharat Bajpai
Senior Consultant -
MBA (IIM Lucknow) Healthcare Practice,
Mumbai
Ex-PwC, Capgemini
MBA (IE Spain),
B.Tech. (NIT Nagpur)
Executive summary
Section Key takeaways
• Market size: Estimated market size in FY21 was US$ 10B, of which 57% was pathology and 43% radiology; Biochemistry comprised ~20% of
the market, and low-end radiology another ~22%
• Market growth: Indian diagnostics market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 14% to reach US$ 20B by FY26
• Significantly under-penetrated market: Pathology tests per 1000 population in India is 1,111 versus 5,924 in Brazil, 10,000 in Australia, and
Market landscape 20,958 in the USA; Number of CT, MRI tests per 1000 population in India was 36 compared to 53 in Brazil, 144 in the UK, 192 in Australia, and
407 in the USA
• Highly fragmented and urbanized: Standalone centers and hospital-based labs (including government labs) have an 85% share of the market;
urban areas account for 74% of the market
• Reasonable penetration in Tier 2 and 3 cities in terms of number of labs: This indicates market readiness to expand and adopt more
specialized tests and technologies
• GP driven market: ~55% of the tests prescribed in out-patient settings are from General Practitioners and Gynaecologists
1 Changing patient behavior – pricing, convenience, and reliability are the top three driving factors while selecting a diagnostic service provider
• Preference for convenience:
• Home collection over walk-ins - ~75% of the customers prefer home collection over lab walk-ins and are willing to pay 75 -100 for
home sample collection services
• Easy access to reports: Test tracking, report access through email, app, and other ways; Easy to read reports for customers;
Longitudinal analysis of historical reports
Emerging trends in • Neighbourhood labs: Preference remains high for acute and doctor driven tests
diagnostics market • Customers seek reasonable pricing:
• For self-initiated or wellness tests – preference is high for online platforms with competitive discounts
• Preference for reliable service providers: Convenience driving customers towards more reliable branded chains
2 Specialized wellness tests driving growth
• Specialized tests: Comprises 15-22% by volumes and 40-45% by value; Molecular pathology poised to grow at 35-40% year on year
• Wellness tests: Currently comprises 1-3% by volume and 10-15% by revenue; Growth likely to be driven by general wellness and
condition-specific monitoring packages
• In addition, PoC and rapid tests have seen a wide acceptance during COVID and, going forward, are likely to witness wider acceptability with
advancements in technologies
Executive summary
Section Key takeaways
• Key challenges facing the industry are across the regulatory, fragmented market with a low focus on quality, commoditization and increasing
Key challenges competitive intensity, nonaccess to specialized resources, and value-conscious Indian customers
Executive summary
Section Key takeaways
• While the industry is poised for healthy growth at a CAGR of 14% to reach US$ 20B by FY26, diagnostic companies have certain imperatives
laid out for them. These include:
• Growing their core: Omni-channel strategy, accretive value Tier 2, 3, and 4 city expansion, stitch network of partnerships for faster growth,
introducing new products
Future outlook • Expansion through inorganic route and in non-core: Expansion into adjacencies: e.g., Addition of capabilities for teleradiology and
telepathology; integrated health offerings – e.g., wellness services; Data monetization or value add services
• Supply chain and operations: Improving service TAT and reliability, supply chain digitization to enhance supply chain visibility and reliability;
usage of digitalization tools such as AI for process efficiencies
• Customer acquisition, experience, & retention: fine-tuning digital journeys for customers and enhancing loyalty
• Bottom line improvement: With increasing competition and tests becoming more commoditized, there is a need for super-efficient operations
to keep the bottom line healthy
Overview of
diagnostics
market
Healthcare
In the Indian diagnostics market, biochemistry has the largest share of pathology,
while low-end radiology is the largest in radiology
US$
10B
Diagnostics
US$ 2.2B US$ 1.3B US$ 1.0B US$ 1.3B US$ 2.3B US$ 1.9B
(38%) (22%) (18%) (22%) (52%) (48%)
Biochemistry Immunology Haematology Specialized Low-end High-end
Radiology Radiology
Glucose tolerance, Immunoassays e.g. Blood counts, Renal Surgical pathology, CT-scan
Bilirubin, SGPT, SGOT, Vitamin B12, vitamin profiling, Haemoglobin histopathology, X-ray
Applications: Imaging using X-rays and
Serum creatinine, D, hormone levels testing, cholesterol molecular pathology –
cardiovascular, computer processing
Cholesterol, NaPK (e.g. thyroid), cancer testing, etc genomic, RNA and DNA
respiratory, dental,
markets sequencing, bio markets MRI
mammography
Magnetic field and
Ultrasonography computer-generated radio
Imaging technique using waves to create images of
ultrasound organs
Colour Doppler
Uses ultrasound to image
tissue & investigate blood
flow
CAGR
FY16-21 10-11% ~15% 13-14% 16-17% 11-12% ~14%
While closer to UK, number of tests performed per capita in India Even for imaging tests such as CT and MR, there is significant
are far lower headroom for growth when benchmarked with other countries
Diagnostics test under penetration in India CT and MR test under penetration in India
# tests per ‘000 population per year # tests per ‘000 population per year
UK 1,327 UK 144
Notes: Data for US, Australia, and India is of 2019. UK and Brazil is 2018
Sources: OECD Statistics, Praxis report – Outpatient healthcare market in India, Press releases, Secondary research, Praxis analysis; American Clinical Lab Association (www.acla.com)
© Praxis Global Alliance | 09
Healthcare
Standalone centers and hospital-based labs (including government labs) have an 85%
share of the market; urban areas account for 74% share
Urban, Sickness,
74% 90% Regional
chains, 67%
Pathology, Referrals, Standalone
57% OPD, 57%
55% centers,
48%
1% is through
online
channel
Test segment Region Test type IPD vs OPD Source Institution type Chain type
Notes: *Hospital-based labs in Institution type is inclusive of Government labs. Private and Government labs split is estimated at 75:25,
and for market estimation price of tests are assumed at market prices instead of subsidized rates
Sources: CRISIL reports, HDFC Securities report, Praxis analysis
© Praxis Global Alliance | 10
Healthcare
In OPD, general physicians followed by gynecologists account for the largest share of
the diagnostics test prescriptions
General physicians have 55% share of the diagnostics test General physicians have 36% share of the diagnostics test prescription market
prescription market by volume by value
OPD diagnostics test prescription market OPD diagnostics test prescription market
#tests, M US$ B
Total tests: 1,500M Total size: US$ 4,700M ASP
(In US$)
General physicians 841 General physicians 1,707
2
Dentists 221 Gynecology 690 5
Gynecology 132 Diabetoloogy 310 14
Pediatricians 54 Pediatricians 274
Dermatology 5
46
Orthopedics 257
Orthopedics 38 7
Ophthalmology Cardiology 252
26 19
Diabetology 21 Ophthamology 231 8
Psychiatry 17 Dentists 154 0.7
Cardiology 13 Psychiatry 149 9
General medicine 10 Dermatology 147 3
Gastroentology 5
Nephrology 100 25
Nephrology 4
Gastroentology 86 17
Urology 4
Pulmonolgy 3 Pulmonology 47 15
Other 43 Others 327 8
Standalone centers have a 48% share, followed by hospital-based labs at 37%; national
chains have a 5% share, led by Dr. Lal PathLabs
Indian diagnostics market
FY20, US$ B
5 4 1 0.5
It includes 12%
diagnostics at
public health
facilities
Hospital 23%
based*,
100%
Others, 67%
Standalone
centers,
100%
28%
Standalone Hospital
centers based Regional chains National chains
Notes: Revenue for players has been estimated based on their market share in FY20. *Hospital-based labs in Institution type is inclusive of Government labs. Private and Government labs split is
estimated at 75:25, and for market estimation price of tests are assumed at market prices instead of subsidized rates
Sources: Company filings, Annual reports, Tracxn, Press reviews, Analyst reports, Praxis analysis © Praxis Global Alliance | 12
Healthcare
The ecosystem has expanded from only core equipment and reagent providers to
players offering lab automation, third party logistics & tech-centered business models
Diagnostic
Equipment & reagents Lab operations & logistics centers IT & MedTech
LIMS Telemedicine
Diversified players
Standalone centers
Hospital based
National chains
Tier 2 and 3 cities are reasonably penetrated with headroom for growth, indicating
market readiness to expand and adopt more specialized tests and technologies
In Tier 2 and 3 cities, while pathology labs have reasonable Tier 1 and Tier 2 cities have similar penetration of CT scanners
penetration, the offerings are more basic while MRI has higher penetration in Tier 1
841
370
400
14 14
350
13
300
284
254
250
226 9 9
200
6
150
100
96
50
841
CT
0 MRI
Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier 4 & 5 India urban Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3+
average
Labs by tiers 43,700 20,064 19,039 17,097 100,000 CT by tiers 1,803 1,257 2,405 5,466
Labs per city 4,370 608 241 41 185 MRI by tiers 1,602 745 1,379 3,726
Notes: City tier classification criteria: Tier 1 – Population > 40 Lakhs, Tier 2 – Population 15 - 40 Lakhs, Tier 3 – Population 5 - 15 Lakhs, Tier 4&5 – Population < 5 Lakhs
Sources: Just Dial scrape, AERB database, Praxis analysis
© Praxis Global Alliance | 14
Healthcare
COVID-19 shaped the market – emphasizing the need for diagnostics & treatment,
influencing consumer acceptance of PoCT & home collection
Impact of COVID
Trust on home • Home collection revenues (excluding COVID business) grew by 25-30% for most of the national chains in FY21
collection
• Astronomical growth in the number of NABL accredited molecular testing labs from 40 in March 2020 to 1,690 in
November 2021
Proliferation of
molecular testing • The additional capacity will remain in place as the pandemic subsides, which could potentially find multiple
applications for the RT-PCR assay as the dominant method for diagnosing viral infections in India
• Usage of apps (from aggregators as well as diagnostics chains) for booking tests increased multifold and is likely to increase as customers
Adoption of digital would continue to book tests online post COVID
solutions for
improving customer • Several diagnostics chain players have improved their online presence and invested in automating and expanding the customer support
experience team
Usage of tele-diagnostics • Multiple players have implemented technology to allow their technicians and pathologists to read images remotely to drive better
solutions utilization of expert resources
Emerging
trends
Healthcare
• Visibility: Visibility has increased due to delivery E • Payors and financing: OPD health insurance coverage is
still at its nascency
management software (Real-time visibility of patient
samples) Supply chain • Corporate wellness: Corporates are increasingly becoming
benevolent, offering curative as well as wellness services
• Reliability and responsiveness of supply chain: With
automation of the supply chain, reliability has increased, F
and TAT has decreased • Focus on improving customer experience through
Technology digitalized journeys
and digital
• Use of AI systems, especially in image processing across
radiology and pathology
• Robust IT system for fulfillment layer: Collection
scheduling, sample logistics, and tracking
A Customers are increasingly seeking convenience, reliability and going for wellness-
related tests
Customer need
generation Registration Sample collection Processing Reporting Customer service
Collection center
• Prescribed by doc the report
• Self-generation of
tests
• Health check-ups Direct walk-in Report gets built
Seeking convenience Lab recommended Test tracking, report Easy to access and
Behavioural change
- Ease of test booking, by doctors, friends, access through email, responsive customer
home pickup, choice and family app, other ways service
of slot
Increased focus on Easy to read reports
Seeking packages preventive & wellness for customers
and discounts tests
Ease of maintaining
Preference for Corporate medical records
branded service wellness Weightage and level of preference
provider Longitudinal analysis
Low High of historical reports
Notes: Does not include the online supply chain (1mg, etc)
Sources: Primary research, Praxis analysis
© Praxis Global Alliance | 18
Healthcare
Evolving patient behaviour
A For self-initiated tests & regular check-ups, online platforms are preferred; customers
also desire additional value-added services while booking tests online
Online platforms are emerging as customer preference for self- Majority of customers believe following additional value-added
initiated and regular check-ups services can make their online diagnostic test experience better
Preferences of Self-initiated Regular Doctor prescribed Additional value-added services by customers while booking tests
online platforms tests check-ups tests via online platforms
across tests
types
Transparent and systematic slot booking
process
Online platforms
Other private
standalone labs
Home sample collection facility
Hospitals
Booking experience
Emerging preference
Low High
Sources: Customer conversations, Secondary research, Praxis analysis
© Praxis Global Alliance | 19
Healthcare
Evolving patient behaviour
A Price, quicker access to reports & home collection facility are the primary reasons for
the selection of diagnostic service provider
Price competitiveness
Hygiene factors
Emerging preference
Low High
Sources: Customer conversations, Secondary research, Praxis analysis © Praxis Global Alliance | 20
Healthcare
Evolving patient behaviour
A
~75% of the customers prefer home collection over lab walk-ins and are willing to
pay rupee 75 - 100 extra for the same
25%
• Convenient & hassle-free
• Already satisfied with services 75% • No wait time
• Proximity of test center nearby • Ease of booking slots
• Prefer walk-ins as its convenient • Free home sample collection facility
• Better accuracy of tests data • Lack of proximity to labs
• Trusted labs don’t have home collection
facility
Willingness to pay
• Concerns on sample getting affected
• Better prices • Customers are willing to pay rupee 75
-100 for the home sample collection
facility
Preference factors
Low High
Sources: Customer conversations, Secondary research, Praxis analysis © Praxis Global Alliance | 21
Healthcare
Evolving patient behaviour
A
Consumers are increasingly adopting preventive and wellness related tests
Share of such tests is estimated to increase from ~10% to ~12% by FY26 at a CAGR of 18%
Preventative tests are projected to grow at a CAGR of 18% to increase Growth drivers for preventative tests
their share in all diagnostics tests to ~12%
A While radiology has many pain points being addressed, the attractive economics of
this segment offers growth opportunities
Several key challenges exist to be solved across the value chain of imaging With attractive economics and these challenges remaining,
(e.g., CT scan), such as shortage of advanced labs, shortage of transparency in radiology is emerging as an attractive segment (illustrative
procedure charges, etc. economics for CT scan unit at the large hospital)
Radiologist salary
Personnel salary
First-timers Shortage of Radiologists Delay in
Marketing cost
Total revenue
Depreciation
Supplies cost
Abdomen CT
Rent, Main
and are female did not brief report
Cardio CT
Misc. cost
& utilities
Angio CT
Limbs CT
Spine CT
Head CT
EBIDTA
scared of radiologists about the
Chest CT
PBT
CT scan and technicians process
Notes: US$ 1 = rupee 75; *Calculated on PAT = 0.7*PBT (30% tax assumed)
Sources: Primary conversations, Secondary research, Praxis analysis
© Praxis Global Alliance | 23
Healthcare
Clinical needs and test types
B Specialized and wellness tests are the key segments projected to be growth drivers
for the Indian clinical testing market
Growth
Segments by clinical area Test Mix Rationale
outlook
Routine tests • In volume mix, this category is the major • Routine + semi-specialized tests that are
contributor to the volume, i.e., 40-45% of total primarily biochemistry pathology, immunology,
Such as CBC, lipid profile, urine clinical tests; however, in value terms, it’s just and microbiology constitutes 75-85% of the
culture, etc. 12-17% total clinical tests volume
Wellness tests • In volume mix, this category is the least • Wellness testing will grow to double that of
contributor to the volume, i.e., only 1-3% of sickness testing for the next 20-25 years – till
Such as cholesterol, BP, mammogram, total clinical tests; however, in value terms, it’s wellness is 60-70% of the total, which is just 10%
etc. under annual health check plans already a healthy 10-11% currently
such as from corporates and individuals • This is dues to increased offerings, awareness, and
adoption of bundled tests profiles and wellness
packages
Indian Molecular diagnostics market • Niche segment in India with only a few active players due
US$ M, CY19-20 to low volume requirements
Pre-COVID19 • The largest sub-segments, including HIV, HBV, and HCV
market reagents (US$ 14M) and TB reagents (US$ 13M),
constituted ~80% of the market
Extraction Other Reagents, 35 • Many companies entered the market, with 30+ companies
getting manufacturing licenses and 119+ companies
machines, 67
getting import licenses
Extraction kits,
200 Impact of • Multi fold capacity expansion undertaken
Capital investment on
Amplification equipment COVID19 – Anywhere between 2x-10x by RT – PCR & raw material
and extraction machines suppliers of enzymes and reagents such as Thermo
will provide necessary Amplification Fisher Scientific, Promega Corporation, NEB, Bio-Rad,
platform for other tests Equipment, 267 Qiagen, and Takara Bio
(except COVID19) to be
performed • Alternative applications for ramped up capacity of
molecular testing equipment
RT-PCR kits, 400 – The additional capacity will remain in place as the
Expected evolution pandemic subsides, which could potentially find multiple
Analyzers
35 Post-COVID19 applications for the RT-PCR assay as the dominant
Reagents method for diagnosing viral infections in India such as
TB (3 M cases in FY20), septicemia (11 M cases in FY20),
2019 2020
meningitis (15K cases in FY19 and other CNS (central
nervous system) infections
B Less than 20% of breast cancer cases get diagnosed early (before Stage III)
99% 99%
86%
72%
~80% drop in
survival rate
22%
• There may not be a • Earliest stage of invasive • Tumor between 2-5 cm • Locally advanced breast • Metastatic breast cancer
lump that can be breast cancer cancer
• Spreads to the lymph • Spreads beyond the
Description felt during a • Tumor is <2 cm, and no nodes under the arm • The tumor is >2 inches breast, underarm, and
self-examination lymph nodes are and extensive in the mammary lymph nodes to
• There may be no involved lymph nodes or has other parts of the body
other symptoms spread to other tissues
Notes: For ovarian cancer - the TNM staging, subsequent treatments and 5- year survival rates remain similar; and FIGO and AJCC stage ovarian cancer into
I, IA, IB, IC, II , IIA, IIB, IIIA1, IIIA2, IIIB, IIIC, IVA, and IVB; diagnosis rates imply what % of people get detected with cancer across stages
Sources: Oncology research papers; Praxis analysis
© Praxis Global Alliance | 26
Healthcare
Clinical needs and test types
B Global genomic testing market is expected to grow at ~20% CAGR; In India too, tests
are being increasingly used for oncology, reproductive health, and predictive testing
95
94.7 • Pre-symptomatic testing: Increased use to confirm or rule out
a suspected genetic condition and the probability of the
23
23.1 28
27.8 development of a genetic disorder or the same being passed on
to the next generation
FY20 FY21 FY28P
Notes: India's leading genomic solutions company into oncology, reproductive health, inherited diseases and infectious diseases. It started in 2013 in the US and India.
Sources: Industry reports, Secondary research, Praxis analysis
© Praxis Global Alliance | 27
Healthcare
Clinical needs and test types
B PoC and rapid tests have seen a wide acceptance during COVID and in future are
likely to witness wider acceptability with the advancement in technologies
PoC & rapid tests market scaled to
City tier TAT Awareness Relevance Accuracy Testing urgency
U$ 482M in 2021
PoC & rapid tests market • Enables • Awareness • Medium to high • Satisfactory accuracy • Establishing a set of
US$ M instant or amongst patients in clinical levels achieved as per basic PoCT devices
482 quick in metros is on the decisions taken doctors w.r.t. the time helps GPs or specialists,
Description diagnosis rise by doctors taken or hospitals in getting
CAGR and better first-hand
17%
• Doctors or • Acts as the • Trade-off between
administrati hospitals want to biggest driver in speed and accuracy information and is quite
on of become a tier 2 cities favorable for PoC test helpful in times of
94.7treatment one-stop solution for many use cases emergency where time
plan for aware patients is of essence
303
Metro
Tier 2
Tier 2
Tier 3
Intensity level
Notes: Sophisticated PoCT devices: POC devices other than glucometer, sphygmomanometer, oximeter and infrared thermometer
Low High
Sources: GP & specialists IDIs (N = 45), Hospital IDIs (N = 5), Expert interviews (N = 3), PoCT player interviews (N = 8), Tracxn, BIRAC, PGA Labs analysis
© Praxis Global Alliance | 28
Healthcare
Competition
C Due to attractive margins, players from adjacent service areas of the healthcare
ecosystem have entered the diagnostics market and made it more competitive
• One of the major pharma companies plans to set up its National Reference Laboratory in Navi Mumbai, and plans to open 100 labs and
1000 collection centers pan India in the next 3 years
• Another Pharma giant commercialized its RT-PCR test kit 'ViraGen' for COVID-19
Pharma companies • And launched a portable wireless spirometer for diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disorder (COPD) and asthma
• Whereas another player launched diagnostic center chain in 2017, and is currently expanding in Maharashtra and other western &
central states of India
Hospital chains • One of the national chains formulated a wholly-owned subsidiary focused on diagnostics
• An online pharmacy player acquired 66% stake in Thyrocare, the fourth largest diagnostics chain in India
Comprehensive
telehealth service • Whereas the other competitor in this space acquired Droplet, a logistics company specializing in home sample collection for diagnostics
providers labs
• And another player in this space launched phlebotomist services for consumers to avail lab tests from the comfort of their homes
• An online platform for health services, launched health testing at home in 100 new cities in the country by recruiting 1,500 support staff,
including pathologists, phlebotomists, lab technicians, etc.
Diagnostics service
aggregators
• Whereas another provider expanded its diagnostic solutions to 3500+ routine and specialized tests for hormone testing, genomic testing,
routing pathology investigations, etc.
Free diagnostics service under NHM National Program for Prevention & Control of Cancer,
• Timeline: FY18 – ongoing Diabetes, Cardiovascular Diseases & Strokes
• Free radiology and pathology services at SHCs, PHC, CHCs, District & • Timeline: FY19 – ongoing
sub-district hospitals to reduce high out-of-pocket expenditure • Free treatment to poor people at SCIs or TCCCs
• Tests include hematology, serology, biochemistry, clinical pathology, • Preventive screening for ~7 Cr; 67K cancer, 99K strokes, 42 lakh
Recent policies
microbiology, radiology, and cardiology. However, States are free to Hypertension, 33 lakh Diabetes and 2 lakh cardiovascular diseases cases
add to the list based on their priorities diagnosed
National Essential Diagnostics List Pradhan Mantri Atma Nirbhar Swasth Bharat Yojana
• Timeline: FY19 – ongoing • Timeline: FY22 – 26
• 105 general lab tests, 30 disease-specific tests, and 24 radiology tests • Support for 17,788 rural HWCs, and 11,024 urban HWCs
to address a critical gap in the standardization of medical devices through the establishment of integrated public health labs in all districts
and IVD devices
Procurement of imaging equipment by State govts Diagnostics centers under PPP model
Ongoing initiatives
• Procurement of equipment such as CT and MR by state govts for • 1,797 centers under the PPP model operated by Krsnaa Diagnostics
in-house public facilities across 14 states
• For CT: States such as Maharashtra, Karnataka, Gujarat & Kerala • Expansion of hub & spoke centers as 1,127 centers added in the last three
floated ~ 122 tenders between 2020 – 21 years
• For MR: States such as Maharashtra, Telangana, Uttarakhand &
Kerala floated ~ 48 tenders between 2020 - 21
Notes: SCI: State Cancer Institutes; TCCC: Tertiary Cancer Care centers
Sources: MoHFW website, Secondary sources, Praxis analysis
© Praxis Global Alliance | 30
Healthcare
Competition
C Despite competition, organized labs are expected to have better revenue growth than
others due to their wider test portfolio, better customer experience, and deeper reach
Pan-India chains are witnessing faster revenue growth since the Rationale for shift towards organized labs
beginning of the pandemic
Revenue growth
% • NABL accredited labs increased from 347 in 2012 to
1,880 in Mar-21, which have mostly been from the
Customer
organized chains segment
preference for
18-23% accredited labs • Organized lab chains have been able to capitalize on the
COVID testing market due to their existing capabilities
for molecular diagnostics
14-18%
14% 14%
12% 12% • Organized segment has a lower price for the tests primarily
Lower costs and due to lower costs enabled by a hub and spoke operating
better customer model
8% experience • Organized labs provide a better customer experience by
having online portals for test booking, home collection,
5% tracking, and report generation
D Due to increased competition in Metros and Tier-1, lab chains are undertaking
aggressive expansion in Tier 2+ cities through asset-light models
• Lab chains are fast expanding through organic and inorganic routes in Tier 2+ cities
• Diagnostic chains going for IPO seek aggressive growth across city tiers
New labs in T2+ cities
• Lab chains are further deepening their presence in multiple cities across the country through collection centers, patient
service centers, pick-up points, etc. e.g., some of the key national chains have a strong network of over 14K collection centers
and over 55K patient touchpoints
Collection centers
D To cater to the latent demand, teleradiology is seeing wider adoption and is likely to
expand in T2, T3, and T4 cities
Growth in tele-radiology market CAGR CAGR • In case of low scan • Teleradiologist paid on a
US$ M CY17-20 CY20-24P volume, in-house per scan or % scan price
Cost benefits
radiologist salary basis resulting in
of teleradiology
611 18% 15% can become an cost-effectiveness
unrecovered fixed • ~40% cost saving in the
cost radiologists cost*
Notes: Teleradiology market size (TAM) = (# Installed base of radiology equipment) X (# Radiology scan) X (Teleradiologist fees per scan) ; Installed base and number of scans are sourced from secondary research,
while teleradiologist fees is sourced through conversations with industry experts
Sources: Secondary research, Praxis analysis © Praxis Global Alliance | 33
Healthcare
Business models
D Even in pathology, wherever images are involved, players are investing to make business
plans around remote diagnosis and improve quality and efficiency of diagnostics
In-house use of • Hospitals and diagnostic chains adopting solutions esp. for cancer diagnostic
Technology
D With the decoupling of operating layers, models are evolving into a network
of partnerships
• COCO collection centers • Own logistics • Own labs • Report preparation by the
Conventional
labs themselves
diagnostic • Hospital labs • Home grown LIMS
operations • B2B pickup points
Modern
diagnostic • Online aggregators • Third party logistics • Partner labs • Teleradiology
operations • Robust LIMS providers • Telepathology
Examples
Acquired
by 1mg
• Decoupling of layers: Home • Convenience: At home collection • Franchising of labs, partner labs • Affordable and value services (e.g.,
pickup businesses and • Pricing: bundling of tests, pricing • Proximity to the customer: value radiology)
third-party phlebo networks discounts collection centers, pick-up points • Condition specific segments: Onco,
• Technology partnerships: • Accuracy and reliability: COVID has • Online channels: digital customer elderly, chronic ailments
sample movement & tracking, prompted the shift towards branded acquisition, online test booking • Owning the customer: Growth of
LIMS players online models
• Readability of report: 80% of patients • Loyalty: Increasing criticality of
cannot understand their report loyalty with increasing competition
• Asset light models - Deepening presence in multiple cities across the country • Newer tests: Molecular diagnostics, genomics, health, and wellness tests
through collection centers, patient service centers, pick-up points, etc. • Remote diagnostics: Telepathology and teleradiology services
• Reagent rental models: Pay per use to reduce upfront CAPEX
• Centralization of resources: Tele-models – radiologists, histopathologists,
lab-work
• Computational pathology: Better accuracy, higher productivity
While still in nascency, insurance cover for out-patient care could propel a Launched in June
2020 and currently
rapid growth only serving B’lore
• 5-10% of retail health • 5-10% of retail • 5-10% of retail health • 5-10% of retail health • All plans cover OPD
% penetration of OPD
policies sold include health policies sold policies sold include policies sold include consultations and
policies
OPD cover include OPD cover OPD cover OPD cover diagnostics
Policy name • Smart + OPD • ProHealth Plus • GoActive • Comprehensive • Even Plus
• 5,000 (25% copayment • 2,000 (no co-payment) • 2,400 (no co-payment) • 5,000 (no co-payment) • Unlimited doctor
OPD cover in year 1) consultations
• Net OPD cover: 2,000 • Net OPD cover: 2,400 • Net OPD cover: 5,000
(rupee) • Unlimited diagnostic
• Net OPD cover: 3,750
tests
• Without OPD cover: • Without OPD cover: • Without OPD cover: • Without OPD cover: • With OPD cover: Starts
Policies 4,300 7,093 7,697 6,621 at 1,050 per month
Premium
with
(rupee) • With OPD cover: 6,300 • With OPD cover: • With OPD cover: • With OPD cover:
OPD
cover 8,170 8,874 10,535
• Premium for OPD
cover: 2,000 • Premium for OPD • Premium for OPD • Premium for OPD
cover: 1,077 cover: 1,177 cover: 3,914
E Supply chain innovations in sample processing pre and post-analytical stages are
levers of key differentiators among the service providers
Order entry, patient, and specimen Sorting and routing of samples Transcription errors & improper data entry
misidentification
Pain points
Sample collected from infusion route Time and or speed of centrifugation Incorrect interpretation of ranges
Inappropriate container while handling sample Pipetting and labeling of the samples Excessive turnaround time (TAT) in reporting
Storage and transportation issues Equipment malfunctions, QC loss Failure or delay in reporting critical values
Adoption of software to coordinate and track Tracking of key quality metrics such as Adoption of wider TAT i.e., from request to report
phlebotomists such as SLA buckets while blood culture contamination rate, generation instead of the sample received to
collection (home or in-lab) specimen labeling error rates, etc reporting
Innovation
Pain points
Low High
Sources: Industry reports, Press reviews, Praxis analysis © Praxis Global Alliance | 38
Healthcare
F Digital transformation is happening across areas in diagnostics
Patient wants Barcode scanned at Digital macro camera Digital microscopy On digital worksta- Automated report
blood test lab and sample captures image for leverages tion, images are generation by LIMS
uploaded in the LIMS slides eliminating need machine-learning compared against
of physical samples algorithms old or stored images
from the same
patient
Adoption level
Sources: Praxis analysis © Praxis Global Alliance | 39
Healthcare
Technology and digital
F While considerable focus has been on leveraging digital to become efficient and
deliver customer delight; many areas of opportunity remain unexplored
Digital strategy aligned with business strategy Business model driven by digital
Future
outlook
Healthcare
Future outlook
Indian diagnostics market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 14% & reach US$ 20B
by FY26
Expected
Diagnostics market grew at a CAGR of 13% to reach US$ 10B in Growth growth Rationale
FY21 drivers rate
Size of diagnostics market in India Population 1.0% • India population expected to grow annually at ~1% from
FY21-FY26
US$ B, FY16-26P
Urbanization 2.5% • With increasing urbanization, diagnostics market is
expected to grow
CAGR 20
14% Penetration 5.0% • Penetration expected to improve by 5% driven by access
(home collections), affordability and focus of state
governments on establishing labs under PPP model in
under-served locations
Tests or 2.0% • Higher awareness about preventive care, test mix moving
CAGR patient towards specialized tests
13%
Realization 2-4% • Pathology: Growth in realization per test has been ~4%
10 10 per tests from FY17-FY20
8 • Radiology: Realization is lower due to the dependence on
7 referrals (Channel margins), but growth in teleradiology is
6 driving growth in realization per test
6
• Effect of cost controls on the essential test could be
balanced out with increased volumes (as witnessed
historically in the case of Malaria and Dengue) and a shift in
test mix towards specialized tests
Regulatory
High margin, high volume ‘routine tests’ may face pricing pressure.
• Government is likely to invest in augmenting diagnostics infrastructure, which, if utilized well, may impact unorganized labs more
• Could lead to the growth of the industry as ‘evidence-based treatment’ would find higher acceptance
Fragmented NABL is not mandatory and not likely to be made mandatory in medium terms
market, low focus • Industry is highly fragmented, and enforcing accreditation may not be feasible
on quality
• Consolidation would drive focus on quality in medium to long term
Commoditization • Pricing pressure could be there on semi-specialized and specialized tests; however, with scale, margins can still be maintained
and increasing • Will require Companies to work on increasing ticket size through bundling of tests, promote health and wellness tests, and introduce
competitive specialized tests
intensity
Access to • Emerging models like teleradiology and telepathology could address this issue
specialized
resources
Value conscious • Could witness value products from leading OEM to address the value segment across Tiers of cities
market
• Channels: Omni-channel • Evaluation of M&A • Service TAT and reliabil- • Customer Loyalty: • Super efficient network:
strategy opportunities to grow ity: Optimize service Institutionalize With the growth in
• New Products: geographically delivery in new cities to touchpoint and footprint, changing
ensure consistent integrated NPS capability; demand patterns,
• Bundling of tests: Design coverage integrate NPS 3.0 economics, and
and bundling of tests into • Adjacencies: e.g., Addition technology, redesign the
packages, a greater of capabilities for telera- network to balance TAT
number of specialized diology and telepatholo- • Supply chain digitiza- • Digital journeys for and cost to serve
tests gy; integrated health tion: Implement a customers: Robust
Opportunities
• Leadership in emerging offerings – e.g., wellness control tower set up to best-in-class digital
test categories: Emerg services enhance supply chain journeys. Improve UI/UX • Improved tech
ing tests such as genom visibility and reliability through personalization, integration and
ics, molecular diagnotics, booking and reduction of cancellation,
• Data monetization or appointments, medical the efficiency of own
etc. value add services: • Tech for process profiles, family profiles, Phlebo team
• T2 and 3 expansion: Provide value added efficiencies: Usage of recommendations, etc.
Network expansion in T2 services through the digitalization tools such
and T3 cities in-align with analysis of longitudinal as AI for process
an increase in penetration data for disease risk efficiencies
of healthcare services assessment and chronic
• Network of partnerships: care management
e.g., Franchising of labs to
increase reach
Praxis
offerings
Healthcare
Praxis offerings
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