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TCB#2 Betty

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Republic of the Philippines

DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY


Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 2


Super Typhoon BETTY (MAWAR)
Issued at 11:00 AM, 27 May 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next advisory at 5:00 PM today.

“BETTY” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH WHILE MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD”

Location of Center (10:00 AM)

The center of the eye of Super Typhoon BETTY was


estimated based on all available data at 1,170 km East
of Central Luzon (16.4°N, 133.1°E)

Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 195 km/h near the
center, gustiness of up to 240 km/h, and central
pressure of 915 hPa
Present Movement

West northwestward at 30 km/h


Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up
to 600 km from the center
TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST
Center Position Intensity Movement
dir. and
Date and Time Lat. Lon. MSW
Location Cat. speed
(°N) (°E) (km/h) (km/h)
12-Hour Forecast
8:00 PM 16.9 130.8 930 km East of Central Luzon 195 STY WNW 25
27 May 2023
24-Hour Forecast
8:00 AM 17.4 128.7 735 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan 195 STY WNW 20
28 May 2023
36-Hour Forecast
8:00 PM 18.4 126.9 555 km East of Aparri, Cagayan 195 STY WNW 20
28 May 2023
48-Hour Forecast
8:00 AM 19.4 125.7 445 km East of Calayan, Cagayan 185 STY NW 15
29 May 2023
60-Hour Forecast
8:00 PM 20.3 124.7 285 km East of Basco, Batanes 175 TY NW 10
29 May 2023
72-Hour Forecast
NNW
8:00 AM 21.0 124.3 250 km East Northeast of Basco, Batanes 165 TY
Slowly
30 May 2023
96-Hour Forecast
8:00 AM 22.1 124.5 310 km East Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes 140 TY N Slowly
31 May 2023
120-Hour Forecast
8:00 AM 23.5 125.8 510 km Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes 130 TY NE 10
01 June 2023

Page 1 of 3

Prepared by: JEMB Checked by: SFD

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 805 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 2


Super Typhoon BETTY (MAWAR)
Issued at 11:00 AM, 27 May 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next advisory at 5:00 PM today.

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

TCWS No. Luzon Visayas Mindanao


The eastern portion of Cagayan (Santa Ana, Gonzaga, Lal-Lo, Gattaran,
Baggao, Peñablanca, Santa Teresita, Buguey) including Babuyan and
1 Camiguin Islands and the eastern portion of Isabela (Maconacon,
Divilacan, Dinapigue, Palanan, San Mariano, Ilagan City, Tumauini, San
- -
Wind threat: Pablo, Cabagan)
Strong
winds Warning lead time: 36 hours
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Forecast accumulated rainfall from Monday morning to Tuesday morning


 50-100 mm: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and the northern portions of mainland Cagayan, Ilocos Norte, and Apayao.

Forecast accumulated rainfall from Tuesday morning to Wednesday morning


 Greater than 200 mm: Batanes
 100-200 mm: Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and La Union
 50-100 mm: Cordillera Administrative Region and the northern portion of mainland Cagayan.

Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas.

In areas that will not be directly affected by the super typhoon, monsoon rains from the enhanced Southwest Monsoon
are possible over the western sections of MIMAROPA, Visayas, and Mindanao tomorrow. On Monday and Tuesday,
monsoon rains are likely over the western sections of MIMAROPA and Western Visayas, and possible over the rest of
MIMAROPA and Western Visayas.

Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are likely, especially in areas that are highly or very
highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts
of rainfall for the past several days.

Severe Winds

 Strong winds (strong breeze to near gale strength) will be experienced within the areas where Tropical Cyclone
Wind Signal No.1 is currently in effect.
 The enhanced Southwest Monsoon may bring strong breeze to near gale conditions with intermittent gusts
beginning on tomorrow evening or early Monday over Visayas, the eastern portions of Central and Southern Luzon,
and the northern and eastern portions of Mindanao.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

 In the next 24 hours, the eastern seaboards of Luzon and Visayas will experience moderate to rough (1.5 to 3.5 m)
seas, which may become rough to very rough (2.5 to 5.0 m). The northern seaboard of Luzon may also experience
moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 3.0 m) this morning through afternoon and rough seas (2.5 to 4.0 m) beginning
tonight.
 Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea and, if possible,
avoid navigating in these conditions. A marine gale warning may be issued within the day in anticipation of these
conditions.

Page 2 of 3

Prepared by: JEMB Checked by: SFD

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 805 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph
Republic of the Philippines
DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical
Services Administration (PAGASA)
Weather Division

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 2


Super Typhoon BETTY (MAWAR)
Issued at 11:00 AM, 27 May 2023
Valid for broadcast until the next advisory at 5:00 PM today.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

 Over the weekend, Super Typhoon BETTY is forecast to track generally west northwestward. On Monday, the
tropical cyclone will turn northwestward and decelerate as it moves over the waters east of Extreme Northern Luzon.
BETTY may eventually become almost stationary between late Tuesday and early Wednesday when it will be
closest to Batanes (i.e., within 250-300 km).
 BETTY is forecast to remain as a super typhoon over the weekend. Although it will likely maintain its strength for
the next 36-48 hours, short-term intensification is not ruled out especially in the next 12 to 24 hours. However, this
tropical cyclone may begin weakening considerably on Monday or Tuesday during its slowdown period over the
waters east of Batanes due to potential unfavorable conditions (e.g., effect of upwelling of cooler ocean water and
dry air intrusion).

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to
take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly
susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall
warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please
monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.

DOST-PAGASA

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Prepared by: JEMB Checked by: SFD

WFFC, BIR Road, Diliman, Quezon City (02) 8284-0800 ext. 805 bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph

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