Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time - Solutions 1
Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time - Solutions 1
Arbitrage Theory in Continuous Time - Solutions 1
Raquel M. Gaspar
Fall 2003
1
Contents
3 Stochastic Integrals 4
4 Differential Equations 7
6 Arbitrage Pricing 10
10 Incomplete Markets 19
11 Dividends 20
12 Currency Derivatives 21
19 Change of Numeraire 34
20 Extra Exercises 38
20.1 Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
20.2 Solution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
21 Exams 49
2
21.1 Exercises . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
3
3 Stochastic Integrals
Exercise 3.1
dZ(t) = αeαt dt
= αZ(t)dt.
(e) Using Itô’s formula and considering the dynamics of X(t) we have
Exercise 3.3 By definition we have that the dynamics of X(t) are given by
dX(t) = σ(t)dW (t).
Consider Z(t) = eiuX(t) . Then using the Itô’s formula we have that the dynamic
of Z(t) can be described by
2
u
dZ(t) = − σ 2 (t) Z(t)dt + [iuσ(t)] Z(t)dW (t)
2
4
Taking expectations we have,
Z t Z t
u2 2
E [Z(t)] = 1 − E σ (s)Z(s)ds + iuE σ(s)Z(s)dW (s)
2 0 0
Z t
u2
= 1− σ 2 (s)E [Z(s)] ds + 0
2 0
so X is a sub martingale.
5
Exercise 3.6 Set X(t) = h(W1 (t), · · · , Wn (t)).
∂h ∂2h
where ∂xi denotes the first derivative with respect to the i-th variable, ∂xi ∂xj
denotes the second order cross-derivative between the i-th and j-th variable and
all derivatives should be evaluated at (W1 (s), · · · , Wn (s)).
Taking expectations
"Z #
n
tX Z t Xn
∂h 1 ∂ 2
h
E [ X(t)| Fs ] = E dWi (u) Fs + E du Fs
0 i=1 ∂xi 2 0 i,j=1 ∂xi ∂xj
Z n
sX Z s n
X
∂h 1 ∂2h
= dWi (u) + du
0 i=1
∂xi 2 0 i,j=1 ∂xi ∂xj
| {z }
X(s)
"Z #
n
tX Z t Xn
∂h 1 2
∂ h
+E dWi (u) Fs +E du Fs
0 i=1 ∂xi 2 s i,j=1 ∂xi ∂xj
| {z }
0
Z t Xn
1 2
∂ h
= X(s) + E du Fs .
2 s i,j=1 ∂xi ∂xj
Pn ∂2h
• If h is harmonic the last term is zero, since i,j=1 ∂xi ∂xj = 0, we have
6
Pn ∂2h
• If h is subharmonic the last term is always nonnegative, since i,j=1 ∂xi ∂xj ≥
0 we have
Exercise 3.8
From the dynamics we can see immediately that R(t) is deterministic (it
has no stochastic component!).
(b) Integrating the SDE for X(t) and taking expectations we have
Z t
X(t) = x0 + α E [X(s)] ds
0
Which once more can be solve setting m(t) = E [X(t)],taking the deriva-
tive with respect to t and using ODE methods, to get the answer
E [X(t)] = x0 eαt
4 Differential Equations
Itô’s formula then gives us (the cross term dZ(t) · dR(t) vanishes)
7
Exercise 4.5 Using the dynamics of X(t) and the Itô formula we get
1 2
dY (t) = αβ + β(β − 1)σ Y (t)dt + σβY (t)dW (t)
2
= µY (t)dt + δY (t)dW (t)
Exercise 4.6 From the Itô formula and using the dynamics of X and Y
1 X(t) 1 X(t)
dZ(t) = dX(t) − dY (t) − dX(t)dY (t) + (dY (t))2
Y (t) Y (t)2 Y (t)2 Y (t)3
= Z(t) α − γ + δ 2 dt + σZ(t)dW (t) − δZ(t)dV (t).
and
Solving the SDE, we obtain (check the solution of the GBM in th extra exercises
if you do not remmeber)
1 2
X(T ) = exp ln x + (µ − σ )(T − t) + σ[W (T ) − W (t)] ,
2
and thus
1
F (t, x) = 2 ln(x) + 2(µ − σ 2 )(T − t).
2
Exercise 4.10 Given the dynamics of X(t) any F (t, x) that solves the problem
has the dynamics given by
∂F ∂F 1 ∂2F
dF (t, x) = dt + dX(t) + (dX(t))2
∂t ∂x 2 ∂x2
∂F ∂F
= dt + [µ(t, x)dt + σ(t, x)dW (t)] + k(t, x)dt − k(t, x)dt
∂t ∂x
8
1 ∂2F 2
+ 2
σ (t, x)dW (t)
2 ∂x
∂F ∂F 1 2
= + µ(t, x) + σ (t, x) + k(t, x) dt − k(t, x)dt
∂t ∂x {z2 }
|
0
∂F
+ σ(t, x)dW (t)
∂x
∂F
= −k(t, x)dt + σ(t, x)dW (t)
∂x
We now write F (T, X(T )) in terms of F (t, x) and the dynamics of F during the
time period t . . . T (recall that we defined X(t) = x)
Z T Z T
∂F
F (t, X(T )) = F (t, x) − k(s, X(s)ds + σ(s, X(s))dW (s)
t t ∂x
⇔
Z T Z T
∂F
F (t, x) = F (T, X(T )) + k(s, X(s)ds − σ(s, X(s))dW (s)
t t ∂x
Exercise 4.11 Using the representation formula from Exercise 4.10 we get
Z T
F (t, x) = Et,x 2 ln[X 2 (T )] + Et,x [X(s)] ds,
t
Given
dX(s) = X(s)dW (s).
The first term is easily computed as in the exercise 4.9 above. Furthermore it
is easily seen directly from the SDE (how?)that Et,x [X(s)] = x. Thus we have
the result
9
6 Arbitrage Pricing
Exercise 6.1
1 Π(t)
dZ(t) = (dΠ(t)) − 2 (d(B(t))
B(t) B (t)
g(t)
= dW (t)
B(t)
σS(t) ∂F
= Z(t) dW (t)
Π(t) ∂s
Z is a martingale since Et [Z(T )] = Z(t) for all t < T and its diffusion
coefficient is given by σZ (t) = σS(t) ∂F
Π(t) ∂s .
We know from earlier exercises (check exercises 3.4 and 4.5) that Y (t) = S β (t)
satisfies the SDE under Q
1 2
dY (t) = rβ + β(β − 1)σ Y (t)dt + σβY (t)dW (t).
2
Using the standard technique, we can integrate, take expectations, differentiate
with respect to time and solve by ODE techniques, to obtain
Q β 1 2
Et,s S (T ) = sβ e[rβ+ 2 β(β−1)σ ](T −t) ,
10
So,
1 2
Π(t) = sβ e[r(β−1)+ 2 β(β−1)σ ](T −t) .
Exercise 6.6 We consider only the case when t < T0h. The iother case is handled
Q S(T1 )
in very much the same way. We have to compute Et,s S(T0 ) . Define the process
X on the time interval [T0 , T1 ] by
S(u)
X(u) = .
S(T0 )
Q
We now want to compute Et,s [X(T1 )]. The stochastic differential (under Q) of
X is easily seen to be
From this SDE it follows at once (the same technique of integrating, taking
expectations, differentiate with respect to time and solve by ODE techniques)
that
Q
Et,s [X(T1 )] = er(T1 −T0 ) ,
and thus the price, at t of the contract is given by
Exercise 6.7 The price in SEK of the ACME INC., Z, is defined as Z(t) =
S(t)Y (t) and by Itô has the following dynamics under Q
We also have, by using Itô once more, that the dynamics of ln Z 2 are
d ln Z 2 (t) = 2r − σ 2 − δ 2 dt + 2σdW1 (t) + 2δdW2 (t)
11
the arbitrage free pricing function Π is
Π(t) = e−r(T −t) ln z 2 + 2r − σ 2 − δ 2 (T − t)
= e−r(T −t) 2 ln(sy) + 2r − σ 2 − δ 2 (T − t) ,
Exercise 6.9 The forward price, i.e. the amount of money to be payed out at
time T , but decided at the time t is
F (t, T ) = EtQ [X ] .
Note that the forward price is not the price of the forward contract on the
T -claim X which is what we are looking for.
Take for instance the long position: at time T , the buyer of a forward contract
receives X and pays F (t, T ). Hence, the price at time t of that position is
−r(T −t)
Π(t; X − F (t, T )) = EtQ
e
X − F (t, T ) = 0.
| {z }
EtQ [X ]
At time s > t, however, the underlying asset may have changed in value, in a
way different from expectations, so then the price of a forward contract can be
defined as
h i
Π(s; X − F (t, T )) = EsQ e−r(T −s) (X − F (t, T ))
F (t,T )
Q z }| {
= e−r(T −s) Q
Es [X ] − Et [X ] .
Remark: For the special case where the contract is on one share S we get:
Q
Π(s) = e−r(T −s)
Es [S(T )] − S(t)e
r(T −t)
.
| {z }
EtQ [S(T )]
S(s)
12
so,
EsQ [S(T )] = S(s)er(T −s)
and, therefore, the free arbitrage pricing function at time s > t is
For that we find , by Itô, the dynamics of Π(t) = F (t, S(t), Z(t)), the arbitrage
free pricing process
1
dΠ(t) = Ft dt + Fs [(rS(t)dt + σS(t)dW (t)] + Fz · g(t, S(t))dt + Fss σ 2 S 2 (t)dt
2
1
= Ft + r · S(t) · Fs + σ 2 S 2 (t)Fss + g(t, S(t))Fz +σS(t)Fs dW (t)
2
| {z }
rΠ(t)
Integrating we have
Z T Z T
Π(T ) = Π(t) + r Π(u)du + σ S(u)Fs dW (u)
t t
Hence Z T
Q Q
Et,z,s [Π(T )] = Π(t) + r Et,z,s [Π(u)] du
t
Q
So, using the usual ”trick” of setting m(u) = Et,z,s [Π(u)] and using techniques
of ODE we finally get
Q
Π(t) = F (t, S(t), Z(t)) = e−r(T −t) Et,s,z [Φ(S(T ), Z(T ))] .
13
Exercise 7.3 The price arbitrage free price is given by (note that this time our
claim is not simple, i.e. it is not of the form X = Φ(S(T ))).
So,
⇒ EtQ [S(u)] = ser(u−t)
Z T2
1 1 s h r(T2 −t) i
ser(u−t) du = e − er(T1 −t)
T 2 − T 1 T1 T2 − T1 r
The price to the ”mean” contract is thus
s h i
Π(t) = 1 − e−r(T2 −T1 ) .
r(T2 − T1 )
Φ(x) = K · |{z}
1 − max [0, x − A] + max [0, x − A − K] .
| {z } | {z }
ΦB (x) Φc,A (x) Φc,A+K (x)
14
* K in monetary units
Given the decomposition of the contract function Φ into basic contract functions,
we immediately have that the arbitrage free pricing process Π is
B(t)
z }| {
Π(t) = K · e−r(T −t) −c(s, A, T ) + c(s, A + K, T )
where c(s, A, T ) and c(s, A + K, T ) stand for the prices of European call options
on S and maturity T with strike prices A and A + K, respectively. The Black-
Scholes formula give us both c(s, A, T ) and c(s, A + K, T ) .
The hedge portfolio thus consists of a reverse position in the above components,
i.e., borrow e−r(T −t) K, buy a call with strike K and sell a call with strike A+K.
Exercise 8.4 We apply, once again, the exact same technique. The T -claim X
given by:
0, if S(T ) < A
S(T ) − A, if A ≤ S(T ) ≤ B
X =
C − S(T ), if B < S(T ) ≤ C
0, if S(T ) > C.
A+C
where B = 2 , has a contract function Φ that can be written as
15
The arbitrage free pricing process Π follows immediately from the decomposition
of the contract function Φ and is given by
where c(s, A, T ), c(s, B, T ) and c(s, C, T ) stand for the prices of European call
options on S, with maturity T and strike prices A, B and C, respectively, and
can be computed using the Black-Scholes formula.
The hedge portfolio consists of a reverse position in the above components, i.e.,
sell two call options one with strike A and other with strike B and buy other
two both with strike B.
where p(t, s) and c(t, s) stand for the price of a put and a call option on S with
maturity T and strike price K.
The delta measures the variation in the price of a derivative with respect to
changes in the value of the underlying. Differentiating the put-call parity w.r.t.
S we have
∂p(t, s) ∂ −r(T −t) ∂c(t, s) ∂S
= Ke + −
| ∂S
{z } ∂S | ∂S
{z } ∂S
∆put ∆call
∆put = ∆call − 1
To find the result on the gamma we differentiate one more time (so two times)
w.r.t. S the put-call parity and get
∂ 2 p(t, s) ∂ 2 c(t, s)
2
= 2
| ∂S {z } | ∂S {z }
Γcall Γput
ϕ(d1) ϕ(d1)
From the fact that Γcall = √
sσ T −t
it follows that Γput = √
sσ T −t
.
16
9 Several Underlying Assets
Exercise 9.3
and
dW̄1 .dW̄2 = ρdt.
Ft = s2 Gt
∂z 1
F1 = s2 Gz = s2 Gz = Gz
∂s1 s2
∂z s1
F2 = G + s2 Gz = G + s2 Gz − 2 = G − zGz
∂s2 s2
∂z 1
F11 = Gzz = Gzz
∂s1 s
2
∂z ∂z ∂z 1
F22 = Gz − − Gz + zGzz = z 2 Gzz
∂s2 ∂s2 ∂s2 s2
∂z 1
F12 = Gzz = − zGzz
∂s2 s2
we realize that G satisfies the (much easier) PDE,
1
Gt + z 2 Gzz (σ12 + σ22 − 2σ1 σ2 ρ) = 0
2
G(T, z) = max [z − 1, 0] ,
17
that we recognize as the Black-Scholes equation and, therefore we have that G
is the price of a call with underlying Z, exercise price K = 1 and with, r = 0,
p
and σ = σ12 + σ22 − 2ρσ1 σ2 .
So, we can use Black-Scholes formula to concretize the pricing function Π(t) =
F (t, S1 (t), S2 (t)):
where
1 S1 (t) 1 2
d01
=p 2 √ ln + σ1 + σ22 − 2ρσ1 σ2 (T − t)
σ1 + σ22 − 2ρσ1 σ2 T − t S2 (t) 2
p √
and d02 = d01 − σ12 + σ22 − 2ρσ1 σ2 T − t.
Exercise 9.4 For this ”special” maximum option we have X = max [aS1 (T ); bS2 (T )]
18
Thus, the pricing function F is given by F (t, s1 , s2 ) = bs2 + as2 G(t, z) where G
solves the boundary problem So we have
1
Gt + z 2 Gzz (σ12 + σ22 ) = 0
2
b
G(T, z) = max z − , 0 .
a
Once again, the above expression is the Black-Scholes equation, G is the price of
p
a call option on Z with strike price K = ab , r = 0, and σ = σ12 + σ22 We can use
Black-Scholes formula to concretize the pricing function Π(t) = F (t, S1 (t), S2 (t):
S1 (t) b
Π(t) = bS2 (t) + aS2 (t)G(t, Z(t)) = bS2 (t) + aS2 (t) N [d01 ] − N [d02 ]
S2 (t) a
= bS2 (t) + aS1 (t)N [d01 ] − bS2 (t)N [d02 ]
= (1 − N [d02 ])bS2 (t) + aN [d01 ] S1 (t)
where
1 aS1 (t) 1 2
d01 = p 2 √ ln + σ + σ 2
(T − t)
σ1 + σ22 T − t bS2 (t) 2 1 2
p √
and d02 = d01 − σ12 + σ22 T − t.
10 Incomplete Markets
Exercise 10.1 Given a claim X = Π(X(T ))) and since the dynamics of X
under the Q-measure are
we can find the Q-dynamics of the pricing function F (t, X(t)) using the Ito
formula
∂F ∂F 1 ∂2F
dF (t, X(t)) = dt + dX(t) + (dX(t))2
∂t ∂x 2 ∂x2
∂F ∂F
= dt + [µ(t, X(t)) − λ(t, X(t))σ(t, X(t))] dt + σ(t, X(t))dW Q (t)
∂t ∂x
1 ∂2F 2
+ σ (t, X(t))dt
2 ∂x2
19
∂F ∂F 1 ∂2F 2
= + (µ(t, X(t)) − λ(t, X(t))σ(t, X(t))) + σ (t, X(t)) dt
∂t ∂x 2 ∂x2
| {z }
rF (t,X(t))
Q
+σ(t, X(t))dW (t)
= rF (t, X(t)) + σ(t, X(t))dW Q (t)
where the last step results from the fact that F has to satisfy the pricing PDE:
∂F ∂F 1 ∂2F 2
+ (µ(t, X(t)) − λ(t, X(t))σ(t, X(t))) + σ (t, X(t)) = rF.
∂t ∂x 2 ∂x2
11 Dividends
Exercise 11.2 We know that when there is a continuous dividend δ being paid
we have the following dynamics under Q for the asset S and the dividen structure
D
20
Exercise 11.6 In the Black-Scholes model with a constant continuous dividend
yield δ we have, under the Q-measure we have
From the “standard” call-put parity, which must be valid, we have the following
relation between call and put options with the same maturity T and exercise
price K:
p(t, x) = c(t, x) − Π(t, S(T )) + e−r(T −t) K.
So,
p(t, x) = c(t, x) − S(t)e−δ(T −t) + e−r(T −t) K.
12 Currency Derivatives
Exercise 12.1 We have, under the objective probability measure, the following
processes for the spot exchange rate X (units of domestic currency d per foreign
currency unit f ), and the domestic , Bd , and foreign, Bf , riskless assets:
where rd and rf are the domestic and foreign short rates which are assumed to
be deterministic. Hence the Q-dynamics of X are given by
From the “standard” call-put parity, which must be valid, we have the following
relation between call and put options with the same maturity T and exercise
price K:
p(t, x) = c(t, x) − Π(t, X(T )) + e−rd (T −t) K.
21
But we also know that
So,
p(t, x) = c(t, x) − X(t)e−rf (T −t) + e−rd (T −t) K.
(Remark: Compare this exercise with exercise 11.6 in the previous section, and
see that the foreign risk-free rate can be treated as a continuous dividend-yield
on the spot exchange rate.)
i.e. if a ≤ X(T ) ≤ b then the holder of this claim will obtain one unit of domestic
currency, otherwise gets nothing. The dynamics under Q of the exchange rate
X are given by
where rd and rf are the domestic and foreign short rates which are assumed to
be deterministic.
22
So, the price, Π(t) of the binary option is given by
Exercise 12.3 Under the objective probability measure we have the following
dynamics for the domestic stock Sd , the foreign stock Sf , the exchange rate X
and the domestic Bd and foreign Bf riskless assets
where rd and rf are the domestic and foreign short rates which are assumed
to be deterministic. The domestic stock denominated in terms of the foreign
currency is given by S˜d = Sd , then by Ito
X
1 Sd (t) Sd (t) −1
dS˜d (t) = dSd (t) − 2 dX(t) + 3 (dX(t))2 − 2 dSd (t)dX(t)
X(t) X (t) X (t) X (t) | {z }
0 for Wd and W indep.
= αd S˜d (t)dt + σd S˜d (t)dWd (t) − αx S˜d (t)dt − σx S˜d (t)dW (t) + σx2 S˜d (t)dt
= αd − αx + σx2 S˜d (t)dt + σd S˜d (t)dWd (t) − σx S˜d (t)dW (t).
The dynamics above are under the objective probability measure. Under Qf
the drift term of all assets denominated in the foreign currency must have rf
(the risk-free rate on the foreign economy) as the drift. Also, we can use the
properties of the Wiener processes to normalize the diffusion part.
23
It follows that
q
dS˜d (t) = rf S˜d (t)dt + σd2 + σx2 S˜d (t)dWf (t).
(a) Note that the cash flow to the lender’s in a FRA (−K at time S and
∗
KeR (T −S)
at time T ) can be replicated by the following portfolio:
* sell K S-bonds
∗
* buy KeR (T −S)
T -bonds
So, at time t < S, the value Π(t), on the lender’s cash flow in a FRA has
to equal to the value of the replicating portfolio and is given buy
∗
Π(t) = KeR (T −S)
p(t, T ) − Kp(t, S).
24
then we have, by Ito, that ln(p(t, T )) has dynamics that are given by
1
d ln(p(t, T )) = m(t, T )dt + v(t, T )dW (t) − v(t, T )v(t, T )∗ dt
2
1 ∗
= m(t, T ) − v(t, T )v(t, T ) dt + v(t, T )dW (t),
2
∂ ln(p(t,T ))
Since f (t, T ) = − ∂T , we also have
Z Z t
∂ ln(p(0, T )) t ∂m(s, T ) ∂v(s, T ) ∂v(s, T )
f (t, T ) = − − −v(s, T ) ds− dW (s)
∂T ∂T
| {z } 0 | {z } | ∂T
{z } 0 ∂T
f (0,T ) mT (s,T ) vT (s,T )∗
Exercise 15.5 Let {y(0, T ; T ≥ 0} denote the zero coupon yield curve.
∂ ln (p(0, T ))
f (0, T ) = −
∂T
∂ ln e−y(0,T )·T
= −
∂T
∂ (y(0, T ) · T )
=
∂T
∂y(0, T )
= y(0, T ) + T · .
∂T
25
(b) If the zero coupon yield curve is an increasing function of T , then we know
that ∂y(0,T
∂T
)
≥ 0, and using the result from (a) we have that f (0, T ) ≥
y(0, T ) for any T > 0.
It remains to prove that yM (0, T ) ≤ y(0, T ). This will follow from the
price of a coupon bond is given by
n
X
pT (t) = Kp(t, Tn ) + ci p(t, Ti ).
i=1
So,
n
X n
X
K e|−y(0,T
{z
n )·Tn
}+ ci e|−y(0,T i )·Ti
{z } = Ke
−yM (0,Tn )·Tn
+ ci e−yM (0,Tn )·Ti
p(0,Tn ) i=1 p(0,Ti ) i=1
By comparing the LHS and the RHS and since ci ≥ 0, and y(0, Tn ) ≥
y(0, Tn−1 ) ≥ · · · ≥ y(0, T1 ) (by assumption), we must have that y(0, Tn ) ≥
yM (0, Tn ) since it is valid for any Tn we can write that y(0, T ) ≥ yM (0, T )
for any T .
Exercise 16.2 The object of the exercise is to connect the forward rates to the
risk neutral valuation of bond prices.
26
and hence, using the definition of a instantaneous forward rate (and as-
suming that we can differentiate under the expectation sign) we get
∂ ln (p(t, T ))
f (t, T ) = −
∂T " ( Z )#!
T
∂ Q
= − ln Et exp − r(s)ds
∂T t
h n R oi
T
EtQ r(T ) exp − t r(s)ds
= h n R oi .
T
EtQ exp − t r(s)ds
(b) To check that indeed we have f (t, t) = r(t) use the expression above
h n R oi
T
EtQ r(T ) exp − t r(s)ds
f (t, T ) = h n R oi ,
T
EtQ exp − t r(s)ds
and set T = t:
h n R oi
t
EtQ r(t) exp − t r(s)ds
f (t, t) = h n R oi
t
EtQ exp − t r(s)ds
Exercise 16.3 Recall that in a swap of a fixed rate vs. a short rate we have:
• B invests the principal at a stochastic short rate of interest over the interval
[0, T ]. B has thus an amount KB at time T and at that time (T ) pays the
surplus KB − K to A.
• The swap rate for this contract is defined as the value, R, of the fixed rate
which gives this contract value zero at t = 0.
RT
r(s)ds
At maturity party A has Φ(T ) = KB − KeR·T where KB = Ke 0 . Thus,
the value of this contract at time 0 is given by
RT RT
Q − r(s)ds r(s)ds
Π(0) = E0,r e 0 Ke 0 − KeR·T
| {z }
Φ(T )
27
RT
Q R·T − r(s)ds
= E0,r K − Ke 0
RT
Q − r(s)ds
= K · E0,r 1 − eR·T e 0
RT
Q − r(s)ds
= K · 1 − eR·T E0,r e 0
| {z }
p(0,T )
with a > 0.
(a) Using the SDE above and multiplying both sides by eat we have that
28
and
Z t
V [r(t)] = σ 2 e−2at e2as ds
0
σ2
= 1 − e−2at .
2a
(b) As t → ∞ we have
bh i b
lim E [r(t)] = r(0) lim e−at + 1 − lim e−at = ,
t→∞ t→∞ a t→∞ a
and
σ2 σ2
lim V [r(t)] = 1 − lim e−2at = .
t→∞ 2a t→∞ 2a
h i
b σ2
So, N a , 2a is the limiting distribution of r.
(c) The results in (a) and (b) are based on the assumption
h i that the value r(0)2
is known. If, instead we have that r(0) ∼ N ab , σ2a , then for any t we
have that
b b
E [r(t)] = E [r(0)] e−at + 1 − e−at = ,
a a
and
σ2
V [r(t)] = e−2at V [r(0)] + 1 − e−2at
2a
σ 2 e−2at σ2 σ2
= + 1 − e−2at = .
2a 2a 2a
(d) To be done!
Exercise 17.2 From Exercise 17.1 we know that for the Vasicek model, and
t < u we have
Z u
bh i
r(u) = r(t)e−a(u−t) + 1 − e−a(u−t) + σ e−a(u−s) dW (s).
a t
By definition, RT
Q − r(u)du
p(t, T ) = Et,r e t .
RT
Let us define Z(t, T ) = − t r(u)du, from exercise 17.1 we know that r is
normally distributed, so Z is also normally distributed since
Z T " Z T # Z TZ u
at −au b at −au
Z(t, T ) = −r(t)e e du − 1−e e du + σ e−a(u−s) dW (s)du
t a t t t
Z TZ u
r(t) h −a(T −t)
i b b2 h −a(T −t)
i
= − 1−e − (T − t) − 1−e +σ e−a(u−s) dW (s)du
a a a t t
29
and has
i
Q 1h −a(T −t) b b2 h i
Et,r [Z(t, T )] = − 1−e r(t) − (T − t) − 1 − e−a(T −t)
a | a a{z }
| {z }
deterministic function of t and T deterministic function of t and T
and
" Z Z #
u T
Q −a(u−s)
Vt,r [Z(t, T )] = V σ e dudW (s)
t t
Z Z !2
u T
−a(u−s)
= σ e du ds .
t t
| {z }
deterministic function of t and T
Since Z(t, T ) is normally distributed ∀t,T (from the properties of the normal
distribution), we have that
h i Q 1 Q
Q
p(t, T ) = Et,r eZ(t,T ) = eEt,r [Z(t,T )]+ 2 Vt,r [Z(t,T )]
⇒
Q 1 Q
ln(p(t, T )) = Et,r [Z(t, T )] + Vt,r [Z(t, T )]
2
1 h i
= − 1 − e−a(T −t) r(t) +
a
| {z }
B(t,T )
Z u Z !2
b 2 h i T
+ − (T − t) − b 1 − e−a(T −t) + 1 σ −a(u−s)
e du ds
a a 2 t .
t
| {z }
A(t,T )
Alternative Solution
From Exercise 17.1 we know that for the Vasicek model, and t < u we have
Z u
bh i
r(u) = r(t) e|−a(u−t)
{z } a+ 1 − e−a(u−t)
+ σ e−a(u−s) dW (s) .
D(u) | {z t }
F (u)
where D(u) is deterministic and F (u) is stochastic and both are non dependent
on r.
By definition,
RT
Q − r(u)du
p(t, T ) = Et,r e t
30
RT
Q − [r(t)D(u)+F (u)du]
= Et,r e t
R R
− tT D(u)du r(t) Q − tT F (u)du
= |e {z E
} t,r e .
B | {z }
A
RT
In part A, since − t F (u)du is normally distributed (note it is a “sum” of
Wiener increments), we know (from the properties of the normal distribution)
that there exist a A(t, T ) such that
RT
Q − F (u)du
Et,r e t = eA(t,T ) .
RT
From part B we immediatelly see that B(t, T ) = t D(u)du.
Exercise 17.3 The problem with the Dothan’s model is that when r follows a
GBM, like
dr(t) = ar(t)dt + σr(t)dW (t),
the solution to the SDE is, for any t < u,
1 2
r(u) = r(t)e(a− 2 σ )(u−t)+σ(W (u)−W (t)) ,
to use the same procedure as in exercise 17.2 we would have to compute the
above expected value, i.e., the expected value of an integral (that is a “sum”)
of lognormally distributed variables, which is a mess!
31
which is a linear diffusion.
RT
(a) By the HJM drift condition, α(t, T ) = σ(t, T ) t σ 0 (t, u)du ∀t, T , which
for deterministic σ(t, T ), means that α(t, T ) is also deterministic.
To see the distribution of the forward rates note that
Z t Z t
f (t, T ) = f (0, T ) + α(s, T )ds + σ(s, T )dW (s)
0 0
Z t Z T Z t
0
= f (0, T ) + σ(s, T ) σ (s, u)duds + σ(s, T )dW (s).
0 s 0
| {z }
µ(t,T )
32
Note that f (0, T ) is observable and that the double integral is determin-
Rt
istic, so the only stochastic part is 0 σ(s, T )dW (s).
h Rt i
Hence f (t, T ) ∼ N µ(t, T ), 0 σ 2 (s, T )ds .
Since r(t) = f (t, t) we immediately have that r(t) is also normally distrib-
uted.
n R o
T
(b) Since we have p(t, T ) = exp − t f (t, s)ds , and in (a) we have already
shown that f (t, s) is normally distributed, then p(t, T ) is lognormally dis-
tributed.
where, σx (t) is the vector of volatilities of in the SDE for the exchange-rate
X(denoted in units of domestic currency per unit of foreign currency).
We also know that any process, so in particular forward rates, has under Q (the
domestic martingale measure), the drift term equal to (µ(t, T ) − σ(t, T )λd (t)),
where µ(t, T ) is the drift term under the objective probability measure and that
the volatility term remains the same. So, in particular, for the foreign forward
rates must have under the domestic martingale measure, Q,
dff (t, T ) = (µf (t, T ) − σf (t, T )λd (t)) dt + σf (t, T )dW (t),
dff (t, T ) = (µf (t, T ) − σf (t, T )λf (t)) dt + σf (t, T )dW f (t).
| {z }
α̃f (t,T )
So, using the relation between λd and λf we can also establish a relation between
αf and α̃f ,
33
We also have that, under the foreign martingale measure, Qf , the coefficients of
the foreign martingale measure must satisfy the standard HJM drift condition
so: Z T
α̃f (t, T ) = σf (t, T ) σf0 (t, s)ds.
t
Using teh relation found between αf and α̃f and using the drift condition above
we get
Z T
α̃f (t, T ) = σf (t, T ) σf0 (t, s)ds
t
Z T
αf (t, T ) + σf (t, T )σx0 (t) = σf (t, T ) σf0 (t, s)ds
"tZ #
T
αf (t, T ) = σf (t, T ) σf0 (t, s)ds − σx0 (t) .
t
19 Change of Numeraire
And we know that on this model we have an affine term structure for bond-prices
with B(t, T ) = T − t.
• date of maturity T1
• strike price K
34
and T1 < T2 .
Z = max [p(T1 , T2 ) − K; 0] ,
Note that dividing p(T1 , T1 ) in the last step of the equation “changes noth-
ing”(since p(T, T ) = 1 for all T ) but has the advantage of seeing our claim as
a claim on the process Z, which we know is a martingale under QT1 , and as
long as it has deterministic volatility the Black-Scholes formula can help us. To
check this note that
p(t, T2 )
Z(t) =
p(t, T1 )
can also be written as (just using the fact that we have an ATS)
and, therefore, has the following dynamics under Q(applying Ito formula)
35
where
ln Z(t)
2
+ 12 σ 2 (T2 − T1 ) (T1 − t)
p(t,T2 )
ln Kp(t,T 1)
+ 12 σ 2 (T2 − T1 )2 (T1 − t)
K
q q
d1 (t, T1 ) = =
2 2
σ 2 (T2 − T1 ) (T1 − t) σ 2 (T2 − T1 ) (T1 − t)
q
2
and d2 (t, T1 ) = d1 (t, T1 ) − σ 2 (T2 − T1 ) (T1 − t).
(a) From the relation between the dynamics of bond prices and forward rates
we know that
So,
(b) We will use exactly the same technique as in exercise 19.1 to price an
European call option with maturity T0 on a T1 -bond.
p(t,T1 )
Note that in this model the Z process Z(t) = p(t,T0 ) is a martingale under
T0
Q and its dynamics has deterministic volatility given by
Z T1
σT1 ,T0 (t) = S(t, T1 ) − S(t, T0 ) = − [ σ1 (s − t) σ2 e−a(s−t) ] ds
T0
36
Hence (by the same arguments as in exercise 19.1)
Z T0
Z(T0 ) ∼ N Z(t), 2
||σT1 ,T0 (s)|| ds
|t {z }
Σ2T
0 ,T1
where
p(t,T2 )
ln Z(t) 1 2
K + 2 ΣT0 ,T1
ln Kp(t,T 1)
+ 12 Σ2T0 ,T1
d1 (t, T0 ) = q = q
Σ2T0 ,T1 Σ2T0 ,T1
q
and d2 (t, T1 ) = d1 (t, T1 ) − Σ2T0 ,T1 .
37
20 Extra Exercises
20.1 Exercises
Exercise 20.4 Compute the infitesimal generator of the following known processes
38
(e) Graph of the Brownian Motion
dX1 (t) = dt X1 (0) = t0
dX2 (t) = dB(t) X2 (0) =
Exercise 20.6 Derive the formulas of the greeks of an European call with strike
price K and time of maturity T . That is, prove that following relations, (with
notation as in the Black–Scholes formula and where the letter ϕ denotes the
density function of the N [0, 1] distribution,) holds
∆ = N (d1 ),
ϕ(d1 )
Γ = √ ,
sσ T − t
ρ = K(T − t)e−r(T −t) N (d2 ),
sϕ(d1 )σ
Θ = − √ − rKe−r(T −t) N (d2 ),
2 T −t
√
V = sϕ(d1 ) T − t.
Hint: Prove that sϕ(d1 ) = Ke−r(T −t) ϕ(d2 ), and use this to prove the results.
Exercise 20.8 Derive the formula for the value of a call option on a stock in a
world were we do not assume deterministic interest rates.
20.2 Solution
By setting m(t) = E [X(t)] and after some calculations we obtain the answer
39
Exercise 20.2 Take Y (t) = ln X(t), then by Itô we have
1
dY (t) = µ − σ 2 dt + σdW (t)
2
Integrating we get for T > t:
Z T Z T
1
Y (T ) = Y (t) + µ − σ 2 ds + σdW (t)
t 2 t
1
= Y (t) + µ − σ 2 (T − t) + σ(W (T ) − W (t))
2
In terms of X we have
1
ln X(t) + µ − σ 2 (T − t) + σ(W (T ) − W (t))
ln X(T ) =
2
1
X(T ) = |{z}
x exp µ − σ 2 (T − t) + σ(W (T ) − W (t)) .
2
X(t)
E [ Xn+1 | Fn ] = Xn ⇔
|{z} E [ Xn+1 − Xn | Fn ] = 0.
Since Xn ∈ Fn
Hence
E [ Xn+1 − Xn | Fn ] = E Xn eλZn+1 − ϕ(λ) Fn
= Xn E eλZn+1 − E eλZn Fn
= Xn E eλZn+1 Fn − E eλZn Fn
| {z }
0, since {Zn } are iid
= 0 and we conclude that X is an Fn martingale.
40
Exercise 20.4
2
1∂ f
(a) Af (x) = 2 ∂x2 (x).
2
(b) Af (x) = µx ∂f 1 2 2∂ f
∂x + 2 σ x ∂x2 (x).
2
(c) Af (x) = 12 σ 2 ∂∂xf2 (x) + c (µ − x) ∂f
∂x .
2
(d) Af (x) = −αx ∂f 1 2∂ f
∂x + 2 σ ∂x2 (x).
1
(e) In vector notation we have dX(t) = bdt + σdW (t), where b = and
0
0 0
σ= . And it follows that
0 1
∂f 1 ∂2f
Af (x1 , x2 ) = (x1 , x2 ) + (x1 , x2 ),
∂x1 2 ∂x2 2
or since X1 = t
∂f 1 ∂2f
Af (t, x) = (t, x) + (t, x).
∂t 2 ∂x2
Exercise 20.5 In the case of a standard call option on a stock with price
process S with maturity T and exercise price K, we have that the option’s
price at time t and given S(t) = s, is
Q
c(t, s) = e−r(T −t) Et,s [max (S(T ) − K, 0)] . (1)
In order to compute the expectation in equation (1), recal that since S follows
a GBM we get
1 2
S(T ) = S(t) exp (r − σ )(T − t) + σ(W (T ) − W (t)) .
|{z} 2
s
˜ )
So, S(T ) has the same distributions of the the normalized variable S(T
1 √
S̃(T ) = s exp (r − σ 2 )(T − t) + σ T − t Z ,
2
41
h i
Q Q
And hence we have Et,s [max (S(T ) − K, 0)] = Et,s max S̃(T ) − K, 0 .
Note also
h i h i h i
Q Q Q
Et,s max S̃(T ) − K, 0 = Et,s S̃(T )|S̃(T ) ≥ K −K Et,s 1|S̃(T ) ≥ K .
| {z } | {z }
A B
where
K
√ ln − (r − 12 σ 2 )(T − t)
s
√
d1 (t, T ) = −Z0 + σ T − t = − √ +σ T −t
σ T −t
ln K + (r + 12 σ 2 )(T − t)
s
= √
σ T −t
42
And if also define
s
√ ln K + (r − 12 σ 2 )(T − t)
d2 (t, T ) = −Z0 = d1 (t, T ) − σ T − t = √ ,
σ T −t
we finally get the Black-Scholes formula (with d1 and d2 as just defined)
n o
c(t, s) = e−r(T −t) ser(T −t) N [d1 (t, T )] − K N [d2 (t, T )]
= sN [d1 (t, T )] − K e−r(T −t) N [d2 (t, T )] .
where
1 S 1
d1 (t, s) = √
ln + r + σ 2 (T − t)
σ T −t K 2
√
and d2 (t, s) = d1 (t, s) − σ T − t
d2
1 2
ϕ(d2 ) = √ e− 2
2π
√ 2
1 − (d1 −σ T −t)
= √ e 2
2π
1 − d21 − σ2 (T −t) −d1 σ√T −t
= √ e 2 e 2 e
2π
| {z }
ϕ(d1 )
σ 2 (T − t) √ K
− − d1 σ T − t = ln (−r(T − t))
2 s
σ 2 (T −t)
ln K
s + (r(T − t)) − 2
d1 = √
σ T −t
43
which is true by definition of d1 and concludes the proof.
With the relation (2) in mind we can now go for the task of calculating the
greeks of a call option.
• Delta
The delta measures the impact in the value of the derivative that results
from price variations of the underlying, differentiating w.r.t s the Black-
Scholes formula, we have
∂c(t, s) ∂N [d1 ] ∂d1 (t, s) ∂N [d2 ] ∂d2 (t, s)
∆c = = N [d1 ] + s − Ke−r(T −t) .
∂s ∂d1 ∂s ∂d2 ∂s
∂N [d1 ] ∂N [d2 ]
Note that ∂d1 = ϕ(d1 ) and likewise ∂d2 = ϕ(d2 ) and we also have
that
∂d1 (t, s) ∂d2 (t, s) 1
= = √
∂s ∂s sσ T − t
Joining the pieces and using equation (2) we get the result:
1 1
∆c √
= N [d1 ] + sϕ(d1 ) − Ke−r(T −t) ϕ(d2 ) √
sσ T − t sσ T − t
1 h i
= N [d1 ] + √ sϕ(d1 ) − Ke−r(T −t) ϕ(d2 )
sσ T − t | {z }
0
• Gamma
The gamma measures the impact in the value of the delta that results
from price variations of the underlying, differentiating w.r.t s ∆c found
above we get, immediately get the result:
∂∆c ∂N [d1 ] ∂d1 (t, s) 1
= = ϕ(d1 ) √ .
∂s ∂d1 ∂s sσ T − t
• Rho
The rho measures the impact in the value of the derivative that results
from interest rate variations, differentiating w.r.t r, the Black-Scholes for-
mula we get
∂d1 ∂d2
ρc = Sϕ(d1 ) + K(T − t)e−r(T −t) N [d2 ] − Ke−r(T −t) ϕ(d2 )
∂r ∂r
Since ∂d ∂d2
∂r = ∂r and from the relation (2) the first and third parcels on
1
44
• Theta
The theta measures the impact in the value of the derivative that results
from the decrease in time to maturity, differentiation w.r.t ”time to ma-
turity” is the same as differentiation w.r.t. −T . So, differentiating the
Black-Scholes formula w.r.t. (-T) we get
∂d1 ∂d2
Θc = − Sϕ(d1 ) + Ke−r(T −t) N [d2 ] − Ke−r(T −t) ϕ(d2 )
∂T ∂T
∂d2 ∂d1 √1
Since ∂T = ∂T − 2 T −t
and using the relation (2) we get
∂d1 ∂d1 1
Θc = − Sϕ(d1 ) + Ke−r(T −t) N [d2 ] − Ke−r(T −t)ϕ(d2 ) − √
∂T ∂T 2 T −t
Sϕ(d1
= − √ − rKe−r(T −t) N [d2 ] .
2 T −t
• Vega
The vega measures the impact in the value of the derivative that results
from volatility variations, differentiating w.r.t σ, the Black-Scholes formula
we get
∂d1 ∂d2
νc = Sϕ(d1 ) − Ke−r(T −t)ϕ(d2 )
∂r ∂r
∂d2 ∂d1
√
Since ∂r = ∂r − T − t and from the relation (2) result follows
√
νc = Sϕ(d1 ) T − t.
Exercise 20.7 We have to show that Fδ (t, s) = F0 (t, se−δ(T −t) ), i.e, that the
pricing function when we have a continuous dividend process δ is just the “stan-
dard” (no-dividend) price function where we replace s by se−δ(T −t) . To see this,
let us denote S the price of a stock that pays a continuous dividend δ, and S̄
the price of an otherwise equivalent stock but that does not pay any dividend.
Q
F0 (t, s) = e−r(T −t) Et,s Φ(S̄(T ))
= {with dS̄(t) = rS̄(t)dt + σS̄(t)dW Q (t)}
S̄(T )
z }| {
Q (r− 12 σ 2 )(T −t)+σ(W (T )−W (t)
= e−r(T −t) Et,s Φ
se (3)
45
Q
Fδ (t, s) = e−r(T −t) Et,s [Φ(S(T ))]
= {with dS(t) = (r − δ) S(t)dt + σS(t)dW Q (t)}
S(T )
z }| {
Q (r−δ− 12 σ 2 )(T −t)+σ(W (T )−W (t))
= e−r(T −t) Et,s Φ se (4)
By comparing the arguments of the function Φ(·) in (3) and (4) we immediately
get the result since,
h 1 2
i
Q
F0 (t, se−δ(T −t) ) = e−r(T −t) Et,s Φ e−δ(T −t) se(r− 2 σ )(T −t)+σ(W (T )−W (t))
S̄(T )
z }| {
Q (r−δ− 12 σ 2 )(T −t)+σ(W (T )−W (t)
= e−r(T −t) Et,s Φ se
= Fδ (t, s)
Exercise 20.8
X = max [S(T ) − K; 0]
= [S(T ) − K] .I {S(T ) ≥ K}
where
1 if S(T ) ≥ T
I {S(T ) ≥ K} =
0 if S(T ) < K
We obtain,
RT
− r(s)ds
Π(0, X ) = EtQ
e 0 [S(T ) − K] .I {S(T ) ≥ K}
RT RT
Q − r(s)ds Q − r(s)ds
= Et e 0 S(T ).I {S(T ) ≥ K} − Et e 0 K.I {S(T ) ≥ K}
= {we change the measure on the first term to QS , where S is the numeraire}
{for the second term we change measure but take the T -zero-coupon bond as the numeraire}
46
But, under the T -forward measure we have
1
That is YS,T (t) = ZS,T (t). Since the process YS,T is a normalized variable when
S is the numeraire we have, under QS
and from it is easy to show (why?) that δS,T = −σS,T , thus we have
( Z Z T )
1 T 2 S
YS,T (T ) = YS,T (0) exp − kσS,T k (t)dt − σS,T (t)dW .
2 0 0
47
So,
1 1
QS YS,T (T ) ≤ = QS ln(YS,T (T )) ≤ ln( )
K K
1 2 RT
= ln(YS,T (T ))|Ft ∼ N ln(YS,T (0)) − Σ , Σ2 Σ2S,T = kσS,T k2 (t)dt
2 S,T S,T 0
| {z }
α
− ln K − α
= N q
Σ2S,T
= {note that α = −µ − ΣS,T }
− ln K + µ + Σ2S,T
= N q
Σ2S,T
| {z }
d1
q
and we see that actually we have d1 = d2 + Σ2S,T .
48
21 Exams
21.1 Exercises
dX = αX(t)dt + σX γ dW
Exercise 21.2 The well known company Cathy and Heathcliff INC. are trad-
ing the new derivative, “the Fraction”, which is defined by two fixed dates T0
and T1 with T0 < T1 . The holder of a Fraction contract will, at the date T1
obtain the amount
S(T1 )
X=
S(T0 )
(a) Determine the arbitrage free price, at time t < T0 of the Fraction contract.
You live in a standard Black-Scholes world with short rate r.
(b) Try to construct the replicating portfolio for the Fraction contract. (It can
be done almost by inspection).
Exercise 21.3 Consider the following SDE under the objective probability
measure P .
dXt = µ(Xt )dt + σ(Xt )dWt
Z = Φ(XT )
49
where Φ(x) is some given deterministic function. In our interpetation this could
be interpreted as a holidy insurance, which gives the holder an amount of money
if the temperature is below some benchmark value.
(a) Is it possible to obtain a unique arbitrage free price process Π (t; Z) for the
derivative above? You must motivate your answer.
(b) Use the standard ideas from interest rate theory to analyze the situation
above as completely as possible. In particular you should come up with a
PDE for pricing of derivatives. Indicate clearly which objects in the PDE
that are known to you, and how it in priciple would be possible to obtain
further necessary information.
Consider two fixed points in time, T1 and T2 with T1 < T2 and define the
T2 -claim X by
X = max [ST1 , ST2 ] .
Compute the arbitrage free price Π (t; X) of X at time t where t ≤ T1 . You are
allowed to use the standard Black-Scholes formula without proof (see below).
Black-Scholes formula:
50
21.1.2 January 10, 10.00-15.00, 2003
dX = αXdt + σXdW, X 0 = x0
dY = βY dt + γY dW, Y0 = y0
Exercise 21.7 The rather unknown company William S. INC has blessed the
market with the new derivative, ”As You Like It” (AYLI). The AYLI is defined
in terms of an underlying stock with price process S, and it is specified by two
dates, T0 and T1 with T0 < T1 and an exercise price K. The holder of the AYLI
may at time T0 choose th have either a call option on S with strike price K and
exercise date T1 or a put option on S with strike price K and exercise date T1 .
Derive a formula, for the price at time t < T0 for the AYLI. The stock price is
assumed to follow standard GBM
dS = αSdt + σSdW,
and the short rate r is assumed to be constant. If, for some reason, you want to
use the Black-Scholes formula for a call option, you may do so without proof.
Exercise 21.8 Consider a bond market with bond prices as usual denoted by
p(t, T ).
(a) Define the forward rates f (t, T ) in terms of bond prices, and derive a for-
mula expressing bond prices in terms of forward rates.
51
(b) Assume that the forward rates under Q have the dynamics
Exercise 21.9 Specify the assumptions in the Black-Scholes model, and derive
the Black-Scholes partial differential equation for the price of a simple claim of
the form X = Φ(ST ).
Exercise 21.10 Consider the following model for two stock prices (without
dividends)
dS1 = α1 S1 dt + S1 σ1 dW,
dS2 = α2 S2 dt + S2 σ2 dW.
Here α1 and α2 are known real numbers, whereas σ1 and σ2 are two-dimensional
constant row vectors. W is a standard two dimensional Wiener process. The
short rate is assumed to be constant. The models is assumed to be arbitrage
free. Consider the T -claim X defined by the following points:
52
21.1.3 March 18, 2002
All notation should be clearly defined. Arguments should be complete and care-
ful.
Exercise 21.11 Consider the following boundary value problem in the domain
[0, T ] × R for an unknown function F (t, x).
∂F ∂F 1 ∂2F
+ µ(t, x) + σ 2 (t, x) 2 + k(t, x)F (t, x) = 0,
∂t ∂x 2 ∂x
F (T, x) = Φ(x).
If you think this problem is hard you may (with loss of 10 points) assume that
k(t, x) = 0. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (40p)
Exercise 21.12 Assume that the short rate under the objective measure P has
the dynamics
dr = µ(t, r)dt + σ(t, r)dW (t)
Derive the “term structure equation” for the determination of bond prices. (40p)
We want to price a European call option with exercise price K and exercise date
T on the underlying stock. Let us also assume that the stock pays a continuous
dividend yield δ, i.e. that the cumulative dividend stream has the structure
dDt = δSt dt
where δ > 0.
53
(a) Discuss verbally what relation you would expect to hold between the option
price in the case of a dividend yield compared to the option price in the
case when the dividend yield is zero. (Which would be greater and why?)
(5p)
(b) Derive a pricing formula (as explicit as possible) for the call option in the
case of a nonzero dividend yield. You are allowed to use and refer to the
standard Black-Scholes formula without proof (see below). . . . . . . . . (35p)
Exercise 21.14 Consider two markets: a domestic market with short rate rd ,
and a foreign market with short rate rf . The exchange rate X is defined as the
domestic price of one unit of the foreign currency.
We take as given the following dynamics (under the objective probability mea-
sure P )
We want to price (in domestic terms) a European Call Option on one unit of
the foreign currency, with strike price K and exercise date T . The contract Y
is thus given by
Y = max[X(T ) − K, 0]
Derive an explicit pricing formula for the option. The standard Black-Scholes
formula for stock options (see below) can be used without further motivation.
(40p)
Consider two fixed points in time, T1 and T2 with T1 < T2 and define the
T2 -claim X by
X = max [ST1 , ST2 ] .
54
Compute the arbitrage free price Π (t; X) of X at time t where t ≤ T1 . You are
allowed to use the standard Black-Scholes formula without proof (see below).
(40p)
Black-Scholes formula:
Here N is the cumulative distribution function for the N [0, 1] distribution and
1 s 1 2
d1 (t, s) = √ ln + r + σ (T − t) ,
σ T −t K 2
√
d2 (t, s) = d1 (t, s) − σ T − t.
Exercise 21.1
(a) Using standard technique and using the notation mt = E [Xt ] we obtain
dmt
= αmt ,
dt
m0 = X0
and we get
E [Xt ] = mt = X0 eαt .
(b) There are several ways to solve this, but an easy one is to compute dX 2
as
dX 2 = X 2 2α + σ 2 dt + 2σX 2 dW
This gives us
2
E Xt2 = X02 e(2α+σ )t
so 2
2 2
V ar[Xt ] = X02 e(2α+σ )t
− X0 eαt = X02 e2αt eσ t − 1
Exercise 21.2
55
(a) Since we have a standard Black-Scholes model it is easily seen that
1 2
X = e(r− 2 σ )(T1 −T0 )+σ[W (T1 )−W (T0 )]
,
Q
Π (t; X) = e−r(T1 −t) Et,s [X]
Q
Et,s [X] = er(T1 −T0 )
so the answer is
Π (t; X) = e−r(T0 −t) .
(b) From (a) we know that Π (0; X) = e−rT0 , and the replicating portfolio is
as follows.
Exercise 21.4 The hard part about this problem is that ST1 is not the price of
a traded asset at the time T2 . Therefore we cannot immediately apply the change
of numeraire technique. In order to transform our problem to the standard
setting we therefore introduce a self financing portfolio with value process V .
This portfolio is defined as follows, for a fixed t < T1 :
• Hold this portfolio until T1 . At T1 sell it, and put all the money in the
bank.
56
The point is that V can be regarded as the price of a traded asset. An easy
calculation shows that VT2 = er∆ST1 where ∆ = T2 − T1 . Thus we have ST1 =
e−r∆ VT2 and we can write
X = max e−r∆ VT2 , ST2
V
Π (t; X) = Vt · Et,s max ZT2 , e−r∆
Su
where Zu = Vu and E V denotes the martingale measure with V as the nu-
meraire. An easy calculation gives us
Π (t; X) = Vt e−r∆ + Vt · Et,s
V
max ZT2 − e−r∆, 0
and in the last expectation we recognize a European call on Z with strike e−r∆ .
The normailzed price system has (as usual) zero interest rate, so this option can
be valued using the BS formula and we only have to compute the volatility σZ
of Z. This volatility is time dependent, and from the definition of V it follows
immediately that (
0 for t ≤ u ≤ T1
σZ (u) =
σ for T1 < u ≤ T2
where σ is the original stock price volatility. Thus the integrated volatility to
plug into the BS formula is
Z T2
σ̂ = σZ (u)du = σ · ∆
t
1 1 1 2
d1 (t) = √ ln + σ̂ (T2 − t) ,
σ̂ T2 − t K 2
p
d2 (t) = d1 (t) − σ̂ T2 − t.
57
21.2.2 January 10, 2003
where c(t; K, T ) and p(t; K, T ) denotes the prices at time t of a call (put) with
strike K and exercise date T on the given underlying. We now have put-call-
parity
p(T0 ; K, T1 ) = c(T0 ; K, T1 ) − ST0 + Ke−r(T1 −T0 )
so we obtain
h i
X = max c(T0 ; K, T1 ), c(T0 ; K, T1 ) − ST0 + Ke−r(T1 −T0 )
h i
= c(T0 ; K, T1 ) + max Ke−r(T1 −T0 ) − ST0 , 0
The last term is a put on S with exercise date T0 and strike price Ke−r(T1 −T0 ) .
The AYLI is thus equivalent to a sum of a put and a call (with different strikes
and exercise dates) and we get the price
which, using put call parity and simplifying, can also be written
58
where
1 St 1
d1 (t) = √ ln + r + σ 2 (T1 − t) ,
σ T1 − t K 2
p
d2 (t) = d1 (t) − σ̂ T1 − t
1 St 1 2
d˜1 (t) = √ ln + r + σ (T 0 − t) ,
σ T0 − t Ke−r(T1 −T0 ) 2
p
d˜2 (t) = d˜1 (t) − σ̂ T0 − t
(a) Chapter 15
∂ ln p(t, T )
f (t, T ) = − ,
R ∂T T
− f (t,s)ds
p(t, T ) = e t
(b) Chapter 18
Z T
α(t, T ) = σ(t, T ) σ(t, s)ds
t
Exercise 21.9 See the textbook, Chapter 6. Remember all institutional as-
sumptions about no bid-ask spread, no tax effects, no transaction costs, liquid
market for the stock and option etc.
X = S1 (T ) max {S2 (T ) − K, 0}
59
The expectation above is thus the price of a call on S with volatility kσ2 k strike
price K in a world with zero short rate. The total price is thus given by
where
This is most easily proved by defining X as above and showing that the process
Rs
k(u,Xu )du
Zs = e t F (s, Xs )
Alternatively, it can be solved like Exercise 4.10 was solved in the Seminars
(check solutions given).
Exercise 21.13
60
(a) The stock price of a dividend paying stock should be lower than the corre-
sponding price for a non dividend paying stock (see Chapter 11 for details).
Thus the price of call option should also be lower, recall that the delta of
a call is always positive (chapter 8).
(b) The general formula is (see Ch. 11 and extra exercise on Seminar 4)
F (t, s) = se−δ(T −t) N [d1 (t, s)] − e−r(T −t) KN [d2 (t, s)] .
1 s 1
d1 (t, s) = √ ln + r − δ + σ 2 (T − t) ,
σ T −t K 2
√
d2 (t, s) = d1 (t, s) − σ T − t.
Exercise 21.14 See Chapter 12 in the textbook for the arguments. The final
answer is
F (t, x) = xe−rf (T −t) N [d1 (t, x)] − e−rd (T −t) KN [d2 (t, x)] .
1 x 1
d1 (t, x) = √ ln + rd − rf + σ 2 (T − t) ,
σ T −t K 2
√
d2 (t, x) = d1 (t, x) − σ T − t.
Exercise 21.15 The same as Exercise 4 in the exam from March 2003.
61