Africa-Middle East GRP Work
Africa-Middle East GRP Work
Africa-Middle East GRP Work
After the Islamic Revolution in 1979, Iran was diplomatically isolated across large parts of the
globe, including the Middle East. Africa provided an opportunity to break the isolation
politically and economically. With international sanctions imposed on Tehran, the continent
gained in importance as a market for exports, particularly crude oil, and provided access to raw
materials. Poverty across large parts of the continent, in turn, opened the door to Iranian
influence in many states, especially in the Sahel, despite Tehran’s limited monetary means.
Besides direct military and financial aid, development assistance distributed via Construction
Jihad (Jahad-e Sazandegi), an organisation that was created in the wake of the revolution and
later merged with the Ministry of Agriculture, was a major tool for gaining a foothold.
Missionary activities were another. These were often conducted via Iranian-financed cultural
centres or schools, both in countries with significant Shiite minorities such as Ghana or Nigeria
and in those with Sunni majorities such as Mali or Senegal.
Altogether, the Islamic Republic’s involvement in Africa has fluctuated in scope and intensity
over time, depending on the international pressure on Tehran as well as the foreign policy
orientations of its leadership (Lob 2016). It was strongest during President Ahmadinejad’s
tenure, when, due to the conflict over its nuclear programme, Tehran was in need of international
partners, which it sought in the Côte d‘Ivoire, Lesotho, Mauretania, Namibia, and South Africa, a
non-permanent member of the UN Security Council from 2007 to 2008. States with notable
uranium deposits, such as Malawi, Niger, Sierra Leone, Togo, and Uganda, became another focal
point under Ahmadinejad – as did African “rogue states” such as Sudan or Eritrea, mostly
because of their geostrategic location.
During President Rouhani’s first term (2013–2017), Iran’s engagement in Africa abated. With
the international nuclear deal in the offing, the continent’s political and economic importance to
Iran decreased considerably. Iranian trade figures provide a clear indication of this.
Paradoxically, it was at approximately the same time that Saudi Arabia began to rediscover its
strategic interest in Africa, after a prolonged period of outright strategic neglect.
Saudi Arabia’s Africa Policy: Faysal, Hiatus, and Mohammad bin Salman
The beginnings of Saudi Arabia’s Africa policy date back to King Faysal (1964–1975), who is
credited with having established the bulk of diplomatic relations with African states in the
aftermath of the 1967 Six-Day War in an effort to isolate Israel. Faysal is thus deemed
responsible for the first coherent policy toward the continent, which was, however, abandoned
soon after his death. This is not to say that Riyadh was ever completely absent from the
continent. The kingdom has always sought to secure its vital interests in its immediate
neighborhood – that is, the (Greater) Horn of Africa, and especially Somalia, where it backed the
US in containing the USSR during the Cold War and, later, attempted to bring about agreements
among warring factions in the first decade of this century.
Apart from being export markets for crude oil and hydrocarbon products, African states’ role in
food security was another reason why some of them remained on the Saudi agenda. When prices
for staple foods doubled on the world market in 2007, the kingdom, via the Agricultural
Development Fund, launched the King Abdullah Initiative for Saudi Agricultural Investments
Abroad, providing subsidies to Saudi companies prepared to invest in foreign farmland. At that
time, Saudi agricultural investments had already been initiated in Sudan, Ethiopia, Tanzania,
Uganda, South Africa, Senegal, Mali, Kenya, and Niger.
Africa was also affected by Wahhabi proselytization. Yet compared to other world regions,
African states have not been at the Centre of Saudi attention in this respect for a long time.
Although Riyadh has invested large sums in the building of educational infrastructure in, for
instance, West Africa, as well as in the training of African scholars in the kingdom, the Saudi
factor is just one among many responsible for the surge of local jihadism (Sounaye 2017). Given
that proselytization, as well as the direct support of Islamist groups abroad, is often seen as a
major Saudi foreign policy tool, such comparatively limited efforts suggest that Africa was far
from a top priority for Riyadh.
Saudi Arabia rediscovered its strategic interest in Africa in the wake of the Arab uprisings in
2011, chiefly out of fear of Iranian encroachment on the continent. Saudi embassies in Africa
had already warned Riyadh of the increasing proselytization of local Iranian cultural centres,
demanding Saudi political responses (Raymond and Watling 2015). Yet it took some years
before Riyadh also funneled commensurate resources to back its new strategic interest. Still, in
2013 a report by the General Department for African States in the Saudi Ministry of Foreign
Affairs lamented that Saudi embassies in Africa were ill-equipped and unable to counter Iranian
moves, let alone China’s advances to Africa (Wikileaks n.d.). In fact, the country’s new focus on
Africa only became visible in 2015. It thus coincided with the coming to power of Muhammad
bin Salman, the crown prince and de facto leader of the kingdom, and the beginning of the war in
Yemen.
The Saudi-led military campaign against the Houthis in Yemen, whom the kingdom considers to
be Iranian proxies, drastically altered the geostrategic importance of the Horn of Africa in the
eyes of Riyadh – and of Abu Dhabi, Riyadh’s main Gulf ally and crucial partner in this war.
Although the UAE has become one of the most active external actors on the continent in its own
right, with major economic stakes in Africa, it appears that Abu Dhabi has so far been closely
coordinating its policies with Riyadh. Because Saudi Arabia and the UAE are ultimately
pursuing their own interests in Africa, it is fair to assume that conflict dynamics in the Middle
East, and the war in Yemen in particular, have facilitated the building of common ground,
especially on the African shore of the Red Sea.
In the past four years, Riyadh and Abu Dhabi have made great efforts to upend Iran’s relations
with Sudan, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Djibouti, and Somalia. These efforts were largely successful at
first, as the bulk of the above-mentioned states lessened their ties with Tehran, making it more
difficult, for instance, for Iranian vessels to navigate the Red Sea. Also, the UAE now runs
military bases in Eritrea (Assab) and Somaliland (Berbera), and Saudi Arabia is about to open its
first military base in Djibouti. Yet the conflict constellations in the Red Sea are complex and
rapidly shifting, and the recent diplomatic tensions between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi on the one
hand and Djibouti, Sudan, and Somalia on the other have opened up space for regional
competitors, including Turkey, to regain influence in the Horn.
For instance, the number of Turkish embassies in Africa has risen from 12 in 2009 to 40 in 2018.
Turkey’s bilateral trade with African countries reached a volume of USD 18.8 billion in 2017,
marking a three-fold increase since 2003, whereas Turkish investments are estimated to have
surpassed USD 6 billion by early 2018. The Justice and Development Party (AKP) government
also dwells on its increased official development assistance to African countries or on Erdoğan,
who has visited 23 African states 39 times, as “the leader who visited Africa the most in the
world” (_Daily Sabah_2018).
Notwithstanding the Turkish media’s proclivity to depict Erdoğan as Africa’s best friend,
however, Turkey’s policy toward the continent is not altruistic. Ankara’s Africa policy in the
first decade of this century was mainly motivated by the prospect of economic gains and political
visibility in international affairs (Korkut and Civelekoglu 2013). Such strategic concerns seem to
have become even more pressing over the past few years. Africa’s economic potential surely
remains a driving force behind its “Opening to Africa,” but it is not the sole explanation for
Ankara’s recent advances. In fact, Turkish exports to sub-Saharan states have stagnated in the
past few years, whereas Turkish investments have concentrated chiefly on North Africa. While
Erdoğan’s latest visits to Africa may thus have aimed to push the Turkish economy, they have
also served to strengthen political relations with new allies following Turkey’s falling-out with
the EU and the escalation of Middle Eastern power struggles.
Middle Eastern Rivalries beyond the Middle East
We thus have a mixed bag of reasons accounting for past periods of Iranian, Saudi, and Turkish
engagement, in Africa. Besides being targets for proselytization, which has chiefly been
conducted by Tehran and Riyadh and which seems to have been a means rather than an
end. African states have often been seen as a source of international allies. Moreover, economic
motivations have dominated the Iranian and Turkish agendas, as well as Saudi Arabia’s. The
latter’s exports to sub-Saharan states by far eclipse those of Iran and Turkey. Yet if we look at
these countries’ trade figures for sub-Saharan states as a percentage of their total trade, it is hard
to see how economic motivations alone can explain their recently stepped-up efforts. This holds
especially true for Saudi Arabia as its oil-based economy is hardly complementary to those of
many African states, which are also generally based on natural resources, and often
hydrocarbons.toward Africa, for it is mainly bent on containing its regional competitors and on
using the continent’s resources to further its claim to leadership in the Middle East. But Riyadh’s
latest moves have provoked strategic reactions from Ankara and Tehran. As a consequence,
Africa is increasingly becoming a theatre of Middle Eastern conflicts.
Scholars of international relations have long ignored the meaning of regions for world politics,
which have quite often been seen as merely another stage for great-power competition. There are
still only a few approaches that account for the interest of systemic actors, including non-great
powers, in a given region. According to one prominent rationale, extra-regional actors develop
their interest in a region based on its importance for strengthening their position internationally
and in their home region. Put differently, a region gains or loses in importance for external actors
depending on its intrinsic, extrinsic, and negative value (Merom 2003).
Saudi Arabia’s Africa policy succumbs to this logic in many ways. First, official Saudi narratives
regularly portray Africa as a region with negative value due to its importance to Riyadh’s
adversaries. In fact, Africa only resurfaced on the Saudi agenda after Riyadh had fully realised
its strategic meaning for Tehran and Ankara. In 2012, for instance, a Saudi diplomat applauded
Riyadh’s turn to Africa, arguing that “as a result of our big absence we will lose the competition
with other states if we miss the chance to powerfully penetrate Africa, which would only mean a
natural geopolitical expansion to us” (Kabli 2012). Appraising Riyadh’s new Africa policy, the
newly appointed minister for African affairs, Ahmad Qattan, recently stated, “we are now on the
right track – the more so as we have not adapted ourselves to the African continent in the past
decades as was necessary, providing an opportunity to others, some of which caused trouble and
disturbance” (Al-Sharq, al-Awsat 2018).
Second, and today more than ever, Riyadh considers Africa a region of intrinsic value owing to
its vital resources. Elaborating on the reasons for Riyadh’s new comprehensive approach, which
is geared toward all African states, Qattan emphasized Africa’s potential for the Saudi economy.
But Africa’s resources are certainly not limited to economic gains. Riyadh relies heavily, for
instance, on Sudanese and Somali forces in its military campaign in Yemen and is currently
negotiating the deployment of Ugandan soldiers with Kampala. Furthermore, African partner
states are supposed to back the Saudi position in diplomatic conflicts. They have also been cited
as a source of prestige, supporting Riyadh’s claim to leadership in the Muslim world – for
example, when they have joined the ranks of the Saudi-led Islamic Military Alliance to Fight
Terrorism (IMAFT) or when they attended the Arab–Islamic American Summit during Trump’s
visit to the kingdom in May 2017.
Third, Riyadh has eventually come to view Africa as a region of extrinsic value in that it is
considered to have auxiliary potential for the defense of the homeland or for an offensive against
competitors, including Turkey but most notably Iran. This strategic view is not restricted to the
Red Sea region. For instance, Saudi Arabia recently pledged to financially support the Sahel
Joint Military Force, a military offshoot of the G5 mandated to combat terrorism, organized
crime, and human trafficking in Burkina Faso, Mali, Mauretania, Niger, and Chad. While this
undertaking is also supported by the EU, Saudi Arabia’s support is widely seen as another
indication of Riyadh’s determination to fight Iran. The same is true of Nigeria, where Riyadh has
been trying to weaken the Islamic Movement funded by Tehran; of Senegal, where the kingdom
has increased its funding for mosques run by Salafis to counter the influence of Iranian-financed
educational institutions; or of South Africa, where Riyadh has also invested heavily in the
country’s economy to unhinge South African–Iranian relations.
Yet Riyadh’s heightened engagement is provoking the stepping-up of Turkish and Iranian
activities in return. The opening of a Turkish military base in Somalia as well as Ankara’s
leasing of the Sudanese Suakin Island in the Red Sea in late 2017, for instance, may be
interpreted as a response to preceding Saudi and Emirati moves. These steps, however, are
considered to further compromise Arab security interests in what some commentators have
labelled “the Arabian lake” (Wadiʿ 2017). This is even more so as Ankara has begun to
coordinate its policies in the Red Sea with Qatar, which has been subject to an economic and
political boycott by Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the UAE, and Bahrain since the beginning of the Gulf
diplomatic row in 2017.
Iran, too, has again boosted its activities in Africa during Rouhani’s second term. Shortly after
his re-election in May 2017, Foreign Minister Javad Zarif announced that, in addition to
safeguarding its cultural, economic, and political interests, Tehran was determined to establish
stability and security in Africa (IRNA 2017) – which can be read as a clear reference to recent
Saudi engagement. In any case, the number of high-level Iranian officials visiting African states,
including Rouhani himself, has increased notably ever since. Iran’s renewed focus on Africa has
been further spurred by the de facto termination of the nuclear deal by the Trump administration
and Tehran’s need to reinforce its economic ties with African states. Given these two
developments, Africa’s strategic importance for Tehran has, according to Zarif, taken on
“paramount significance.”
The EU must therefore be alert to these developments and anticipate their repercussions. It
should seek to further mend its strained relations with African partners, acknowledging that,
alongside China, Middle Eastern states have become important new actors in Africa. In fact,
their overtures, financial or otherwise, might initially appear to be more attractive to local
governments than those of the EU. But they often come with strings attached. The EU should
therefore dwell on its strengths, including its position as a reliable partner, and push for increased
cooperation in areas of mutual interest, especially in the realms of security, education, and the
economy. It should meet its African partners on equal terms, and take their concerns and needs
seriously. This includes working toward reducing trade imbalances, and thus an overhaul of the
EU agricultural subsidies system, which continues to strain the EU–Africa relationship.
References
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[Qattan: We Changed the Causes of Trouble and Disturbance in Africa], 14
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