Technical Analysis: Getting Started

Basic Introduction and Beginner’s Guide

Created by: Aditya Agarwal ‘22

 Introduction
In this tutorial, we will be exploring what technical analysis is, how to read candlestick charts, and common
patterns that traders look for.

What is Technical Analysis?

Technical analysis is the practice of using historical data and current price action to predict future price
movements. Technical analysis uses price charts to identify signals and patterns that provide a lens into
market psychology. Technical traders aim to benefit from this analysis by catching trend reversals and riding
price momentum.

This analysis is significantly different from fundamental analysis, which is a longer-term analysis evaluating
the financial strength and growth prospects of a company. While fundamental analysis can be more
beneficial for long-term investing, technical analysis is helpful for timing entries, exits, and shorter-term
trades. Together, technical and fundamental analysis can be coupled to create a trading strategy geared
towards providing alpha.

How to Read a Candlestick Chart

One of the fundamental understandings necessary to learning

technical analysis is reading candlestick charts. If you have
never studied technical analysis, chances are you have only
used a line chart. Line charts only provide one data point, the
closing price of a stock, but candlestick charts provide five:
open, close, low of day (LOD), high of day (HOD), and direction
of movement. A visualization of how a candlestick chart
provides this information is illustrated on the left.

Each candle can represent anywhere from 1 minute to 1 year

depending on the settings. Longer time frame charts are more
likely to provide reliable long-term trends.

I highly recommend using tradingview.com to view candlestick charts. They are one of the best online
platforms to view candlestick charts and conduct technical analysis for free.

Support and Resistance

One of the most basic technical indicators consist of support

and resistance. As the words indicate, support is typically a
price level at which there have historically been buyers.
Resistance consists of price level where there have historically
been sellers. As a result, price tends to bounce at support and
pullback at resistance. However, these price levels change
based off of catalysts. When resistance is broken, it acts as
support in the future, and when support breaks, it acts as
resistance in the future. An example of this can be seen on the
left.

2|Introduction to Technical Analysis

Common Candlestick Signals

Assume each candle represents one day for each of the following examples.

1. Hammer Candle

Pictured to the left is a hammer candle. This type of candle typically

consists of a green body with little to no upper wick, and a long lower
wick. This signifies that price action during the day was down trending,
but buyers came in to retrace the price all the way back to opening
price, and then some more.

This candle is usually a sign of a reversal, or at least a dead cat

bounce in a downtrend. An example of this signal being used can be
observed on ticker CRL on March 5th, 2021.

2. Shooting Star

This candle structure is opposite to the hammer candle, and is a

bearish signal. It typically consists of a red body with little to no lower
wick, and a long upper wick. Logically speaking, this shows price
action increasing after open, followed by sellers pushing the price
back down all the way to the opening price, and then some more.

This candle is usually a sign of a reversal, or at least a pullback in an uptrend. An example of this signal
being used can be observed on ticker SPOT on November 2nd, 2021.

3. Bullish Engulfing

This is a bullish signal that occurs when one day’s range completely
covers the previous day’s range. Typically, the first day is a bearish
red candle, covered by the following day’s bullish green candle that
opens lower than the previous day and closes above the previous
day’s range. The buyers regain control and push the price up,
indicating a bullish signal.

An example of this signal being used can be observed on ticker SPY on June 21 st, 2021.

4. Bearish Engulfing

This candle structure is the opposite of the bullish engulfing, and is a

bearish signal. It typically consists of one day’s bearish range
completely engulfing the previous day’s range. The sellers take control
and push the price down, indicating a bearish signal.

An example of this signal being used can be observed on ticker NCLH

on June 9th, 2021.

There are many more signals that you can learn about here: https://www.ig.com/us/trading-strategies/16-
candlestick-patterns-every-trader-should-know-180615

3|Introduction to Technical Analysis

Common Chart Patterns

Assume each candle represents one day for each of the following examples.

1. Head and Shoulders

The head and shoulders pattern is one of the strongest

indicators of an uptrend reversing to a downtrend. In this
pattern, there is one large peak, or high, with two slightly
lower highs on each side. The peak is referred to as the
head, and the two lower highs are considered the
shoulders. Once the third peak falls below the neckline, or
the support level from the previous two lows, it is likely
that the stock will enter a downtrend. This is because the
stock was previously creating higher highs and higher lows in an uptrend, but a break of the neckline after a
lower high signifies that the stock is now creating lower highs and lower lows. An example of this pattern can
be observed on ticker TSLA from Jan 7th to Jan 22nd, 2021. After breaking the neckline, TSLA continued on
its downtrend until March 8th, 2021, resulting in almost a 25% depreciation in price from Jan 22 nd.

The opposite of this pattern is known as the Inverse Head and Shoulders. This pattern has one low bottom
with two slightly lower lows on each side. If the neckline breaks, it is likely that the stock will reverse from an
uptrend to a downtrend. An example of this pattern can be observed on ticker ADSK from September 8 th to
October 9th, 2021. After breaking the neckline, ADSK continued its uptrend until Jan 8th, 2021, resulting in an
approximately 40% appreciation in stock price.

2. Double Top

The double top pattern is another pattern that signifies a

trend reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. In this
pattern, a stock’s price will peak and retrace to a support
level before pushing back up to retest the peak. Once
rejected, the stock will push back down and break its
known support level. This confirms similar highs and
lower lows, indicating the start of a downtrend.

An example of this pattern can be observed on ticker

NKE from November 5th to December 13th, 2021. Prices
hit resistance around $177.5 on November 5th and
November 22nd before breaking the support level of $167

on December 14th. As of today, December 20th, 2021, NKE has continued falling.

The opposite of this pattern is known as the Double Bottom. This pattern has two bottoms that act as
support near a similar price level. The stock then breaks through resistance to begin a new uptrend. An
example of this pattern can be observed on ticker MSFT from May 12 th to June 4th, 2021. MSFT had a
double bottom around $$239, and entered an uptrend until September 24 th since it broke the resistance level
of $247.

There are many more chart patterns that you can learn about here: https://www.ig.com/us/trading-
strategies/10-chart-patterns-every-trader-needs-to-know-190514

4|Introduction to Technical Analysis

Common Technical Indicators

1. Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The Relative Strength Index, or RSI is a

momentum indicator that uses recent price
action to determine if a stock is overbought or
oversold. RSI is displayed as an oscillator
between 0-100. Typically, an RSI above 70
indicates strength, and a potential scenario
where a stock may be overbought. Similarly, an
RSI below 30 indicates weakness, and a
potential scenario where a stock may be
oversold.

RSI divergences occur when RSI changes do

not align with price action. For example, if price
action continues to create lower lows and lower highs, but RSI has reversed into an uptrend, this would
be considered a bullish divergence and a technical trader would expect price to reverse into an uptrend.
The same is true vice versa to create a bearish RSI divergence. An example of a bearish RSI divergence
can be observed on ticker DISCA from January 27th, 2021 to March 22nd, 2021.

2. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence,

or MACD, is a technical indicator that tracks
momentum. MACD follows the trend by
subtracting the 26-period exponential moving
average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA.
Additionally, the 9 day EMA of the MACD is then
plotted on top of the MACD line, acting as a buy
or sell signal. As seen on the image on the left,
when the MACD crosses from negative to
positive, the stock appreciated, and vice versa.
While this indicator is great for identifying trends
and momentum, it should be used with caution
because it uses historical prices for its calculation
and is not a strong independent leading indicator.

3. Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands consists of 3 lines: a simple

moving average (SMA) as the middle band, and
2 standard deviations in addition and less than
the 20-day SMA acting as the upper and lower
band. The bands contract during periods of low
volatility since the standard deviation decreases,
and they expand during periods of high volatility.
It is important to note that while 90% of price
action occurs between the bands, price does

5|Introduction to Technical Analysis

 breakout above or below the bands, and that is not a signal to enter a trade in the opposite direction. For
example, if a company reports stellar earnings and breaks above the upper Bollinger band, this is not an
indicator to go short. Instead, use Bollinger bands to identify periods of low volatility, also known as a
squeeze. This is when the bands contract and price action is limited. This period is usually followed by
increased volatility and the bands expanding. The Bollinger bands should be used in conjunction with
other indicators and not as a sole indicator.

Final Notes

1. There are many more technical indicators. The ones introduced in this guide are the basics for anyone
who is new to technical analysis and does not know where to begin.
2. Remember that no pattern or indicator will always be right. Set stop losses appropriately to prevent
extensive losses if a trade goes sideways.
3. When using technical analysis, try to find multiple indicators that align. Often, setups with 3-5
indicators that confirm an entry are more successful than setups that only confirm an entry with 1-2
indicators.

I hope this introductory guide to technical analysis was helpful! If you have any further questions or would
like to discuss possible trade ideas, feel free to reach out to me at aagarwal7@babson.edu.

6|Introduction to Technical Analysis