Interest Rates and Bond Valuation
Interest Rates and Bond Valuation
Interest Rates and Bond Valuation
I N T E R E S T R AT E S A N D B O N D V A L U AT I O N
BOND FEATURES AND PRICES
When a corporation or government wishes to borrow money from the public on a
long-term basis, it usually does so by issuing or selling debt securities that are
generically called bonds.
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BOND VALUES AND YIELDS
Over time, interest rates change in the marketplace, but the cash flows from
a bond remain the same; as a result, the value of the bond will fluctuate.
• When interest rates rise, the present value of the bond’s remaining cash
flows declines, and the bond is worth less.
• When interest rates fall, the bond is worth more.
To find the value of a bond at a particular point in time, we need the following
pieces of information:
• Number of periods remaining until maturity.
• Face value.
• Coupon.
• Yield to maturity (YTM
7-3
BOND VALUES AND YIELDS:
AN EXAMPLE (PAR VALUE BOND) 1
• PV of the couponis:
Annuity present value = $80 (1 − 1 1.0810 ) .08
= $80 (1 − 1 2.1589 ) .08
= $80 6.7101
= $536.81.
Suppose a year has gone by. The Xanth bond now has nine
years to maturity. If the interest rate in the market has risen to
10%, what will the bond be worth?
Present value of the $1,000 paid in nine years at 10 percent is:
• Pr esent value = $1,000 1.10 = $1,000 2.3579 = $424.10.
9
Bond now offers $80 per year for nine years; the present value
of this annuity stream at 10% is:
Annuity present value = $80 (1 − 1 1.109 ) .10
= $80 (1 − 1 2.3579 ) .10
= $80 5.7590
© McGraw Hill
= $460.70.
7-6
BOND VALUES AND YIELDS:
AN EXAMPLE (DISCOUNT BOND) 2
Add the values for the two parts together to get the bond’s
value:
• Total bond value = $424.10 + 460.72 = $884.82.
This bond sells for less than face value, so it is a discount bond.
7-7
BOND VALUES AND YIELDS:
AN EXAMPLE (PREMIUM BOND) 1
What would the Xanth bond sell for if interest rates had
dropped by 2% instead of rising by 2%? In other words, assume
the bond has a coupon rate of 8% when the market rate is now
only 6%.
The present value of the $1,000 face amount is:
• Present value = $1,000/1.069 = $1,000/1.6895 = $591.90.
Add the values for the two parts together to get the bond’s
value:
• Total bond value = $591.90 + 544.14 = $1,136.03.
This bond sells for more than face value, so it is a premium
bond.
7-9
GENERAL EXPRESSION FOR VALUE OF A
BOND
If a bond has the following:
• A face value of F paid at maturity;
• A coupon of C paid per period;
• t periods to maturity; and
• A yield of r per period.
• Its value is calculated as follows:
Bond value = C 1 − 1 (1 + r ) r + F (1 + r )
t t
Present value Present value
Bond value = +
of the coupons of the face amount
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SEMIANNUAL COUPONS 1
In practice, bonds issued in the United States usually make coupon payments
twice a year. So, if an ordinary bond has a coupon rate of 14 percent, then
the owner will get a total of $140 per year, but this $140 will come in two
payments of $70 each. Suppose we are examining such a bond. The yield to
maturity is quoted at 16 percent.
Bond yields are quoted like APRs; the quoted rate is equal to the
actual rate per period multiplied by the number of periods. In this case, with
a 16 percent quoted yield and semiannual payments, the true yield is 8
percent per six months. The bond matures in seven years. What is the bond’s
price? What is the effective annual yield on this bond?
Based on our discussion, we know the bond will sell at a discount
because it has a coupon rate of 7 percent every six months when the market
requires 8 percent every six months. So, if our answer exceeds $1,000, we
know we have made a mistake.
© McGraw Hill 7-11
SEMIANNUAL COUPONS 2
To get the exact price, we first calculate the present value of the
bond’s face value of $1,000 paid in seven years. This seven-year period has
14 periods of six months each. At 8 percent per period, the value is:
Present value = $1,000 1.0814 = $1,000 2.9372 = $340.46
The coupons can be viewed as a 14-period annuity of $70 per period. At an 8
percent discount rate, the present value of such an annuity is:
Annuity present value = $70 (1 − 1 1.0814 ) .08
7-13
INTEREST RATE RISK
• Interest rate risk arises from fluctuating interest rates, and the degree of interest
rate risk a bond has depends on two things:
1. Time to maturity.
2. Coupon rate.
1. The longer the time to maturity, the greater the interest rate risk.
2. The lower the coupon rate, the greater the interest rate risk.
• For the second bond, we now know the relevant yield is 11%. It has a 12% annual
coupon and 12 years to maturity, so what’s the price?
Seniority indicates preference in position over other lenders, with debts sometimes
labeled as senior or junior to indicate seniority.
• Some debt is subordinated (For example, subordinated debenture), and holders
of such debt must give preference to other specified creditors.
• Debt cannot be subordinated to equity.
Bonds can be repaid at maturity, at which time the bondholder will receive the stated,
or face, value of the bond; or they may be repaid in part or in entirety before
maturity.
• Early repayment is common and is often handled through a sinking fund, an
account managed by the bond trustee for early redemption.
• There are various types of sinking fund arrangements; for example:
• Some sinking funds start about 10 years after the initial issuance.
• Some sinking funds establish equal payments over the life of the bond.
• Some high-quality bond issues establish payments to the sinking fund that are not
sufficient to redeem the entire issue.
Call price is usually above the bond’s stated value (That is,
par value), with the difference between the call price and
the stated value being the call premium.
Deferred call provisions prohibit the company from
redeeming a bond prior to a certain date.
• During period of prohibition, the bond is said to be call-
protected.
Firms often pay to have their debt rated, with ratings serving as an
assessment of the creditworthiness of the corporate issuer .
• Leading bond-rating firms are Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s (S&P).
• Definitions of creditworthiness used by Moody’s and S&P are based
on how likely the firm is to default and the protection creditors have
in the event of a default.