Being Pragmatic About Healthcare Complexity Our Ex
Being Pragmatic About Healthcare Complexity Our Ex
Being Pragmatic About Healthcare Complexity Our Ex
Abstract
Background: The healthcare system has proved a challenging environment for innovation, especially in the area of
health services management and research. This is often attributed to the complexity of the healthcare sector,
characterized by intersecting biological, social and political systems spread across geographically disparate
areas. To help make sense of this complexity, researchers are turning towards new methods and frameworks,
including simulation modeling and complexity theory.
Discussion: Herein, we describe our experiences implementing and evaluating a health services innovation in
the form of simulation modeling. We explore the strengths and limitations of complexity theory in evaluating
health service interventions, using our experiences as examples. We then argue for the potential of pragmatism as an
epistemic foundation for the methodological pluralism currently found in complexity research. We discuss the
similarities between complexity theory and pragmatism, and close by revisiting our experiences putting pragmatic
complexity theory into practice.
Conclusion: We found the commonalities between pragmatism and complexity theory to be striking. These included
a sensitivity to research context, a focus on applied research, and the valuing of different forms of knowledge. We
found that, in practice, a pragmatic complexity theory approach provided more flexibility to respond to the rapidly
changing context of health services implementation and evaluation. However, this approach requires a redefinition of
implementation success, away from pre-determined outcomes and process fidelity, to one that embraces the continual
learning, evolution, and emergence that characterized our project.
Keywords: Complexity theory, Pragmatism, Health services research, Epistemology, Methodology, Implementation
science
© The Author(s). 2018 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
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Long et al. BMC Medicine (2018) 16:94 Page 2 of 9
reviewing some of the key debates in this emerging A key feature of the project, as planned, was the involve-
field. We then explore the possibilities of using prag- ment of the SLG throughout the project via regular pre-
matism to provide the missing epistemological foun- sentations and workshops at the existing monthly SLG
dation required to structure the study of social complexity meetings. Involvement of the SLG was intended as essen-
theory in healthcare. Finally, we revisit our case study to tial in generating scenarios for simulation, developing clin-
discuss how we put pragmatic complexity research into ically accurate conceptual models of patient transitions
action as the evaluation framework for a simulation (within the MHS), and validating the model for use by
modeling project. decision-makers. However, about a year into the project,
the MHS underwent a major restructuring after a signifi-
The real world of healthcare implementation and cant number of senior staff left the service. The
evaluation decision-making processes in the organization changed
We begin by describing the initial aims and scope of the substantially so that simulation-related interactions be-
healthcare simulation modeling project, which provides tween researchers and stakeholders became more reliant
the practical case study for this article. We will return to on one-on-one and small group discussions. At the same
the case study throughout the article to demonstrate some time, changes in policy, such as the introduction of the
of our theoretical arguments. The case study discussed Victorian Mental Health Act [12] and National Disability
here presents the researcher experience of the implementa- Insurance Scheme Act [13], and a freeze or contraction in
tion process, which ultimately shaped and motivated the state and federal mental health funding [14, 15], changed
epistemological quest that is the subject of this paper. For the strategic priorities and decision-making scope of the
readers interested in the outcomes of this project, we refer MHS. Consequently, some simulation models in develop-
them to our upcoming evaluation paper, which provides a ment were no longer of immediate relevance to the partic-
more detailed account of the application of the epistemol- ipants, while other issues that came to the fore, such as
ogy, theory, and methods discussed in this article to imple- the redrawing of clinical catchment areas, did so with
mentation evaluation. time-decision horizons not compatible with the develop-
The 3-year research project aimed to develop simula- ment time costs of discrete event simulation. The
tion models to provide strategic decision support for a researchers adapted, changing both their methods and
senior leadership group (SLG) in a large public mental focus to align with the new strategic directions and
health service (MHS) in Australia. The MHS was re- concerns of the service.
sponsible for government-funded inpatient and commu- This experience may be familiar to many implementa-
nity mental health services across the age spectrum, tion scientists and healthcare managers; however, it does
with different but overlapping catchment areas for early pose significant challenges for evaluators. We subse-
in life (under 25 years), adult, and aged (over 65 years) quently outline how, by applying the twin lenses of com-
services. plexity theory and pragmatism, we developed a deeper
The project was designed to consist of four major understanding of the processes of implementation.
phases, namely (1) the development of a conceptual frame-
work for the simulation model, (2) integration with simula- A view from complexity theory
tion software, (3) validation of the model, and (4) A health services research project as a complex adaptive
implementation of the model within the MHS as a decision system (CAS)
support tool. The initial scope included a model of the There is no doubt that the context described above is
whole MHS, with the option of additional scenarios of complex, or in the language of complexity theory, a CAS
specific interest to managers. Three general types of [16]. A CAS is formally defined as “a collection of individ-
scenarios were identified at the outset, namely (1) policy ual agents with freedom to act in ways that are not always
change affecting the structure of services, (2) population totally predictable, and whose actions are interconnected
distribution changes, and (3) organizational innovation in such that one agent’s actions change the context for other
delivery of care models. The planned modeling approach agents” ([5], p. 625). While there is still some disagreement
was discrete-event simulation using the ARENA® software over the terminology, the key features of a CAS generally
package [11]. include embeddedness, nested systems, fuzzy boundaries,
The original project research team included nine in- distributed control, self-organization, emergence, unpre-
vestigators with experience in psychiatric epidemiology, dictability, non-linearity, phase changes, historicism, sensi-
health economics, simulation modeling, health services tivity to initial conditions, non-equilibrium, adaptation,
planning, organizational change management, action and co-evolution (Box 1) [4, 8, 9, 17–19].
research, and qualitative methodologies. Two of these Many of these features of a CAS were found in our ex-
researchers were existing members of the SLG, and bro- periences. The project involved multiple nested systems,
kered research access with the MHS. namely the researcher group, SLG, MHS, and the state
Long et al. BMC Medicine (2018) 16:94 Page 3 of 9
These approaches emerged from the seminal work of [19]. This creates a rift in complexity theory’s understand-
Byrne [18], who translated many of the concepts of com- ing of agency. Classic complexity theory defines agency as
plexity theory into the social realm. an agent’s enactment of their local rules, which ensures
their survival, while social complexity theory defines agency
Debates in social complexity theory as the cognitive, motivational, and emotionally driven
Complexity theory has alternatively been defined as a intentional behaviors that agents employ to achieve their
methodology [35], conceptual framework [4, 20, 36], end goal. This end goal is not always individual survival.
metaphor [4, 34], world view [37], frame of reference [34], Given that Byrne et al. [20] identified agency as a key defin-
ontology [34], or as a “loose set of concepts, heuristics, and ing feature of social complexity theory, and a key target for
analytic tools” ([8], p. S31). Different authors have posited research, how are we to study it, considering these defin-
different typologies of complexity science to address this itional issues?
lack of coherence (e.g., [1, 8, 18, 38]), with a clear delinea- We found this to be a key challenge in our project. In
tion emerging between the complexity theory of things order to evaluate the effect of the simulation modeling on
(classic complexity theory, e.g., cells, animals, atomic the decision-making processes of the SLG, we attempted
particles) and that of humans (social complexity theory). to use interviews to establish a baseline picture of the rela-
The multitude of actors, motives, and behaviors animating tionships, mental models, and expectations of the individ-
social complexity theory poses significant challenges to ual participants. However, the experience of interviewing
both theorizing and researching. Below, we outline the key suggested that disclosure levels varied significantly be-
tensions in this emerging field. tween participants, influenced by their perceptions of the
vested interests of the research group, and the existing
Description or explanation? personal relationships between researchers and SLG
In his critique of social complexity theory, Paley states that members. We also faced difficulties in that time and ac-
“complexity is an explanatory concept” ([39], p. 59). Social cess limitations of working with senior managers often
complexity theorists seem to disagree, describing emer- meant that data were not collected when significant deci-
gence as descriptive, not explanatory [40], and arguing sions were made or events occurred. We therefore had to
that the only way to see the outcome of a CAS is to ob- rely on the retrospective recall of participants to piece to-
serve the system as a whole, rather than its component in- gether a picture of the events, and their roles in them.
dividual agents or models [5]. This raises the fundamental This approach meant that our image of individual events
issue of epistemology. The classical complexity theory was often incomplete, preventing us from accurately iden-
focus on explanation aligns with a positivist epistemology, tifying the role of individual agency in the observed inter-
where knowledge is valued if it is generalizable and allows actions and system-level changes.
us to predict, and manipulate, future behavior [25]. This
clearly aligns with the aim of implementation and most Defining social CASs
public health research, which is namely to affect meaning- There are two pervasive issues with defining a social sys-
ful change. The epistemology of social complexity theory, tem, nesting and fuzzy boundaries, both of which are
on the other hand, is unclear. If social complexity theory implicated in, and complicate, complexity research [19].
does represent a purely descriptive epistemology, which In the health system, Byrne et al. [20] identified four
makes no claims to the translation of findings across levels of nested systems, namely the individual, popula-
contexts, then its ability to contribute to implementation tion health, the health service system, and the planetary
science may be minimal. ecosystem. However, several more exist within the health
service system, including general practices, practice net-
The role of agency in self-organization works, hospitals, hospital networks, and national pro-
The redefinition of local rules as human instincts, con- grams [5]. Thus, a key question facing complexity
structs, and mental models has also been subject to debate researchers is which systems should form the core of the
[5, 39]. This is in part due to the inherent problems with analyses, and how many levels of analysis are sufficient
trying to measure internal states, with even qualitative to provide a complete understanding of the system.
methods heavily reliant on individual insight and candor The boundaries of social systems are also harder to de-
[21]. This is also due to the lack of fit between the focus of fine and control than in a classic CAS [21, 34]. As we dis-
classic complexity theory, individual agent survival, and the covered in our efforts to develop simulation models of
postmodern ideas of democracy and collectivism which mental health patients, a patient may pass through mul-
shape the social world. While survival in biological systems tiple different practices, hospitals, and even districts over
can be treated as a key driver and outcome measure, the an episode of care, interacting with scores of individual
survival of organizations, systems of operations, and even agents, each operating in a different context. Likewise, the
ideas are less necessary, or observable, in social systems boundaries of the implementation context proved hard to
Long et al. BMC Medicine (2018) 16:94 Page 5 of 9
learnt was that the simulation models themselves seemed participant experience, to one that included the experi-
not to be the main outcome of interest to the SLG; in- ences of the researchers. In the initial design of the
stead, it was the personal insights that members gained evaluation, the CAS of interest was that of the SLG. Our
from the conceptual development discussions and our evaluation was focused on understanding the
presentations of amalgamated patient data. decision-making mental models of these individuals, and
how they negotiated shared group processes and behav-
Research as social action iors based on these individual models. However, the
Another key pillar of pragmatism is the active and social organizational restructure of the SLG affected not only
nature of inquiry. Dewey argued that the primary function access to participants for evaluation data collection, but
of research is to solve societal problems [38]. However, he also affected the researchers’ approach to the simulation
also argues for flexibility in application, proposing “that modeling development and implementation. As men-
policies and proposals for social action be treated as work- tioned above, one way this manifested was as a change
ing hypotheses, not as programs to be rigidly adhered to in engagement with members of the SLG. Researchers
and executed” ([47], pp. 151–2). began using one-on-one interactions with engaged SLG
These sentiments are echoed in social complexity members to develop new scenarios directly related to
theory: the SLG members’ portfolio. Therefore, the experiences
“Complexity/chaos offers the possibility of an engaged and reflections of the researchers became pivotal in un-
science not founded in pride, in the assertion of an abso- derstanding the project’s implementation after the
lute knowledge as the basis for social programs, but ra- organizational restructure.
ther in a humility about the complexity of the world Both pragmatism and complexity theory also encourage a
coupled with a hopeful belief in the potential of human focus on the interactions of knowledge systems, and the
beings for doing something about it.” ([18], p. 45). study of how these intersections are negotiated [4, 44, 48].
Not only does pragmatism argue for a problem-solving For us, this manifested as multiple themes emerging from a
approach to inquiry, but also to an action-based one. All grounded theory approach to the implementation evalu-
modes of experience, including research, are treated as ation, including participant-researcher communication (fre-
interventions [42]. Research success within a pragmatic quency, modality, content), understanding and expectations
epistemology is measured by consequences, whether of the modeling methodology, and different outcome prior-
they be predicted or emergent. This aligns with the hol- ities between the researchers and participants. The case
istic system view of complexity theory, where outcomes study approach of the evaluation, supported by interviews
are not pre-determined, but emergent [36]. Thus, com- and unstructured observation, allowed these themes to
plexity theory provides a way of operationalizing the emerge, but there remains a challenge for creating more
study of emergent consequences, while pragmatism pro- targeted research designs and methods capable of captur-
vides the impetus for change by measuring research ing, measuring, and interpreting these interactive and
quality with respect to its impact on social change. emergent processes.
explored and structured in different ways in order to ul- approaches to the difficulties in evaluating such imple-
timately build an understanding of the process of mentations. The commonalities between pragmatism and
implementation. complexity theory are striking, and include a sensitivity to
Pragmatism also encourages reflection and experimen- research context, a focus on applied research, and the
tation, allowing for the evolution of interventions and valuing of different forms of knowledge. For implementa-
evaluation in a similar fashion to a CAS [7, 42, 45]. tion and evaluation, this fusion of approaches has signifi-
Therefore, our shift in evaluation from the quantitative cant implications:
analysis of participant questionnaire responses to a
grounded theory case study of research adaptation is not A focus on researcher and stakeholder agency, in
only consistent with complexity theory, but predicted by shaping the direction and outcomes of interventions.
it, as a co-evolution of the researchers in context. Thus, A re-definition of implementation success, not as a
rather than rejecting the reductionist approach of classic strict adherence to the project plan, or the achieve-
complexity theory [20], pragmatism allows for the con- ment of pre-determined outcomes, but as the emer-
tribution of both quantitative and qualitative methods in gent outcomes of the project and lessons learned, as
addressing the research question. It also allows for dif- identified by all stakeholders.
ferent definitions of complexity theory. Complexity the- A flexibility in implementation and evaluation
ory can be both an ontology for quantitative approaches methods, encouraging the reflexive use of mixed
and a metaphor for qualitative approaches. methods to capture and adapt to the changing
research context.
The case study revisited A rejection of the description-explanation divide, fo-
Our case study illustrates how a pragmatic epistemology cusing instead on continual, collective learning,
can support, and broaden, the application of complexity where case studies provide starting points, not the-
theory to healthcare implementation and evaluation. ories, for future research.
By starting from a pragmatic epistemology, we allowed
our focus to be drawn to the most relevant ontology and However, our recommendations are not without limita-
methodologies for the study of this implementation. Com- tions. There are other epistemic options for complexity the-
plexity theory emerged as a relevant theory and ontology for ory, including nested theories [34], an eclectic use of
the analysis; however, we do not hold that it is the only pos- middle-range theories [37], or a pluralistic ontology of levels
sible lens through which to evaluate the implementation. A supported by emergence [26]. One of the more promising
pragmatic frame encouraged us to embrace different types alternatives comes from Byrne et al.’s [20] application of
of inquiry and data collection methods, using questionnaire, complex realism to complexity theory. At face value, the ar-
interview, observation, and document analysis approaches. guments of complex realism seem not incommensurate
As the implementation progressed, we included new partici- with pragmatism [42]; however, we will leave a detailed
pants (i.e., researchers), and expanded our frame of data col- comparison of these two approaches to future scholars. Al-
lection to include government policy and funding changes. ternatively, complexity theorists may entirely reject our sug-
By doing so, we overcame one of the key challenges in social gestion of the need for an epistemology. Another limitation
complexity theory – defining the CAS of interest. is posed by the theoretically agnostic position of pragma-
In our evaluation, we pragmatically allowed implemen- tism, as outlined above. It is highly likely that a pragmatic
tation success to be defined by the collection of stake- approach will not always support the application of com-
holders, honoring the multitude of different expectations plexity theory in healthcare implementation research. While
held by the research funding body, the academic commu- we believe this is a strength in the use of pragmatism in
nity, and individual members of the SLG and research healthcare implementation, it may limit the uptake of prag-
team. We then began the data analysis with a critical inci- matism by researchers who specialize in complexity theory.
dent approach to identify turning points in the system, The application of complexity theory to social science, in-
which were investigated further with thematic analysis. It cluding healthcare, is still in its infancy. So too is the
was only when the emerging themes resonated with a formalization of pragmatism as a school of philosophy [43].
complexity theory interpretation of the project that we la- However, we agree with Talisse and Aikin, in that discus-
beled our case study as a healthcare implementation CAS. sions such as those presented in this article are a positive
sign, “a mark of …vitality, an indication that it is a living
Conclusions philosophy rather than a historical relic.” ([43], p. 3). We
Herein, we described a too-familiar experience in health present this article in that spirit and hope that our contri-
services implementation – a constantly changing imple- bution sparks further discussion about the potential collab-
mentation context– followed by a discussion of how com- oration of pragmatism and complexity theory in informing
plexity theory and pragmatism provide complementary implementation science and health services research.
Long et al. BMC Medicine (2018) 16:94 Page 8 of 9
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