JGR Atmospheres - 2017 - Cannon
JGR Atmospheres - 2017 - Cannon
JGR Atmospheres - 2017 - Cannon
modern reanalysis data set (Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research Application, version 2, MERRA-2)
to search for potential differences. This study is motivated by the following issues:
1. Precipitation is a key term in the water vapor budget within ARs and yet is poorly observed over the
oceans (L’Ecuyer et al., 2015).
2. The altitude of the freezing level is a key factor in determining precipitation impacts on landfall, including
mountain snowpack formation/depletion, streamflow, and flooding (Neiman et al., 2014; White et al.,
2010), yet is poorly observed ahead of AR landfall.
3. Model predictions of AR landfall, precipitation amounts, and freezing level contain serious errors (Ralph
et al., 2010, 2016) that might be reduced by better initialization.
4. GPM offers an opportunity to help fill these gaps in AR monitoring, and yet quantitative evaluations of
GPM-DPR performance in measuring precipitation and freezing level in ARs are not available.
5. Although it is known that GPM-DPR is limited in its ability to measure light rain rates (Iguchi et al., 2010),
and that global models produce excessive light rain and drizzle (Stephens et al., 2010), comparisons of
these two key sources of precipitation information have not been conducted for AR environments.
In this study, GPM-DPR along-track reflectivity profiles were evaluated over the West Coast and eastern North
Pacific Ocean. GPM was launched in February 2014, following the success of the Tropical Rainfall
Measurement Mission (TRMM; Huffman et al., 2007). A key sensor on board TRMM was the Ku band precipita-
tion radar (PR), which measured three-dimensional reflectivity of precipitation droplets in the atmosphere.
GPM-DPR exceeds TRMM PR’s capabilities by utilizing differential attenuation between a similar Ku band
(13.6 GHz) sensor and an additional Ka band (35.5 GHz) radar to provide information on drop size distribu-
tions and precipitation intensity that improve precipitation rate and freezing level estimates. This informa-
tion additionally enables the discernment of precipitation type and microphysics (Hamada & Takaybu,
2016; Iguchi et al., 2010), which describe various cloud particle formation, growth, and precipitation pro-
cesses, depending on altitude and environmental conditions (e.g., Martner et al., 2008; Matrosov, 2007,
2013). Previously, Matrosov (2013) employed a W band radar (~94 GHz) on board the CloudSat satellite
(CloudSat CPR; Stephens et al. 2002) to investigate precipitation processes within ARs over the eastern
North Pacific Ocean over a 3 year period (2007–2009). While the methodology for analyzing ARs over the
ocean in the present study is similar to that of Matrosov (2013), it is important to note that CloudSat
CPR-based findings are likely to differ from GPM-DPR results based on differences in each radar’s
minimum sensitivity.
The present study provides novel analyses of GPM-DPR measurements in atmospheric rivers and discusses
the benefits and limitations of applying GPM-DPR to observing precipitation processes over the western
United States and eastern North Pacific Ocean. Despite notable caveats, it is shown that GPM-DPR improves
observation of AR precipitation and freezing level over the data sparse oceans and that these measurements
are useful for evaluating the simulation of ARs by global models. Differences in precipitation frequency and
intensity between GPM-DPR and reanalyses are highlighted by discrepancies of nearly 10% in the contribu-
tion of ARs to total precipitation over the eastern North Pacific Ocean, while comparisons of freezing level
demonstrate remarkable agreement in height and variability.
Figure 1. (a) Example GPM-DPR swaths during an AR on 8 February 2015. (b) A subset of the domain (red box) over Central California is shown in the center panel
with NEXRAD reflectivity over topography. The full swath is shown in black, with colored dots indicating measured precipitation rates at individual GPM-DPR
bins. White dots indicate vertically profiling radars. (c) The vertical profile of GPM-DPR reflectivity from the Ka band and topography along the center of the swath
over California. Black circles indicate the identified bright-band height and colored bars above the plot indicate stratiform (blue) and convective (red) precipitation
identification by GPM-DPR. (d) The FMCW S band radar measured radial velocity provided by NOAA ESRL Physical Sciences Division.
The study period spanned three winter seasons (October through March; 2014–2017), focusing on the period
of the year during which ARs routinely make landfall in California. The study domain covers the eastern North
Pacific Ocean and western North America (160°W–110°W; 20°N–60°N) (Figure 1a).
GPM satellite tracks recorded during an AR event impacting California on 8 February 2015 demonstrate the
challenges presented by the satellite’s sampling frequency (Figure 1a). Integrated water vapor (IWV) from
reanalysis (described in section 2.4) indicates the location of the AR feature of interest. In this example,
GPM made an overpass of landfalling AR conditions (elongated region of IWV > 20 mm) in Central
California at approximately 21:05 UTC. Only 5 of GPM’s 16 daily orbits passed through the study domain
on the day that the AR made landfall, 2 of which sampled some portion of the AR, and only 1 of which
sampled the event over the west coast. The limited track frequency and narrow swath width illustrate that
large areas of the domain are unsampled during any given event and that it is relatively rare for GPM-DPR
to sample an AR during landfall. However, a single AR propagating across the Pacific over several days (this
particular AR propagated for approximately 7 days) is likely to be sampled multiple times by the near-polar
orbiting satellite.
Along-track GPM-DPR precipitation estimates from the five angle bins that were used in this study are plotted
over composite reflectivity at 21:05 UTC from the National Weather Service’s Next-Generation Weather
Radars (NEXRAD) to illustrate the data sampling methodology (Figure 1b). Local precipitation maxima were
observed by both GPM-DPR and NEXRAD over the coastal ranges and foothills of the Sierra Nevada
Mountains, indicating strong spatial agreement between observations. An example reflectivity profile from
the center bin of the Ka band from Figure 1b is also plotted over topography (Figure 1c). Additional
GPM-DPR variables (e.g., precipitation rate and type, and bright-band height) that were evaluated in this
study were derived from reflectivity by the algorithms described in the GPM-DPR theoretical basis document
(Iguchi et al., 2010) and Awaka et al. (2016). Comparison of GPM-DPR precipitation characteristics with
ground-based observations are discussed in section 3. Figure 1d is included to demonstrate the use of a
Figure 2. All GPM-DPR overpasses, with individual bins color coded by measured precipitation rate, are shown for the (a) 2014–2015, (b) 2015–2016, and (c) 2016–
2017 winter seasons, and (d) the percentage of all winter overpasses that measured precipitation, within 0.25° grid boxes.
unique network of vertically profiling radars to validate GPM-DPR bright-band measurements (discussed in
section 2.3).
The location of all GPM-DPR precipitation retrievals within the study domain for each winter season is shown
in Figures 2a–2c. Swaths are vertically stacked and color coded according to precipitation rate. It is notable
that there were relatively few precipitation retrievals along the West Coast in all years, with the minimum
occurring during the exceptionally dry 2014–2015 winter season (California Department of Water
Resources, 2016). The percentage of overpasses that recorded precipitation over the entire study period
(Figure 2d) indicates that precipitation retrievals were most frequent along the coastal ranges of western
Canada, Washington, and Oregon (>25% of overpasses), and moderately frequent in the North Pacific above
30°N (10–25% of overpasses). GPM-DPR had the lowest precipitation sampling frequency over a large region
of semipermanent high pressure in the southeast portion of the domain, including Southern California. These
figures reflect the regional precipitation climatology (Adler et al., 2003) and are useful for understanding the
spatial variability of GPM-DPR sampling-related issues, which complicate comparisons of the satellite product
with in situ measurements and reanalyses.
normalized precipitation during the winter season were evaluated. Comparison with GPM-DPR along-track
precipitation retrievals was achieved by sampling the single PRISM grid point whose centroid was nearest
the center bin of the GPM swath on the date of overpass.
2.3. Ground-Based Snow-Level Radars
GPM-DPR bright-band height, based on a reflectivity peak in the Ku band, and the slope of differential reflec-
tivity between the Ka band and Ku band, within a 3 km vertical range centered 1 km below model-estimated
freezing level elevation (Iguchi et al., 2010; Le & Chandrasekar, 2013b), was validated using a unique network
of 27 ground-based vertically pointing radars across California, Oregon, and Washington (Neiman et al., 2014;
White et al., 2013). This network includes S band radars (3 GHz), Frequency-Modulated Continuous Wave
radars (FMCW), and wind profiling radars (449 MHz and 915 MHz) that were developed and are maintained
by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Physical Science Division (NOAA ESRL-PSD) (ftp://
ftp1.esrl.noaa.gov/psd2/data/realtime//). This unique observing network is described in White et al. (2013).
White et al. (2002) describe the methodology for automated bright-band retrievals from radars operating
in the 400–4000 MHz frequency range, which gives the scientific basis for the publicly available bright-band
height data in the NOAA PSD archive. Estimation is based on identification of a peak in signal-to-noise ratio
(equivalent to reflectivity) and increasing Doppler vertical velocity, indicating the increased fall speed of rain
compared to snow (White et al., 2002). Each ground-based radar considered has hourly to subhourly
temporal resolution overlapping some portion of the study period. An example time series of the vertical
structure of radial velocity and snow level measurements from the New Exechequer Dam FMCW radar is
shown for the 8 February 2015 AR event (Figure 1d). The FMCW radar measured a bright-band at
~2,775 m at the time of GPM’s overpass, while the DPR measured a bright-band at ~2,650 m in the bin
corresponding to the FMCW site. Although the melting layer typically has a width of several hundred meters,
due to the noninstantaneous melting of ice hydrometeors, the ground-based profiling radars identify bright-
band heights as the reflectivity maxima within this layer, typically near its center (White et al., 2002).
GPM-DPR’s bright-band height similarly refers to the peak of Ku band reflectivity and/or the peak of the
differential reflectivity slope within the melting layer (Le & Chandrasekar, 2013b).
2.4. Reanalysis
This research used NASA Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research Application, version 2 (MERRA-2)
(Molod et al., 2015; Rienecker et al., 2011). MERRA-2, integrated at a resolution of 0.67° longitude by 0.5°
latitude with 72 Lagrangian vertical levels, was chosen on account of its refined representation of the atmo-
sphere’s hydrological cycle (Rienecker et al., 2011) and its high spatiotemporal resolution, which minimized
inconsistencies in comparisons with instantaneous GPM-DPR retrievals. Bias-corrected time-averaged
precipitation at 1 h temporal resolution, and instantaneous temperature and geopotential height, interpo-
lated to 42 pressure levels, at 3 h temporal resolution were evaluated. Freezing-level elevations were calcu-
lated for each 3 h snapshot by reverse-interpolating the temperature and geopotential height profiles at
each horizontal grid point and subsequently identifying the geopotential height at the 0°C isotherm within
that grid point (Harris et al., 2000). In the case of multiple 0°C levels in a single vertical profile, due to inver-
sions, only the lowest level was retained. Comparison with GPM along-track retrievals was achieved by
sampling the single MERRA-2 grid point whose centroid was nearest the center of the GPM swath, at the near-
est time slice in the 1-hourly precipitation and 3-hourly temperature data sets. MERRA’s improved simulation
of the hydrological cycle relies on assimilating precipitation estimates, including those from the GPM micro-
wave imager. However, the GPM-DPR measurements evaluated here are not assimilated and are independent.
Figure 3. (a) Accumulated PRISM precipitation during the 2014–2017 winter seasons study period. (b) The spatially normalized sum of GPM-DPR instantaneous pre-
cipitation rates for all overpasses during the study period, within 0.25° grid boxes. Data were normalized by the domain maximum and minimum values to emphasize
spatial gradients.
have specifically focused on quantifying the performance of GPM-DPR instrumentation and algorithms in
measuring reflectivity and deriving related precipitation products. The comparisons presented here are
based on spatiotemporal sampling over multiple seasons and are intended to illustrate how low-sampling
frequency affects subsequent analyses, rather than as an evaluation of instrumentation or
algorithm performance.
Total accumulated PRISM precipitation during the study period demonstrates the characteristic pattern of
orographic enhancement over the western United States (Dettinger et al., 2004; Roe, 2005), indicated by
steep precipitation gradients across the Coast Ranges, Cascade Mountains, and Sierra Nevada Mountains
(Figure 3a). Additionally, there is a climatological north-south precipitation gradient (Daly et al., 1994) that
was particularly pronounced over the study period due to below average precipitation in California during
the 2014/2015 and 2015/2016 winter seasons (He et al., 2017). Figure 3b demonstrates the ability of
GPM-DPR to reproduce PRISM’s salient precipitation patterns. The plotted data show the normalized sum
of GPM-DPR precipitation measurements from all overpasses during the study period, binned to 0.25° resolu-
tion on account of sparsity (outside of the Pacific Northwest, there are no individual 0.25° grid points with
more than 10 GPM overpasses that recorded precipitation during the study period). Here normalization
focuses the comparison on spatial precipitation patterns rather than absolute values.
The pattern of orographic enhancement observed in PRISM (Figure 3a) is degraded in the GPM-DPR plot
(Figure 3b), primarily due to insufficient sampling (Figure 2). The spatial correlation between Figure 2b and
PRISM, resampled to 0.25° resolution (not shown), is 0.65. GPM-DPR’s results were best in western Oregon
and Washington, where frequent precipitation was observed. Given the small sample size for locations in
Southern and Central California, where precipitation events are less frequent, and the variability of instanta-
neous precipitation rates during events is large, GPM-DPR did not produce a statistically robust precipitation
climatology for this region. Increasing the number of cross-track bins used in the analyses from 5 to 11
improves the spatial correlation with PRISM to 0.7 and slightly improved the qualitative representation of
orographic precipitation gradients (not shown). Despite the moderate improvement gained through
increased cross-track sampling, this research employed only five cross-track bins to minimize the impact of
known issues in precipitation and bright-band height estimation in off-nadir bins (Hirose et al., 2012;
Kubota et al., 2016), which would unnecessarily introduce uncertainty into further analyses.
The hypothesis that differences were attributable to sampling deficiency and not measurement or algorithm
error is further supported by previous analyses from the OLYMPEX experiment, which demonstrated that
airborne instrumentation and algorithms similar to those developed for GPM-DPR are ideally suited to
measure orographic precipitation processes (Houze et al., 2017). Additionally, GPM-DPR’s predecessor,
Table 1
The Principal Characteristics of the Vertically Pointing Radars That Provide Bright-Band Height Measurements—Name, Coordinates, Altitude, Profiling Frequency,
Installation Date, and Project Name
ID Name Latitude Longitude Elevation (m) Instrument Install Project
Figure 4. (a) Locations of vertically pointing in situ radars (described in Table 1 with corresponding index numbers). Comparison of in situ radar bright-band mea-
surements and (b) concomitant colocated GPM-DPR bright-band height measurements within 100 km and 1 h. Measurements when the daily bright-band standard
deviation at the in situ radar was <200 m are colored according to distance and time lag. Bright-band heights units are meters above sea level.
Table 2
Comparisons of Measured Bright-Band Height at Each In Situ Radar With Concomitant, Colocated GPM-DPR Bright-Band Height Measurements
Radius < 100 km Radius < 50 km
Radius < 100 km time < 1 h time < 0.5 h
time < 1 h standard deviation < 200 m standard deviation < 200 m
TRMM-PR, proved capable of reproducing orographic precipitation gradients in various mountain regions
over its lengthy temporal record (e.g., Anders et al., 2006). Given GPM-DPR’s improved ability to measure
solid-state precipitation, which is prevalent in the Sierra and Cascade Mountains during winter events
(Serreze et al., 2001), it is likely that additional data collection in the future will augment the representation
of regional precipitation patterns. While this section emphasizes the necessity for caution in interpreting
GPM-DPR observations over regions of infrequent precipitation or topographic complexity, it should be
noted that the manuscript’s conclusions were not sensitive to the number of cross-track bins used.
3.2. Bright-Band Height
The layer at which precipitation transitions from rain to snow can be identified by an increase in radar reflec-
tivity due to differences in the dielectric constant of ice and liquid water and the aggregation of ice particles
as they descend and melt (Austin & Bemis, 1950; Hooper & Kippax, 1950). Identification of a radar bright band
is important for discerning precipitation processes, which further influence reflectivity-derived precipitation
rate estimates on account of differing drop-size distributions for bright-band and non-bright-band precipita-
tion (Martner et al., 2008). Warm-type stratiform precipitation over Coastal California, which is driven by
coalescence in shallow precipitating clouds, typically does not exhibit a radar bright band and is defined
by smaller drop-size distributions, more numerous hydrometeors, and lighter precipitation rates than
cold-type stratiform precipitation, which does typically exhibit a radar bright band and arises from ice
processes in deep cloud layers associated with synoptic forcing (Martner et al., 2008). These differences
may also lead to significant variability in accumulated precipitation between ARs, irrespective of moisture
Figure 5. (a) A GPM-DPR swath through AR conditions on 4 February 2015 at 0:00 UTC and (b) the vertical profile of reflectivity from the Ka band along the center of
the GPM-DPR swath subset within the red box in Figure 5a.
flux conditions (Martner et al., 2008; White et al., 2002). Given the importance of these processes, GPM-DPR
bright-band measurements were compared with a network of 27 vertically pointing ground-based radars
(described in section 2). The principal characteristics of the radars—coordinates, altitude, profiling
frequency, installation data, and project name—are detailed in Table 1, and their locations, along with a
reference map of the study region, are shown in Figure 4a.
GPM-DPR recorded a bright band within 100 km of one of the network’s radars 241 times during the
2014–2017 study period. No single location accounted for more than 21 observations, though sites in
the northern and coastal extents of the domain accounted for proportionally more observations due to
the increased frequency of precipitation. A bright band was also observed at the colocated ground-based
radar within 1 h of the satellite measurement in 235 of the 241 instances, indicating that false positive
identifications of a bright band by GPM-DPR were uncommon. Additionally, GPM-DPR observations of preci-
pitation exceeding 1 mm h 1 failed to identify an existing bright band only 16 times. GPM-DPR bright-band
heights were compared with concomitant ground observations in Figure 4b. The different colored points in
the scatterplot indicate increasingly stringent spatiotemporal thresholds that are meant to ensure that each
sensor’s measurements were based on samples of the same features. Mean differences between GPM-DPR
bright-band height and individual ground-based radar sites, the number of observations, and the standard
deviation of the mean differences are detailed in Table 2.
The mean absolute error of GPM-DPR bright-band heights relative to the ground network was 284 m for the
235 comparable instances, and the correlation was 0.59 (p < 0.05). The discrepancy between these is primar-
ily attributable to rapid changes in bright-band height in the ground-based radars, which frequently occur
2
Figure 8. (a) GPM-DPR precipitation rate measurements for all overpasses within 1° latitude and 2 kg m MERRA-2 IWV bins. (b) Total number of GPM-DPR samples
with precipitation, (c) MERRA-2 precipitation rate, and (d) total number of GPM-DPR samples with colocated MERRA-2 precipitation. (e) Cumulative distribution
function of oceanic precipitation in the study domain, according to rain rate, and (f) an enlarged view of the cumulative distribution function for rain rates less than
1
6 mm h .
Figure 10. (a) Number of overpasses with a GPM-DPR bright-band measurement for all 1° × 1° bins with at least three valid measurements. (b) Correlation between
the mean GPM-DPR bright-band height and concomitant mean MERRA-2 freezing level. (c) Average difference between GPM-DPR the mean bright-band heights and
concomitant mean MERRA-2 freezing level.
~600 m, the correlation with MERRA-2 freezing level was 0.93, indicating exceptional agreement in capturing
event-to-event temperature variability (Figure 9a). The mean absolute difference between bright-band
height and freezing level height was 356 m, with larger variance in events with higher bright-band heights.
Results of comparisons over the onshore domain were not appreciably different (Figure 9b).
Performing similar comparisons within 1° × 1° grid boxes covering the entire study domain, the mean corre-
lation between MERRA-2 freezing level height and all GPM-DPR overpasses was 0.93. High correlations were
relatively uniform across the domain (Figure 10b), confirming that GPM-DPR measurements were sensitive to
the primary drivers of freezing level height variability, including the seasonal cycle, latitude, and synoptic
weather events. The mean difference between bright-band height and colocated MERRA-2 freezing level
height for those overpasses was 288 m, which agrees with findings of an approximately 300 m difference
between airborne measurements of bright-band height and freezing level height within maritime stratiform
precipitation off the coast of California (Stewart et al., 1984; White et al., 2002). The difference between
MERRA-2 and GPM-DPR varies by latitude, with larger differences south of 40°N and for higher precipitable
water values (Figure 10c). Previous studies have also found that differences increase at lower latitude
(Houze, 1997; Harris et al., 2000; Shin et al., 2000). These results demonstrate that GPM-DPR captures
event-to-event freezing level variability with excellent skill and infer that its measurements could be used
to independently observe variability and trends in the temperature characteristics of ARs over the satellite’s
lifetime. GPM-DPR bright-band height will additionally benefit validation of freezing level initial conditions
and forecasts over the ocean and improve understanding of the offset between forecasted freezing level
and observed snow level in the western United States (White et al., 2010). These advancements have the
potential to significantly improve the skill of flood forecasting and hazard prediction associated with ARs
(Neiman et al., 2014).
6. Conclusions
Precipitation over midlatitude oceans is not well measured or simulated (Stephens et al., 2010) and is an
important source of uncertainty in the simulation of global water and energy fluxes in climate models
(L’Ecuyer et al., 2015; include (Li et al., 2008) reference). Decades of passive infrared and microwave satellite
observations over the eastern North Pacific Ocean have demonstrated that extratropical cyclones, and their
associated atmospheric river (AR) features, are the primary driver of regional precipitation (Ralph et al., 2004).
However, advancing understanding of precipitation processes in this region requires improved observations
(e.g., Matrosov, 2013; Stephens et al., 2010). In this research, measurements of AR precipitation rates, micro-
physical processes, and freezing level from the Dual-Frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) on board the Global
Precipitation Measurement (GPM; Hou et al., 2014) satellite were evaluated relative to in situ observations and
reanalyses during winter seasons 2014–2017.
GPM-DPR did not effectively reproduce the observed spatial patterns of precipitation accumulation over the
western United States, due to sampling frequency and its minimum sensitivity. Accounting for these limita-
tions, distributions of GPM-DPR precipitation measurements were evaluated over the eastern North Pacific
Ocean and demonstrated that ARs accounted for nearly 70% of measured precipitation over the study
period. These observations identified moderate- to high-intensity precipitation over the eastern North
Pacific Ocean that was generally absent in global model simulation. MERRA-2 precipitation rates below the
minimum sensitivity of GPM-DPR accounted for a 20% increase in total precipitation, and 25% of radar-
derived precipitation rates were greater than the 99th percentile precipitation rate in reanalyses.
Comparison of GPM-DPR with reanalyses further illuminated discrepancies between the proportions of
non-bright-band stratiform, bright-band stratiform, and convective precipitation, which underscore the
propensity of reanalyses to overestimate light precipitation and underestimate heavy precipitation.
Notably, the higher proportion of low-intensity MERRA-2 precipitation in non-bright-band stratiform condi-
tions diminished the contribution of ARs to total simulated oceanic precipitation by 10%, relative to GPM-DPR.
GPM-DPR also demonstrated utility in providing an accurate and independent measurement of AR freezing
level height. Comparison of GPM-DPR-derived bright-band height with in situ radar in cold-type stratiform
conditions exhibited a mean absolute error that was smaller than the effective resolution of the satellite
product, and comparison with reanalysis freezing level height demonstrated exceptional agreement in
event-to-event variability over the entire study domain. These results additionally indicate that GPM-DPR is
potentially useful for independently investigating interannual precipitation and temperature variability in
oceanic precipitating systems.
Diagnosing inconsistencies between satellite measurements and reanalyses lends perspective to precipita-
tion and temperature biases in global models. This is necessary for interpreting model-based estimates of
future AR characteristics and impacts (e.g., Dettinger, 2011; Guan & Waliser, 2017; Ralph et al., 2016;
Warner et al., 2015), reducing uncertainty in numerical weather prediction forecasts (Okamoto et al., 2016;
Ralph et al., 2010) and constraining simulated global moisture and energy budgets (L’Ecuyer et al., 2015).
Although GPM-DPR exhibited several important limitations, chiefly related to sampling frequency and mini-
mum reflectivity sensitivity, it is clear that the advanced satellite product yields tremendous benefit for redu-
cing the data gap over the global oceans and supplementing current understanding of precipitation
processes in ARs.
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