Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                

Lecture 1

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 79

1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4.

Market Indices

Investments and Portfolio Analysis


Lecture 1: Introduction to Financial Market

Dr. Maxime Couvert

University of Hong Kong

Fall, 2023

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 1 / 67


Today’s agenda
1. Introduction to the Course

2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets

3. Financial Asset Categories


3.1 Fixed-income securities
3.1.1 The money market
3.1.2 The bond market
3.2 Equity securities
3.3 Derivatives

4. Stock and Bond Market Indices


4.1 Weighting Schemes
4.1.1 Price-weighted indices
4.1.2 Value-weighted indices
4.1.3 Equally-weighted indices
4.2 Stock splits, dividends, composition changes
4.3 Indices for non-listed assets
Part 1. Introduction to the course
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. About me

Contact Details:
Dr. Maxime Couvert
▶ email: mcouvert@hku.hk
▶ phone: 3917 2192
▶ office: KKL 1006

My Research Interests:
Mutual Funds
Shareholder Activism
ESG Investments

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 2 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Teaching Assistants

Contact Details:
Mr. Jason Tse
▶ email: jasontch@hku.hk
▶ phone: 2857 8308
▶ office: KKL 1026

TBD
▶ email: TBD
▶ phone: 2857 8308
▶ office: KKL 1026

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 3 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Assessment Methods

4 types of assessment:
▶ Assignment(s)/Project(s): 25%
▶ Midterm Exam: 20%
▶ Class/Tutorial Participation: 5%
▶ Final Exam: 50%

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 4 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Exams

Midterm:
▶ Date: Nov. 2, 2023 - 7:00-9:00pm
▶ Review session: a session will take place on the last lecture before the
midterm
▶ Formula sheet: a formula sheet will be provided

Final:
▶ Date: TBA
▶ Review session: a session will take place on the last lecture before the
final
▶ Formula sheet: a formula sheet will be provided

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 5 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Assignments

There will be 2 group assignments


▶ The assignments will be posted on Moodle two weeks before the due
dates
▶ The first assignment due date is Oct. 11, 2023
▶ The second assignment due date is Nov. 22, 2023

Please form groups of 4-5 students (you are allowed to team up with
students from subclasses A, B, C, and D)

Fill the group members in the ”Investment Competition” Excel sheet


by Tuesday, September 19

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 6 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. FINA2320 - Investment Competition

Source: https://www.wealthandfinance-news.com/7-things-people-get-terribly-wrong-about-stocks-and-the-stock-market/

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 7 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. FINA2320 - Investment Competition

FINA2320 Capital Management Ltd., one of the best hedge funds in


Hong Kong, would like to recruit its 2024 summer interns. Cindy, the
Chief Investment Officer, has decided to adopt a new recruitment strategy.
She will organize an investment competition and have teams of
prospective candidates compete against each another. She will hire the
team with the best portfolio performance.

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 8 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. FINA2320 - Investment Competition


Rules of the investment competition:
1 Report the names, UID, email of your team members in the Excel
sheet
2 Choose a name for your team and report it in the Excel sheet.
3 Your team must construct a (approximately) USD1,000,000 portfolio
composed of 2 stocks.
4 Choose the weights that you assign to each stock in the portfolio.
The sum of the weights should equal 1 and weights should be
between [-400%,+400%].
5 Provide a short rationale for your decision to invest in each stock.
(max 50 words)
6 Submit your Excel on Moodle by September 19, 2023
7 On November 10, Cindy will analyze the performance of the different
teams and declare the winner.
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 9 / 67
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. FINA2320 - Investment Competition

There is no grade for the investment competition

If you want to take it seriously... good... if you don’t... good too

But you have to participate because


▶ You will need to use your investment competition portfolio for the
graded assignments
▶ Your investment competition team is going to be the same as your
assignment team

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 10 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Artificial Intelligence Tools


Welcome to 2023!

You are allowed to use AI tools (e.g., ChatGPT) for the investment
competition as well as for assignments

However, if you do use AI tools,

You have to state it clearly:

▶ State which tool you used

▶ State whether you thought it was: useless, somehow useful, or very


useful

Using AI will not be an excuse for wrong answers. So the risk of AI


use is on you.

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 11 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. In-class participation

I will use Mentimeter for the first part of the semester

Then, I’ll try to reduce the use of Mentimeter and see how it goes

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 12 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. New to 2023!!!

Current Affairs

We will try to dedicate 5min at the beginning of each session to


discussing current affairs that are related to the course

That will require your active participation:

▶ If you see something in the news that it relevant to our course and that
you would like me to discuss, email me!

Investment Strategy Examples

For every lecture, I will try to talk a bit of a cool investment strategy
related to the lecture

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 13 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Other administrative matters

Office hours:
▶ Mondays from 1:30pm, Office KK1006 (+Zoom)

Emails:
▶ Regarding exercise sessions and administrative matters: please contact
the teaching assistants
▶ For other questions: I will answer the questions in class such that
everyone benefits from answers

Recordings:
▶ I will provide the recording of one of the sections on Moodle
▶ I will not answer emails asking me when I upload the recording

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 14 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Textbook

Investments, 13th Edition, Zvi Bodie, Alex Kane, and Alan J.


Marcus, McGraw-Hill. 2023.
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 15 / 67
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Course Objectives

1 Gain a fundamental knowledge of investment strategies


2 Understand equity portfolio management techniques
3 Understand different asset pricing models and equity valuation
techniques
4 Understand the concepts and applications of capital market
equilibrium and market efficiency
5 Understand portfolio performance evaluation and current issues
about investments and portfolio management
6 Introduction to financial modeling using Excel

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 16 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Course Content

Objective 1: Fundamental knowledge of investment strategies

Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets (Ref.: Chapters 1 and 2)

How to Trade Securities? (Ref.: Chapter 3)

Mutual Funds and Other Investment Companies (Ref.: Chapter 4)

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 17 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Course Content

Objective 2: Understand equity portfolio management techniques

Portfolio Statistics (Ref.: Chapter 5)

Markowitz Portfolio Selection Model (Ref.: Chapters 6 and 7)

Index Models (Ref.: Chapter 8)

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 18 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Course Content

Objective 3: Understand different asset pricing models and equity


valuation techniques

CAPM (Ref.: Chapter 9)

Arbitrage Pricing Theory (Ref.: Chapter 10)

Equity Valuation Model (Ref.: Chapter 18.3)

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 19 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Course Content

Objective 4: Understand the concepts and applications of capital market


equilibrium and market efficiency

Market Efficiency (Ref.: Chapter 11)

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 20 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Course Content


Objective 5a: Understand portfolio performance evaluation

Portfolio Performance Evaluation (Ref.: Chapter 24)

Objective 5b: Current issues about investments and portfolio


management

Introduction to Sustainable Finance

Objective 6: Introduction to financial modelling using Excel

Assignment 2
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 21 / 67
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 1. Questions?

Any question?

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 22 / 67


Part 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets

(Ref. Chapter 1)
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 2. What is an investment?

Definition
An investment is the current commitment of money or other resources in
the expectation of future benefits.

Investing therefore implies that


▶ You are willing to sacrifice resources today...

in the hope that...


▶ your sacrifice will be rewarded with benefits in the future.

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 23 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 2. The investment decision

Investing therefore implies decision making on:


▶ How much to invest vs. consume?
▶ How to invest?
⋆ Which assets?
⋆ Which proportion?
▶ How long are you willing to sacrifice your resources for?
▶ Which amount of risk are you willing to take?
▶ What benefits can you expect?

All these questions are part of the investment decision.

This class will provide you with tools to make such investments
decisions.

Question: Is saving an investment?

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 24 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 2. Financial vs. Real Assets

Definition
Real assets are assets that you can directly use for the production of goods
or services.
For example: Land, machines, or knowledge.

Definition
Financial assets are means by which an individual holds claims on real
assets.
For example: Stocks, bonds, or options.

Question: Are $100 notes financial or real assets? What about your
bachelor education?

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 25 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 2. Financial Assets

We generally classify financial assets in three large categories:

▶ Fixed-income securities: they are securities that promise a stream of


income that is either fixed or determined by a fixed formula. E.g.
bonds
▶ Equity securities: they are corporation ownership titles. E.g. stocks
▶ Derivative securities: they are more complex financial assets. E.g.
options or forwards

We will study these securities in more details later in the course.

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 26 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 2. Financial markets are very competitive

Financial markets competitiveness implies a risk-return trade-off

Financial markets competitiveness implies markets efficiency

In other words, ”there is no free lunch”

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 27 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 2. Financial markets’ main players


Three main players:
1 Firms: net demanders of capital
2 Households: net suppliers of capital
3 Governments: can borrow or lend

Other important players:


▶ Financial intermediaries: bring suppliers and demanders of capital
together (banks, investment companies, insurance companies, etc.)
▶ Investment banks: provide services that help firms raise capital
(economies of scale and expertise)
▶ Venture Capital and Private Equity: provide capital to non-listed firms
(e.g. start-ups)
▶ Fintech: firms that apply technological innovation to provide finance
related products and services.

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 28 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Reading

Read Chapter 1 of the reference book.

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 29 / 67


Part 3. Financial asset categories
Ref. Chapter 2
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3. Financial asset categories

Three main financial asset categories:

1 Fixed-income

2 Equity

3 Derivatives

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 30 / 67


3.1. Fixed-income securities
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1. Fixed-income securities

Definition
Fixed-income securities are securities that promise a stream of income that
is either fixed or determined by a fixed formula.

Why do fixed-income securities pay a rate of return?

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 31 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1. Fixed-income securities


Definition
Fixed-income securities are securities that promise a stream of income that
is either fixed or determined by a fixed formula.

Why do fixed-income securities pay a rate of return?


▶ Inflation risk:
⋆ Assume that a 10-year bond with a face value of $1M that pays a 2%
fixed annual coupon
⋆ If inflation goes up, the value of the coupons will decrease in real terms
⋆ Investors care about real terms!
⋆ So the higher risk of inflation, the higher the interest rate on the bond
needs to be

▶ Default risk:
⋆ Will the borrower pay back the borrowed amount and the interest on
time?
⋆ The higher the default risk, the higher the interest rate on the bond
needs to be
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 31 / 67
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1. Fixed-income securities

Two main markets for fixed-income securities:

1 The Money Market

2 The Bond Market

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 32 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.1. The money market


Key features of the money market:
▶ Debt securities
▶ Very short-term
▶ Highly liquid (almost equivalent to cash)
▶ Very low risk
▶ Large denominations

Main money market securities (we focus on those):


▶ U.S. Treasury Bills
▶ Commercial Paper
▶ Repos and Reverse Repos

Other important money market securities (please read Chapter 2)


▶ Certificates of deposit
▶ Bankers’ Acceptances
▶ Eurodollars
▶ Brokers’ Calls
▶ Federal Funds
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 33 / 67
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.1. Treasury Bills


Often referred to as T-bills
Concept:
▶ The US government borrows money from the public
▶ Investors buy the bill at a discount and the government pays the face
value of the bill at maturity
▶ Example for a $10,000 bill: US government borrows $9,900 today and
pays back $10,000 in one year

Key features:
▶ Short-term: common maturities are 4, 13, 26, or 52 weeks
▶ Most marketable and most liquid of all money market instruments
▶ Very safe: currently, the risk that the US government defaults over the
forthcoming year is almost zero
▶ Small denomination: $100 denominations exist but $10,000 are much
more common
▶ Regularly issued: every week for short maturities, every month for
52-week maturity
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 34 / 67
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.1. Remark: risk-free assets

Definition
The risk free rate is the rate of interest on a theoretically risk-free asset.

In practice, no such asset exists


Because of its core features, the one-month T-bill is often used as a
risk-free asset (e.g. for CAPM)
▶ Almost no risk
▶ Very liquid

A common alternative for risk-free rate proxy is the rate on


short-term German government bills

Over the past few years, we have started to observe negative interest
rates on German government bills

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 35 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.1. Remark: risk-free assets


Historical risk-free rate

Remarks:
▶ The risk-free rate fluctuates over time
▶ These fluctuations are due to:
⋆ Changes in the Federal Reserve monetary policy (interest rate)
⋆ Changes in inflation
⋆ Changes in investors’ demand for safe assets
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 36 / 67
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.1. Commercial Paper

Concept:
▶ Large, well-known companies issue debt notes
▶ Allows companies to borrow directly from financial markets rather than
from banks
▶ They are short-term
▶ They are generally unsecured (but can be backed by bank credit lines
or other financial assets)

Key features:
▶ Rather safe (although less than a government bill)
▶ Maturities: generally 1 or 2 months
▶ Denominations: generally multiples of $100,000

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 37 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.1. Repos and Reverse Repos

Repo is the short name for Repurchase Agreement

Concept:
▶ A borrower sells a very safe security to a buyer
▶ The borrower commits to buy back the security at a slightly higher
price after a specified short period

Key features:
▶ Very short-term: usually overnight
▶ Very safe: backed by a very safe security (often a government bond)
▶ Repo rate: interest rate paid by the borrower to the lender on the
amount borrowed
▶ Haircut: It is common that the lender delivers less cash than the
market value of the collateral. The spread is called the haircut.

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 38 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.1. Repos and Reverse Repos

Other remarks:
▶ Reverse Repo:It is a Repo but from the perspective of the lender
▶ The Repo rate can be used as a proxy for the overnight risk-free rate
▶ Useful to borrow to buy new securities (i.e. leverage a position)
▶ During the 2007-2008 crisis, there was a so-called ”Run on Repos”
⋆ The value of collateral decreased because of increasing counterparty
risk and concerns about liquidity of the bond market
⋆ In consequence, haircuts increased
⋆ The US banking system became effectively insolvent for the first time
since the Great Depression of the 1920’s. (Gorton, Metrick; 2012)

Source: Gorton, G., & Metrick, A. (2012). Securitized banking and the run on repo. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(3),
425-451.

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 39 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.1. Repo - Example


In t, a borrower (e.g. a hedge fund) sells $10M in treasuries to a
lender (e.g. an asset manager)
In t + 1, a borrower buys back the treasuries at a pre-determined
price $9.09M from the lender
Haircut = 10%
Repo rate = 1%

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 40 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.2. The bond market

Key features of the bond market


▶ Debt securities
▶ Longer-term than money market
▶ Liquidity depends on the bond (can be highly illiquid)
▶ Tends to be riskier than money market securities

Main bond securities (we focus on those):


▶ Treasury Notes and Bonds
▶ Corporate Bonds

Other important bond securities (please read Chapter 2)


▶ Municipal Bonds
▶ Mortgage Securities
▶ Federal Agency Debt

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 41 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.2. Treasury Notes and Bonds

Concept:
▶ They represent a large portion of the US government borrowing
▶ T-notes have maturities ranging up to 10 year
▶ T-bonds have maturities ranging from 10 to 30 years
▶ Denomination: $1,000 is the most common but $100 also exists for
both
▶ Coupons: both deliver semiannual interest payments called coupons

Key features:
▶ They are both very liquid
▶ They are both very safe (as the US government is unlikely to default)

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 42 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.2. Remarks on other types of bonds


Corporate Bonds
▶ Concept:
⋆ Corporations use these bonds to borrow from public markets
⋆ They generally deliver semiannual coupons
⋆ Face-value is generally paid back at maturity
▶ Key Features:
⋆ They are riskier than government bonds (default risk)
Municipal bonds:
▶ Concept:
⋆ Debt securities issued by state and local governments
⋆ Similar to corporate bonds but no federal income tax on their interest
payments
▶ Key features:
⋆ Wide variety of maturities
⋆ Although these are securities that are issued by governmental
authorities, they can be quite risky
⋆ Defaults are not uncommon among local US public entities
⋆ Examples of large municipal bonds’ defaults: The City of Detroit in
2013 ($US20B), the government of Puerto Rico in 2015 ($72B)
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 43 / 67
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.2. Investment strategy - Vulture funds

Investment Strategy Example 1 - Vulture Funds

Definition
Vulture Funds are investment (hedge) funds that specialize in acquiring
fixed-income securities (generally bonds) of near-default entities and that
try to recover the borrowed money

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 44 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.2. Investment strategy - Vulture funds


Investment Strategy Example 1 - Vulture Funds

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 45 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.2. Investment strategy - Vulture funds

Investment Strategy 1 - Vulture Funds

Argentina vs. Elliott Capital Management (Elliott)


▶ In 2001, Argentina defaulted on its $100B sovereign debt and
restructured it, cutting payouts down to 30 cents per dollar of debt
▶ Elliott had acquired an estimated $117M of deprecated Argentinian
bonds
▶ Elliott refused the restructuring plan and decided to sue Argentina
▶ US courts rules in favor of Elliott
▶ In 2012, Elliott requested and obtained the seizure of the Argentinian
military vessel, the Liberdad, with 250 crew members onboard
▶ Elliott even attempted to seize satellite contracts between Argentina
and SpaceX
▶ In 2016, Elliott and Argentina reached an agreement with Argentina
accepting to pay $2.4B to Elliott

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 46 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.2. Rating agencies

How do you assess the riskiness of fixed-income securities?

Rating agencies provide riskiness ratings

They rate fixed-income securities based on their default risk

Which are the three main credit agencies?

How does their rating system work?

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 47 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.2. Rating agencies

Source: https://prepnuggets.com/glossary/credit-ratings-agency/

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 48 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.1.2. Problems with rating agencies

They performed very poorly during the 2007-2008 crisis


▶ Default probabilities were estimated with historical data that did not
take into account systemic risk
▶ They entities that pay for the services are the ones being rated
(conflicts of interest)

Their ratings can be used to compute bank capital ratios

Are these issues gone?

What about ESG ratings?

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 49 / 67


3.2. Equity securities
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.2. Equity securities


Definition
Common stocks represent ownership shares in corporations

Commons stocks are also often referred to as equity securities or


equities

Concept:
▶ The term Common refers to the fact that each share entitles its owner
to one vote
▶ In contrast, non-common stocks may entitle their owner to more than
one vote
▶ Limited Liability: shareholders’ liability is limited to the money they
invested (no need to sell their house to pay back the companies’ debts)
▶ Infinite maturity: as long as the corporation exists
▶ Residual claim on benefits: shareholders have a claim on any remaining
benefits after all other claimants have been paid.
▶ Dividends: firms’ benefits can be reinvested or paid as cash dividends
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 50 / 67
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.2. Corporate Governance and Voting


Corporations resemble democracies
▶ In parliamentary democracies:
⋆ Citizens elect representatives, Parliament Members
⋆ These Parliament Members select the executive body, the Government
▶ In corporations:
⋆ Shareholders elect representatives, Board Members
⋆ These Board Members select the executive body, the Management
▶ Direct democracies:
⋆ Corporations even resemble direct democracies as shareholders have the
right to submit proposals requesting the implementation of some sort
of reforms

Shareholder voting:
▶ In consequence, shareholders vote at corporation’s meetings to elect
board members and to approve a lot of matters related to auditing,
dividends, executive compensation, shareholder proposals, etc.
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 51 / 67
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.2. Preferred Stocks

Preferred Stocks:

▶ Inbetween bond and equity


▶ Like a bond, it provides a specific fixed income every year
▶ Like equity, there is no obligation to pay dividends, instead dividends
cumulate and must be paid before common stockholders receive
dividends
▶ Preferred stocks do not convey voting rights

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 52 / 67


3. Derivatives
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 3.3. Derivatives

Their value depends on the value of another asset, the underlying


asset

Common derivatives include:


▶ Options
▶ Futures
▶ Forwards
▶ Swaps

Read Chapter 2.5

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 53 / 67


Part 4. Stock and Bond Market Indices

(Ref. Chapter 2.4)


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4. Market indices


Definition
A Market Index is a basket of securities used to measure the evolution of a
specific subset of the market

Key feature:
▶ The ”price” of an index reflects the average changes of its constituents
Key roles:
▶ Market barometer: allows to track the performance of a specific
(sub-)market
▶ Market benchmark: allows to compare performances
▶ Underlying index: provides a basis for securities (derivatives) or funds
(e.g. index trackers)
Examples:
▶ Dow Jones Industrial Average
▶ S&P500
▶ HSI (Hang Seng Index)
▶ CSI 300
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 54 / 67
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4. Example: the S&P500 and the HSI


S&P500 in blue and HSI in red

Informational role of financial markets regarding the global macro


economy
We can easily observe the covid-related crashes as well as the recovery

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 55 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4. How to construct an index?

Are the assets listed on public markets?


▶ Yes:
⋆ Examples: listed stocks, bonds, or listed derivatives
⋆ Computation base: public prices
▶ No:
⋆ Examples: real estate, art, or some private equity funds
⋆ Computation base: much more difficult as transaction prices may not
be public

Which weighting scheme?


1 Price weighted
2 Value weighted
3 Equally weighted

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 56 / 67


Part 4.1. Weighting Schemes
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4.1.1. Price-weighted indices

Numerical example price-weighted index:

Stock Price in t Price in t + 1 Return


Firm A 100 110 +10%
Firm B 20 18 -10%
Index 60 64 +6.67%

Index Price in t: PI ,t = (PA,t + PB,t )/2


Index Price in t + 1: PI ,t+1 = (PA,t+1 + PB,t+1 )/2
PI ;t+1
Return of the index between t and t + 1: RI ;t,t+1 = PI ;t −1
Price-weighted indices give more weights to larger prices

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 57 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4.1.1. Price-weighted indices

Price-weighted indices deliver the same returns as equally-weighted


portfolio:

Stock Price in t Price in t + 1 Return


Firm A 100 110 +10%
Firm B 20 18 -10%
Portfolio 120 128 +6.67%

Example of price-weighted index:


▶ Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow Jones)

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 58 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4.1.1. Price-weighted indices

Generalization to N securities:

Definition
PN
i=1 Pi,t
PI ,t =
N
PI ,t is the price of the index in t
Pi,t is the price of security i in t
N is the total number of securities in the index

Remark: the denominator N can be replaced by another value to take


into account stock splits or when firms are dropped or added to the
index

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 59 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4.1.2. Value-weighted indices


Numerical example value-weighted index:

Stock Shares Price Mkt.cap. Price Mkt.cap. Return


in t in t in t + 1 in t + 1
Firm A 1 100 100 110 110 +10%
Firm B 20 20 400 18 360 -10%
Index 100 500 94 470 -6.00%

Index Price in t: PI ,t = 100 (set arbitrarily)


Mkt.cap.t+1
Index Price in t + 1: PI ,t+1 = PI ,t × Mkt.cap.t
PI ;t+1
Return of the index between t and t + 1: RI ;t,t+1 = PI ;t −1
Value-weighted indices give more weights to larger market
capitalizations
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 60 / 67
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4.1.2. Value-weighted indices

Generalization to N securities:

Definition
PN
MCi,t+1
PI ,t+1 = PI ,t × Pi=1
N
i=1 MCi,t

PI ,t is the arbitrarily set price of the index at the initial period t


N is the total number of securities in the index
MCi,t is the market capitalization of firm i in t
PI ,t
Remark: the factor PN can be much more complex to take into
i=1 MCi,t
account when firms are dropped or added to the index
Most common weighting scheme. For example: S&P500, HSI, CSI
300

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 61 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4.1.3. Equally-weighted indices


Numerical example equally-weighted index:

Stock Price in t Price in t + 1 Return


Firm A 100 110 +10%
Firm B 20 18 -10%
Index 100 100 +0%

Return of the index between t and t + 1:


RA;t,t+1 + RB;t,t+1 10% − 10%
RI ;t,t+1 = =
2 2
Index Price in t: PI ,t = 100 (set arbitrarily)
Index Price in t + 1:

PI ,t+1 = PI ,t × (1 + RI ;t,t+1 ) = 100 × (1 + 0%)

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 62 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4.1.3. Equally-weighted indices

Generalization to N securities:

Definition
PN
i=1 Ri;t,t+1
RI ;t,t+1 =
N

PI ,t+1 = PI ,0 × (1 + RI ;0,1 ) × (1 + RI ;1,2 ) × ... × (1 + RI ;t,t+1 )

PI ,0 is the arbitrarily set price of the index at the initial period t


N is the total number of securities in the index
Ri;t,t+1 is the return on asset i from time t to t + 1

Equally-weighted indices deliver the same returns as a portfolio


strategy that invests equal dollar value in each security.

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 63 / 67


Part 4.2. Stock splits, dividends, composition changes
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4.2. Stock splits, dividends, composition changes

How to deal with stock splits or dividends or composition changes?


Composition changes:
▶ You need to adjust!
Stock splits:
▶ You need to adjust!
Dividends:
▶ Some indices report returns including dividends (total returns), others
don’t (price returns)
▶ Example of included dividends: DAX (Germany)
▶ Example of excluded dividends: CAC40 (France)

Read Chapter 2.4 of the reference book

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 64 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4.2. Stock splits, dividends, composition changes


Evolution of the CAC40 with and without dividends

CAC 40 GR: includes dividends


CAC 40: excludes dividends
Source: Google Finance
Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 65 / 67
Part 4.3. Indices for non-listed asset
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4.3. Constructing indices for non-listed assets

Examples:
▶ Real estate, art, private equity funds

Much more difficult to compute:


▶ Prices may not be public
▶ Transactions can be very infrequent
▶ Assets may be very different from one another

Solutions:
▶ Hedonic regressions: take into account the characteristics of the assets
▶ Repeated sales: for example the Case-Shiller index

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 66 / 67


1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices

Part 4.3. Constructing indices for non-listed assets

The Case-Shiller index

Repeated sales index based on the single-family house prices of 20 US


cities
One can clearly observe the 2007-2008 real estate crash
Source: FRED St.Louis

Dr. Maxime Couvert (HKU) FINA2320 - Lecture 1 Fall, 2023 67 / 67

You might also like