Lecture 1
Lecture 1
Lecture 1
Market Indices
Fall, 2023
Part 1. About me
Contact Details:
Dr. Maxime Couvert
▶ email: mcouvert@hku.hk
▶ phone: 3917 2192
▶ office: KKL 1006
My Research Interests:
Mutual Funds
Shareholder Activism
ESG Investments
Contact Details:
Mr. Jason Tse
▶ email: jasontch@hku.hk
▶ phone: 2857 8308
▶ office: KKL 1026
TBD
▶ email: TBD
▶ phone: 2857 8308
▶ office: KKL 1026
4 types of assessment:
▶ Assignment(s)/Project(s): 25%
▶ Midterm Exam: 20%
▶ Class/Tutorial Participation: 5%
▶ Final Exam: 50%
Part 1. Exams
Midterm:
▶ Date: Nov. 2, 2023 - 7:00-9:00pm
▶ Review session: a session will take place on the last lecture before the
midterm
▶ Formula sheet: a formula sheet will be provided
Final:
▶ Date: TBA
▶ Review session: a session will take place on the last lecture before the
final
▶ Formula sheet: a formula sheet will be provided
Part 1. Assignments
Please form groups of 4-5 students (you are allowed to team up with
students from subclasses A, B, C, and D)
Source: https://www.wealthandfinance-news.com/7-things-people-get-terribly-wrong-about-stocks-and-the-stock-market/
You are allowed to use AI tools (e.g., ChatGPT) for the investment
competition as well as for assignments
Then, I’ll try to reduce the use of Mentimeter and see how it goes
Current Affairs
▶ If you see something in the news that it relevant to our course and that
you would like me to discuss, email me!
For every lecture, I will try to talk a bit of a cool investment strategy
related to the lecture
Office hours:
▶ Mondays from 1:30pm, Office KK1006 (+Zoom)
Emails:
▶ Regarding exercise sessions and administrative matters: please contact
the teaching assistants
▶ For other questions: I will answer the questions in class such that
everyone benefits from answers
Recordings:
▶ I will provide the recording of one of the sections on Moodle
▶ I will not answer emails asking me when I upload the recording
Part 1. Textbook
Assignment 2
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1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices
Part 1. Questions?
Any question?
(Ref. Chapter 1)
1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices
Definition
An investment is the current commitment of money or other resources in
the expectation of future benefits.
This class will provide you with tools to make such investments
decisions.
Definition
Real assets are assets that you can directly use for the production of goods
or services.
For example: Land, machines, or knowledge.
Definition
Financial assets are means by which an individual holds claims on real
assets.
For example: Stocks, bonds, or options.
Question: Are $100 notes financial or real assets? What about your
bachelor education?
Reading
1 Fixed-income
2 Equity
3 Derivatives
Definition
Fixed-income securities are securities that promise a stream of income that
is either fixed or determined by a fixed formula.
▶ Default risk:
⋆ Will the borrower pay back the borrowed amount and the interest on
time?
⋆ The higher the default risk, the higher the interest rate on the bond
needs to be
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1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices
Key features:
▶ Short-term: common maturities are 4, 13, 26, or 52 weeks
▶ Most marketable and most liquid of all money market instruments
▶ Very safe: currently, the risk that the US government defaults over the
forthcoming year is almost zero
▶ Small denomination: $100 denominations exist but $10,000 are much
more common
▶ Regularly issued: every week for short maturities, every month for
52-week maturity
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1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices
Definition
The risk free rate is the rate of interest on a theoretically risk-free asset.
Over the past few years, we have started to observe negative interest
rates on German government bills
Remarks:
▶ The risk-free rate fluctuates over time
▶ These fluctuations are due to:
⋆ Changes in the Federal Reserve monetary policy (interest rate)
⋆ Changes in inflation
⋆ Changes in investors’ demand for safe assets
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1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices
Concept:
▶ Large, well-known companies issue debt notes
▶ Allows companies to borrow directly from financial markets rather than
from banks
▶ They are short-term
▶ They are generally unsecured (but can be backed by bank credit lines
or other financial assets)
Key features:
▶ Rather safe (although less than a government bill)
▶ Maturities: generally 1 or 2 months
▶ Denominations: generally multiples of $100,000
Concept:
▶ A borrower sells a very safe security to a buyer
▶ The borrower commits to buy back the security at a slightly higher
price after a specified short period
Key features:
▶ Very short-term: usually overnight
▶ Very safe: backed by a very safe security (often a government bond)
▶ Repo rate: interest rate paid by the borrower to the lender on the
amount borrowed
▶ Haircut: It is common that the lender delivers less cash than the
market value of the collateral. The spread is called the haircut.
Other remarks:
▶ Reverse Repo:It is a Repo but from the perspective of the lender
▶ The Repo rate can be used as a proxy for the overnight risk-free rate
▶ Useful to borrow to buy new securities (i.e. leverage a position)
▶ During the 2007-2008 crisis, there was a so-called ”Run on Repos”
⋆ The value of collateral decreased because of increasing counterparty
risk and concerns about liquidity of the bond market
⋆ In consequence, haircuts increased
⋆ The US banking system became effectively insolvent for the first time
since the Great Depression of the 1920’s. (Gorton, Metrick; 2012)
Source: Gorton, G., & Metrick, A. (2012). Securitized banking and the run on repo. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(3),
425-451.
Concept:
▶ They represent a large portion of the US government borrowing
▶ T-notes have maturities ranging up to 10 year
▶ T-bonds have maturities ranging from 10 to 30 years
▶ Denomination: $1,000 is the most common but $100 also exists for
both
▶ Coupons: both deliver semiannual interest payments called coupons
Key features:
▶ They are both very liquid
▶ They are both very safe (as the US government is unlikely to default)
Definition
Vulture Funds are investment (hedge) funds that specialize in acquiring
fixed-income securities (generally bonds) of near-default entities and that
try to recover the borrowed money
Source: https://prepnuggets.com/glossary/credit-ratings-agency/
Concept:
▶ The term Common refers to the fact that each share entitles its owner
to one vote
▶ In contrast, non-common stocks may entitle their owner to more than
one vote
▶ Limited Liability: shareholders’ liability is limited to the money they
invested (no need to sell their house to pay back the companies’ debts)
▶ Infinite maturity: as long as the corporation exists
▶ Residual claim on benefits: shareholders have a claim on any remaining
benefits after all other claimants have been paid.
▶ Dividends: firms’ benefits can be reinvested or paid as cash dividends
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1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices
Shareholder voting:
▶ In consequence, shareholders vote at corporation’s meetings to elect
board members and to approve a lot of matters related to auditing,
dividends, executive compensation, shareholder proposals, etc.
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1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices
Preferred Stocks:
Key feature:
▶ The ”price” of an index reflects the average changes of its constituents
Key roles:
▶ Market barometer: allows to track the performance of a specific
(sub-)market
▶ Market benchmark: allows to compare performances
▶ Underlying index: provides a basis for securities (derivatives) or funds
(e.g. index trackers)
Examples:
▶ Dow Jones Industrial Average
▶ S&P500
▶ HSI (Hang Seng Index)
▶ CSI 300
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1. Introduction to the Course 2. Basic Knowledge in Financial Markets 3. Financial Asset Categories 4. Market Indices
Generalization to N securities:
Definition
PN
i=1 Pi,t
PI ,t =
N
PI ,t is the price of the index in t
Pi,t is the price of security i in t
N is the total number of securities in the index
Generalization to N securities:
Definition
PN
MCi,t+1
PI ,t+1 = PI ,t × Pi=1
N
i=1 MCi,t
Generalization to N securities:
Definition
PN
i=1 Ri;t,t+1
RI ;t,t+1 =
N
Examples:
▶ Real estate, art, private equity funds
Solutions:
▶ Hedonic regressions: take into account the characteristics of the assets
▶ Repeated sales: for example the Case-Shiller index