MHMCT - GD Goenka - Notes
MHMCT - GD Goenka - Notes
MHMCT - GD Goenka - Notes
Usually you'll see in revenue management that people make their reservations in advance. This is
very helpful because it allows you to be able to build a better forecast, to be able to make those
decisions on whether you should say yes or whether you should say no.
Another thing that is very important is time-variable demand. That is how does demand vary by
time of year or time of season, and this really varies depending on what type of hotel you are. At
a business hotel you are probably busier during the week than on the weekend, and there might
be certain months when you are busier than others. At a resort hotel you are probably busier
during the nicer weather. For instance in Goa they are much busier in the wintertime than they
are during the monsoons.
The other thing you have to look at though is the other component of time, which is, how long
are people staying? The length of Stay. So for example again, at a business hotel the average
length of stay might be one night or two nights, where at a resort hotel or a convention hotel,
people might be staying quite a bit longer. For example, at some resort hotels, people might be
staying for a couple of weeks. We have to understand this length of stay because that's a
component of how customers use the capacity of our hotel.
We've already talked a little bit about the cost structure. Associated with this too is, how
pricesensitive
are customers?
Some customers are very, very price-sensitive, and they'll do anything to get a cheaper room
rate. They would perhaps not mind coming in at a different time or off-season. And there may
be some customers who are completely not bothered about the price they are paying. All they
want is to get a room on a particular night in a particular location or in a particular hotel. They
don't really much care what they pay for it.
Then there is market segmentation. This is basically segmenting between customers who are
sensitive to price and those who are not.
If you can understand who those markets are and devise your pricing strategy accordingly, you're
going to be a whole lot better off.
All we want to do is maximise revenue, or profit, per room night. In our case it is RevPAR.
There are two strategic levers that have to be played around with. One of them is the durationhow
long customers are using the hotel or using the inventory-and the other one is price-what
are the different prices that we're charging for the use of this space?
Managing price and managing length of stay-those are the two things that you have to be able to
do to be able to develop a revenue management system.
We go more in detail on price and duration in courses ahead.
Essential Conditions For Revenue Management
To be of practical use, revenue management can only exist where certain sets of conditions and
constraints apply. These conditions and characteristics, whilst not individually unique to the
service sector, when taken together, provide a complex set of interrelationships that need to be
analysed and understood.
Revenue management is most effective if:-
the capacity is limited and can’t be increased easily
the product is perishable and can be sold in advance
the demand varies and is unknown at time of decisions
the market/customers can be segmented
the variable costs are low
the products and prices can be adjusted to the market
Constrained Capacity/Hard Supply : When sellers cannot readily increase the amount of
products or services available for sale when consumer demand for them increases. This is a
condition where capacity or supply is limited.This is referred to as “hard supply”. The hotel has
a fixed number of rooms, the airline has a fixed number of seats, and the cruise liner has a fixed
number of cabins.
Perishable Inventory : The inventory or supply, in this condition is not just constraint but also
available at that moment in time only. If not used, it may perish. Such inventory cannot be
stored and reused on another occasion. If not sold for the specific flight, cruise or day, the
opportunity for the sale is lost.
Variable But Forecastable Demand : This is a situation where demand may vary with changing
market conditions. Demand for such products or services is predictable and can be forecasted
for effective results.
Segment-Able Market Place : In a situation where market can be segmented and consumer
behaviour and needs can be categorised, application of revenue management is possible.
Low Variable cost & High Fixed Cost : This refers to the relatively low costs in servicing either
the airline seat or the hotel room.
Ability To Charge Variable Price : The customer must be prepared to pay variable prices
dependent upon the nature of the product and the demand. When consumer is prepared to pay a
variable price for the same product as with airline seats and hotel rooms, it creates the unique
environment in which revenue management can work.
What revenue manager is doing?
Few years back, the revenue manager job was consisted of collecting and compiling data into
Excel spreadsheets, analyzing the data to identify trends and making a decision about hotel
rates. Now it's an incredibly complex process that involves online travel agencies (OTAs), mobile
marketing, hyper-interactive consumers, and direct competitors who consistently undercut their
prices.
The job description and responsibilities for the revenue manager vary from chain to chain, but
regardless of the hotel company, nearly all revenue managers perform multifunctional roles that
extend far beyond optimizing room rates and forecasting group profitability. Revenue managers
are fast becoming corporate leaders who chair rate strategy committees, train property
managers in pricing strategies, and guide sales and marketing teams in the most effective
positioning for their selling strategies and campaigns. Every decision they make affects hotel
profitability and because of this the position demands a professional competent in their ability
to manage both people as well as revenue.
Revenue manager is to make sure that hotel inventory is available in all channels, Sometimes
hotels sell out of rooms on certain days on OTA's or vice versa, make sure you have matching
inventory available across all channels to avoid rate parity issues.
Channel management is a complex task, with lots of data to manage. The challenge is to make
sense of all the information in a simple, quick and convenient interface, but to also be able to
implement a distribution strategy. Putting 100% of your availability across all your distribution
channels is not a strategy! A fine-grained approach is what is needed if you are to remain in
control of your distribution and optimize your margin.
9- Competitive Market Share analysis :
Revenue manager make the necessary market share analysis reports to understand hotel
performance versus competitors, both in terms of occupancy and average rate, checking if hotel
getting it's fair market share? Use KPI like MPI, ARI, and RGI to Benchmark the results of your
hotel's revenue management performance. What is your market penetration index?
10- Budgeting and Forecasting
As revenue management has developed, it has become more disciplined and technical in using a
variety of analytics to predict consumer demand, and to optimize the inventory and price
availability to maximize revenue. The essence of this discipline is in understanding the
customers' perception of product value and accurately aligning product prices, placement and
availability with each customer segment.
The budget is indeed your first forecast; the forecast will reflect the expected situation in the
short term (1 to 3 months). Forecasts will be compared to the budget. New rate and selling
strategies will be applied depending on the new Revenue expectations to maximize Revenue.
11- Weekly / Monthly meeting
A viable revenue meeting should involve four structured components, should not last longer than
an hour and should include an ample dose of accountability. Once a month a fifth component
should be added. Imagine these components like concentric circles on a target—the meeting
starts with the outermost circle and involves relevant general information, then proceeds to
move progressively to more detailed and specific property information until the meeting reaches
the center of the target where strategies and tactics are finalized. The five key components
include:
1 Marketplace dynamics and general economic climate;
2 Competitive information;
3 Hotel performance trends vs. budget and vs. comp set;
4 Selling strategy
5 Forecasting
Responsibility for these components should be assigned to different members of the revenue
team, with marketplace information handled by the director of sales and marketing or, in a
smaller hotel, the G
A variance can also be caused by an incorrect on the books; before extracting your on
the books, ensure that:
• The segmentation is correct
• Review all your definite groups. Evaluate the possible increase or decrease of the
block. Ensure room blocks are well updated
• Evaluate your group tentative and apply a materialization factor
• Verify you do not have duplicate bookings
• Ensure that you do not have pending reservations not entered yet in the PMS
• Take out oversold rooms on expected cancellations and base your forecast on the
number of rooms available to sell
• Every room block and reservations are attached to a correct rate or rate code.
The accuracy of your forecast is the key to profitability or GOPPAR of your hotel. Other
departments depend of it. Therefore, we set the bar even sharper, and only allow
ourselves a maximum of 3% variance.
Marketing Strategy
A reliable room forecast is critical in the
effective execution of a hotel’s marketing
strategy. As hoteliers use forecasting
mechanisms
to plan their promotion offers (period, targeted
territories, etc.), the interrelation between
room
forecasting and marketing strategy is quite
obvious. This is a key trigger for hotel’s Sales and
Marketing team to activate sales & marketing
initiative to attempt and create demand, at the
same time promotions are introduced
for the same effect. On this strategy table itself hotels identify the market segment that
can be targeted to make up for the drop expected from the other segment.
For example for a forecast of low occupancy for an upcoming period, hotels can decide
to run promotion on all online channels to create an incremental demand as well hotel
sales team can run customised promotions for their offline customers to fill up the
hotel.
Yielding across various channels
An accurate forecast of occupancy and room revenue empowers a revenue manager to
yield across various channels.
For example if property is forecasted for a high occupancy owing to high unconstrained
demand then the revenue manager can choose to yield and sell on low cost/high rate
channels to maximize profits.
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The Rooms forecast is a forerunner to Financial Forecast
Hotel Financial Controller needs information on forecasted room revenue for multiple
purposes; to understand cash/credit flow for hotel as that needs to be considered for
multiple expenses that will be generated in different departments including rooms.
For example for next month hotel revenue manager makes a forecast that Corporate
Groups & Corporate FITs will be dominant in occupancies and Transient segment will be
below expectations, a financial controller will have to adjust the outflow of cash since
most corporate bookings tend to be realised much later than actual check out when
payment from these corporate offices hits the hotel’s bank.
Also additional revenue that will be generated from other departments like F&B,
Laundry, etc., is proportional to Room occupancy.
As discussed, Hotel Financial Controller creates a cash flow forecast (a forecast of cash
coming into and going out of a business) on this forecast by revenue manager and this
forecast is periodically compared with the hotel budget to track deviation.
Forecast for other Revenue generating departments
Though hotel rooms might be the biggest contributors to revenue but there are other
revenue-generating departments too which have their forecast dependent on room
forecast, for example, room occupancy will help F&B to know how many resident guests
are expected at Breakfast and other meals, similar forecast for other departments like
Laundry, Mini Bar, etc.
Purchase Decisions
Purchase of perishable as well as non perishable improves by a good forecast. For
Example during low occupancy period a hotel may decide to cut down its buffet
offerings in coffee shop and thus need to purchase a lot of perishable food item will not
be there.
Action Plan for Near Future
This is base on which hotels plan their course of actions in all areas for near future, say
3 months, and move accordingly.
Expansion Plans
May be not relevant for every forecast but a demand forecast of unconstrained demand
might be referred to by hotel management to plan an expansion if needed.
For Example, on a regular basis the unconstrained demand forecast for a hotel is high
which may lead the management to a decision to expand the size of hotel, if possible,
and increase its inventory owing to observed regular high unconstrained demand.
Decision About Staffing
Room occupancy forecast will also be referred by all departments for their staffing
purposes as well as, if needed, for hiring too.
_
For Example; hotels generally encourage their staff to take their annual leaves in low
season of occupancy so that during their high occupancy period they have staff at full
strength to ensure smooth operations.
Hotel Maintenance
Hotels tend to utilize low occupancy forecasted time for periodical maintenance.
For example; annual renovation of rooms and other areas in a hotel is generally carried
out when the forecast is for a low occupancy for a long period.
A reliable forecast has a direct impact on bottom line.
Forecast Variations
Types of Forecasts
•Arrivals Forecast-An arrivals forecast includes
guests arriving on the forecast day, but does not
include guests arriving prior to the forecast day
for multi-night stays.
•Room-Nights Forecast-A room-night forecast
includes guests arriving on the forecast day and
guests arriving prior to the forecast day for multinight
stays.
Elements of YM
Flexible rates lead to more guests and associated transactions makes YM a complex
managerial tool. It becomes even more complex when discounting is granted on a
selective rather than general basis and when it involves selling rooms for which there
may be competing buyers. While developing a successful Yield Strategy, the following
Elements are very important:
Group Room Sales
Transient (FIT) Room Sales
Food and Beverage Activity
Local and Area-wide Conventions
Special Events
1. Group Room Sales:
Group Booking Data Determines whether the Group blocks already recorded in the
Reservation File should be modified or not and adjusts expectations by reviewing the
Group’s Booking History. Determine if group blocks should be reduced owing to
anticipated cancellations or over estimations of group size. Groups generally block 5% to
10% more rooms than they require so that they have sufficient space for their members.
DELETION OF UNNECESSARY
GROUP ROOMS FROM GROUP BLOCK IS CALLED WASH FACTOR.
Group Booking Pace Watches out for the Rate at which Group Business is being booked
(Consider Historical Trends). Booking here is the initial agreement between the group
and the hotel and not the individual rooms in group block by group members. It is in
form of percentage compared to the number of previous years’ bookings during that
same period. Management should try to keep the method for tracking group bookings
pace forecasts as simple as possible.
Anticipated Group Business Watches out for repetitive Group Patterns and act
accordingly in order to forecast the Pressure on the Market, and hence adjust Selling
Strategies. It is unbooked business likely to return. A group for example may rotate in 3
cities having its congression once in 3 years in the same city. Although a contract may
not yet be signed, but the management may be confident that the group will return
according to the cycle. TENTATIVE BOOKINGS that await final contract negotiations are
also normally included in YM.
Group Booking Lead-Time Measures how far in advance of a stay Bookings are made.
This is very important in determining whether to accept an Additional Group and at what
Room Rate to book the New Group. Average lead times may be up to 2 months or more.
Management must determine its hotels lead time for group bookings so that a booking
trend can be charted. This trend can be combined with the booking pace information on
a graph to illustrate the rate at which the hotel is booking business compared with
historical trends. This information is essential in determining whether to accept an
additional group and at which room rate. If current rate of group bookings is lower than
historical rates the book rooms at discounted prices.
Displacement or Transient Business Occurs when a Hotel accepts Group Business at the
Expense of Transient Guest willing to pay rack rate. This might engender Profitability
Problems and Bad Reputation. A hotel should first look into the revenue factors and
accept a group if the expected revenue gain offsets the transient guest revenue loss.
Also consider guests who cannot be accommodated if they are regular or first time
guests along with secondary and tertiary displacements
2. Transient Room Sales:
The Front Office Management shall monitor the Booking Pace and Lead-Time of Transient
Guests in order to understand how Current Reservations compare with Historical and
Anticipated Rates
3. Food and Beverage Activities:
All local Food and Beverage Functions should be viewed in light of the Potential for
Booking Groups that need Meeting Space, Food and Beverage Service, and Guest Rooms
4. Local and Area-wide Activities:
Even when a Hotel is not in the immediate Vicinity of a Convention, Transient Guests and
Smaller Groups displaced by the Convention may be referred to the Hotel (as an
Overflow Facility) and this may have a tremendous Impact on Hotel’s Revenue
5. Special Events:
In Special Events (Concerts, Festivals, and Sporting Events), Hotels might decide to
benefit from High Demand by restricting Room Rate Discounts or requiring a Minimum
Length of Stay
Functions performed by YM techniques:
1. Improves forecast demand.
2. Determines of discounting activity whereby discounts are eliminated during high
demand periods.
3. Uses MLOS minimum length of stay and CTA closed to arrival to maximise revenues in
peak demand periods.
4. Implements special event rates in peak demand periods.
5. Improved seasonal pricing and inventory decisions.
6. Identification of target market segment demands.
7. Improved development of business plans.
8. Establishment of value based rate structure.
Points to kept in mind while managing yield:
1. Occupancy and ADR index should be close: within a few percentage points of each
other.
2. Rate integrity should be maintained over various distribution channels.
3. Revenue management should be a daily activity with constant monitoring of
competition rates via internet, call around etc.
4. It may be necessary to gamble on rates sometimes, but do so based on known data
and with minimal costly walks.
Techniques of YM
Capacity management:
1. Also called as selective over booking.
2. It involves controlling and limiting room supply.
3. It balances risk of overselling against loss in potential revenue arising from SPOILAGErooms
going unoccupied after reservations were closed off.
4. Also involves number of walk-ins to accept in place of expected cancellations and no
shows.
5. It varies with room type; it being more prudent to overbook lower priced rooms.
Discount allocation:
1. Involves restricting the time period and the product mix available at reduced prices.
2. Primary objective is to protect enough remaining rooms at a higher rate to satisfy the
projected demand at that rate while at the same time filling up rooms that would
otherwise have remained unsold.
3. Works on the principle that sale of a perishable item at a reduced price is often
better than no sale at all.
4. Limiting discounts also encourages up selling.
5. PRICE ELASTICITY refers to relationship between price and demand that needs to be
carefully considered
Duration control:
1. This places time constraints on accepting reservations in order to protect sufficient
space for multi day requests.
2. A reservation for one night stay may be rejected even though space is available.
3. Hotels in peak occupancy should prefer reservations to be for more than one evening.
MLOS/CTA.
Putting Yield Management to Work
In principle, yield management tactics are fairly straightforward. In practice, they
require you to be diligent, shrewd, and always on top of your game as a hotelier. Gone
are the days of simply offering a rate discount to convention attendees in order to
lengthen their stay beyond convention days. Today's hotelier must know the tendencies
of each demand segment and how to satisfy those tendencies in a way that maximizes
profit. Offering solutions instead of discounts to parsimonious patrons has proven a far
more effective way of encouraging them to stay, and stay longer, at your hotel. This is
where an investment in yield management pays off.
A profitable yield management strategy also involves exploiting the best (and
diminishing the least-efficient) aspects of a hotel's daily operation. Wholesale costcutting
rarely proves effective because there aren't many viable areas, depending on a
hotel's brand and service level, in which to make cuts: you can't close down one day a
week to save on energy and maintenance, you can't shut down the pool just because
only a handful of guests are there to swim, and you can't leave the front desk unmanned
to save the cost of a shift.
Instead, leveraging some routine costs can be useful in bolstering hotel revenue. For
example, costs associated with a hotel's breakfast buffet, including food preparation and
waste disposal, will exist whether the hotel is fully or sparsely occupied on any given
day-that is, the table could be all laid out but with too few guests to partake of what's
offered. A 'free breakfast' offering during slow periods can encourage more guests to stay
at your hotel, improving overall revenue with only a marginal effect on food and
beverage costs. Likewise, complimentary phone and Internet use are swiftly becoming
the norm for negotiated corporate rates. As hoteliers cast their lines into the uncertain
waters of 2009, such value-added amenities can prove an essential lure in capturing
demand.
What is Revenue Management?
To use the American Hotel and Lodging Educational Institute’s definition, revenue
management is “a set of revenue maximization strategies and tactics meant to improve
the profitability of certain businesses.” This definition purposely leaves the complex
multidisciplinary aspects of the process vague, to emphasize its ultimate goal: improving
profitability. It is complex because it involves several aspects of management control,
including rate management, revenue streams management, and distribution channel
management, just to name a few. Revenue management is multidisciplinary because it
blends elements of marketing, operations, and financial management into a highly
successful new approach.
Perhaps the best definition is Wikipedia’s: revenue management is the process of
understanding, anticipating and influencing consumer behaviour in order to maximize
revenue or profits from a fixed, perishable resource (such as airline seats or hotel room
reservations). This encapsulates both the overarching goal of the process, and its crucial
relationship to consumer behaviour. What is revenue management except a means to
mould consumer behaviour in a way that benefits the hotel?
Understanding
The first step in this long and ongoing process of encouraging consumer behaviour that is
beneficial to the hotel is understanding consumer behaviour in the first place. What
motivates a potential guest to book a room at one hotel as opposed to another, or at one
price and not another is an essential concept to grasp. Though this can be conjecture,
the relationship between pricing and booking pace (and that of a hotel’s competitors) is
easily measured, and elucidates the same set of behaviours. Selling a room to a guest at
the right price to both maximize occupancy and the revenue it generates is impossible
without first considering what will prompt a consumer to make the purchase. It is very
easy to understand the consumers buying habits if you are able to collect a property’s
purchasing data analyze it and then read and interrupt the data in real time. This is
easier said than done, but very possible if you have the right system in place.
Anticipating
Once an understanding of consumer behaviour is gleaned- both in a general sense and
specific to the property and the property’s competitors- then management can begin to
anticipate that consumer behaviour. This is where the real challenge or revenue
management emerges: being as accurate with this anticipation as possible, through
forecasting, modelling, and exhaustive research. Only when consumer behaviour is at
least partially anticipated can a hotel hope to sell and distribute their room inventory
effectively, which is how revenue management leads to higher revenues and
profitability. Once all data is collected and analyzed a pattern will begin to form. This
pattern will constantly change and evolve just like any market. The key is to have a
system in place with Artificial Intelligence (AI) that can understand and adapt to these
changes in real time.
Influencing
The last, and most critical aspect of revenue management, is actually influencing
consumer behaviour. If a hotel can understand and anticipate a consumer’s decision,
then the next logical step is to guide that decision in a direction that is beneficial to the
property. In terms of selling rooms, exerting influence is largely a function of
presentation and sales channel distribution, in an effort to display a room to a customer
at the price most likely to incite them to buy (while simultaneously being the price that
earns the most revenue for the hotel in that situation). The process of influencing
consumer behaviour is the capstone of revenue management; it is supported by
understanding and anticipating consumer behaviour, but in the end it is all the only
visible result of a revenue management strategy. Once you have collected and analyzed
all of the data, it will be simple to implement the findings into your revenue
management processes. By doing so, it will provide you with a huge competitive
advantage in the market, thus helping you capture a bigger share of the market.
Of course, being capable of executing the technical aspects of revenue management is
crucial to the success of any revenue management strategy. The ability to modify prices
in a real time environment, effectively manage inventory, balance and optimize sales
channel distribution and facilitate cross-departmental cohesion are important nuts and
bolts of the revenue management machine; it won’t function without them. But neither
will it work without an understanding of the fundamental principles of revenue
management.
So remember: Understand, anticipate and influence. These are the fundamentals of
revenue management and the keys to a hotel’s financial success