Essay Test
Essay Test
Essay Test
ESSAY TEST
Class: HM17D
Name: Nguyen Quynh Trang
Student ID: DS170031
Lecturer: Duong Nguyen Minh Huy
Task:
1. List the three major problems in using the CPI as a measure of the cost of living.
2. Jay and Joyce meet George, the banker, to work out the details of a mortgage. They
all expect that inflation will be 2 percent over the term of the loan, and they agree on a
nominal interest rate of 6 percent. As it turns out, the inflation rate is 5 percent over
the term of the loan.
a. What was the expected real interest rate?
b. What was the actual real interest rate?
c. Who benefited and who lost because of the unexpected inflation?
3. Why does the GDP deflator give a different rate of inflation than the CPI?
Solution:
1.
The three major problems with using the CPI as a measure of the cost of living:
- Substitution bias:
+ Over time, some prices rise faster than others
+ Consumers substitute toward goods that become relatively cheaper, mitigating
the effects of price increases.
+ The CPI misses this substitution because it uses a fixed basket of goods.
+ Thus, the CPI overstates increases in the cost of living.
- Introduction of New Goods:
+ The introduction of new goods increases variety, allows consumers to find
products that more closely meet their needs.
+ In effect, dollars become more valuable.
+ The CPI misses this effect because it uses a fixed basket of goods.
+ Thus, the CPI overstates increases in the cost of living.
- Geographical Differences:
+ The CPI is a national average, so it doesn't consider regional variations in
living costs.
+ Costs of living can differ significantly between cities and rural areas, making
the CPI less accurate for some individuals or regions.
2.
a.
Expected real interest rate = Nominal interest rate - Expected inflation = 6% - 2% =
4%
So, the expected real interest rate is 4%
b.
Actual real interest rate = Nominal interest rate - Actual inflation = 6% - 5% = 1 %
So, the actual real interest rate is 1%
c.
Jay and Joyce benefitted from the unexpected inflation because they paid back the
loan with inflated dollars - their real interest rate on the mortgage was only 1% when
they expected to pay 4%. George and the bank lost because they didn't make as much
as expected on the loan - they expected to earn 4% and only earned 1%.
3.
The GDP deflator gives a different inflation rate than the CPI because these two
indexes measure inflation using two different methods.
- The CPI measures price changes in goods and services purchased out of pocket
by urban consumers. It includes anything bought by consumers including
foreign goods.
- Whereas, the GDP price index and implicit price deflator measure price
changes in goods and services purchased by consumers, businesses,
government, and foreigners, but not importers. It includes only domestic goods
and not anything that is imported.
Therefore, when there is a difference between these two indexes, it can be due to
uneven production and income growth in the economy, as well as the impact of other
factors such as fluctuations in energy prices and food.