Course Outline
Course Outline
Duration 16 Weeks
Prerequisites It is assumed that everyone attending this class has a good grasp of basic and
intermediate macroeconomics.
Section B
Tuesday: 10:15 am – 11:45 am
Thursday: 10:15 am – 11:45 am
Office & Ext. J-3, Room D, Ext #216
SYLLABUS
i. The Global Economy, the Global Recession, and the global pandemic, – quantum estimation and
introduction to analytics
ii. Defining General Equilibrium, Partial Equilibrium, and their need in analysing Global
Macroeconomics: through agent behavior determining macro aggregates and prices
iii. Macro General Equilibrium models of global economy: giving alternative explanations of
disequilibrium and equilibrium, and business cycles in the macro economy
iv. A useful framework for analysis of the macro economy and macro policy options: the ISLM
model in a closed economy
v. The ISLM model in an open economy, with flexible exchange rates
vi. The ISLM model in an open economy, with fixed exchange rates, and incorporating inflationary
expectations and risk
vii. Partial and General Equilibrium: An introduction to modelling the labour market and embedding
in a GE model: Keynes vs Pigou
viii. Macro policy options and tools for generating output and employment - From linearities to non
linearities
ix. Modelling the global macro economy using the DESA model, and incorporating the labour
market using the Frankenstein model
x. Policy simulation exercises using a Global Policy Model
xi. The macro drivers of global poverty reduction and welfare to meet the SDGs: some newer
welfare theorems
xii. Modeling lab- theoretical model for Pakistan
xiii. Introducing linear algebra and Python
xiv. Simulating aggregate demand
Teaching Strategy
The course will be taught in two modules, one on growth and one on macro modelling. The first
module leads with an analysis of the global macroeconomic determinants of growth including several
macroeconomic factors such as employment, investment, real wages, worker productivity. The second
module is a modeling lab, primarily focusing on familiarizing the students with mathematical modeling
of theoretical models taught in the first half of the course using Python. The class lecture will be divided
into two segments where in the first hour, the lecture will be delivered whereas in the next thirty minutes
the students will be asked to present on the relevant readings of that particular week.
Student Portal:
Assignments and reading material will be uploaded on the student portal: student.lahoreschool.edu.pk
Exams:
Mid-term exam (20%) in the middle of semester and a final exam (35%) at the end of the
semester. All lectures will be included in final exam.
Attendance Policy:
In order to maximize learning in this course, attendance is emphasized. The lecture will involve
real-world examples and interactive discussions which cannot be covered in the text
Your attendance is required to understand the material that is to be covered. You may be allowed five
(5) unexcused absences. Each unexcused absence over 5 will be sufficient reason for reducing your final
grade. (5 points for attendance). Lastly, if a student is absent for more than 8 classes in the course, then
the student will be dropped from the course and given an I (incomplete) grade in the course.
PLO 1. To produce graduates with advanced knowledge and in depth understanding of the
theories, principles and analytical techniques to tackle issues in economic and business
policy. To enable graduates to have sufficient hand varied knowledge base to respond to
the dynamics of business practices labor markets worldwide.
PLO 2. To produce graduates skilled in communication techniques required to become
successful professionals in private or public sector.
PLO 3. To create graduates with the ability to apply theory to real life practices in a
competitive environment using leadership and team building competencies.
PLO 4. To ingrain in students’ work, ethics and efficient time management behavior to
succeed in a professional atmosphere.
PLO 2. To produce graduates To learn about the working of the global Assignments
Reading List
Week 1: The Global Economy and the Global Recession 11 years on
i. Blanchard, O., Romer, D., Spence, M., & Stiglitz, J. (Eds.). (2012). In the Wake of the Crisis
Leading Economists Reassess Economic Policy. Cambridge: MIT Press.
Week 3: Macro General Equilibrium models of global economy: giving alternative explanations of
disequilibrium and equilibrium, and business cycles in the macro economy
i. Plosser, C., & Long, J. (1983). Real Business Cycles. Journal of Political Economy,91(1).
ii. Garrison, R. (2000). Time and Money: The Macroeconomics of Capital Structure. London:
Routledge.
iii. Minsky, H. (1974). The modeling of financial instability: An introduction. In Proceedings of the
fifth annual pittsburgh conference on modelling and simulation (Vol. 5). Pittsburgh: Instruments
Society of America.
iv. Abel, A., Bernanke, B., & Croushore, D. (2013). Macroeconomics (Global Edition, 8th ed.).
Pearson. (Chapters 8, 10, 11 and 12)
Weeks 4-6 A useful framework for analysis of the macro economy and macro policy options: the
ISLM model
i. Blanchard, O., & Johnson, D. (2013). Macroeconomics (6th ed.). Pearson. (Chapter 5)
Week 7: Partial and General Equilibrium: An introduction to modelling the labour market and
embedding in GE model: Keynes vs Pigou
i. Keynes, J. (1935). The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money: Book I Chapters 1-
3; Book III Chapter 18; Book IV Chapters 19-20 including Appendix.
Week 8: Macro policy options and tools for generating output and employment: From linearities
to non linearities
i. Bewley, T. F. 1999. Why wages don't fall during a recession. Cambridge, MA.: Harvard
University Press.
ii. Dickens, W. T. 2009. A new method for estimating time variation in the NAIRU. Pages 205 242
of: Fuhrer, J., & Kodrzycki, Y. K. (eds), Understanding the implications for monetary policy: A
Phillips curve perspective. MIT Press.
iii. Sell, F. L. 2016. Combining the Beveridge and the Phillips Curve into an integrative model: The
Modified Output Gap. Review of Economics and Finance, 6(2), 1 12.
iv. Blanchflower, D. G., & Oswald, A. J. 1994. The wage curve. Cambridge, MA.: MIT Press.
v. Acemoglu, D. 2001. Good jobs vs. bad jobs. Journal of Labor Economics, 19(1), 1 21.
vi. Ball, L.B., Leigh, D., & Loungani, P. 2013. Okun's Law: Fit at 50?
vii. Barnichon, R., & Nekarda, C. J. 2012. The ins and outs of forecasting unemployment: Using
labor force ows to forecast the labor market. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Fall, 83
117.
Week 10: The macro drivers of global poverty reduction and welfare to meet the SDGs: some
newer welfare theorems
i. Banerjee, A., & Duflo, E. (2011). Poor Economics: A Radical Rethinking of the Way to Fight
Global Poverty. New York: Public Affairs.
ii. Jefferson, P. (Ed.). (2012). The Oxford Handbook of the Economics of Poverty. New York:
Oxford University Press.
iii. Sachs, J. (2005). The End of Poverty: Economic Possibilities for Our Time. New York: The
Penguin Press.
iv. Addison, T. (2009). Poverty Dynamics: Interdisciplinary Perspectives (D. Hume & R. Kanbur,
Eds.). New York: Oxford University Press Inc.
Pedagogy
The course is heavily based on lectures followed by assignments and presentations.
Examinations
There will be two examinations for this course. The exams will consist of problems and theory
questions based on assignments, class lectures, and class discussions. No make-up exam will be given
except for medical emergencies. The make-up exam will only be administered if the request is approved
by Lahore School administration.
Missed Exam Policy:
The controller of examinations must determine that a valid excuse has been accepted. If a mid-
term is missed with a valid excuse, the make-up will be given with the final exam.
Unexcused missed mid-terms will receive a grade of zero. Students who miss the final will have to take
it the following year (i.e. the next time the course is offered). Students without a valid excuse for the
final exam will have to re-take the course.
Assessment Criteria
The following will be the assessment criterion for the course
Core Requirements
1. Calculator (No Exceptions) CELL PHONES/ SMART WATCHES MAY NOT BE USED AS
CALCULATORS.
MACRO
● Plosser, C., & Long, J. (1983). Real Business
GENERAL
EQUILIBRIUM Cycles. Journal of Political Economy,91(1).
MODELS OF
● Garrison, R. (2000). Time and Money: The
GLOBAL Macro General
ECONOMY: Equilibrium models of Macroeconomics of Capital Structure. London:
GIVING global economy: giving
Routledge.
ALTERNATIVE alternative explanations of
3 EXPLANATIONS disequilibrium and ● Minsky, H. (1974). The modeling of financial
OF equilibrium, and business
instability: An introduction. In Proceedings of
DISEQUILIBRIU cycles in the macro
M AND economy the fifth annual pittsburgh conference on
EQUILIBRIUM,
modelling and simulation (Vol. 5). Pittsburgh:
AND BUSINESS
CYCLES IN THE Instruments Society of America.
MACRO
ECONOMY
A useful A useful framework for
● Keynes, J. (1935). The General Theory of
framework for analysis of the macro
analysis of the economy and macro policy Employment, Interest, and Money: Book IV
4, 5 & 6
macro options: the ISLM model
Partial and
General ● Keynes, J. (1935). The General Theory of
Equilibrium: Partial and General Employment, Interest, and Money: Book I
An Equilibrium: An
introduction to introduction to modelling Chapters 1-3; Book III Chapter 18; Book IV
7
modelling the the labour market and Chapters 19-20 including Appendix.
labour market embedding in a GE model
and
embedding in
GE model
MID TERM EXAMINATION
8
Macro policy ● Macro policy ● Dickens, W. T. 2009. A new method for
options and options and tools estimating time variation in the NAIRU. Pages
tools for for generating 205 242 of: Fuhrer, J., & Kodrzycki, Y. K.
generating output and (eds), Understanding the implications for
9
output and employment monetary policy: A Phillips curve perspective.
employment: MIT Press.
Simulations based on a
closed economy using:
(i) Changes in the
saving rate
(ii) Changes in the
marginal propensity
A general to consume
equilibrium (iii) Changes in the
14, 15 & macro model budget deficit
16 based on Simulations based on an
aggregate open economy
demand (i) Changes in the
saving rate
(ii) Changes in the
marginal propensity
to consume
(iii) Changes in the
budget deficit
17 FINAL TERM EXAMINATION