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Concept Note WRC

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Title: USING ARTIFICAL INTELLIGENCE TO CREATE A WATER QUALITY

PREDICTION MODEL

Thematic Area
THEME 3: WATER QUALITY AND HEALTH

Motivation: Background to your proposal


South Africa’s rivers and dams have a “severe” problem of microbial contamination
from faecal pollutants; 53% of the sites that were recently sampled are a risk to
people’s health risk if crops eaten raw are irrigated using this water, a new
government report states. Only 42% indicated a low risk, according to the
department of water and sanitation’s National State of Water Report 2022.

Full-contact recreational activities such as swimming, washing laundry and baptisms


are now no longer ideal in areas such as the Vaal, where the water quality of the Vaal
dam continues to deteriorate. The contamination of water resources by faecal
pollutants poses significant risks to human and animal health because numerous
pathogens are associated with faeces. According to the above report by DWS
“Surface water resources are usually not suitable for domestic activities such as
drinking without any sort of treatment and this is evident in the data,”. “The
microbiological results indicate that all the collected samples had high microbial
contamination and the water from that source was not suitable for drinking.”

This would pose a high risk of infection to humans if water was consumed directly
from the source. Treating the water at the household level can reduce the potential
health risk in situations where water is not severely polluted. There was a low risk
of infection if water was consumed after limited treatment in 42% of the sampled
sites.
What is the problem you envision to solve.
Water quality prediction is a fundamental and necessary task for the prevention and
management of water environment pollution. Due to the fluidity of water, different
sections of the same waterbody have similar trends in their water quality. The present
water quality prediction methods cannot exploit the correlation between the water
quality of each section to deeply capture information because they do not take into
account how similar the water quality is between sections. In order to address this
issue, it is important to construct a water quality prediction model based on multi-
task deep learning, taking the chemical oxygen demand (COD) of the water
environment.
Specific aims of the project.
The aim of this project is to develop an application prediction model, which
can provide new methods for water quality management and a reliable basis for river
prevention and control, and effectively improve the efficiency of water pollution
monitoring.

Indicate what makes your project unique


The uniqueness of this project lies in the facts that
1. This project combines quantitative mathematical projections that use
statistical classifiers to determine the water quality of an area with artificial
intelligence to produce the said model, and
2. It is the first time that such a model will be developed and applied in South
Africa.

What is the specific Project Output(s)


The project output would be a Water Quality Prediction Model.

Estimated total budget (incl. VAT)


Task Name Cost
Data Collection R35 000
Draft Model Application R65 000
Site Visit and Water Sampling R145 000
Final Model R45 000
Total Cost R290 000

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