[2] MSTE-001

1. State whether the following statements are

No. of Printed Pages : 10 MSTE-001
True or False. Give reasons in support of your

answers : 5×2=10
POST GRADUATE DIPLOMA IN
APPLIED STATISTICS (PGDAST) (a) Decision-making in situations where

Term-End Examination decisions are taken by applying scientific

December, 2021
tools or techniques rather than on the
MSTE-001 : INDUSTRIAL STATISTICS—I
basis of experiences of an individual is
Time : 3 Hours Maximum Marks : 50

known as an art.
Note : (i) Question No. 1 is compulsory.
(b) Courses of action are related to future
(ii) Attempt any four questions from
question nos. 2 to 7. outcomes, conditions or situations which

(iii)Use of scientific calculator (non- are not under the control of the decision
programmable) is allowed.
maker.
(iv) Formulae and Statistical Tables Booklet
for PGDAST is allowed. (c) In the cut set method, reliability of the

system is given by :
(v) Symbols have their usual meanings.

R s  P (C1  C2  C3  .....  Ck )

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(d) Statistical process control means to control The bangle seller sells them at the rate of
` 20 per dozen. Assume that if he/she
the products in such a way that these are
accepts the offer, all the bangles are sold
free from defects. out. On the basis of this information :

(e) For N = 500, n = 20, p = 0.02 and pa = 0.94, (i) Identify the course of action.
(ii) Identify states of nature.
the AOQ will be 0.018.
(iii) Obtain the payoff table.

2. (a) A bangle seller gets the following offer : Also obtain the opportunity loss table. 5
(b) A vendor buys cards at the rate of ` 3 per
 The cost of a pack of 10 dozen bangles is
card and sells at the rate of ` 4 per card.
` 150. Assume that a card which is not sold on
the same day goes to scrap and pays him
 The bangle seller can either accept the
` 0.50 as regret value. The information for
offer or reject it. the past 200 days about the sale is shown
as :
 Each pack of 10 dozen bangles may
Number of cards
Number of days
have 40%, 30%, 20% or 10% defective demanded

bangles. Defective bangles cannot be 200 40

204 100
returned by the bangle seller. Thus,
206 40
defective bangles in a pack mean a
208 20
direct loss to the bangle seller.

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On the basis of this information, how many 4. (a) A system has three components connected

cards should be bought by the vendor so in series having reliabilities 0.40, 0.70,

that his profit is maximum ? 5 0.80 respectively, for mission of 400 hours.

3. (a) Using cut set method, evaluate the What is the percentage increase in the

reliability of the system having reliability reliability of the system in each of the

block diagram given as follows for a following cases ?

mission of 1000 hours. It is given that (i) Reliability of the first component is

components are independent and each increased by 0.1 and that of the second

component has reliability of 0.95 for a and third components remains the

mission of 1000 hours. 8 same. 5

(ii)Reliability of the third component is

increased by 0.1 and that of the first

and second components remains the

same.

Comment on the different percentage

(b) Distinguish between series and parallel obtained in (i) and (ii). 5
systems. 2

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(b) Solve the two-person zero-sum game tubes are rejected. The results are shown
below :
having the following payoff matrix for
No. of Defective
player A : 5 Sample No.
Tubes
Player B 1 8

B1 B2 B3 2 10

3 13
A1 1 2 7
4 9
Player A
A2 6 4 2 5 8

6 10
5. (a) A manufacturer of silicon chips produces
7 14
lots of 100 chips for shipment. A buyer uses
8 6
a double sampling plan with n1  5, c1  0,

n2  15, c2  1 to test the quality of the 9 10

lots. Given that the incoming quality of a 10 13

lot is 0.02, calculate the probability of 11 18

accepting the lot on the second sample. 5 12 15
(b) Fifteen samples of 100 tubes are drawn 13 12
from the output of a process that produces
14 14
several thousand units daily. Sample tubes
15 9
are inspected for quality and defective

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On the basis of information given above, 7. Construct a suitable control chart for average
prepare a suitable control chart to check and variability for the following data. Samples

the process of tubes manufacturing and of 5 being taken every hour. Comment on

state whether the process is under control ? whether the production seems to be under

If not, calculate the revised control limits. 5 control : 10

Sample No. 1 2 3 4 5
6. (a) Suppose a shirt manufacture company
supplies shirts in lots of size 500 to the 1 42 65 75 78 87

buyer. A sampling plan with n = 10, c = 1 is 2 42 45 68 72 90

being used for the lot inspection. The 3 19 24 80 81 81

company and the buyer’s quality control 4 36 54 69 77 84
inspector decides that P = 0.02, AQL = 0.04 5 42 51 57 59 78
and LTPD = 0.10.
6 51 74 75 78 132
Find : 7 60 60 72 95 138
(i) the probability of accepting a lot 8 18 20 27 42 60
(ii) the producer’s risk and consumer’s 9 15 30 39 62 84
risk 10 69 109 113 118 153
(iii) ASN 11 64 90 93 109 112
(iv) ATI 12 61 78 94 109 136
for this sampling plan. 8
MSTE–001
(b) Describe OC curve. 2

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