No Period Sales Level Trend Seasonal Forecast Error

0 54,881.01 765.86
1 Jan-19 57,292 55,936.37 794.80 0.99 56,725.00 - 567.00
2 Feb-19 51,501 56,537.72 775.46 0.95 57,278.00 5,777.00
3 Mar-19 54,932 57,155.58 759.70 1.00 57,915.00 2,983.00
4 Apr-19 61,353 58,163.36 784.51 1.03 58,971.00 - 2,382.00
5 May-19 59,152 59,077.14 797.44 0.99 59,871.00 719.00
6 Jun-19 57,284 60,000.49 810.03 0.95 60,770.00 3,486.00
7 Jul-19 60,426 60,879.64 816.94 1.00 61,694.00 1,268.00
8 Aug-19 63,353 61,751.10 822.39 1.03 62,600.00 - 753.00
9 Sep-19 62,034 62,629.68 828.01 1.00 63,454.00 1,420.00
10 Oct-19 61,080 63,624.57 844.70 0.95 64,427.00 3,347.00
11 Nov-19 65,499 64,687.55 866.53 1.00 65,551.00 52.00
12 Dec-19 66,034 65,491.12 860.23 1.03 66,378.00 344.00
13 Jan-20 62,663 66,099.91 835.09 1.00 66,931.00 4,268.00
14 Feb-20 61,750 66,818.51 823.44 0.95 67,602.00 5,852.00
15 Mar-20 66,530 67,632.87 822.53 1.00 68,453.00 1,923.00
16 Apr-20 70,685 68,564.13 833.40 1.03 69,422.00 - 1,263.00
17 May-20 68,062 69,413.87 835.04 0.99 70,241.00 2,179.00
18 Jun-20 67,362 70,411.19 851.27 0.95 71,219.00 3,857.00
19 Jul-20 70,704 71,322.25 857.24 1.00 72,176.00 1,472.00
20 Aug-20 73,149 72,157.23 855.02 1.03 73,037.00 - 112.00
21 Sep-20 71,044 72,977.48 851.54 0.99 73,820.00 2,776.00
22 Oct-20 69,847 73,890.47 857.69 0.95 74,705.00 4,858.00
23 Nov-20 73,568 74,750.90 857.96 1.00 75,605.00 2,037.00
24 Dec-20 75,473 75,480.39 845.11 1.03 76,349.00 876.00
25 Jan-21 74,037 76,272.94 839.86 0.99 77,103.00 3,066.00
26 Feb-21 72,444 77,121.41 840.72 0.95 77,920.00 5,476.00
27 Mar-21 76,269 77,921.72 836.68 0.99 78,754.00 2,485.00
28 Apr-21 79,392 78,714.99 832.34 1.02 79,568.00 176.00
29 May-21 76,098 79,393.30 816.93 0.99 80,199.00 4,101.00
30 Jun-21 75,123 80,197.02 815.61 0.95 80,971.00 5,848.00
31 Jul-21 79,324 80,984.31 812.78 0.99 81,792.00 2,468.00
32 Aug-21 80,015 81,520.43 785.11 1.02 82,324.00 2,309.00
33 Sep-21 79,439 82,232.38 777.80 0.98 82,998.00 3,559.00
34 Oct-21 77,477 82,970.97 773.88 0.95 83,704.00 6,227.00
35 Nov-21 81,686 83,687.98 768.19 0.99 84,450.00 2,764.00
36 Dec-21 83,695 84,302.16 752.79 1.02 85,070.00 1,375.00
37 Jan-22 0.98 83,488.00
38 Feb-22 85,089.00
39 Mar-22 82,552.00
40 Apr-22 87,267.00
41 May-22 90,602.00
42 Jun-22 88,075.00
43 Jul-22 85,424.00
44 Aug-22 90,276.00
45 Sep-22 93,700.00
46 Oct-22 91,061.00
47 Nov-22 88,296.00
48 Dec-22 93,286.00
 MSE ABS Error %Error MAPE MAD BIAS TS

321,489.00 567 1.01 - 567.00 567 - 567.00 - 1.00

16,847,609.00 5777 10.22 2,605.00 3172 5,210.00 1.64
14,197,835.67 2983 5.22 2,731.00 3109 8,193.00 2.64
12,066,857.75 2382 4.10 1,452.75 2927.25 5,811.00 1.99
9,756,878.40 719 1.22 1,306.00 2485.6 6,530.00 2.63
10,156,098.00 3486 5.81 1,669.33 2652.33333333 10,016.00 3.78
8,934,916.00 1268 2.08 1,612.00 2454.57142857 11,284.00 4.60
7,888,927.63 753 1.22 1,316.38 2241.875 10,531.00 4.70
7,236,424.56 1420 2.27 1,327.89 2150.55555556 11,951.00 5.56
7,633,023.00 3347 5.26 1,529.80 2270.2 15,298.00 6.74
6,939,357.64 52 0.08 1,395.45 2068.54545455 15,350.00 7.42
6,370,939.17 344 0.53 1,307.83 1924.83333333 15,694.00 8.15
7,282,084.15 4268 6.46 1,535.54 2105.07692308 19,962.00 9.48
9,208,071.29 5852 8.76 1,843.86 2372.71428571 25,814.00 10.88
8,840,728.47 1923 2.84 1,849.13 2342.73333333 27,737.00 11.84
8,387,881.00 1263 1.84 1,654.63 2275.25 26,474.00 11.64
8,173,772.76 2179 3.14 1,685.47 2269.58823529 28,653.00 12.62
8,546,143.67 3857 5.48 1,806.11 2357.77777778 32,510.00 13.79
8,210,387.89 1472 2.06 1,788.53 2311.15789474 33,982.00 14.70
7,800,495.70 112 0.16 1,693.50 2201.2 33,870.00 15.39
7,796,004.29 2776 3.80 1,745.05 2228.57142857 36,646.00 16.44
8,514,375.18 4858 6.57 1,886.55 2348.09090909 41,504.00 17.68
8,324,592.30 2037 2.73 1,893.09 2334.56521739 43,541.00 18.65
8,009,708.29 876 1.16 1,850.71 2273.79166667 44,417.00 19.53
8,065,334.20 3066 4.02 1,899.32 2305.48 47,483.00 20.60
8,908,458.88 5476 7.10 2,036.88 2427.42307692 52,959.00 21.82
8,807,228.00 2485 3.19 2,053.48 2429.55555556 55,444.00 22.82
8,493,790.43 176 0.22 1,986.43 2349.07142857 55,620.00 23.68
8,780,839.07 4101 5.17 2,059.34 2409.48275862 59,721.00 24.79
9,628,114.57 5848 7.29 2,185.63 2524.1 65,569.00 25.98
9,514,014.87 2468 3.05 2,194.74 2522.29032258 68,037.00 26.97
9,383,310.69 2309 2.83 2,198.31 2515.625 70,346.00 27.96
9,482,800.70 3559 4.33 2,239.55 2547.24242424 73,905.00 29.01
10,344,351.53 6227 7.51 2,356.82 2655.47058824 80,132.00 30.18
10,267,075.66 2764 3.30 2,368.46 2658.57142857 82,896.00 31.18
10,034,396.47 1375 1.63 2,340.86 2622.91666667 84,271.00 32.13
 S1 0.99
S2 0.95
S3 1.00
S4 1.03

alpha 0.10
beta 0.10
gamma 0.10

Chart Title
100,000

90,000

80,000

70,000

60,000

50,000

40,000

30,000

20,000

10,000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36

Column C Column G
27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36

mn G
No Period Sales Level Trend Seasonal
0 54,881.01 765.86
1 Jan-19 57,292 56,515.36 1,026.40 0.99
2 Feb-19 51,501 56,787.71 800.18 0.95
3 Mar-19 54,932 57,040.11 635.85 1.00
4 Apr-19 61,353 58,454.82 869.51 1.03
5 May-19 59,152 59,564.44 941.54 1.00
6 Jun-19 57,284 60,925.51 1,067.40 0.94
7 Jul-19 60,426 62,053.33 1,085.53 0.99
8 Aug-19 63,353 62,885.62 1,009.56 1.04
9 Sep-19 62,034 63,701.24 951.37 1.00
10 Oct-19 61,080 65,039.44 1,067.42 0.94
11 Nov-19 65,499 66,562.09 1,203.99 0.98
12 Dec-19 66,034 67,091.61 1,001.65 1.03
13 Jan-20 62,663 66,957.61 660.96 0.99
14 Feb-20 61,750 67,246.79 549.42 0.94
15 Mar-20 66,530 67,904.01 581.76 0.98
16 Apr-20 70,685 69,027.43 744.26 1.01
17 May-20 68,062 70,034.72 823.17 0.97
18 Jun-20 67,362 71,502.43 1,016.53 0.93
19 Jul-20 70,704 72,650.92 1,056.12 0.98
20 Aug-20 73,149 73,489.66 990.90 1.02
21 Sep-20 71,044 74,335.98 947.53 0.97
22 Oct-20 69,847 75,372.58 974.25 0.94
23 Nov-20 73,568 76,257.90 947.57 0.98
24 Dec-20 75,473 76,734.54 806.29 1.01
25 Jan-21 74,037 77,468.52 784.60 0.97
26 Feb-21 72,444 78,303.48 799.71 0.93
27 Mar-21 76,269 79,070.96 790.04 0.98
28 Apr-21 79,392 79,899.71 801.65 1.00
29 May-21 76,098 80,407.71 713.56 0.96
30 Jun-21 75,123 81,213.07 741.10 0.93
31 Jul-21 79,324 82,069.98 775.84 0.97
32 Aug-21 80,015 82,234.35 592.40 1.00
33 Sep-21 79,439 83,010.06 647.39 0.96
34 Oct-21 77,477 83,773.45 682.19 0.93
35 Nov-21 81,686 84,575.73 718.22 0.97
36 Dec-21 83,695 85,238.42 701.56 0.99
37 Jan-22 0.96
38 Feb-22
39 Mar-22
40 Apr-22
41 May-22
42 Jun-22
43 Jul-22
44 Aug-22
45 Sep-22
46 Oct-22
47 Nov-22
48 Dec-22
Forecast Error MSE ABS Error %Error

57,534.00 242.00 58,564.00 242 0.43

57,551.00 6,050.00 18,330,532.00 6050 10.65
57,676.00 2,744.00 14,730,200.00 2744 4.81
59,350.00 - 2,003.00 12,050,652.25 2003 3.43
60,505.00 1,353.00 10,006,643.60 1353 2.27
61,929.00 4,645.00 11,934,873.83 4645 7.62
63,127.00 2,701.00 11,272,092.00 2701 4.35
63,931.00 578.00 9,904,841.00 578 0.92
64,650.00 2,616.00 9,564,687.11 2616 4.11
66,043.00 4,963.00 11,071,355.30 4963 7.63
67,747.00 2,248.00 10,524,277.91 2248 3.38
68,121.00 2,087.00 10,010,218.83 2087 3.11
67,612.00 4,949.00 11,124,248.23 4949 7.39
67,764.00 6,014.00 12,913,101.64 6014 8.94
68,477.00 1,947.00 12,304,948.80 1947 2.87
69,783.00 - 902.00 11,586,739.75 902 1.31
70,837.00 2,775.00 11,358,144.76 2775 3.96
72,452.00 5,090.00 12,166,475.61 5090 7.12
73,689.00 2,985.00 11,995,094.00 2985 4.11
74,498.00 1,349.00 11,486,329.35 1349 1.84
75,259.00 4,215.00 11,785,372.00 4215 5.67
76,285.00 6,438.00 13,133,666.18 6438 8.54
77,187.00 3,619.00 13,132,079.00 3619 4.75
77,550.00 2,077.00 12,764,656.08 2077 2.71
78,228.00 4,191.00 12,956,649.08 4191 5.41
79,050.00 6,606.00 14,136,748.58 6606 8.44
79,842.00 3,573.00 14,085,992.30 3573 4.52
80,704.00 1,312.00 13,644,397.71 1312 1.64
81,096.00 4,998.00 14,035,280.69 4998 6.22
81,903.00 6,780.00 15,099,718.00 6780 8.35
82,825.00 3,501.00 15,008,017.45 3501 4.27
82,827.00 2,812.00 14,786,121.41 2812 3.42
83,631.00 4,192.00 14,870,568.15 4192 5.05
84,408.00 6,931.00 15,846,103.24 6931 8.27
85,273.00 3,587.00 15,760,973.69 3587 4.24
85,935.00 2,240.00 15,462,546.64 2240 2.63
82,358.00
85,916.00
83,299.00
87,997.00
91,301.00
88,699.00
85,975.00
90,802.00
94,188.00
91,482.00
88,651.00
93,607.00
MAPE MAD BIAS TS
S1 0.99
242.00 242 242.00 1.00 S2 0.95
3,146.00 3146 6,292.00 2.00 S3 1.00
3,012.00 3012 9,036.00 3.00 S4 1.03
1,758.25 2759.75 7,033.00 2.55
1,677.20 2478.4 8,386.00 3.38 alpha 0.30
2,171.83 2839.5 13,031.00 4.59 beta 0.30
2,247.43 2819.71429 15,732.00 5.58 gamma 0.30
2,038.75 2539.5 16,310.00 6.42
2,102.89 2548 18,926.00 7.43
2,388.90 2789.5 23,889.00 8.56
2,376.09 2740.27273 26,137.00 9.54
2,352.00 2685.83333 28,224.00 10.51
2,551.77 2859.92308 33,173.00 11.60
2,799.07 3085.21429 39,187.00 12.70
2,742.27 3009.33333 41,134.00 13.67
2,514.50 2877.625 40,232.00 13.98
2,529.82 2871.58824 43,007.00 14.98
2,672.06 2994.83333 48,097.00 16.06
2,688.53 2994.31579 51,082.00 17.06
2,621.55 2912.05 52,431.00 18.00
2,697.43 2974.09524 56,646.00 19.05
2,867.45 3131.54545 63,084.00 20.14
2,900.13 3152.73913 66,703.00 21.16
2,865.83 3107.91667 68,780.00 22.13
2,918.84 3151.24 72,971.00 23.16
3,060.65 3284.11538 79,577.00 24.23
3,079.63 3294.81481 83,150.00 25.24
3,016.50 3224 84,462.00 26.20
3,084.83 3285.17241 89,460.00 27.23
3,208.00 3401.66667 96,240.00 28.29
3,217.45 3404.87097 99,741.00 29.29
3,204.78 3386.34375 102,553.00 30.28
3,234.70 3410.75758 106,745.00 31.30
3,343.41 3514.29412 113,676.00 32.35
3,350.37 3516.37143 117,263.00 33.35
3,319.53 3480.91667 119,503.00 34.33