P&L
P&L
P&L
Assets 932.1
Assets 948.0
Assets 1226.8
Scenarios:
Revenue % growth
Selected case:
Best Case
Base case
Worst case
Cogs as % of Revenue
Selected case:
Best Case -48% -46% -45%
Base case -48% -46% -45%
Worst case -48% -46% -45%
Opex as % of Revenue
Selected case:
Best Case -41% -42% -35%
Base case -41% -42% -35%
Worst case -41% -42% -35%
Tax %
Forcast
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
3131.2 3225.1 3321.9 3421.5 3524.2
-1409.0 -1451.3 -1494.9 -1539.7 -1585.9
1722.2 1773.8 1827.0 1881.9 1938.3
-1095.9 -1128.8 -1162.7 -1197.5 -1233.5
626.2 645.0 664.4 684.3 704.8
-44.0 -41.0 -44.3 -45.3 -46.2
582.2 604.0 620.1 639.0 658.6
-54.4 -50.9 -47.0 -42.7 -38.1
527.8 553.2 573.1 596.3 620.6
-184.7 -193.6 -200.6 -208.7 -217.2
343.1 359.6 372.5 387.6 403.4
3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
18.8
17.9
24.9
1.8%
1.5%
-802.353
Asset Roll Forward
Forcast
$ in Millions 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-15 31-Dec-16 31-Dec-17 31-Dec-18 31-Dec-19 31-Dec-20
Beginning PP&E 632.5 633 660 674 688 703
D&A -44 -41 -44 -45 -46 -47
Capex 44 68 58 60 61 62
Ending PP&E 632.5 660 674 688 703 718
-6.7%
8.9%
Asset Roll Forward
Forcast
$ in Millions 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-15 31-Dec-16 31-Dec-17 31-Dec-18 31-Dec-19 31-Dec-20
Debt 615.8 610 605 565 522 474
New Debt 0 0 0 0 0 0
Principal Repayments 5.4 5 40 43 47 52
Ending Debt 610.4 605 565 522 474 423
Period 1 2 3 4
Payment $94.3 $94.3 $94.3 $94.3
Interest Expense 54.45 $50.9 $47.0 $42.7
Debt Repayment $39.8 $43.4 $47.3 $51.6
Residual Debt $565.18 $521.77 $474.46 $422.89
31-Dec-21
423
0
56
367
5 6 7 8 9 10
$94.3 $94.3 $94.3 $94.3 $94.3 $94.3
$38.1 $33.0 $27.5 $21.5 $14.9 $7.8
$56.2 $61.3 $66.8 $72.8 $79.3 $86.5
$366.68 $305.41 $238.63 $165.83 $86.49 $0.00
Equity Schedule
Forcast
$ in Millions 31-Dec-14 31-Dec-15 31-Dec-16 31-Dec-17 31-Dec-18 31-Dec-19 31-Dec-20
Beginning Equity 485.3 691.1 906.9 1130.4
Increase in Capital 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Income(loss) 343.1 359.6 372.5 387.6
Dividends -137.2 -143.8 -149.0 -155.1
Ending Equity 485 691.1 906.9 1130.4 1363.0
40%
Cash Flow
Forecast
$ in mln 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
EBITDA 626.2 645.0 664.4 684.3 704.8
Interest expenses 54.4 50.9 47.0 42.7 38.1
Taxes -184.7 -193.6 -200.6 -208.7 -217.2
Change in Trade receivables 5.6 -4.9 -5.1 -5.2 -5.4
Change in Inventory 12.5 -2.9 -3.0 -3.1 -3.2
Change in Trade payables 1.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3
Change in Other assets 11.9 -1.7 -1.7 -1.8 -1.8
Change in Other liabilities 6.9 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5
Capex -58.4 -59.6 -60.9 -62.2 -63.5
Operating Cash Flow 475.3 436.6 443.6 449.7 455.6
Dividends -137.2 -143.8 -149.0 -155.1 -161.3
Change in Financial liabilities -39.8 -43.4 -47.3 -51.6 -56.2
Change in Provisions 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Change in Equity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Cash Flow 298.3 249.4 247.3 243.0 238.0
Steps of P&L
1 Mapping of Data 1
2 Output P&L 2
3 use sumifs 3
4 % variablity 4
5 conditional formatting
6 Add forcasting year, scenarios 5
7 Add forcasting year, scenarios 6
8 Assume scenarios, 7
9 use offset, match formula to make scenarios dynamic 8
10 9
11 10
12 11
13 12
14 13
15 14
Note: number k negative bnawe l *-1 kr ko formula m fr sum
apply kr skte h 15
Steps of Balance Sheet
output B/s
B/S m year nhi likhte periodlike 31 dec 2014 1
cell ref to input year datasheet 2
use index,match,match formula to put data in b/s 3
4
use find & replace to change the year after pasting the formula 5
add forcasting year and made necessary formats 6
calculate DSO,DPO,DIO,Other asset and liabilities %
forcast calculated ratios by using Average formula
change other asstes liabilities into %
calculate DSO,DPO,DIO,Other asset and liabilities % in b/s
made provision absolute