Development of Tourism in Polish Poviats in The Years 2010-2017
Development of Tourism in Polish Poviats in The Years 2010-2017
Development of Tourism in Polish Poviats in The Years 2010-2017
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-019-00923-4
Abstract
Poland is divided into 380 poviats. However the statistical data on the development of these
small regions is available from official statistics, there is no study known to the authors
which has analysed the mutual dependencies between the tourist development of poviats
(understood either as the historic rate of development or the current state of development)
and their natural potential for development. Moreover, the research and data available are
not coherent methodologically because they are based on single indicators or variables.
Authors’ study seeks to be more general because it combines popular tourist development
indicators. The basic goals are twofold: (1) use multivariate tourist data to assess the devel-
opment of all poviats; (2) compare this assessment with the tourist attractiveness of povi-
ats. To this end, widely applied and well-known indicators of tourism and development are
used, such as Charvat’s index and Schneider’s index. Statistical tools used are graphs and
correlation analysis.
1 Introduction
* Maciej Kozłowski
maciej.kozlowski@uni.lodz.pl
Jerzy Korzeniewski
jerzy.korzeniewski@uni.lodz.pl
1
University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland
13
Vol.:(0123456789)
1592 J. Korzeniewski, M. Kozłowski
In the Lisbon Strategy, tourism as an important factor of regional policy was identified as
one of the priorities of the EU cohesion policy for 2007–2013, both in terms of conver-
gence and territorial cooperation. The importance of tourism has also not been neglected
in the current regional policy of the EU and Poland. In 2010, the National Strategy for
Regional Development of 2010–2020: Regions, Cities, Rural areas was adopted (Hącia
2012). The aim, among others, was to identify areas which require additional financial out-
lays that should result in improved territorial cohesion and increased tourism competitive-
ness of regions, including poviats.1 Poviats were appointed to living in Poland in 1998 as
a result of the reform of public administration (Act of 24.07.1998 on the Introduction of
a Three-level Territorial Division of the State and Act of 05.06.1998 on Poviat Self-Gov-
ernment).2 As of 2018, there were 380 poviat-level entities: 314 land counties, and 66 city
counties. A poviat comprises several gminas (communes). Even poviats have very small
budgets and low expenditure competencies, it plays an important role in fulfilling the tasks
related to the following areas: education, health care, social welfare, culture, tourism and
public transport, spatial development, water management and environmental protection.
The tasks of the poviats can be included in the so-called social infrastructure.
Given the unanimity that development of tourism increases the competitiveness of a
regional industry (in this case—poviats’) (Porter 2002; Rocha 2004) and given that tourism
is a powerful instrument for regional development (Engelstoft et al. 2006), it is relevant
and crucial to discuss and to analyze the tourist attractiveness of poviats. Similar research
has been conducted (although in different areas, aspects and concepts3) by many scientists
and researchers in different parts of the world, i.e. in New Zeeland (Cameron et al. 2001),
South Africa (Meyer and Meyer 2015), Romania (Bunghez 2016), so it is impossible to list
all, but all of them try to evaluate the relative importance of tourism in territorial units.
1
Unfortunately, in many cases the actions taken are not very effective, which results from the passive atti-
tude of local authorities, which leads in turn to a lack of promotional activities and the lack of use of their
assets.
2
A poviat (powiat) is the second-level unit of local government and administration in Poland, equivalent to
a county, poviat or prefecture in other countries. The term “poviat” is most often translated into English as
“county” or “poviat”. A poviat is part of a larger unit, the voivodeship (Polish województwo) or province. A
poviat is usually subdivided into gminas (in English, often referred to as “communes” or “municipalities”).
3
These concepts are also related to the clusters, in particular tourism, according to several researchers’
visions (see: Santos Estêvão and Ferreira 2009).
13
Development of tourism in Polish poviats in the years 2010–2017 1593
“Tourism” means organized or individual trips away from home for sightseeing pur-
poses or as a form of active recreation, while “recreation” commonly means rest, relaxa-
tion, and entertainment (Kurek 2007). The other definition concludes that “Tourism is the
study of man (the tourist) away from his usual habitat, of the touristic apparatus and net-
works, and of the ordinary (non-tourism) and nonordinary (tourism) worlds and their dia-
lectic relationship” (Jafari 1987).
It is difficult to give a clear definition or interpretation of the concept of tourism, which
results from dynamic and quite complex changes in the natural environment and the whole
macroeconomic environment. The World Tourism Organization gives the following notion
of tourism (http://www.tugberkugurlu…): it is all the activities of persons who travel and
stay for leisure, business, or other purposes not longer than a year uninterruptedly outside
their daily environment.
In general, the definition of tourism focuses on the movement of persons (travelling),
the duration of change in the place of residence, and on specific tourism purposes. As
this is a market category, it can be attributed to functions of demand (tourism) and supply
(sphere of tourism services based on material and organizational measures, which form
the tourism economy in its broadest sense) (Seweryn 2010). Another definition is given by
J. K. Walton (Encyclopedia Britannica 2019): “tourism—the act and process of spending
time away from home in pursuit of recreation, relaxation, and pleasure, while making use
of the commercial provision of services”.
As pointed out by Cudowska-Sojko (2011), “the whole tourism economy is heterogene-
ous and complementary in nature. Entities operating in the region can be divided into the
following groups: enterprises in the strict sense of tourism (carriers, travel agencies, hotel-
iers, catering), entities focused on tourism (souvenirs, tourist and sports equipment), and
entities indirectly dependent on tourism demand (providing financial services, marketing,
agriculture, etc.). The demand of tourists is also complex, but also diversified, and rich in
terms of travel motives and forms of tourism activity undertaken by tourists in the region.
Each of the tourists has an impact on the tourist supply, and the ‘product’ is ‘adapted to
the needs of the consumer’. These conditions contribute to the fact that tourist supply is
dispersed (an example is diversity of accommodation facilities). Temporary fluctuations
in demand and inflexibility of supply make the tourism economy unstable and risky. The
tourism economy is strongly influenced by the global nature of demand”. Tourists are
therefore witnessing processes of “production of a regional tourism product” (Kruczek and
Zmyślony 2010).
As it is known, tourism is an important factor of social and economic development, and
the size, structure, and dynamics of incoming tourist traffic influence the development of
economic activity aimed to its adoption. Tourism is also seen as a regional development
tool to assist in the creation of new local economic activities (Richardson 2010). Tour-
ism has proven to be an effective sector for economic growth allowing for the diversifica-
tion of a local economy, attracting foreign exchange investment which could lead to the
improvement of the balance of payments, regional development, creation of employment
and income and also the stimulation of domestic household consumption (Modeste 1995;
Creaco and Querini 2003; Steiner 2006).
Greater tourist traffic results in stronger development of tourist functions in the
region (Hącia 2010). However, this development is not possible without specific actions
(Gołembski 2009): improvement of transport accessibility; improvement of road transport
infrastructure (Banasik 2014); application of specific incentives for the use of rail trans-
port, organized coach, and bus journeys; promotional actions leading to an increase in for-
eign incoming tourism; increasing the number of foreign and domestic air connections, etc.
13
1594 J. Korzeniewski, M. Kozłowski
It is also necessary to expand and modernize the accommodation base and to implement
measures aimed to better use this base, especially during the off-season. Undoubtedly, the
development of tourist traffic is influenced by gastronomic base, the expansion of which
may significantly extend the tourist season.
Significant importance should also be attached to the range of accommodations avail-
able for business travellers, and thus the construction of hotels of a higher standard with
the possibility of organizing conferences (conference centres). Active and specialist tour-
ism is also very popular, which requires further actions to increase the density of bicycle
paths and hiking trails. At the same time, educational offerings become indispensable for
individuals involved in tourism services for a given area; such education must include tour-
ism economics, service marketing, and tourism geography.
The complexity of conditions and thus adjustment measures imposes on local authori-
ties the necessity of creating and updating the strategy of tourism development with the use
of external financial resources and specific regional resources, including poviat ones. The
strategic objectives (social, economic, and spatial) must also be accepted by the local com-
munity (Zalech 2010).
Article 4 of the Polish Act on County Self-Government states that the self-government
performs public tasks defined by acts of supra-municipal nature in the following areas:
physical culture and tourism, counteracting unemployment and activation of the local
labour market, and poviat promotion (Act on County Self-Government 1998); this clearly
indicates that it is necessary to conduct activities aimed to develop tourism, which is prob-
ably one of the most interdisciplinary branches of the economy. The poviat’s most impor-
tant tourism-related tasks are as follows (Borzyszkowski and Marczak 2010): running
institutions of physical culture, tourism and recreation; registration and supervision over
activities, as well as co-financing of associations operating in the fields of sports and tour-
ism; financial support for tourism events4 and so on.
Conducted activities should have a long-term character and use various tools depending
on the degree and dynamics of development of individual poviats, as well as on the current
system of society values and their preferences (Rudnicki 2010), which over several years
will contribute to a faster development of tourism, and thus activate the local market and
increase the prosperity of residents (Kurek 2008). These processes and activities, combined
with the development of material and organizational bases (e.g. institutions), will improve
the competitiveness of a given poviat in comparison to others. However, the measures
alone are not sufficient without taking into account local tourist attractions, which include
landscape, climate, traditions, folklore, museums, way of life, etc. (Gołembski 1998). Eve-
rything is of key importance in the growth of tourist traffic and demand for services (e.g.
accommodation). The multifaceted importance of tourism and tourist traffic makes it dif-
ficult to measure and unambiguously assess them (Table 1).
The demand reported by tourists for a product is reflected in their expenditure, which
becomes the revenue of entities meeting the given needs, and which in turn is spent on
salaries of people working in tourism services and other activities, thus increasing budget
revenues, including tax revenues. The impact of tourism on employment growth is rather
indisputable: broadly understood tourist demand and its growth increases activity and
employment in the field of tourism services and also influences changes in the professional
4
Organization of such sports events helps poviats in acquisition of new tourist, sports, and general infra-
structure facilities, which is undoubtedly a source of social, cultural, and economic benefits (complementa-
rity of tourism and sport development); cf. (Hadzik 2010).
13
Development of tourism in Polish poviats in the years 2010–2017 1595
Table 1 Impact of tourism on the local economy. Source: Kruczek and Zmyślony (2010)
Positive impact Negative impact
structure of local population, from production to services. This is connected with necessary
additional investments, inflow of capital, development of infrastructure, construction of
hotels, etc., which results in an increase in the attractiveness of a region or poviat. Despite
these advantages, there are also some shortcomings resulting from excessive development
of tourism (overtourism5), which should be regarded as a harmful phenomenon, especially
for the local community, as it contributes, among others, to an increase in prices, often
overinvestment, and decrease in care for other areas of poviat development, which in the
long run may adversely affect the dynamics of tourist traffic.6
It seems that poviats, like regions, can be classified according to several criteria used in
tourism (Kruczek and Zmyślony 2010):
Another classification given by Glăvan (2006) is based on the enumeration the natu-
ral elements (natural resources) that can attract tourists and, therefore, can be transformed
into tourism products. The classification of tourism resources facilitates the elaboration
of a typology of tourism types, its necessity resulting from “the applicative side of the
geography of tourism, from practice, which imposes the realization of scientific studies of
the typical features, of the relations between the types of tourism phenomena” (Swizewski
and Oancea 1977). The classification of territorial units given by Bulai and Cehan (2015)
5
In short, overtourism occurs when there are too many visitors to a particular destination. “Too many” is
a subjective term, of course, but it is defined in each destination by local residents, hosts, business own-
ers, and tourists. When rent prices push out local tenants to make way for holiday rentals, that is overtour-
ism. When narrow roads become jammed with tourist vehicles, that is overtourism. When wildlife is scared
away, when tourists cannot view landmarks because of the crowds, when fragile environments become
degraded—these are all signs of overtourism; (Francis 2019).
6
More information on this subject is written by Butowski (2009).
13
1596 J. Korzeniewski, M. Kozłowski
Competition for
Competition for tourists
investors
Fig. 1 Factors of tourist competitiveness of the poviat. Source: Nawrot and Zmyślony (2009)
7
Competitiveness means the ability to act in competitive conditions; (Godlewska and Typa 2002).
13
Development of tourism in Polish poviats in the years 2010–2017 1597
time, it should be remembered that the competitiveness of poviats depends on the broadly
understood macroeconomic environment (Fig. 1).
As can be seen, the complexity of factors influencing local competitiveness in the con-
text of competition for attracting tourists imposes on local authorities the necessity of
undertaking comprehensive management activities. The effects of this management can be
reduced to the development of tourist functions of the poviat.
Tourism as a whole cannot be measured due to its complex nature, the multitude of activi-
ties it comprises, or the inability to measure trade flows resulting from the sale of goods
and services consumed by tourists and the turnover that could be achieved if there were no
tourist traffic (Szromek 2013). Obviously, it is possible to measure the number of tourists,
the number of overnight stays, the number of accommodation places, etc. However, this
still needs to be combined with some reference measures, e.g. the studied area or number
of inhabitants of a given region/poviat. It is possible to talk about the level of development
of the tourism function of a given area—usually a municipality, county, or region—and
to analyse or measure this development. The tourist (recreation) function of an area is in
turn a broadly understood as a social and economic activity performed by a specific area
(region or locality) and its inhabitants in order to restore the normal psychophysical abili-
ties of their organism to visitors as a result of fatigue, using the natural properties of the
geographical environment (Matczak 1982). In a broad sense, the tourism function refers
to activities related to the provision of tourist services in a given area meeting the above-
mentioned conditions. However, there are several measures of the tourism function which
are not always compatible, i.e. the area has ambiguous assessments by means of differ-
ent indicators (Szromek 2013), hence the need for a synthetic indicator, the so-called two-
dimensional indicator of tourism function or logistical indicator of the tourism function
(Szromek 2012). The most popular measures of the tourist function include (Chudy-Hyski
2006)8:
• Baretje-Defert’s indicator (tourist function index of the town), expressed in terms of the
number of tourist accommodation places per 100 permanent residents,
number of tourist accommodation establishments
WBD = × 100
number of permanent residents of thearea
• Defert’s indicator (tourism function index), expressed in terms of the number of tourists
staying overnight per 1 km2 of the area9:
8
The first one who applied this type of research was French geographer Pierre Defert, who created the
tourist function index in 1967. In the literature, this index is usually termed as Defert’s index. In 1978,
French explorer Rene Baretje improved existing Defert’s index and brought it into relation with the spatial
unit of destination area; (Marković et al. 2017).
9
Defert’s index T(f) is also presented as measuring the intensity of tourism within specific destination on
the basis of the following formula: DTFI = Т(f) = Nx100/P, where DTFI = Т(f) is Defert’s tourist function
index, N is the number of beds and P is the number of local residents; (Marković et al. 2017).
13
1598 J. Korzeniewski, M. Kozłowski
10
All the information contained in this part comes from an experimental study based on statistical data
from (among others) accommodation, culture, and national heritage, as well as natural protected areas, enti-
tled Analysis of tourist values of poviat and their immediate surroundings (Central Statistical Office 2017).
11
All weights were determined by an experimental method of experts by a team consisting of statisticians
and other researchers in the subject matter discussed. The weights assigned in all formulas and diagrams
result from the assessment of the importance of individual indicators for tourist attractiveness; an informa-
tion obtained from the head of Central Statistical Office, 09.05.2019.
13
Development of tourism in Polish poviats in the years 2010–2017 1599
WAK
monuments History
UNESCO number of number of
monuments built before Monuments
visitor – World pilgrims – seats in participants in
(total) – WZO the 16th (presidential
WZW (0,15) Heritage Sites WPI (0,15) theatres – mass events –
(0,2) century – list) – WPH
– WUN (0,1) WMW (0,1) WUI (0,1)
WZX (0,1) (0,1)
where
For WUN and WPH the indicator has adopted the form of
Wp
Wsk = 100 ∗
3
where
The denominator is 3, taken as the maximum variable value. W P adopts the value 1
for a single facility, 2 for an urban complex, and 3 when more than two facilities exist in
the poviat.
The environmental attractiveness index (WAS) is a weighted average of five sub-indi-
cators, in accordance with Fig. 3.
WAS is a very important index of poviat attractiveness due to the large number of
protected areas in Poland and thus increased tourist traffic in these areas. Natura 2000
is a network of core breeding and resting sites for rare and threatened species, and some
rare natural habitat types which are protected in their own right.
Individual sub-indicators were constructed as follows:
LB
WLB = 100 ∗
Lmax
where
13
1600 J. Korzeniewski, M. Kozłowski
WAS
index of the
synthetic water synthetic rate of synthetic rate of
coastline length number of beds in
index – SWW mountain areas – protected areas –
index – WLB (1/6) health resorts –
(1/6) SWG (1/6) SWOCh (1/4)
WZU (1/4)
area of land
poviat area nature reserves
under water
Natura 2000
areas
JD+WM WG
(JD+WM)max
+ WGmax
SWW = 100 ∗
JDWMWGmax
where
IKG
SWG = 100 ∗
Gmax
( 5 )
∑
IKG = KLGi ∗ %PGi ∗ PP
i=1
13
Development of tourism in Polish poviats in the years 2010–2017 1601
where
where
LB
WZU = 100 ∗
Lmax
where
The business and hotel attractiveness index (WAB) includes the hotel accommoda-
tion index (WMN) and conference room index (WSK) (Fig. 4).
It is known that business tourism for some time has been playing an important role
in overall tourism, and it is associated with the choice of hotels of a higher standard and
the availability of conference rooms. Due to the lower importance of the WAB index
13
1602 J. Korzeniewski, M. Kozłowski
index of accommodation
index of conference rooms
places in hotel facilities
WSK (0,25)
WMN (0,75)
WAT
compared to the first two indicators, experts have given it a weight of only 0.2 in the
final, synthetic tourist attractiveness index.
The tourism attractiveness index (WAT) is weighted by the shares of WAK, WAS, and
WAB (Fig. 5).12
Each index (partial and synthetic) always consists of the sum of standardized compo-
nents in the range of 0–100 and weights adding up to 1. Standardization of components
takes place by assigning the value of 100 to a poviat with maximum value and proportional
conversion of values for other poviats (in this group land poviats and cities with poviat
rights are treated equally) (Central Statistical Office 2017).
Comprehensive research also takes into account the impact of the neighbourhood and
environment on the studied poviat. The methodology used was as follows (Central Statisti-
cal Office 2017): the basis for analysis was a set containing data on geographical coor-
dinates and their seats. This collection was used to create a 380 × 380 distance matrix in
which there were distances expressed in kilometres between poviats’ authorities and cit-
ies with poviat rights. Administrative units were considered neighbours of a given poviat
where the seat was located within a radius of R = 48.564 km from the seat of the analysed
poviat or the city with the poviat rights. This radius is three times the radius of circle R, the
area of which, multiplied by 380 (the total number of land poviats and cities with poviat
rights), gives the area of Poland (Łysoń et al. 2016).
The next stage of analysis was the creation of a function describing the influence of a
neighbour on a given poviat. It was assumed that with the increase in distance between the
seat of a poviat and the seat of the analysed poviat, its influence will decrease. This relation
is described by the following formula (Łysoń et al. 2016):
12
In world literature we can find Tourist Attractiveness Indicators (TAI). This group represents the attrib-
utes of a province that may attract tourists and covers four subcomponents: territory and environment
(TAI1); infrastructure (TAI2); historical and natural attractions (TAI3); and other attractions (TAI4); this
grouping principally concerns input drivers of attractiveness; see: Cugno et al. (2012) and Gismondi and
Russo (2004).
13
Development of tourism in Polish poviats in the years 2010–2017 1603
dj
fi = 1 − ,
R
where
where
The final value of the attractiveness index for the poviat, taking into account the influ-
ence of the environment, is expressed as a weighted average:
wi_o = 0, 75wi + 0, 25ai ,
where
Weights of ¾ and ¼ were adopted in such a way that for about ½ of the total number
of poviats and cities with poviat rights, the attractiveness component of the poviat without
taking into account the environment dominates, and for the remaining ½—the attractive-
ness component with the environmental impact.
13
For this purpose, the geodist function from the GMT package was used in the R environment (Magnus-
son 2014). Interface between the GMT map-making software and R, enabling the user to manipulate geo-
graphic data within R and call GMT commands to draw and annotate maps in postscript format. The gmt
package is about interactive data analysis, rapidly visualizing subsets and summaries of geographic data,
while performing statistical analysis in the R console.
13
1604 J. Korzeniewski, M. Kozłowski
We used the following two variables to characterize the 380 Polish poviats from the point
of view of their tourism potential development: (first variable) Charvat’s indicator and
(second variable) density index of the accommodation facilities (see part 3). To be more
precise:
first variable = accommodation density, i.e. the number of hotel beds per 1 km2; and
second variable = tourist traffic density, i.e. the number of tourist overnight stays in
hotels per 1000 inhabitants.
The authors’ choice was motivated by the popularity of these two indicators across the
relevant literature (Marković et al. 2017). There are obviously other variables or indicators,
as mentioned earlier, but all of them and the two chosen are correlated very strongly. That
is why it is sufficient to choose from the set of many available variables only two variables
of different nature i.e. one relating to the supply of tourist facilities and the other describ-
ing rather the demand for them. These two variables are used in different set-ups. The first
and basic set-up, characterizing the current conditions of tourism in poviats, is the one
based on the values of both variables for the last year of the period investigated, i.e. for the
year 2017. The second set-up, which we think may be useful in the assessment of poviats’
development, concentrates on the speed or quality or rate of the development, expressed by
the ratio of the value of the arithmetic mean for the last two years (2016 and 2017) and the
arithmetic mean for the first two years (2010 and 2011). The speed of the development of
tourist services might give more profound picture of the assessment of the whole develop-
ment. Thus:
accomodation density2016 + accomodation density2017
first variable =
accomodation density2010 + accomodation density2011
13
Development of tourism in Polish poviats in the years 2010–2017 1605
16000
14000
12000
10000
Tourist traffic density
8000
6000
4000
2000
-2000
-10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Accomodation density
Fig. 6 Scatter plot of the truncated raw values of tourism traffic density and accommodation density.
Source: Own work, data from the Local Data Bank (BDL)
4.2 Results
Firstly, we present an initial trial of the graphical representation of poviats’ tourism poten-
tial as given by the latest values of accommodation density and tourism traffic density,
i.e. for the year 2017. However, as there were a couple of poviats with extremely outlying
values, we truncated (i.e. replaced the values surpassing the thresholds with the thresh-
olds) the accommodation density at the threshold of 50 and the tourist traffic density at the
threshold of 15,000. This allowed for better possibilities of examining the bulk of the data.
From Fig. 6 it follows clearly that almost all poviats have similar values of both vari-
ables or differ significantly with respect to only one of the two variables. Out of 380,
less than 10 poviats do not meet this condition. Thus, it seems reasonable to assume a
threshold for each variable and to divide all poviats into four groups defined by each
variable value being either below or above the threshold. As thresholds we propose to
use the arithmetic mean of each variable. Thus, we will divide all 380 poviats into the
following four groups:
first group—poviats with both the tourist traffic density and accommodation density
below the corresponding arithmetic means;
second group—poviats with the tourist traffic density below the arithmetic mean and
the accommodation density above the arithmetic mean;
third group—poviats with the tourist traffic density above the arithmetic mean and
the accommodation density below the arithmetic mean;
13
1606 J. Korzeniewski, M. Kozłowski
16000
14000
12000
10000
Toutirt traffic density
8000
group 1
group 2
6000
group 3
group 4
4000
2000
-2000
-10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Accomodation density
Fig. 7 Scatter plot of the truncated raw values of tourism traffic density and accommodation density with
the division of poviats into four groups. Source: Own work, data from the Local Data Bank (BDL)
fourth group—poviats with both the tourist traffic density and accommodation den-
sity above the corresponding arithmetic means.
13
Development of tourism in Polish poviats in the years 2010–2017 1607
3,5
3,0
Rate of change of tourist traffic density
2,5
2,0
1,5
1,0
0,5
0,0
-0,5 0,0 0,5 1,0 1,5 2,0 2,5 3,0 3,5
Fig. 9 Scatter plot of the rate of change of both variables with the division of poviats into four groups
(group 1 = red, group 2 = green, group 3 = blue, group 4 = black). Source: Own work, data from the Local
Data Bank (BDL). (Color figure online)
Graphically, the results are presented in Fig. 7. Now, it seems useful to investigate the
tourist development of poviats in terms of belonging to one of the four groups, because
the interpretation of this fact will be easier.
We also present in Fig. 8 the geographical positioning of what seems to us two out-
standing groups: the poviats from group 1 (red colour in Fig. 7 and semi-dark colour in
Fig. 8) and those from group 4 (black colour in Fig. 7 and dark colour in Fig. 8).
It is surprising that both variables have a strongly asymmetric distribution, as a vast
majority of poviats (for group 1, 281 which accounts for 73.9% of all poviats) have the
values of both variables below the corresponding means of both variables. The remain-
ing three group sizes are similar. It might be interesting to observe that group 4, with
both variables above the corresponding means (consisting of 30 poviats, which accounts
for 7.9% of all poviats), consists of poviats situated usually in the centres of attrac-
tive tourist regions, like lake or mountain poviats. However, there are about 30 poviats
also situated in attractive tourist regions (southern border of Poland, the Sudety moun-
tains, and lake district poviats in the north of Poland) and classified in group 1. Group 2
(green colour in Fig. 7 and light green colour in Fig. 8) consists of 42 poviats (11.0%),
and group 3 (blue colour in Fig. 7 and light colour in Fig. 8) consists of 27 (7.1%) povi-
ats. It is also worth observing that by and large almost all poviats from groups 2, 3, and
4 lie in tourist-attractive regions of Poland. There are 6 poviats belonging to group 4
violating this rule i.e. neither from the sea border nor the mountain regions. This phe-
nomenon may be explained if one takes into account that these poviats are old-time
13
1608 J. Korzeniewski, M. Kozłowski
cities with rich historical background and thus, attractive for tourism (Warsaw, Poznań,
Toruń, Wrocław).
As far as the assessment of the speed or quality of the tourism potential development
is concerned, we present in Fig. 9 the scatter plot of the second set-up of variables, with
the visible division into four groups resulting from Fig. 7.
In our opinion, it is very interesting to observe that all of the best developed povi-
ats, i.e. those from group 4, can be found right in the middle of the plot. In our opin-
ion this finding is quite correct, as the well-developed poviats were already developed
10 years earlier, and there was not much space for further development. In other words,
these poviats earlier achieved such level of saturation that the rate of change of tourism
potential could not be high. Another interesting finding from Fig. 9 is that the same
observation can be made about the poviats from group 3. They also are positioned in
the centre of the graph (fractionally below the poviats from group 4). Why did poviats
from group 3 develop at a slow rate? We suggest the following explanation. If a poviat
had tourist traffic density above average (as it is the case in group 3 poviats), then it is
not easy to make it bigger, so the accommodation density which is below average does
not grow. The poviats from group 2 are spread over a wider space in Fig. 9 than the
poviats from groups 3 and 4. In our opinion there is a logical explanation to this fact.
If a poviat had accommodation density above average and tourist traffic density below
average, then there was space for the development the latter characteristic. There is a
base for such development, as the accommodation density is below average. The wid-
est spread in Fig. 9 characterizes the poviats from group 1, i.e. those underdeveloped in
both variables. How can one explain such a wide spread? In our opinion, if a poviat is
underdeveloped and is situated in a tourist-attractive region, then it could be developing
very fast. However, if such a poviat is situated in an unattractive region, then it might
not develop at all; its tourist base might even be shrinking.
Figure 10 presents the map of Poland with the poviats divided into two groups. The
group marked with dark colour represents 184 poviats developing at a faster rate than the
13
Development of tourism in Polish poviats in the years 2010–2017 1609
remaining 196 poviats. The 184 poviats were identified as those whose Euclidean distance
from the slowest developing poviat is bigger than the arithmetic mean of all the distances
between every poviat and the slowest developing poviat. The number 184, being smaller
than 196, suggests that the distribution of all distances between poviats and the slowest
developing poviat is slightly asymmetric; the number of poviats smaller than the arithmetic
mean distance is fractionally bigger than the number of those bigger than the arithmetic
mean distance.
Looking at Fig. 10, one gets two impressions. Firstly, the faster developing poviats are
situated in the west and north of Poland. There is no distinct dependence on the geographi-
cal positioning i.e. we cannot claim that faster developing poviats lie in tourist-attractive
regions. We interpret this result in the following way. As the general development of west-
ern regions is usually higher due to different reasons, not only of tourist nature, it is normal
that in recent years these poviats were developing faster. As far as the the lack of correla-
tion between fast development and being located in tourist-attractive regions is concerned
we interpret this result so that many of the poviats from the tourist-attractive regions had
already been well developed before 2008, and therefore there was no reason for their fast
further development. On the other hand, the incentive for fast development was to be
observed in many poviats not from the tourist-attractive regions.
To compare our findings with other research concerning tourism by poviats, we referred
to the report by the Polish Central Statistical Office (Central Statistical Office 2017) and the
classification of poviats with respect to their tourist attractiveness into seven classes. We
divided all 380 poviats into seven classes with respect to the four variables used so far in
the following way. Since, in each case, there is only one variable, it is reasonable to divide
the variable range into seven segments of equal length and assign each poviat to the closest
centre of a segment. We compared the classifications constructed in this way with the clas-
sification given in the Central Statistical Office (Central Statistical Office 2017). We used
the Spearman rank correlation coefficient, which assumes values from interval <–1; 1> . In
this kind of analysis we are confronted with tied ranks. This means that, for example, all
19 poviats of the most attractive class from page 16 (Central Statistical Office 2017, p. 16)
are assigned equal rank of (1 + 19)/2 = 10. We got the following results. In the first set-up
of variables, the value of the coefficient was equal to 0.534 for the accommodation density
and 0.550 for the tourist traffic density. In the second set-up (rate of change of both vari-
ables), the value of the coefficient was equal to 0.163 for the accommodation density and
0.191 for the tourist traffic density. Such results are quite correct in our opinion and can be
interpreted as follows. The correlation of the tourist attractiveness of poviats with the rate
of change of either accommodation density or tourist traffic density is very weak, which is
a normal phenomenon. The attractive poviats were probably well developed before 2008
and, again as earlier, there was no reason for further development. However, the correlation
between the tourist attractiveness of poviats and the state of their development in 2017 is
quite high, albeit not so high as one might expect. The values fractionally bigger than 0.5
suggest that e.g. all poviats could do slightly better in developing their tourism infrastruc-
ture. However, it is impossible that all poviats present the same level of development; some
do better (working for the bigger value of the coefficient) some do worse (weakening the
value of the coefficient). Therefore, it should be possible to identify the poviats which lag
behind in their contribution to the big positive value of the coefficient and, thus, are under-
developed with respect to their potential.
13
1610 J. Korzeniewski, M. Kozłowski
The research threads cited in this article are only a small part of the very complex nature
of the issue, which is the development of tourism in the system of local government units,
in this case poviats. Taking an attempt to measure the development of poviats due to their
tourist values, one should be aware of some lack of precision of the concepts used (see dis-
cussion in part 3).
Certain complexity of the system, in this case constituted by the the poviats, reveals
internal economic ties (and not only economic) that shape and are shaped by tourist traffic.
A given area fulfils the tourist function thanks to its diverse values, understood both as
natural goods and anthropogenic goods (services). The assessment of the degree of ful-
filling the tourist function of poviats, taking into account the administrative division, was
carried out using various determinants, relating to the number of tourist accommodation
establishments, the number of tourists using accommodations, the number of overnight
stays per area, or the number of inhabitants in the area.
The analysed poviats are different in many respects. Existing areas with special natu-
ral values constitute a tourist attraction and are classified as basic tourist goods. This fact
should determine their significant importance as a factor influencing the volume of tourist
traffic in a given area, within which the natural environment attractions occur. However,
their use for tourism and recreation purposes also depends on the existing tourist base,
communication accessibility, and infrastructure. As far as the first part of the research
objective is concerned, i.e. the analysis of the development of tourism in poviats, we can
conclude that the simultaneous use of two most popular tourism quality determinants
shows that one can distinguish four, rather homogenous groups of poviats. Each group is
homogenous in the sense that all poviats from each group are very similar with respect to
at least one of two variables. One group, the most numerous, comprises almost 74% of all
poviats, and the poviats from this group are very similar on both variables.
As far as the second part of the research objective is concerned, the analysis carried out
has shown the state of tourist development of poviats as of 2017 is considerably closely
connected with their tourist attractiveness, however, it seems that there is some space for
expanding natural environment advantages further.
In relation to the other research problem, whether tourism can be an opportunity for
development of the poviats—the authors undertook further research. It seems also impor-
tant to analyse the dependencies between the naturally valuable areas and the amount of
pollution control investments and individual provinces’ ability to fulfil the tourist function,
which can be conducted on the basis of both correlation analysis and cluster analysis.
Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Interna-
tional License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution,
and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the
source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
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