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Finance Compendium PartII DMS IIT Delhi

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Finance

Compendium
Part-I: Basics of Finance

Department of Management Studies

Indian Institute Technology, Delhi

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Table of Contents
Accounting
Basic Accounting 4
Golden Rules of Accounting 5
Difference between types of accounting 6
Types of Business 6
Accounting Standards 8
Balance Sheet 10
Income Statement 13
Cash Flow Statement 15
Financial Ratios 18
DuPont Analysis 21
Trial Balance 22
Accounting Loss 24
Cash Cycle of Credits 25
Frequently Asked Questions 25
Economics
What is Economics? 26
Supply, Demand and Equilibrium 27
Elasticity 29
Other Concepts 30
Market Structures 30
National Income 31
Inflation 33

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Policy Measures 34
Balance of Payments 35
Currencies & Exchange Rates 36
Economic Crises 37
Indian Economic Liberalization of 1991 42
Statistics
Descriptive & Inferential Statistics 44
Basic Statistical Concepts 45
Different Types of Data 48
Population vs. Sample 50
Distributions 51
Portfolio Theory 52
Risk Measurement & Management 53
Conclusion 55

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Basic Accounting:
What is Bookkeeping?
Bookkeeping involves recording, on a daily basis, the financial transactions of the
company. This enables the companies to track all information on their books to make key
operating, investing, and financing decisions.

What is accounting?
According to the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA):
“Accounting is the art of recording, classifying, and summarizing, in a significant manner
and in terms of money, transactions, and events which are, in part at least, of a financial
character, and interpreting the results thereof.”

In simple words, it is a system of recording and summarizing business and financial


transactions and analysing, verifying, and reporting the results thereof. Only if a
transaction or an event has a financial implication, it will be recorded in the accounting
books. While accounting and bookkeeping are often seen as similar, but they have a key
difference. Bookkeeping involves recording transactions, while accounting goes beyond
that to summarize, analyze, interpret, and communicate the results to interested parties.
The accounting process involves several key steps:

Step 1: Identify the transactions and prepare the vouchers


Step 2: Recording the transactions in the Journal
Step 3: Posting in the Ledger
Step 4: Preparation of Trial Balance and Financial Statements
Step 5: Interpreting the results and communicating to relevant stakeholders

Accounting Basis:
There are two primary methods of accounting: cash basis and accrual basis. These
methods differ in when a company records transactions in its books.

1. Cash Basis Accounting: In cash basis accounting, transactions are recorded when
cash is received or paid. This means revenue is recognized when cash is received,
and expenses are recorded when cash is paid out.

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2. Accrual Basis Accounting: In accrual basis accounting, transactions are recorded
when they occur, regardless of when cash is received or paid. Revenue is
recognized when it's earned, and expenses are recorded when they're incurred,
regardless of when the cash actually changes hands.

For example: A business sells goods for ₹ 20,000, and the customer does not make
the payment immediately. In this case, no transaction would be recorded under the
cash basis of accounting since cash has not yet been received. However, in the case
of an accrual basis of accounting, the transaction would be recorded in the books
of accounts as accounts receivable, indicating that the sale has been made, but the
amount is still to be received from the customer.

In summary, cash basis accounting records transactions based on cash flow, while accrual
basis accounting records transactions when they occur, providing a more accurate
representation of a company's financial performance.

Double entry system-


In the double-entry system, every transaction is recorded in at least two accounts, with
equal debits and credits. In simpler words, for every debit entry made in one account,
there must be an equal credit entry made in another account. This ensures that the
accounting equation remains balanced ie. Assets= Liabilities + Shareholders’ equity
For example- A business borrows ₹ 50,000 from a bank. In this case, the transaction
would involve two aspects-

a) ₹ 50,000 cash flowing into the business bank account, which would result in an
increase in the assets
b) Since ₹ 50,000 rupees has been borrowed from the bank, it is a liability for the
business. Thus, the business’ liability would also increase by ₹ 50,000.
This system helps maintain accuracy in financial records and provides a clear picture of
a company's financial health.

Golden Rules of Accounting-


1. Debit the receiver, credit the giver – This rule is based on personal accounts that
relate to people (natural or artificial).
For example, Shyam bought a cycle, so Shyam is the receiver and will be debited.

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2. Debit what comes in, credit what goes out – This rule applies to real accounts that
relate to assets, liabilities, and equity.
For example – A company purchases machinery for cash, which is an asset; hence,
machinery has come in, so it will be debited, and money has gone out so that Cash a/c
will be credited.

3. Debit all expenses and losses and credit all income and gains – This rule applies
to nominal accounts, including revenue, expenses, profits, and losses.
For example – The company pays salaries to employees, and since salaries are an
expense, salary a/c will be debited.

Type of account Debit Credit

Personal Receiver Giver

Real What comes in What goes out

Nominal Expenses & Losses Revenues & Gains

Books of Accounts:
• Cash Book: Records all cash receipts and payments, including bank deposits and
withdrawals.
• Bank Book: A detailed record of all banking transactions, separate from cash
transactions.
• Sales Book: Records all credit sales of goods and services.

Difference between cost, management, and financial accounting:

Cost Accounting Management Financial


Accounting Accounting

Purpose Helps in managing Tracks financial


and reducing Aids managerial transactions for
business costs. decision-making with external reporting.

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financial and non-
financial data.

Scope Detailed internal Wide scope integrating External focus,


data for business financial and operational follows standard
operations. data. principles.

Reports Reports on costs, Includes forecasts, Produces balance


efficiency, and analysis, and strategic sheets, cash flow, and
production. reports. income statements.

Regulation No set global Based on internal Must comply with


and standards standards, varies management needs, not GAAP or IFRS
by company. standardized. standards globally.

Objective Manages and Enhances decision- Reports financial


reduces costs. making and performance. health to outsiders.

Types of Businesses:
1. Sole Proprietorship: A business owned and operated by a single individual. The
owner is personally responsible for all business debts and liabilities. It is the
simplest form of business structure with minimal legal formalities.

2. Partnership: A business owned and operated by two or more individuals who


share profits, losses, and responsibilities. Partnerships can be general partnerships
(where all partners share equally in profits and liabilities) or limited partnerships
(with both general and limited partners). Partnerships are governed by a partnership
agreement that outlines the terms of the partnership.

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3. Limited Liability Partnership (LLP): A hybrid business structure that combines
elements of partnerships and corporations. Partners have limited liability, meaning
they are not personally liable for the debts and liabilities of the LLP.

4. Public Company: A company whose shares are traded publicly on a stock


exchange. Public companies are subject to extensive regulatory requirements and
must comply with securities laws. Ownership is typically dispersed among
numerous shareholders, and shares are freely traded in the open market.

5. Private Company: A company whose shares are held privately by a small group
of shareholders. Shares are not publicly traded, and ownership is usually restricted
to founders, investors, and employees. Private companies are subject to fewer
regulatory requirements compared to public companies.

6. One-Person Company (OPC): A type of private company established by a single


individual. The sole owner has limited liability, and there is no distinction between
the owner and the company. OPCs provide a legal structure for entrepreneurs to
operate as a company while enjoying limited liability.

Accounting Standards:
Accounting standards refer to a set of principles, rules, and guidelines that are used by
accountants to prepare, present, and disclose financial information in financial statements.
Many countries across the world follow international standards such as the IFRS
(International Financial Reporting Standards), and US GAAP (Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles) in addition to the local standards. India follows the Indian
Accounting Standard (Ind AS). These standards ensure consistency, comparability, and
transparency in financial reporting across different organizations. These standards are:

1. Going Concern Concept-


Definition: Assumes that a company will continue to operate indefinitely and not
go bankrupt or be forced to cease operations. This assumption underlies the basis
for asset valuation, depreciation, and amortization.
Example: Financial statements are prepared with the expectation that the company
will continue its operations and not liquidate its assets in the near term.

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2. Matching Principle-
Definition: Expenses should be recorded in the period in which they are incurred
to produce revenues, aligning expenses with corresponding revenues.
Example: Sales commissions are expensed in the same period when the related
sales revenue is recognized.

3. Money Measurement Concept-


Definition: The financial statements record only those transactions that can be
expressed in monetary terms.
Example: A company purchasing equipment for $10,000 would be recorded, while
non-monetary factors like employee morale or brand reputation are not quantified
in financial statements due to their intangible nature.

4. Cost Concept-
Definition: All assets are recorded on the books at purchase price, not a market
price,
with some exceptions.
Example: If a company purchases a building for $500,000, the building would be
initially recorded on the balance sheet at that cost, regardless of any changes in
market value or depreciation over time.

5. Conservative concept-
Definition: Use of conservatism while recording business transactions. Anticipate
profits only after they are realized but provide for all the probable future losses.
Example: Record losses immediately upon discovery, whereas gains are
recognized only when they are certain, treat unrealized gains as speculative and do
not include them in financial statements

6. Accounting period concept-


Definition: Represents a defined span of time during which a company records its
financial activities. These periodic reports help investors and creditors assess the
company's financial health and performance.
Example: A company might report quarterly financial statements covering three
months each, or annually, presenting data for the entire year.

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7. Accrual Concept-
Definition: Expenses incurred for a particular accounting period should
be recognized in the same period, irrespective of the exchange of cash during the
same accounting period.
Example: A company records revenue when it earns it, even if the customer hasn't
paid yet, adhering to the accrual concept.

8. Consistency Principle-
Definition: The consistency principle dictates that once a company adopts an
accounting method or principle, it should continue using it consistently across all
accounting periods unless there is a valid reason for change.
Example: If the company charges straight-line depreciation, it can’t shift to the
written down value method all of sudden.
However, it doesn’t mean that company can’t change its accounting methods it may
do so by providing the effect of change of method and justification for the same.

Financial Statements:
Financial statements are the formal records that provide an overview of the financial
activities and position of a business entity. These statements are prepared periodically
(usually at the end of each accounting period) and are essential for external stakeholders,
such as investors, creditors, regulators, and analysts, to assess the financial health and
performance of the company.
The three financial statements are:
1. Balance sheet
2. Income statement or P&L statement
3. Cash Flow Statement

Balance sheet
A balance sheet is a financial statement that reports a company's assets, liabilities, and
shareholders' equity at a specific point in time and provides a basis for computing rates
of return and evaluating its capital structure. It is a financial statement that provides a
snapshot of what a company owns and owes, as well as the amount invested by
shareholders. The balance sheet has two parts, assets, and liabilities (including

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shareholder’s equity). As the name balance sheet suggests, at any given point, these two
should balance each other:

Assets = Liabilities + Shareholders equity

Assets Liabilities Shareholder’s equity

• Assets are the • Liabilities are the • It equals the


application of sources of funds that assets that the
funds that the create an obligation company owns
company owns and on the company that minus the amount
controls for future it owes to somebody the company
benefits owes

• Includes cash, • Includes loans, • It presents the net


inventory, accounts payable, worth of the
equipment, etc. mortgages, etc. company

• Assets in the future • Liabilities is the • In other words,


can be used to obligations that need the total amount
generate cash flows to be paid of in of capital in a
future company that is
directly linked to
its owners

The simplest form of Balance Sheet is as follows:

Balance Sheet Hypothetical Sheet

Assets Amount (in INR)

Current Assets:

- Cash and Cash Equivalents 15,00,000

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- Short-Term Investments 5,00,000

- Accounts Receivable 20,00,000

- Inventory 10,00,000

- Other Current Assets 2,00,000

Total Current Assets 52,00,000

Non-Current Assets:

- Property, Plant, and Equipment 35,00,000

- Goodwill 5,00,000

- Intangible Assets 3,00,000

- Long-Term Investments 7,00,000

- Other Non-Current Assets 1,00,000

Total Non-Current Assets 51,00,000

Total Assets 1,03,00,000

Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity

Current Liabilities:

- Accounts Payable 12,00,000

- Short-Term Debt 8,00,000

- Other Current Liabilities 3,00,000

Total Current Liabilities 23,00,000

Non-Current Liabilities:

- Long-Term Debt 20,00,000

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- Deferred Tax Liabilities 1,50,000

- Other Non-Current Liabilities 1,00,000

Total Non-Current Liabilities 22,50,000

Total Liabilities 45,50,000

Shareholders' Equity:

- Common Stock 30,00,000

- Retained Earnings 20,00,000

- Additional Paid-In Capital 5,00,000

- Treasury Stock -2,50,000

- Other Equity Items 5,00,000

Total Shareholders' Equity 57,50,000

Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity 1,03,00,000

Income Statement:
What is Income Statement:
The income statement/P&L Account provides a summary of a company's revenues,
expenses, and profits over a specific period. It helps assess profitability.

The simplest form of Income statement is as follows:


Income Statement Hypothetical Statement

Amount (INR)

Revenue (Sales + Other Income) 1,20,00,000

Less: Cost of Goods Sold 70,00,000

= Gross Profit 50,00,000

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Less: Selling expenses 15,00,000

=Operating Profit (EBITDA) 35,00,000

Less: Depreciation and Amortization expenses 5,00,000

=EBIT (often called Operating Profit) 30,00,000

Less: Interest Paid 2,00,000

=Profit Before Tax (PBT/EBT) 28,00,000

Less: Tax Paid 7,00,000

=Net Income / Profit After Tax (PAT) 21,00,000

Less: Dividend paid to preference shareholders 1,00,000

=Net income available to common shareholders 20,00,000

Top Line and Bottom Line:


• Top Line: Represents gross sales or revenues.
• Bottom Line: Represents net income, which is the result after all expenses,
including taxes and interest, have been deducted from the top line.

COGS: Costs directly associated with the production of the goods or services the
company sells.

Operating, Gross, and Net Profit:


• Gross Profit: Revenue minus COGS.
• Operating Profit: Gross profit minus all operating expenses, excluding interest
and taxes.
• Net Profit: The remaining profit after all expenses, including taxes and interest,
have been deducted.
• Depreciation: An accounting method of allocating the cost of a tangible asset over
its useful life, representing how much of an asset's value has been used up over a
period.
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Cash Flow Statement (CFS)
What CFS Is: The cash flow statement shows the inflows and outflows of cash and
cash equivalents in a company, indicating how well it manages its cash position, in
terms of liquidity and solvency.

Direct vs. Indirect Method in Cash Flow:


o Direct Method: Lists all major operating cash receipts and payments for the
period, directly showing net cash from operating activities.
o Indirect Method: Begins with net income, then adjusts for non-cash
transactions, changes in working capital, and operational cash receipts and
payments.

Includes:
1. Operating Activities: Cash generated from or used in the core business operations.
2. Investing Activities: Cash used in or generated from buying and selling assets.
3. Financing Activities: Cash exchanged with lenders and shareholders.

Format: The statement is divided into sections for operating, investing, and financing
activities, summarizing the net cash flow in each area.

The simplest form of Cash Flow statement is as follows:


Cash Flow Statement Hypothetical Sheet

Cash Flow Statement Items Amount (in INR)

Operating Activities

Net Income / Loss 21,00,000

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash:

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- Depreciation & Amortization 5,00,000

- Changes in Accounts Receivable -3,00,000

- Changes in Inventories -2,00,000

- Changes in Accounts Payable 2,00,000

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities 23,00,000

Investing Activities

- Purchase of Property & Equipment -10,00,000

- Proceeds from Sales of Assets 1,00,000

- Investments in Securities -4,00,000

Net Cash Used in Investing Activities -13,00,000

Financing Activities

- Proceeds from Issuing Debt 10,00,000

- Repayments of Debt -5,00,000

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- Dividends Paid -1,00,000

Net Cash Used in Financing Activities 4,00,000

Net Increase/Decrease in Cash and Cash Equivalents 14,00,000

Cash and Cash Equivalents at Beginning of Period 1,00,000

Cash and Cash Equivalents at End of Period 15,00,000

Relation Between Three Financial Statements


1. The income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement are interlinked.
2. The net income from the income statement feeds into the balance sheet and is the
starting point for the cash flow statement.
3. Changes in the balance sheet accounts are used to adjust net income for cash and
non-cash transactions in the operating section of the cash flow statement.

Impact of Transactions on Financial Statements:


Every business transaction impacts the financial statements. For example, revenue
increases both the income statement (as it increases net income) and the balance sheet (as
it increases cash or receivables). Expenses decrease net income on the income statement
and reduce assets or increase liabilities on the balance sheet.

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Financial Ratios:
Financial ratios are key indicators used to analyze a company's financial health,
performance, efficiency, and profitability. They provide insights into various aspects of a
business, from its ability to meet short-term obligations to its overall profitability and
growth potential.

Types:
1. Liquidity Ratios
Measure a company's ability to meet its short-term obligations with its short-term assets.
• Current Ratio: Indicates whether the company can cover its short-term liabilities
with its short-term assets.
o Formula: Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities
o Example: If a company has current assets of $200,000 and current liabilities
of $100,000, its current ratio is 2.0, suggesting good short-term financial
health.
Interpretation: A current ratio of 2.0 indicates that the company has $2 in current assets
for every $1 of current liabilities. This is a strong liquidity position and suggests that the
company should have no trouble meeting its short-term obligations.

• Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio): Similar to the current ratio but excludes inventory
from assets, focusing on the most liquid assets.
o Formula: Quick Ratio = (Current Assets - Inventory) / Current Liabilities
o Example: With current assets of $200,000, inventory of $50,000, and current
liabilities of $100,000, the quick ratio is 1.5.
Interpretation: A quick ratio of 1.5 is considered healthy, as it means the company has
$1.5 in liquid assets for every $1 of current liabilities, after excluding less liquid assets
like inventory. This indicates the company is in a good position to cover its short-term
debts even without relying on the sale of inventory, which might not be as quickly
convertible to cash.

2. Efficiency Ratios
Evaluate how effectively a company uses its assets and liabilities internally.
• Inventory Turnover: Measures how quickly inventory is sold and replaced over
a period.
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o Formula: Inventory Turnover = Cost of Goods Sold / Average Inventory
o Example: If the cost of goods sold is $300,000 and the average inventory is
$50,000, the inventory turnover is 6 times per year.
Interpretation: An inventory turnover ratio of 6 implies that the company sells and
replaces its inventory six times a year. This can be interpreted as efficient inventory
management, assuming this rate is in line with industry standards. A higher turnover
indicates effective inventory use and less money tied up in inventory, whereas a lower
turnover may suggest overstocking or weak sales.

• Receivables Turnover: Assesses how efficiently a company collects on its


receivables.
o Formula: Receivables Turnover = Net Credit Sales / Average Accounts
Receivable
o Example: With net credit sales of $400,000 and average accounts
receivable of $80,000, the turnover ratio is 5.
Interpretation: A receivables turnover ratio of 5 indicates that the company collects its
outstanding credit sales five times a year, or roughly every 73 days. This suggests the
company is relatively efficient in its collection efforts, but this should also be compared
to industry norms and credit terms to determine true efficiency.

3. Profitability Ratios
Show how well a company generates profit from its operations.
• Gross Profit Margin: Indicates the percentage of revenue that exceeds the cost
of goods sold.
o Formula: Gross Profit Margin = (Revenue - Cost of Goods Sold) /
Revenue
o Example: If revenue is $500,000 and COGS is $300,000, the gross profit
margin is 40%.
Interpretation: A gross profit margin of 40% means that the company retains 40 cents
as gross profit for every dollar of revenue. This is a measure of the efficiency of
production and the company's pricing strategy. A high margin indicates that the company
is selling its products at a significantly higher price than the cost of goods sold, which is
generally positive.

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• Net Profit Margin: Reveals the percentage of revenue that remains as net
income after all expenses.
o Formula: Net Profit Margin = Net Income / Revenue
o Example: With net income of $100,000 and revenue of $500,000, the net
profit margin is 20%.
Interpretation: A net profit margin of 20% indicates that the company retains 20 cents
for every dollar of revenue after all expenses have been paid. This is a strong profitability
indicator, showing how well the company converts revenue into actual profit.

4. Solvency Ratios
Assess a company's ability to meet its long-term obligations.
• Debt to Equity Ratio: Compares a company's total liabilities to its shareholder
equity to evaluate financial leverage.
o Formula: Debt to Equity Ratio = Total Liabilities / Shareholder Equity
o Example: If total liabilities are $400,000 and shareholder equity is
$600,000, the ratio is 0.67.
Interpretation: A debt to equity ratio of 0.67 means that the company uses 67 cents of
debt for every dollar of equity. This indicates a more conservative use of leverage and
suggests the company is not overly reliant on debt to finance its operations, which can be
a positive sign for long-term financial stability.

5. Coverage Ratios
Determine a company's ability to service its debt and meet other financial obligations.
• Interest Coverage Ratio: Measures how easily a company can pay interest on
outstanding debt with its earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT).
o Formula: Interest Coverage Ratio = EBIT / Interest Expenses
o Example: With EBIT of $200,000 and interest expenses of $40,000, the
coverage ratio is 5.
Interpretation: An interest coverage ratio of 5 suggests that the company earns enough
to cover its interest expenses 5 times over. This is an indication of strong financial health
and implies that the company is well-positioned to meet its interest payments on
outstanding debt.

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DuPont Analysis
Breaks down return on equity (ROE) into three components: profit margin, asset turnover,
and financial leverage, providing a deeper understanding of what drives a company's
ROE.

Formula: ROE = (Net Income / Revenue) × (Revenue / Assets) × (Assets / Equity)


Example: If net income is $100,000, revenue is $500,000, assets are $1,000,000, and
equity is $500,000, then ROE = (100,000 / 500,000) × (500,000 / 1,000,000) ×
(1,000,000 / 500,000) = 20%.

Return on Equity (ROE): An ROE of 20% through DuPont Analysis breaks down
as follows:
o Net Profit Margin (Net Income/Revenue): The company has a net margin
of 20%, indicating it is efficient in converting sales into profit.
o Asset Turnover (Revenue/Assets): With a ratio of 0.5, for every rupee in
assets, the company generates 50 paise in sales. This shows how effectively
the company is using its assets to generate revenue.
o Equity Multiplier (Assets/Equity): A multiplier of 2 suggests the company
has twice as many assets as it has equity, signifying leverage of 2:1.

This 20% ROE indicates that the company is using its assets efficiently to generate profits
and has a reasonable amount of leverage, contributing positively to the equity holders'
return. The DuPont components highlight the areas of strength and potential for
improvement in the company's financial strategy.

Salvage Value
Definition: The estimated residual value of an asset at the end of its useful life.
Example: A piece of machinery bought for $10,000 with a 10-year life and a salvage
value of $1,000 means it will be worth $1,000 after 10 years of use.

Debentures and Redemption Fund


Debentures: A type of debt instrument that is not secured by physical assets or
collateral but based on the creditworthiness and reputation of the issuer.
Redemption Fund: A sinking fund established for the purpose of redeeming or
buying back debentures before they mature, ensuring the company has enough
funds to fulfil its obligations.
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Equity Shareholders vs. Preference Shareholders
Equity Shareholders: Owners of the company who have voting rights and claim on
residual profits through dividends and capital appreciation.
Preference Shareholders: Have a higher claim on assets and earnings than equity
shareholders, receiving dividends at a fixed rate before any dividend is paid to
equity shareholders, but generally do not have voting rights.

Reserves
Long-term Asset Replacement Reserve: Funds set aside for replacing long-term
assets when they reach the end of their useful lives.
Dividend Equalisation Reserve: A reserve to smooth out dividends paid to
shareholders, ensuring a steady dividend payout despite fluctuating earnings.

Share Premium
The amount received by a company over and above the face value of its shares when
issued.

Marketable Securities and Bills Receivable


Marketable Securities: Liquid financial instruments that can be quickly converted
into cash at a reasonable price.
Bills Receivable: A record of amounts to be received from customers or debtors,
typically from sales made on credit.

Different Ledgers
General ledger (summarizes all transactions within a period), Sales ledger (records
accounts receivable), Purchase ledger (records accounts payable), and others, each
serving to categorize and summarize specific types of transactions.

Trial Balance:
Definition: A statement that lists the balances of all ledgers accounts to check the
mathematical accuracy of the double-entry accounting system.
Example: Debit and credit balances are totaled to ensure they match, indicating that
entries are correctly recorded.

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Errors in Trial Balance
The trial balance is a bookkeeping worksheet where the balances of all ledgers are
compiled into debit and credit account column totals that should match. An accurate trial
balance does not guarantee that there are no errors, but an inaccurate trial balance
indicates that there are certainly mistakes in the ledger accounts. Here are the types of
errors that can occur:

1. Errors of Omission

o Definition: An error of omission happens when a financial transaction is not


recorded in the accounting books at all, thereby completely omitting it from
the accounting records.
o Example: A company receives a cash payment from a customer and fails to
record this transaction in the sales ledger and cash book. As a result, both the
revenue and the cash balance are understated, and the trial balance will not
reflect this transaction.

2. Errors of Commission
o Definition: These errors occur when an entry is made to the correct type of
account but with some incorrect detail. This can include recording the right
transaction in the wrong account, transposing numbers, or recording the
incorrect amount.
o Example: If a payment of INR 5,200 to a supplier is incorrectly recorded as
INR 2,500, the accounts payable and cash account will both be incorrect by
INR 2,700, but the trial balance will still tally because the error is equal and
opposite.

3. Errors of Principle
o Definition: An error of principle is a transaction that is recorded in violation
of the fundamental principles of accounting. It occurs when an entry is
posted to the incorrect category of account.
o Example: A company purchases a piece of machinery and records it as an
expense rather than capitalizing it as an asset. This error will affect the
depreciation calculation and the profit reported.

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Accounting Loss
Definition: Occurs when expenses exceed revenues in a given period, indicating that
the business has not generated enough income to cover its costs.
Example: A company incurs $200,000 in costs but only generates $150,000 in
revenue, resulting in a $50,000 accounting loss.

Gross Block Concept


Definition: Represents the total amount invested in fixed assets before depreciation,
showing the historical cost of acquiring these assets.
Example: If a company has purchased machinery for $100,000 and buildings for
$400,000, the gross block value is $500,000 before accounting for depreciation.

Amortisation
Definition: Amortization involves expensing the cost of an intangible asset in the
income statement over its useful life, reducing the asset's carrying value on the
balance sheet over time. This accounting treatment helps companies align the
asset's cost with the revenues it generates, adhering to the matching principle in
accounting.
Example: A company acquires a patent for a new technology at a cost of $100,000.
The patent has a legal and useful life of 10 years, with no salvage value at the end
of this period. The company would amortize the patent by expensing $10,000
annually for 10 years.

Extraordinary Loss in Depreciation


Definition: An extraordinary loss in depreciation occurs when an asset suddenly loses
value beyond its standard depreciation due to unforeseen events. These are not
regular market or operational factors but significant incidents that drastically
reduce the asset's useful life or value.
Example: If a company owns a building that is partially destroyed by a natural disaster
such as an earthquake, the cost to repair the damage or the reduction in the
building's useful life would result in an extraordinary loss. This loss would require
an adjustment to the asset's depreciation schedule, accelerating depreciation
expense or recognizing an immediate loss to reflect the asset's decreased value.

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Extraordinary Gain in Depreciation
Definition: Conversely, an extraordinary gain in the context of depreciation would
involve situations where an asset's value or useful life unexpectedly increases due
to rare events. While less common, these situations can lead to adjusting
depreciation expense downwards.
Example: Suppose a company's specialized machinery was expected to become
obsolete due to technological advancements, and its depreciation was accelerated
accordingly. If a sudden market demand for the product made with this machinery
extends its useful life, the company might adjust its depreciation schedule to reflect
the lower annual depreciation expense, resulting in an extraordinary gain.

Cash Cycle Through Credits:

Some Frequently Asked Questions


1. Walk me through the three financial statements.
2. If you could use only one statement to review the company's overall financial
health, which statement would it be, and why?
3. Is it possible to have positive cash flows and negative net income?
4. If Depreciation is a non-cash expense, why does it affect the cash balance?
5. Which are the most important ratios to look for in a company in your opinion?
6. What is top line and bottom line and how do we get to bottom line from the
income statement?
7. What is the difference between book value and market value?
25
What is Economics?
Definition

Economics studies the production, distribution and consumption of goods and services by
individuals, businesses, and countries. The objective of economics is to ensure scarce
resources are allocated such that overall welfare is maximised.

Difference between Micro and Macroeconomics

Microeconomics Macroeconomics

Definition Deals with individual economic Deals with the behaviour of the economy
agents such as consumers, firms, of an entire country or the world
and household

Deals Supply, demand, prices, labour, National income, employment, money


with consumer behaviour supply and demand, price level

Objective Maximise welfare of individuals Ensure economic growth, full


while minimising costs employment, and price stability

Managerial Economics

Managerial economics refers to the application of economic theory and the tools of analysis
of decision science to examine how an organization can achieve its aims or objectives most
efficiently. Statistical analysis, operations research and game theory are some of the tools
used in managerial economics.

26
Supply, Demand & Equilibrium:
Demand

Demand refers to the amount of goods/service consumers are willing and able to purchase at
the given price. A rise in the price of a good/service decreases the quantity demanded.
Conversely, a fall in price will increase the quantity demanded. This inverse relationship
between price and quantity demanded is the Law of Demand.

Supply

Supply refers to the amount of goods/service a producer is willing to supply at the given
price. The Law of Supply states that a higher price leads to a higher quantity supplied and a
lower price lead to a lower quantity supplied.

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Equilibrium

The equilibrium theory states that the price for a particular good/service will vary until it
settles at a point where the quantity demanded will equal the quantity supplied. The point
where the supply and demand curves intersect gives us the equilibrium price and the
equilibrium quantity.

Surplus

Surplus is a situation where the quantity supplied is higher than the quantity demanded, and
the price is higher than equilibrium price. In this situation, suppliers are unable to sell and
respond by cutting their prices. These price reductions in turn stimulate demand. Therefore,
if the price is above the equilibrium level, incentives built into the structure of demand and
supply will create pressures for the price to fall toward the equilibrium.

Shortage

Shortage is a situation where the quantity demanded exceeds the quantity supplied. Sellers
respond to the shortage by raising their prices without losing sales. These price increases
cause the quantity demanded to fall and the quantity supplied to rise, and the market moves
towards equilibrium.

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Elasticity
Definition

Elasticity is the measure of the responsiveness of the quantity demanded or supplied to a


change in one of its determinants.

Price Elasticity of Demand

The price elasticity of demand measures how much the quantity demanded responds to a
change in price. Demand for a good is said to be elastic if the quantity demanded responds
substantially to changes in the price. Demand is said to be inelastic if the quantity demanded
responds only slightly to changes in the price.

Price Elasticity of Demand = % change in quantity demanded ÷ % change in price

Price Elasticity of Supply

The price elasticity of supply measures how much the quantity supplied responds to changes
in the price. Supply of a good is said to be elastic if the quantity supplied responds
substantially to changes in the price. Supply is said to be inelastic if the quantity supplied
responds only slightly to changes in the price.

Price Elasticity of Supply = % change in quantity supplied ÷ % change in price

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Other Concepts:
Opportunity Cost

The “opportunity cost” of a resource is the value of the next alternative use of that resource.
If, for example, you spend time going to a movie, you cannot spend that time at home reading
a book. Then the opportunity cost of seeing the movie is the benefit you forgo by not reading
the book

Economies of Scale

Economies of scale are the cost advantages that enterprises obtain due to their scale of
operation. An increase in scale decreases the cost per unit. It arises due to specialization.
However, sometimes the total cost rises as output increases. This is called diseconomies of
scale. Coordination problems in large organizations are usually the cause.

Adverse Selection

Adverse selection refers generally to a situation in which sellers have information that buyers
do not have, or vice versa, and this information asymmetry is exploited. Adverse selection
can be seen in the markets for used cars or insurance.

Moral Hazard

Moral hazard is a situation in which one party engages in risky behavior or fails to act in
good faith because it knows the other party bears the economic consequences of their
behavior. Any time two parties come into an agreement with one another, moral hazard can
occur.

Market Structures:
Definition

Industries differ from one another in terms of how many sellers there are in a specific market,
how easy or difficult it is for a new firm to enter, and the type of products that they sell.
Economists refer to this as an industry's market structure.

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Perfect Competition

Perfect competition is a hypothetical concept of a market characterised by the following:


• Many firms produce identical products.
• Many buyers are available to buy the product.
• There is no information asymmetry between buyers and sellers.
• No entry and exit barriers.
The prices cannot be determined by an individual buyer or seller.

Monopoly

In a monopoly, there is only one producer of a particular good/service, and no substitute. In


such a market system, the monopolist can charge any price they wish due to the absence of
competition, but their overall revenue will be limited by the ability or willingness of
customers to pay. A monopoly is the polar opposite of perfect competition.

Oligopoly
An oligopoly is a market structure where there are only a few firms who have the majority
production in the market system. Oligopolists seek to dominate through restrictive trade
practices, such as collusion and market sharing. Oligopolists compete through non-price
competition and product differentiation.

National Income:
Gross Domestic Product

Gross domestic product is the total value of all final goods and services produced within
the boundary of a nation for one year. GDP includes income of foreigners in a country
but excludes income of expatriates.

Gross National Product

GNP is the value of all final goods and services produced by the residents of a country in
a financial year. Net income from abroad is added which is the difference between the
amount that a country’s citizens and companies earn abroad, and the amount that foreign
citizens and companies earn in that country.
GNP = GDP + Net Income from Abroad
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Net Domestic Product

NDP is calculated by deducting the depreciation of plant and Machinery from GDP.
NDP = GDP - Depreciation

Factor Cost and Market Price

The product at market prices indicates the total amount actually paid by the final buyers.
The national product at factor cost is a measure of the total amount earned by factors of
production for their contribution.
Factor Cost = Market Price - Taxes + Subsidies

Net National Product at Factor Cost

Net National Product at factor cost is the true indicator of the national income in an
economy.
NNPfc = NNPMP - Net Indirect Taxes

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Inflation:
Definition

Inflation refers to the general rise in the price level in an economy. Inflation is measured
as the rate of change in a price index such as the Consumer Price Index or the Wholesale
Price Index over time. A healthy amount of inflation is essential to promote growth.

Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure that examines the weighted average of
prices of a basket of consumer goods and services, such as transportation, food, housing,
medical care, recreation and communication.

Wholesale Price Index

The WPI reflects the change in price of goods that are bought and sold in the wholesale
market. It includes products such as food grains, fruits, vegetables, meats, fish, fuel and
power.

Some other types of Inflation

• Deflation: It is the opposite of inflation. There is a general drop in the price level
of an economy.
• Disinflation: It is the reduction in the rate of inflation
• Hyperinflation: It is inflation occurring at a very high rate
• Stagflation: It is the combination of inflation, slowing economic growth and
unemployment

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Policy Measures:
Fiscal Policy

Fiscal policy refers to the measures adopted by governments to stabilise and drive
economic growth, specifically by manipulating the levels and allocations of taxes and
government expenditures. It can be either expansionary or contractionary. An
expansionary fiscal policy is one that is used at times of slowdown of the economy.
During such times, governments cut taxes and increase government spending to spur
economic growth. On the other hand, a contractionary fiscal policy is aimed at lowering
inflation as it tends to reduce the quantum of money by raising taxes and reducing
spending.

Monetary Policy

Monetary policy is the action taken by the central bank of a nation to control the money
supply and achieve macroeconomic goals. The primary objective is to maintain price
stability while achieving economic growth and development. Central banks have many
tools at their disposal to implement monetary policy. Some of them are given below:

Instruments:
• Repo Rate
• Reverse Repo Rate
• Open Market Operations
• Cash Reserve Ratio
• Margin Lending
• Credit Rationing

Business Cycles

Business cycles are the contractual and expansionary movements of the economic activity
in an economy. They are characterized by fluctuations not just in output but also in
consumption expenditure, investment, and employment. Huge fluctuations on either side
are not healthy for the economy. The government moderates these cycles via policy
measures.

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Balance of Payments:
Definition

The balance of payments is the record of the transactions of the residents of a country
with the rest of the world. It is an important indicator of the health of a country’s economy.
Any payment by the country’s residents is a deficit item, and vice versa. There are two
main accounts:

Current Account (CA)

The current account records trade in goods and services and transfers such as remittances
and investment income.

Capital Account (KA)

The capital account records the inflows and outflows of capital that is used for
transactions related to assets such as stocks, bonds and land. A surplus indicates an inflow
of money into the country, while a deficit indicates money moving out of the country
towards foreign holdings.

Balance of Payments = CA + KA = 0 (ideally)

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Currencies & Exchange Rates:
Overview

Currently, there are 180 currencies internationally recognized as legal tenders. The values
of these various currencies relative to each other is represented by the exchange rate.
Exchange rates influence everything from international trade and investments to
economic competitiveness. Thus, the central banks have an exchange rate policy to
achieve economic objectives.

Forex Reserves

Foreign exchange reserves are the monetary assets held by the central bank in a foreign
currency. These assets can be cash, bonds, deposits or T-bills. Forex reserves are mostly
held in USD, followed by the Euro, Yen, and increasingly the Yuan. Forex reserves are
used primarily to settle international trade and to maintain exchange rate stability.

Forex Market

The foreign exchange market enables participants to buy, sell and exchange currencies
for transactions, hedging and speculative purposes. Individuals who trade on the forex
market include central banks, investment banks, commercial companies, hedge funds and
retail forex brokers. It is the largest financial market and has its main center in London.

Types of Exchange Rates

Fixed Exchange Rate:

It is an exchange rate where the value of one currency is pegged to the value of another
currency or a commodity such as oil or gold. This is undertaken by the central bank or the
government of the country. Having a fixed exchange rate provides currency rate certainty
for businesses and ensures imports from developed economies are not too expensive.

Flexible Exchange Rate:

Flexible or floating exchange rate is a regime where the central bank allows the exchange
rate to adjust itself according to the supply and demand. This leads to currency rate
uncertainty, but also allows for greater autonomy regarding monetary and fiscal policy.

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Dirty Floating Exchange Rate:

In practice, all floating exchange rates are “dirty”, i.e. they are managed by central banks,
who intervene by selling and buying foreign currencies to influence exchange rates. This
serves as a buffer against external economic shocks.

Economic Crises
The Great Depression (1929-1939)
Cause: The Great Depression began with the stock market crash in October 1929, which
led to a drastic decline in consumer spending and investment.

Underlying Issues: The economic downturn was exacerbated by bank failures, reduced
consumer spending, and poor economic policies. The lack of regulatory oversight on
banks and the stock market contributed significantly to the crisis.

Lasting Implications: The Great Depression had long-lasting effects on economies


worldwide, leading to high unemployment rates and a significant decrease in global trade.
It also prompted major reforms in financial regulations, including the establishment of
the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC) in the United States.

Steps Taken by Government:


1. Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve initially failed to provide the necessary
liquidity to banks, exacerbating the crisis. Later efforts aimed at expanding the
money supply.
2. Fiscal Policy: The New Deal programs represented a major shift in the role of the
U.S. government in the economy, including direct job creation, investment in
public works, and support for farmers and the unemployed.
3. Regulatory Reforms: Introduction of the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities
Exchange Act of 1934 to regulate the stock market, and the Banking Act of 1933
(Glass-Steagall Act) to separate commercial and investment banking.

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OPEC Oil Price Shock (1973)
Cause: The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) proclaimed an oil
embargo in response to the U.S. support for Israel during the Yom Kippur War, leading
to a significant increase in oil prices.

Underlying Issues: The sudden hike in oil prices exposed the heavy dependence of the
world's economy on oil, particularly in industrialized nations.

Lasting Implications: The crisis led to a period of economic stagnation and inflation in
many countries, known as stagflation, and prompted a shift towards energy conservation
and the exploration of alternative energy sources.

Steps Taken by Government:


1. Energy Policy: Implementation of energy conservation measures (e.g., speed
limits and energy-saving practices) and investments in alternative energy sources.
2. Economic Measures: Some countries introduced price controls and rationing to
manage the supply of oil and gas. The crisis also led to the establishment of the
International Energy Agency (IEA) in 1974.

Latin American Debt Crisis (1980s)


Cause: The crisis was triggered by a sharp increase in global interest rates and a
decrease in oil prices, which made it difficult for Latin American countries to repay
their foreign debt.

Underlying Issues: Over-borrowing by Latin American countries during the 1970s,


coupled with economic mismanagement and a lack of adequate financial oversight,
contributed to the crisis.

Lasting Implications: The crisis resulted in a lost decade for Latin America, with low
economic growth and high inflation. It led to significant economic reforms and the
adoption of more market-oriented economic policies in the region.

38
Steps Taken by Government:
1. Debt Restructuring: Negotiations led to the Brady Plan, which allowed countries
to restructure their debt with creditor banks, partially backed by U.S. Treasury
bonds.
2. Economic Reforms: Implementation of structural adjustment programs,
including privatization, deregulation, and trade liberalization, often under the
guidance of the IMF and World Bank.

Asian Financial Crisis (1997-1998)


Cause: The crisis began with the collapse of the Thai baht after the government was
forced to float it due to lack of foreign currency to support its currency peg.

Underlying Issues: High levels of foreign debt, speculative investments, and weak
financial regulations in Asian economies contributed to the crisis.

Lasting Implications: The crisis led to severe recessions in affected countries, a


restructuring of the financial sector, and a push for better financial regulation and
supervision.

Steps Taken by Government:


1. IMF Assistance: Affected countries, such as Thailand, Indonesia, and South
Korea, received financial support from the IMF in exchange for implementing
economic reforms.
2. Currency Stabilization: Central banks intervened in foreign exchange markets
to stabilize their currencies, and some countries adopted more flexible exchange
rate regimes.
3. Financial Sector Reforms: Comprehensive restructuring of the financial sector,
including the closure of insolvent institutions and improvements in regulatory
frameworks.

Russian Financial Crisis (1998)


Cause: The crisis was triggered by a sharp decline in oil prices and a lack of confidence
in the Russian government's fiscal policies, leading to the devaluation of the ruble and a
default on debt.

39
Underlying Issues: High fiscal deficits, over-reliance on commodity exports, and
political instability were significant contributors to the crisis.

Lasting Implications: The crisis resulted in a severe recession in Russia, with a


significant impact on its economic and political stability.

Steps Taken by Government:


1. Debt Default and Restructuring: Russia declared a moratorium on foreign debt
repayment, leading to a restructuring of its debt with international creditors.
2. Monetary Policy: The Central Bank of Russia adopted measures to stabilize the
ruble and control inflation.
3. Structural Reforms: Efforts to improve tax collection, reduce government
spending, and implement economic reforms were pursued, albeit with mixed
success.

Dot-com Bubble (2000-2002)


Cause: The bubble was fueled by excessive speculation in internet-related companies in
the late 1990s, leading to inflated stock prices.

Underlying Issues: The widespread adoption of the internet led to unrealistic


expectations for the growth of dot-com companies, many of which had unsustainable
business models.

Lasting Implications: The burst of the bubble led to significant losses for investors and
the collapse of many dot-com companies, but also paved the way for the growth of
sustainable tech companies.

Steps Taken by Government:


1. Monetary Policy Adjustments: The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to
mitigate the economic slowdown and restore investor confidence.
2. Market Oversight Enhancements: Although direct interventions were limited,
there was increased scrutiny on the governance of dot-com companies and
accounting practices.

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Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008)
Cause: The crisis was primarily triggered by the collapse of the housing bubble in the
United States, leading to defaults on subprime mortgages and the failure of major
financial institutions.
Underlying Issues: High-risk lending practices, excessive risk-taking by banks, and
inadequate financial regulation contributed to the crisis.

Lasting Implications: The crisis led to the Great Recession, with significant impacts on
global employment, trade, and economic growth. It prompted a reevaluation of financial
regulatory frameworks worldwide.

Steps Taken by Government:


1. Bank Bailouts: Governments and central banks provided funds to rescue failing
banks and financial institutions, aiming to stabilize the financial system.
2. Monetary Policy: Central banks around the world slashed interest rates and
implemented quantitative easing to increase liquidity.
3. Fiscal Stimulus: Many countries enacted large fiscal stimulus packages to boost
demand and mitigate the effects of the recession.
4. Regulatory Reforms: Introduction of stricter financial regulations, including the
Dodd-Frank Act in the U.S. and Basel III internationally, to improve bank
resilience.

European Sovereign Debt Crisis (2009-2012)


Cause: The crisis was triggered by the global financial crisis's impact on Europe and
concerns about high levels of government debt in several European countries.

Underlying Issues: Fiscal irresponsibility, economic mismanagement, and imbalances


within the Eurozone contributed to the crisis.

Lasting Implications: The crisis led to significant austerity measures in affected


countries, a rethinking of fiscal policies in the Eurozone, and calls for greater fiscal
integration among EU members.

41
Steps Taken by Government:
1. Bailout Packages: The EU and IMF provided financial assistance to affected
countries (e.g., Greece, Ireland, Portugal) in exchange for austerity measures and
economic reforms.
2. European Stability Mechanism (ESM): Establishment of the ESM to provide a
permanent mechanism for managing financial crises in Eurozone countries.
3. Fiscal Compact: Adoption of stricter fiscal rules for EU member states to ensure
budgetary discipline and stability in the Eurozone.

Indian Economic Liberalization of 1991:


The economic liberalization in India in 1991 was a significant turning point in the
country's economic history. It was prompted by a balance of payments crisis that led to
a severe recession. The government, under the leadership of Prime Minister P.V.
Narasimha Rao and Finance Minister Manmohan Singh, initiated a comprehensive
reform agenda, including Liberalization, Privatization, and Globalization (LPG reforms)
to open the economy and make it more market-oriented and consumption-driven.

Key Aspects:
1. Removal of Restrictions: The dismantling of the License Raj, which was a system
of licenses and regulations that had hindered private enterprise since 1947.
2. Foreign Investment: Elimination of restrictions on foreign investment, allowing
foreign companies to bring modern technology and industrial development to India.
3. Reduction of Import Tariffs: The government reduced import tariffs, opened up
the public sector to private enterprise, and cut back on state spending.

The impact of these reforms was significant. They led to an increase in industrial growth,
a shift towards a more services-oriented economy, and a surge in foreign investment. The
reforms also created millions of new jobs and made India globally competitive in various
sectors such as telecommunications, software, pharmaceuticals, and biotechnology.

Goals:
1. Expansion of the role of private and foreign investment to accelerate economic
growth and development.
2. Addressing the balance of payments crisis and improving the external account
position.

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3. Enhancing the participation of the private sector in India's economic advancement.
4. Elevating foreign direct investment in the Indian industrial landscape.
5. Encouraging healthy competition among domestic enterprises.
6. Facilitating global expansion of the Indian economy.
7. Boosting foreign trade for bolstering the nation's exports.
8. Attracting foreign investments to modernize infrastructure and industrial
development.
9. Increasing the efficiency of resource allocation and utilization.
10.Creating a more consumer-driven and market-oriented economy.

Criticisms
1. Negative Impact on the Poor: Critics argue that the liberalization policies have
led to increased income inequality and poverty, as the benefits of economic growth
have not been evenly distributed.
2. Environmental Concerns: The liberalization policies have led to the expansion of
industries and relaxed regulations to attract investment, which has raised concerns
about the environmental impact of these policies.
3. Job Losses: The liberalization policies have led to the closure of many public
sector enterprises, resulting in job losses for many workers.
4. Foreign Dependence: Critics argue that the liberalization policies have made India
too dependent on foreign investment and technology, which could lead to a loss of
economic sovereignty.
5. Inadequate Regulation: Critics argue that the liberalization policies have led to
inadequate regulation of the financial sector, which has contributed to financial
instability and crises.

43
Introduction to Statistics in Finance
Statistics form the backbone of financial analysis, enabling professionals to derive
meaningful insights from data, make informed decisions, and manage risk effectively.
This section delves into the essential statistical concepts and their applications in finance,
elucidated with relevant visual aids and examples.

Descriptive and Inferential Statistics

Statistics in finance is bifurcated into two primary branches: descriptive statistics, which
provides a summary of historical data, and inferential statistics, which uses sample data
to make predictions or inferences about a broader population.

• Descriptive Statistics: Involves measures of central tendency (mean, median,


mode) and dispersion (range, variance, standard deviation) to summarize data.

• Inferential Statistics: Employs hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, and


regression analysis to predict and infer trends from sample data to the population.

44
Basic Statistical Concepts:
1. Mean (Average)

• Concept: The mean is the sum of all values divided by the number of values. It's a
measure of central tendency.
• Finance Example: Calculating the average return of a stock over a specific period
helps investors gauge its typical performance.

2. Median

• Concept: The median is the middle value when data points are arranged in order.
It represents the central point of a data set.
• Finance Example: The median house price in a region shows the central market
price, unaffected by extreme highs or lows, useful for real estate investors.

3. Mode

• Concept: The mode is the most frequently occurring value in a data set.
• Finance Example: In loan analysis, identifying the mode of loan amounts can help
banks understand the most common loan demand among customers.

4. Range

• Concept: The range is the difference between the highest and lowest values in a
dataset. It measures dispersion.
• Finance Example: The range of daily stock prices over a month provides insight
into the volatility of that stock.

45
5. Variance and Standard Deviation

• Concept: Variance measures how far each number in the set is from the mean.
Standard deviation is the square root of the variance, providing a measure of spread
in the same units as the data.
• Finance Example: Standard deviation is used in finance as a measure of the risk
associated with an investment's returns.

6. Percentiles and Quartiles

• Concept: Percentiles are values below which a certain percentage of data falls.
Quartiles divide the data into four equal parts.
• Finance Example: The 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles (quartiles) of income
levels can help financial analysts understand income distribution among a
population for targeting financial products.

7. Correlation

• Concept: Correlation measures the relationship between two variables. The


correlation coefficient ranges from -1 to 1, indicating how strongly two variables
are related.
• Finance Example: Analyzing the correlation between stock market returns and
interest rates can help investors understand how changes in interest rates might
affect stock prices.

8. Covariance

• Concept: Covariance is a measure of the relationship between two random


variables. The metric evaluates how much – to what extent – the variables change
together. In other words, it is essentially a measure of the variance between two
variables. However, the metric does not assess the dependency between variables.
• Positive covariance: Indicates that two variables tend to move in the same
direction.
• Negative covariance: Reveals that two variables tend to move in inverse
directions.
• Zero Covariance: If two random variables are independent, the covariance
will be zero. However, a zero covariance does not necessarily indicate that
46
variables are independent. A non-linear relationship can exist, and the
covariance may be zero.
• Use in finance: The concept is primarily used in portfolio theory. One of its most
common applications in portfolio theory is the diversification method, using the
covariance between assets in a portfolio. By choosing assets that do not exhibit a
high positive covariance with each other, the unsystematic risk can be partially
eliminated.

9. Correlation Coefficient
• Concept: The correlation coefficient is a statistical measure of the strength of the
relationship between the relative movements of two variables. The values range
between -1.0 and 1.0.
The interpretations of the values are:
• -1 indicates perfect negative correlation. The variables tend to move in
opposite directions (i.e., when one variable increases, the other variable
decreases).
• 0 indicates no correlation. The variables do not have a relationship with each
other.
• 1 indicates perfect positive correlation. The variables tend to move in the
same direction (i.e., when one variable increases, the other variable also
increases).
• Use in finance: The concept is primarily used in portfolio management. A
thorough understanding of this statistical concept is essential to successful portfolio
optimization.

10. Simple Linear Regression

• Concept: Simple linear regression analyses the relationship between two variables
by fitting a linear equation to observed data. One variable is considered to be an
explanatory variable, and the other is considered to be a dependent variable.
• Finance Example: Predicting a company's sales based on advertising spend. By
analysing past data, a company can model how changes in their advertising budget
might affect sales.

47
11. Probability

• Concept: Probability measures the likelihood of an event occurring, ranging from


0 (impossible) to 1 (certain).
• Finance Example: Calculating the probability of default on a loan based on credit
score and other financial indicators helps banks manage risk.

12. Hypothesis Testing

• Concept: Hypothesis testing is a statistical method that uses sample data to


evaluate a hypothesis about a population parameter.
• Finance Example: Testing whether the introduction of a new financial product has
significantly changed the average revenue per customer.

Understanding Different Types of Data:


Types of data that may be divided into groups – Categorical and Numerical

Categorical
Examples of categorical variables are race, sex, age group, and educational level.

Numerical
Numerical is further classified as –
• Discrete - can only take certain values. Example: the number of students in a class

48
• Continuous - can take any value (within a range) A person's height: could be
any value (within the range of human heights)

Data as in many fields involving statistical analysis, is fundamentally categorized into


two main types: qualitative and quantitative. Each of these main types has further sub-
categories that help analysts and researchers understand and interpret data more
accurately. Below is an elaboration on these types and their sub-categories:
Qualitative Data
Qualitative data, also known as categorical data, encompasses non-numeric information
that describes qualities or characteristics. It's subdivided into:

Nominal Data:
This type of data represents categories that do not have a natural order or ranking. For
example, the types of industries (technology, healthcare, finance, etc.), company names,
or types of currencies are nominal. There's no inherent order to these categories; they're
used to label variables without a quantitative value.

Ordinal Data:
Unlike nominal data, ordinal data involves categories with a natural order or ranking but
without a precise mathematical difference between them. An example could be credit
ratings (AAA, AA, A, BBB, BB, etc.), where the ratings indicate a quality order, but the
intervals between the ratings are not necessarily equal or known.

Quantitative Data
Quantitative data is numeric, allowing for measurement and quantification. It's divided
into:

Interval Data: This type involves numbers that are placed on a scale with equal intervals
between them but doesn't have a true zero point. Temperature in Celsius or Fahrenheit is
a classic example; while you can say that 30°C is hotter than 20°C and quantify the
difference (10°C), the zero point (0°C) doesn't mean "no temperature." In finance,
examples might include dates and times when events occur, as they can be measured
relative to each other but don't imply the absence of the concept they measure at zero.

49
Ratio Data: Ratio data has all the properties of interval data, with the addition of a true
zero point, meaning the absence of the quantity. In finance, this could include values like
revenue, profit, or stock prices, where zero signifies that the quantity does not exist or is
completely absent. This data type allows for a wide range of descriptive statistics and
mathematical operations, including meaningful comparisons using ratios (e.g., one value
can be twice as much as another).

Population vs. Sample


Population Sample

Represents the entire group of individuals Subset of the population selected for data
or elements of interest collection and analysis

Measurable characteristic is called Measurable characteristic is called statistic


parameter

Studies aim to the parameters of the Statistics are used to make inferences
population about the population parameters

Difficult to gather data for an entire More feasible to collect data from a sample
population

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Distributions and Financial Implications:
Normal Distribution

Properties
• The mean, mode and median are all equal.
• The curve is symmetric at the centre (i.e., around the mean, μ).
• Exactly half of the values are to the left of centre and exactly half the values are to
the right.
• The total area under the curve is 1.

Z-Score
The z score tells you how many standard deviations from the mean your score is.
A z-score of 1 is 1 standard deviation above the mean. The empirical rule tells you what
percentage of your data falls within a certain number of standard deviations from the
mean:
• 68% of the data falls within one standard deviation of the mean.
• 95% of the data falls within two standard deviations of the mean.
• 99.7% of the data falls within three standard deviations of the mean.

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Statistics and Portfolio Theory
Concept: Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) uses statistical methods to construct
portfolios to maximize expected return for a given level of risk (or minimize risk for a
given level of expected return), emphasizing the benefits of diversification.

Finance Example: Using variance and covariance to determine the optimal mix of
assets that minimizes the portfolio's overall risk while aiming for a desired return.

The scatter plot above demonstrates the correlation between two assets in a diversified
portfolio, with Asset A Returns on the x-axis and Asset B Returns on the y-axis. The
correlation coefficient, calculated as approximately 0.90, indicates a strong positive
correlation between the returns of these two assets. This means that as the returns of
Asset A increase, the returns of Asset B tend to increase as well, which is visually
represented by the clustering of points along a line in the scatter plot.

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The Role of Statistics in Risk Measurement and
Management:
1. Value at Risk (VaR)

• Definition: VaR is a statistical technique used to measure and quantify the level of
financial risk within a firm, portfolio, or position over a specific time frame. It
estimates the maximum expected loss that a portfolio might suffer over a given
period under normal market conditions, at a certain confidence level (e.g., 95% or
99%).
• Application: VaR is widely used by banks, investment firms, and corporations to
manage and control their risk exposure. For example, if a portfolio has a 1-day 95%
VaR of $1 million, it means there is a 95% confidence that the portfolio will not
lose more than $1 million in a single day.

2. Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR)

• Definition: CVaR, also known as Expected Shortfall, measures the expected losses
that occur beyond the VaR threshold. It provides an average of losses in the worst-
case scenarios.
• Application: CVaR is used alongside VaR to give a more comprehensive risk
assessment. It's particularly useful for understanding the tail risk of a portfolio—
how severe losses could be in the worst-case scenarios beyond the VaR limit.

3. Standard Deviation and Variance

• Definition: Standard deviation and variance are measures of volatility or


dispersion around the mean (average) return of an investment. High variance or
standard deviation indicates high risk, as the investment's returns are more spread
out over a range of outcomes.
• Application: These measures are fundamental for portfolio construction and asset
allocation, helping investors to understand and balance the risk-return trade-off.
For example, a portfolio manager might mix assets with lower variance with riskier
assets to achieve a desired risk level.

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• The line graph above depicts risk assessment over time, showcasing volatility (blue
line with circles) and potential loss thresholds (red dashed line with crosses) over
a 12-month period. The graph illustrates how volatility and loss thresholds can vary
over time, providing insights into the dynamic nature of risk management in
financial analysis.

Benefits of Using Statistics in Risk Management

• Quantification of Risk: Statistics provide quantitative measures of risk, enabling


firms to understand the extent of potential losses and the likelihood of adverse
events.
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• Informed Decision Making: By quantifying risks, financial professionals can
make more informed decisions about investments, hedging strategies, and capital
allocation.
• Regulatory Compliance: Statistical measures of risk are essential for meeting
regulatory requirements, which often mandate certain levels of capital based on the
risk profile of financial institutions.
• Portfolio Optimization: Statistical analysis helps in constructing portfolios that
optimize the risk-return trade-off, tailoring investment strategies to individual or
institutional risk tolerance.
• Risk Mitigation Strategies: Understanding the statistical distribution of potential
outcomes allows firms to develop strategies to mitigate those risks, such as
diversification, insurance, and derivative contracts.

Conclusion:

The application of statistical analysis in finance is indispensable for making data-driven


decisions, managing risks, and optimizing investment strategies. This compendium
section underscores the integration of statistical concepts with financial analysis to
enhance the understanding and application of financial data.

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