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Robust Algorithm For Estimating Total Suspended Solids (TSS) in Inland and Nearshore Coastal Waters

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1 Robust Algorithm for Estimating Total Suspended Solids (TSS) in


2 Inland and Nearshore Coastal Waters
3
4 Sundarabalan V. Balasubramaniana,c,d, Nima Pahlevana,b,*, Brandon Smitha,b , Caren Bindinge,
5 John Schallesf, Hubert Loiselg, Daniela Gurlinh, Steven Grebi, Krista Alikasj, Mirjam Randlaj,
6 Matsushita Bunkeik, Wesley Mosesl, Hà Nguyễnm, Moritz K. Lehmannn, David O’Donnello,
7 Michael Ondrusekp, Tai-Hyun Hanq, Cédric G. Fichotr, Tim Moores, and Emmanuel Bosst
8
a
9 NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD USA
b
10 Science Systems and Applications, Inc. (SSAI), Lanham, MD, USA
c
11 University of Maryland, Department of Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, USA
d
12 Geo-Sensing and Imaging Consult, Trivandrum, Kerala, India
e
13 Environment and Climate Change Canada, Burlington, ON, Canada
f
14 Creighton University, Department of Biology, Omaha, NE, Nebraska
g
15 Univ. Littoral Côte d’Opale, Univ. Lille, CNRS, UMR 8187, LOG, Laboratoire d’Océanologie et de
16 Géosciences, Lille, France
h
17 Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, Madison, WI, USA
i
18 University of Wisconsin-Madison, Space Science and Engineering, Madison, WI, USA
j
19 Tartu observatory of University of Tartu, Tartu, Estonia
k
20 University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
l
21 Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, D.C., USA
m
22 VNU University of Science, Vietnam National University, Hanoi, Vietnam
n
23 Xerra Earth Observation Institute and the University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand
o
24 Upstate Freshwater Institute, Syracuse, NY, USA
p
25 NOAA Center for Satellite Applications and Research, College Park, MD, USA
q
26 Korea Ocean Satellite Center KIOST, Busan, South Korea
r
27 Department of Earth and Environment, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA
s
28 Ocean Process Analysis Laboratory, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, USA
t
29 University of Maine, School of Marine Sciences, Orono, ME, USA
30
31
32 ABSTRACT:
33 One of the challenging tasks in modern aquatic remote sensing is the retrieval of near-surface

34 concentrations of Total Suspended Solids (TSS), which indirectly decrease the rate of primary

35 production by attenuating the propagation of the underwater light field. This study aims to

36 present a Statistical, inherent Optical property (IOP) -based, and muLti-conditional Inversion

37 proceDure (SOLID) for enhanced retrievals of satellite-derived TSS under a wide range of in-

38 water bio-optical conditions in rivers, lakes, estuaries, and coastal waters. In this study, using a

39 large in situ database (N > 3500), the SOLID model is devised using a three-step procedure: (a)

40 water-type classification of the input remote sensing reflectance ( ), (b) retrieval of particulate

© 2020 published by Elsevier. This manuscript is made available under the Elsevier user license
https://www.elsevier.com/open-access/userlicense/1.0/
41 backscattering ( ) in the red or near-infrared (NIR) regions using semi-analytical, machine-

42 learning, and empirical models, and (c) estimation of TSS from via water-type-specific

43 empirical models. Using an independent subset of in situ data (N = 2729) with TSS ranging from

44 0.1 to 2626.8 [g/m3], the SOLID model is thoroughly examined and compared against the state-

45 of-the-art algorithms (Miller and McKee 2004; Nechad et al. 2010; Novoa et al. 2017; Ondrusek

46 et al. 2012; Petus et al. 2010). We show that SOLID outperforms all the other models to varying

47 degrees (from 10 to > 100%) based on global and water-type-specific statistical attributes. For

48 demonstration purposes, the model is implemented for images acquired by the MultiSpectral

49 Imager aboard Sentinel-2A/B over the Chesapeake Bay, San-Francisco-Bay-Delta Estuary, and

50 Lake Okeechobee. To enable the generation of consistent, multimission TSS products, its

51 performance is extended, and evaluated further for missions, such as the Ocean and Land Color

52 Instrument (OLCI), Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Visible Infrared

53 Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), and Operational Land Imager (OLI). Sensitivity analyses on

54 uncertainties induced by the atmospheric correction indicate that 10% uncertainty in leads to

55 < 20% uncertainty in TSS retrievals. While this study suggests that SOLID has the potential for

56 producing TSS products in global coastal and inland waters, our extensive analysis certainly

57 verifies that there is still a need for improving retrievals across the wide spectrum of particle

58 loads.

59

60 1. Introduction

61 Suspended sediments in coastal and inland waters are introduced by various sources,

62 including river runoffs, dredging activities, resuspension events, and tidal currents. The sediment

63 composition is, in general, a mixture of organic and inorganic particles in the water column

2
64 (Miller and McKee 2004). High sediment loads can lead to poor water quality and potentially

65 increase temperature in the upper layer of the water column (Turner and Millward 2002).

66 Suspended solids can carry heavy metals, pollutants, and nutrients, and, therefore, contribute to

67 adverse environmental conditions in the water column. The excessive near-surface accumulation

68 of this optically significant water constituent affects light propagation into deeper layers and the

69 benthos diminishing the productivity and altering the ecosystem functioning. Conversely,

70 sediment loads are critical for maintaining sediment accretion rates and protecting the integrity

71 of sediment-maintained geomorphic features such as river deltas and marsh and mangrove

72 wetland platforms. These coastal features are damaged when sediment dynamics are

73 compromised by upstream trapping of suspended sediments by reservoirs, river channelization

74 and disturbance of delta distributary flows, and sea level rise. These geomorphic features support

75 and protect blue-carbon storages of coastal wetland sediments and are important defenses against

76 storm surge and high spring tide flooding events (Barbier et al. 2011; Weston 2014). Monitoring

77 sediment fluxes is, thus, essential for the sustainable management of coastal and inland water

78 ecosystems.

79 The sediment concentration is commonly quantified via laboratory analyses of grab samples

80 and expressed as the concentration of total suspended solids (TSS; [g/m3]), which is also referred

81 to as suspended particulate matter (SPM) and total suspended matter (TSM) in the literature.

82 Note that TSS includes living and detrital (non-living) particulate organic matter, such as

83 phytoplankton, and inorganic matter like clay and other suspended minerals. Due to the dynamic

84 nature of its spatial and temporal distribution, TSS quantified through field sampling is often

85 considered inadequate (Doxaran et al. 2014); hence, aquatic (optical) remote sensing is used as

86 an efficient proxy for its monitoring at local, regional, and global scales (Ahn et al. 2006;

3
87 Bowers and Binding 2006; Doxaran et al. 2009a; Feng et al. 2014; Forget and Ouillon 1998;

88 Loisel et al. 2014; Woźniak and Stramski 2004). One of the main products of aquatic color

89 remote sensing is the spectral remote sensing reflectance ( ), which carries information about

90 the bulk optical properties of near-surface water constituents, including TSS. The is defined

91 as the ratio of water leaving radiance to the downwelling irradiance just above the water and can

92 be related to aquatic reflectance ( ) assuming an isotropic upwelling radiance field, i.e., =

93 / (Mobley 1999). from satellite observations is computed following the removal of

94 atmospheric effects from the top of atmosphere (TOA) reflectance/radiance measurements made

95 by remote sensors (Gordon and Wang 1994). Aquatic biogeochemical products like near-surface

96 concentration of chlorophyll-a (Chla) and TSS together with the inherent optical properties

97 (IOPs) are obtained from products.

98 Over the last decades, several analytical, empirical, and semi-empirical relationships have

99 been devised to retrieve near-surface TSS (hereafter, TSS) using (or another equivalent

100 representation termed as the normalized water-leaving radiance, nLw) at either a single band or a

101 combination of bands (Binding et al. 2010; Dekker et al. 2002; Doxaran et al. 2009a; Han et al.

102 2016; Nechad et al. 2010; Novoa et al. 2017; Tassan 1993; Zhang et al. 2016). Site-specific

103 studies often utilize a single red band for TSS retrievals, which can provide reasonably accurate

104 estimates within limited TSS ranges. For example, Ouillon et al. (2004) applied a linear

105 regression analysis to map TSS within the 0 ~10 [g/m3] range in the southwest lagoon of New

106 Caledonia. Similarly, Miller and McKee (2004) estimated TSS in the Mississippi River Delta,

107 where TSS ranged from 0 to 60 [g/m3]. Kumar et al. (2016) and Ondrusek et al. (2012) utilized

108 higher order polynomials to generate spatial distributions of TSS in Chilika Lake, India (0 ~ 100

109 [g/m3]) and in the Chesapeake Bay (0 ~ 60 [g/m3]), respectively. These single band models are

4
110 easy to implement and straightforward for operational satellite services. However, the

111 performance of these algorithms degrades in areas with extreme sediment loads, where

112 radiometric measurements in the red band no longer correlate with increases in TSS, i.e., a

113 saturation effect is present (Feng et al. 2014; Luo et al. 2018; Ritchie et al. 2003; Shi and Wang

114 2009). Under such circumstances, ( > 700 nm) is commonly relied upon (e.g., 865, 1020,

115 and 1071 nm) (Knaeps et al. 2015). A major limitation of this NIR-based single band model is

116 that it generally performs poorly for low to moderate TSS (i.e., < 50 [g/m3]) (Han et al. 2016)

117 owing to the negligible contribution of particulate backscattering ( ) relative to the pure water

118 absorption (Doxaran et al. 2012), and lack of radiometric sensitivity in this spectral region. To

119 overcome this limitation, various multiband models based on band ratio or other band arithmetic

120 operations applied in empirical or semi-analytical models have been developed (Chen et al.

121 2015; Dekker et al. 2001; Doxaran et al. 2003; Feng et al. 2014; Novoa et al. 2017; Oyama et al.

122 2009). The main drawback of these methods is that each band is not only sensitive to TSS but

123 also to other optically significant constituents in the water column (e.g., Chla), which leads to

124 overestimation or underestimation of TSS. Alternatively, TSS may be derived from turbidity, a

125 proxy water quality parameter, at regional scales (Dogliotti et al. 2015) as empirical relationships

126 may vary seasonally due to phytoplankton growth (Hannouche et al. 2017).

127 In addition to approaches that derive TSS directly from , there are methods that

128 approximate TSS directly from either the particulate absorption coefficient (ap) (Babin et al.

129 2003; Zhang et al. 2010; Zheng and DiGiacomo 2017) or (Binding et al. 2010; Volpe et al.

130 2011; Woźniak et al. 2010) by approximating mass-specific particulate absorption (a∗ ) and

131 backscattering (b∗ ) coefficients, respectively. Semi-analytical methods that approximate

132 physics-based bio-optical parameterization provide another avenue for TSS retrievals by solving

5
133 for IOPs. For instance, widely used inversion models such as the Generalized IOP (GIOP)

134 (Werdell et al. 2013), the Quasi Analytical Algorithm (QAA) (Lee et al. 2002), and the Garver-

135 Seigel-Maritorena (GSM) (Maritorena et al. 2002) provide fairly accurate estimates of in

136 clear and/or moderately turbid waters but are less accurate in highly turbid/eutrophic waters

137 (Shanmugam et al. 2010; Zheng and DiGiacomo 2017). Under intense algal bloom conditions,

138 for example, phytoplankton backscattering dominates (600 nm < < 800 nm) and, as a

139 result, the overall magnitude/shape of in this region (Binding et al. 2010; Shi et al. 2018).

140 This leads to ambiguities in TSS models developed in the absence of high phytoplankton

141 concentrations when they are applied to waters with high concentrations of phytoplankton.

142 Several studies have attempted to fine-tune QAA for IOP retrievals in a few inland and coastal

143 waters (Joshi and D'Sa 2018; Mitchell et al. 2016; Mouw et al. 2013); nevertheless, these

144 algorithms and their performances require further independent verifications. Most methods

145 neglect impacts of the composition and size-distribution of particles on IOP spectra resulting in

146 inaccurate retrievals of TSS (Bowers and Binding 2006; Long and Pavelsky 2013; Neukermans

147 et al. 2012; Novo et al. 1989). Nonetheless, TSS remains a parameter of interest to estimate via

148 remote sensing.

149 Recognizing the lack of a) a global dataset for a thorough assessment of existing TSS

150 algorithms and b) a robust algorithm applicable to waters with a wide range of near-surface

151 particle load or waters with different particle types, this article offers an innovative hybrid

152 approach termed the Statistical, IOP-based muLti-conditional Inversion proceDure (SOLID),

153 which employs (600 nm < < 800 nm) retrieved from remote sensing as a proxy for TSS

154 retrievals. The retrieval begins by assigning input to one of three water types according to its

155 shape/magnitude (Section 3). For each of the assigned water types, a corresponding procedure is

6
156 followed to retrieve . A novel machine learning algorithm is proposed for estimating

157 (600 nm < < 700 nm) over a broad range of turbidity and trophic conditions (Section

158 4.1.1), whereas (700 nm < < 800 nm) is analytically solved for in waters mainly

159 dominated by suspended sediments (Section 4.1.2). In aquatic ecosystems (e.g., coastal waters),

160 where low TSS and/or Chla (i.e., < 2 units of concentrations) is commonly found, QAA is

161 applied for estimating (600 nm < < 700 nm). Then, the retrieved b (600 nm < λ <

162 800 nm) is empirically attributed to TSS via water-type-specific expressions (Section 4.2). The

163 algorithm is developed using a large dataset consisting of synthetic data and in situ

164 measurements, and is evaluated with > 2700 paired in situ and TSS samples. This approach

165 is further compared against several state-of-the-art algorithms (Miller and McKee 2004; Nechad

166 et al. 2010; Novoa et al. 2017; Ondrusek et al. 2012; Petus et al. 2010), and is demonstrated for a

167 handful of satellite missions to allow for seamless retrievals of TSS via a single blended

168 algorithm (SOLID). While the performance of the algorithm is mainly demonstrated for the

169 MultiSpectral Instrument (MSI) aboard Sentinel-2A/B, we will further extend our analysis to

170 other satellite missions (Section 5.4), including the Ocean and Land Color Instrument (OLCI),

171 Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Visible Infrared Imaging

172 Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), and Operational Land Imager (OLI) (Section 5.4).

173 2. Datasets

174 The data consisted of simulated data (Pahlevan et al. 2017d), in situ measurements, and

175 satellite images, representing a broad range of turbidity and trophic conditions. In situ

176 measurements (Fig. 1) represented waters with intense algal blooms (e.g., Lake Erie, Lake

7
177 Champlain, Lake Taihu) and very high turbidity (e.g., Red River and San-Francisco-Bay-Delta

178 Estuary).

179

180
181

182
183
184 Fig.1. The global distribution of in situ datasets (N = 3288) in addition to the NOMAD datasets (N=222)
185 used for testing, training, and validating (red squares) the SOLID model. The yellow boxes indicate areas
186 with training/testing datasets only, whereas validation data are specified with black boxes.
187
188
189 These ecosystems represented in the dataset varied in the amount of nutrients, organic matter

190 concentrations, productivity, biodiversity, climate, and watershed biogeochemical/physical

191 characteristics, which enable a comprehensive assessment of SOLID and other widely used TSS

192 algorithms (Miller and McKee 2004; Nechad et al. 2010; Novoa et al. 2017; Ondrusek et al.

193 2012; Petus et al. 2010). These in situ datasets include the remote sensing reflectance, [1/sr],

194 as well as bio-optical and biogeochemical data (Table 1).

195
196 2.1 Development data

197 Synthetic data: The radiative transfer model Hydrolight (Mobley 2008) was used to simulate a

198 large database (N=915,000) of hyperspectral (350 nm < < 800 nm) at 5-nm intervals

8
199 associated with various optical conditions. To do so, various specific absorptions of
∗ ∗ ∗
200 phytoplankton ( ! ), specific absorptions/scattering of non-algal particles ( "# , "# ),

201 particulate backscattering fraction ( $ ) (0.01 < $ < 0.03) along with uniformly distributed

202 Chla (0.01 ~ 100 [mg/m3]), TSS (0.0 ~ 98.4 [g/m3]), and the absorption by colored dissolved

203 organic matter '()* (440) (0.0009 ~ 6 [1/m]) with exponents in the range of 0.009 ~ 0.031

204 [1/nm] were supplied as model inputs (Pahlevan et al. 2017d). The ! (440) ranged from 0.06


205 to 0.09 [m2 /mg] while ! (667) varied between 0.02 and 0.06 [m2 /mg]. For NAP specific

206 absorption and scattering spectra, the five default spectra (e.g., (Bukata et al. 2018)) available in

207 Hydrolight were employed. This simulated dataset was used to train a machine learning model

208 for retrievals (Section 4.1.).

209 Field data: In situ data, such as , , and TSS required for algorithm development and

210 testing collected in various inland and coastal waters (Table 1) were compiled. The were

211 estimated from measurements made by various above- or in-water radiometers manufactured by

212 Ocean Optics, Inc., Trios, Sea-Bird Scientific, and ASD, Inc. The measurements were post-

213 processed according to instrument-specific protocols and standard procedures developed by the

214 manufacturing companies or the scientific community (Lee et al. 2013; Mobley 1999; Mueller et

215 al. 2004). Multispectral measurements were taken with ECO BB9 backscattering sensors

216 (WetLabs Inc.; Sea-Bird Scientific). These data, available for narrow spectral bands centered at

217 variable spectral positions (Binding et al. 2019; Moore et al. 2017; Mouw et al. 2013; Reynolds

218 et al. 2016) were linearly oversampled to 1-nm spectral spacing, allowing for resampling

219 measured spectra to corresponding satellite sensor spectral response functions (see Section

220 4.1.2). Overall, 246 pairs of and spectra were available to validate estimates (Section

221 5.1). TSS was determined gravimetrically using the standard technique and represent the dry

9
222 mass particles per unit volume of water. In situ TSS - measurement pairs (N = 607) were

223 further utilized to develop empirical relationships for TSS retrievals (Table 1). The data

224 originated from Lake Erie, Green Bay (WI), Lake Michigan (MI) from US inland waters (N =

225 150), Lake Taihu (N = 164) in China (Shi et al. 2018), and the SeaWiFS Bio-optical Archive and

226 Storage System (SeaBASS) (N = 293). In sediment-rich waters (where TSS is commonly > 50

227 [g/m3]), we applied all available , TSS and data (N = 112), acquired in European waters

228 (Knaeps et al. 2018) (N = 81) and in the Red River (N=31) in Vietnam (Pham et al. 2018).

229
230 Table 1. Summary of statistical attributes associated with in situ datasets for training, testing, or
231 validating (665) and TSS retrievals applied for the three water types. Note that the validation dataset
232 is employed for all three water types. See Section 3 for the definition of water types.
Mean Median Max Min N
Training & Testing Dataset (Type I & II)
3
TSS [g/m ] 14.6 1.94 113.1 0.039 607
Chla [mg/m3] 6.11 1.93 161 0.20 460
(665)* [1/m] 0.17 0.004 2.03 0.0006 607
(665) * [1/sr] 0.008 0.0071 0.03 0.001 151
Training & Testing Dataset (Type III)
TSS [g/m3] 150.0 106.8 1190 49.17 112
Chla [mg/m3] 10.2 8.1 24.7 1.3 35
(740) [1/m] 1.05 0.67 3.92 0.26 112
(740) [1/sr] 0.019 0.014 0.05 0.006 112
Validation Dataset
TSS [g/m3] 30.7 7.94 2626.8 0.102 2729
Chla [mg/m3] 19.9 6.52 490 0.02 1916
(665) [1/sr] 0.0103 0.006 0.084 0.001 2729
233 *
The band center refers to Sentinel-2A red channel.
234

235 For validating the TSS retrievals, a large independent database (N = 2729) of – TSS

236 measurements, whose frequency distributions are illustrated in histograms in Fig. 2, were

237 applied. These datasets were collected in various open ocean/coastal/inland regions over the

238 globe, such as Río de La Plata and French Guiana (South America), the Gulf of Mexico, the San-

239 Francisco-Bay-Delta Estuary, Chesapeake Bay, and the Plum Island Estuary (North America),

10
240 the south Atlantic Bight, the English Channel and French nearshore coastal waters, the Estonian

241 inland waters and Baltic Sea (Europe), coastal waters of South Korea, lakes in New Zealand, and

242 inland and bay waters of Vietnam (Asia) (Fig. 1). In addition, we used a subset of data available

243 in the NASA bio-Optical Marine Algorithm Dataset (NOMAD) (Werdell and Bailey 2005).

244

245
246 Fig. 2. Frequency distribution of validation dataset (N = 2729): TSS (a) and Rrs (665).
247
248 2.2 Image data

249 Optical remote sensing images over select coastal and inland waters from the MSI were

250 obtained from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) image portal

251 (https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov/) and processed to using the SeaWiFS Data Analysis System

252 (SeaDAS v7.5.3) with the 1609-2200 nm band combination for aerosol removal (Pahlevan et al.

253 2017b; Pahlevan et al. 2017c) to allow for the use of 865 nm for TSS retrievals in highly turbid

254 waters. To extend the performance analysis in extremely turbid waters, MSI images were also

255 processed using ACOLITE (v20190326.0), which is commonly used in such environments

256 (Vanhellemont and Ruddick 2014). Corrected images were processed to TSS fields for

257 assessment of realistic spatio-temporal patterns according to expert expectations.

258 3. Water-type classification

11
259 Following Novoa et al. (2017) and our objective to devise an algorithm applicable to a broad

260 spectrum of TSS conditions, we conducted a simple water-type classification using available in

261 situ spectra. We classified waterbodies into three basic types determined by the shape of .

262 The classification rules, designed experimentally following trials and errors, are summarized in

263 Table 2.

264 Table 2. Classification rules for water type determination


Order Rule Class
1 If (665) < ./ (560) & (665) > (492) ./ ( ) ∈ Type II
2 If (665) > (560) & (740) > 0.01 [1/sr] ./ ( ) ∈ Type III
3 If (560) < (492) ./ ( ) ∈ Type I
4 If #3 is false ./ ( ) ∈ Type II
265

266 These rules are applied in a specific order (e.g., input spectrum is first examined for its

267 assignment to Type II; if the condition is not met then the spectrum is assessed for Type III). The

268 classification scheme is based only upon three bands (blue, green, and red) to assure its utility for

269 heritage Landsat-class missions not equipped with red-edge bands. The three broad categories

270 include: Blue-green waters (Type I); falling into this category commonly exhibit very low

271 magnitudes within the red region, i.e., ./ (560) < ./ (492). These are normally optically

272 mixed waters with no single dominant water constituent. In clearer waters, is characterized

273 with peaks in the blue region whereas in more turbid waters a peak in the blue-green region

274 commonly exists (Fig. 3). Green waters (Type II); The characteristic peak in for these water

275 types is within the green region due to the elevated total absorptions in the blue and red portions

276 of the spectrum (Fig. 3). In these water types, the presence of CDOM further increases

277 absorption within the blue region lowering upwelling radiance compared to that in the red, i.e.,

278 ./ (665) > ./ (492). Brown water (Type III); The primary peak in is shifted to the red

279 region i.e., ./ (665) > ./ (λ). Here, the magnitude of in the red region is almost always

12
280 greater than those in the blue and green regions. This enhanced response is mainly because of the

281 increased backscattering in presence of sediments or non-algal particles, as well as the

282 dampening effects of CDOM at lower wavelengths (Schalles 2006). These spectral features are

283 expected in river runoffs, estuaries, and bays with significant sediment loads (Doxaran et al.

284 2003; Gernez et al. 2014) (Fig. 3). Further analysis of spectra suggested the need for an

285 additional criterion to enhance discrimination of water types II and III.

286

13
287
288 Fig. 3. A block diagram showing the sequence of our hybrid retrieval strategy (i.e., SOLID). The input
289 spectrum is first assigned to a water type followed by applying retrieval algorithms, i.e., the Quasi
290 Analytical Algorithm (QAA), the Mixture Density Network (MDN), and a NIR-based Inversion
291 Approach (NIR-IA). The TSS is then estimated from using empirical relationships. is normalized
292 by the peak value.
293
294 The misclassification arises from enhanced backscatter in the vicinity of 740-nm channel in

295 hypereutrophic waters (Gitelson et al. 2008). Hence, another condition, i.e., (740) >

296 0.01 [1/sr], was added to avert this misclassification. Given our paired and TSS dataset, TSS

14
297 > 65 [g/m3] commonly falls in Type III category.

298
299 4. Methodology

300 To estimate TSS from , the methodology followed in this study is explained below in two

301 major steps: (a) deriving from , and (b) estimating TSS from . The schematic

302 diagram for the three steps is shown in Fig. 3. Recognizing that commonly used IOP retrieval

303 algorithms are designed to function in oceanic waters (Werdell et al. 2018), we devise new

304 approaches for retrievals in Type II and Type III waters.

305 4.1 89: inversion

306 The in situ measured data available in this study can be expressed as the subsurface

307 remote sensing reflectance (; ) by accounting for air-water transmittance as below (Lee et al.

308 2002):

<=>
309 ; = (1)
?.@ABC.D<=>
310
311 This quantity is analytically related to the ratio of total backscattering ( ) to the sum of and

312 total absorption (a) (Gordon et al. 1988; Lee et al. 2002). Using the constant model parameters

313 (EC = 0.0949 and EA = 0.0794), the relationship can be expressed as follows:

(I) (I) A
314 ; ( ) ≈ EC GJ(I)B
H
(I)
K + EA GJ(I)B
H
(I)
K (2)
H H
315
316 where and can be further decomposed into:
317
318 ( )= M( ) + !( ) + '()* ( )+ "# ( ) (3)
319 ( )= M( ) + ( ) (4)
320
321 In above equations, M is the pure water absorption (Pope and Fry 1997), ! stands for

322 phytoplankton absorption, and "# represents absorption due to non-algal particles. Similarly,

15
323 includes M, the pure water backscattering, which is half of the pure water scattering ( /2)

324 (Smith and Baker 1978), and is the particulate backscattering due to algal and non-algal

325 constituents. These fundamentals will be referenced when deriving for Type III waters in

326 Section 4.1.2.

327 4.1.1 Machine learning approach: Mixture density network

328 In the past, artificial neural networks have been relied upon for component IOP inversions in

329 optically complex waters (D'Alimonte et al. 2012; Ioannou et al. 2011). Here, for Type II waters,

330 using the synthetic data described in Section 2.1, we train a machine learning model termed the

331 Mixture Density Network (MDN) for retrievals (Section 3 and Table 1). MDNs are a class of

332 neural networks for modeling a mixture of Gaussian functions (Bishop 1994). Instead of directly

333 outputting the target variable (e.g., ), this network generates a set of three variables per

334 Gaussian (mean, standard deviation, and mixing coefficients), where the number of Gaussians is

335 a tuning parameter. The Gaussians are then combined to form the final output estimation, via

336 either a probabilistic combination, or the maximum likelihood. MDNs are intended to model a Y

337 to X mapping; that is, in contrast to many standard machine learning models, whose main intent

338 is to find a function mapping X to Y. The primary difference between the two is that in the latter

339 case, there may be many X values for any particular Y value (e.g. a sine wave). In the former

340 case, modeled by an MDN, the situation is reversed: there may be many Y values for any

341 particular X value (e.g., an arcsine wave). The implemented MDN model learns the full

342 covariance matrix between spectral bands, avoiding ambiguities in retrievals (Sydor et al.

343 2004; Yang et al. 2011). To state this another way, a given value for an arbitrary channel

344 may be consistent with multiple different possible values; without more spectral information,

345 the probability of all of these values are potentially equal. A standard machine learning model

16
346 may, in the worst case, simply take the average of all these disparate values. The MDN,

347 however, learns to associate the spectrum with multiple parameters; thus, enabling a choice

348 of a spectrum, which is more likely, conditional upon all spectral bands. A schematic

349 diagram of the model is shown in Fig. 4.

350 Input to the model consists solely of the spectra, which are normalized based on median

351 centering and interquartile scaling. The learned output variables are subject to the same scaling

352 method, but also subsequently scaled to a [0.1, 1] range. This normalization method is robust to

353 outliers which may be present in the data, while also bringing network outputs into a range,

354 which is amenable to activation functions, such as rectified linear units (ReLU); thus, helping to

355 avoid the dying ReLU problem (Agarap 2018). The output of the model consists of spectra.

356

357

358 Fig. 4. Block diagram of the MDN network used for the retrieval of particulate backscattering ( ) from
359 satellite-derived for Type II waters.
360

361 There are a number of hyperparameters to tune, including the number of Gaussian distributions

362 which are modeled, the Gaussian mixing coefficients, as well as all standard neural network

363 hyperparameters. These choices appear to be fairly robust to changes within the current

364 implementation, especially with regard to the MDN-specific options. The current default model

17
365 uses a five-layer neural network with 25 neurons per layer, which is trained to output the

366 parameters of five Gaussians. From this mixture model, the overall estimate is selected via the

367 Gaussian with the maximum prior likelihood. The described model is trained a number of times

368 with random initializations of the underlying neural network, in order to ensure a stable final

369 output of the estimates. The median estimate is taken as the final result of these trials, with

370 convergence occurring within some small margin of error after approximately ten trials. Note

371 that none of these values are required at test time – they are used as output variables, and so are

372 produced by the model. The only input variables required are the values at five different

373 bands (443, 492, 560, 665, 705nm).

374
375 4.1.2 NIR-based Inversion Approach (NIR-IA)

376 For Type III waters, due to the absence of available in situ ( > 700 nm) driven by

377 saturation effects associated with backscattering sensors (Doxaran et al. 2016), we adopt a

378 different strategy. Applying the component models to Eqs.1-4, a modeled spectrum for a

379 NIR band of MSI can be constructed as

M (740) + (740)
380 ./ (740) = (N/O) (5)
M (740) + "# (740) + M (740) + (740)

381 Here, M (740) = 2.72 [1/m] (Pope and Fry 1997) and M (740) = 0.00025 [1/m] (Smith and

382 Baker 1978) are the pure water absorption and backscattering coefficients, and the N/O factor is

383 assumed constant, i.e., 0.105 (Morel and Prieur 1977), although variability in N/O does exist in

384 coastal and inland waters (Loisel and Morel 2001; Morel et al. 1995). According to the literature

385 (Babin and Stramski 2004; Doxaran et al. 2009b; Estapa et al. 2012), we adopted ∗
"# (740) =

386 0.011 [mA ⁄g], which gives rise to "# (740) = 1.65 [1/m] given the mean TSS value of 150

387 [g/m3] for our dataset (Table 1). Under these assumptions, (740) can be obtained by re-

18
388 arranging the above equation. The discussion on the uncertainties introduced via this assumption

389 is provided in Section 6.1. The band centers of the relative spectral response (RSR) functions

390 used for retrievals for all the satellite missions considered here are summarized in Table 3.

391 For Landsat-class missions, where a 740-nm channel is absent, we develop a very similar

392 approach applicable to the 865-nm channel. A power-law model fitted to the global statistics

393 corresponding to an average "# spectrum (see Table 5 in Doxaran et al. (2009b)) was

394 employed to extrapolate ∗


"# (740) to 865 nm channel. This extrapolation resulted in

395 "# (865) = 0.55. Together with M (865) = 4.6 [1/m] and M (740) = 0.00014 [1/m], Eq. 5

396 was solved for (865).

397

398 Table. 3 Band centers (nm) of RSR functions of satellite mission considered in this study
MSI VIIRS MODIS OLCI OLI
Type I 665 672 667 665 655
Type II 665 672 667 665 655
Type III 740 748 748 754 865
399
400
401 4.2 TSS retrieval

402 With the knowledge of , we construct an empirical model to obtain TSS estimates

403 applicable to both Type I and II waters, and one model for Type III. We found a strong power-

404 law correlation (R2 = 0.97) between (665) and TSS in both Type I and II waters from Lake

405 Erie (N = 150; with 0.13 < TSS < 43.1 [g/m3] and 0.2 < Chla < 57 [mg/m3]). Fig. 5a illustrates

406 this strong correlation on a log-log plot. The regression equation is as follows:

407 TUU = 53.736 × (665)?.W@@X (6)

408 To affirm this relationship for a wider dynamic range, additional paired (665) and TSS data

409 from highly productive waters of Lake Taihu (N = 164, Shi et al., 2018), the Arctic region (N =

19
410 125, (Reynolds et al. 2016)), and U.S. coastal waters (Casey 2020; Wei et al. 2016) were applied.

411 The data overlaid onto Fig. 5a further indicate that the relationship, to a large extent, holds (R2 =

412 0.82) in intense algal bloom conditions (Type II).

413
414 Fig. 5. (a) A power-law function (R2 = 0.97) for TSS - (665) in Type I (blue-green) and II (green)
415 waters (Type II) (n=607). (b) Scatterplot corresponding to in situ TSS and bbp(740) datasets (N = 112)
416 collected in sediment-dominated waters (Type III). Note that the fitted lines are displayed in log-log
417 scale.
418
419
420 In Type III waters, TSS was estimated via (740), which is derived directly from in situ

421 measured (740) (Section 4.1.2.; Eq. 5) using SEASWIR data (N = 78) (Knaeps et al. 2018)

422 in sediment-rich waters (i.e., Scheldt River, Gironde River, Rio de La Plata). Fig. 6b shows the

423 (log-log) scatterplot for the derived TSS - (740) relationship demonstrating a fairly strong

424 relationship, i.e., R2 = 0.83, expressed as follows:

425 TUU = G207.57 × (740)K Y 46.78 (7)

426 This least square fit suggests the utility of this relationship for a wide range of TSS and

427 (740) from 65 ~ 1300 [g/m3] and from 0.3 to 5.0 [1/m], respectively. In order to further

428 corroborate this relationship, another dataset (N = 34) from highly turbid waters (13.6 < TSS <

429 178.3 [g/m3]) of the Red River, Vietnam, are overlaid onto the scatterplot (Fig. 5b). Adding these

20
430 data left R2 unchanged, indicating robustness of the model to different hydro-geomorphological

431 conditions. Note that (740) was similarly derived from (740) for this dataset.

432 Analogously, we developed a relationship for TSS retrievals from (865) for OLI (Section

433 4.1.2; Fig. A.1)

434 TUU = G224.43 × (865)K Y 12.575 (8)

435 It should be further noted that due to the absence of a NIR channel in the 740-nm region among

436 OLI suite of measurements, the corresponding conditional rule for Type III waters (Table 2)

437 cannot be evaluated; hence, elevated uncertainties are expected.

438 In summary, to perform TSS retrievals, SOLID selects inversion models according to a

439 select water type. For Type I and II waters, where QAA and MDN are utilized, SOLID applies

440 Eq. 6 for which TSS is expected to be within the 0.1 - 65 [g/m3] range. In extremely turbid

441 waters (Type III), SOLID uses the NIR-based Inversion Approach (NIR-IA) followed by Eq. 7

442 or Eq. 8 for TSS estimations. This hybrid approach has been implemented in Python to produce

443 TSS products over a very broad range of TSS, i.e., 0.1 to 2626 [g/m3], in coastal and inland

444 waters (Section 5.3).

445 4.3 Performance metrics

446 In this study, we examine both linear and log-transformed metrics for evaluations of

447 estimated (E) quantities ( or TSS) against those measured (M) in situ. The evaluation of all

448 TSS algorithms is carried out using an in situ validation set (Z > 2700) independent of the

449 training set. The performance metrics are as follows

C⁄A
∑h
dia(_)`ab (cd )e_)`ab (fd ))
g
450 [U\ = ] j
k (9)

451 [lm\ = 100 × median [|Er Y Mr |⁄Mr ] for i = 1, …, N (10)

21
452 tu v = 10w where { = |∑jr•C}~•EC? (\r ) Y ~•EC? ([r )€⁄Z‚ (11)

453 [l\ = 10ƒ where „ = [∑jr•C|~•EC? (\r ) Y ~•EC? ([r )|⁄Z ] (12)

454 where RMSE is the root mean squared logarithmic error, MAPE is the median absolute

455 percentage error, Bias represents log-transformed residuals, and MAE stands for the mean

456 absolute error computed in log-space. The metrics computed in log-transformed space are

457 believed to provide a better assessment of the algorithms owing to the log-normal distribution of

458 TSS data (Fig. 2). The interpretation of Bias and MAE are as follows: Bias of 1.5 or 0.8 implies

459 that TSS estimations are 50% and 20% overestimated or underestimated, respectively. Similarly,

460 MAE of 1.2 suggests 20% overall error; however, MAE takes on values equal to or greater than

461 unity and is a very robust metric to gauge the overall performance of an algorithm. In addition to

462 the above metrics, we will also include slope associated with the linear regression fits to facilitate

463 comparisons with previous publications.

464 5. Results

465 The results are presented in four subsections. First, an assessment of inversion is

466 presented. This is followed by a full evaluation of the SOLID model and comparing it against

467 five existing algorithms. TSS maps generated from 13 MSI images are then qualitatively

468 examined. Lastly, the performance assessment is extended to OLCI, MODIS, VIIRS, and OLI to

469 demonstrate the utility of SOLID for multimission production of TSS products.

470 5.1 89: retrievals

471 To choose an appropriate (665) retrieval method, we compared the performances of our

472 inversion techniques with those of widely used state-of-the-art IOP algorithms, namely QAA

473 (Lee et al. 2002) and the GIOP (Werdell et al. 2013), with its default configuration (GIOP-DC).

474 For Type I waters, given a small validation sample size (N = 35), we found that QAA provides

22
475 better (665) retrievals than GIOP (Table 4). Our statistical attributes (Table 4), however,

476 confirm that both QAA and MDN are proper candidates with QAA showing better performance

477 according to MAPE and slope and MDN providing superior estimates given MAE and RMSE.

478 Consequently, there was no strong evidence to choose one over the other, likely owing to the

479 lack of representative validation data. We, therefore, decided to choose the better approach via

480 appraising TSS retrievals (Section 5.2). Our analysis suggested that QAA provides more accurate

481 retrievals of TSS (N = 436) and, as a result, better (665) in Type I waters (Table 4).

482 The performance of MDN for Type II waters was also benchmarked against those of

483 QAA and GIOP (Fig. 6 & Table 4) using in situ (665) ranging from 0.05 to 0.5 [1/m] (N =

484 211; mean of 0.069, median of 0.041, and standard deviation of 0.072). The GIOP and QAA

485 both approximate (665) with relatively large biases and RMSEs larger than that of MDN

486 (e.g., QAA returns overestimated quantities). Overall, the MDN produces better results than

487 these two state-of-the-art algorithms, albeit GIOP is a competitive algorithm in such eutrophic

488 waters (Figs. 3 and 5). The fairly low Bias and RMSE (i.e., 0.21) together with a slope close to

489 unity are evidence for its strong performance for a wide range of (665) in Type II waters.

490 Note that MDN produces fairly robust across the rest of the visible bands in Type II waters.

491 The performance assessment associated with the four visible MSI bands is summarized in Table

492 A.1 (Appendix A). Due to their intended design targeting robust retrievals in clear ocean waters

493 (Mitchell et al. 2016; Wang et al. 2009; Zheng et al. 2014), QAA and GIOP are expected to have

494 limited use in Type III waters (Section 1). Hence, we adopted our NIR-IA, developed using

495 published in situ data (Knaeps et al. 2018), as the optimal approach for estimating (740).

496

23
497 Table 4. The performance of GIOP, QAA, and MDN as compared to in situ (665). The NIR-IA
498 retrievals were not assessed due to absence of in situ (740). Global statistics are associated with all
499 Type I and Type II data. Best statistical attributes in each category are boldfaced.
500
Model MAPE [%] MAE RMSE Slope Bias* N
Global
GIOP 33.2 1.58 0.26 0.98 0.74
QAA 57.7 1.74 0.29 1.04 1.44 246
MDN 32.4 1.47 0.22 0.93 1.07
Type I
GIOP 39.37 1.97 0.38 1.03 0.52
QAA 21.58 1.57 0.29 1.02 0.85 35
MDN 31.63 1.49 0.24 0.75 0.85
Type II
GIOP 28.94 1.52 0.24 0.85 0.78
QAA 62.70 1.76 0.29 0.90 1.58 211
MDN 33.15 1.47 0.21 0.85 1.11
501 *
Bias = 1 is considered ideal (zero-bias) – see Eq. 11.
502
503
504

505
506
507 Fig. 6. Comparison of the modeled (y axis) and in situ measured (665) from GIOP, QAA, and MDN
508 for Type II waters (N=211); see Table 4 for accompanying statistics.
509
510
511 5.2 TSS validation

512 Here, the performance of the state-of-the-art TSS models (Miller and McKee 2004; Nechad

513 et al. 2010; Novoa et al. 2017; Ondrusek et al. 2012; Petus et al. 2010) is compared against that

514 of SOLID (see Table A.2 for expressions). Fig. 7 shows the performances of these models

515 through an independent in situ dataset (N = 2729; Table 1). The Miller model (Fig. 7a) shows a

24
516 fair performance in Type II waters, while it performs poorly in Type III waters and produces

517 negative TSS values in Type I waters. Using (665), the Nechad model (Fig. 7b) performs

518 well in Type II waters, contrasted with its poor performance in Type I and III waters. The Petus

519 model retrieves TSS values better than the Nechad model for Type I waters and exhibits

520 slightly poorer performance in Type II waters (Fig. 7c). From Fig. 7a, b, c, it is evident that

521 (665) tends to saturate for TSS > 50 [g/m3] (Doxaran et al. 2014; Feng et al. 2014; Han et

522 al. 2016; Shi and Wang 2009). The Ondrusek model (Fig. 7d) surmounts the saturation effect

523 (non-linearity) via a 3rd order polynomial fit, with (640) as the independent variable. Yet,

524 the TSS estimates by this model are largely overestimated for all the three types (Fig. 7d).

525 Note, however, that, in this study, (665) was supplied to this model. The Novoa model

526 clearly shows robust retrievals (Fig.7e) across all water types compared to the other existing

527 models. That said, according to the global statistics provided in Table 5, SOLID outperforms

528 all the state-of-the-art models by a large margin (Table 5; Fig. 7f). The improvements made

529 possible by SOLID compared to second and third best models, i.e., Novoa and Nechad, are 10-

530 20% in MAPE, 6-30% in MAE, 10-43% in RMSE, and 15% in Bias and slope. The one-to-one

531 agreement with significantly small errors across this wide dynamic range (0.10 < TSS< 2626.8

532 g/m3) suggests that SOLID has the potential for producing reasonably accurate/precise TSS

533 products at global scales in coastal and inland waters.

534

25
535
536 Fig. 7. Performance evaluation of multiple TSS retrieval methods shown alongside our proposed model
537 (SOLID) using in situ data (N =2729) for the models. The benchmark algorithms are (Miller and McKee
538 2004)(a), (Nechad et al. 2010)(b), (Petus et al. 2010)(c), (Ondrusek et al. 2012)(d), and (Novoa et al.
539 2017)(e).
540
541

542 The water-type-specific performance statistics are elaborated upon in Table 5. It can be inferred

543 that, in blue-green waters, SOLID significantly outperforms all the state-of-the-art algorithms,

544 suggesting its viability for moderately turbid coastal waters. For Type II waters, the performance

545 of SOLID closely resembles those of Nechad and Novoa. The main difference stems from near-

546 zero bias and near-unity slope that renders SOLID superior. Further, SOLID exhibits a notably

547 better performance than the rest of the models in Type III waters. The second-best model is the

548 Novoa model, which exhibits comparable MAPE to that of SOLID, but performs less well when

549 other metrics are examined. It should be noted that the performances of three other models (Han

550 et al. 2016; Siswanto et al. 2011; Zhang et al. 2010) were also examined. Of these, the models by

26
551 Siswanto et al. (2011) and Zhang et al. (2010) performed poorly for the full range of TSS. On

552 the other hand, the model of Han et al. (2016) performed fairly well in Type II waters but

553 exhibited saturations in Type III waters.

554
555 Table. 5. Statistical analysis of TSS retrievals from existing algorithms and our proposed approach
556 (SOLID) using a comprehensive in situ dataset for different types of water. Note that negative retrievals
557 by the Miller model were excluded from calculations. The statistical characteristics for SOLID are
558 boldfaced. The negative retrievals of the Miller model in Type I and II waters were removed from
559 statistical computations; thus, lower number are reported here.
560
TSS Model MAPE [%] MAE RMSE Slope Bias* N
Global
SOLID 48.94 1.81 0.32 0.97 1.09 2729
Miller 58.82 2.56 0.53 1.05 0.50 2152
Nechad 59.74 2.31 0.46 0.53 1.26
Petus 57.71 2.17 0.41 0.72 0.70
2729
Ondrusek 68.38 2.28 0.46 0.90 1.60
Novoa 52.73 1.92 0.35 0.84 1.27
Type I
SOLID 52.86 1.76 0.31 0.93 1.14 430
Miller 49.37 2.80 0.60 1.49 0.49 44
Nechad 544.92 5.23 0.77 0.32 5.12
Petus 110.33 2.20 0.37 0.52 1.73
430
Ondrusek 233.15 3.36 0.58 0.89 3.21
Novoa 95.66 2.29 0.42 0.98 1.96
Type II
SOLID 50.15 1.86 0.33 0.98 1.09 2122
Miller 57.10 2.43 0.51 1.24 0.54 1931
Nechad 50.48 1.87 0.33 0.64 1.08
Petus 50.99 2.05 0.38 0.84 0.64
2122
Ondrusek 55.95 2.08 0.42 0.95 1.38
Novoa 50.08 1.87 0.34 0.83 1.22
Type III
SOLID 31.41 1.48 0.22 0.86 1.02
Miller 73.94 4.43 0.73 0.40 0.23
Nechad 71.44 4.09 0.70 0.37 0.24
177
Petus 73.37 4.29 0.71 0.53 0.23
Ondrusek 73.74 2.64 0.54 1.37 1.71
Novoa 33.21 1.72 0.34 1.17 0.73
561 *
Bias = 1 is considered ideal (zero-bias) – see Eq. 11.
562

563

564

27
565 5.3 Applications to Sentinel-2 Imagery

566 For demonstration purposes, several satellite images with a wide range of optical regimes

567 were processed. The goal is to ensure that the model is capable of producing reasonable spatial

568 distribution maps according to expert expectations; therefore, the absolute retrievals are not

569 examined due to the absence of reliable in situ matchups. Multiple cloud-free images over the

570 Chesapeake Bay (MD, USA), San-Francisco-Bay Delta Estuary (CA, USA), Lake Okeechobee

571 (FL, USA), and Lake Taihu (China) were selected to assess spatial distributions of TSS. Fig. 8

572 demonstrates ACOLITE-processed MSI-derived TSS products (29th Aug 2018, 27th December

573 2018, 25th February 2019, and 6th April 2019) obtained from SOLID, the Ondrusek model

574 (Ondrusek et al. 2012), and the Nechad model (Nechad et al. 2010) in the upper Chesapeake Bay

575 area. This region is recognized for its high spatio-temporal variability in sediment loads due to

576 tidal forcing and freshwater inputs from different watersheds (Fugate et al. 2007; Kemp et al.

577 2005; Ondrusek et al. 2012). High sediment loads along with bio-optical variability in CDOM

578 and Chla pose challenges in TSS retrievals in this region (Aurin and Dierssen 2012; Werdell et

579 al. 2010). The TSS variability obtained from the SOLID model over different seasons was

580 closely matched with the regional maps produced by the Ondrusek model, specifically designed

581 for the Chesapeake Bay. Similar variabilities are not captured in the products created via the

582 Nechad model, which is expected to fail to retrieve high TSS values in the upper Chesapeake

583 Bay area (Fig. 7b). Although there are discrepancies in the absolute values, the relative spatial

584 distributions of the two products, in particular, in the northern sections of the bay resemble that

585 of the SOLID model, which is expected to produce more accurate concentrations (Fig. 7 and

586 Table 4), i.e., the Ondrusek model tends to overestimate TSS and Nechad model is saturated

587 (Fig. 7b & d). Additionally, it is worth noting that the SOLID model produces smooth transitions

28
588 between the three water types (regions) and no artifacts are introduced as a result of the water-

589 type classification. Fig. A.2 illustrates water-type maps identified from MSI-derived products

590 (Table 2).

591 To analyze the spatial and temporal TSS variations at finer scales, SOLID was also applied to

592 three SeaDAS-processed MSI-A images over the San Pablo Bay (Northern San-Francisco-Bay-

593 Delta Estuary, CA) (Fig. 9). The patterns of TSS over the San Pablo Bay are often affected by

594 tides, river discharges, wind, and dredging activities, thereby providing a suitable testbed (Hestir

595 et al. 2013) to evaluate our new retrieval method. Fig. 9a shows an image captured on August

596 18th 2017 during high tide (GMT 19:03:26). At this time, suspended sediments were all mixed in

597 offshore areas and deposited near the coastline. In contrast, large gradients in sediment

598 concentrations caused by high discharge from the Petaluma River and the Sonoma creek are

599 observed during spring (Fig. 9b March 26th 2018). Finally, another MSI-A image collected on

600 July 24th 2018 two hours before high tide (GMT 19:04:56) showed lower concentrations within

601 the Bay (Fig. 9c), in line with what is expected during flood tide. Prior to high tides, seawater

602 approaches the coast and high sediments are observed to the north. This analysis indicates that

603 the SOLID model provides realistic TSS distribution and is capable of capturing the intra-annual

604 variability in sediment load.

29
605
606 Fig. 8. ACOLITE-processed MSI-A images show the spatial distribution of TSS over the Chesapeake
607 Bay in 2018 (29th August and 27th December) and 2019 (25th February and 6th April). (Top row) TSS
608 concentration retrieved from the SOLID model, (Middle row) TSS concentration retrieved from the
609 regional model (Ondrusek et al. 2012), (Bottom row) TSS concentration retrieved from the regional
610 model (Nechad et al. 2010). See Fig. A.2 for maps of water-types.
611
612

30
613
614 Fig. 9. SeaDAS processed Sentinel-2A MSI images show the spatio-temporal patterns of TSS (derived
615 from SOLID) over the San Pablo Bay (CA). a) Products during summer at high tide on August 18th 2017
616 (GMT 19:03:26), (b) Image captured during winter season at ebb tide on March 26th 2018 (GMT
617 19:04:52), and (c) Image obtained during flood tide (two hours before reaching the high tide zone) on July
618 24th 2018 (GMT 19:04:56).
619

620
621 Fig. 10. Spatio-temporal distribution of SOLID retrieved TSS concentrations over highly productive lakes
622 such as: (top row) Lake Okeechobee (USA) and (bottom row) Lake Taihu (China) using SeaDAS
623 processed Sentinel-2A/2B MSI images. (Top row) Transitional variations of TSS are captured during the
624 spring season of 2019 (29th January (a), 22nd March(b) and 21st April (c)). (Bottom row) Spatial
625 dynamics of TSS over Lake Taihu were captured in three different images during 2018 (11th October (d)
626 and 13th February (e), and 23rd February (f)). The images were processed using SeaDAS through a SWIR
627 based atmospheric correction procedure (Pahlevan et al., 2017d).
628

31
629 TSS retrievals in eutrophic lakes like Lake Okeechobee and Lake Taihu are further

630 qualitatively assessed. The images were atmospherically corrected using SeaDAS. Due to the

631 presence of high sediment loads, aerosol contributions were compensated for using two SWIR

632 bands (Pahlevan et al. 2017b). The disadvantage of this method is noisy retrievals in areas with

633 lower TSS. Fig. 10 (top row) shows our TSS products derived from MSI-A images over

634 productive waters of Lake Okeechobee. With a mean depth of 3 m together with high-wind

635 events particle resuspension events are quite common (Jin and Ji 2004). Higher concentrations in

636 the late January map are attributed to prior rain events and commonly high winds in wintertime.

637 The concentrations are found to be lower in March and April. The spatial distribution of TSS

638 across Lake Taihu is found to be very consistent with previous regional analyses (Zhang et al.,

639 2014), with higher loads in the central and southern sections of the basin. Evidently, the SOLID

640 model is able to produce spatially congruent TSS maps from MSI images, enabling sound spatio-

641 temporal analyses.

642 5.4 Extension to other satellite missions

643 The performance of SOLID for other satellite missions, such as MODIS, VIIRS, OLCI, and

644 OLI is shown in scatterplots. The corresponding global and water-type specific statistics are

645 provided in Table 6. In general, the statistical metrics are fairly consistent with those reported for

646 MSI (Table 5), indicating potentially interconsistent TSS products derived from various satellite

647 missions made possible through SOLID. The primary difference is attributed to the Bias, which

648 was lower for MSI than the rest of the missions. The largest errors are attributed to OLI-derived

649 TSS products, owing to the absence of spectral information within the 700-800 nm region for

650 approximating spectral (Section 4.1.1). In essence, the overall performance of the MDN

32
651 model in estimating at each individual band is better when more relevant spectral features

652 are

653
654 Fig. 11. Scatterplots illustrating the SOLID performance for four different satellite missions. The spectral
655 bands incorporated for retrievals are listed in Table 3.
656
657 Table. 6. Statistical analysis of TSS retrievals of SOLID using a comprehensive in situ dataset for
658 different satellite missions.
659
MAPE [%] MAE RMSE Slope Bias* N
MODIS 47.33 1.82 0.33 0.96 1.18
VIIRS 49.71 1.84 0.34 0.96 1.24 2729
OLCI 46.58 1.82 0.33 0.96 1.17
OLI 52.30 1.87 0.35 0.97 1.34 2633
Type I
MODIS 48.69 1.76 0.30 0.95 1.07
VIIRS 52.33 1.77 0.31 0.94 1.08
430
OLCI 51.23 1.77 0.31 0.93 1.08
OLI 51.20 1.76 0.31 0.94 1.12
Type II
MODIS 48.46 1.86 0.34 0.88 1.23
VIIRS 51.58 1.90 0.35 0.90 1.30
2122
OLCI 47.17 1.86 0.35 0.89 1.21
OLI 54.14 1.91 0.36 0.88 1.42
Type III
MODIS 30.56 1.48 0.22 0.86 0.99 177
VIIRS 31.25 1.47 0.22 0.87 1.00

33
OLCI 28.05 1.47 0.22 0.87 0.97
OLI 25.05 1.39 0.19 0.98 0.85 81
660 *
Bias = 1 is considered ideal (zero-bias) – see Eq. 11.
661
662

663 supplied (Pahlevan 2020), i.e., more accurate is possible via MSI or MODIS than that

664 through OLI (analysis not shown here). A secondary factor that may contribute to the reduced

665 performance of the OLI model is that OLI’s red channel, in contrast to other missions, does not

666 fully capture Chla absorption peak at ~ 670 nm (Table 3). Further, note that spectra that

667 lacked spectral coverage up to 900 nm were excluded for the performance assessment of OLI-

668 like spectra in Type III waters, reducing the number of spectra by nearly one half.

669
670 6. Discussion

671 Following a full assessment of SOLID, it is critical to gauge its sensitivity to the choice of

672 ∗
"# in the (740) retrieval scheme and to the uncertainties in the atmospheric correction.

673 While the former can partly explain algorithm uncertainties in Type III waters, the latter will

674 shed light on uncertainties in TSS products derived from satellite observations. In this section,

675 we will further address the steps required for implementing SOLID as a standard, global TSS

676 algorithm in coastal and inland waters.

677 6.1 Non-algal particle absorption (…†‡: )

678 Using empirical relationships or empiricism in bio-optical modeling or water constituent

679 retrievals is common-practice in ocean color or aquatic remote sensing. For example, best-

680 practice algorithms (Lee et al. 2002; Maritorena et al. 2002; Nechad et al. 2010; Werdell et al.

681 2013) incorporate various assumptions on the spectral shape and variability of component

682 mass-specific IOPs leading to loss of performance in aquatic environments where empirical

34
683 relationships may no longer hold (Werdell et al. 2018). Making such assumptions is inevitable

684 due to limited knowledge of the optical properties of myriads of particles in the water column

685 for the design of global algorithms. Although it is recognized that ∗


"# (740) varies with type,

686 composition, and size distribution of non-algal particles (Babin and Stramski 2004; Doxaran et

687 al. 2009b), for simplicity, we chose a constant value for ∗


"# (740) = 0.011 [m2/g] (Section

688 4.1.2). However, by definition "# (740) (= ∗


"# (740) × TSS) also changes with

689 concentration of particles. To assess the sensitivity of retrieved TSS to variability in "# (740)

690 in Type III waters, we supplied a broad range of "# (740), i.e., from zero to 10 [1/m] @

691 increments of 0.5 [1/m], to the SOLID model. We then analyzed the errors in TSS retrievals

692 expressed as MAE (Eq. 12) using Type III – TSS pairs (N =177, Table 5). MAE (a unitless,

693 log-based error metric) is a preferred measure because of its straightforward interpretation.

694 From Fig. 12, it can be inferred that MAE reaches a minimum for 1.2 < "# (740) <

695 1. 6 [1/m], i.e., the total error in TSS varies from 20 to 60%. Further, MAE tends to increase

696 monotonically for "# (740) > 2 [1/m]. Note that very similar behavior was found when

697 assessing RMSE and MAPE. This assessment suggests that our specific choice of "# (740)

698 results in small errors in TSS estimations given our validation dataset. A dataset representing

699 extremely higher TSS (>> 150 [g/m3]) will likely carry larger uncertainties in TSS retrievals

700 when using SOLID. Hence, care must be taken when interpreting the model outcomes in highly

701 sediment-rich waters.

35
702
703 Fig.12. The estimated error (MAE) in TSS retrievals for Type III waters as a function of non-algal
704 particle absorption at 740 nm.
705
706 6.2 Atmospheric correction

707 Uncertainties in the atmospheric correction are a major source of errors in and the

708 downstream products. These uncertainties emanate from highly turbid/eutrophic conditions,

709 complex aerosols, land/cloud adjacency effects, cloud shadows, and thin clouds (Ngoc et al.

710 2019; Pahlevan et al. 2017a; Sterckx et al. 2011). Here, the sensitivity to uncertainties in the

711 atmospheric correction is analyzed using a Monte Carlo simulation (n=1000). This simulation

712 was carried out by adding random Gaussian noise to the most relevant channels and

713 assessing the impacts on downstream TSS products. The MSI’s (665) and (740)

714 corresponding to the three water types (Fig. 13; top row) are perturbed by δ =10%, which is

715 assumed to be a realistic expected uncertainty in these bands over coastal and inland waters

716 (Pahlevan et al. 2017b). For completeness and accounting for larger uncertainties, we also

717 introduce δ =50% to the relevant bands to address the model tolerance to such degrees of

718 uncertainties. The simulated perturbed are then supplied to SOLID for TSS retrievals (Fig.

719 13; bottom row). Note that, here, we assume that the shape of is valid and the water types are

720 correctly assigned. Fig. 13 illustrates the output histograms with the statistics included in Table

721 6. Our analysis suggests that the SOLID model produces TSS products with < 21% uncertainties

36
722 when uncertainties in the corresponding channels are assumed 10%. With δ =50%, the

723 uncertainties become too large (Table 7) rendering the derived products unreliable for most

724 purposes. Thus, it is critical to ensure high-quality products retrieved through the

725 atmospheric correction process. Further analyses may be required to assess the performance of

726 SOLID considering biases in the absolute radiometric measurements made by satellite sensors.

727
728 Fig.13. Random noise distributions (δ =10%) used to perturb MSI-derived (top panels) in the red and
729 NIR regions for the three water types. The output frequency distribution of TSS (lower panels) retrieved
730 from SOLID given the distributions.
731
732
733
734
735
736
737
738 Table. 7. Statistics associated with the sensitivity analysis of SOLID to uncertainties in MSI-derived
739 induced by the atmospheric correction. Here, µ and σ are the mean and the standard deviation of the
740 Gaussian distributions. σRD(%) is the standard deviation of the relative difference.
741

37
δ [%] [1/sr] Output (TSS) distribution
TSS [g/m3]
µ [g/m3] σ [g/m3] σRD (%)
µ = 0.00025
10 0.272 0.027 10.1
σ = 0.000025
Type I 665 nm 0.275
µ = 0.00025
50 0.263 0.134 51.0
σ = 0.00013
µ = 0.0165
10 15.77 3.16 21.1
σ = 0.0016
Type II 665 nm 15.04
µ = 0.0165
50 15.93 19.27 125.1
σ = 0.0082
µ = 0.0312
10 265.45 54.73 19.5
σ = 0.0032
Type III 740 nm 260.49
µ = 0.0312
50 266.43 1039.9 399.0
σ = 0.0156
742
743
744 6.3 Implications for long-term global monitoring of TSS

745 Owing to its comparably favorable performance across a wide range of particle loads, the

746 SOLID model has the potential for global retrievals of TSS from a suite of satellite missions

747 that make measurements in the red and NIR spectral regions. Our statistical analysis, however,

748 showed that although the SOLID model outperforms the state-of-the-art models, the overall

749 error, i.e., ~ 80% gauged via MAE, is yet to be reduced to permit rigorous scientific

750 investigations, where precise estimations of near-surface particle loads are sought. Such

751 magnitudes of error may be ascribed to the complex populations of particles represented by this

752 commonly assessed variable, i.e. ranges of particle sizes and shape and complex optical

753 interactions of the particles. For example, the pigment absorbances of different algal taxa and

754 the formation of flocculant clay-detrital aggregates in the oligohaline reaches of estuaries; these

755 aggregates, in turn, can support a microbial biofilm community of algae and bacteria – imagine

756 the challenges of modeling this phenomenon).

757 One way to improve SOLID is to use in situ data for training MDN to enhance retrievals of

758 . The lack of adequate training data was the main reason for training MDN with simulated

38
759 data, which may not offer the true representation of bio-optical conditions given limited

760 knowledge of specific IOPs. Alternatively, possible improvements in QAA and GIOP for

761 retrievals in Type I and Type II waters, respectively, may eliminate the necessity for a machine

762 learning model. In addition, uncertainties in the atmospheric correction further precludes

763 precise retrievals of TSS. The performance of SOLID and likely other methods is expected to

764 degrade for large uncertainties in products.

765 To enable production of interconsistent, multimission TSS retrievals at a global scale, one

766 needs to ensure minimal biases exist among top-of-atmosphere observations. Pahlevan et al.

767 (2019) showed that ~ 4% difference in MSI- and OLI-derived (665) translate to ~ 10%

768 difference in TSS products derived via the Nechad model. Prior to generating global TSS

769 products, a comprehensive assessment of image-derived TSS products derived from multiple

770 missions (e.g., MODIS, VIIRS, OLCI, MSI, and OLI) against existing in situ databases (e.g.,

771 the SeaWiFS Bio-optical Archive and Storage System (SeaBASS), United States Geological

772 Survey’s National Water Information System (NWIS)) is required. Given sufficient agreements

773 with in situ data, per-retrieval uncertainty should be computed and produced alongside TSS

774 values. This can be achieved through Monte Carlo simulations and the training of a model to

775 provide uncertainty estimates in a computationally inexpensive fashion.

776 7. Conclusion

777 The primary goal of this study was to introduce a hybrid scheme for TSS retrievals that would

778 advance the state-of-the-art for TSS retrievals in both inland and coastal waters. This strategy

779 referred to as SOLID applies water-type-specific algorithms to provide an estimation of TSS for

780 a given ( ) by retrieving in the red/NIR region as intermediate products. The water types

781 determined given ./ (400 nm < < 700 nm) constitute blue-green waters (Type I), green

39
782 waters (Type II), and sediment-laden brown waters (Type III). For inversion in Type II

783 waters, we apply a machine learning model that enhances estimates compared to widely used

784 semi-analytical methods (e.g., QAA and GIOP). Through an extensive validation exercise, we

785 show that SOLID outperforms the state-of-the-art algorithms across a wide range of TSS, i.e.,

786 0.02 ~ 2626.8 [g/m3], suggesting its potential utility for global mapping of TSS. The global

787 statistics, including MAPE (49 %), RMSE (0.32), MAE (1.81), and Bias (1.09), corroborate that

788 the SOLID model improves retrieval performances offered by five widely used TSS retrieval

789 methods. In particular, the performance of SOLID is superior to that of Nechad et al. (2010) and

790 Novoa et al. (2017) in both Type I and Type III waters by a noticeable margin. We show that the

791 model is anticipated to perform well for various missions, such as MSI, OLCI, MODIS, VIIRS,

792 and OLI. The primary confounding factor for mass production of TSS products is believed to be

793 the uncertainties in the atmospheric correction, i.e., we show that 10% uncertainties in

794 (600 nm < < 800 nm) result in ~ 20% uncertainties in TSS. Considering its fairly

795 consistent performance across multiple missions, this model can be utilized operationally for

796 generating products subject to an extensive satellite matchup assessment in coastal and inland

797 waters. Although the SOLID model was found in our analysis to perform better than the existing

798 algorithms, there still remains an ~ 80% error in global TSS retrievals. Contingent upon the

799 availability of high-fidelity in situ data, machine-learning approaches shall be explored to further

800 reduce such uncertainties.

801

802

803

804

40
805

806

807

808

809

810

811

812

813

814 Appendix A

815
816 Fig. A.1. Scatterplot corresponding to in situ TSS and bbp(865) datasets developed for OLI observations in
817 Type III waters. Note that the fitted lines are displayed in log-log scale.
818

819

820

821

41
2018-08-29 2018-12-27 2019-02-25 2019-04-06

Land Type-I Type-II Type-III


822
823 Fig. A.2. Chesapeake Bay water-type maps corresponding to MSI images shown in Fig. 8. As expected,
824 the upper bay area is commonly assigned to Type III and the mid and lower bay regions are classified as
825 Type II waters. Type I waters are not found in the bay for these four dates.
826

827

828

829

830

831

832

833

834

835

42
836 The performance of MDN against that of GIOP and QAA is further elaborated. Evidently,

837 MDN-based retrievals are consistently better than those determined by both GIOP and QAA;

838 hence, MDN may be regarded as an alternative to these heritage algorithms in turbid and/or

839 eutrophic ecosystems in coastal and inland waters with (665) ranging from 0.05 to 0.5 [1/m]

840 (see Section 5.1).

841 Table A1. The performance of GIOP, QAA, and MDN for retrievals across all MSI visible bands
842 for Type II waters. Best statistical descriptors in each category are boldfaced.
843
MAPE [%] MAE RMSE Slope Bias* N
443 nm
GIOP 42.55 1.81 0.33 0.76 0.67
211
QAA 50.72 1.74 0.30 0.80 1.36
MDN 36.51 1.57 0.26 0.76 1.08
490 nm
GIOP 41.18 1.74 0.30 0.78 0.70
211
QAA 50.01 1.71 0.29 0.83 1.40
MDN 36.34 1.53 0.24 0.80 1.10
560 nm
GIOP 36.01 1.61 0.26 0.82 0.74
211
QAA 58.74 1.72 0.28 0.86 1.50
MDN 37.37 1.53 0.23 0.81 1.20
665 nm
GIOP 28.94 1.52 0.24 0.85 0.78
211
QAA 62.70 1.76 0.29 0.90 1.58
MDN 33.15 1.47 0.21 0.84 1.11
844 *
Bias = 1 is considered ideal (zero-bias) – see Eq. 11.
845

846 Table A2. Expressions used in this study for the assessment of state-of-the-art TSS models
Model Relation Source
(1140.25 Rrs(668)) -1.91 (Miller and McKee 2004)
Miller-McKee

Nechad 1.74+(355.85 w(665))/(1-( w(665)/1728)) (Nechad et al. 2010)

Petus {12450Rrs(668)2} + 666.1{Rrs(668)} + 0.4 (Petus et al. 2010)

Ondrusek 3.8813nLw(665)3-13.822nLw(665)2+ 19.61nLw(665) (Ondrusek et al. 2012)


531.5 x w(665) (Type-I&II) (Novoa et al. 2017)
Novoa
{37150 x w(865)2} +. {1751 x w(865)}(Type-III)
847
848

43
849 Acknowledgement

850 We gratefully acknowledge the PIs, scientists and contributors to SeaBASS, including

851 Zhongping Lee, Steve Ackleson, Richard Reynolds (ICESCAPE), Colleen Mouw, and are also

852 very thankful to the NASA Ocean Biology Processing Group (OBPG), David Doxaran, and

853 Kevin Ruddick for distributing in situ datasets. Nima Pahlevan is funded under NASA ROSES

854 Awards #80NSSC18K0077, #80HQTR19C0015, and the USGS Landsat Science Team Award

855 #140G0118C0011. Emmanuel Boss was funded under ONR grant N000141612218. John

856 Schalles was funded under NOAA grant #NA11SEC4810001 and NSF grant # 1832178. Further,

857 we are grateful to the two anonymous reviewers for their fruitful comments and meticulous

858 reviews, which ultimately led to the enhanced quality of this manuscript.

859

860

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