WTW 354 Study Guide 2024
WTW 354 Study Guide 2024
WTW 354 Study Guide 2024
FINANCIAL ENGINEERING
STUDY GUIDE 2024 (Semester 1)
Contents
1 ORGANISATIONAL COMPONENT 1
1.1 CLASS ATTENDANCE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
1.2 DEPARTMENTAL INFORMATION . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
1.2.1 Admittance to the module . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
1.2.2 Test and exam arrangements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
1.2.3 Disciplinary cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
1.3 ORGANISATION OF THE MODULE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
1.3.1 Lecturer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
1.3.2 Assessment and Grading . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
1.4 Final Examination . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
1.4.1 About the Excel Exam . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
1.4.2 Semester Tests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
1.4.3 Class Tests . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2
1.4.4 Practical Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
1.4.5 Semester mark composition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
1.4.6 Examination Admission . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
1.4.7 Final mark composition . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
1.4.8 Exemption Procedures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
1.4.9 Supplementary Examination . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
1.4.10 Lecture Classes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
1.4.11 Tutorial Classes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
1.4.12 Textbooks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
1.4.13 Recommended Textbook: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
1.4.14 Calculators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
1.4.15 Learning Hours . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
1.5 GENERAL LEARNING OUTCOMES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
3 MODULE CONTENTS 6
3.1 STUDY THEME : MEAN - VARIANCE PORTFOLIO THEORY . . . . . 6
3.2 STUDY THEME : MARKET EQUILIBRIUM MODELS . . . . . . . . . . 8
3.3 STUDY THEME : MODELS OF ASSET RETURNS . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
3.4 STUDY THEME : UTILITY THEORY AND SOME GENERAL PRIN-
CIPLES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
3.5 STUDY THEME : MEASURES OF INVESTMENT RISK . . . . . . . . . 12
3.6 STUDY THEME : EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESIS . . . . . . . . . 12
3.7 STUDY THEME : Stochastic interest rate of return models . . . . . . . . 13
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1 ORGANISATIONAL COMPONENT
1.1 CLASS ATTENDANCE
Class attendance for this module is compulsory. The study guide is nothing else but a
GUIDE. Important issues such as specific learning outcomes will only be communicated
in class. All the exercises and problems that have to be mastered for the tutorial and
practical sessions will be given during the lectures. Students should take note of the
following: The order of the lectures will not necessarily be in the same order as set out in
the Module Contents section of this guide. It is the student’s responsibility to make sure
that she/he knows exactly what material has been covered in class.
Material for tests: Material for tests will be announced in class and will be published
on the web notice board of this module.
Unless otherwise indicated, class tests will include the material covered up to the
Friday directly preceding the test.
Absence from tests: The lecturer must be notified of absence from any test due to
illness within three days of the date of the test.
Satisfactory proof of the reason for absence must be supplied. In the case of a
medical certificate being presented, illness during the actual time of the test must
be clearly indicated. In such cases of satisfactory proof and only in such cases an
additional test has to be written at the end of the semester (Date to be confirmed).
No other extraordinary tests will be granted.
In the case of exams, the relevant faculty administration should be informed of
absence.
Enquiries concerning tests: All queries concerning the grading of a specific test must
be finalised within 3 (three) days after receipt of the graded test. After three days
it is assumed that all marks are final and correct and no further discussion will be
entered into.
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1.2.3 Disciplinary cases
The policy of the Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics is without excep-
tion to refer all cases where a suspicion of irregularity exists to the disciplinary committee
of the university.
Evaluation will take the form of regular class tests, quizzes, two Semester Tests and a
Final Examination ( Paper 1 Written & Paper 2 Lab). A Final Excel Exam will be
written in the Computer Laboratory.
Upon return of your class tests, practical test and semester tests, please keep them
safely as they are your only proof that you have indeed written the tests.
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1.4.4 Practical Test
A Practical Test will be done on computers in the Computer Laboratory whenever it
happens and feasible.
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2) Subject to other Faculty regulations, a student must obtain a Final Mark of at least
50% in order to pass an Supplementary Examination. The semester or year mark
is not taken into account and the Supplementary Mark is the final mark.
3) The highest Final Mark that may be awarded to a student in the Supplementary
Examination is 50%.
4) If you write a Sick Exam you will not be offered a Supplementary Exam.
• do all the exercises for the tutorial class beforehand and use the Tutorial Class to
sort out any problems.
1.4.12 Textbooks
Class notes will be provided on all topics. The prescribed textbook is the following
however it does not cover all the themes.
Supplementary Textbooks:
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1.4.14 Calculators
During the Semester Tests, class tests and the exam, only non-programmable pocket
calculators may be used.
1. 3. General
i. Announcements
The study guide does not necessarily contain all the information. Impor-
tant announcements may be made during lectures and will be posted on
the notice board.
ii. Calculators and / or Computers
• Only non-programmable calculators may be used. It will be announced
before each Test and Examination whether or not you are permitted
to use a calculator.
• Programming: Programs implementing numerical algorithms may be
written during the Practicals/Tests in Excel.
• There is a Practical Excel Exam done in labs for at least an hour.
iii. Announcements and ClickUP
All important information will appear on clickUP. It is your responsibility
to be aware of any announcements that are made on clickUP or during
lectures and tutorial (practical) classes, also when you are absent.
(i) Describe and discuss the assumptions of mean-variance portfolio theory and its prin-
cipal results.
(ii) Describe asset pricing models, discussing the principal results and assumptions and
limitations of such models.
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(iii) Describe and discuss the properties of single and multifactor models of asset returns.
(iv) Describe and discuss the application of utility theory to financial problems
(v) Discuss the general principles of risk neutral pricing
(vi) Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of different measures of investment risk.
(vii) Discuss the various forms of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis and discuss the evi-
dence for and against the hypothesis.
(viii) Demonstrate a knowledge and understanding of simple stochastic models.
3 MODULE CONTENTS
3.1 STUDY THEME : MEAN - VARIANCE PORTFOLIO THE-
ORY
When making an investment the initial outlay is known, but the amount to be returned
is uncertain. This uncertainty is treated by mean-variance analysis. The objective of
Theme 1 is to describe and discuss the assumptions of mean-variance portfolio theory.
Number of Lectures: 6
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1.1 Fundamental concepts
Asset and portfolio return.
Define and discuss random variables, expected values, variance and covariance.
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3.2 STUDY THEME : MARKET EQUILIBRIUM MODELS
The objective of this theme is to describe equilibrium models, such as the capital as-
set pricing model, discussing the principal results, assumptions and limitations of such
models.
Number of lectures: 3
(a) Describe the assumptions and the principal results of the Sharpe-Lintner-Moss
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
(b) Discuss the limitations of the basic CAPM and some of the attempts that have
been made to develop the theory to overcome these limitations.
(c) Perform calculations using the CAPM.
The objective of theme 3 is to describe and discuss the properties of single and
multi-factor models of asset returns and to show how it simplifies the covariance
structure.
Number of lectures: 4
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(c) Discuss the concepts of diversifiable and non-diversifiable risk.
(d) Discuss the assumptions, principal results and limitations of the Arbitrage
Pricing Theory model (APT).
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3.4 STUDY THEME : UTILITY THEORY AND SOME GEN-
ERAL PRINCIPLES
Number of lectures: 9
Source: Luenberger Chapter 9 and class notes.
Learning outcomes: After completion of this unit you should be able to
2. Explain the axioms underlying utility theory and the expected utility theorem.
• Non-satiation
• Risk-aversion
• Risk-neutral
• Risk-seeking
• declining or increasing absolute risk-aversion
5. State conditions for absolute dominance and for first and second order dominance.
• Describe the main features of Kahneman and Tversky’s prospect theory cri-
tique of expected utility theory.
• Explain what is meant by “framing”, “heuristics” and “bias” in the context
of financial markets and describe the following features of behaviour in such
markets:
(a) the herd instinct
(b) anchoring and adjustment
(c) self-serving bias
(d) loss aversion
(e) confirmation bias
(f) availability bias
(g) familiarity bias.
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• Describe the Bernartzi and Thaler solution to the equity premium puzzle.
8. Illustrate that the mean-variance approach used in the Markowitz portfolio problem
can be linked to the expected utility approach by using a quadratic utility function.
10. Discuss the portfolio choice problem and solve problems related to this.
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3.5 STUDY THEME : MEASURES OF INVESTMENT RISK
In Financial Economics, it is often assumed that the key factors influencing investment
decisions are ”risk” and ”return”. In practice, return is almost always measured as the
expected investment return. However, there are many possible ways to measure risk, of
which variance is just one, each of which corresponds to a different utility function.
Number of lectures: 3
Source: Source: Class notes and Transactions of the Faculty of Actuaries, Vol 39.
Learning outcomes: After completion of this unit you should be able to
• variance of return
• downside semi-variance of return
• shortfall probabilities
• Value at Risk (VaR)/Tail VaR
2. Describe how the risk measures listed in (a) above are related to the form of an
investor’s utility function.
3. Perform calculations using the risk measures listed above to compare investment
opportunities.
4. Explain how the distribution of returns and the thickness of tails will influence the
assessment of risk.
5. Describe how insurance companies help to reduce or remove risk.
6. Explain what is meant by the terms “ moral hazard” and “adverse selection”.
1. Discuss the three forms of the Efficient Markets Hypothesis and their consequences
for investment management.
2. Describe briefly the evidence for or against each form of the Efficient Markets Hy-
pothesis.
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3.7 STUDY THEME : Stochastic interest rate of return models
Number of lectures: 3
Source: Class notes and Transactions of the Faculty of Actuaries, Vol 39.
Learning outcomes: After completion of this unit you should be able to
– Describe the concept of a stochastic investment return model and the funda-
mental distinction between this and a deterministic model.
– Derive algebraically, for the model in which the annual rates of return are inde-
pendently and identically distributed and for other simple models, expressions
for the mean value and the variance of the accumulated amount of a single
premium.
– Derive algebraically, for the model in which the annual rates of return are
independently and identically distributed, recursive relationships which permit
the evaluation of the mean value and the variance of the accumulated amount
of an annual premium.
– Derive analytically, for the model in which each year the random variable (1+r)
has an independent log-normal distribution, the distribution functions for the
accumulated amount of a single premium and for the present value of a sum
due at a given specified future time.
– Apply the above results to the calculation of the probability that a simple
sequence of payments will accumulate to given amount at a specific future
time.
References of the study content: Institute and Faculty of Actuaries subject CM2 (2019).
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