Z5 1 82
Z5 1 82
Z5 1 82
GDP- monetary value of all final goods and services produced in domestic territory in 1 fin yr
Production method:
𝐺𝑉𝐴𝐵𝑎𝑠𝑖𝑐 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒𝑠 = 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝐺𝑟𝑜𝑠𝑠 𝑂𝑢𝑡𝑝𝑢𝑡 − 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝐼𝐺
Income method:
𝐺𝑉𝐴𝐵𝑎𝑠𝑖𝑐 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒𝑠 = 𝐶𝑂𝐸 + 𝑂𝑆 + 𝑀𝐼𝑆𝐸 + 𝑑𝑒𝑝𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑖𝑥𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 + (𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑛 𝑡𝑎𝑥 − 𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑠𝑖𝑑𝑦)
Expenditure method:
𝐺𝐷𝑃𝑀𝑃 = 𝐶 + 𝐼 + 𝐺 + 𝑁𝑋
𝐺𝐷𝑃𝑀𝑃 = 𝐶𝑂𝐸 + 𝑂𝑆 + 𝑀𝐼𝑆𝐸 + 𝑑𝑒𝑝 + (𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑛 𝑇𝑎𝑥 − 𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑠) + (𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑑 𝑡𝑎𝑥 − 𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑠)
𝐺𝐷𝑃𝑀𝑃 = 𝐺𝐷𝑃𝐹𝐶 + 𝑑𝑒𝑝 + (𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑛 𝑇𝑎𝑥 − 𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑠) + (𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑑 𝑡𝑎𝑥 − 𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑠)
𝐺𝐷𝑃𝑀𝑃 = 𝐺𝐷𝑃𝐵𝑎𝑠𝑖𝑐 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒𝑠 + (𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑑 𝑡𝑎𝑥 − 𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑠)
Prodn tax: related to prodn but indep. of volm. e.g. land revenue, stamp duty
Product subsidy: dep on per unit actual value of output e.g. GST
NER P of burger in US
REER = = x NER
PPP x ER P of burger in India
RER>1 India exports
RER=1 No EX/ IM
RER<1 India imports
REER (R Effective ER)= weighted average (wrt trade value) of RERs of trade partners
NEER
REER and NEER trends:
a. Dec ’17- Oct ’18: ₹ depreciates
b. Oct ’18- Jan ’19: ₹ appreciates
Green GDP: Partha Dasgupta Committee; old concept (2009); yet to be done
IMF (World Economic Outlook): based on per capita income (PPP), EX Classification, degree
of integration with global fin system: Advanced economies and Emerging mkt+ devpg
economies
5 recessions:
‘57-8 -1.2% Drought
𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑙 %𝐼 𝑖𝑛 𝐺𝐷𝑃
‘65-6 -3.66% Drought+ war 𝐼𝐶𝑂𝑅 = = ; lower is better
𝑂𝑢𝑡𝑝𝑢𝑡 % 𝐺𝐷𝑃
‘72-3 -0.32% Drought/ oil crisis
‘79-80 -5.2% Drought/ pol instab
‘20-1 -7.7% COVID
Balance of Payments
Reflects the economic transactions between an economy and row.
Current Net X of goods
Account Net invisibles Net X of services
Net investment income Rent, interest, profits
Net CoE wages
Net transfers
Capital Net external assistance
account Net external commercial
borrowings
Net NRI deposits
Net foreign investments FDI
FPI
Forex FCA
reserves Gold
SDRs
RTP/ Gold TP
Net investment income+ net COE= NFIA
Full capital account convertibility= when domestic currency can be converted to foreign
currency at market ER for capital account convertibility.
India—does NOT have capital account convertibility; India has current account convertibility
Trade deficit; Current account deficit; BoP deficit
Currency devaluation and revaluation/ depn and appreciation
Money and Banking
Money supply= amount of money with public
Money currency+ DD
Public any entity except govt or bank
Banking Sector:
1969: Nationalisation of Banks
PSL introd+ Lead Bank Sch (1969) + Service Area Approach
25 PSBs+ 1 pvt sector bank = Lead Bank in all 706 distts.
Seigniorage: profit from money creation ( gov rev without conventional taxes). It has 3
was of accruing:
a. While issuing currency, RBI reserves give interest income on CiC (-) cost of printing
b. CRR
c. Inflation tax
G-sec
a. Tradable; issued by GoI/ GoSs
b. Risk free gilt edged
c. Issued through auctions by RBI on e- platform (called e-kuber), the CBS (Core
Banking Soln) platform;
Participants= comm. Banks, UCBs, PDs Primary Dealers, Insurance Co.s, FPIs and
Indiv (retail investors)
d. G-sec mkt (Prim mkt) is regulated+ managed by RBI
Types of G-secs
Money Market Capital Market
T-Bills Cash Managt Bills Dated Securities State Devpt Loans
Short term, Short term Tenor= 1 to 40 yrs Maturity> 1yr
Debt instr. Debt instrument Categories: Issued by state
Issued by GoI To meet a) Fixed rate bond (r fixed till maturity) Qualify as SLR
Maturity < 1 yr temporary b) Floating r bond (r linked to T-Bill)
Zero coupon mismatches in c) Infl Indexed bonds (P+I protected ag. infl linked
secs (issued at cash flows to GoI with CPI, WPI)
discount) Intro in 2010 d) Spl. Secs: to PSUs, as compensation in lieu of
In money Like T-Bills but cash subsidies
market Maturity <91 e) Bank recap.sn bond: to specific PSBs in 2018
days f) Sov Au Bond (SGB): P linked to Au; budgeted in
lieu of mkt borrowing
All bank notes (except ₹1 note) issued by RBI are backed by assets such as Au, G-secs and
FCA as defd in Section 33 of RBI Act, 1934
Tools
a. Repo Rates: fixed rates; overnight liquidity up to 0.25% of NDTL ag collateral of govt+
other secs under LAF
b. RRR= RR-0.65%
c. LAF
i. Intro in 2010
ii. Incl RR, RRR
iii. Consists of overnight awa term repo auctions. Progressively, RBI increased
proportion of liquidity injected under fine-tuning variable rate repo auctions
of range of tenors.
iv. The aim of term repo is to help develop inter-bank term money mkt, which in
turn can set mkt-based benchmarks for pricing of loans and deposits, and
hence improve transmission of monetary policy
v. RBI also conducts variable interest rate reverse repo auction, as necessitated
under the mkt condns.
vi. LTRO: RBI lends up to 0.75% of NDTL in banking system but rate is decided by
auction. Rate is ALWAYS > repo rate. Some G-sec collateral wld be reqd.
vii. Variable LT Reverse repo auction: similar; rate< repo
d. MSF: Introduced in 2011; SCBs borrow overnight money above repo rate amt by
dipping into their SLR portfolio up to a limit at a penal rate of interest.
MSF= RR+ 0.25%
e. Corridor
f. Bank Rate:
i. Std rate at which RBI is prepared to buy debt instrument
ii. Discontinued by RBI on the intro of LAF
iii. Now aligned to MSF and used to calc the penalty for default on CRR, SLR
g. Reserve requirements (Fractional Reserve Banking)
i. CRR- no ceiling/ floor
ii. SLR: incl. excess CRR; Max.= 40%
Who SLR CRR
governs Sch Bank Banking Regn ‘49 RBI Act ‘34
what Non-sch banks Banking Regn ‘49 Banking Regn ‘49
h. OMO- on e-Kuber platform
i. MSS Market Stabilisation Scheme/ Sterilisation- done
Condns for Sch banks:
a. Be a corporation
b. > ₹500 cr paid up capital
Sch Bank Non-Sch Bank
More op.s allowed Ltd op.s allowed—e.g. Forex dealing not allowed
Maintain reserve reqt with RBI Maintain reserve reqt but not necessarily in RBI,
as per RBI Act as per Banking Regn Act ‘49
NBFCs
a. Reqd under Co.s Act 1956/’13
b. Not include instn whose primary business is:
i. Agri activity
ii. Industrial actions
iii. Goods purchase/ sale
iv. Service providing
v. Sale/ purchase/ construction of immovable property
c. RBI Act ’36 regn certificate from RBI
- Exception (to prevent dual regulations)
i. Venture Capital Fund : SEBI
ii. Marchant Banking Co. : SEBI
iii. Stock Broking Co. :SEBI
iv. Insurance Co. :IRDA
v. Nidhi Co. : Co.s Act (MCA)
vi. Chit Co. : Chit Funds Act ’82 (GoSs)
d. MFI= kind of NBFC but limit on amount of credit
(rural= ₹1.25L; urban/ semi-urban= ₹2L)
e. P2P (Peer-to-Peer Lender)—new class of NBFCs aka Social Lending/ Crowd Lending
i. Pairs borrowers and indiv investors to agreed r
ii. RBI guidelines ‘17
- Fund transfer thro’ escrow account op by NBFC-P2P
- NO CASH- only through banks
- Net owned fund > ₹2 crore
- Can’t lend on its own; can’t raise deposits
- Exposure of single lender to same borrower must not be >₹50k
- NBFC-P2P shall
Act as intermed.; not raise deposit/ lend on own
Not provide credit guarantee
Not facilitate secured lending
Do due diligence on participants—credit asst, risk profiling, etc.
Render recovery services on loans orig on its platform
- NBFC-P2P shall disclose ________ except the personal details
- Maintain leverage ratio= 2
RBI- power over cooperative banks: Under dual control of RBI (banking fns)+ GoI/GoS
(managt related fns)
Inequality: Lorenz Curve, Gini Coefficient; Poverty: est.; MPI; Malnutrition: NFHS-5 (news)
WTO: TRIPS, TRIMS. GATS (General Agt on Trade + Services)
Agt on Agri= Liberalising agri trade+ domestic subsidy (green box- not decrease; blue box-
not dec to a limit; amber box- to decrease)
PPP Model
Meaning; PPP v Privatisation; Types:
a. BOT Build Operate Transfer (BOT-Toll/ BOT- Annuity)
b. BOOT Build Own Operate Transfer
c. BOO Build own Operate
d. EPC Engg Procurement Construction
e. TOT Toll Operate Transfer
f. HAM Hybrid Annuity Model
V. Kelkar Committee
Report on Committee on Revisiting+ Revitaising PPP Model of Infra Development
Problems of PPP in India:
a. Rigid
b. PPP Institute needs to be revived
c. Risk allocation is to pvt sector we need to share it
d. NPA
Suggestion: VGF Model
SEZ Special Economic Zones
Problems: Features:
a. Labour laws a. Tax incentives
b. MAT, DDT b. Sunset clause
c. Sunset clause c. MAT, DDT
d. No custom duties
Types:
a. Multi-sector SEZ
b. Sector specific SEZ
c. Free trade and warehousing zone
d. IT/ ITeS/ handicraft biotech/ non-conventional energy/ gems and jewelry SEZ
Assessment
a. Tax: MAT, DDT, not liked by industry, lack of clarity after April/ June
b. Emplt: not a lot
c. Rehab+ resettlement: is an issue
d. Shortfall in investment: less than expected
e. Neglect of manufacturing
Critical Evaluation: Extra topics:
a. Very small size a. India v. CHN SEZs
b. Inadequate infra b. Baba Kalyan Committee 2018
c. Lengthy procedure i. EX- Emplt centre
d. Locational disadvantage ii. Use vacant SEZ plots
e. Stringent labour laws iii. Extend sunset clause
f. Issues with taxation c. WTO and SEZs
d. CEZ Coastal Economic Zone
Trade
𝑃𝐸𝑋 𝐸𝑋+𝐼𝑀
𝑇𝑜𝑇 = ; 𝑇𝑟𝑎𝑑𝑒 𝑂𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑛𝑒𝑠 = ;
𝑃𝐼𝑀 𝐺𝐷𝑃
Trade Agreements
PTA Preferential Trade Agt Basic goods
FTA Free Trade Agt Goods+ service
CECA Comprehensive Economic Coopn Agt G+ S+ Invst (not deep)
CEPA Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agt G+ S+ I+ Tech (deep)
CU Custom Union CD=0; similar customs on others
Single Market 4 degrees freed; G+S+I+ people
Economic Union All one
Examples:
a. India Mercosur PTA (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay, Venezuela)
b. India-SL (1998: Discussion about PTA; 2005: Discussion on CEPA; Now: talks about
Eco+ Tech Coopn Agt)
c. NAFTA, US MCA (New Deal)
d. SAFTA
e. India- Korea CEPA- News in 2018
f. EU- Monetary Policy (identical); Fiscal Policy (Coordinated)
Case Study
ASEAN= PMTIS+ LMBCV
A+3. = ASEAN+ {CHN+ S Korea+ Japan}. FTA
A+6. = A+3 + {India+ Australia+ NZ}. FTA
EAS. = A+6. + {Russia+ US}. Discussion (No FTA)
RCEP= A+6 – India
2. IMF
a. Primary Aims:
i. Promote international monetary cooperation
ii. Promote exchange stability
iii. Help members experiencing BoP difficulties
b. Types of non-concessional lending
RFI Rapid Financing Instrument Very short IMF Quota=
SBA Stand by arrangement Short GDP (50%) +
FCL Flexible Credit Line For rich Openness (30%) +
PLL Precautionary+ Liquidity Line Medium rich Eco variability (15%) +
EFF Extended Fund Facility Pak, Congo, etc. International reserves (5%)
Reports: c. Grants: a) HIPC Hghly indebted poor countries; b) CCRI CATASTROPHE AND CONTAINMENT RELIEF TRUST
a. World Economic Outlook Report
b. Global Fin. Stability Report
c. Fiscal Monitor also, External Sector Report (of top 30 economies)
d. Regional Economic Reports
SDR
3. ADB
a. Asian in nature
b. By Japan+ US
c. Foster economic growth in one of poorest regions of the world
d. Estd 1966
e. HQ= Manila, Philippines
f. 68 members= 49 Asia-Pacific + 19 Outsude
g. India= founding members
CHN= Joined in 1986
h. Gives loans, tech assistance, grants
i. Voting
i. Resembles WB
ii. Voting right= % of money you gave in establishing the bank
iii. Max: Japan+ US= 15.6%
CHN= 6.4%
India= 6.3%
Australia= 5.8%
th
j. India= 4 largest shareholder+ largest borrower for energy projects from ‘07-15;
Founding member
4. NDB
a. Fortaleza Declaration 2014 by BRICS:
NDB CRA Contingency Reserve Arrangement b. Membership open to UN
100B$ 100B$ members; Membership
Equal for all CHN 41B; S Afr 5B; all others 18B open to borrowing and
Like WB Like IMF non-borrowing members
Devpt assistance For crisis situation c. VR of each founding
member= 20%
d. No single country has a veto
e. Strategy 2017-21 2/3rd financial commitment to sustainable infra devpt
f. Loan portfolio+ key areas of operation:
i. Clean Energy
ii. Transport Infra
iii. Irrigation. Water resources management, sanitation
iv. Sustainable Urban Development
v. Economic cooperation and integration among member countries
5. AIIB
i. Brainchild of CHN
ii. 1st major MDB where principal contributors are borrowing members themselves
iii. Aim: provide fin to infra projects in Asia-Pacific
iv. Estab.: Jan 16, 2016
v. Members= 106
vi. Voting rights dep on GDP (PPP)
vii. Largest shareholders:
i. CHN: 28.7% (veto)
ii. India: 8.3%
iii. Russia:6.55%
viii. India= biggest commitment country for AIIB
= AIIB focus on rural road, transmission lines, green project in India
= Largest borrower since beginning
ix. Diff than ADB: AIIB- fast loans; ADB- Takes a lot of time
Foreign Investment
Basics: FDI, FII, FPI, ECB, ADR, GDR
FDI: Long term, global managt practices, steady investment, emplt, tech, policies of firm
FII: Good weather friend/ opportunist money, fly by night/ exit at distress
Reforms: CA lectures
Inflation
Types:
a. WPI- 697 items CPI Base yr Who compile
b. WPI- Food Index IW 2016 Labour Bureau
c. CPI (6 components)- 448(rural)+ 460 (urban) AL 1986-7 in Mo Labour+
d. CPI- IW, AL, RL, R, U, C RL 1986-7 Emplt
e. CFPI Consumer Food Price Index R,U,C 2012 NSO, MoSPI
SEBI:
a. Management
b. Functions: Quasi legislative; quasi-executive; quasi-legal
c. Powers
By: WB
Calculation: 12 indicators sets 41 indicators
190 economies
Normally 1 city data
Data for 2 cities in 11 economies (with >100M inhabitants)
Indicator sets:
a. Starting a business
b. Dealing with construction permits
c. Getting electricity
d. Registering properly
e. Getting credit
f. Protecting minority investors
g. Paying taxes
h. Trading across borders
i. Enforcing contracts
j. Employing workers
k. Resolving solvency
l. Contracting with government
Survey based; Top 5 countries: ??; Rank of India: ??; Trend for India: ??
Note: High scorers used more electronic/ digital system
Steps by India
a. SPICe form: simplified digital form for incorporation
b. Protect minority investors
c. IBC
MSME
a. New defn
b. Importance
i. >40% of indl. Production
ii. >48% of total EX
iii. 30% of GDP
iv. Emplt to 120M (direct+ indirect)
c. Schemes (do)- PM Mudra, MSME- Sambandh, SFURTI, ASPIRE, CHAMPIONS