Macpower CNC
Macpower CNC
Macpower CNC
IN
Narration Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Trailing Best Case Worst Case
Sales 63.73 63.87 67.69 105.06 140.23 81.98 112.87 190.12 201.89 241.04 241.04 310.40 268.62
Expenses 62.13 61.72 66.08 93.55 123.62 77.17 103.69 169.62 181.22 205.71 205.73 264.93 242.37
Operating Profit 1.60 2.15 1.61 11.51 16.61 4.81 9.18 20.50 20.67 35.33 35.31 45.47 26.25
Other Income 0.53 0.29 0.42 0.53 2.92 0.55 0.35 0.83 0.25 1.50 1.50 - -
Depreciation 1.27 0.87 0.66 1.02 1.18 1.08 2.60 2.79 3.36 4.13 4.13 4.13 4.13
Interest 0.63 0.83 0.40 0.27 0.27 0.37 0.17 0.15 0.23 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26
Profit before tax 0.23 0.74 0.97 10.75 18.08 3.91 6.76 18.39 17.33 32.44 32.42 41.08 21.86
Tax -0.06 0.26 0.19 3.71 5.44 1.18 0.72 5.55 4.44 8.19 8.19 25% 25%
Net profit 0.29 0.49 0.78 7.04 12.64 2.73 6.03 12.84 12.89 24.25 24.23 30.70 16.34
EPS 5.80 8.17 13.00 7.04 12.64 2.73 6.03 12.84 12.89 24.25 24.22 30.69 16.33
Price to earning 20.89 11.87 12.57 15.17 17.70 21.40 45.64 57.94 57.94 25.40
Price - - - 147.06 150.00 34.31 91.50 227.30 275.80 1,106.70 1,403.40 1,778.32 414.81
EBIT 0.86 1.57 1.37 11.02 18.35 4.28 6.93 18.54 17.56 32.70 32.68
EBITDA 2.13 2.44 2.03 12.04 19.53 5.36 9.53 21.33 20.92 36.83 36.81
Operating Profit (excl Other Income 1.60 2.15 1.61 11.51 16.61 4.81 9.18 20.50 20.67 35.33 35.31
RATIOS:
DPS - - - 0.98 0.98 - - 1.50 1.50 1.50
Dividend Payout 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 13.92% 7.75% 0.00% 0.00% 11.68% 11.64% 6.19%
OPM 2.51% 3.37% 2.38% 10.96% 11.84% 5.87% 8.13% 10.78% 10.24% 14.66% 14.65%
Narration Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24
Sales 48.05 55.16 41.08 53.48 53.01 54.32 40.46 63.10 66.14 71.34
Expenses 42.67 49.57 37.02 47.54 47.42 49.26 37.09 54.06 56.05 58.53
Operating Profit 5.38 5.59 4.06 5.94 5.59 5.06 3.37 9.04 10.09 12.81
Other Income 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.15 0.02 -0.03 0.26 0.20 0.50 0.54
Depreciation 0.72 0.72 0.75 0.84 0.86 0.90 0.91 0.95 1.07 1.20
Interest 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.10 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.12 0.06
Profit before tax 4.68 4.93 3.40 5.15 4.69 4.09 2.68 8.25 9.40 12.09
Tax 1.19 1.29 0.85 1.30 1.19 1.09 0.65 2.09 2.37 3.08
Net profit 3.48 3.64 2.55 3.85 3.50 3.00 2.03 6.16 7.03 9.01
EBIT 4.73 4.96 3.43 5.25 4.75 4.13 2.72 8.29 9.52 12.15
EBITDA 5.45 5.68 4.18 6.09 5.61 5.03 3.63 9.24 10.59 13.35
MACPOWER CNC MACHINES LTD SCREENER.IN
Narration Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 2HFY20 Input data from 2QFY BS
Equity Share Capital 0.50 0.60 0.60 9.81 9.81 9.81 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00
Reserves 1.37 2.26 3.02 43.47 55.76 56.64 62.46 74.70 86.61 109.11
Borrowings 7.84 4.21 4.01 0.46 0.25 0.84 0.22 0.14 0.41 0.48 0.00
Other Liabilities 17.01 17.93 24.90 40.95 43.36 30.53 61.69 58.31 46.16 66.71 def tax liab+oth long term liab+other current liab
Total 26.72 25.00 32.53 94.69 109.18 97.82 134.37 143.15 143.18 186.30
Net Block / PPE 3.48 2.82 2.95 4.53 5.93 35.91 37.48 39.92 43.57 47.16
Capital Work in Progress - - - 0.06 5.52 0.76 1.27 0.16 0.09 2.71
Investments 1.09 0.01 - 7.51 1.00 1.25 19.66 4.70 5.00 3.05
Other Assets 22.15 22.17 29.58 82.59 96.73 59.90 75.96 98.37 94.52 133.38 total current assets+long term loans and advances+other non current assets
Total 26.72 25.00 32.53 94.69 109.18 97.82 134.37 143.15 143.18 186.30 0.00 0.00 check TA matching
Working Capital 5.14 4.24 4.68 41.64 53.37 29.37 14.27 40.06 48.36 66.67 0.00
Debtors (Trade receivables) 2.35 3.29 10.38 4.16 8.66 3.26 3.82 5.97 12.75 21.80
Inventory 16.23 10.09 17.31 27.68 47.37 46.22 60.93 75.58 71.01 90.45
Trade Payables (Creditors) 9.74 7.17 7.96 19.21 37.43 37.86 25.62 18.77 35.37 44.57 input Creditors (Payables) data from Screener/Annual Reports
Inventory Turnover 3.93 6.33 3.91 3.80 2.96 1.77 1.85 2.52 2.84 2.66 -
Inventory Days 92.95 57.66 93.34 96.17 123.30 205.79 197.04 145.10 128.38 136.97 0.00
Debtor Days 13 19 56 14 23 15 12 11 23 33 0.00
Creditor Days 56 41 43 67 97 169 83 36 64 67 -
Cash Conversion Cycle 51 35 106 44 48 52 127 121 87 102 -
Working Capital/Sales 8.07% 6.64% 6.91% 39.63% 38.06% 35.83% 12.64% 21.07% 23.95% 27.66%
Return on Equity 16% 17% 22% 13% 19% 4% 8% 15% 13% 20%
Return on Capital Emp 5% 14% 10% 15% 17% 4% 11% 15% 14% 20%
Book Value 1.87 2.86 3.62 53.28 65.57 66.45 72.46 84.70 96.61 119.11 -
BVPS 37.40 47.67 60.33 53.28 65.57 66.45 72.46 84.70 96.61 119.11 -
Cash & Bank Balances 0.56 6.23 0.06 39.16 27.88 5.87 5.05 8.56 5.17 12.86
Cash/Sales 0.88% 9.75% 0.09% 37.27% 19.88% 7.16% 4.47% 4.50% 2.56% 5.34%
Common Size Balance Shee Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Check back how Assets are being put to use
Net Block/Total Assets 13.02% 11.28% 9.07% 4.78% 5.43% 36.71% 27.89% 27.89% 30.43% 25.31% high historical Fixed Assets/Total Assets - strong correlation high Op Leverage
Working Capital/Total Asset 19.24% 16.96% 14.39% 43.98% 48.88% 30.02% 10.62% 27.98% 33.78% 35.79%
Debtors/Total Assets 8.79% 13.16% 31.91% 4.39% 7.93% 3.33% 2.84% 4.17% 8.90% 11.70%
Inventory/Total Assets 60.74% 40.36% 53.21% 29.23% 43.39% 47.25% 45.34% 52.80% 49.59% 48.55%
Cash/Total Assets 2.10% 24.92% 0.18% 41.36% 25.54% 6.00% 3.76% 5.98% 3.61% 6.90% check for excluding excess cash (over and above historical normalised levels)
Borrowings/Total Assets 29.34% 16.84% 12.33% 0.49% 0.23% 0.86% 0.16% 0.10% 0.29% 0.26%
MACPOWER CNC MACHINES LTD SCREENER.IN
Narration Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Cash from Operating Activity -0.32 6.48 -1.79 10.42 -10.62 1.81 22.89 -6.81 4.79 16.62
Cash from Investing Activity 1.14 1.16 -0.73 -10.09 -2.59 -1.35 -19.84 10.10 -7.00 -7.32
Cash from Financing Activity -1.70 -1.97 -3.65 38.77 1.92 -0.66 -0.79 -0.74 -0.96 -1.69
Net Cash Flow -0.88 5.67 -6.17 39.10 -11.28 -0.20 2.26 2.55 -3.17 7.61
FCF -1.59 5.61 -2.45 9.40 -11.80 0.73 20.29 -9.60 1.43 12.49
HISTORICA
L
DELTA DELTA VALUATIO
NETWORTH MKTCAP IMPACT* NS
10 YR 117 1107 9.44
7 YR 66 960 14.58 MIN
5 YR 53 1072 20.36 MAX
3 YR 34 879 25.56 TRAILING
1 YR 23 831 36.93
* IMPACT – Every Rupee retained added xx.yy in incremental market value
MACPOWER CNC MACHINES LTD SALES GROSS PROFIT EBIT PAT DIVIDEND
10 YR CAGR 15.93% 16.35% 49.82% 63.53% #DIV/0!
5 YR CAGR 30.95% 26.69% 66.26% 72.64% #DIV/0!
3 YR CAGR 12.60% 9.39% 32.81% 37.43% 0.00%
1 YR GROWTH 19.39% 15.31% 86.22% 88.13% 0.00%
**modify (if, then) for negative values
MACPOWER CNC MACHINES LTD Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19
al Assets/Networth= Financial Leverage 14.29 8.74 8.99 1.78 1.67
Long term debt/Earning 27.03 8.59 5.14 0.07 0.02
Current liablility/Earning 58.66 36.59 31.92 5.82 3.43
Total liability/Earning 85.69 45.18 37.06 5.88 3.45
Debt/Equity 4.19 1.47 1.11 0.01 0.00
Interest Coverage 1.37 1.89 3.43 40.81 67.96
Working Capital/Sales 8.07% 6.64% 6.91% 39.63% 38.06%
Inventory Turns 3.93 6.33 3.91 3.80 2.96
Inventory Days 93 58 93 96 123
Debtor Days 13 19 56 14 23
Creditor Days 56 41 43 67 97
Cash Conversion Cycle 51 35 106 44 48
Cash In/Cash Out Ratio 0.17 0.53 0.42 1.06 0.84
Current Ratio 1.30 1.24 1.19 2.02 2.23
CFO/PAT -1.10 13.22 -2.29 1.48 -0.84
Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 TTM input TTM BS data in Balance Sheet fro
1.47 1.85 1.69 1.48 1.56 #DIV/0!
0.31 0.04 0.01 0.03 0.02
11.18 10.23 4.54 3.58 2.75
11.49 10.27 4.55 3.61 2.77
0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
11.57 40.76 123.60 76.35 125.77
35.83% 12.64% 21.07% 23.95% 27.66% Check for improving or deteriorating pi
1.77 1.85 2.52 2.84 2.66
206 197 145 128 137
15 12 11 23 33
169 83 36 64 67 Check back to see if Creditor policy cha
52 127 121 87 102
0.30 0.14 0.25 0.39 0.52
1.96 1.23 1.69 2.05 2.00
0.66 3.80 -0.53 0.37 0.69
k back what is really driving RoA (Net Margins or Asset Turns, or both)
k back what is really driving RoE (Net Margins, Asset Turns, or Financial Leverage)
k back what is really driving RoIC (Op Margins or Capital Turns, or both)
META
Number of shares 1.00
Face Value 10
Current Price 1403.4
Market Capitalization 1403.98
Quarters
Report Date Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 Sep-22
Sales 48.05 55.16 41.08 53.48
Expenses 42.67 49.57 37.02 47.54
Other Income 0.07 0.09 0.12 0.15
Depreciation 0.72 0.72 0.75 0.84
Interest 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.1
Profit before tax 4.68 4.93 3.4 5.15
Tax 1.19 1.29 0.85 1.3
Net profit 3.48 3.64 2.55 3.85
Operating Profit 5.38 5.59 4.06 5.94
BALANCE SHEET
Report Date Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Equity Share Capital 0.5 0.6 0.6 9.81
Reserves 1.37 2.26 3.02 43.47
Borrowings 7.84 4.21 4.01 0.46
Other Liabilities 17.01 17.93 24.9 40.95
Total 26.72 25 32.53 94.69
Net Block 3.48 2.82 2.95 4.53
Capital Work in Progress 0.06
Investments 1.09 0.01 7.51
Other Assets 22.15 22.17 29.58 82.59
Total 26.72 25 32.53 94.69
Receivables 2.35 3.29 10.38 4.16
Inventory 16.23 10.09 17.31 27.68
Cash & Bank 0.56 6.23 0.06 39.16
No. of Equity Shares 500000 600000 600000 9808000
New Bonus Shares
Face value 10 10 10 10
CASH FLOW:
Report Date Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Cash from Operating Activity -0.32 6.48 -1.79 10.42
Cash from Investing Activity 1.14 1.16 -0.73 -10.09
Cash from Financing Activity -1.7 -1.97 -3.65 38.77
Net Cash Flow -0.88 5.67 -6.17 39.1
PRICE: 147.06
DERIVED:
Adjusted Equity Shares in Cr 0.05 0.06 0.06 1.00
PLEASE DO NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THIS SHEET
10 10 10 10 10 10
1 2 3 4 5 6
DCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
FCF 6.28 0 3.14 6.28 7.222 8.3053
10.00% 1.1 1.21 1.331 1.4641 1.61051 1.771561
12.00% 1.12 1.2544 1.404928 1.5735194 1.7623417 1.9738227
15.00% 1.15 1.3225 1.520875 1.7490062 2.0113572 2.3130608
Discount Rate
Discounted FCF at R=10 5.70909091 0 2.3591285 4.2893245 4.4842938 4.6881253
Sum of Discounted FCF
Discounted FCF at R=12 5.60714286 0 2.23499 3.9910535 4.0979568 4.2077235
FCF/SHARE 3.88854489
Price 100
Ratio 25.7165605
Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 TTM
37.4 56.07 58.18 67.09
6.93 18.54 17.56 32.7 32.68
9.53 21.33 20.92 36.83 36.81
9.18 20.5 20.67 35.33 35.31
6.03 12.84 12.89 24.25 24.23
0 1.5 1.5 1.5
Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 1HFY17
72.46 84.7 96.61 119.11 0.00
14.27 40.06 48.36 66.67 0.00
check historical normalised levels of cash/total assets for excluding one-off
53.02 80.14 92.02 116.54 0.00
72.68 84.84 97.02 119.59
134.37 143.15 143.18 186.3 0.00
Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
22.89 -6.81 4.79 16.62
4.68 4.12 6.94 10.34 CHECK? derived from BS
18.21 -10.93 -2.15 6.28
8% 15% 13% 20%
0% 12% 12% 6%
11% 30% 26% 25%
6.19 12.94 13.06 24.44
12% 16% 14% 21%
12% 12% 12% 12%
-0.17 3.33 2.02 10.46
263% -52% 0% 96%
-2% 2% 66% 70%
9% 26% 8% 25%
1.64 2.45 4.45
8% 13% 12% 19% coy can grow at this rate safely with internal accruals
Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 CURRENT
91.50 227.30 275.80 1106.70 1403.98
91.50 228.80 277.30 1108.20
6.03 11.34 11.39 22.75
86.67 218.88 271.04 1094.32
Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
15.17 17.70 21.40 45.64
1.26 2.68 2.85 9.29
4.00 -33.38 57.58 66.59
0.81 1.20 1.37 4.59
9.09 10.26 12.96 29.71
0.00% 0.66% 0.54% 0.14%
Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Z-Weights
0.11 0.28 0.34 0.36 1.2
0.04 0.08 0.08 0.12 1.4
0.05 0.13 0.12 0.18 3.3
0.68 1.59 1.93 5.94 0.6
0.84 1.33 1.41 1.29 1
1.61 3.15 3.49 6.04
Growth Rate Perpetu 6.00%
7 8 9 10
2026 2027 2028 2029
9.551095 10.983759 12.631323 14.526022
1.9487171 2.1435888 2.3579477 2.5937425
2.2106814 2.4759632 2.7730788 3.1058482
2.6600199 3.0590229 3.5178763 4.0455577
Steady State Value 393.05 391.11 (as per Rajshekhar Iyer formula)
Future Value 976.23 857.89 (present value of year 10 shareholder future value)
Value 1,369.28 1,249.00
Value/Share 1,368.71 1,248.48
(as per Credit Suisse paper What's captured in P/E)
Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Consensus Forecasts 5 Yr Avg Inputs TTM
112.87 190.12 201.89 241.04 Sales Growth Rate 30.95% 15% 0.00%
4.68 4.12 6.94 10.34 EBIT Margin 18.00% 18% 13.56%
2.6 2.79 3.36 4.13 Tax Rate 24% 25%
2.08 1.33 3.58 6.21 Inc Fixed Capital Rate 72.80% 20%
30.89 77.25 11.77 39.15 Inc Working Capital Rate 40.45% 15%
6.73% 1.72% 30.42% 15.86% Cost of Capital 12%
73.33% 30.33% 40.35% 38.11% Inflation Rate 5%
26.16% Cash & Bank Balance 12.86
Investments 3.05
14.27 40.06 48.36 66.67 Non-Operative Assets 15.91
-15.1 25.79 8.3 18.31 Debt 0.48
-48.88% 33.39% 70.52% 46.77% # Shares Outstanding 1.00
20.47% 28.90% 6.94% 13.19% CMP 1403.4
34.70%
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mar-25 Mar-26 Mar-27 Mar-28 Mar-29 Mar-30 Mar-31 Mar-32 Mar-33 Mar-34
533.30 613.29 705.29 811.08 932.74 1,072.66 1,233.55 1,418.59 1,631.37 1,876.08
95.99 110.39 126.95 145.99 167.89 193.08 222.04 255.35 293.65 337.69
72.00 82.79 95.21 109.50 125.92 144.81 166.53 191.51 220.24 253.27
13.91 16.00 18.40 21.16 24.33 27.98 32.18 37.01 42.56 48.94
10.43 12.00 13.80 15.87 18.25 20.99 24.13 27.75 31.92 36.71
47.65 54.80 63.02 72.47 83.34 95.84 110.22 126.75 145.76 167.62
24.14 24.79 25.45 26.13 26.83 27.55 28.29 29.05 29.83 30.62
131.11 155.89 181.35 207.48 234.31 261.86 290.15 319.20 349.02 379.65
547.13 561.78 576.83 592.28 608.15 624.43 641.16 658.33 675.97 694.07
678.23 717.68 758.17 799.76 842.46 886.30 931.31 977.53 1024.99 1073.72
15.91 15.91 15.91 15.91 15.91 15.91 15.91 15.91 15.91 15.91
0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48
693.66 733.11 773.60 815.19 857.89 901.73 946.74 992.96 1040.42 1089.15
693.38 732.80 773.29 814.85 857.53 901.35 946.35 992.55 1039.99 1088.70