Source: CFI, The Valuation School, Investopedia, YouTube, Etc.
01 Q. How do you value a company? Intrinsic Value (DCF):
The DCF says that the value of a going concern company
is equal to the present value of its future cash flows.
We have to find the company’s free cash flows to firm for
5-20 years, depending on the availability and reliability of the information, and then calculate a terminal value.
A growth rate is added to the FCFF. The factors to
consider here are previous growth, business cycle, macro factors, company’s potential, Analyst’s estimate and Top down approach.
Discount both the FCFFs projections and terminal value
by an appropriate cost of capital which is weighted average cost of capital. (10yr Govt Bond Yield - Default Spread + ERP * Beta)
In an unlevered DCF this will yield the company’s
enterprise value (aka firm and transaction value), from which we need to subtract net debt to arrive at equity value.
To arrive at the equity value per share, divide the equity
value by the company’s diluted shares outstanding. 02 Relative Valuation:
Comparable Company (Multiples):
It involves determining a comparable peer group –
companies that are in the same industry with similar operational, growth, risk, and return on capital characteristics.
Truly identical companies of course do not exist, but
you should attempt to find as close to comparable companies as possible. Calculate appropriate industry multiples.
Apply the median of these multiples on the relevant
operating metric of the target company to arrive at a valuation.
Common multiples are EV/Rev, EV/EBITDA, P/E, P/B,
although some industries place more emphasis on some multiples vs. others, while other industries use different valuation multiples altogether. 03 Comparable Transaction:
The valuation is based on any a Similar and
Comparable company which is sold in the near term.
The comparable company must be in the similar
business sector and the size of the company should be relevant
We have to check the valuation metric, Whether it is
relevant in today’s dynamics or not.
Selling Company - Similar & Comparable to match the
size and the business sector.
Buyer - Must be a public company or else you wont
have any deal information.
% of Stake - The stake must be >50% hence the
acquisition. 04 Q. Tell me about a particular industry you are interested in and the how will you value it? Do prepare a research report and a financial model for a company to go deep in the business and the industry. You will learn a lot about the macroeconomic factors and the company’s business model.
Do research about an industry or two (read an industry
report by a sell-side analyst) before the interview.
Pick the industry about which you are genuinely
interested in and which is easy to understand.
Read one or two year of Annual report and 2-3 Con
Calls of the company to go deep.
This will give you a lot of things to talk about the
industry and the company, And then explain the valuation using any method (Go DCF).
Be reasonable and logical with your reasons behind the
numbers specifically Growth Rate. 05 Q. What is the appropriate discount rate to use in an unlevered DCF analysis? Since the free cash flows (FCFF) in an unlevered DCF analysis are pre-debt (Think as unlevered cash flows as the company’s cash flows as if it had no debt – so no interest expense, and no tax benefit from that interest expense),
The cost of the cash flows relate to both the lenders
and the equity providers of capital.
Thus, the discount rate is the weighted average cost of
capital to all providers of capital (both debt and equity).
Cost of Debt: The cost of debt is readily observable in
the market as the yield on debt with equivalent risk reducing the country and company (If emerging) default spread.
Cost of Equity: The cost of equity is typically estimated
using the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), which links the expected return of equity to its sensitivity to the overall market but do take the country equity risk premium into consideration too. 06 Q. What is typically higher – the cost of debt or the cost of equity? The cost of equity is higher than the cost of debt because the cost associated with borrowing debt is less since they are taking less risk while giving out the capital hence the lower return.
The equity shareholders took a lot more risk while
investing hence the higher return.
Also the interest expense is tax-deductible, creating a
tax shield which further reduces the cost of debt..
Additionally, the cost of equity is typically higher
because, unlike lenders, equity investors are not guaranteed fixed payments, and are last in line for liquidation. 07 Q. How do you calculate the cost of equity? There are several competing models for estimating the cost of equity, however, the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is predominantly used on the street.
The CAPM links the expected return of a security to its
sensitivity to the overall market basket (often proxied using the S&P 500 or Nifty 50).
CAPM Cost of Equity (Ke) = Risk Free Rate (rf) + β x
Market Risk Premium (rm-rf ).
Risk Free Rate: It should reflect the YTM of default-free
government bonds of equivalent maturity to the duration of each cash flows being discounted.
Market Risk Premium: MRP (rm-rf) represents the
excess returns of investing in stocks over the risk-free rate.
Beta (β): It provides a method to estimate the degree of
an asset’s systematic (non-diversifiable) risk. It means the risk in investing in a company instead of the market. Beta of 1.0 is “as risky” as the overall stock market. 08 Q. How would you calculate β (Beta) for a company? Calculating raw betas from historical returns and even projected betas is an imprecise measurement of future beta because of estimation errors (i.e. standard errors create a large potential range for beta).
It is recommended that we use an industry beta. Of
course, since the betas of comparable companies are distorted because of different rates of leverage, we should unlever the betas of these comparable companies as such:
Then, once an average unlevered beta is calculated,
relever this beta at the target company’s capital structure:
β Levered = β(Unlevered) x [1+(Debt/Equity) (1-T)]
09 Q. How do you calculate unlevered free cash flows for DCF analysis? The Unlevered FCF for DCF means the The firm’s cash flows that is available for all the capital investors whether debt or equity.
The formula for calculating the unlevered free cash flow
–tax rate) + Depreciation & Amortization – Change in Net Working Capital – Capital Expenditures 10 Q. What is the appropriate numerator for a revenue multiple? It is Enterprise Value also the Market Cap. It is because the revenue is earned on everyone’s money so the numerator should be related.
The question tests whether you understand the
difference between equity value and enterprise value and their relevance to multiples.
Equity value = Enterprise Value – Net Debt (Net Debt =
Gross Debt and Debt Equivalents – Excess Cash) +/- Value in Subsidiary Company + Value of any Non Operating asset.
Enterprise Value Multiples: EBIT, EBITDA, Unlevered
cash flow, and revenue multiples all have enterprise value as the numerator because the denominator is an unlevered (pre-debt) measure of profitability.
Equity Value Multiples: Conversely, EPS, after-tax cash
flows, and the book value of equity all have equity value as the numerator because the denominator is levered – or post-debt. 11 Q. How would you value a company with negative historical cash flow?
Given that negative profitability will make most
multiples analyses meaningless, a DCF valuation approach is appropriate here.
Q. When should you value a company
using a revenue multiple vs. EBITDA?
Companies with negative profits and EBITDA will
have meaningless EBITDA multiples.
As a result, Revenue multiples are more
insightful. 12 Q. Two companies are identical in earnings, growth prospects, leverage, returns on capital, and risk. Company A is trading at a 15 P/E multiple, while the other trades at 10 P/E. which would you prefer as an investment? We would prefer the company with P/E of 10. A rational investor would rather pay less per unit of ownership.
In PE of 15 you would have to 15 Rs for 1 Rs of
earning whereas with PE of 10 you will pay 10 Rs for 1 Rs of earnings. Posts every alternate Day Faizan Nezami