Micro New
Micro New
Micro New
Micro new
Definition of monopoly
Monopoly is defined as: a market situation in which a single seller sells a product or provides a
service for which there is no close substitute. In monopoly there are no similar products whose
prices or sales will influence the monopolist price or sales. In another words, cross elasticity
between monopolist product and other commodities is zero or low. Since there is a single seller
in monopoly market structure, the firm is at the same time the industry.
1. Ownership of strategic or key inputs: A firm may own or control the entire supply of a raw
material required for the production of a commodity. Such firms are not willing to sell the raw
materials to another firm.
2. Exclusive knowledge of production technique.
Most beverage (soft drink) companies such as East Africa Beverage Company have maintained
monopoly power over supply of their products (Coca Cola, Fanta and Sprite) partly due to
exclusive knowledge of the ingredient chemicals required for the production of their product.
A patent is a legal protection which prevents original inventions from being copied, and once a
patent is granted it is protected by law for a period of time. Copyright protects written work like
plays, books, music, and films which are all protected from copying by copyright laws.
Trademarks can be names of logos, and sometimes shapes. The Coca-Cola bottle, for example, is
actually a trade mark and it is illegal to copy it without permission of the company.
Protection of patents, copyrights, and trademarks come from a country’s legal system and from
international agreements. In countries where we have these laws, owners of the indicated
intellectual property rights will have some monopoly power on their products or services.
5. Economies of scale may operate (i.e. the long run average cost may fall)
Another cause for the emergence of monopoly is economies of scale in production. A firm is
said to have economies of scale if its long run average cost is declining. In such a situation, when
the incumbent firm observes that new firms are entering into the market, it will produce large
amount of output to minimize its unit cost of production and will charge a lower price than the
new firms to deter entry. Such a monopoly is called natural monopoly.
Aside from the cases of monopoly mentioned above, pure monopoly is rare and most
governments discourage pure monopoly because monopoly is deemed to create inefficiency.
For example, had it been the case that the telecommunication services are not monopolized in
our country, their prices would have been lower. But though pure monopoly is rare, the pure
monopoly model is useful for analyzing situations that approach pure monopoly and for other
types of imperfectly competitive markets (i.e. monopolistic competition and oligopoly).
P1
dd
P2 Q
Q1 Q2
The demand curve facing the monopolist firm is down wards sloping. At price p1, the firm sells
only Q1 outputs. To sell more units of the product the firm should reduce its price.
The MR curve of monopolist firm is down ward sloping (decreases with quantity of sales). The
fact that the monopolist must lower the price to increase its sales causes the MR to be less than
price except for the first unit. This is so because when the firm reduces the commodity price to
sell one more unit all units which would have been sold at the original higher price will now be
sold at the new (lower) price. Note that the AR of a monopolist is always identical to the P or
demand curve.
In general, the MR curve of a monopolist firm is negatively sloped. The MR will be positive
over the elastic range of the demand curve (because TR is increasing over this range), zero when
the price elasticity of demand is unitary ( because the TR is at its maximum level) and will have
a negative sign over the inelastic range of the demand curve( because TR is decreasing).The
following figure illustrates the relationship between price elasticity of demand and MR
P
Ep>1
P1
Ep=1
Ep<1
DD
Q
MR
The MR of a monopolist lies below the commodity price for each unit sold (except the first unit)
and it is negative over the inelastic range of the demand curve.Mathematically, it can be shown
that MR is less (steeper) than the AR or demand curve.
Example 1
Consider that the monopolist firm faces a demand function which given as Q= 48-2P, then based
on the given find
Solution
To find the solution for the above functions first we should convert the demand function which
given as a function of price to quantity.
dQ d( 48−2 P)
= =−2
dP dP and at Q=24, P=24-1/2(24) =24-12=12
dQ P 12
e p= ∗ =−2∗ =−1
dP Q 24
This means the price elasticity of demand is unitary.
MC
MC
P1 P E1
P
E2
D D D2 D1
D1 Q Q2 Q1 Q
Q* MR1 MR MR2 MR1
Fig 1.3 supply curve of the monopoly
Panel-1 Panel-2
In this panel, the same quantity Q* is sold at In this panel, initially equilibrium is E1
different prices depending on the market demand. (Where MR1=MC) and equilibrium P&Q1.
If the market demand is D1 and the MR curve is When the demand for monopolist product
MR1, equilibrium occurs when MR1 cuts MC decreases to D the new equilibrium becomes
curve and the equilibrium price and quantity are E2 where the new MR2=MC. At the new
P1 and Q*. If the market demand for the equilibrium, price is the same, but the
monopolist product decreases to D, the monopolist monopolist sell only Q amount of output i.e.
6 the
can still sell the same quantity Q* by lowering the the monopolist sells lower quantity at
price. So, there is no unique (or one to one original price when the dd decreases.
correspondence) between P&Q, as the same Q* is Therefore, there is no unique supply curve
matched with two different price, P&P1
Downloaded under monopoly.
by Faturmen Jemal (faturmenj2020@gmail.com)
lOMoARcPSD|15687249
Profit maximization under monopoly involves determination of both price and output
combination that yields the firm the maximum possible profit. Price and output combination that
maximizes the monopolist profit can be determined in the similar fashion as that of the perfectly
competitive firm. That is, price- output combination that yields the monopolist the maximum
profit can be determined either using total approach or marginal approach
A. Total approach
In this approach the profit maximizing unit of output is defined as that level of output where the
positive difference between TR and TC is maximal or the negative difference between TR and
TC is minimal. The equilibrium price can be determined by dividing the TR corresponding to the
equilibrium output level to the equilibrium output.
B. Marginal approach
In this approach there are two condition of profit maximization. These are:
1) MC = MR. This means the slope of cost curve is the same as the slope of revenue curve.
2) Slope of MC is must be > slope of MR i.e. MC curve cuts MR curve from below.
P MC
AC
Pm G
A
R H
A
A
C E E
AR
=D
MR D= 7
dd
O Qm Q
Q ==
dd
mDownloaded by Faturmen Jemal (faturmenj2020@gmail.com)
lOMoARcPSD|15687249
= dd
At point E,MR=MC and MC cuts MR from below, and hence it is equilibrium point for the
monopolist. This equilibrium point determines monopoly output Qm. In order to determine
monopoly price, trace up through the equilibrium point to the demand or AR line to point G and
correspond to the price axis. Therefore, monopoly price is Pm.
π =R−C = area of rectangle AHGPm. The shaded area is, therefore, profit for the monopolist.
The monopolist may get a positive profit or incurred a loss depends on the value of AR and short
run AC at the equilibrium point. When AR>AC, the monopolist get a positive profit; if AR=AC
the firm get neither profit nor loss while if AR<AC, the firm incurred a loss.
Example 2
Suppose the monopolist faces a market demand function given by P=40-Q. The firm has a fixed
cost of Birr 50 and its variable cost is given as TVC=Q2 determine:
a) the profit maximizing unit of output and price
b) the maximum profit
Solution
Given: p=40-Q, TFC=50 and TVC= Q2
a) equilibrium condition is MR=MC, and slope of MC>slope of MR.
TR=P.Q = (40-Q) Q =40Q- Q2
TC=TFC+TVC =50 + Q2
2 2
dTR d (400−Q ) dTC d (50+Q )
MR= = =40−2 Q MC= = =2 Q
dQ dQ dQ dQ 8
Now,
dMC dMR
Second order condition >
dQ dQ
dMR dMC
Slope of MR= =−2 Slope of MC= =2
dQ dQ
Since both first and second order conditions are satisfied, the profit maximizing level of output is
10 units and the profit maximizing price is obtained by substituting the profit maximizing
quantity (10) in the demand function. .Hence, P = 40 – Q = 40 – 10 = Birr 30.
b) The maximum profit is the level of profit obtained from selling 10 units at Birr 30 each.
∏ = TR – TC But TR = P.Q = Birr 30 * 10 = Birr 30 and TC = 50 + Q2 = 50 + 102 = Birr 150
The maximum ∏ is thus Birr 300 - Birr 150 = Birr 150.
Example 3
Ethio-telecom is the sole provider of a telephone service in Ethiopia. The demand function for its
service is P = (8300 – Q)/2.1 and its total cost function is TC = 2200 + 480Q + 20Q2 where P is
price in Birr. Based on the given information, calculate the maximum possible profit that the
monopolist can achieve.
Solution
The corporation will maximum its profit when MC = MR
Total Revenue (TR) = Price x Quantity = (8300–Q)/2.1*Q = 3952Q – 0.476Q2
A monopolist maximizes its long run profit when it produces and sells that output level where
LMC = MR , slope of LMC being greater than the slope of MR at the point of intersection, and
the optimal plant size is the one whose SAC curve is tangent to the LAC at the point
corresponding to long run equilibrium with price and quantity ofPe and Qe respectively.
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Finally, it should be noted that there is no certainty in the long run that the monopolist will reach
the optimal plant size (minimum LAC), as in perfectly competitive case. The monopolist may
reach optimal plant size or even may exceed the optimal size if the market demand allows him
(or if there is enough demand which absorb that level of output).
In short, the condition of equilibrium in multi- plant monopolist is: MR = MC of multi plant
monopolist and to allocate the total output among each plant, the condition must satisfy:
MC1 = MR = MC or MC2 = MR = MC of multi plant monopolist. In short it can be given as
MR = MC1 =MC2
Example 4
Suppose Ethiopian Electric Light and Power Corporation (EELPC) is a multi-plant monopolist
having two plants, Tekeze plant (plant1) and Fincha plant (Plant2). The operating costs of the
two plants are given as follows:
Plant 1: TC1 = 10 Q12 and where Q1 - Amount of electric power produced in Tekeze
Plant 2: TC2 = 20 Q22 Q2 – amount of electric power produced in Fincha
EELPC estimates the demand for electric power by the following function i.e. P= 700 – 5Q
where P - is price (total in million birr) per Giga watt and
Q – is the total amount of Giga watt sold and Q = Q1 + Q2
Note that a Giga watt of electric power, whether it comes from Fincha or Tekeze plant worth
equal price, based on the given answer the following questions accordingly
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a) What level of output (electric power) should EELPC produce and what price per Kilowatt
should it charge to maximize its profit?
b) How much of the total output should be produced in each plant?
Solution
a) The equilibrium condition is:
MR = MC1 and MR = MC2
TR = P.Q = (700 – 5Q) Q = 700Q-5Q2
dTR
MR = dQ = 700- 10Q, where Q = Q1+Q2. Thus, MR = 700 – 10 Q1 – 10 Q2
dTC 1 dTC 2
=20Q 1
MC1 = dQ 2 and MC2 = dQ 2 = 40 Q2
Now the equilibrium occurs when:
700 – 10Q1- 10Q2 = 20Q1 and
700 – 10Q1 – 10Q2 = 40Q2
Re-arranging the above equations we get the following simultaneous equation.
30Q1 + 10Q2 = 700 and 10Q1 + 50Q2 = 700
Solving the above equations simultaneously, we get
Q1 = 20 giga watts and Q2 = 10 giga watts
The profit maximizing level of output is, thus, Q1+Q2 = 30 giga watt
To determine the equilibrium price we substitute the total output (30) in the demand function:
Accordingly, P = 700 – B (30) = 550 mill birr
b) The Tekeze plant should produce 20 giga watts and Fincha plant should produce 10 giga watts
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different prices for the same commodity without any justification of cost differences. By
practicing price discrimination, the monopolist can increase its total revenue and profits.
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to the differences in their economic status or the value they attach to a commodity. Note that the
consumer’s willingness to pay reservation price for a given commodity varies with the quantities
of the commodity the consumers own. The LDMU implies that a consumer’s willingness to pay
for successive units of a commodity declines because the marginal utilities of these successive
units decline. Hence, in the first degree price discrimination differs across customers and a given
customer may pay more for the initial units than for others (successive units).
First degree price discrimination is the limiting case of price discrimination, the monopolist, in
this case, individually negotiate with each buyer and sell each unit of the output at the
corresponding price given on the demand curve of the consumer, then receiving the entire of
consumer’s surplus.
For example, a doctor who knows his patients’ paying capacity charges high price for the
richest patients’ and low price for the poor patients for identical services. This is practiced to
increase revenue. If the doctor fixes the price at the richest patients’ level, no poor will
afford to pay and the doctor will not get revenue from the poor. On the other hand, the
doctor would not fix the price at the poorest patients’ level for all patients because he
knows that the rich can pay more and he will exploit the rich. Lawyers also practice the
same discrimination for identical legal service.
Perfect price discrimination is efficient as it maximizes the total welfare, where welfare is
defined as the sum of consumer surplus and producer surplus. That is, there is no welfare loss
associated with first degree price discrimination equilibrium. The problem with perfect price
discrimination is that it hurts consumers because the monopolist will take the entire of the
consumer surplus. The other problem with perfect discrimination is that it involves high
transaction costs; it is too difficult and costly to gather information about each customer’s price
sensitively.
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sloping. Such a firm can discriminate price by letting the price each customer pays vary with the
number of units the customer buys. The act of charging different prices for different quantities of
purchases is called second degree price discrimination or sometimes called quantity
discrimination. In second degree price discrimination, the price various only with quantity: all
customers pay the same price for a given quantity. In second degree price discrimination, the
monopolist attempts to take the major part of the consumer surplus instead of the entire of it.
Block pricing can feasibly be implemented where:
The number of consumers is large and price rationing can be effective
The demand curves of all customers are identical and
A single rate is applicable for a large number of buyers.
P1 A
B
P2
P3 C
DD
Q1 Q2 Q3
Fig.1.6 Second price degree price discrimination
The monopolist receives a price OP1, for each unit sold to a given customer for the first OQ,
units, OP2 for the next Q1 Q2 units and OP3 for the next Q2 Q3 units. By so doing, the
monopolist will receive total revenue of OP, A B C . If the monopolist charges a uniform price of
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OP3, its total revenue will only be OP3 EQ3. Hence, block pricing will enable him receive large
total revenue than uniform pricing.
Note that not all quantity discounts are a form of price discrimination. Sometimes selling in large
quantities may reduce the unit costs of sales and as a result a firm may charge a relatively lower
per unit price for large sales than small sales. Such an action cannot be regarded as price
discrimination.
An action of charging different prices in different markets is called third degree price
discrimination. All units of the good sold to customer with in a group (in one market) are sold at
a single price, but prices will differ among the different groups or markets.
For simplicity, let us assume that there are only two markets. To maximize profits, the
monopolist must produce the level of output (defined by MC=MR) and sell that output in the
two markets in such a way that the marginal revenue of the last unit sold in each market is the
same. This will require the monopolist to sell the commodity at higher p rice in the market with
the less elastic demand. The equilibrium condition for a third degree price discriminating
monopolist is: MC=MR1=MR2.
Example 5
Suppose Ethiopian Airlines (EAL) flies only one route: from Addis Ababa to Dubai. EAL knows
that two different types of people fly to Dubai. Type A consists of rich merchants flying to Dubai
for business purposes with demand for flight of
QA = 260-0.4PA. Type B consists of poor ladies flying to Dubai in search of jobs ( such as house
maid) whose total demand is QB = 240-0.6PB.
Assume that EAL has a running cost of $30,000 plus $100 per passenger and it has decided to
charge different prices for the two groups of passengers.
a. How many tickets should EAL sell to each group?
b. How much price should EAL charge each group?
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c. Suppose now that EAL is prohibited by the Ethiopian government to exercise such
discrimination. How many tickets should the EAL sell to maximize its profit and at what price?
Solution
Given
TC = 30,000 + 100Q
Where Q = QA+QB
QA = 260 – 0.4PAPA = 650 – 2.5QA………..…. Merchants inverse demand function:
5
PB=400− QB
QB = 240 – 0.6 PB. 3 …………….Ladies inverse demand function
a) The equilibrium condition is that
dTC
=100
MC=MRA = MRBBut MC = dQ then we should find MRA and MRB
dTR A
, and 2
MRA = dQ A TRA = QA.PA = 650QA – 2.5 Q A
10
QB
Thus, MRA = 650 – 5QA. Likewise MRB = 400 - 3
The equilibrium condition is thus presented as:
10
100 = 650 – 5QA and 100 = 400 - 3 QB
Solving the above equations simultaneously, we get QA = 110 and QB = 90
Therefore, EAL should sell 110 tickets of A type and 90 tickets of B type passengers.
b) Substituting the above quantities in their respective demand functions, we get
5 5
(90 )
PA = 650 – 2.5 QA = 650 – 2.5 (110) = $ 37 and PB = 400 - 3 QB = 400 - 3 = $ 250
Hence, the EAL should charge $ 375 for the merchant and $ 250 for the leady passengers.
C) If EAL decides to charge a uniform price, the equilibrium price will be obtained first by
deriving the market demand function and then by using the usual method (MC = MR)
Market demand (Q) = QA + QBQ = 260 – 0.4 PA + 240 – 0.6 PB
Since PB = PA = P, thus the market demand becomes = 500 – P orP = 500 – Q
TR = P.Q = 500 Q – Q2 hence MR = 500 – 2Q
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18
Thus monopoly power reduces the consumers’ surplus by the amount which equals area A+B;
but increases the producers’ surplus by the area A-C. The net welfare effect (loss) is obtained by
deducting the welfare loss of consumers from the welfare gain of producers. i.e
Net welfare = Welfare gain by producers – Welfare loss by consumers
= A-C – (A+B) = A-C – A-B = -C –B or – (C +B)
Thus monopoly results in a welfare loss which is given by the area (C+B). This area is called
dead weight loss. It is gained neither by producers nor by consumers. The other disadvantage
(Social cost) of monopoly is that is discourages innovations. Monopolist may feel secure and
have no incentive to innovate new product (technology) since there are no competitors.
2. Monopolistic Competitions
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Monopolistic competition is a market structure with many buyers and sellers in which product
differentiation exists and in which there are elements of both monopoly and perfect
competition.
Assumptions of Monopolistic Competition
Chamberlin’s model of monopolistic competition works under many of the assumptions of pure
competition.
1. There are large number of sellers and buyers in the group
2. The products of the sellers are differentiated, but they are close substitutes of one
another.
3. There is free entry and exit of firms in the group.
4. The goal of the firm is profit maximization.
5. The prices of factors and technology are given.
6. The firm is assumed to behave as if it knew its demand and cost curves with certainty.
7. The long run consists of a number of identical short run periods, which are assumed to
be independent of one another, in the sense that decisions in one period do not affect
future periods and will not be affected by past decisions. The optimum decision for one
period is the optimum decision for any other period.
8. Heroic Assumptions – Both demand and cost curves of all products are uniform
throughout the group. This requires that consumer’s preference be evenly distributed
among the different sellers, and that differences between the products be such as not to
give rise to differences in costs. This assumption is made in order to be able to show the
equilibrium of the firm and the group on the same diagram. But this assumption leads
to a model that is very restrictive, because it excludes the inclusion of the firm in the
group which has similar products but different cost of production.
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the services associated with it and the selling activities of the firm. Thus, Chamberlin
introduced two additional policy variables in the theory of the firm: the product itself and
selling costs. Hence, the demand curve shifts if:
1. The style, services, or the selling strategy of the firm changes,
2. Competitors change their price, output, services or selling policies of a product;
3. Tastes, incomes, prices or selling policies of products from other industries change.
Product differentiation is intended to distinguish the product of one producer from that of the
other producer in the ‘industry’ (in the group). It can be real differentiation or fancied
(artificial) differentiation. Real differentiation: exists when the inherent characteristics of the
products have slight differences (slight difference in quality, durability), in the specification of
products (terms of credit, transportation, guarantee, location of the firm), which determine the
convenience with which a product is accessible to the consumer. Example: chemical
differences existing in shampoos or conditioners. On the other hand, fancied differentiation is
established by advertising or differences in packaging or differences in design (color or shape) or
simply by brand name. Product differentiation leaves firms under monopolistic competition with
some degree of monopoly power. Because of this the firm is not a price – taker.
Panel A Panel B
DD curve for a monopoly Panel C
DD curve for a firm DD curve for a firm in
In perfect comp. mkt firm and the industry
monopolistic comp mkt
P
P P
d curve
d curve d curve
Q Q Q
Figure 2.1 demand curves of different market structures
Cost structure of a firm under monopolistic competition is similar to that of any other firm
(perfectly competitive and monopoly firm). The AVC, MC, ATC are all U-shaped implying that
there is only single level of output which can be optimally produced. There is another cost, the
cost of selling activities, which is introduced in the theory of the firm by Chamberlin. The
21
recognition of product differentiation provides the rationale for the selling expenses incurred by
the firm. With advertising and other selling activities the firm seeks to differentiate more his
product from the products of other firms in the group. Chamberlin assumes that advertising will
shift the demand and will make the demand less elastic.
Total cost = Production cost + Selling cost.
Like any other costs the average selling cost is U-shaped. That means there are economies and
diseconomies of selling cost as output increases.
Cost
Average Selling Cost Curve
Q
o
Figure 2.2 selling cost of monopolistic competitive firm
Initially, expansion of output will not require an equi-proportional increase in selling costs, and
this leads to a fall in the average selling expenditure. However, beyond a certain level of output,
the firm will have to spend more per unit in order to attract customers from other firms this
makes the average selling cost to be U shaped. The U shaped average selling cost, added to U
shaped average production cost, yields a U shaped ATC curve.
22
their shape many people cannot differentiate them precisely simply by looking them distant without
getting close and search for some clues, such as looking at their brand names.
Chamberlin uses the concept of ‘product group’, which includes products which are ‘closely
related’. The products should be close technological and economic substitutes. Technological
substitutes are products which can technically cover the same want. For example, Motor cars
are all used for transportation, all powder soaps are used for washing purpose. On the other
hand, Economic substitutes are products which cover same want and have similar prices.
Products with different cost structure are not economic substitutes.
INDUSTRY: The concept industry refers to broader classification and hence consists of several
product groups. If all firms in a monopolistic competition market produce very close products as the
brewery industry or supply very close service as the banking and insurance industry in Ethiopia all
the firms in can be regarded as product group and industry. On the other hand, if all firms in an
industry produce highly differentiated products, we say there is no product group. Thus, product
group is a sub set of industry.
Numerical Example 1
Assume a firm engaging in selling its product and promotional activities in monopolistic
competition face short run demand and cost functions as Q d=20-0.5P and TC= 4Q2-8Q+15,
respectively. Having this information
A. Determine the optimal level of output and price in the short run.
B. Calculate the economic profit (loss) the firm will obtain (incur).
C. Show the economic profit (loss) of the firm graphically.
23
Solution
A. Q=20-0.5P B.∏=TR-TC or Q (P-ATC)
Q-20= -0.5P = (40Q-2Q2) – (4Q2-8Q+15) or 4(32-11.75)
*P=40-2Q =(40(4)-2(4) 2) - (4(4) 2-8(4)+15) or 4(20.25)
TR=PQ = (160-64) – (64-32+15) or 81
= (40-2Q) Q =128 - 47 or 81
=40Q-2Q2 =81=81
dTR
MC
MR= dQ = 40-4Q P
TC=4Q2-8Q+15
32 ATC
∂TC
MC= ∂Q =8Q-8
MR=MC 24
11.75 Q=20-0.5P or P=40-2Q
40-4Q=8Q-8
MR=40-4Q
48=12Q
Q=4 4 Q
24
The firm in the short run is in equilibrium at point C where MC = MR. See the graph above. At
equilibrium point a given firm attains abnormal profit, area of PmCBA. The excess profit
attracts firms to come in to the market with competing brands. The result of new entry is a
downward shift of the demand curve dd’, since the market is shared by a larger number of
sellers. The process will continue until the dd’ curve is tangent to the average cost curve at its
equilibrium. i.e. until the abnormal profit is eliminated and excess profit is wiped out. In the
final equilibrium of the firm, the price will be P e and the ultimate demand curve will be dd ’. In
the long run the equilibrium occurs at P=LAC, at this point there will be neither entry nor exit,
and the equilibrium is stable.
Figure 2.4 Long-run Equilibrium Monopolistic competitive firms with price competition
25
In this model, the number of firms in the industry is assumed to be compatible with long run
equilibrium, so that neither entry nor exit will take place. But the ruling price in the short run is
assumed to be higher than the equilibrium price.
The analysis of this case is done by the introduction of a second demand curve, labeled DD’,
which shows the actual sales of the firm at each price after accounting for the adjustments of the
prices of other firms in the group. DD’ is sometimes called actual sales curve or share of the
market curve. It is a locus of points of shifting dd curves as competitors change their price.
Assume the firm is at a non-equilibrium position Po and Xo. The firm, in an attempt to
'
Xo
maximize its profit, lower the price to P 1 expecting to sell . This level of sales is not
actually realized because all other firms faced by the same demand and cost condition have an
incentive to act in the same way simultaneously. Thus, all firms acting independently reduce
their price simultaneously to P1. As a result, the dd curve shifts downward and the firm instead
'
Xo
of selling expected quantity sales actual quantity X1 (whish is less than the expected
quantity)on the shifted dd curve dd’ along the share curve DD.
dD
P0LMC
d|1
P1
d||1
LAC
P2
d|||e d
Pe d|1
D d||1
e d|||e
26
X0 X1X2XeMR Xol
Figure 2.5 Long-run Equilibrium with price competition
According to Chamberlin, the firm suffers from myopia and does not learn from past experience
and may further reduce price expecting that the others will not react. Thus the firm lowers its
price again in an attempt to reach equilibrium, but instead of the expected sales Xo, the firm
achieves actual sales of X2, because all other firms act identically, though independently. The
process stops when the dd’ curve has shifted so far to the left as to be tangent to the LAC curve.
Equilibrium is determined by the tangency of d|||e d|||e and the LAC. At the point of tangency the
DD curve cuts the d|||e d|||e curve. Obviously it will pay no one firm to cut the price beyond that
point, because its costs of producing the larger output would exceed the price at which this
output could be sold in the market.
D|
D* D LMC
d
P e2
C A
d|
P1 B
d* e1 LAC
d|| d
P* E
D d|
D| D*
d*
27
d||
X X1 X2 X* MR* Q
Let’s start from e1 where there is an abnormal profit. This excess profit attracts other firms to
enter into the market. When they enter in to the market, the market will be shared by larger
number of firms then DD (market share curve) keeps on shifting left ward until it becomes
tangent to LAC.
Although, firms earn normal profit, e2 does not constitute stable equilibrium, because the firm
believes that dd is its demand curve. By taking dd as its sales planning function the firm will feel
that it can expand sales and earn excess profit by reducing price to P1. But all the firms will be
doing the same thing simultaneously. As price is reduced by all firms demand shifts down to d |d|
and each firm realizes a loss of area CABP1 instead of positive profit.
The firm is still in myopia assumption, now also he believes that he can obtain positive profit by
cutting its price. However, all the firms do the same. One might think that the process would
stop when dd becomes tangent to the LAC, dd*. This would be so if the firm could produce X*.
However, there are so many firms and the share of the firm is only X2. The frim still on the
myopia assumption believes that it can reach X* if he reduces to P*. However, all firms do the
same and dd* falls below the LAC with ever increasing losses. At this time, the financially
weakest firms will leave the market. So that the surviving firms will have a higher market share
then DD| will move to the right with dd| . Exit will continue until the dd becomes tangent to the
LAC curve and the market share curve, DD, cuts the dd curve at the point of tangency, point E.
Equilibrium is then stable at point E with normal profits earned by all firms and no entry or exit
taking place. The equilibrium price is P*, which is unique and each firm have a share equal to
OX* at E, expected share is equal to actual sale.
28
P LMC
Excess Capacity 29
PE LAC
PF
YE MR YF Y
D| LAC
D d
Y YE YF Y
Excess Capacity Social Cost
30
Chamberlin’s argument is based on the assumption of active price competition and free entry.
He argues that the equilibrium output will be very close to the minimum cost output, because
firms will be competing along their individual dd curves which are very elastic.
Chamberlin divides the competition into two, price and non-price competition. If firms avoid
price competition and instead enter into a non-price competition there will be an excess capacity
in each firm and inefficient product capacity in the industry and that is an inexhaustible economy
of scale for the firms in the industry. Chamberlin argues “excess capacity in monopolistically
competitive market structure comes because of the non-price competition coupled with
free entry”. Excess capacity is the difference between YE and Y shown in figure 2.8 above.
3. Oligopoly Market
Introduction
Definition
The term oligopoly has been derived from Greek words, oligo meaning ‘few’ and polein
meaning ‘sellers’ from this; oligopoly means a market with few sellers. Oligopoly can
synonymously be used for competition among few firms. Markets are said to be oligopolistic
whenever a small number of large firms supply the dominant share of an industry’s total
output. How few should be the sellers' to make an industry or market oligopolistic is not easy to
define numerically. It is rather difficult task to fix a definite number of sellers for the market to
be oligopolistic in its form. The number of sellers depends on the size of the market. Given the
size of the market, if number of sellers is such that each seller has command over a sizable
proportion of the total market supply, then there exists oligopoly in the market.
31
If a few firms dominate the market for differentiated product, the industry is called a
differentiated oligopoly. The most visible differentiated oligopolies involve the production of
automobiles, tooth paste, cereal, cigarettes, TV sets, computers, refrigerators, soft drinks, beer,
etc.
In oligopoly market entry is difficult or impossible for new firms to the market. Barrier to entry
may arise as a result of
1. Scale of economics and large capital requirement than
other markets except monopoly,
2. Patents or access to technology or raw materials may
exclude potential competitors,
3. Pricing and advertizing strategies of firms and the like
DUOPOLY is a special case of oligopoly in which there are only two firms in the industry. The
duopoly case allows as capturing many of the important features of firms engaging in strategic
interaction without the notational complication involved in models with a large number of firms.
Also, we will limit ourselves investigation of the case in which each firm is producing an identical
product. This allows us to avoid the problems of product differentiation and focus only on strategic
interaction.
If one firm reduces its price it will attract consumers and increases its sells, leading to a substantial
loss of sales by other firms in the industry. The other firms may or may not reduce their price, but
the firm that reduces price can no longer assume other firms do not notice his/her action. The
outcome of his/her decision depends on the reaction of other firms. The outcomes (consequences)
of price changes by the firm under consideration are uncertain. Firm under oligopoly market may
1. Spend a lot of time to guess each other’s action or reaction
2. Be bitter rivals of each other, competing by price changes (price war may be
started)
3. Tacitly (informally or implicitly) agree to compete by advertising but not by
price changes
32
33
oligopoly will consist a series of models developed by various economists based on different
behavioral assumptions and competitive conditions.
34
P
C
MC1
E MC2
Pk
A
d
D
B
Qk MR
Q
Figure 3.1: The kinked demand curve in oligopoly market
The equilibrium of the firm is defined by the kink because at any point to the left of the kink, MC
lies below MR which implying output must increase while to the right of the kink, MC lies above
MR implying output must decrease. Thus, total profit is maximized at the point of the kink by the
intersection of d and D curves at point E.
The discontinuous segment AB on the MR curve implies that there is a range within which cost may
change without affecting the equilibrium price (Pk) and output (Qk) of the firm. So long as the MC
passes through the segment AB the firm maximizes profits by producing Qk and selling at Pk.
Hence, oligopoly price is said to be very sticky, changing only infrequently (rarely).
35
time to time due to aggressive promotion. In other word, the model ignores the impact of
non-price competition (advertising and sales promotion) in increasing output sold.
2. The analysis does not explain how the ongoing price gets to be Pk or why firms in oligopoly
market are reluctant to deviate existing price that yields them higher (substantial) profits.
3. The model explains only as to how the kink occurs but doesn’t explain where it occurs.
The Analysis:
Tabular Illustration of the Cournot Model:
Table 3.1: Tabular Illustration of the Cournot Model
Period Firm ‘A’ Firm ‘B’ Unsupplied Portion of the Market
1st ½(1) = ½ ½ (½)=1/4 1/4
2nd ½ (1-¼) = ⅜ ½(1-3/8)=5/16 5/16
3rd ½ (1- 5/16 ) = 11/32 ½ (1-11/32) = 21/64 43/64
: : : :
: : : :
: : : :
36
Nth ½ (1 – 1/3)= ⅓ ½
(1- 1 /3) = 1/3 1
/3
As you can see it from the table, the process of adjustment continues and ultimately a point will
be attained, where any further changes gets back to the original position that is the equilibrium
point for the duopolists. If firm ‘A’ at period N+1 wants to adjust price and output in search for
better position, it assumes that firm ‘B’ continues to supply 1/3rd of the market so the relevant
market demand for ‘A’ is 2/3rd of the market and attempts to optimize given this. To optimize
profit, firm ‘A’ should offer half of the available market demand (½ ( 2/3) = 1/3) that is one-third of
the market which is the same as firm A’s position at period N. Hence, any further attempt of
adjustment result in no change in the firm’s position hence is equilibrium position.
Example
Suppose that there are only two firms, A and B, and with the demand curve of P = 120 – Q and
retain the condition of no cost. Assume that firm A is the first to start producing and selling
mineral water. In order to maximize his / her profit, he/ she sells quantity 60 where his/her
MC=0=MR, at price 60 birr. As a result his /her total profit is 3600 Birr. The elasticity of
market demand at this level of output is equal to unity and the total revenue of the firm is the
maximum which is equal to 3600 birr.
Then firm B will take A's output as given and seek the output that maximizes B's profits in the
remainder of the market, so B's demand curve begins at R of the following figure. The output of
firm B is found to be 30. The price in the market is 120 – (30 + 60) = 30 birr. Taking this
segment as the relevant demand curve, firm B maximizes profit by selling 30 units at price 30
Birr. The maximum profit will be 900 birr which is equal to the maximum of the total revenue.
Note that firm B supplies only 30 = ¼ of the market demand (120 – 60) ½ = 60 X ½ = 30 units.
Let us now relax the assumption of zero marginal cost and see the equilibrium of a duopoly
market (Cournot’s equilibrium) based on the reaction-curves approach. Reaction curve is a curve
that shows the relationship between a firm’s profit maximizing output and the amount it thinks
its competitor will produce. For instance, if we have two firms (A&B), firm A’s reaction
function (curve) shows how much output A must produce in order to maximize its own profit for
every specific level of output of its rival (B).
37
Example:
Assume that the market demand and cost functions of the duopolies are P =100 - 0.5Q,
Where Q = q1+q2, TC1= 5q1, TC2 = 0.5q22. Based on the given answer the following questions
accordingly.
A. Determine the short run equilibrium output and price of each duopoly ignoring their
interdependence (with naive assumption)
B. Find the demand functions for each duopolies
C. Calculate the short run profits of each duopoly and the industry profit.
D. Verify the profit level of each duopoly graphically
Solution
The same to the precious market structures here also the equilibrium of the cournot duopoly exists
when the marginal revenue and the marginal cost becomes equal.
A. To determine the short run equilibrium output and price of each duopoly first we should find the
marginal revenue and marginal cost of each firm
TR1 = Pq1 = (100 – 0.5 (q1+q2))q1 = 100q1 –0.5q12 – 0.5q1q2
∂TR
From this total revenue we can find marginal revenue as MR1 =
∂ q1 = 100 –q – 0.5q
1 2
∂TC 1
From the total cost we can find marginal cost as MC1 = ∂ q1 =5
Equate MR1 = MC1100 – q1 – 0.5q2 = 5 100 – 5 - q1 – 0.5q2 = 0
95 – q1 – 0.5q2 = 0 95 = q1 + 0.5q2 ------------------------------ (1)
TR2 = Pq2 = (100 – 0.5 (q1+q2)) q2 = 100q2 – 0.5q22 – 0.5q2q1
∂TR 2 ∂TC 2
MR2 = ∂ q2 = 100 – q2 – 0.5q1 and MC2 = ∂q 2 = q2
Equate MR2 = MC2100 – q2 – 0.5q1 = q2 100 – q2 – q2 – 0.5q1 = 0
100 – 2q2 – 0.5q1 = 0 100 = 2q2 +0.5q1 --------------------------- (2)
The profit maximizing (loss minimizing) output of q1 and q2 can be solved from the two
equations using simultaneous equation method. That is
q1 + 0.5q2 = 95
(0.5q1 + 2q2 = 100) (–2)
38
q1 + 0.5q2 = 95
-q1 – 4q2 = -200
-3.5q2 = -105
q2 = 105/3.5 = 30, substituting this in any one of the above equation gives value of
q1. That is q1 + 0.5q2 = 95 q1 + 0.5 (30) = 95 q1 = 95 – 15 = 80
Q = q1 + q2 = 80 +30 = 110
Market price: P = 100 – 0.5Q, where q1 + q2
= 100 – 0.5 (80 + 30) = 100 – 0.5 (110) = 100 – 55 = 45
B. The demand functions (reaction curves) of the duopolies are obtained by solving for q 1 and
q2 from the two equations as follows.
95 = q1 + 0.5q2q1 = 95 – 0.5q2, is the demand function for firm 1.
100 = 2q2 + 0.5q1 q2 = 50 – 0.25q1, is the demand function for firm 2.
C. The economic profits of each duopoly
Π1 = Pq1 – TC1 Π2 = Pq2 – TC2
= 45(80) – 5(80) = 45 (30) – 0.5 (30) 2
= 3600 – 400 = 3200 =1350 – 450 = 900
The total industry profit naïve assumption calculated as
Π = Π1+Π2 = 3200 + 900 = 4100
D. To verify the profit level of each duopoly graphically we should find the two intercepts of
the firms demand functions as follow
q1 = 95 – 0.5q2, If q2 = 0, then q1 = 95 and if q1 = 0, then q2 = 190
This implies firm1 reaction function cross the x-axis at q1=95 and the y axis at q2=190
q2 = 50 – 0.25q1, If q1 = 0, then q2 = 50 and if q2 = 0, then q1 = 200.
This implies that firm1 reaction function cross the x-axis at q1=200 and the y axis at q2=50
Therefore the reaction curves (graphic solution of Cournot’s model) is given as follow
q2
Firm 1’s reaction curve
190
Equilibrium
Firm 2’s reaction curve
39
50
30 q1
80 95 200
This model states that when firms are selling identical (homogenous) products and have significant
effect on the price, the Bertrand equilibrium is a competitive equilibrium for they engaged in
strategic interaction. That is, the Bertrand equilibrium is where price equals MC. What do you think
the reason for such situation?
First, we note that price can never be less than MC. As a result, either firm would increase its profits
by producing less output. So let us consider the case where P >MC. Suppose that both firms are
selling at some P >MC. Consider the position of firm 1. If it lowers its price by any small amount
ε and if the other firm keeps it price at P , all the consumers will prefer to purchase from firm 1.
By cutting its price by an arbitrary small amount, firm 1 can steal all the consumers from firm 2.
On the other way if firm 1 really believes that firm 2 will charge a price P that is greater than
MC, it will always pay firm 1 to cut its price to P - ε. But firm 2 can reason the same way. Thus,
40
any price higher than MC cannot be equilibrium. The only equilibrium is then the competitive
equilibrium.
This result seems paradoxical when you first encounter it. You may wonder how we can get a
competitive price if there are only two firms that produce identical products in the market. If we
think of the Bertrand model as a model of competitive bidding it makes more sense. Suppose that
one firm “bids” for the consumers’ business by quoting a price above MC. Then the other firm can
always make a profit by undercutting this price with a lower price. It follows that the only price that
each firm cannot rationally expects to be undercut is a price equal to MC. Thus, it is often observed
that competitive bidding among firms that are unable to collude can result in prices that are much
lower than it can be achieved by other means. This phenomenon is simply an example of Bertrand
competition.
Numerical Example:
Given P = 100 – 0.5Q, where Q = q1+q2, TC1= 5q1, TC2 = 0.5q22 find the Bertrand’s equilibrium.
Solution:
Firm 1 Firm 2
Since TC1=5q1 MC1=5 TC2=0.5q22 MC2=q2
At equilibrium P = MC1 P = MC2
100 – 0.5Q = 5 100 – 0.5Q=q2, since Q=190
-95 = -0.5Q 100-0.5(190) = q2
Q = 95/0.5 = 190 q2=5
Its criticisms:
41
It is a static model which does not explain the time period involved in the action and
reaction process of price moves by the duopolists.
It is a closed model which does not allow entry of firms. This assumption that entry of
firms is blocked makes the model unrealistic because price increases in the duopoly
market lead to entry of firms.
The assumption that each duopolist can act without any price reaction from the other is
unrealistic. It is, in fact, a no- learning by-doing model.
This model often used to describe industries in which there is a dominant firm or a natural leader.
For example, IBM is often considered to be a dominant firm in the computer industry. A commonly
observed pattern of behaviour is for the smaller firms in the computer industry to wait for IBM’s
announcements of new products and then adjust their own product decisions accordingly. In this
case we might want to model the computer industry with IBM playing the role of a Stackelberg
leader and the other firms in the industry being Stackelberg follower.
Suppose that firm 1 is the leader and that it chooses to produce q 1. Firm 2 responds by choosing a
quantity q2. Each firm knows that the equilibrium price in the market depends on the total output
produced. That is by substituting Q (q1 +q2) in the inverse demand function (curve).
What output should the leader choose to produce to maximize profits? The answer depends on how
the leader thinks the followers will react to its choice. Presumably, the leader should expect that the
follower will also attempt to maximize profits as well, given the choice made by the leader. In order
42
for the leader to make a sensible decision about its own product, it has to consider the follower’s
profit maximization problem as its own.
Numerical example:
Consider the example we have used to describe Cournot’s model. That is,
P = 100 – 0.5Q, where Q=q1 + q2, TC1 = 5q1, and TC2 = 0.5q22. Given this,
i. Find the equilibrium q1, q2, market price, Π1, and Π2
a. Firm 1 being Stackelbrg’s sophisticated leader and firm 2 the follower
b. Firm 2 being Stacklberg’s sophisticated leader and 1 the follower
ii. From the view point of profit obtained is it better for the firms to be a leader or a
follower?
Solution:
i. The reaction (DD) functions or curves are found by taking the
partial derivatives w.r.t. q1 and q2 and equating to zero.
Π1= Pq1 – TC1= (100 –0.5 (q1+q2)) q1 –5q1
= 100q1 – 0.5q12 – 0.5q1q2 – 5q1 = 95q1 – 0.5q12 - 0.5q1q2 ----------------------------- (1)
Π2 = Pq2 – TC2 = (100 – 0.5 (q1+q2) q2 –0.5q22
= 100q2 – 0.5q1q2 – 0.5q22 – 0.5q22 = 100q2 – 0.5q1q2 – q22 ---------------------------- (2)
The partial derivatives w.r.t. q1 and q2
∏1 ¿
∂
∂q 1
¿ = 95 – 0.5q2 – q1q1= 95 – 0.5q2 ---- firm 1 reaction (DD) function----------- (3)
∏2 ¿
∂
∂q 2
¿ = 100 – 0.5q1 – 2q2 q2= 50 – 0.25q1 --- firm 2 reaction (DD) function-------
(4)
a. Stakelberg’s solution with firm 1 being the sophisticated leader;
Firm 1 will substitute firm 2’s reaction (DD) function in its own profit equation to
produce an output that will maximize profit as if it were a monopoly. That is
Π1= Pq1 – TC1
= 95q1 – 0.5q12 – 0.5q1q2, substituting firm 2’s DD function given in eq (4)
= 95q1 – 0.5q12 – 0.5q1 (50 – 0.25q1)
= 95q1 – 0.5q12 – 25q1 + 0.125q12
43
44
P = 100 – 0.5 (35 + 77.5) = 100 – 0.5 (112.5) = 100 –56.25 = 43.75
As can be seen from the profits as a leader and follower, both are better off as a leader
3.2.1 CARTELS:
As it is indicated, the firms under oligopoly are independent in decision-making. However, their
actions are not unnoticed by the rivals and in this sense they are independent. In this situation,
best interest of the firms can be served through mutual cooperation rather than competition.
Cooperation in the market by the competing firms is called collusion.
Cartel is the most effective form (type) of collusion as seen in practice. Cartel is a formal
organization of the oligopoly firms in an oligopoly. It is a combination of firms whose object is to
limit the scope of competitive forces within a market. A cartel is a cooperation of firms whose
objective is to limit (reduce) the scope of competitive environment that arises due to mutual
interdependence of firms within the market and act as a monopoly.
45
Cartels are often international. For example, the OPEC Cartel is an international agreement
among oil-producing and exporting countries, which for over a decade succeeded in raising
world oil prices far above what they would have been otherwise. Others also succeeded, for
example during the mid 1970s the International Bauxite Association (IBA) quadrupled bauxite
prices, and a secretive international Uranium cartel pushed up Uranium prices. Some cartels had
longer successes. From 1928 through the early 1970s, a cartel called MercurioEuropeo kept the
price of Mercury close to monopoly levels, and an international cartel monopolized the
iodinemarket from 1878 through 1939. However, most cartels have failed to raise prices. An
International Copper Cartel operates to this day, but it has never had a significant impact on
copper prices. And cartel attempts to drive up the prices of tin, coffee, tea, and cocoa have also
failed. DeBeers is one of the largest cartels in trading Diamond.
1. The total demand for the good must not be very price elastic.
2. Either the cartel must control nearly all the world's supply or if it does not the supply of
non-cartel producers must not be price elastic.
For simplicity we will consider two oligopoly firms (firm A and B) producing identical
(homogenous) products. The firms appoint a central agency (cartel) to which they delegate to:
46
1) The total quantity and the price level at which each quantity should be sold so as to attain
maximum group (joint) profit
2) The allocation of production among the members of the cartel and
3) The distribution of the maximized joint profits among the participating members
The authority of the central cartel agency is complete. The central agency:
Has access to the cost figures of individual firms.
It calculates the market demand and the corresponding MR. Given the market demand, the
cartel (monopoly) solution output and price levels- that maximizes joint industry profit is
determined by equating MR = MC.
Next the central agency allocates the production among firm A and B by equating the MR to
individual firm’s MC. That is MR = MCA and MR = MCB.
The first-order condition for maximization of the joint profit П requires the
allocation of output in such a way that the MC of each firm is equal.
∂Π ∂ R ∂ c1 ∂ R ∂C 1 MR = MC1= MC2
= − =0 = > =
∂ X1 ∂ X ∂ X1 ∂ X ∂ X1
The Second-order condition for maximization of joint profit:
2 2
∂2 R ∂ C 1 ∂ 2 R ∂ C2
2
< 2
and 2
< 2
∂X ∂ X1 ∂X ∂ X2
47
∂ П =0 = 95 – q1 – q2 = 0 ∂ П = 100 – q1 – 2q2 = 0
∂ q1 ∂ q2
= q1+q2 = 95 -------- (1) = q1+2q2 = 100 --------- (2)
To obtain the level of output and price that maximizes joint profit, the central agency of the
cartel solves q1 and q2 using the above two equations simultaneously as follows
q1+q2 = 95
(q1+2q2 = 100) –1
q1+q2 = 95
-q1 – 2q2 = -100
-q2 = -5, q2 = 5. Substituting this in one of the two equations above will give us
q1+q2 = 95q1+ 5 = 95 q1 = 95 – 5 q1 = 90.
Then joint profit maximizing P = 100 – 0.5Q = 100 – 0.5 (95) = 100 – 47.5 = 52.5.
The second order condition for maximization states the slope MR < slope of the MC
2 2
∂2 R ∂ C1 ∂2 R ∂ C2
2
=−1 < 2
=0 and 2
=−1 < 2
=1
∂X ∂X1 ∂X ∂ X2
Thus, Q = 95 and P = 52.5 are the output and price levels that maximizes joint profit.
Finally, the joint profit will be obtained by substituting the values of q1 and q2 in the above П
function or alternatively as follows
П = TR1+TR2 – TC1 – TC2= Pq1+Pq2 – TC1 – TC2= 52.5 (90) + 52.5 (5) – 5 (90) – 0.5 (5) 2
= 4725 + 262.5 – 450 – 12.5 = 4525.
48
even if they are correct. Besides, if the number of firms increase beyond 20 or so, cartel
formation becomes difficult, or even if it is formed, it soon breaks down.
4. If Cartel price, like monopoly price is very high, it may invite government attention and
interference. For the fear of government interference, members may not charge the cartel
price.
5. There are "Chiselers' who have a strong temptation to give secret concessions to their
customers. This tendency in the cartel members reduces the prospect of joint profit
maximization.
6. Another reason for not charging the cartel price is the fear of entry of new firms. The
high cartel price which yields monopoly profit may attract new firms to the industry. To
prevent the entry of new firms some, firms may, decide on their own not to change the
cartel price.
Yet another reason for not charging the cartel price is the desire to build a public image or
good reputation. Some firms may, to this end, decide to charge only a fair price and realize
only a fair profit.
B. CARTEL AIMING AT SHARING THE MARKET: This is the most common type of cartel.
The two methods of sharing the market are through
49
II. SHARING THE MARKET BY AGREEMENT ON QUOTAS: Here, cartel members agree
explicitly on the common price and quantity each member may sell in the market (national or
international). The best example of this cartel is OPEC.
If all firms have identical cost, a monopoly solution will emerge with the market being shared
equally. That is equal quotas will be allocated. This will happen if and only if firms have identical
costs. However, if costs are different, the quotas (shares) of the market will differ. Again, allocation
of quotas on the basis of cost is unstable. Therefore, the quotas will be decided by bargaining.
During the bargaining process to decide the quotas of members of the cartel, the main criterions are;
Bargaining ability of a firm and its relative importance in the industry,
The relative sales of the firm in some pre-cartel price,
The production capacity of the firm,
The geographical division of the market, and the like
The best example of this kind of agreement is what the Japanese, Malaysian, and Chinese companies
producing Sony products have agreed. Note that cartel models of collusive oligopoly are closed
models. That is they assume no entry. However, if entry is free, the inherent instability of cartel will
be intensified. This is because new entrant firms may charge lower prices in order to secure a
considerable share of the market. Besides, if either firm is not sure the other firm keeps track on
prices and production levels, price war and eventually the dissolution of the cartel is inevitable
It may be mentioned at the end that cartels do not necessarily create the conditions for price
stability in an oligopolistic market. Most cartels are loose. Cartel agreements are generally not
binding on the members. Cartels do not prevent the possibility of entry of new firms. On the
contrary, by ensuring monopoly profits, cartels in fact create conditions, which attract new firms
to the industry. Besides; 'Chiselers' and 'free riders' create conditions for instability in price and
output.
50
P
MC1
P1 MC2
P2
D (market demand)
E
51
Firm 2 have lower cost and hence it charges lower price, p2, and produce q2 to maximize profits.
Firm 1, with the highest cost, on the other hand would like to charge p 1 and produce q1. However,
firm 1 prefers to follow the leader because if it charges p 1 its sells will be zero implying no one will
pay a higher price for identical products. Therefore, the high cost firm 1 must be willing (satisfied)
to accept the price decision of the low cost firm. Thus, it changes P 2 and produces the same quantity
as firm 2, q2. The two together then produce output level, which is equal to q2 + q2 = 2q2. It is only in
this case the antitrust monopoly legislation, which forbids monopoly production will work. In short
the high cost firm must tolerate to the price and output level equal to the low cost firm to avoid the
uncertainty that may arise when firm 2, reduces price lower than p2.
The firms costs defined by the functions: C1= f1(X1) and C2=f2 (X2) Where C1< C2
The leader will be the low-cost firm, A. It assumes that the rival firm will produce an equal
amount of output to his own; i.e. X1=X2
With this assumption, the demand function relevant to the leader's decision is: P= a-2b (X1)
The low-cost leader will set the price, which maximizes his own profit.
π1= R1- C1= PX1 - C1
R1= (a-2bX1) X1-C1
The first-order condition for the maximization of π1 requires
∂ Π1 ∂ R1 ∂C 1 ∂ R1 ∂C 1 ∂ R1 ∂C 1
= − =0 = =0 ⇒ = ⇒ MR1 = MC 1
∂ X1 ∂ X1 ∂ X1 => ∂ X 1 ∂X1 ∂ X1 ∂ X1
The solution of this problem yields the price P and output X 1 that the leader must produce in
order to maximize his profit. The follower would adoptthe same price and will produce an equal
52
amount of output (X1=X2). Given that C2>C1, the follower does not maximize his profit. He
would prefer (under the above assumptions) a lower level of output and sell it at a higher price.
Numerical example:
Given P = 24 – 0.1Q, where Q = q1+q2 and q1 = q2, TC1 = 0.075q12, TC2 = 0.05q22,
a) Determine the output and price of low cost firm
b) Calculate the profit of the low cost firm
c) What is the profit maximizing price level the high firm would like to charge but that
doesn’t realize in the market
d) Compare the profits of the price taker at its own profit maximizing output and low cost
firm’s output
Solution
a) Since q1 = q2, 0.075q12> 0.05q22. This implies that firm 2 is a low cost price leader.
Hence,
П2 = Pq2 – TC2 P = 24 – 0.1Q, where q1 = q2
= (24 – 0.1(q1+q2)) q2 – 0.05q22 P = 24 – 0.1 (2q2)
= (24 – 0.1 (q2+q2)) q2 – 0.05q22 = 24 – 0.2q2
= (24 – 0.1 (2q2)) q2 – 0.05q22 = 24 – 0.2 (48)
= (24 – 0.2q2) q2 – 0.05q22 = 24 – 9.6 = 14.4
= 24q2 – 0.2q22 – 0.05q22 b) П2 = Pq2 –TC2
= 24q2 – 0.25q22
dП2= 0 = 24 – 0.5q2 = 0 = 14.4 (48) – 0.05 (48) 2
dq2
= q2 = 24/0.5 = 48 = 691.2 –115.2 = 576
c) П1 = Pq1 – TC1 d) П1= Pq1 – TC1
= (24 – 0.1(q1+q2)) q1 – 0.075q12 = 14.4 (43.63) – 0.075 (43.63) 2
= (24 – 0.1 (q1+q1)) q1 – 0.075q12 = 628.36 –142.77= 485.59 and
= (24 – 0.1 (2q1) q1 – 0.075q12 П1= Pq1 – TC1
= (24 – 0.2q1) q1 – 0.075q12 = 14.4 (48) – 0.1 (48)2
= 24q1 –0.2q12 – 0.075q12 = 691.2 – 230.4 = 460.8
= 24q1 – 0.275q12 though, 485.59>460.8 firm 1 will
produce 48 than 43.63
53
dП1= 0 = 24 –0.55q1 = 0
dq1
q1= 24/0.55 = 43.63
Exercise: GivenP = 300 – 5X, where X = x1+x2, TC1= 0.5x12, TC2 = 3x22 answer the
questions above.
Answer: X1 = 14.29, P1 = 157.96, X2 =11.54, and P2 = 184.62
The problem confronting the dominant firm is to determine the price that will maximize its profit
while allowing the small firms to sell all they wish at that price. To do this, it is necessary to find
the demand curve for the dominant firm. It is assumed that the dominant firm knows the market
demand curve DD' and the MC curve of the small firms. The summation of the MC curves of the
54
small firms is MCs. Since the small firms equate MC and price, MCs is also the collective supply
curve of the small firms.
P S small
MCL
PS D1
SSsm
B C
PL1
SSsmSSL1
P2 AD2
SSsmSSL2
D3
P3 dL
SSL3 DD MRL
Q qL q2 q3
Smaller firms Dominant firm
Figure 3.4The dominant firm price leader ship
Knowing the market DD and the SS of the smaller firms the dominant firm calculates its DD curve
as follows. At each price the dominant firm will be able to SS that section of the total market DD not
supplied by the smaller firms. That is, the DD for the product of the firm will be the difference
between the total dd (D) and the total SS of the smaller firms.
At ps, market DD is equal to the market SS of smaller firms. This is equal to P SD1 amount. The dd
for the product of the leader will be zero. As price falls below P S, the dd for the leader increases, for
instance, at P2, total market dd is P2D2 amount of which P2A is supplied by the smaller firms. The
share of the dominant is AD2. At P3, total market dd is P3D3 of which the share of smaller firms is
zero, while P3D3 (all) is the share of the dominant firm. Below P s the market dd coincides with the
leader dd curve.
Having derived the dd curve of the leader (dL) and given its MC, the dominant firm will set the price
p at which MRL = MCL and output is qL. At price PL1 the total market dd is P L1C of which PLB is the
share of smaller firms while BC is the share of the dominant firm. The dominant firm maximizes its
profit be equating its MR to MC, but the smaller firms or price taker may or may not attain the point
where MRS = MCS.
55
Numerical example: Given Q = 120 – 0.2P, SSsm = 4.8P, and TCL = 4qL determine the supply, price,
and profit of the dominant (large) firm, finally, the supply of smaller (followers) firms.
Solution:
First we should derive the demand function of the dominant firm (qL) which is the difference of
the market demand (Q) and the small firms supply (SSsm)
qL (dL ) = Q – SSsm)= 120 – 0.2P – 4.8P = 120 – 5P qL – 120 = -5P P = 24 - 0.2qL
TRL = p*qL= (24 – 0.2 qL) qL= 24qL-0.2qL2
ПL = TRL – TCL = 24qL-0.2qL2– 4qL = 20qL - 0.2qL2
Once we have derived the profit function of the dominant firm, it maximized its profit by
calculating the first order derivative of its profit with respect to qLandequate to zero.
dΠ L
=
qL 20 – 0.4qL = 0 20 = 0.4qLqL = 20/0.4 = 50
P = 24 – 0.2 qL = 24 – 0.2 (50) = 24 – 10 = 14, this is the equilibrium price
ПL = PqL – TCL = 14 (50) – 4 (50) = 700 – 200 = 500
Then the supply of smaller firms will (SSsm) = Q – dL. That is
SSsm = (120 – 0.2P) – 50 = (120 – 2.8) – 50 = 117.82– 50 = 67.2 or
SSsm= 4.8P=4.8*14=67.2
56
a) Most firms do not possess the expertise to calculate cost and demand conditions of the
industry. So they leave their estimation to one leader firm, which has the ability to do so.
b) Oligopolistic firms accept one among them as the barometric leader firm which possesses
better knowledge and predictive power about changes in direct costs or style and quality
changes and changes in the economic conditions as a whole
In this unit we will discuss how firms can make strategic moves that give them an advantage
over their competitors or the edge in a bargaining situation and we will briefly explore this
57
interesting subject to give you a flavor or how it works and how it can be used to study economic
behavior in oligopolistic markets.
Games are a convenient way in which to model the strategic interactions among economic
agents. Many economic issues involve strategic interaction.
Behavior in imperfectly competitive markets, e.g. Coca-Cola versus Pepsi.
Behavior in auctions, e.g. Investment banks bidding on Treasury bills.
Behavior in economic negotiations, e.g. trade.
The players may be individuals, firms (market) or entire nations (in military conflicts). All
players are characterized as having the ability to choose among a set of possible actions. Games
are often characterized by the number of players (that is, two-player, three-player, or n-player
games). An important assumption usually made in game theory (as in most of economics) is that
the specific identity of players is irrelevant. There are no “good guys” or" bad guys" in a game,
and players are not assumed to have any special abilities or shortcomings. Each player is simply
assumed to choose the course of action that yields the most favorable outcome.
A strategy is each course of action open to a player in a game. Each strategy is assumed to be a
well-defined, specific course of action. Usually the number of strategies available to each player
58
will be few in number; many aspects of game theory can be illustrated for situations in which
each player has only two strategies available.
Payoffs are the final returns to the players of a game at its conclusion. Payoffs are usually
measured in levels of utility obtained by the players, although frequently monetary payoffs (say,
profit for firms) are used instead. B Naturally, players prefer payoffs that offer more utility to
those that offer less. In some games the payoffs are simply transfers among players-what one
player wins, the other losses. This type of game is zero-sum game.
Suppose that there are two people (A and B) are playing a simple game and each has two strategies
to play. Let the two strategies of A are top and bottom and that of B left and right. Their strategies
could represent economic choices like “raise price” or “lower price” and “don’t advertise” or
“advertise” or they could represent political choices like “declare war” or “don’t declare war”.
Player B
From the viewpoint of person A, it is always better for him to play bottom. Since his/her payoff
from this choice (2 or 1) are always greater than their corresponding entries in top (1 or 0).
Similarly, it is always better for B to play left. Since (2 and 1) dominate (1 and 0). Thus, we
would expect that the equilibrium strategy for A is to play bottom and B to play left
59
strategy for A. And whatever choice A makes, B will get a higher payoff if he plays left, thus left (do
not advertise) is the dominant strategy for B. If there is a dominant strategy for each player, in the
same game, then we would predict that it would be the equilibrium outcome of the game. We call it
the dominant strategy equilibrium.
Firm B
Advertise Don't Adv.
Firm A Advertise 10, 5 15 , 0
Table 4.2 Payoff Don't Adv. 6,8 10 , 2 matrix for
advertising game
Every game may not have a dominant strategy for each player. Look this game
Firm B
Advertise Don't Adv.
Firm A Advertise 10, 5 15 , 0
Don't Adv. 6,8 20 , 2
Now firm A has no dominant strategy. Its optimal decision depends on what firm B does. If firm
B advertises, then firm A does best by advertising; but if firm B does not advertise, firm A also
does best by not advertising. Now suppose both firms must make their decisions at the same
time what should firm A do?
To answer this, firm A must put itself in firm B's shoes. What decision is best from firm B's
point of view, and what is firm B likely to do? The answer is clear: firm B has a dominant
strategy advertise, no matter what firm A does. Therefore, firm A can conclude that firm B will
advertise (and there by earn 10 instead of 6). The equilibrium is that both firms will advertise. It
is the logical outcome of the game because firm A is doing the best it can given firm B's
decision; and firm B is doing the best it can, given firm A's decision.
To determine the likely outcome of a game, we have been seeking "self-enforcing" or "Stable,"
strategies. Dominant strategies are stable but in many games, one or more players may not have.
Eliminating the dominated strategy
60
Consider an entry game, played by Microsoft (the row player) and Ethiotech (the column player),
a small start-up company as another example for equilibrium in dominated strategies. Both
Microsoft and Ethiotech are considering entering a new market for an online service. The payoff
structure is given as follow;
Ethiotech
Enter Don’t
In this case, if both companies enter, Microsoft ultimately wins the market, and earns 2, and
Ethiotech loses 2. If either firm has the market to itself, they get 5 and the other firm gets zero. If
neither enters, both get zero. Microsoft has a dominant strategy to enter: it gets 2 when Ethiotech
enters, 5 when Ethiotech doesn’t, and in both cases does better when enters than not. In contrast,
Ethiotech does not have a dominant strategy: Ethiotech wants to enter when Microsoft doesn’t,
and vice-versa. That is, Ethiotech’s optimal strategy depends on Microsoft’s action, or, more
accurately, Ethiotech’s optimal strategy depends on what Ethiotech believes Microsoft will do.
Ethiotech can understand Microsoft’s dominant strategy, if it knows the payoffs of Microsoft.
Thus, Ethiotech can conclude that Microsoft is going to enter, and this means that Ethiotech
should not enter. Thus, the equilibrium of the game is for Microsoft to enter and Ethiotech not to
enter. This equilibrium is arrived at by the iterated elimination ofdominated strategies. First, we
eliminated Microsoft’s dominated strategy in favor of its dominant strategy. Microsoft had a
dominant strategy to enter, which means the strategy of not entering is dominated by the strategy
of entering, so we eliminated the dominated strategy. That leaves a simplified game in which
Microsoft enters:
Ethiotech
Enter Don’t
MS
Enter (2, -2) (5, 0)
61
In this simplified game, after the elimination of Microsoft’s dominated strategy, Ethiotech also
has a dominant strategy: not to enter. Thus, we iterate and eliminate dominated strategies again,
this time eliminating Ethiotech’s dominated strategies, and wind up with a single outcome:
Microsoft enters, and Ethiotech doesn’t. The iterated elimination ofdominated strategies solves
the game.
Three-by-three game
Dear student, iterative elimination of dominated strategies enables us to solve games in which
each player has more than two strategies. Let us take a game involving two players, each of
whom has three strategies to choose from. All that we have to do is to eliminate dominated
strategies from a player, then go to the other player and eliminate his dominated strategies from
the remaining strategies and payoffs after the first elimination and repeat the process until we end
up at the equilibrium. This three by three model is shown in Table 4.6
Column
Bottom (0, 10) (0, 0) (0, -10) Table 4.6 a three-by-three game
For the Row player, Top and Middle dominates Bottom and we can eliminate the Bottom Row as
a dominated strategy. This is because if the Row player expects the Column player to play Left,
she would choose Middle; if she assumes the Column player would play Center, she would go
for Top; and if she assumes the Column player will choose Right, she will choose Top again.
That is, no matter what the Column player does, the Row player will not choose Bottom as her
strategy. i.e, the Bottom strategy is dominated by Top and Middle and can be eliminated.
Column
62
After Bottom is eliminated, Left will be dominated by Center and Right for the Column player.
[Can you see why?] Good.
Column
At this stage too, the Row player’s dominant strategy is Top, so we can eliminate the middle
strategy.
Column
Finally, Column chooses Right over Center, yielding a unique outcome after the iterated
elimination of dominated strategies, which is (Top, Right).
Column
63
Row
The iterated elimination of dominated strategies is a useful concept, and when it applies, the
predicted outcome is usually quite reasonable. Certainly it has the property that no player has an
incentive to change their behavior given the behavior of others. However, there are games where
it doesn’t apply, and these games require the machinery of a Nash equilibrium, named after the
Nobel laureate John Nash
Activity 4.1
1. In the table below show the dominant strategies of the Row player and that of the Column
player.
A. Column
Left Right
Up (3, 2) (11, 1)
Row
Down (4, 5) (8, 0)
B. Column
Left Right
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Nash equilibrium is a set of strategies (or actions) such that each player is doing the best it can
given the actions of its opponents. Since each player has no incentive to deviate from its Nash
equilibrium (Strategy), the strategies are stable.
Dominant strategies: I am doing the best I can no matter what you do.
You are doing the best you can no matter what I do.
Nash equilibrium: I am doing the best I can given what you are doing.
You are doing the best you can given what am doing.
How do we find Nash equilibrium (NE)?
Step 1: Imagine you are one of the players and you have your own actions
Step 2: Assume your “opponent” picks a particular action from alternative actions
Step 3: Determine your best strategy (strategies), given your opponent’s action
Underline any best choice in the payoff matrix
Step 4: Repeat Steps 2 & 3 for any other opponent strategies
Step 5: Repeat Steps 1 through 4 for the other player
Step 6: Any entry with all numbers underlined is Nash equilibrium of the game
A game may have no Nash equilibrium, may have one Nash equilibrium, or it can have multiple
Nash equilibria.
Player B
Advertise Don’t advertise
Player A Fight (5,4) (4,1)
Accommodat (7,3) (3,4)
e
65
If firm A plays ‘fight’, firm B is better off by playing ‘advertise’, but if firm B plays ‘advertise’,
firm A is better off by playing ‘accommodate’. Hence, (advertise, accommodate) is not Nash
equilibrium. If firm B plays ‘do not advertise’, the best strategy for firm A is to play ‘fight’ but ‘do
not advertise’ is not the best strategy for firm B, if firm A plays ‘fight’. Hence, (fight, do not
advertise) is not Nash equilibrium. A similar calculation of all the other payoffs of a pair of strategies
reveals no Nash equilibrium.
Generally in this game there is no Nash equilibrium in the sense that there is no set of strategies by
each firm which imply one firm is better off given what the other is doing and vice versa.
If we assume two firms: A and B, A with the strategies ‘advertise’ and ‘do not advertise’ and B with
the strategies ‘expand production’ and ‘cut production’. The payoff for each player is given in the
following table.
Player B
Expand Cut production
Player A production
Advertise (2,1) (0,0)
Do not advertise (0,0) (-1,2)
Table 4.12 Game
with one Nash Equilibrium
In the above table, the strategy (advertise, expand production) is a Nash equilibrium. If A chooses to
advertise, the best strategy for B is to expand production. And if B chooses to expand production
then optimal choice for A is to choose to advertise (since 2>0).
Here when B chooses right, the payoffs to A are 0 or 1. This means that when B chooses right, A
would want to choose bottom, and when B chooses left, A would want to choose top. Thus, A’s
optimal choice depends on what he thinks B will do and vice versa. Therefore, we will say that a pair
of strategies is a Nash equilibrium If A’s choice is optimal given B’s choice, and B’s choice is
optimal given A’s choice. Remember that neither person knows what the other player will do when
he has to make his own choice of strategy. But each person may have some expectation about what
the other person’s choice will be.
Therefore,
- If A choose top, then the best thing for B is to choose left, since the payoffs to B from
choosing left is 2 and from choosing right is 0. And if B chooses left, then A will be better off
by choosing top than bottom because (1>0). Thus (Top, left) is Nash equilibrium.
- Similarly, if A choose bottom, B will choose right and if B chooses right, A will choose
bottom. Thus (bottom, right) is also Nash equilibrium.
From the above we can conclude that the Nash equilibrium is a generalization of the Cournot
equilibrium for each firm chooses its output level taking the other firm’s choice as being fixed.
A. Column
Left Right
B. Column
Left Right
C. Column
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Left Right
Up (0, 3) (3, 0)
(4, 0) (0, 4)
Down
Nash equilibrium in mixed strategies refers to an equilibrium in which each agent chooses the
optimal frequency with which to play his strategies given the frequency choices of the other
agent. Every game with a finite number of players and a finite number of actions has at least one
Nash Equilibrium.
Consider the following payoff matrix for which no Nash equilibrium exists under pure strategy.
Player B
Left Right
Top 0,0 0, -1
Player A
Bottom 1,0 -1,3
Suppose player B plays left with probability ‘b’ and Right with probability (1-b); player A plays
Top with probability ‘a’ and bottom with (1-a). Each player calculates his own expected payoff
given the probability with which the opponent plays the strategies.
68
Head Tail
Suppose that Row believes Column plays Heads with probability p. Then if Row plays Heads,
Row gets 1 with probability p and -1 with probability (1-p), for an expected value of 2p – 1.
Similarly, if Row plays Tails, Row gets -1 with probability p (when Column plays Heads), and 1
with probability (1-p), for an expected value of 1 – 2p. This is summarized in the Table 3.16
Column
69
If 2p – 1 > 1 – 2p, then Row is better off on average playing Heads than Tails. Similarly, if 2p – 1
< 1 – 2p, Row is better off playing Tails than Heads. If, on the other hand, 2p – 1 = 1 – 2p, then
Row gets the same payoff no matter what it does. In this case Row could play Heads, could play
Tails, or could flip a coin and randomize its play.
A mixed strategy Nash equilibriuminvolves at least one player playing a randomized strategy,
and no player being able to increase their expected payoff by playing an alternate strategy. A
Nash equilibrium without randomization is called a pure strategy Nash equilibrium.
Note that that randomization requires equality of expected payoffs. If a player is supposed to
randomize over strategy A or strategy B, then both of these strategies must produce the same
expected payoff. Otherwise, the player would prefer one of them, and wouldn’t play the other.
We computed the payoff to Row of playing Heads, which was 2p – 1, where p was the
probability Column played Heads. Similarly, the payoff to Row of playing Tails was 1 – 2p.
Row is willing to randomize if these are equal, which solves for p = ½ .
Now let q be the probability that Row would play Heads. Then if Column plays Heads, Column
gets -1 with probability qand 1 with probability (1-q), for an expected value of 1– 2q. Similarly,
if Column plays Tails, Column gets 1 with probability q(when Column plays Heads), and -1 with
probability (1- q), for an expected value of 2q – 1. This is summarized in the Table 4.17.
Column
Head Tail Row’s expected payoff
Head
(1, -1) (-1, 1) 1p + -1(1-p)=2p-1
Row
If 1– 2q > 2q – 1, then Column is better off on average playing Heads than Tails. Similarly, if 1–
2q < 2q – 1, Column is better off playing Tails than Heads. If, on the other hand,1– 2q = 2q –1,
then Column gets the same payoff no matter what Column does. In this case Column could play
Heads, could play Tails, or could flip a coin and randomize its play.
Table 4.16 show that the payoff to Column of playing Heads is 1– 2q. Similarly, the payoff to her
of playing Tails is 2q – 1. Column is willing to randomize if these are equal, which solves for q =
½.
Remember that A Nash equilibrium in mixed strategies refers to an equilibrium in which each
agent chooses the optimal frequency with which to play his strategies given the frequency
choices of the other agent. In our game of matching pennies, this equilibrium results in Row
playing Head 50 per cent of the time and playing tail the remaining 50 per cent, and also Column
playing Head 50 per cent and Tail 50 per cent.
Since the Row’s expected payoff is 2p-1 (=1-2p) and p = ½, it is clear that Row’s expected
payoff is 0. Likewise, Column’s expected payoff is 0 [Please convince yourself this is so by
following the same argument we did to find the payoff of Row].
This mixed strategy Nash equilibrium is a Nash equilibrium in the sense that neither party can
improve their payoff, given the behavior of the other party. It may seem strange to play a game
by choosing actions randomly. But put yourself in the position of the Row player and think what
would happen if you followed a strategy other than just flipping coin or randomizing. Suppose,
for example, you decided to play heads. If Column knows this, she would play tails and you
would lose. Even if Column did not know your strategy, if the game was played over and over
again, she could eventually discern your pattern of play and choose a strategy that countered it.
Of course, you would then want to change your strategy – which is why this would not be a Nash
equilibrium in pure strategies in the first place. Only if you and your opponent both choose heads
or tails randomly with probability ½ would neither of you have any incentive to change
strategies.
71
Woman
Baseball Ballet
This game’s two pure strategy Nash equilibria are (Baseball,Baseball) and (Ballet,Ballet). Is
there a mixed strategy? To compute a mixed strategy, let the woman go to the baseball game with
probability p, and the Man go to the baseball game with probability q. Table 3.22 contains the
computation of the mixed strategy payoffs for each player.
Woman
Baseball (p) Ballet (1-p) Man’s expected payoff
3p + 1(1-p)=1+2p
Baseball (q) (3, 2) (1, 1)
Man
0p + 2(1-p)=2-2p
Ballet (1-q) (0, 0) (2, 3)
Woman’s 2q + 0(1-q) 1q + 3(1-q)
Table
=2q =3-2q
expected pay off
4.19
Expected payoff of players in battle of the sexes
72
A mixed strategy in the Battle of the Sexes game requires both parties to randomize (since a pure
strategy by either party prevents randomization by the other). The Man’s indifference between
going to the baseball game and the ballet requires 1+2p = 2 – 2p, which yields p = ¼ . That is,
the Man will be willing to randomize which event he attends if the Woman is going to the ballet
¾ of the time, and otherwise to the baseball game. This makes the Man indifferent between the
two events, because he prefers to be with the Woman, but he also likes to be at the baseball
game; to make up for the advantage that the game holds for him, the woman has to be at the
ballet more often.
Similarly, in order for the Woman to randomize, the Woman must get equal payoffs from going
to the game and going to the ballet, which requires 2q = 3 – 2q, or q = ¾ . Thus, the probability
that the Man goes to the game is ¾, and he goes to the ballet ¼ of the time. These are
independent probabilities, so to get the probability that both go to the game, we multiply the
probabilities, which yield 3/16. Table 4.19 fills in the probabilities for all four possible outcomes.
Woman
Baseball Ballet
Note that more than half the time, (Baseball, Ballet) is the outcome of the mixed strategy, and the
two people are not together. That is, the man would go to the baseball 3/4 th of the time and to the
ballet only 1/4th of the time while the woman goes to the baseball only 1/4th of the time and to the
ballet 3/4th of the time. This lack of coordination is a feature of mixed strategy equilibria
generally. The expected payoffs for both players are readily computed as well. The Man’s payoff
was 1+2p = 2 – 2p, and since p = ¼, the Man obtained 1 ½. [Using a similar calculation,
convince yourself that the woman also obtain 1 ½.] Thus, both do worse than coordinating on
their less preferred outcome. But this mixed strategy Nash equilibrium, undesirable as it may
seem, is a Nash equilibrium in the sense that neither party can improve their payoff, given the
behavior of the other party.
73
In the Battle of the sexes, the mixed strategy Nash equilibrium may seem unlikely, and we might
expect the couple to coordinate more effectively. Indeed, a simple call on the telephone should
rule out the mixed strategy.
Exercise 4.3 Find Nash equilibrium in mixed strategies for the following game.
Column
Left Right
Row Up (0, 3) (3, 0)
(4, 0) (0, 4)
Down
If only one prisoner confessed, then he would go free and the authority (judges) will
throw the book (sentenced) at the other prisoner, requiring him to spend 6 months in
prison.
If both prisoner denied being involved, then both would be held for 1 month on a
technicality (labour work) and
If both prisoners confessed they would be both held for 3 months. The payoff matrix for
this game is given as
The prisoner’s dilemma
Player B
Confess Deny
Confess -3,-3 0,-6
Player A
Deny -6,0 -1,-1 74
The problem is that there is no way for the two prisoners to coordinate their action. If each could
trust the other, they could both be made better off. This applies to a wide range of economic and
political phenomena. Consider, for example, the problem of arms control. Interpret “confess” as
“deploy a new missiles” and the strategy of “deny” as “don’t deploy”. Note that the payoffs are
reasonable. If my opponent deploys his missile, I certainly want to deploy. But if there is no way to
make a binding agreement not to deploy a missile, we each end up deploying the missile and are
both made worse off, which is Pareto inefficient for both of us. However, if there had been a strong
binding agreement that forces us not to deploy a missile or absolute trust among us, both would
have been better off by reducing the likely hood of human and physical capital loss and using the
75
money in activities that will enhance economic growth and is not only Pareto efficient but also
Pareto optimal for both of us.
Another good example is the problem of cheating in a cartel. Now interpret confess a “produce more
than your quota” and interpret deny as “stick to the original quota”. If one firm (A) thinks the other
firm (B) is going to stick to its quota, it will pay to it to produce more than its quota. And if A thinks
that B will overproduce, then A might as well, too.
The concept of the prisoner’s dilemma can be used to analyze the incentive to cheat in a cartel
(i.e., the tendency to secretly cut prices or to sell more than the allocated quota). Consider the
following payoff matrix.
Firm B
The two firms adopt the dominant strategy of cheating and earn a profit of 2 units each. But by
not cheating each member of the cartel would earn the higher profit of 3. The carter members
then face the prisoner’s dilemma. Only if cartel members do not cheat will each share the higher
cartel profit of 3. A carter can prevent or reduce the probability of cheating by monitoring the
sales of each member and punishing cheaters. However, the larger the cartel and the more
differentiated the product, the more difficult it is for the cartel to do this and prevent cheating.
The prisoner’s dilemma provoked controversy as to what is a reasonable way to play the game. The
answer seems to depend on whether you are playing a one-shot game or the game is to be repeated
an indefinite number of time.
76
If the game has fixed number of rounds ( say 10) then each player will defeat on every round
because if there is no way to enforce cooperation on the last round (10 th round) there will be no
way to enforce cooperation on the next last round (9th) round and so on. Players cooperate
because they hope that cooperation will include further cooperation in the future.
On the other hand, if the game is going to be repeated for an infinite number of times, a player
has an option of influencing other player’s behavior. If the opponent refuses to cooperate this
time you can refuse to cooperate next time. As long as both players care enough about future
payoffs, the treat of non-cooperation may be sufficient to convince players to choose the optimal
strategy. Therefore the winning strategy – the one with the highest payoff is the tit for tat that is
to do whatever the last player did in the last round.
Tit for tat is a highly effective strategy in game theory for the iterated prisoner’s dilemma. Based
on the English saying meaning ‘equivalent retaliation’ (tit for tat) an agent using this strategy will
initially cooperate, and then respond in kind to an opponent’s previous action. If the opponent
previously was cooperative, the agent is cooperative. If not, the agent is not.
This strategy is dependent on four conditions that have allowed it to become the most prevalent
strategy for the prisoner’s dilemma:
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The agent must have a good chance of competing against the opponent more than
once
When a game is to be played repeatedly there may be a chance to retaliate defectors by adopting
a simple strategy that may prove to be remarkably effective at keeping potential defectors in
check. The strategy is called tit for tat and works as follows:
The first time intact with someone, you cooperate. In each subsequent interaction you simply do
what the other person did in the previous interaction. Thus if your partner defected on you in the
first interaction then you would then defect on the next interaction with him. If he then
cooperates your move next time will be cooperate as well.
By tit for tat strategy it is meant that do whatever your rival does on the last round. It holds in a
game where players move simultaneously (or play strategies at the same time). Each player has
to choose his strategy knowing only the incentives facing his opponent, not the actual choice of
strategy.
Player B
Left Right
Top 1,9 1,9
Player
Botto 0,0 2,1
A 78
m
Note that when the game is set in this form, it has two Nash equilibria; (top, left) and (bottom,
right). However one equilibria is not really reasonable. When sequential game represent the
possible moves in a decision tree we call it extensive form of a game.
(1,9)
Left
PA Left (0, 0)
Bottom PB
Right (2, 1)
Figure 4.1 an extensive form of sequential game
The way to analyze this (sequential) game is the backward induction method. Suppose that
player A has already made his choice and we are sitting in one branch of the game tree. If player
A has chosen top, then it doesn’t matter what player B does, and the playoff is (1,9). If player A
has chosen bottom, then the sensible thing for player B to do is to choose right, and the payoff is
(2,1). Now think about player A’s initial choice. If he chooses top, the outcome will be (1,9) and
thus he will get a payoff of 1. But if chooses bottom, he gets a payoff of 2. So the sensible thing
for him to do is to choose bottom. Thus, the equilibrium choices will be (B, R) with the payoff
(2,1).
From B’s point of view this is rather unfortunate since he ends up with a payoff 1 rather than 9.
What might he do about it? He can threaten to play left (L) if player a plays bottom (B). If
player A thought that B would actually carry out this threat, he would be well advised to play top.
Because top gives him 1, while bottom- if B carries out his threat-will only give him 0. In this
case, however, the threat is not credible (or it is an empty threat).
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Entry Deterrence
Dear student, do you remember the sources of monopoly from our Microeconomics I? Good.
The sources of monopoly power and monopoly profits include economies of scale, patents and
licenses, ownership of strategic inputs, exclusive knowledge of a production technique and so on.
However, firms themselves can sometimes deter entry of potential competitors.
To deter entry the incumbent/existing firm must convince any potential competitor that entry will
be unprofitable. To see how this might be done, put yourself in the position of an incumbent
monopolist facing a prospective entrant, firm X. The entrant will decide whether or not to come
into the market and the incumbent will of course would like to induce firm X to stay out of the
industry so as to continue to charge a high price and enjoy monopoly profits. That is the potential
entrant’s strategies are to enter or to stay out while the incumbent’s strategies are either to
accommodate the entrant (maintain high price in the hope that the entrant will do the same) or to
wage warfare (charge low price to make entry unprofitable). The payoffs from such a game are
depicted in Table 4.24.
Potential entrant
Enter Stay out
Incumbent
High price 100, 20 200, 0
Low price 70, -10 130, 0
Table 4.24 entry
deterrence
If the incumbent want to be “accommodating”, and hence continue charging high price and allow
entry, it will earn only Br 100 million profits since it has to share the market with the new
entrant. But if it successfully manages to deter entry and maintain its higher price, then it gets Br
200 million. Alternatively, the incumbent can increase its production capacity, produce more, and
lower its price – engage itself in a price war. In this case if the new entrant decides to come in,
the entrant will face a loss of Br 10 million. Finally if firm X stays out but the incumbent expand
its capacity and lower price nonetheless, its net benefit will be Br 130 million. Certainly this last
choice would not make much sense.
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If firm X thinks the incumbent will be accommodating and maintain a high price after it has
entered, it will find it profitable to enter and will do so. Suppose the incumbent threaten to
expand output and start a price war in order to keep X out. If X takes the threat seriously, it will
not enter the market because it can expect to lose Br 10 million. The threat, however, is not
credible. As Table 4.17 shows (and the potential competitor knows), once entry has occurred, it
will be in the best interest of the incumbent to accommodate and maintain a high price. Firm X’s
rational move is to enter the market; and the outcome will be the upper left hand corner of the
matrix.
But what if the incumbent makes an irrevocable commitment that will alter its incentives once
entry occurs – a commitment that will give it little choice but to charge a low price if entry
occurs? Suppose it invested in the extra capacity needed to increase output and engage in
competitive warfare should entry occur.Of course, if the incumbent maintain a high price
(whether or not X enters), this added cost will reduce its payoff. The payoff matrix is now
changed as depicted in Table 4.25.
Potential entrant
As a result of its decision to invest in additional capacity, the incumbent’s threat to engage in
competitive warfare is completely credible. Because it has already have the additional capacity
with which to wage war, it will do better in competitive warfare than it would by maintaining a
high price. Because the potential competitor now knows that entry will result in warfare, it is
rational for it to stay out of the market. Meanwhile, having deterred entry, it can maintain a high
price and earn a profit of Br 150 million.
Can an incumbent monopolist deter entry without making the costly move of installing
additional production capacity? Here a reputation for irrationality can bestow a strategic
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advantage. Suppose the incumbent firm has such a reputation. Suppose also that by means of
vicious price-cutting, this firm has eventually has driven out every entrant in the past, even
though it incurred losses in doing so. Its threat might then be credible: The incumbent’s
irrationality suggests to the potential competitor that it might be better off staying away.
Of course, if the game described above were to be indefinitely repeated, then the incumbent
might have a rational incentive to engage in warfare whenever entry actually occurs. Why?
Because short-term loses from warfare might be outweighed by long-term gains from preventing
entry. Understanding this, the potential competitor might find the incumbent’s threat of warfare
credible and decide to stay out. Now the incumbent relies on its reputation of being rational –
far-sighted - to provide the credibility needed to deter entry. The success of this strategy depends
on the time horizon and the relative gains and losses associated with accommodation and
warfare.
To conclude, the attractiveness of entry depends largely on the way incumbents can be expected
to react. In general, once entry has occurred, incumbents cannot be expected to maintain output
at their pre-entry levels. Eventually, they may back off and reduce output, raising price to a new
joint profit maximizing level. Because potential entrants know this, incumbent firms must create
a credible threat of warfare to deter entry. A reputation for irrationality can help. Indeed, this
seems to be the basis for much of the entry-preventing behavior that goes on in actual markets.
The potential entrant must consider that rational industry discipline can break down after entry
occurs. By fostering an image of irrationality and violence, an incumbent firm might convince
potential entrants that the risk of warfare is too high.
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